Hampshire County Council Schools Forum Item 4d 11 December 2009 Increased free school meal numbers – budget impacts Report of the Director of Childrens Services and the County Treasurer Contact: Thomas Whiffen, 01962 846287 thomas.whiffen@hants.gov.uk 1 Summary 1.1 This paper identifies recent trends in free school meals (FSM) eligibility and take up. It then looks at how free school meals numbers are reflected in the calculation of school budget shares and what the increased numbers might mean in budgetary terms. 1.2 Currently it is the increased takeup of free school meals in primary and special schools which is the most clear cost pressure and this amounts to an estimated £170,000. 1.3 It is for Schools Forum to consider how to treat the impact of increased free school meals numbers within the 2010/11 budget. 2 The use of free school meals information in school budget shares 2.1 The number of pupils eligible for free school meals (eFSM) is used in four parts of budget shares: 2.2 The actual provision of free meals within the Management Partnership heading for catering Within the Personalised Learning deprivation/disadvantage calculations Explicitly within the funding for special education needs (SEN) staffing As an element within supplies and services funding. The catering provision of free school meals is based on an amount per eFSM pupil which implies a certain take up assumption as the amounts are less than the full £380 per year see Table 1. Table 1 No of eligible pupils £ per eFSM pupil Implied % take up Primary 8,459 £303.49 79.9% 511 £326.84 86.0% 4,750 £289.42 76.2% 13,720 £299.49 78.8% Special Secondary Total/ average 1 2.3 The funding for personalised learning includes £45.80 per primary eFSM pupil and £43.92 per special eFSM pupil up to Year 6. 2.4 The personalised learning disadvantage calculations for secondary school pupils and for special school pupils from Year 7 are based on an index combining eFSM and Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) data. However in these calculations the eFSM numbers are used to calculate a school’s relative disadvantage and providing any increases are felt uniformly across schools the index is not affected by higher total eFSM numbers. 2.5 The SEN staffing includes amounts directly linked to eFSM numbers as shown in Table 2 below. Table 2 Infant £ per eFSM within SEN staffing Junior £149 Secondary £99 £110.50 2.6 Whilst eFSM numbers are used within the calculation of SEN Unit C funding this is as part of an index similar to the one in 2.4 above. 2.7 In the supplies and services headings eFSM pupil numbers are funded as follows: Table 3 Primary £ per eFSM within supplies Secondary £11.28 £27.32 3 Recent evidence on free school meals 3.1 The worsening economic situation has a two fold effect. The numbers eligible for free school meals (eFSM) will increase and the percentage of those eligible who choose to take an actual meal will also increase. 3.2 The autumn term 2009 numbers of eFSM show significant increases above the numbers in spring term 2009. It is the numbers in each January, the spring term numbers, which get used in the following years budget share. The rate and pattern of increase in eFSM numbers has not been consistent with primary and special schools seeing a big increase between spring and summer terms and secondary schools seeing the increase between summer and autumn terms. 3.3 Predicting future trends is difficult but it is unlikely that numbers will fall below the current ones for some time. This known change would form a reasonable planning basis, with the position being reviewed during 2010/11. Table 4 shows the change since January 2009. Table 4 Primary Special Secondary Total/ average FSM eligible pupils (eFSM) Jan. 2009 Oct. 2009 Change 8,459 8,880 +5% 511 541 +6% 4,750 5,397 +14% 13,720 14,818 + 8% 2 3.4 The evidence available on Free School Meals takeup is clearer in respect of primary and special schools whereas the cash cafeteria provision in secondary schools make it more difficult to be sure. The available evidence shows primary and special schools taken together at 85% takeup of eligible numbers as at January as compared with an historic average in the 72% to 76% range. This level is therefore above the budget assumption shown in Table 1.In secondary schools takeup seems to be at about 72%, compared with a historic 65% to 68% and this is still below the budget assumption. 4 Treatment of the cost effects 4.1 The usual approach to variations in numbers of pupils eligible for free school meals has been to adjust the units of resource slightly as these numbers have been used as a distribution mechanism. This approach could still be adopted with the clear exception of the takeup of free school meals in primary and special schools where the costs have to be incurred and the current and the estimated position is above budget values. 4.2 Accordingly the main budget paper specifically recognises this cost of £170,000. It does not recognise any effects elsewhere as the link between the change in the indicator and any increase in the costs is less clear. 4.3 As the eligibility and takeup patterns become clearer during 2010 it would be appropriate to review the position. 5 Recommendations 5.1 Schools Forum is recommended to reflect the £170,000 impact of higher free school meals takeup in primary and special schools in its budget proposals for 2010/11 5.2 Schools Forum is recommended to consider whether it would wish to make any other budget proposals for 2010/11 in view of the higher levels of free school meals eligibility. 3