Poverty Reduction Strategies Feasibility for Ethiopia University of California, Los Angeles A comprehensive project submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts in Urban Planning. By Anya Baum Kinshasa Curl Toriana Henderson With Contributions from Laura Benson and Sonja El-Wakil Under the supervision of Stephen Commins June 15, 2001 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Disclaimer: Neither the University of California nor the School of Public Policy and Social Research either support or disavow the findings in any project, report, paper of research listed herein. University affiliations are for identification only; the University is not involved in or responsible for the project. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique ii POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Acknowledgments First and foremost, we would like to thank Stephen Commins, Lecturer at UCLA’s Department of Urban Planning and Social Policy Specialist, Human Development Network at the World Bank, without whom this report would have not been possible. Steve’s insightful feedback and tireless assistance in setting up numerous meetings with the international aid community were invaluable and inspiring. We would also like to express our sincere gratitude to those who participated in informal interviews, particularly Jalal-Abel Latif, Executive Director of the InterAfrica Group, our classmates who provided the initial guidance for our research, and our friends and family for helping with editing and formatting. Lastly, we would like to acknowledge the numerous scholars footnoted throughout the thesis whose work paved the way for our study. We would like to fully acknowledge that Berhanua Abegaz, author of Aid and Reform in Ethiopia; Jeffery Clark, author of Civil Society, NGOs, and Development in Ethiopia; Shantayanan Devarajan, David Dollar and Torgny Holmgren, authors of Aid in Reform in Africa, and Ethan Prochnik, author of Food and Famine in Ethiopia: a Historical and Political Study greatly contributed to the initial foundation for our paper. In addition, the following documents provided the basis for findings reported in this document: Implementing the Ethiopian National Policy for Women, by the Women’s Affairs Office, Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia; the Ethiopia Rationalization Study, by the World Bank; and the Ethiopia Sector Report, by the World Bank. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique iii POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Table of Contents Section I. II. III. IV. V. VI. VII. IX. X. XI. XII. Page PRSP Context ……………………………..…….………………………………………. Ethiopia Country Overview …………………..………………………………………… Poverty ………………………...…………………………………………………………. Women and Poverty …………………………………………………………... Legal Framework ……………………………………………………….……... Customary Laws ………………………………….……………………….…... Households ……………………….……………………………………………. Education ……………………….………………………………….…………... Health and Nutrition ………………………………...…………………………. Agriculture……………….……………………………..………………………… State ………………………………………………………………………………………. History of the Ethiopian State ………………………………………….…….. Regional Conflicts ………………………………………………………..……. Ethiopia’s Regional Perspective and its Constitution …………………..….. Capacity Constraints …………………………………………………….……. State Wrap-up …………………………………………………………..……… Civil Society ……………………………………………………………………………… Defining Civil Society …………………………………………..……………… Overview of Civil Society in Ethiopia ……………………….……………….. Contemporary Civil Society …………………………………….…………….. Involvement in PRSP Process …………………………………….…………. Effective Civil Society Consultation ………………………………..………… New Paradigms …………………………………………………….………….. Civil Society Section Conclusion …………………………………………….. International Aid …………………………………………………………………………. Country Background …………………………………………..………………. Ethiopia’s Debt Picture ………………………………………..………………. International Aid and Donors ………………………………….……………... International Aid System Critiques …………………………….…………….. I-PRSP Critique………………………………………………………….……………….. HIPC Initiative and PRSP Process Critique ……………………..………….. Poverty Description ……………………………………………….…………... ADLI………………………………………………………………….………….. Civil Service Reform ……………………………………………….………….. Decentralization and Empowerment ……………………………..………….. Agriculture………………………………………………………….…………… Gender……………………………………………………………….………….. Health and Education ………………………………………..………………... Sector Development Programs………………………………..……………... Post Conflict Setting …………………………………………….…………….. Critique Wrap-up ……………………………………………….……………… Conclusion………………………………………………………………………………... References ………………………………………………………………………………. Glossary of Terms……………………………………………………………………….. Appendix A ………...…………………………………………………………………….. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique p. 1 p. 3 p. 7 p. 9 p. 11 p. 13 p. 16 p. 21 p. 24 p. 27 p. 30 p. 30 p. 34 p. 39 p. 48 p. 60 p. 61 p. 62 p. 63 p. 68 p. 76 p. 77 p. 77 p. 78 p. 81 p. 82 p. 83 p. 84 p. 91 p. 95 p. 97 p. p. p. p. p. p. p. p. p. p. p. p. p. p. iv POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique v POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA I. I PRSP CONTEXT n September 1999, the World Bank Group and the IMF determined that nationally-owned participatory poverty reduction strategies should provide the basis for all their concessional lending and for debt relief under the enhanced Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative. 1 In 1996, the World Bank and IMF proposed the HIPC Initiative and gained consensus from governments worldwide The poverty reduction strategy papers were born out of a movement to change the traditional way of implementing and developing national poverty reduction strategies. The aim of the new process is to create sustainable policy on poverty, break the cycle of past failures of traditional poverty reduction strategies and establish national ownership of poverty policies. The PRSP process involves a two-step participatory framework such that each country writes and submits their own Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (I-PRSP) and then after review from the World Bank they submit a final poverty reduction strategy paper (PRSP) for review. The final PRSP is reviewed by the World Bank and the Inter-Monetary Fund (IMF) in order to reach a decision under the modified Enhanced Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) for debt relief and concessional lending. The PRSP has been controversial because it is viewed by some as another structural adjustment program that will not aid countries in combating poverty. Proponents state that the PRSP is a “living document and process” in which Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 1 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA individual countries can take ownership. Common benefits and weakness that have been identified from the process are as follows: Benefits The document is a living document that is developed by the home country Promotes national ownership Allows for individual country circumstances National authorities are responsible for setting strategic priorities and accountable for outcomes (not only to external players but to its people). Promotes the participation of and partnership with local groups and people. Provides debt relief to qualifying countries, which may help to reduces problems of debt service and debt sustainability. Weaknesses Time frame for the PRSP process is limited and constrained Countries must develop measurable and sustained outcomes, which is difficult for countries suffering from a long history of poverty Given the short time frame of the PRSP, it does not allow for restructuring of government or social/cultural institutions. Does not provide a budget for implementing poverty reduction strategies. Civil society organization does not automatically equate to a full representation of society; groups may still be excluded. A participatory process may result in conflict, slowing down the overall process. Ethiopia is currently participating in the PRSP process. In November 2000, Ethiopia submitted an I-PRSP to the World Bank. The country is in the midst of working on mapping out its final PRSP. This is important for Ethiopia because it is an extremely poor country burdened with a large amount of debt, which is attempting to deal with a complex state of poverty. Similar to other countries involved in this process, Ethiopia is working under tremendous time constraints to develop a workable PRSP. The question is whether the PRSP will be implementable and Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 2 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA sustainable given the current conditions of the country and its multi-dimensional state of poverty. II. ETHIOPIA COUNTRY OVERVIEW Ethiopia is a very diverse country in many aspects, including ethnically, religiously, geographically and economically. The country has over 85 ethnic groups and 250 distinct dialects. The Ethiopian population is split between Christians and Muslims and includes a minority of that follows animist beliefs. Ethiopia’s federal constitution allows for individual regions and linguistic groups. The predominant languages are Amharic, Orominya, Tigrinya, Afar, and Somali. Administrative Regions and Zones of Ethiopia Source: http://www.angelfire.com/sys/popup_source.shtml?Category= Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 3 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA The Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) is the ruling party of the federal government in Ethiopia. The government has implemented a process of decentralization, which gives regional governments more power. There are nine autonomous regional state councils, promoting a government presence on the local level and encouraging local approaches to regional conditions. This political transition is significant because Ethiopia has been plagued with a viscous cycle of poverty, with a long history of drought, famine, civil war and a military coup. The country has suffered from a pattern of economic and political instability. Regions throughout Ethiopia have suffered from poverty but not uniformly. Continuously economic and physical resources have been diverted away from social sectors to address internal and external conflicts. Today, the government is attempting to direct resources back into the social sectors. Given that each region’s poverty is complex and unique, regions may more effectively guide resources but this continues to be an issue of contention between federal and local governments. Ethiopia is the second most populated country in Africa, with a total population estimated at 61 million people2. The majority of the population lives in rural areas and is highly dependent on agriculture. Although the majority of the population Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 4 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA resides in rural areas, many of the economic resources have been diverted to urban areas. Population structure by age group, 1994 Age 0–19 20-59 60+ Male Female Total %of total 17.3 16.2 33.5 60.8 9.3 9.7 19.0 34.5 1.3 1.3 2.6 4.7 27.9 27.2 55.1 100 Total Source: Central Statistical Agency; UN Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) The Economist Intelligence Unit According to the above table, the majority of the population is between the ages of 0 to 19 years old. Males outnumber females in this age category but the gender gap closes in the higher age groups. The country is divided into six major regions, including Oromo, Amhara, Southern Nation and Nationalities People’s Region (SNNPS), Somali, Tigray and Addis Ababa. Oromo is the most highly populated region at 35 percent. Tigray and Somali are the most sparsely populated regions at 5 percent. Population structure in Ethiopia’s principal regions, 1999 Region Percentage of Population Oromo 35.1 Amhara 23.6 SNNPS 18.1 Somali 5.4 Tigray 5.4 Addis Ababa 3.6 Source: Population census 1994, Central Statistical Authority The Economist Intelligence Unit Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 5 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA About 85 percent of the population depend on agriculture for its livelihood and approximately 45 percent of the gross domestic product for Ethiopia is concentrated in agriculture. 3 Coffee is the country’s primary export and is predominantly grown in the southern regions. Other agricultural products include maize, teff, barley, sorghum, quat (stimulant), pulses and oilseeds. Most of the grain products are primarily used for domestic consumption and grown in the central and western regions of the country. Agriculture is concentrated in the southern, central and western regions of the country, while the northern highland suffers from inconsistent rainfall and pastoralists dominate the southeast lowlands. (See Appendix A) Infrastructure is relatively weak in Ethiopia, which inhibits trade interregionally. Road, telecommunication and energy networks are in need of rehabilitation and investment. Most roads are concentrated in and around Addis Ababa and many rural areas outside of this area do not have access to roads. The government has allocated a fifth of its total capital budget towards road construction and repairs, in an effort to strengthen infrastructure.4 A majority of energy resources are directed towards urban areas, most rural areas are dependent on alternative fuel sources such as firewood. Weak telecommunications adds to the weak country infrastructure. The are approximately three main lines per 1,000 people, limiting prospects for inter-regional communication. The lack of infrastructure will prove to be a great barrier to any development strategies, especially poverty reduction strategies, that the country plans to implement. Ethiopia is located in the horn of Africa and is surrounded by Sudan to the west, Eritrea to the north, Kenya to the South, Somalia to the east and Djibouti to the Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 6 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA northeast. The country is landlocked and does not have direct seaport access. Ethiopia must receive seaport access through Djibouti, Eritrea and Somalia. Relations are strained with Eritrea, Somalia and other neighboring countries, thus the country is highly dependent on Djibouti. Djibouti’s ports allow Ethiopia to conduct merchandise trading and receive petroleum imports. The following sections of this paper will provide an overview of Ethiopia in terms of poverty, the state, civil society and international aid. These sections will be utilized to critique and raise questions about the recent Interim Poverty Reduction Paper that Ethiopia submitted to the World Bank in November 2000. The purpose of the critique will be to raise concerns about the poverty reduction strategy plan (PRSP) that Ethiopia has mapped out. Hopefully, it will provide insight into areas that may require more research for the final PRSP. The critique is not meant to evaluate poverty in Ethiopia or to provide solutions to the complex and multidimensional condition of poverty that Ethiopia faces. III. POVERTY P Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 7 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA overty in Ethiopia has many faces and it is very complex. It varies by region, especially between the rural and urban environments. Most of the population resides in rural areas, making poverty a predominantly rural phenomenon. Historically, most resources to alleviate poverty have been focused on urban areas. Recently, the government has begun to focus on rural regions. Ethiopia has weathered several very devastating droughts, civil conflict and previous government mismanagement. These factors have compounded poverty, making Ethiopia one of the poorest countries in the world. A majority of households are characterized by low income, poor health and low levels of education. For many, the primary goal is achieving daily subsistence and much of the household resources are allocated towards this end. Often this means allocating limited resources to the most “productive” or most powerful members of the household. As a result, women and children share a disproportionate burden of poverty and restricted access to household resources. 5 Other conditions that influence the level of poverty born by households have to do with factors that impact capability deprivations, meaning the ability to access labor and resources. Some of these conditions include: Adverse weather conditions, such as rainfall. Lack of access to all weather roads Number of oxen available to plough land Access to labor Amount of off-farm wage labor available Illness in household – impacts labor supply Number of men in the household Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 8 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Land – land available to the household Access to formal legal and social institutions The inability to obtain or access the above factors will increase a household’s vulnerability to poverty. The forthcoming discussion on poverty will provide more detail on how poverty is impacted by access or lack of access to political, social and economic resources. An overview will be provided on women and poverty, households, agriculture, education, health and nutrition in Ethiopia. This will give some insight on how resources are allocated and what opportunities exist for different groups to access various resources. Ultimately, the goal of this discussion will be to create a current and multi-dimensional glimpse of Ethiopia and incorporate it into the PRSP process by providing an initial critique of the I-PRSP submitted to the World Bank in November 2000. Women and Poverty A majority of women in Ethiopia live in rural areas, approximately 89 percent, and work in the informal agricultural sector. 6 The work is very labor intensive and there are very few opportunities to participate in other sectors. Most opportunities beyond agriculture are located in urban areas, and are in such areas as the service and light industrial sectors. More Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 9 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA and more women are resorting to petty trading, domestic services and prostitution. Many times women are paid very low wages or no wages at all. Social and legal institutions, especially at a local level do not support opportunities for formal economic participation. An improvement in economic conditions would require changes in the patriarchic legal, social and cultural institutions, such as the woreda, household and marriage. Women and children disproportionately bear the burden of poverty in Ethiopia. Females generally have less education, landholding and employment opportunities than men do. As household incomes decline and the country attempts to implement strategies to alleviate poverty, women’s participation and ability earn income becomes more crucial. Effective poverty reduction strategies will have to address the economic and social discrimination against women, especially at the local level. This will prove to be a difficult task as women’s conditions, access to economic resources, and social and cultural participation vary from region to region. These differences must be strategically incorporated into development strategies, especially poverty reduction strategies. In order to paint a picture of women’s conditions, as it pertains to poverty, it is important to develop an idea of how women are incorporated into the overall legal framework, particularly how customary laws are applied. In addition, this poverty section includes a discussion of women’s participation in households and education. It is clear that a system of gender-based division of labor and participation, which is prescribed by tradition, culture and law, continues to limit women’s ability to play an Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 10 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA effective role in decreasing their vulnerability to poverty, as well as the household’s and country’s vulnerability.7 Legal Framework National legal policies have moved towards the incorporation of women on a more equitable basis. The new 1994 Ethiopian Constitution allows for equal rights guaranteed to women and men. Specifically, it provides for equality in employment, acquisition of property and management of property. There is also a provision for affirmative action to promote the participation of women in a non-discriminatory fashion. In combination with the new constitution, the National Policy on Women exhibits a commitment to the socioeconomic development of women.8 Established in 1993, the National Policy on Women’s (Women’s Policy) aim is to institutionalize the political, economic and social rights of women through supportive government and institutional structures, ultimately guiding public policies and strategies to be gender sensitive and promote development. 9 In reality, implementing the Women’s Policy has been a slow process subject to many barriers. Mostly, this is due to the fact that a policy of decentralization has transferred power from the federal government to regional governments, dispersing power within regions. The regional governments now hold primary responsibility for implementing policies. Most regions are not equipped to manage these responsibilities and do not view gender-sensitivity as a priority. (More will be discussed on regionalization and the National Women’s Policy in the section on the Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 11 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA State.) The aforementioned, in combination with social, economic, political and environmental factors, have created barriers to implementation of the Women’s Policy in Ethiopia. In addition, the responsibilities and roles of Women’s Affairs Offices, those offices that oversee the operation of the Women’s Policy, are unclear and inadequate. In effect, the Women’s Affairs Offices are not effective nor are they empowered to carry out their mandates dictated by the Women’s Policy. 10 Currently, most women are benefiting from their rights dictated by the Constitution and/or the Women’s Policy. Some changes are more likely to have occurred in urban regions, as circumstances and conditions greatly differ between urban and rural populations. As stated earlier, most women reside in rural areas and are subject to discrimination and poverty. Poor women have limited opportunities to formally mobilize and actively seek out their rights. Often they have no access to social security schemes or to other social protection measures. In addition, they have limited access to regional government and groups that are part of the local government structure. Many women participate in informal groups, such as iqubs (traditional rotating savings and credit associations) or idirs (funeral associations). These groups are not registered and have little impact on regional economic, legal and social policies. This lack of recognition as a legal group inhibits the potential role for such groups as iqubs and idirs to play a roll in development activities for women. In fact, there are few regional regulations that create procedures to form small, legally recognized organizations that would facilitate women’s participation in formal Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 12 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA development activities. As a result, women’s participation at a local, regional and national level is still very limited. In addition to women’s lack of participation in social and legal institutions, the country’s legal framework does not facilitate the entry of poor women into the agricultural and informal labor markets. For women in rural areas, this seriously increases their vulnerability to poverty because these markets are often the only source of income available outside the household. The International Labor Organization 1958 Employment and Occupation Convention 111, proposes equal access for both men and women to vocational guidance, placement services, training, employment etc.11 Unfortunately, this convention does not apply to workers in the informal sectors, only to those in the commercial and industrial sectors. In addition, women who conduct petty trade are exempted. Women have limited recourse or protection for their labor beyond traditional institutions and they are not supported as formal agricultural producers or laborers. The next section will review how customary laws are applied to women and how this practice limits opportunities for women’s empowerment. Customary Laws In theory, the state can prohibit laws and/or customary practices that negatively impact women. In practice, customary laws dictate women’s participation and access to Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 13 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA economic, social and political resources. Often women are unaware of their rights and have little recourse against the application of customary laws, which reinforce male ownership and control over economic resources.12 In Ethiopia, customary laws and practices are applied to all personal matters. Women have limited access to civil courts, which are usually more accountable to constitutional mandates. The main reasons for their limited access to civil courts are cost and proximity. Most civil courts are concentrated in urban areas and legal aid is not readily available to most women. Therefore, most women turn to customary laws to resolve personal matters, such as divorce.13 Because of biases in the family arbitration system, women are not guaranteed equal treatment to their male counterparts. Disputes, related to personal relationships, are resolved by older and respected male arbitrators within the community. The male arbitrators are usually not trained in the law and are guided by customarily accepted practices. Resolutions are therefore often not in the best interest of women and are subject to the traditionally established rights of men. In addition, federal laws are not applied in these circumstances and are often in direct conflict with customary laws and practices. Customary laws vary from region to region and are impacted by such conditions as religion and entitlements granted in marriage, as well as other social institutions. Entitlements granted under marriage provide a good basis for understanding women’s rights and conditions in Ethiopian society and how they can impact their economic status. Women’s access to economic resources in rural Ethiopia is complex, especially since the majority of rural households continue to apply customary, Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 14 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA religious and traditional practices. Women often inherit resources at birth, marriage and at divorce which make those inherited resources significant vehicles for empowerment and security against poverty. Although women do receive some resources, men bring substantially more physical and economic resources to marriage, providing them with more entitlements than women. In rural regions, such as Gambella and Oromiya, the practice of requiring a bride price is common and impacts economic rights and status of women. This practice varies by region and within communities, but it allows for some bargaining over resources on behalf of the wife and her family. A bride price is accepted by the wife and her family as a receipt of the wife’s rightful share to the husband’s family property. In addition, it is also perceived as a payment for the wife’s labor and/or services and must be returned if those services are terminated by the wife. Often when a wife seeks to terminate the marriage, she must relinquish her rights to common resources and entitlements. During marriage, the wife only controls property that she receives as a gift and she has no access to property belonging to the husband or his household. Divorced women lose their access to land and become dependent on parents or brother-in-laws, depending on the traditional practices observed in their community. A woman’s economic status prior to marriage, determines the options available to her after a divorce. Poor women have fewer alternatives and are more vulnerable to increased poverty. Single women do not have access to land unless they are registered as the head of the household. Women registered as heads of household are entitled to some land but it is often less than that allotted to men. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 15 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA As demonstrated by the former example, customary laws do not compliment gender-sensitive policies, especially those dictated by the Constitution and the Women’s Policy. Although national policy has attempted to ensure equal access and participation for women, it has not been successfully implemented at a local level. Top-down development policies, starting at the national level, may not be sustainable long-term and applicable to women on a local level. Development strategies, such as the PRSP, will remain ineffective in delivering benefits to women. Effective strategies will incorporate women’s local conditions and the traditional institutions in which they participate. In the next section, we will examine the household structure put it into the context of poverty. Households A discussion of the dynamics, power structures and the division of labor at the household level are required to create a picture of how poverty can impact individuals. The definition of household varies region by region and it may include individuals who live under one roof but are not related. In addition, there are significant differences between urban and rural households; this discussion concentrates on rural households. No matter how the household unit is composed, women bear a majority of the labor responsibilities and disparities in resources. The disproportionate responsibility that women carry in household chores and supporting agriculture and livestock can be demonstrated from the table below. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 16 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Gender-based Activities during the Off-Farm Season (Rural Areas) Gender Women Morning Afternoon Evening Total Time 5 –7 am 7 – 11 am 11am – 12 pm 12 – 1 pm 1 – 2 pm 2 – 4 pm 4 – 6 pm 6 – 11 pm 14 working hours Activity Start fire and clean compound Fetch water and pound grain Milk cows and cook lunch Serve lunch Collect firewood Fetch water and milk cows Cook and serve supper Finish work and go to bed Men Morning 6 –7 am Collect cow dung 7 am – 12 pm Rest Afternoon 12 – 1 pm Untie Cattle 1 – 5 pm Rest 5 –6 pm Tie Cattle Evening 6 – 10 pm Eat and rest 10 pm Go to bed Total 3 working hours Source: Participatory Rural assessment in Gambella, 1997 The Women’s Affairs Office, Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia In rural areas during the off-season, the differences in the division of labor between men and women can vary by 11 hours (according to the above table). In general a woman’s daily workload can total approximately 15 -- 18 hours per day.14 Depending on the income level of the woman, workloads can vary drastically. Women often keep their children, especially female children, from school to help with daily activities, which perpetuate the cycle of poverty. Due to their intensive work schedules, women have little time to access training or skill building opportunities outside of the home, which handicaps their overall ability to earn income outside of the agricultural sector. This is a significant point for development strategies to examine, especially since there is an increasing trend of female-headed households. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 17 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Resource allocation within the household is heavily skewed in favor of the male. As wealth increases women may have more bargaining power. Some factors that impact the distribution of goods in the household include: Husband’s economic status Wife’s economic status Bride price Divorce settlements Divorce rules/customs Size of Land-holdings Age difference between husband and wife Duration of marriage Other factors such as education level, size of family and customary rules also determine household allocation. In terms of allocation after a divorce, customary practices and a woman’s economic status prior to the marriage matter significantly. A higher value of joint goods received at the time of marriage may improve the position of the wife. In addition, a woman’s position is drastically improved if customary rules dictate that there must be an equal division of assets and joint gifts. Similarly, a husband has more options and increased bargaining power as the wealth of the husband’s family increases. In general as income increases, both men and women have more options available to them. Poorer families, especially poor women, depend on marriage and the household as a vehicle for economic improvement. In general, most households in rural areas are dependent on agriculture for their daily subsistence.15 The main sources of livelihood for Ethiopian households Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 18 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA are farming for men and domestic work for women. Many of the children in these households engage in some form of domestic work or farming. Most rural households are dependent on all members of the household for labor and physical capital. Households in rural Ethiopia live in a volatile environment and suffer fluctuations in incomes. Any adverse conditions, such as illness, can negatively impact the household’s well-being and vulnerability to increased poverty. Specifically, poor households are affected by household shocks in agriculture, drought and famine. As shocks occur that increase poverty, household allocation of resources is impacted accordingly and females bear a disproportionate burden of a shortage in resources. In 1989 the International Food Policy Research Institute conducted a survey in the regions of Amhara, Oromiya and the Southern Ethiopians People’s Association. The study collected consumption, asset and income data on approximately 1477 households in 15 villages. The main findings were as follows: Households with substantial human and physical capital and better access to roads and towns have lower poverty levels. Human capital and access to roads and towns also reduce variations in poverty across the seasons. Households with education were less vulnerable to poverty. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 19 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Households with younger heads, experienced less vulnerability to fluctuations in poverty. Households headed by females were more susceptible to poverty. Ownership of oxen and land holdings contributed to the decline in poverty. As evidenced above, households with more land and capital appear to be more capable of insuring themselves against poverty. Nevertheless, no household is unaffected by war and conflict, which has been prevalent in Ethiopian society. Even though there are variations in household incomes and resources, most households in rural Ethiopia spend a majority of their budget on food, leaving little money for other expenditures such as education and health. Allocation of Household Expenditures Allocation of Rural Household Expenditures 2% 2% 1% 4% Food 6% Clothing 9% Ceremonials Other 76% Medical Transport School Source: Ethiopia Social Sector Report, World Bank (August 1998 The above table confirms that most resources are spent on food. This may fluctuate in lieu of seasonal differences in prices, workloads and adverse weather conditions. In times of shortages, households depend on informal networks, such as friends and extended family member to protect their consumption levels. Only nine Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 20 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA percent of the rural household budget is spent on clothing and less than one percent is spent on education. In general, households are severely constrained in their ability to pay for health and education of their children. Education A major challenge for the Ethiopian government has been the provision of education, especially at a local level. An effort has been made to increase access to social services through increased spending on health and education. Often educational and health budgets are negatively impact by war conflicts, which has been the case for Ethiopia. Ethiopia holds one of the lowest rankings, compared to other countries, for the provision of educational facilities and enrollment rates. Only about 28 percent of children are enrolled in primary school.16 Discrepancies widen in secondary and tertiary education, especially between rural and urban areas (heavily in favor of urban areas). The education sector is generally characterized by low coverage, high opportunity costs and poor efficiency in rural Ethiopia. The following findings regarding education were developed out of the World Bank’s Ethiopia: Social Sector Report in 1998: Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 21 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Only 2.1 million children out of 12.3 million children age 7-14 years are enrolled in school. There are significant rural and urban differences: primary education is almost universal in Addis Ababa and other urban areas while gross primary enrollment in rural areas is about 18 percent. Adult illiteracy is very high, approximately 65 percent for adults. The average entry for primary school is very late, the average is 11 years old and in rural areas 12. Only 38 percent of the 27,000 villages in the country have schools. Villages are too far from each other for primary school children to travel between villages to go to school. Facilities and equipment are in poor condition.17 From the above findings, it is obvious that access to and opportunities for participation in education are weak in Ethiopia. There is a need for increased educational facilities in rural areas and policies that support access to education, such as distance learning programs, subsidies, flexible school schedules and opportunities for work opportunities. In addition, there are wide variations in education for girls and boys. Opportunities for education are skewed towards males. In 1995, girls made up only 40 percent of all primary school students and generally started school later than boys. In rural areas, females have even lower enrollment rates and opportunities for education. The disparities increase in secondary and tertiary education. Those women that are able to obtain higher education and have secured professional employment are subjected to low paying jobs. The table below indicates the variations in education between females and males as educational levels increase. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 22 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Enrollment by Gender (1995) Education Level Male Female Primary 1,923,775 1,174,647 Secondary 209,568 161,348 Tertiary 13,915 2,060 Technical 2,210 424 Total 2,149,468 1,338,479 Source: Ministry of Education; PHRD Study Number 1.A, 1996 World Bank Total 3,098,422 370,916 15,975 2,634 3,487,947 It is apparent that Ethiopia has been most successful in enrolling women into its primary schools. In secondary, tertiary and technical schools, female enrollment levels begin to drastically decline. The above chart indicates that in 1995, less than one percent of the total population enrolled in school participated in tertiary education . Females only accounted for 16 percent of those enrolled in tertiary school. Most females attending schools beyond primary schools are concentrated in urban areas because there are limited educational opportunities outside of these areas. According to a Household Head’s Attitudes Toward Schooling Survey, included in the World Bank’s Ethiopia: Social Sector Report, primary reasons for not enrolling and sending children to school include: Girls will get married Educated girls are less obedient Schooling does not teach girls how to be good wives and mothers Need their labor – Girls required to work in household and boys on the farm School expensive Education is worthwhile if secondary schooling is available and employment is available. Most of the rural populations do not have this accessibility. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 23 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Distance to school – often schools are too far away. School expenditures that go beyond tuition and fees18 The main issues for low enrollment rates tend to be lack of access and high opportunity costs. Rural and poor households especially find the cost of sending children to school high because they are dependent on their labor for subsistence farming and household labor. In addition, the benefits of education are not clear in rural areas because there are limited prospects for continuing education and finding formal sector employment. As mentioned earlier opportunities for continued education and formal sector employed are heavily weighed towards urban areas. This trend reinforces differences between urban and rural areas, which are displayed in age differences in primary education, enrollment rates and drop out rates. For example, Afar and Somali regions have the lowest General Enrollment Rates (below 15 percent), while Addis Ababa and Gambella have the highest (over 60 percent).19 Rural regions and areas suffer from low enrollments, poor facilities and quality in education. These regions are not only characterized by low access and quality in education, but also in health. Health and Nutrition The Ethiopian government has recently attempted to changes its policies on health to incorporate rural populations and focus on preventative health care Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 24 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA services. In the past, health care resources and policies were focused on urban areas and allocated toward hospital-based curative services. The government has recognized that people in rural areas have inadequate access to health care treatment and facilities. This has negatively impacted the health of Ethiopians, mostly suffering preventable infectious diseases and nutritional deficiencies. Other factors that contribute to poor health include low income and education levels, high rates of illiteracy, inadequate access to clean water and sanitation facilities. Only 10 percent of Ethiopians have access to proper sanitation facilities and 18 to 26 percent to safe water, which is heavily biased to urban areas.20 Major causes of death in infancy and early childhood are acute respiratory infection, diarrhea, nutritional deficiencies and measles. These causes of death are mostly preventable, resulting from lack of access to preventative health care, malnutrition and immunizations. Malaria, tuberculosis and AIDS are the major adult diseases.21 Causes of death and prevalence of disease vary from region to region. HIV/AIDs is mostly an urban phenomenon with high rates in cities like Addis Ababa. The number of AIDS cases for 1995 is estimated at 1.45 million, with about 75,000 children born HIV-positive.22 This has serious implications for the future of Ethiopia, especially its labor force and overall economy. Specifically, it will ultimately result in the loss of labor and increased demand on health care and health resources. This may possibly skew resources away from other preventative health care services, if not properly planned for in poverty reduction strategies. Currently, there is only one health station for every 23,000 people and one health center for approximately 300,000 people, reflecting that there is poor infrastructure and low capacity.23 A majority of medical facilities and doctors are Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 25 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA located in Addis Ababa, meaning that rural populations have restricted access to health care. As a result, health care and methods of treatment vary across regions and income groups. For instance, the poor are more likely to turn to pharmacies and drug vendors for treatment, whereas richer households are likely to use hospitals and medical facilities. Often, due to lack of access, people go untreated and increase their vulnerability to ill-health. Some common reasons for not seeking treatment at health care facilities include 1) distance to health providers; 2) poor quality; and 3) unavailability of drugs and trained providers.24 A mother’s education has a strong correlation with whether or not treatment is sought, a child is immunized and good nutritional status is achieved. Only 19 percent of children in rural areas have received all three immunizations, compared to 46 percent in urban areas.25 As evidenced in the education section, education levels are higher for women in urban areas. Although educational levels are lower in rural areas and impact the likelihood of seeking treatment, access to and utilization of child immunization services, as well as basic health services is low. In addition to low levels of immunization, high levels of malnutrition exist in Ethiopia. The major direct cause of malnutrition in Ethiopia is inadequacy of food intake, which can be influenced by drought, famine, poverty and lack of entitlements. For infants, malnutrition can result from inappropriate feeding practices, such as lack of breast-feeding. 26 Malnutrition has serious negative repercussions because it impacts child development (such as wasting and stunting) and the productivity of the workforce.27 Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 26 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Nutritional deficiencies account for over seven percent of all deaths. Such deficiencies include protein-energy malnutrition and anemia28. The prevalence of malnutrition in Ethiopia is fueled by the country’s low and fluctuating levels of food production. Approximately 52 percent of the country are food insecure.29 The are a variety of reasons for food insecurity, including political and economic instability, household dynamics and distribution schemes, drought, famine, lack of resources, fluctuations in agricultural production. Ethiopia’s high dependence on agriculture increases its vulnerable to food insecurities and poverty, as well as other conditions associated with poverty. Agriculture The Ethiopian economy and its people are highly dependent on agriculture. Agriculture accounts for 45 percent of GDP… an estimated 85 percent of the population gain their livelihood directly or indirectly from agricultural production. 30 For this reason, a majority of development strategies have focused on agriculture, including the IPRSP. The Country’s primary export is coffee, accounting for more than 65 percent of foreign-exchange earnings, while hides and skins are the second main foreign exchange earner.31 Most internal food production is centered on cereals and maize, Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 27 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA and teff, barley and sorghum are the main grain crops. Cereals and grain products are primarily grown for domestic consumption. Pulses, oilseeds and fruit are also grown and exported to neighboring countries, but are not used for domestic consumption. Most agricultural land is highly dependent on rain-fed irrigation. Only one-fifth of the land is fit for cultivation and rainfall is inconsistent in various regions (the northern highlands are far more vulnerable to variations in rainfall).32 In addition, there are regional disparities in agricultural activity and productivity. Regional activity is as follows: Grain surplus is produced in the central and western regions Coffee production is most common in the central and southern regions. Pastoralism predominates in the southeast lowlands (i.e. Afar and Somali)33 Small landholders and subsistence farmers are responsible for most of the country’s agricultural production. This has been problematic for a few reasons. First, landholdings are decentralized and small, requiring large time investments and labor. Second, most resources in the past have been concentrated towards state farms and collectives. Third, small farmers have been reluctant to make upgrades and sell their products on the formal market because they have not yielded benefits and can get more money for their products on the black market. In conjunction with low participation rates and low agricultural yields from farmers, Ethiopia’s economy faces severe structural problems. These barriers include on-going food insecurity, low fertilizer utilization, vulnerability to pest damage, soil erosion and the removal of arable land for conservation projects.34 Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 28 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA These structural problems are exacerbated by geographical barriers to inter-regional travel, such as the shortage of all-weather roads. Various policy measures have been adopted to boost agricultural output and address structural and infrastructure barriers, such as early famine warning systems and more widespread use of fertilizers. The Agricultural-Development-Led Industrialization strategy (ADLI) outlined in the PRSP attempts to address some of these issues. ADLI uses agriculture and industry to encourage development and aims to decrease the prevalence of poverty. It also gives more policy attention to small farmers through credit schemes and extension program services. Any development policy that is adopted needs to emphasize sustainable growth through rural farmer/small landholder participation and increased infrastructure development. Participation and infrastructure development are very important components of addressing poverty issues. Poverty is very complex and varies according to social and geographic environments. The poverty section of this paper only addresses a few dimensions of poverty but hopefully it demonstrates that implementing poverty reduction and development strategies is a daunting task. The next sections on the state, civil society and international aid will provide a picture of the how infrastructure, resources, participation and poverty impact Ethiopian society and the feasibility for sustainable poverty reduction strategies. As demonstrated in the previous poverty section, the roles of the state, civil society and international aid are not uniform and have different implications for development. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 29 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA IV. STATE T here are three main issues and several smaller issues that stand in the way of the Ethiopian State’s ability to implement the Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy process that they put forth in their 2000 document submitted to the World Bank. The first and most important issue is whether the State has the ability to keep peace long enough to focus its attention and resources on the daunting task it has before it. Second is whether the institutional structure of the State will allow for central leadership. And third is whether the State has the human and fiscal resources needed to successfully implement its proposals. In the following pages we will examine the roots and current status of each of these three points and later we will point out how these areas lead to problems in implementing specific areas of the proposed I-PRSP. History of the Ethiopian State Ethiopia has a long history of empirical rulers conquering and subjugating the land’s various peoples. The first powerful empire was Axum. A mixture of local Cushites and Semitic settlers who had migrated from Arabia in the first half of the first millennium B.C organized this kingdom.35 These forebears of the Amhara and Tigreans were converted to Christianity in the fourth century A.D.36 This new religion became one of the most powerful institutions in the nation. Although the Ethiopian Orthodox Church was formally tied to the Crown it soon evolved into an indigenous political and economic force that all future empires had to reckon with. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 30 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA In 1270 an Amhara took power. His reign marks a watershed in Ethiopian history by his re-establishment of the alleged Solomonic dynasty from which Ethiopian rulers were descended up until the demise of Haile Selassie in 1974. Yekuno Amlack’s reign was also important because of his decision to establish his capital in his native town of Tegulet in Shoa rather than at the Tigrayan capital Axum.37 By shifting the center of the Ethiopian State from Tigray he began a tradition of Shoa Amhara dominance that still existed up until the 1991 revolution. The nineteenth century was a time of great expansion and increased centralization in Ethiopia. It is noteworthy that Ethiopia is the only state south of the Sahara that successfully utilized classic techniques of imperialism and expansion through military conquest, and thus managed to determine its geographic boundaries free of colonial influence. The Emperor Menelik II ruled from 1880 – 1928. He successfully managed to combat Italian expansionism in Tigray by modernizing, enlarging, solidifying and centralizing his power. His defeat of the Italians at Adowa marked black Africa’s first major success in resistance to European colonialism.38 His conquests practically doubled the size of Ethiopia. Menelik brought in many European advisors to help train his armies as well as to assist him in building Ethiopia’s first relatively modern, centralized, ministerial government (based in Addis Ababa, the current capital). Unfortunately, he was a tyrannical ruler of those at the periphery whom he had recently conquered. Thus he left a more modern country, and one not ruled by the Europeans, but he also left a “turbulent legacy” due to his mistreatment of so many of his people.39 Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 31 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Menelik’s policies of internationalism and centralized government were continued and enlarged upon by Ethiopia’s next and last powerful emperor, Haile Selassie who succeeded Menelik II in 1928. It must still be emphasized that both Menelik and Haile Selassie used modern technology, central government and international ties primarily to solidify the power of their own ruling elite rather then to modernize the nation as a whole. It is true that Menelik and Haile Selassie did make certain strides towards reducing (but not eliminating) the regional autonomy that had plagued Ethiopia with internal disarray for centuries. By the early 1950’s the provincial feudal lords could no longer raise their own armies or collect services or taxes that were not approved by Haile Selassie. Haile Selassie, however, was not able to reduce regional, cultural, religious or linguistic differences and antagonisms. Equally importantly, he was only centralizing, but not trying to eliminate the feudal land system that was keeping Ethiopia from becoming a truly modern state.40 In 1974 the successful anti-government agitation of the small sector of Ethiopian society that Haile Selassie had managed to modernize and educate resulted in the downfall of the imperial regime. Urban workers, students and junior military officers had shown increasing support for the plight of the peasants since an aborted coup in 1960. Military leaders, led by Mengistu Haile Mariam, who felt that the ruling elite was responsible for Ethiopia’s lack of development led the 1974 revolution. The 1974 revolutionaries clearly called for agrarian reform from the outset. Though the new government, known as the Derg, espoused a Marxist philosophy it was a government that ruled very much from the top down. The Derg’s land reform policies did abolish the semi-feudal land tenure systems that fragmented Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 32 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA land and enabled a few wealthy landowners to dominate the poor peasant class. However, the new government implemented land policies bound the people to a supreme ruler (Mengistu).41 The Derg’s brutal military rule was under constant attack from various groups including Eritrean rebels, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front, the Oromo Liberation Front, and the Somali Republic. Because of the regime’s Marxist philosophy it was aided by Cuba and the USSR in these conflicts and thereafter “remained firmly in the communist camp for the rest of the Cold War.”42 Fighting was especially fierce in the 1980s. Hundreds of thousands of people were killed and many communities were devastated. Several thousand Ethiopians with money or education fled to Northern countries leaving the country with a shortage of skilled labor, a loss from which the country still has not recovered. After years of civil war a coalition of Tigrayans, Ertireans, and unhappy Amhara from other regions formed and called themselves the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF). Their goal was to overthrow the Derg regime and turn Ethiopia into a federation in which any region was allowed to leave at any time. The EPRDF took power in 1991 and with the participation of many other parties adopted a temporary constitution guaranteeing human rights and democracy. Although violent skirmishes continued between various political parties for some years, a new constitution was finally adopted in 1994 and a national election was held. The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia was born with a bicameral legislature and President Meles Zenawi at the helm. But the Country’s Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 33 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA violent history of domination and ethnic conflict still cast its shadow over the promise of this new age of democracy and equality. Regional Conflicts Whether the new government successfully implements any of its development plans, or succeeds at all, depends on its ability to avoid the constant possibility of an outbreak of violence between the state and the many ethnic groups that live within and around the country of Ethiopia. Many of these latent (or overt) conflicts have been brewing for centuries and though the 1994 constitution attempts to address the problem, the depth of the antagonisms may be such that only constant attention to peacemaking could avert the inevitable outbreaks of violence. During the latest violent conflict with Eritrea (1999 – 2000) the Government dropped its focus on its development agenda, reforms either slowed or were delayed, “the fiscal deficit rose to nearly 11.6 percent while international reserves fell to 2 months of import cover, . . . investor confidence fell, and the private sector faced significant shortages of foreign exchange.”43 In effect, this violent conflict destroyed the Country’s development agenda and if another outbreak of violence occurs the development will halt or even regress again. Below are descriptions and brief histories of some of Ethiopia’s most incendiary situations. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 34 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Friction with the Somalis and Somalia The majority of the people who live in the Ethiopian State of Somali are ethnic Somalis who look more to Somalia as their government than Ethiopia. They have little sense of loyalty to Ethiopia and a movement towards independence or allegiance with Somalia would not be unlikely.44 Somalia has a “Greater Somalia” policy of expanding its territories to include areas in Ethiopia, Kenya and Djibouti, which are largely populated by ethnic Somali. This policy has erupted in armed hostilities against Ethiopia in the early 1960s and the Somali invasion of 1977-1978 that brought massive Soviet military aid and Cuban troops in response to Ethiopian requests for aid. Somalia’s regional threat led to the conclusion of a mutual defense treaty between Ethiopia and independent Kenya in late 1963. Ethiopia has also vowed to protect the small state of Djibouti from Somali intentions to annex it. Ethiopia has a special interest in maintaining good relations with Djibouti since this nation’s port supplies many goods (and occasionally relief aid) to Ethiopia through a direct railroad line from Port Djibouti to Addis Ababa.45 Ethiopia has repeatedly sent its troops into Somalia without permission since 1996 to oppress Ethiopian-Somali and Oromo groups hostile to the EPRDF. Thus, tensions could easily escalate between the Ethiopian State and Ethiopian Somalis or Somalia. Relations With Sudan Ethiopia’s relations with Sudan, with which it shares its longest border, are perhaps the most complicated. Ethiopia’s refugees from drought and the secessionist war in Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 35 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Eritrea often flee to Sudan where they have become a tremendous economic strain to the Sudanese. Also, Israel had used Ethiopia to push aid through to the rebels in southern Sudan. This led to each country accusing the other of harboring elements intent on hostilities against the other. Sudan charged that Ethiopian forces have shelled Sudanese villages in pursuit of Eritrean guerrillas.46 After an assassination attempt on Egyptian President, Hosni Mubarak, in Addis Ababa, relations with Sudan have been weak. This was worsened when Ethiopia promoted a UN sanction against Sudan. The bad blood between these two nations could easily erupt into war if sufficiently provoked. Ethiopia and Eritrea The Eritreans, though sharing the same ethnic background as the Ethiopian Tigrayans and Amhara, do not consider themselves to be Ethiopians and have a very strong sense of Eritrean national identity. This sense of a separate history and destiny probably comes from the period in Eritrean history when the Italians ruled the region. In 1952, Ethiopia was federated with Eritrea under British mandate and in 1962 Haile Selassie incorporated the Eritrean State, putting it fully under Ethiopian control. From that point on the Eritreans developed a strong separatist movement. The Eritrean People’s Liberation Front was among the strongest opponents of the Derg regime, unhappy with Mengistu’s particular form of oppression, but also struggling against Ethiopian control of any kind. Although they were a major part of the efforts to overthrow Mengistu’s government, they continued to fight for independence even after the 1991 revolution. In 1993 Eritrea declared independence from Ethiopia and formed an independent nation. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 36 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA There is still a great deal of contention between the Eritreans and the Ethiopians over specific territory demarcation. In 1998 growing economic tensions and clashes at the border grew into another war causing mass mobilization of military forces on both sides. Along with thousands of casualties and injuries and huge military expenditures that could have been used for development, during the Ethiopian/Eritrean war the EPRDF expelled approximately 63,000 of its own citizens to Eritrea on the grounds that they presented a security threat because of family ties with Eritrea. This has caused tens of thousands of other Ethiopians of Eritrean origin to flee to OECD countries.47 Though a peace treaty was signed in May, 2000 establishing a UN buffer force and border limits, tensions are still extremely high and it will take a great deal of effort to create a sustained peace between these two countries. The Discontents of the Oromo There is an ongoing dispute between the Amhara and the Oromo, Ethiopia’s largest ethnic group. The Oromo have always been marginalized by the various rulers of Ethiopia and have stored up a great deal of resentment. Their efforts played a major role in the overthrow of the Derg and they had great hopes of finally playing a leadership role in the new government. But during the first years of the new government the Tigrayans, who had managed to take charge of the revolutionary forces, excluded the Oromo from a top decision making role. In 1995 the Oromo People’s Democratic Organization withdrew from the government in protest. Issues between the Tigrayans and the Oromo are still unresolved and could lead to problems in the future. A civil war between the Oromo and the Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 37 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Tigrayans would likely lead to large losses of life and injuries and because of the Oromo’s lack of resources, they might be devastated. Conflict Overview Ethiopia’s answer to its internal conflict problem is its constitution, providing for a loose federation of ethnically divided regions. The hope is that by allowing each ethnic group a great deal of autonomy and empowerment some of the friction between these groups and the central government will be resolved. But the problem with having a loose federation of ethnically divided regions with little emphasis placed on a national identity or national leadership is that not everyone belongs to the dominant group within a locality or region. What happens to those Ethiopians of mixed ethnicity, or who are far from their birthplace, or who are established minorities living among the dominant group of the region? Can conflict be avoided when there is a greater emphasis placed on the differences and independence of groups than on the common road ahead as Ethiopians? Of course these are questions that all diverse nations must face and in the case of Ethiopia only time will give us an answer. The issue is likely to become more focused since the peace treaty has been signed with Eritrea. The Economist Intelligence Unit reports that since the war with Eritrea has ended and attention can be focused inward, “recent criticism of the government has expanded to include the fact that social indicators in Ethiopia are lower than the sub-Saharan average. The government may also face further scrutiny of its counter-insurgency campaign against Oromo rebels.”48 The threat of external conflicts for Ethiopia is also huge and must be focused upon. With hostile neighbors on almost every side, can the Government afford to Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 38 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA cut down on its military spending? The country learned from past history with Western countries that they can only be depended upon as allies if the conflict is of strategic concern to them. Though diverting development funds to military expenditures would seem to be a tragedy, significant attention and resources must be given to developing peaceful relations between Ethiopia and its neighbors. In some instances Ethiopia may have more success keeping those peaceful relations when the neighbors know that Ethiopia is negotiating from a position of military strength. Again, these are not questions unique to Ethiopia; the debate over how much to spend on military preparation is extremely contentious even in the United States. Ethiopia’s Regional Perspective and Its Constitution Beyond the issues of outright conflict, the federal government of Ethiopia must try to implement its Poverty Reduction Strategy in an environment that is very hostile towards centralized decision making. Added to the country’s historically based distaste for a strong central government (see the above section describing the history of the State), the very geography of Ethiopia does not lend itself to a united state. The steep mountains of the central highlands, the lack of navigable rivers leading into Ethiopia and the foreboding desert of the coastal area has served as an insurmountable obstacle to the various leaders who sought to unify the country. Therefore a regional insularity exists that has allowed Ethiopians to develop or Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 39 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA preserve a multitude of languages, religions and ethnic groups, some of which are discussed above. Born of this regional perspective and the past wrongs of heavy handed rulers who disregarded the rights of the many different peoples that live within the borders of Ethiopia, the 1994 Constitution created a very loose federation of states and a weak central state. The key emphasis of the new Constitution is equitable development of all regions of the country and devolution of power to the regions and below. This emphasis is absolutely imperative to the development of peaceful relations between the dissident groups and regions of Ethiopia, but it also leads to structural inefficiencies which could get in the way of a successful implementation of the State’s proposed I-PRSP. The Constitutional Framework The 1994 Constitution provides for four tiers of government, the Federal Government, regional governments, zone governments, and finally woredas and special woredas. “The woredas, which on average cover 100,000 people, are considered to be the key local units of government.”49 Below the woreda level are small electoral units known as kebeles. There are nine states (Tigray, Afar, Amhara, Oromiya, Somali, Beneshangul, SNNP, Gambella, and Harari) and, holding the same status as a state, two special city administrations representing the country’s two largest cities, Addis Ababa and Dire Dawa. Below the states there are sixty-six zones and below the zones, 556 woredas and special woredas.50 Municipalities fall outside of this structure and are Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 40 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA structured from rules derived in the 1940s. (There will be further discussion of the governance of municipalities below.) Each level of government is composed of a legislative body, a court system, and a number of sector-specific administrative institutions that constitute the executive branch. The executive branch of the federal government is made up of a President and a Prime Minister who heads up the Council of Ministers. The Council of Ministers is in charge of monetary policy, foreign relations, defense, etc. The Councils also undertake research, collect data and provide technical assistance and advice to their regional counterparts. The Federal Supreme Court has the highest judicial power over federal matters and is the court of final appeal for regional cases.51 Though there is a Federal Constitution and a Supreme Court, the regions are given substantial autonomy to develop their own state constitution and laws. States have a great deal of responsibility, including: collecting certain taxes (though the majority of taxes are collected by the Federal Government); designing standards for state civil service conditions and pay; keeping state level security forces; and most importantly working with the zones and woredas underneath them to develop the statewide budget, and through that instrument, allocating federal block grants. Each state has a number of sectoral bureaus including Finance, Planning, Agriculture, Education, Health, Roads, and Women’s Bureaus. The zonal level has a parallel structure. Below the zones are the woredas. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 41 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Constitutionally, woredas, the lowest level of elected, full-time government (covering roughly 100,000 people) are the most important unit of sub national government. They consist of an elected council, a president chosen from among the council, and a set of sectoral offices. In most cases, these sectoral offices serve as implementing agencies and contact points with the communities rather than development policy planners. Within woredas, communities organize themselves into kebeles, peasant associations, and other community groups. Kebeles usually have an elected leader and a small council, but these officers are not part of the paid, full-time government structure and usually have shorter terms than higher-level officials.52 Budget planning begins at the woreda level where priorities and goals are identified and then passed on to the regional governments. The regional governments then fit that information into the budget limits that the federal government gives them. As mentioned above, the Federal Government has the greatest power of taxation in the country. For example, “in 1997-98 the federal government collected 82 percent of the aggregate tax revenue and 83 percent of the aggregate non-tax revenue.”53 But this revenue is largely distributed to the regions in the form of unrestricted block grants, and the states then distribute the funds based on the budgets they developed with the zones and woredas. Government transfers in Ethiopia are in the form of unconditional block grants from the federal government to the regions. The size of the grants are determined by: “(i) the region’s population share; (ii) its index of a set of development indicators relative to the national index; and (iii) the region’s projected share of revenue in its budget relative to the planned performance of all other regions.”54 The relative weights of the three factors are 60, 25 and 15 percent, respectively. The development index is based on: education level, health sector indicators, road density, electricity consumption, water supply and telephone coverage. The block Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 42 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA grants are offset by any international aid that goes to a region so that “the overall resources – domestic and foreign – available to the country are shared in accordance with the national priorities, rather than being decided by the donor community.”55 The state’s budgets must include most of the country’s spending on social and economic development programs, thus the bulk of the programs suggested in the I-PRSP are planned at the woreda level, and funded at the state level through federal tax revenues distributed in block grants. This block grant system was devised to create the most equitable system to distribute resources as possible, so that the poorest regions can benefit from any extra wealth generated in some of the more prosperous regions, and so that the more prosperous regions will not have too much of an unfair advantage. Though certainly equitable, the downside is that there are significant inefficiencies built into the system. (The issue of offsetting block grants by the amount of international aid donations will be addressed in the international aid section below.) One of the inefficiency problems inherent in this system is caused by the extreme vertical fiscal imbalance created by the disparity between revenue means and expenditure needs at various levels of government. (The federal government raises the largest amount of taxes while the regional governments spend the most government revenues.) “Because the costs of public expenditure are not fully internalized by the regions and are supported by transfers from other parts of the country, there is a reduced incentive to provide public services in an efficient manner.”56 For example, a region is incentives to wait for Federal dollars to build a school even when they have internal capabilities to finance the construction. There Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 43 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA would be much less local tax burden if the regional government waited to build, but building now might be the most efficient and effective choice in terms of development needs and priorities for the region. Another component of this issue of vertical fiscal imbalance is that the system does not create an incentive for regional governments to raise their own tax revenues, leading to further reliance on federal tax dollars and subsequently lower efficiency. One of the biggest obstacles to implementation of the I-PRSP inherent in Ethiopia’s regionalized system of government is that local priorities can differ significantly from state priorities and from federal priorities. Obviously this is the benefit of the system as well, because local needs are more likely to be voiced and met, and local discontents are more likely to be resolved. But when development goals written at the federal level are to be implemented at the local level and differences in priorities become apparent, the process can be stalled. “For example, recently one zone wanted to allocate its entire budget to roads – at the cost of neglecting schools, health institutions, and agriculture programs. Yet another zone wished to build a sports stadium. However, through persuasion, regional officials were able to change their plans.”57 It could be argued that these local governments really know what is best for them to develop. Perhaps without roads, the locality in the example above would find all the other services useless. And perhaps a sports stadium really was the best development choice for the other locality in the example. With this in mind, how does a country submit a coherent poverty reduction strategy for the world to review if each locality has different goals and strategies? Or is the problem not in the regionalized nature of Ethiopia’s constitution, but in the Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 44 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA expectation that a country would have one set of development goals and one strategy for achieving them? Another example of a problem discrepancy between local goals and methods and federal goals is the failure of the National Policy for Women. As previously discussed in the poverty section, the 1993 National Policy for Women seeks to ensure equal access for men and women to the country’s resources, that all laws, regulations and policies guarantee equality of women and men, and that women are actively involved in development interventions. While this seems like a worthy initiative and implies a highly progressive development agenda, the fact is that at the local level those in power do not see this policy as a priority, or even desirable. And, because of the nature of the Constitution, the Federal Government cannot truly impose its policy priorities onto the local level. As a result, regional Women’s Affairs Bureaus are effectively useless, regional development plans neither include initiatives focused on increasing the welfare of women nor include women in the development of the plan, and for the most part, women are still abiding by Customary Law which recognizes few rights for women. So how can Ethiopia’s decentralized government hope to change ingrained practices that work against poverty reduction (such as discrimination of women) if there is not a desire at the local level to make that change? Or, on a broader level, what happens when local and federal spending priorities are different? Right now there appears to be a strong consensus (except on the issue of the National Policy for Women) among stakeholders about what spending priorities should be: roads, health, education, water supply and agricultural development. With this consensus it Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 45 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA works fairly well to allocate unrestricted block grants. But historically, most systems like this breakdown such that the regions become competitive and have priorities that differ from the federal priorities. In these cases it may be better to institute incentive based conditional grants. It may also be effective to create an independent board in charge of monitoring the fairness of block grant distribution.58 But the question of whose priority is the correct one is still not answered. (In fact, in a complex world there seems to be no one correct priority, bringing us to planning’s postmodern dilemma – how to allocate resources when there is no one most effective, efficient answer.) Does one prefer tyranny from above (when the federal government’s priorities are at the expense of the majority of the poor, as it was during the rule of Mengistu or Haile Selassie), or tyranny from below (when the majority of the poor hold beliefs that undermine the development of the country as a whole, as in the case of their resistance to the National Policy for Women)? We are not certain. And finally we are back to the bottom line issue of equity versus efficiency. The reason why the Constitution has devolved power to the degree that it has is so that a greater degree of equity will be achieved than has been in the past. And even on the most local levels, there seems to be a general priority for equity over efficiency. (Though it is equity for those in power at the local level. While this is better than in the past when local leadership was largely ignored, there are still marginalized groups at the local level, the largest of which is women.) Many of the budget priorities initiated at the woreda level attempt to address the most urgent needs without thought to efficient development time frames (for example building an Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 46 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA expensive clinic before roads accessing it have been built so that the clinic cannot be used to full capacity). Nor have localities tended to focus on obtaining the highest marginal return in terms of the overall development plan. “Several regions have begun to use their own five-year development plans, but progressively each individual year’s budget appears to be influenced more by the project wish-list emerging from the bottom-up budgeting process than by realistic assessments of the relative costs and feasibility of expanding coverage to a particular area.”59 So development is not moving forward at the speed that it could nor are development plans being as effectively implemented as they could. But in the case of Ethiopia, is there a better choice to be made? Due to egregious past wrongs committed by the federal government such as the practical enslavement of some ethnic groups during the feudal system before the Derg, if a priority is not placed on equity nothing but further conflict can. On the other hand, letting development move forward any slower than it must, and as a result letting millions of people suffer the horrors of poverty longer than absolutely necessary is wrong. Ultimately, we believe that Ethiopia’s regional experiment was the only possible way to go considering the country’s history. But it will take many years before the issues outline above are resolved, and that time may be at the expense of efficient and speedy development. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 47 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Capacity Constraints The overarching issue of resources, or in the case of Ethiopia, the lack thereof, is another serious impediment to the State’s successful implementation of its poverty reduction strategy. How can a country hope to move itself out of the position of second poorest nation in the world, when it is precisely that position and the utter lack of resources which that position implies that will keep it from moving forward? It is incorrect to say that Ethiopia lacks every kind of resource; it is in fact well endowed in natural resources and cultural richness, and perhaps the country’s ability to tap those resources will be its way out of deepening poverty. But the country, and the government as a reflection of the country, is severely deficient in capital resources and skilled workers. In this section we will especially focus on Ethiopia’s shortage of skilled administrators, but we will also touch on resource constraints at the municipal level, resource constraints retarding the growth of the private sector, and on credit shortages and their impacts. We will also discuss Ethiopia’s system of land tenure , because while Ethiopia remains a rural country it will be its ability to become more productive in the agriculture sector that will increase the country’s resources, and land tenure is a key aspect of that growth in productivity. Administrative Capacity There is a shortage of skilled administrators, and the administrative capacity of local governments varies significantly by region. Developing greater administrative capacity is a major government priority. There is an ambitious Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 48 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA ongoing civil service reform program, but it will take many years to complete. At the regional level the greatest need is for improvement in low-level skills but most of the training efforts are focused at professional level training. There are two main training facilities, the Civil Service College and the Ethiopian Management Institute. There is not enough capacity in these institutions to fill the need for their graduates. For the poorest states, Afar, Somali, Gambella, and Beneshangul/Gamuz, there is an insufficient amount of federal support for administrative capacity building. These states receive more money per person in block grants than the wealthier states, but because their administrative capacity is so weak, they are effectively unable to use these resources to the same advantage as the wealthier states. Thus, because of regional differences in administrative capacity resources are effectively unequally distributed, despite the government’s intentions. To improve the civil servants’ administrative capacity the government needs to focus on changing and improving the culture of the civil service as well as improving workers’ skills. “During the Derg era, the civil service became increasingly unresponsive to citizens’ needs. Accordingly, it lost the habit of even recognizing people’s problems, let alone formulating an adequate response.”60 Also, as regional governments’ are given control over substantial resources, the risk of corruption increases. Though it is suggested that thus far Ethiopia’s culture does not accept corrupt behavior and there are systems in place to encourage discipline and transparency.61 There are changes that could be made to further discourage corruption, for instance civil service pay could be raised and duties, rights and obligations and disciplinary procedures could be made clearer.62 Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 49 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA There has been significant work done to improve the state of the civil service and some progress has been made. In 1994/95, the government established a task force (consisting of 23 senior officials) to undertake a comprehensive evaluation of the civil service, based on the premise that pay and employment reforms alone would not lead to the desired improvement in civil service performance. The task force’s final report identified weaknesses and proposed solutions in the following areas: (1) expenditure management and control; (2) human resources management, (3) services delivery; (4) top management systems; and (5) ethics. A theme unifying all these areas was the need for capacity building at the federal, regional, and sub regional levels. Based on the recommendations of the report as well as a major contribution from the World Bank, particularly in the area of expenditure management and control, the government approved the Civil Service Reform Program (CSRP) in March 1996.63 Most of the progress made has been in improving expenditure management and control through the development of a legal framework for management of financial resources and improved accounting procedures. Human resource management strategies to increase productivity were developed in 1999, but have not yet been implemented. In addition to the shortage of skilled administrators, there are other capacity problems that limit the ability of localities, regions and the federal government to communicate effectively. These problems are largely caused by poorly functioning infrastructure, such as telephones, roads, computers, and fax machines. There are plans to improve these facilities, but it will take considerable time, and resources to do so. Resource Constraints of Municipalities Municipalities, the body that governs urban areas and small towns (other than Addis Ababa and Dire Dawa), are not directly provided for in the 1994 constitution. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 50 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Regional governments have some responsibility to provide for municipalities, but the rules are very unclear as to what the relationship between the two entities is. The main sources of revenues for municipalities are internal rather than grants from the regional government’s block grant. Municipalities’ raise revenues from land rents and building taxes, licenses on trades and professions, market fees, and fees for municipal services.64 But these sources rarely cover their needs. They often do not have the capacity to provide essential services, e.g. provision of roads and bridges, markets and transport terminals, public hygiene, water supply, sewerage and solid waste management, fire and ambulance services and street lighting. Like all of the other government sectors, municipalities also suffer from shortages of human resources. Though Ethiopia is among the least urbanized countries in Africa, this lack of funding causes significant problems for the country’s development plans. Weak municipalities cripple agricultural development, private sector development, and distort growth in the biggest cities. In the I-PRSP there is a focus on agricultural development, but the success of agricultural programs depends in some part on the functioning urban centers which act as centers of communication and transport for their region. “Nurturing rural-urban linkages is thus a key component of a successful local economic development strategy.” 65 The development of these urban centers is also important to stimulate private sector development for obvious reasons. One of the most important parts of a strong municipality’s role, in private sector development and development in general, is as a center for civil society. If functioning properly, urban centers are the meeting Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 51 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA points for various groups of people (e.g. trade organizations, community organizations and NGOs). It is important that there be a strong and well-functioning municipal government not only to provide the necessary services to create this important space, but to act as a liaison between these civil society groups and government. And it is important to develop smaller municipalities so that the larger cities do not experience excessive population growth and economic pressure. There are institutional changes that could be made to strengthen the role of municipal governments and to funnel more regional block grant money towards these institutions, but without these changes, the poor state of municipalities could act as a barrier to private sector growth and agricultural development. Credit Shortage Another resource constraint that threatens to cause considerable problems for regional governments and their development initiatives is the countrywide scarcity of credit and bank coverage. To deal with the credit shortage a new scheme was developed in 1997 such that “the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE) and the Development Bank of Ethiopia (DBE) provide credit to small farmers with guaranteed payback by the regional governments.”66 While this program has made significant progress in making credit available to small farmers, there are several major problems with the program. The first problem is that most of the lending has been in the Amhara, Oromiya and SNNP regions, leaving the poorest regions with the least access to credit.67 This regional disparity runs counter to the Constitution’s aim to create an equal playing field for the various regions of Ethiopia. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 52 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA The second problem is that this credit scheme places a huge contingent liability on the backs of the regional governments. “The fact that regions use their annual budgets as collateral for the loans exposes government programs to the risk of crop failure, natural disaster, or other widespread default by the farmers. Moreover, regional governments are not adequately compensated for this risk; they collect 1.5 percent interest rate on the collateral posted, and this is often delayed due to poor accounting systems.”68 Though it is difficult to measure the risk this system poses, there could be major problems for the regional governments in the future if these liabilities are realized. Local Private Sector Development Developing the nascent private sector has been a major priority for Ethiopia’s Federal Government but the process is moving extremely slowly. “The government’s announced strategy towards private sector development comprises (i) capacity building at the government level, (ii) reform of the institutional/regulatory environment and (iii) development of entrepreneurs’ skills.” 69 A number of initiatives have been developed as part of this strategy, for instance, in 1998 the government adopted an Export Development Strategy and consultations have begun with the WTO to prepare for Ethiopia’s accession. Also the government set up The Export Promotion Council as a forum for consultation between the administration and exporters. So far private operators say “meetings were helpful to solve firm-specific problems and issues could be freely discussed.”70 In general, private sector capacity is very limited. Privatization strategies are difficult to implement because in the poorest regions the private sector does not Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 53 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA have the capacity to provide most services such as public health, education, clean water, housing, food, social security, and physical infrastructure, even if government contracts were awarded to it. According to the World Bank’s Ethiopian Regionalization Study, “the main obstacles to private sector development appear to be (a) a lack of access to credit (or other means) to finance the large initial investments, and (b) an inadequate scale of operations ”71 Along with capacity constraints, government’s ability to promote private sector development is hindered by lingering elements of the civil service culture from the Derg era. Many civil servants are still distrustful and hostile towards the private sector and “the general business environment is still unfriendly to the private sector, and even more biased against non-traditional exports.”72 For example, infrastructure is often too inadequate to support many business needs, and regulators and regulations are often unclear and contradictory. This brings us back to the issue of the government’s administrative capacity and the great need for retraining. As with many issues in Ethiopia, here there seems to be a system of circular and cumulative causation working in a negative direction. Though there is a great deal more to be said about private sector development and privatization, due to our own time constraints we are not going to focus further on this issue. Foreign Direct Investment and Privatization (Written by Laura Benson) Since the local business community has limited capital, experience, and capacity to develop the market economy quickly, the Ethiopian government has sought to attract foreign firms to buttress development. Privatization has been an ideal mechanism to attract foreign investment through the sale of government owned Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 54 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA enterprises. For the highly indebted government of Ethiopia, the sale of public assets has provided cash to finance debt and allocate for infrastructure projects and social service programs. Foreign firms offer access to capital and international business networks, broad managerial experience, operational and technical expertise, and economies of scale that more efficiently allocate and augment the limited resources of the local economy. Ethiopia’s I-PRSP articulates a strong commitment to attracting foreign assets, stating that it will “remove any hindrances of access to foreign collaboration and financing….(and) remove and amend regulatory impediments which hinder private sector development.”73 The government has begun to allow foreign investors to participate in several previously closed sectors, such as telecommunications, hydroelectric projects, and the defense industry, through privatization in the form of public-private partnerships.74 Absent from Ethiopia’s I-PRSP was mention of the government’s changing role from owner-manager to regulator of utilities. As the government relinquishes operational and managerial control of public enterprises used to produce or distribute public goods, such as water, electricity, or telecommunications, there will be a demand for government regulation and oversight to ensure that firms meet the parameters of the contract. Constructing an adequate policy environment, training regulators, and getting the commitment of all political parties for this task are essential, but were not mentioned as a part of the I-PRSP. Trust between the government and the investors, backed by a strong legal system with intrinsic anticorruption measures, is key to ensure the long-term sustainability and success of privatization. The need to create a forum for workers and the public to express their Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 55 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA concerns about utility privatization also needs to be addressed since enterprise restructuring will impact the current workforce. The government must remember that “privatization is not a substitute for responsible, redistributive welfare policies” and that its “promotion of competition as a part of the privatization process is the most likely determinant of whether the poor benefit from reforms.”75 The inclusion of a third party, identified as Price Waterhouse Coopers in the I-PRSP, in developing competitive bidding documents for the telecommunications sector reform is a good first step. However, the failure of the Ethiopian Privatization Agency, the government’s privatization unit, to attract substantial foreign investment in the privatization of over 200 small to medium size firms to date brings us to question the extent to which the process has included competitive bidding or has been adequately marketed outside of the country. To attract capital, managerial talent, and technical expertise from abroad, the government must pay careful attention to the investment needs of foreign firms and consider these when writing the PRSP. The Center for International Private Enterprise has identified 12 investment criteria considered by foreign firms when choosing to locate operations or to invest in a region. The country should be characterized by favorable conditions in the following areas: (1) local market characteristics, (2) market access, (3) labor force, (4) currency risk, (5) capital repatriation, (6) protection of intellectual property rights, (7) trade policies, (8) government regulation, (9) tax rates and incentives, (10) political stability, (11) macroeconomic policy framework, and (12) infrastructure/support services. The lack of intellectual property rights, a state controlled banking system, weak infrastructure, Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 56 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA low skilled workers and political instability will continue to deter foreign investment and for good reason. For example, following the Ethiopian-Eritrean conflict “the Ethiopian government deported tens of thousands of people identified as Eritrean nationals and in many cases confiscated their property to pay for outstanding loans.” Furthermore, the government forced many of these individuals to sell their homes, but did not allow them to repatriate proceeds from the sales.76 While the Ethiopian government claims to want to attract foreign resources to more rapidly grow the economy and alleviate poverty, as stated in its I-PRSP, a more careful discussion is needed around the attraction of foreign firms and the privatization process for private sector development. Land Tenure As Ethiopia is largely a rural country and its two most important assets are land and livestock the most immediate way for the country to produce more revenue to help address some of the capacity problems listed above is to make it’s agriculture sector become more productive. This is what the Federal Government hopes to do. As described below in the I-PRSP section, one of the major initiatives of the I-PRSP is the Agricultural Development Led Industrialization Strategy (ADLI). The success or failure of this endeavor is closely related to the land tenure system. Ethiopia’s system of land tenure has a long history of being very exploitative of the poor. Before Colonel Mengistu came into power it was essentially a feudal system in which the farmers who worked the land were practically slaves to the landholders, usually the Church or the Aristocracy. There was very little incentive for laborers to care for their land or develop more productive farming practices. Under Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 57 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Mengistu’s Marxist-Leninist regime the government enacted various land reforms that basically dismantled the old feudal system. Under the Derg’s system, land was nationalized and a hierarchical network of peasant and urban dweller associations were established, known as kebeles. Mengistu’s regime also nationalized commercial farms and created peasant collectives. Though the 1994 Constitution is no longer Marxist, it still provides for state ownership of both rural and urban land. Ownership of rural and urban land is vested exclusively in the state and in the people of Ethiopia, and is not subject to sale or other means of exchange. Customary tenure not only persists but is still by far the majority form of tenure. The persistence of untitled occupancy has come to represent the single most important problem facing the current tenure reform in the region. One of the problems with the current situation is that large portions of State owned lands have been turned into reserves when that land had been an important resource base for poor farmers. Another problem, described in the gender subsection of the poverty section, is that Customary tenure often excludes women’s rights to land. Nevertheless, a real shift in the balance of interests and powers in property matters from center to the periphery and from state to people is underway. There are still difficult problems to be resolved, especially the issue of the inequitable distribution of land on a gender basis. The Constitution provides equal rights to women for the use, transfer, administration and control of land. Though in practice women’s rights to land are very limited. The federal government has the power to enact laws for the use and protection of land and other natural resources, but the responsibility for administering land rests with the regional states. As we Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 58 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA discussed above in the section describing the Constitution, localities often follow Customary Law, which, in the case of land tenure, usually results in women not having their own rights to land. The table below illustrates that women are only a small percentage of landholders in Ethiopia. Patterns of Landholding in Ethiopia, by Region and Gender, 1995 Male Female Total Number Percent Number Percent Number of holders Amhara 2,538,810 2,139,600 83 444,200 17 Afar 28,260 26,050 92 2,210 8 Oromiya 3,312,930 2,751,100 83 561,830 17 Gambella 23,870 18,700 78 5,170 22 Southern 1,960,410 1,615,800 82 344,610 18 Source: Central Statistical Authority, 1996 Women’s Affairs Office, Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia Region Difference male and female (percentage 66 84 66 56 64 If the Country expects to maximize the productivity of its land and reduce poverty, it will need to allow women the right to control the land they farm. The Country is seeing increasing numbers of women headed households, but most either have no control of land or have smaller plots than men. If these women headed households had access to more land, they would likely be less vulnerable to poverty. Also, as illustrated in the gender subsection of the poverty section, women tend to work longer hours than men within the household. More land rights they would likely give them greater incentive to increase the productivity of their agriculture related labors so that they and their children could reap the rewards. Another impediment to greater productivity in the agricultural sector is the large number of very small discontinuous plots of land that the poorest farmers work. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 59 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA This is a difficult problem to solve as privatizing land could lead to a system of consolidated land-holdings controlled by large-landholders and farmed by landless workers, much like the feudal system in place before the Derg. Perhaps giving more incentives for farmers to form cooperatives or making it easier for these very poor farmers to get access to the resources offered in the agricultural extension programs could make a difference. Again, due to time constraints we have not been able to explore the issue of land tenure to the degree that we would wish. Clearly, though, this issue is of paramount importance to poverty reduction and the creation of wealth and resources for Ethiopia. For the State to succeed in its development goals significant attention should be given to formulating a more thoughtful policy on land distribution and rights. State Wrap-up The State of Ethiopia has proposed a massive and admirable poverty reduction strategy. Considering the horrible poverty under which so many of the Country’s people live, it is of the utmost importance that the State succeeds in achieving its development goals. But because of the State’s history of conflict, oppression and shortages its challenges are huge. If it hopes to achieve success, the State and the NGOs and international organizations with which the state works must focus attention and resources on peace making. In a state of war there is no way the State can focus its limited resources on poverty alleviation. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 60 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA There also needs to be a thoughtful analysis of the resources required to achieve the State’s goals so that initiatives that are impossible to implement are either recognized as impossible or resources are directed to the appropriate places so that they can be implemented. And finally, the issue of participatory planning is of the utmost importance because of Ethiopia’s decentralized constitutional structure. The Federal Government cannot plan from the top down because it is so decentralized, so any plans that are made must include a huge amount of buy-in from the masses, which means that they should probably be formulated from the bottom up. For this process to succeed a strong civil society must be in place to act as a means for the will of the people to be directed and communicated to the State. In the following pages we outline the current state of civil society in Ethiopia and its ability to play this important role in the Country’s development. V. CIVIL SOCIETY W e are motivated by a refusal to accept unacceptable concrete realities of our region, in which so many people are today unable to achieve their basic aspirations and fulfill their most elementary needs”.77 The InterAfrica Group The input of civil society actors on areas that effect their livelihood is increasingly become the norm. However, in countries that were formally socialist, such as Ethiopia, the transition to a fully participatory state has been slow. Our findings indicate that change is emerging, civil society is gaining space for public Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 61 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA dialog, but much more remains to be accomplished if the PRSP is going to be successful. 78This section provides a critical analysis of civil society in Ethiopia and highlights challenges that may inhibit the PRSP. The analysis begins with a definition and brief overview of civil society in Ethiopia. This will lead into a specific examination of contemporary civil society actors including 1) self-help organizations, 2) NGOs, 3) development associations, 4) umbrella organizations and 5) emerging organizations. Thereafter we will provide information on the involvement of two NGOs in the PRSP process, effective civil society consultation, new paradigms and concerns. The purpose is for this document to serve as a practical tool in the dialog and practice of debt and poverty reduction, in solidarity with civil society in Ethiopia Defining Civil Society For the purpose of this paper we define “civil society” as non-state actors who act as counterparts to the state and the market with the goal of influencing policy. Ideally civil society is the vehicle to facilitate the goals of invisible and visible stakeholders. In practice, within the PRSP process civil society is an intersection of an arena between the state and the market for group input towards poverty reduction.79 However, given the large array of civil society stakeholders, their interest may conflict. Thus making it imperative that international aid donors and the states listen to voices that may have been traditionally disregarded. This will assist Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 62 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA in mitigating the internal ethnic and religious tensions within Ethiopian civil society.80 Civil society is composed of the following organizations listed below. Civil Society Organizations (CSOs): Community Based Organizations (CBOs) Self-help Organizations Social Movements Non-Governmental Organizations Charitable Organizations Religious Groups Corporate Foundations Academic Institutions Labor Unions Grassroots Associations Development Associations Overview of Civil Society in Ethiopia Ethiopia is composed of a vast array of people. The population of Ethiopia is approximately 61 million people. Sixty percent of the population is Christian, while nearly one-third is Muslim. The ethnic makeup is also broad with over eighty ethnic groups, of which two-thirds are Oromo and Amhara.81 Since the collapse of the Derg82 in 1991, the emergence of civil society in Ethiopia has proven fruitful, given that prior to this time formation of such groups were virtually prohibited. During the Derg’s tenure, from 1974-1991, the people of Ethiopia suffered immense poverty, as thousands were barely surviving. An estimated 200,00083 more people perished in the 1973-1974 famines. Furthermore, Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 63 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA large numbers of people were displaced by conflict, which compounded the dismal economic state of the country Without the assistance of the Christian Relief and Development Association (CRDA) during the 1973-1974 famine, more people would have undoubtedly perished. The CRDA was the first umbrella Non-Governmental Organization (NGO) in Ethiopia, which began with merely thirteen-member NGOs. Today their membership exceeds over 140 organizations, of which half are indigenous groups84. The development of the CRDA led to the emergence of a partnership with the government in the form of the Disaster Prevention and Preparedness Commission, in 1974. Today this commission is know as the Relief and Rehabilitation Commission (RRC). This partnership demonstrates that the state and civil society can work together. Given their expanded member base, the CRDA has transitioned into new roles, which we will examine, in the Contemporary Civil Society section. Unfortunately, another key period for the development of NGOs in Ethiopia was the 1984-1985 famine, which corresponded with conflicts.85 The relief efforts taking place in “Derg” controlled areas were composed primarily of International Non Governmental Organizations (INGOs)86. These INGOs had plenty of funding, and used locals primarily in subordinate roles. In the “Derg” territory, the INGOs instituted the traditional north-south NGO power paradigm, where the national and or local NGO is only a handmaiden to the larger international organization. This paradigm was precipitated by the international donors channeling funds only through NGOs since they viewed the Mengistu regime as corrupt. Moreover, the INGOs Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 64 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA reflected western ideology, but also a desperately needed lifeline because without their presence more lives would have been lost to famine. In non-Derg controlled areas locals played a startlingly different role. This role can undoubtedly be characterized as more instrumental, because locals were serving the most terrible, famine-ridden areas. Local organizations such as the Relief Society of Tigray (REST), Eritrean Relief Association (ERA) and the Oromo Relief Association (ORA) ensured that food and emergency goods reached the hardest hit areas. The relief work conducted by these three organizations was at a grass-roots level, without the assistance of the big INGOs. These local relief efforts formed bonds that cannot be learned or achieved via capacity building workshops and technical assistance programs alone. First hand contact with the people who were suffering coupled with the independence from outsiders led to these national NGOs being highly regarded, specifically for REST.87 Proceeding the downfall of the Derg in 1991, civil society overall in Ethiopia was weak. Except for those previously mentioned, most local NGOs were not strong since they had functioned primarily in the shadow of INGOs. This meant that directly after the fall of the Derg, it was difficult for the new local NGO community to establish themselves since they had a limited sphere of power, and thus influence. Jeffery Clark, with the NGO Civil Society Unit, Social Development Department at the World Bank characterized this new community as a group “with few resources, untrained staff, and limited exposure to the nonprofit world, many demonstrated minimal comprehension of their proper role. Despite sometimes marginal Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 65 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA effectiveness, however, the new NGOs were led by honest men and women sincere in their efforts to address the vast social needs of the country.”88 Due to the lack of professional expertise on the part of the local NGOs, the donors continued to reinforce the traditional north-south NGO division of labor. This meant that the power and capacity was not transferred to local (southern) NGOs from (northern) INGOs. Those local NGOs that developed and thrived were successful under the guise of political, social and ethnic tension. These power dynamics serve to further bifurcate the local NGOs and are compounded by the INGOs lack of commitment to forging partnerships with the local NGOs. The local NGOs were weak in the area of accounting, thus transcends into weak accountability. These dynamics between the INGOs, local NGOs and donors are in direct contrast to the solidarity paradigms, which we will discuss later as a means to reduce tension.89 . As the INGOs became increasingly imperative to maintain the livelihood of Ethiopians, the government began to question their strategy of operation. That is, were the INGOs simply propagating western ideology and welfare handouts to mitigate famines or did they have long-term visions for the people of Ethiopia? This crossroad led to a 1994 government survey of NGOs.90 Shortly thereafter the government instituted the Guidelines for NGO Operations in 1995, which requires NGOs to register and uphold government guidelines for development. The areas that the Ethiopian government sought fit for NGO operations include agriculture, education, health, gender, and famine relief when necessary, to name a few. Although, in 1995, the NGO communities working in Ethiopia were opposed to such Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 66 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA rules, this move by the government is now seen as innovative. The ERPDF government sought to move the development agenda and international aid donors along a directed course, instead of allowing it to weave its own irrational path. The downfall of the Guidelines for NGO Operations is the registration process is arduous. NGOs in Ethiopia now fall under the Ministry of Justice, but the day-today conduct is overseen by the Disaster Prevention Preparedness Commission (DPPC) and the Bureaus for Disaster Prevention and Preparedness (BDPP). There is much unnecessary bureaucracy within each of the three departments. In addition, each NGO must continue to seek approval of every project with the ministry in the respective regional government.91 Thus, what started out as an innovative concept has turned into a huge hindrance. The few resources that the state and NGOs have are now being used to push paper through a bureaucracy. This time and energy could be better spent doing hands-on work. However, without the government processes there is little or no way of assuring that the NGOs would adhere to the government’s development agenda. This is an example, of the contradictions and tensions that exist as developing countries such as Ethiopia seek to implement their own visions as a sovereign state, which may inhibit the PRSP. Local NGOs, INGOs and international aid donors must attempt to work in solidarity with the state to form an agenda, which include programs that work for the overall good of civil society. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 67 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Contemporary Civil Society Now that we have provided a general overview of civil society in Ethiopia we will begin to focus specifically on the contemporary makeup of civil society. Jeffery Clark characterized “civil society is increasingly vibrant and relevant to the nation’s political and economic revitalization. The private business sector is growing, academic freedom is returning to the institutions of higher learning, the media are slowly gaining creditability, and professional associations are again forming.” 92 Although there are several civil society actors in Ethiopia, we will briefly examine and highlight a few which fall within the following categories: (1) self-help organizations (2) NGOs: Local, National, and International (3) development associations (4) umbrella organizations (5) emerging organizations. 93 These are just a few examples of the key actors in Ethiopia’s civil society. The purpose of this examination is to better understand how Ethiopian civil society currently functions, thereby gaining insight into how these groups may impact the PRSP. Self-help Organizations The self-help organizations in Ethiopia tend to be ethnically based; a few of the most common are Debs, Ekub, Ezen and Idir. The Debs usually serve farmers; the Ekub is for “banking” purposes, but are also available to women; the Ezen assist during times of death, while the Idir tends to be multifaceted serving in the capacity as a community-based organization with total membership in the thousands throughout Ethiopia. These groups play critical roles in Ethiopian society, but their Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 68 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA role in the PRSP is not clearly definable since they tend to function in a vacuum. Self-help organizations are specific in their activities so their interests tend to be narrow, not broad with a poverty focus. Thus their role within the PRSP is not yet clear. NGOs: Local, National and International The number of NGOs is on the rise in Ethiopia. This is critical in the context of the PRSP process, because NGOs often represent and are composed of stakeholders in civil society. Since NGOs are often a vehicle for the voice of stakeholders in civil society, obtaining their input in the PRSP is a crucial element to its success. However, NGOs input must also be viewed within the confines of their role between the state and donors. The growth in the number of NGOs in Ethiopia is broad, containing not only the traditional International Non Governmental Organizations (INGOs), but also indigenous and national NGOs.94 INGOs have been involved in Ethiopia dating back to the 1973 famine in Welo and Trigray provinces.95 In 1998, two hundred forty NGOs located throughout the country were registered with the government. By 1999, this number had increased to nearly 310, of which approximately half are reported to be indigenous based.96 A significant number of other organizations are currently attempting to gain official government status as a recognized NGO. This growth is in tandem with the government’s acceptance of NGOs as a means to make positive systemic changes to Ethiopia’s development, not just provide famine relief. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 69 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA The information available on NGOs indicates that currently most NGOs are working in rural areas, where 85 percent97 of the population reside, while the national NGOs tend to be located in urban areas. However, no real comprehensive data exists on NGOs since the government is decentralized thus at this point the exact physical location of NGOs and projects cannot be pinpointed. In the context of the PRSP process this is of great concern, because without comprehensive knowledge of the geographic location of specific programs being conducted by the registered NGOs in Ethiopia how can the government obtain accurate, thorough information on successes or failures? Nor can the government pinpoint specifically were there are weaknesses and seek to target future NGO activities to those areas. It is generally known that local NGOs provide various services and programs ranging from addressing social issues such as street children to providing micro enterprise credit. The growth of micro enterprise credit as a poverty reduction tool is highlighted in the I-PRSP as means for farmers to obtain monies, but whether this translates into a real poverty reduction tool has yet to be determined. Yes, output in some agricultural products is up, but to what degree is this correlated to the micro enterprise credit schemes is difficult to measure? Furthermore, other factors such as the low price of coffee and the nationalization of land continue to inhibit the longterm viability of micro enterprise credit schemes that are tied to agriculture and export crops.98 There are also NGOs working on issues related to gender, but again the outcome of this work is difficult to quantify, especially when the federal, regional and local governments tend to drastically differ in their acknowledgment of women’s Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 70 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA rights. Additional analysis of gender and development is available in the Poverty section of this paper. The guidance of the Ethiopian government with the Guidelines for NGO Operation, has resulted in some INGOs aligning themselves with the national NGOs. Thus there is an emerging environment that is fostering the transfer of knowledge to locals. The key INGOs operating in Ethiopia includes CARE, Catholic Relief Services, World Vision, and Save the Children from the United States. Other INGOs also exist from Canada and various European countries. Increasingly, these INGO are working with grassroots organizations. This knowledge transfer builds the capacity of grassroots organizations, but a lot more remains to be accomplished for systemic change to take place. According to Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, INGOs “have to understand that they are here to work themselves out of a job someday. They must have an exist strategy.”99 By the government propagating this ideology, Ethiopia is setting a course to generate country owned strategies, which also is in line with the goals of the PRSR. In addition, the NGO community in Ethiopia came up with their own Code of Conduct for NGOs. This was to send a message to the government that the NGO community was responsible and could in fact regulate themselves as well as prove that umbrella NGOs are a necessity. The Code of Conduct for NGOs developed after extensive consultation with members of the NGO community. The Inter-Africa Group held a series of workshops on the role of NGOs. The CRDA also held workshops, but focused on principles and laws regulating NGOs.100 After several forms, workshops and discussions, at times Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 71 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA with over 200 NGO representatives present, the NGO Code of Conduct was eventually adopted in March 1999.101 This was a giant step on the part of the Ethiopia’s NGO community. It was the first time universal standards were agreed upon, coinciding with the overall shift in ideology from relief to long-term development. Moreover, the process itself of generating the NGO Code of Conduct was extremely beneficial since NGOs often have different completing interest. The NGO Code of Conduct proved that this segment of civil society can clearly and collectively articulate their own “best practices.” Thus, there is no reason why these same NGOs could not greatly participate in the PSRP process. Development Associations Another instrumental component of civil society in Ethiopia is development associations. The largest development associations are Amhara Development Association (ADA), Tigrayan Development Association (TDA) and the Oromo Development Association (ODA).102 These groups are usually ethically based and function to fill a role between the state and NGOs. Development associations obtain funding from their members as well as the government to conduct various development projects. The development associations have first hand contact with the people and thus can greatly influence a project’s success or failure. Having the development associations’ input in the PRSP process is crucial since they operate at the local and regional level, touching many lives daily. Umbrella Organizations Umbrella organizations in Ethiopia such as CRDA and Relief Society of Tigray (REST) appear to hold a significant concentration of power within Ethiopian Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 72 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA civil society. Since CDRA was the first umbrella NGO in Ethiopia, with membership of over 140 NGOs, it has the capacity to mobilize large amounts of people and capital. However, since the CDRA is a faith-based organization, originally organized by Catholic charities, it primarily serves its constituents who believe in Christian ideology. In addition, the dominance of INGOs in the CRDA creates a situation wherein, the original relief focus tends to cloud the “long-term development priorities and a more balanced relationship between local counterparts and the international NGOs…and frame some of the tensions found within the sector, and between the sector and the government.”103 The point being that INGOs can inhibit development. With the collapse of the Derg in 1991, the role of the CRDA was forced to change. Current efforts to build the capacity of local members are being implemented in their strategic plan. Increasingly the CRDA is becoming more of a locally run organization as is evident by their contribution to the NGO Code of Conduct and the PRSP process.104 The evolution of the CRDA demonstrates that they are setting themselves up to be a key player in the PRSP. REST, the humanitarian component of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), which developed out of the conflict with the Derg, was instrumental in crossboarder humanitarian relief. The unique role of REST during the famine, as an autonomous entity continuous as a part of their legacy as an independent organization today. REST is greatly respected because of their long-term commitment to the communities it serves. Today REST employees at least 1,000 people serving another 500,000 in the areas of the environment, agriculture, water management, emergency aid and micro enterprise credit.105 This is an example of Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 73 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA how grass-roots organizations can evolve and if desired, can have an impact on the PRSP. Emerging Organizations The emergence of organizations such as the Horn of African NGO Network for Development (HANND), Ethiopia Muslim Development Agency, InterAfrica Group illustrate that civil society is alive and growing in Ethiopia. In the context of the PRSP process this good news because without the emergence of new civil society organizations the PRSP process will be daunting. HANND began in December 1997, with 12 NGOs and is now a formal network of over 40 NGOs and other civil society actors. HANND, recently began to publish a bi-monthly newsletter, HANND Written, which focuses on “food security, peace and conflict, amplified civil society voices, capacity enhancement of the Horn of Africa NGOs and information and communication among civil society leaders in and beyond the region.”106 The HANND Written, January/February 2001, Volume 1, Issue 1, highlights important issues facing the region as well the emergence of other civil society organizations. HANND reviewed a report titled “Food Supply Situation and Crop Prospects for Sub-Saharan Africa,” which indicates that large amounts of food relief will be needed [this year] in Ethiopia due to drought and civil strife. This is of particular concern since the I-PRSP relies heavily on the ADLI, which focuses on agricultural export crops when domestically famine continues and is a constant threat. One positive highlight in HANND Written is the formation of the Ethiopian Muslim Development Agency (EMDA). The EMDA was founded in February 2001 Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 74 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA with more than 100 representatives from various sectors including the private sector, Ethiopian Islamic Affairs Council and NGOs. EMDA “was established with the mission of assisting the marginalized and poor people of Ethiopia in general and Muslim communities in particular through participatory projects and programs.” 107 The EMDA Five Year Strategic Plan focuses on poverty, HIV/AIDS, health services, and education. There are also regional plans to ensure food security and HIV/AIDS prevention. The growth of the Islamic based civil society organizations in the context of the PRSP should undoubtedly lead to more advocacy for those individuals not represented by organizations such as the CRDA. However, both the CRDA and EMDA are members of HANND, illustrating that civil society is beginning to work together collectively. Thus the overall emergence of faith based civil society in Ethiopia appears to be moving in a non-unitary direction, which is positive. This will ultimately allow all stakeholders in civil society, regardless of their religious orientation a voice in the development agenda and the PRSP. The InterAfrica Group (IAG), a member to HANND, and the International Forum on Capacity Building (IFCB) were founded in 1989, as an independent, nonprofit, non-partisan international organizations. IAGs’ mission “focuses on advancing peace, justice and respect for humanitarian law in the greater horn of Africa.”108 IAGs programs are centered on advocacy, civil education, networking and research. Currently, the IAG is engaging. The “IFCB is a Southern NGO-led movement to examine and advocate for the greater independence and effectiveness of Southern NGOs.”109 The process and findings that will result from this research Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 75 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA indicate that the IAG and IFCB, are amongst the leading civil society actors and advocates in Ethiopia. Thus they are on tract to greatly influence the PRSP. Civil Society Involvement in the PRSP Process CRDA Earlier, we demonstrated that the CRDA holds a unique position in Ethiopia. As a representative of civil society they are in a powerful position to impact the PRSP. Fortunately, they have taken advantage of their position to organize and provide information to interested civil society actors regarding the PRSP process. In February 2001, the CRDA held a briefing session on the I-PRSP with the World Bank and government officials. Seventy members of the Ethiopian NGO and civil society community confirmed, but more than 140 participated. In April, 2001 another similar meeting was held. Again 140 representatives were present with the goal of developing a united NGO stance Ethiopia’s PRSP. As a result of these meetings a NGO task force was formed to provide input and disseminate information on the PRSP in Ethiopia. This task force is preparing the NGO community to contribute to the PRSP process and implementation. IAG According the I-PRSP, the IAG organized “public debates with opposition parties and independent candidates on a wide spectrum of issues including socioeconomic development.”110 Thus, not only is has CRDA been involved with the IPRSP and upcoming PRSP, but other organizations such as the IAG have also Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 76 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA contributed to the I-PRSP. This is a positive trend for civil society in Ethiopia. We will now provide information on effective civil society consultation. Effective civil society consultation I have just highlighted the role that the CRDA and IAG have played in the IPRSP as well as the PRSP. It is clear that these groups insight has greatly benefited the process to date. Below are brief points that may be useful for civil society actors and the EPRDF during the next phase of the PRSP process. The key to effective civil society consultations lies in: Giving CSOs ownership by involving representatives in the design of the consultation process Being clear from the outset what is and is not under consideration, to avoid unrealistic expectations Demonstrating respect for those consulted through careful follow-up and feedback Using appropriate selection procedures to ensure that all the relevant interests are represented Tailoring types of interactions to the knowledge and capability of different groups New Paradigms In light of the increasing role that civil society is playing not only in the PRSP process, but also within general World Bank strategy and policy framework, 111 traditional partnership rhetoric must be replaced by new innovative development paradigms. Alan Fowler in NGO Futures: Beyond Aid – Introduction to the Special Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 77 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Issue NGDO Value and the Forth Position offers a solidarity paradigm to reconceptualize development and reduce tension between the various actors. This concept of development means that civil society should work in solidarity instead of partnership within the international aid systems.112 This will require that underlying power dynamics that effect civil society locally, nationally, internationally be examined, as civil society is increasingly an agent of poverty reduction. Specifically, northern NGOs’ motives, invest, and impact must continuously be questioned as their role as advocates and service delivers creates a tenuous dynamic for civil society. The following questions must be raised and addressed in the transition towards the solidarity paradigm. What does politics mean for individual civil society participants? How are roles of each group defined by political power? What are the goals and agendas of the stakeholders in civil society? Are there mechanisms in place to mitigate the tension between advocacy and service delivery? Civil Society Section Conclusion In our conclusion of the civil society section we will provide a look at the areas of concern for the completion and implementation of Ethiopia’s PRSP. The concerns we will highlight include institutionalizing space for public debate, the solidarity paradigm and the multiple roles of NGOs. Institutionalizing Space Although the CRDA and IAG were successful in holding forms regarding the IPRSP and PRSP these are not institutionalized practices. According to Aid and Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 78 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Reform in Ethiopia, important stakeholders are often marginalized in Ethiopia. In Ethiopia, there is an “absence of an institutionalized mechanism for discussing or debating economic policy proposals between the Government and the various business and civil organizations.”113 Therefore, although the I-PRSP claims that women’s groups, NGOs and professional organizations will be consulted the question remains as to how this will be done other than identifying district, regional and national levels of consultation?114 Solidarity Paradigm To promote the solidarity paradigm the World Bank and other members of the international aid system must make a commitment towards capacity building of civil society. This is a challenging effort due to the service delivery, project driven nature of the international aid system, which historically prefers tangible, quantifiable results. In Ethiopia there have been efforts to move in this direction. However, since for decades the Derg inhibited civil society, an investment in capacity building is crucial to for the development of poverty reduction strategies. Multiple Roles for NGOs Today as Ethiopia makes a transition to a market economy, the role of civil society and NGOs has shifted from one that was primarily composed of relief efforts to reduce and mitigate famine towards sector specific programs. This shift in roles has caused NGOs to take on new character dynamics. As well, NGOs are also viewed as “advisors” to internal and external governments. It is in the arena of multiple roles that the capacity, accountability and transparency of NGOs are challenged and become convoluted. How can NGOs Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 79 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA serve as both a representative of civil society stakeholders, deliver services, provide funding for projects and programs, and answer to their donors; while simultaneously representing the best interests of the poor? This dynamic is further compounded by northern and southern NGO tensions wherein the north usually perceives itself as the guardian angel of their marginalized southern counterpart. Tension between the north and south develops as a result of power and funding parameters put in place by the north.115 Thus when developing the PRSP the existence of these competing interests must remain at the heart of any comprehensive assessment of the programs or policies recommended. Conclusion The purpose of this section on civil society is to provide a background and offer an update on Ethiopian civil society in the context of the PRSP. To date, modest trends indicate that civil society is informed and attempting to influence the PRSP. The IAG and CRDA are attempting to pave the way to empower civil society. However, several inhibitors to civil society still exist. It is the job of the state, civil society and the international aid systems collectively to continue to move towards the solidarity paradigm in n attempt to address Ethiopia’s challenges. If not, the PRSP in Ethiopia will probably fail to reduce poverty. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 80 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA VI. INTERNATIONAL AID T he international aid system has grown and contracted over the last century yet poverty remains rampant across less developed countries (LCDs), particularity in Sub-Saharan Africa. Although the number of players now involved in the international aid system continues to increase, we find the level of poverty still present in the 21st century unconscionable. It is our hope that the findings presented here will place in context the international aid system as it functions in Ethiopia. Our goal is add to the current international aid dialog so that poverty reduction in Ethiopia becomes a reality in our lifetime. In addition, we would like parties who function within the realm of the international aid system in Ethiopia including donors, the EPRDF and civil society to remain aware and constantly question if they are contributing to or inhibiting poverty reduction? In our examination of international aid in Ethiopia we will first, briefly define aid and provide an overview of Ethiopia’s background. Second, we present a concise glimpse at Ethiopia’s debt picture. Thereafter, we will provide comprehensive information regarding international aid and donors, both multilateral and bilateral. This will include the following: 1) amounts of aid received; 2) examining the relationship of aid and performance or reform;116 3) the role of aid, including questions pertaining to good economic policy and donors as well as the role of technical assistance. The remainder of this section will then focus on the critiques of the international aid system, HIPC and the PRSP as well highlights for areas of concern in Ethiopia’s I-PRSP, which should be addressed in the PRSP. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 81 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Defining Aid For the purpose of this paper we will use a broad definition of aid, which uses two types of measurements, which are provided in Aid and Reform in Ethiopia.117 The first, Official Development Assistance (ODA), is the sum of official grants (including technical assistance and food aid) and concessional loans with a grant element of at least 25 percent. It is calculated net of amortized payments. The second, Effective Development Assistance (EDA) is the sum of discounted official grants and the grant equivalent of concessional loans (i.e., the dollar value of the grant element).118 Country Background A primary concern of the donors is whether the Ethiopian government (EPRDF) may be digressing from reform programs, which were developed in 1992. These donors’ concerns are particularly attributable to the Ethiopia-Eritrea war.119 These reforms are commonly referred to as “second generation” institutional and policy measures. The areas that continue to be of concern to donors are the governments need to continue working on further privatization, anti-corruption, and transparency.120 More specifically, land continues to be state owned; tax collection is still done in a slow, ineffective manner and civil service personnel are underpaid, which may contribute to corruption. In addition, Ethiopia operates an intergovernment transfer system, which collects and distributes monies via block grants to the regional level. This entails a ‘Budget Offset’ provision by which reductions in the budget subsidy to the regions are made for an amount that is equal to external assistance. The rationale behind this offset mechanism is to ensure that overall resources –domestic and foreign- are available to the country are shared in accordance with the national priorities, rather than being decided by the donor community.121 Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 82 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Although this system may prevent donors from drastically influencing policy, it inhibits regional government efforts to acquire funding for specific projects or sectors since they will have those funds deducted from their federally received block grants. Despite these concerns the EPDRF government still appears committed to ownership of reform efforts, thereby sending a positive message to donors.122 Next we will provide a concise glimpse of Ethiopia’s debt picture. Ethiopia’s Debt Picture According to the Aid and Reform Project of the World Bank, in 1997 Ethiopia received $17 billion in official assistance from multilaterals including: International Development Association of the World Bank (IDA), African Development Fund of the African Development Bank (AfDB), United Nations (UN) and European Union (EU) and bilaterals: Scandinavia, Italy, Germany, and United States, while onerous external debt was US$10 billion, equally between Russia (defense loans) and the Development Assistance Committee (DAC) lenders.123 Ethiopia is classified as a post-socialist reformer that mainly received bilateral aid. Bilateral aid is generally perceived as more stable in the current shrinking aid environment because in the 1990s alone aid shrunk by one-third.124 Countries, such as Ethiopia, that have historically received more bilateral aid are also more likely, to have less performance tied to aid.125 There has also been a shift in Ethiopian aid Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 83 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA from lending in the 1980s to grant-based aid in the 1990s; this shift occurred virtually simultaneously to the shift in multilateral loans to bilateral grants.126 In Ethiopia’s case, during the socialist reign bilaterals originally provided loans. This is perhaps due to the fact that Ethiopia is a non-colony and “did not until recently attract the level of aid it needed and could effectively absorb.” 127 Ethiopia, relative to its geographic size and population of 61 million128 receives little aid, but the aid is currently coming from multilaterals and bilaterals. According to Jubilee 2000 report, Through the Eye of a Needle, The Africa Debt Report, “Ethiopia’s total debt in 1998 was $10.4 billion, the sixth highest among the HIPC countries. More than two-third of the long-term debt is owed by to bilateral creditors, with the largest proportion of $5.5 billion owed to Russia.”129 The remaining long-term debt is to multilaterals, primarily to the World Bank (IDA loans) and the African Development Bank. The private sector debt remains small. What are the payments on this debt? In 1998, $119 million in debt service was paid alone, far from the $612 million scheduled in payments.130 HIPC1 is scheduled to bring approximately $1.3 billion in debt reduction, but due to the war with Eritrea this now off schedule. International Aid and Donors As we previously stated Ethiopia receives most of their ODA from the following multilaterals: IDA, EU, AfDB and the U.N., while the bilateral donors include Scandinavia, Italy, Germany, and U.S. We will now examine the Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 84 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA international aid donors to Ethiopia using the lens of the World Bank, in Aid and Reform in Ethiopia. This examination will consist of reviewing the amount of international aid directed to Ethiopia specifically loans, grants, technical assistance and food aid. Thereafter, we will touch on issues related to international aid such as relief suspensions and the focus of donor assistance. A detailed analysis is then provided to try to determine if there is a correlation between aid and performance or reform? Lastly, we look at the role of aid and “good economic policies,” specifically in regard to technical assistance. Ethiopian International Aid: Loans, Grants, Technical Assistance and Food Aid From 1980-97 Ethiopia received US$17 billion nominal terms (US$23 billion real terms) in ODA receipts, which is equivalent to approximately US$1 billion annually.131 In the 1990s ODA3 (Net ODA Loans + Grants + Technical Assistance + Food Aid) to GNP increased to 23 percent from 12 percent in the 1980s, with an average of 16 percent from 1980-97 (See Table 2.1).132 Furthermore, the Grant Equivalent of an ODA loan (GEQ) was 46 percent in the 1990s, up from 21 percent in the 1980s, averaging 30 percent from 1980-96 (See Table 2.2).133 From 1976-94, Ethiopia received grants from the Commission of the European Communities under Lome in the realm of US$2.5 billion (1990 dollars); while most other external assistance was received primarily from multilaterals, IDA and the AfDB and bilaterals, Italy and Sweden. From 1990-93, US$6 billion in food aid was also received from UN agencies.134 Overall, from 1980-97 60 percent of the grants came from Europe, and 20 percent from the UN, with a decline in grants from the EU and Italy since the mid-1990s. During the 1980s the grants received Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 85 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA per year were as follows: “EU-EC ($US70 million), Italy (US$68 million), Scandinavian countries (US$135 million), Germany (US$25million), and the U.S. (US$41 million, mostly in food aid)”.135 Fortunately, this decline occurred simultaneously to the increase from IDA, Germany, United States, Japan, Netherlands, and Canada during the 1990s (See Table 2.3).136 An illustration of aid by sector is provided in Table 2.4, an indication of donors priorities for Ethiopia have not been in the production of industry and agriculture, production received US$26 million in 1997, out of US$295 million total committed.137 A thorough analysis of Ethiopia’s debt indicates that public debt was US$10 billion in 1997, with 62 percent owed to bilateral, primarily Russia for military goods, while one-third of the total was owed to bilaterals of which, half US$1.5 billion, to IDA (See Table 2.5). 138 This debt has increasingly become a huge burden for Ethiopia. “In terms of current value terms, debt service payments averaged 27 percent of GNP in the 1980s before falling to 23 percent in 1990s” (See Table 2.6).139 Debt Relief Ethiopia is expected to receive a 70 percent reduction in debt service payments as a result of HIPC, thereby freeing approximately US$50-$100 million for social spending.140 Relief Suspended Due to the war with Eritrea aid was temporarily revoked by a number of donors out of fear that their monies would serve to fuel and fund the conflict. It is estimated that approximately 20 percent of Ethiopia’s budget in 1999 was allocated Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 86 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA to the Ethiopian-Eritrean war.141 This conflict also caused a delay in scheduled HIPC1 debt relief. Donor Focus Donor assistance in Ethiopia is well coordinated overall,142 sector focus programs include roads, health and education.143 The donor assistance strategies are derived from sector investment programs (SIP) which focus on four clusters.144 The SIP are designed to be sectoral wide and stakeholder driven, while the donors’ role is to sign on to the policy or program framework. Funding for these policies and programs are received from multilaterals: AfDB, EU, and UN agencies as well as an array of bilaterals. The first cluster focuses on a) policy dialog, b) economic and sector work towards macroeconomic stability, c) private sector development of capacity for the implementation of projects and policies.145 The second cluster is concerned with a) infrastructure, particularly roads and improving the availability of electricity. The third cluster is centered around a) agriculture, b) export diversification, c) small enterprise. Lastly, the fourth cluster is geared towards poverty alleviation in the areas of a) education, b) health, c) gender equality, d) food and water security and e) population. 146 Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) Currently there are nearly 310 NGOs registered with the Ethiopian government. It is estimated that the total annual budgets for the NGOs is approximately US$150 million. These NGOs range in activities from relief to sector programs, including health, education, micro enterprise, water supply and agriculture.147 Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 87 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Is there a Correlation between Aid and Performance or Reform? In the case of Ethiopia, determining if there is a correlation between aid and performance or reform is a difficult and complex question. We will briefly highlight why in Ethiopia’s case the answer is not yet clear. When it became obvious socialism was an unsuccessful endeavor and that the Soviets were going to stop providing aid to Ethiopia, the Derg in 1988 quickly began approaching western donors, but shifts toward a market economy proved slow. With the downfall of the Derg in 1991, the EPRDF government quickly received loans for emergency recovery efforts led by the World Bank at US$680 million, with another US$250 million for Structural Adjustment Credit. 148 The EPRDF then began to implement some donor reforms, but many reforms such as the reprivatization of land was postponed allegedly until after the 1995 election. However, land privatization has yet to become a reality in Ethiopia. In 1996 aid accounted for 23 percent of Ethiopia’s Gross National Product (GNP) and as of recently half of the capital budget, indicating that aid is an important component of Ethiopia’s total budget. Thus donors can apply pressure to institute economic reform because without aid it would be difficult for the government to function. However, it is important to note that in a few cases donor pressure has proven ineffective, particularity during the announcement of socialism by the Derg and the conflict with Somalia. In sum, it appears that aid was not the primary reason why there have been reforms in Ethiopia because in many cases aid came after reforms were being instituted. The continued lag in the institution of “second generation” reforms. That is, an entirely market driven economy, makes it clear that Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 88 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA aid doesn’t buy reform when conditions could undermine the EPRDF government. This indicates that perhaps one of the problems with aid and performance is what constitutes “good economic policy” by donors may in fact be contrary to governments’ ideology as well as their best interest politically. “Good economic policies” are generally thought of as stable macroeconomic and structural policies, good private sector management and civil society involvement. Conceptually these policies seem logical, but when governments attempt to implement them they are putting their political power and tenure at risk of being challenged by opponents to reform. Change is usually a difficult, long, arduous process that unfortunately does not fit into a matrix. With this in mind we will now provide a glimpse at the measures and tools that donors can use to try to stimulate and encourage reform. According to Aid and Reform in Africa, donors can use three primary mechanisms to encourage the adoption and implementation of “good economic policies”, including 1) money, 2) conditionally, 3) technical assistance and policy dialogue.149 The major mishap among donors is that they have used these three mechanisms without a coherent, well-coordinated, thought out strategy. That is, they used them without much rime-or-reason overwhelmingly providing the “same types of aid in all cases, when in fact the instruments have different payoffs at different points in the reform process. Using the wrong instrument at the wrong time is at best wasteful, and in some cases may have actually retarded reform.”150 The ten case studies in Aid in Reform in Africa indicate that 1) money without good policy leads to more of the status-quo not poverty reduction per-say; 2) Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 89 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA conditions are not successful when it is top-down, donor driven, economic reform because it convolutes policy ownership; 3) technical assistance has positive effects when it is driven by recipient countries and tends to be more effective if donors work with civil society groups, not just governments. Technical assistance is credited with generating a number of economic policy reforms in Africa. In the case of the Ethiopia, policy makers expressed mixed feelings about technical assistance in general. They are supportive of technical assistance where knowledge transfer is programmed, the advice is grounded in Ethiopian conditions and the country is given some freedom to buy expertise in the free market as needed. They tend to look askance at an army of short term consultants whose end products are impressionistic reports and ‘job-creation’ for donor citizens.151 The concerns of Ethiopian policy makers regarding technical assistance may also be grounded in the difficulty that educated persons and professionals are having locating employment. The Ethiopian government, once the largest employers of educated persons and professionals is under pressure to reduce the size of the government and the private sector has been unable to absorb them, thus there is a mismatch between supply and demand, [which are a result of] inadequate allocation of resources to science and technology for development, failure to expand and restructure the export sector, the lack of diverse and sophisticated skills to cope with the challenges emerging from recent technological advancements, and the weak linkages which exist between R&D institutions and the productive sectors.152 One of the challenges for Ethiopia is to bridge the gap between technical assistance and technical capacity so that they work together towards poverty reduction. This may be accomplished through partnerships with the private sector to build an Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 90 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA alliance and reduce the mismatch between supply and demand153. The forthcoming discuss on the international aid system provides specific critiques which are meant to highlight specific areas of concern in the international aid systems. International Aid System Critiques The critiques presented here are meant to stimulate reforms because for far too long the international aid orthodoxy has been a run away train. As such, we will provide critiques on “report cards,” NGOs and international advocacy. These policies and practices rank high amongst those, which desperately need reexamination and perhaps change. World Bank “ Report Cards” One among many of the concerns regarding World Bank policies is their “report card” grading of low-income borrowing countries known as the Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA). Ethiopia loan performance was given a “satisfactory rating”, by the World Bank in 1999, with areas of concern including: 1) poor tax collection, 2) corrupt government, 3) underpaid civil service personnel and 4) an inadequate judiciary.154 The grading which derived the Ethiopia rating is as follows: 1. Overall (B) 2. Economic Management (C) 3. Structural Policies (D) 4. Social Inclusion (A) 5. Public Sector (A) Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 91 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA The World Bank then defines governments as “winners” or “losers” depending upon their degree of compliance with the creditor community’s definition of “good economic policies.”155 Based on the rating, which is derived by World Bank’s evaluation of the governments’ political, social, and economic performance. IDA then determines how much credit to extend to the country. However, one of the problems with this systems is that IDA is under pressure to lend, thereby creating a situation where bad loans are given to countries that are already riddled in debt. For example, IDA is committed to lending “about US$16 billion to poor countries in fiscal years 2001 and 2002.”156 With this volume of loans scheduled it becomes apparent that reforms must be bottom-up and county driven because unless there is alarming conflict some amount of lending will continue. The power of aid to encourage “good economic policies” decreases when large volumes are committed without strict accountability to the international aid system. However, may opponents contend that the real problem is not just the “report cards”, but who defines what “good economic policies” are, especially for developing countries that lack much of the means to implement these contested policies? Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) and International Non-Governmental Organizations (INGOs)-More Harm than Good? Although the Ethiopian government led the international aid community in changing the way NGOs do business in developing countries with the institution of Guidelines for NGO Operations in 1995 there are still concerns with outcomes of the “Traditional NGO Model.” This model began to proliferate during the 1980s as NGOs Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 92 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA gained acceptance by both liberals and conservatives in donor countries. NGOs increasingly became viewed as a means to deliver services in an allegedly more efficient and effective manner. The end result is that northern, International NonGovernmental Organizations (INGOs) became the recipient of funds from country donors, especially the United States. The autonomy of these INGOs began to be questioned by the governments. Furthermore, INGOs ability to deliver services and resources in a more efficient manner is being questioned as well as their legitimacy. That is, do these INGOs actually represent the stakeholders of civil society? Are the goals of the INGOs to reduce poverty? And what are the long-term implications of having INGOs work in developing countries? Is food aid destroying local markets? Are INGOs really building local capacity or fulfilling their own self-interested agenda, causing more harms than good? In the end, these INGOs should be working themselves out of existence, but quite the opposite appears to being taking place as their numbers continue to increase annually in Ethiopia. Therefore, it is important to remain critical of all actors in international aid community, particularly INGOs who for too long have escaped criticism. In the context of the PRSP remaining aware of the various dimensions of INGOs can assist in the fair evaluation of proposals, for both programs and policies. Often time the roles of advocate and service provider intersect to form a cloudily haze. International Advocacy Within the international aid system various actors use different “frameworks” to determine and or rationalize aid. “For example, the World Bank is championing a Comprehensive Development Framework (CDF), while the United Nations System is Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 93 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA relying on Development Assistance Framework (UNDAF).”157 The preferred channels of aid are overwhelming project driven which fail to look at the root causes of poverty and the structure of poverty, which may be correlated to underdevelopment. According to Michael Edwards and David Hulme, Many of the causes of under-development lie in political and economic structures of an unequal world: in unfair terms of trade, low commodity prices, and oppressive burdens of debt; in uneven distribution of land and other resources among different social groups; and in the restrictions and regulations which prevent poor people from making better use of the opportunities they have. It is impossible to address these issues fully though development projects.158 Is under-development one of the causes of poverty or does poverty lead to underdevelopment? Is the international aid system working to change this cycle that is intrinsically tied together? If aid is not linked to performance, how can the international aid system reduce poverty? Is HIPC and the PRSP the solution when it only attempts to address debt, not unfair terms of trade or defense spending? What is a reasonable proportion of a country’s budget to be spent on defense.159 We have illustrated the tensions that exist in the international aid system. Among the most disconcerting, the realization that aid does not lead to performance or reform. NGOs may cause more harm than good in some cases, which is further compounded because they are still desperately needed. The current trends of international advocacy fail to address the causes of poverty. Furthermore, previous prescriptions to address debt have failed and the HIPC Initiative is not a rainmaker for the international aid system or debt ridden countries. Without true country ownership of the PRSP and bottom-up participation in the process it looks as the though the status quo will remain in place, with rampant poverty continuing across Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 94 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Ethiopia. However, the HIPC Initiative and the PRSP process may in fact increase space for dialog, which in and of itself makes this process worthwhile. For poverty reduction to become a reality the more dialog, and critiques of donors, governments and civil society actors the more likely we are to reduce the unconscionable faith of those who suffer in poverty across the world. VII. I-PRSP CRITIQUE T he Ethiopia I-PRSP is centered around four building blocks, which include agricultural development, judiciary and civil service reform, decentralization and empowerment, and capacity building in public and private sectors. Each of these categories provides a good foundation for a poverty reduction strategy. A focus on agriculture is important since a majority of the population is dependent on this sector for their livelihood. Equally, it is important to institutionalize a workable, legitimate, and stable legal system so that individuals’ rights are protected. And, if the private sector is to develop, a functioning, non-corrupt legal system to protect contract law and property rights must be in place. But because of the embryonic stage of the private sector, capacity building will also be necessary to develop this sector further. And, since the government has moved toward a system of decentralization, it is important to coordinate development strategies so that they are workable on both a regional and local level. As discussed above in the section on the State, capacity building in the public sector and civil service reform are key the State’s success. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 95 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Although we mostly use this section to critique the I-PRSP, there are some important strengths of the document that we would like to highlight. For instance, the I-PRSP recognizes that poverty in Ethiopia is multifaceted and widespread, although it continues to use mostly consumption measurements to describe poverty. At least it struggles to address a number of dimensions that it had not recognized before. For example, in the past, resources were directed towards urban areas and urban poverty. In contrast, the I-PRSP makes an effort to distinguish between rural and urban poverty, as well as poverty between regions. The government has recently begun to focus on rural regions, since poverty is most prevalent in these areas. As part of this new policy, the government has made small land holding farming families an economic priority by creating extension and credit scheme mechanisms. The government also states that there is a need to focus on food security at the household level and at the national level, recognizing that one does not necessarily alleviate the other. There has also been a shift towards allocating more resources toward social programs, such as health care and education, with more of an emphasis on primary education. In addition, the I-PRSP states that the country’s infrastructure is weak and improvements are needed. In particular it draws attention to the need for the construction of rural roads, irrigation and access to sanitary water.160 The allocation of resources towards infrastructure improvements and social programs focuses on addressing poverty at its root, capability deprivation, but does not state nor outline how development strategies will address the strengthening of capability at a household or individual level. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 96 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA The I-PRSP does not address how it will implement strategies and if they will be accessible to all people, such as women and children. In order for poverty reduction strategies to be sustainable long-term, they must be representative of society and realistic. Specific areas in the I-PRSP that require a deeper analysis on their feasibility are the Agricultural-Development-Led Industrialization policy (ADLI), the agriculture, health and education sector development programs and infrastructure. In the following section we raise specific questions and concerns based on strategies identified in the I-PRSP document. We hope that these points will be considered and clarified by those developing the final PRSP. All of the forthcoming critiques, recognize that Ethiopia, as well as other countries involved in the PRSP process must work under restrictive time constraints. As a result, the quality and feasibility of the strategies outlined in the I-PRSP may be in question. Specifically, since the document is meant to be a living document, it is questionable whether policies can be implemented effectively in a decentralized setting under such time constraints. HIPC Initiative and PRSP Process Critique The following points are general critiques of the HIPC Initiative and the PRSP process itself. If the process has inherent flaws it will be very difficult for individual countries to achieve sustainable poverty reduction. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 97 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA The PRSP has not evolved to contain both poverty reduction and amenable macroeconomic objectives in consistent language.161 Linking debt forgiveness with the PRSP may undermine the PRSP process.162 All stakeholders should have access to information that relates to the PRSP (i.e. CAS, policy matrix and triggers.163 The PRSP does not deal with issues related to income distribution. How can a poverty reduction strategy not attempt to address income equality? In the past, adjustment policies are thought to have increased income inequality. 164 Do countries really have ownership over the “PRSP process, in which donors and creditors play a significant role.”165 What is the role of civil society in the PRSP process in terms of microeconomic policies? In the I-PRSP there is an over reliance on the ADLI as a poverty reduction strategy. How can agricultural production increase without land ownership and other sound macroeconomic strategies? The Poverty Reduction Strategy contains section c: Decentralization and Empowerment. It is here that gender equity is raised, and allegedly reinforced by sectoral and regional policies166. However, no mention is given to the engendering of macroeconomic policies. That is, using a gender lens when devising macroeconomic policy for Ethiopia. Having funding available for women groups to obtain technical assistance, training and grants are great, but they are not long-term solutions and cannot be used by themselves to reduce poverty. Instead, they must be coupled with engendered macroeconomic policies. We have provided critiques on the international aid system, including questions to stimulate continued dialog. In the extension of our attempt to demonstrate that the international aid system is in desperate need of continued reform our next critiques focus on the HIPC Initiative and the PRSP process. Overall, using an international aid systems lens to examine the I-PRSP the document lacks new innovative concepts to reduce poverty with donor partners. The I-PRSP relies too heavily on old and existing documents, which fail to address income distribution and have not made substantial improvements in poverty Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 98 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA reduction to date. The EPRDF government may want to address in the PRSP ways to reduce the bureaucracy in registering NGOs because this may improve donor aid levels and assist in reducing poverty. The forthcoming critiques of the I-PRSP address the areas of land privatization, block grants and the Ethiopian Social Rehabilitation and Development Fund (ESRDF). Before we outline critiques of the HIPC initiative and the PRSP process it is imperative to remember that the World Bank is a bank. Thus when examining the HIPC Initiative and the PRSP process it is important to keep that fact in mind. HIPC is designed to link debt relief and poverty reduction in a manner that is results driven with targets and country owned. Poverty reduction targets in the areas of healthcare and education may be inhibited by the amount of debt already owed.167 In addition, private sector development and investment, which is a fundamental component of poverty reduction is also unlikely when country government’s are riddled in debt and therefore cannot provide infrastructure for development. The waiting period for debt relief is also coming under fire. According to Michela Telatin with Jubilee 2000, “Ethiopia will have, under HIPC to wait years to reach the so-called "Decision Point” to start receiving some debt relief.”168 In Ethiopia’s case the waiting period for debt relief is partially attributed to the conflict with Eritrea. Groups such as the Ethiopian United Action Team (EAUT) contend that the World Banks’ lending practices to short-term governments with questionable legitimacy and that lack transparency are unconscionable because even IDA loans must be paid back.169 How can the World Bank and the international aid system prevent a mismanagement of aid? Does the HIPC Initiative address this issue? If so, will “country ownership” of a rushed process with alleged civil society input lead to poverty reduction? Or are there fundamental tensions between debt relief, poverty reduction, and the desired outcomes of PRSP process? Perhaps they should not be linked together especially when the World Bank as an institution and as a bureaucracy seems ill equipped to turn the HIPC Initiative and the PRSP into more than just rhetoric. Poverty Reduction Policy Matrix Policy Measures: Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 99 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA A. GDP Growth Rate – “Streamline land lease policy and legislation of agriculture and under the possession of both government and smallholders.” Implementation: 00/01-01/02.170 According to the I-PRSP there is no landlessness in Ethiopia, but since land is not privately held, the viability and profitability of smallholders farmers and the reliance of the I-PRSP on export agriculture is questionable. The frequency of drought in Ethiopia as well as the ability of small farmers to generate economies of scale in export farming is not addressed in the I-PRSP. K. Decentralization -“Implement district level fiscal decentralization.” Implementation: 00/01-02/03 onwards.171 The I-PRSP fails to address how the international aid system, and specifically aid donors both multilaterals and bilaterals will assist in poverty reduction. Will regional governments still have federal block grants reduced if they receive aid from other sources? POVERTY DESCRIPTION The I-PRSP begins with a description of Poverty in Ethiopia, describing the country as “among the bottom of the least-developed countries.”172 It goes on to say “Poverty in Ethiopia is widespread and multi-faceted. Measured mainly in terms of food consumption, set at a minimum nutrition requirement of 2,200 calories per adult per day, and also including non-food consumption requirements, an estimate of 1995/96 shows that 45.5 percent of the population were below the poverty line.” 173 The rest of the section gives statistics on the following items: per capita income, regional distribution of population under the poverty line, life expectancy, infant mortality, child mortality, maternal mortality, illiteracy rates, enrolment ratios in Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 100 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA primary school, percentage of children with stunted growth, and percentage of children experiencing malnutrition and acute malnutrition. Other than the health and education statistics and the mention that poverty is multi-faceted, the I-PRSP seems to focus in primarily on income measures of poverty, ignoring some of the non-income measures of ill-being such as powerlessness, vulnerability, and powerlessness, among others. By ignoring these other important aspects of ill-being there is little possibility that these problems will be reduced. The document does not discuss how it chose its measures of poverty and ill-being. Were participatory processes used so that people could highlight the concerns that were most important to them? Again, if certain concerns are not measured or counted, they will have a much smaller chance of resolution. Other than for school enrolment statistics, the I-PRSP does not break down data by gender. The document also uses data based on households, which ignores the difference in experience of different members of a household based on gender, age and other status. Without this disaggregated information it is difficult to fully understand the how poverty affects different groups, and therefore the best way to reduce poverty for these groups. ADLI ADLI encourages growth through agriculture. It also emphasizes industrialization in the final stages of the plan. The combination of both agriculture and industry are used as vehicles to increase development and economic growth in Ethiopia. The following are areas of concern: The ADLI discusses three types of measurements taken to encourage private investment: (1) remove regulatory impediments and improve implementation capacities on the side of government; (2) encourage public-private sector partnership and (3) improve the business environment’s attractiveness to the Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 101 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA manufacturing industry in particular.174 This is a positive goal because Ethiopia is highly dependent on agriculture and it may be helpful to research ways to diversify the economy and provide prospects for jobs beyond subsistence farming. Will these efforts be focused in urban or rural areas? Depending on where the manufacturing is concentrated, it will determine what regions and populations will benefit. Will populations benefit outside of Addis Ababa? Is this a measure that will ultimately help alleviate rural poverty? If these efforts are not only directed at Addis Ababa or Dire Dawa, will other municipalities have the capacity to contain new private sector development considering their institutionalized lack of resources (see the resources subsection of the section on the State above)? ADLI has an export-orientation component built into it.175 Although increased export may help boost the national economy will gains be realized at a household level? Will extension program resources only be directed to farms that participate mainly in export production, as they were once directed to state farms? An export orientation could take an emphasis away from agricultural production for domestic consumption and may actually increase poverty at an individual level. Export agricultural products are highly vulnerable to external market prices and often fluctuate. Coffee prices recently dropped and the Ethiopian economy suffered. In addition, agricultural production is highly susceptible to adverse weather condition, especially when there is a lack of irrigation and a high dependence on rainfall. A majority of agriculture production occurs through small farmers with small and discontinuous land holdings. Most farmers engage in subsistence farming and have limited opportunities to participate in the formal agriculture make. With a weak infrastructure (roads and access to transportation), it is difficult for many farmers to get products to the market place. Does ADLI account for these barriers? In the past credit schemes and resource programs, such as fertilizer and seed distribution, has been biased towards state farms or collectives. The government is attempting to re-shift resources but often the poorest farmers and women are not eligible for credit and resource programs. How does the government plan to reduce barriers of entry for these groups? The ADLI strategy does not address women’s participation in the agricultural sector. Women play a significant role in the informal agricultural sector but have limited access to resources outside of the household, such as credit, trading licenses, participation in collectives and jobs. How will women gain access to these resources at a local level and how does the government plan to facilitate this? Can the government facilitate this considering its decentralized structure and the lack of support for women’s issues by local leaders? A recent decrease in poverty has been attributed to economic reform and implementation of ADLI strategy. How much of this is due to political stability vs. the aforementioned? Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 102 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Civil Service Reform The second part of the ADLI is policy to stimulate industrialization. Part of this policy includes civil service reform. The five components of civil service reform are: expenditure management and control; human resource management; service delivery; top management systems; and ethics.176 In addition, there will be an emphasis on capacity building, especially “tertiary education to increase the stock of trained manpower in general well as to upgrade the manpower within the civil service.”177 As discussed in the State section, Ethiopia is experiencing a grave shortage of trained civil servants, so civil service reform is very important. The components of civil service reform mentioned in the I-PRSP are very important, but some key points are missing. There is no mention of increased training and capacity building at education levels below tertiary education. In many of the lower levels of government there is a need for civil servants with even basic skills. Also, there is no mention of the extreme lack of female civil servants at all levels of government. Will efforts be made to recruit more female civil servants? As female enrolment is so much less than male, how does the strategy plan to address the even greater shortage of qualified female job applicants? Decentralization and Empowerment The I-PRSP includes a section describing the benefits of the decentralized structure of the government. It praises the central collection of tax revenues and the distribution of those revenues to local governments through block grants. It highlights the benefits of devolving decision making for the development of a more representational democracy. And it extols the “institutionalized incorporation of Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 103 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA women in the development process.”178 But, as detailed in the State section above, there are many downsides to this loose federation that are not mentioned in the IPRSP There are significant inefficiencies inherent in a system of vertical fiscal imbalances. There are also problems implementing federal priorities if regional and local governments do not share them. And as discussed in the State section and the Poverty section, the National Policy for Women has been relatively ineffective in practice. While it is true that Women’s Affairs Offices have been established, they have hardly any power to enact policy changes and women’s priorities are rarely incorporated into development plans. And, as mentioned above, there are very few women in positions of power in the government at any level. Agriculture As stated earlier, the Ethiopian economy is highly dependent on agriculture. In addition, a majority of Ethiopian people depend on agriculture for their livelihoods. It will be difficult for the government to diversify the economy in the near future and realize economic gains. Meanwhile, the government must find innovative ways to improve the agriculture sector. Given that many farmers have limited resources, agricultural strategies must be realistic and flexible, especially since agriculture products and conditions vary by regions. The following are specific areas that require more extensive examination: The I-PRSP mentions the enhancement of research and extension, including the introduction of new products, service cooperatives and equipment.179 Historically, similar programs have been directed towards state farms and cooperatives, which have proven to be ineffective. Today, there has been a shift of resources to focus on poor farmers. Will these research and extension programs address the needs of subsistence farms? Will the identified techniques Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 104 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA be long-term and sustainable for a majority of farmers, who have limited access to roads and energy sources? Drought has been a long-time problem for Ethiopia; it is compounded by lack of irrigation. This has proven to have drastic negative impacts at a household level. The government has attempted to address this issue through the Ethiopian Social Rehabilitation and Development Fund (ESRDF).180 How successful has the program been? Are there plans beyond the ESRDF to improve irrigation and which areas/regions are being targeted for improvements? Who will benefit short-term and long-term from these efforts? The I-PRSP identifies that there has been a shift of development attention to the smallholder family but does not specifically define a smallholder family. In addition, it does not filter out how a focus on the smallholder family will address women’s roles in agriculture or how it will reduce the disproportionate amount of poverty born by women. A country-wide extension program focusing on areas with stable rainfall is part of the agricultural strategy for Ethiopia. The program diffuses fertilizers and seed to these areas.181 Although this program may produce immediate results, it is questionable how much of an impact it will have on reducing poverty. Not many regions have stable rainfall, so the amount of people that may benefit from such a program may be limited. The emphasis on extension programs, in their present form, may not be helpful to a majority of farmers. This is particularly the case since resources have been targeted to specific groups in the past. A majority of farmers, especially poor farmers or female-headed households, do not have access to these programs. As a result, small farmers have not been given proper incentives to produce beyond subsistence farming. Also, most farmers can get more money for their goods by selling them on the black market. The lack of participation of farmers in the formal marketplace could be economically detrimental to the future of Ethiopia, since small farmers yield most production. How does the government, local and federal, plan to provide incentives for participation? The I-PRSP dedicates a substantial amount of effort on utilizing the agriculture sector as a strategy for reducing poverty. This is expected since the economy has a high dependence on agriculture. The ADLI strategy speaks to diversifying the economy, particularly industrializing the economy but spends little time expanding on this idea.182 There is very limited discussion on pursuing alternative forms of income to strengthen the economy and diversify the job market, such as tourism, value-added production of coffee and other products and the diversification of agricultural products/natural resources (i.e. flowers, mining for minerals and precious metals). Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 105 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Gender There is a brief recognition in the I-PRSP that gender equality will continue to be emphasized in the process of decentralization and empowerment.183 However, there is no mention of how this is going to be implemented on a regional level. Nor does the I-PRSP address how women will be included in the poverty reduction strategy in terms of agriculture, education, health, macroeconomics, privatization etc. Specifically, it does not address how women’s labor will be incorporated into the strategy for economic growth. There is no mention of women’s current participation level in society and how federal and local social institutions promote or restrict their participation. This is a critical component of the PRSP, especially since a majority of women live in rural areas and bear a disproportionate amount of poverty. The following are gender-related issues that may require further research and analysis: How will gender equality continue to be emphasized in the process of decentralization? Many of the federal policies regarding women are in direct conflict with regional and local customary laws. The Women’s National Policy addresses the role of women in Ethiopia but has begun at a slow rate.184 As a result, many are subject to regional laws and social norms. At the local levels, kebeles and wereda, representation for women is low. Most representation and participation for women occurs at an informal level, giving women limited vehicles for mobilization. How will the final PRSP propose to mobilize women and support their formal participation in social and economic institutions? Will procedural requirements for registering groups be less stringent in order to stimulate the growth of grassroots organizations? The I-PRSP states that the focus areas for women’s organizations, created under the Women’s National Policy, are to mainstream gender in all spheres of the development agenda, carrying out advocacy, capacity building and setting up Women’s Organizations and Networking.185 This has been more effective at a national level and impacted national policy but is not actualized on a regional level. Since government is highly decentralized, it is important for any policies regarding women to be implemented and accepted at a regional and local level. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 106 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Currently, the women’s affairs bureaus and departments at the regional level do not have legitimate power to ensure and/or coordinate gender-sensitive development. What actions will be taken to change these conditions? Women have limited access to land holdings. Regional and customary laws do not support women’s access to land or the formal participation in agriculture. An effective PRSP must address this issue because land and participation in the formal market provide tools for combating poverty. What measure will be taken to ensure that women have greater access to land? Will region-specific strategies be adopted? Are regional governments going to be given incentives to guide kebeles to interpret land regulations and administer them in a gendersensitive ways? What steps will be taken to facilitate the entry of poor women into labor markets? Specifically, will measures be taken to ensure women’s access to credit and licensing? Currently, groups can have access to credit from banking institutions, with recommendations and collateral. Women often have limited collateral and restricted interaction with formal institutions, which inhibits their ability to gain credit. Women have less access to education, especially secondary and tertiary education. Their participation in labor markets beyond the informal agriculture sector is limited, especially in rural areas? What measure will be taken to promote women’s access to education at all levels? Health and Education The I-PRSP recognizes that education and health must be given top priority. There has been a recent shift toward preventative health care services in rural areas. This is an effort to combat high incidences of malnutrition, preventable diseases and high illiteracy rates. The government has launched sector wide programs with a bottom-up approach in education and health called the Ethiopian Social Rehabilitation and Development Fund (ESRDF). It aims to improve the well being of the poor by supporting community-based projects, which build and strengthen social and economic assets. The program focuses on basic education, health, water supply and sanitation, small-scale irrigation and capacity building and Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 107 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA training. This program has the potential to be an effective poverty reduction strategy. Given the diversity of the country, it is important that strategies for improving health and education require region specific strategies. As these strategies develop, it may be helpful to keep in mind the following issues and questions that were generated from the I-PRSP: The Ethiopian Government adopted a new Education and Training Policy and Strategy (ETPS) in 1994.186 Its primary focus is directed towards expanding access to educational opportunities that are directly relevant to the present and future economy. Under this strategy primary school enrollment is projected to increase, along with girls’ participation. It does not specify which regions will be most impacted by the strategy. Currently, there is a large discrepancy between urban and rural school enrollment, with the former being much higher. Rural localities often do not have proper access to schools, find the cost of attendance high, and do not find the education relevant and work opportunities readily available. What measures will be taken at a local and federal level to change these conditions? Are the strategies going to have a region and gender-specific focus? Ethiopia has been most successful in offering primary education but secondary and tertiary enrollment has been historically low and concentrated in urban areas. More attention should be given to making secondary and tertiary education available to rural populations, both male and female. In addition, there will need to be opportunities for job attainment after education is completed. How does the PRSP process plan to address promoting increased enrollments for secondary and tertiary education? Are distance learning programs a feasible solution? What kind of opportunities will be available? Will opportunities be made available in rural regions? The I-PRSP requires the construction of several schools.187 There is no specification on where schools will be built or how decisions will be made on where to build them. Boarding schools will be built for students coming from nomadic regions. How will children from the nomadic regions be identified and how will their displacement impact the family unit and economic stability? A primary vehicle for implementing a health strategy is the Health Sector Development Program (HSDP).188 The goal of the program is to improve the health of Ethiopian people. It will provide comprehensive and integrated primary health care services at the community level health facilities, referrals and other hospital services. A majority of rural populations have limited access to health facilities. How does the PRSP plan to overcome this barrier? Will facilities be Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 108 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA located in reasonable distances from local villages? What regions are most impacted by HSDP and how successful has it been? Health Sector Development Program (HSDP) does not address access for the rural urban poor. Most people do not have access to health care facilities or they are extremely expensive. The program mentions a preventative health focus on communicable diseases, common nutritional disorders, environmental health and hygiene. It does not specify strategies to address differences in rural and urban health care access. In addition, it does not discuss how resources will be allocated, and issue which is important because certain diseases are more region specific. For instance HIV/AIDS tends to be more of an urban phenomenon and is extremely expensive to treat. The I-PRSP mentions that the prevalence of HIV/AIDs is high.189 The government adopted an HIV/AIDS Policy to confront this crisis. The I-PRSP does not give much detail regarding the policy and does not outline specific strategies. How will resources be allocated and will it divert money away from other preventative health programs? Are there specific areas where efforts will be concentrated? Sector Development Programs The I-PRSP discusses the implementation of multi-year sector development programs, concentrating on roads, education, health, energy, agricultural and rural development. These development programs are of critical importance because infrastructure is weak in Ethiopia, particularly in the areas of road, telecommunication, electric and sanitation systems. Lack of institutional capacity at a regional level has exacerbated the weak state of infrastructure and its impact on poverty. The responsibility for implementing such development policies has shifted to regional governments, which are not fully prepared to assume the new tasks. Therefore, the following areas of concern should stimulate further analysis and research: Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 109 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA A new extension system is referred to in the I-PRSP. The system adopts technology and credit expansion to spread resources to farming families. The program grew from 32,000 farming families in 1994/1995 to 2.8 million farming families in 1999/2000.190 Which farming families and what regions are benefiting most from this system? There is also mention of strengthening the competitive marketing system at the level of distribution to the farmer. This may prove to be difficult since a majority of farmers are rural subsistence farmers and do not have incentives to compete. What incentives will be given for farmers to participate? Given that infrastructure is relatively weak in most areas, how will distribution occur? The sector development program also attempts to address the welfare of pastoral people through infrastructure development but it does not layout plans in any detail.191 Will relocation programs be implemented to bring these people closer to infrastructure? These types of relocation/villagization projects were unpopular in the past. If this is the plan of action, will past resistance be a barrier? Pastoral people have been negatively impacted by the fact that common areas have been turned into state parks. This transition has limited their entitlement rights. How is the welfare of pastoral people impacted and will actions to promote infrastructure development help improve their overall conditions? Food insecure households are addressed by the I-PRSP. There are plans to raise the ability of households to obtain food through agricultural and off-farm activities, and wage employment by 10 percent.192 In what regional areas will these efforts be primarily focused? Will they address the needs of the poorest regions? No details are given. A major challenge to this strategy is the availability of wage labor in rural regions. In addition, off-farm activities, such as trading require registration and approval at the local level. This is a strong barrier for women and very poor families. What actions will be taken to overcome these challenges? The five year sector development program aims to upgrade main roads in Ethiopia, linking Addis Ababa to nearby towns and seaports.193 Most roads are focused on Addis Ababa but road infrastructure is weak elsewhere around the country. This limits prospects for regional trade and ensures benefits for the urban population of Addis Ababa. Most of the population is rural and they are not realizing benefits from the program. Nor are other smaller municipalities. If attention is only focused on Addis Ababa smaller municipalities will suffer and Addis Ababa will likely experience growth beyond its infrastructure capacity. If a major goal of the I-PRSP is equity and empowerment, are the politics of road placement being properly addressed? Are there plans in the near future to work on rural road development? How much progress has already been achieved in this area? Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 110 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA As part of an effort to improve infrastructure, developments in water supply and telecommunications have been concentrated in urban areas. The rural populations are at a deficit. A 24 percent increase in clean water supply has been realized in 1998/99194. There is no specification on where the increase was gained. Ethiopian Social Rehabilitation and Development Fund (ESRDF) is a multi-sector poverty reduction plan that is driven from a bottom-up approach.195 It aims to improve the well being of the poor by supporting community-based projects, which build and strengthen social and economic assets. The program focuses on basic education, health, water supply and sanitation, small-scale irrigation and capacity building and training. Does this program have a gender focus? Does it have a regional focus? ESRDF could be a good vehicle for poverty reduction. How successful has the program been? The I-PRSP does not articulate how to involve the international aid system with the ESRDF nor are the results of this program illustrated. It would be helpful to further examine the details of the ESRDF in the PRSP. Post Conflict Setting In describing the macroeconomic setting under which the I-PRSP was written, the authors write that “Ethiopia finds itself in a post-conflict situation. There are emergency needs of rehabilitation, demobilization, and reconstruction.”196 Other than this comment there is little mention in the entire document of the country’s history of violent conflict or of any special efforts to develop systems to avoid future violence. As emphasized in the State section, development progress in Ethiopia stands still or slides backwards in times of violent conflict, and due to its history, the country faces numerous latent conflict situations. There should at least be mention of how the country plans to avoid future conflict, and in order to have a successful poverty reduction strategy there should be significant attention and resources directed towards this end. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 111 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Critique Wrap-up The preceding critiques are meant merely to provoke further thought and discussion and are in no way exhaustive. But, we believe that a good way to review Ethiopia’s PRSP is from the perspective of understanding the multi-dimensions of illbeing experienced by the poor, the structural and historical constraints faced by the State, the strength and roll of civil society within Ethiopia, and the priorities and access of international aid organizations involved in Ethiopia. By thoroughly understanding these four elements we may begin to have insight into how Ethiopia could develop a sustainable PRSP. VIII. Conclusion Prime Minister Meles Zenawi’s October 2000 speech to the Joint Conference of African Ministers of Finance, Economic Development and Planning illustrated his disdain for HIPC as follows: What I find most objectionable about this initiative and most of the other debt reduction initiatives, is that they are being used as the whip to enforce unquestioning acceptance of the economic orthodoxy, that so-called Washington consensus, that is being promoted by some international financial institutions. The abysmal failure of this orthodoxy in Africa over the past decade and a half clearly suggests that it can and must be questioned. Indeed, many thoughtful individuals in the citadels of the orthodoxy are questioning many of its prescriptions. The choice we are left with under HIPC is thus to either abandon all independent and rational thinking in economic policy-making or wallow in the quagmire of unsustainable debt. It is a choice between the devil and the deep blue sea. To use the whip of debt overhang to enforce this orthodoxy in debt-ridden countries, is in some ways tantamount to blackmail and is therefore both unviable and immoral.197 Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 112 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA With such vehement opposition to the program coming from the head of the Ethiopian State we have to wonder about how much effort Ethiopia really plans on putting into developing their PRSP. As we discussed in the previous pages, we identified a number of possible pitfalls in Ethiopia’s strategy that might prevent a successful outcome. There are other topics touched upon in the I-PRSP that we would have liked to have analyzed in much greater detail such as the current state of the judiciary, details of the proposed micro-credit program, privatization, the Country’s disaster/famine preparedness programs, participatory processes, and environmental degradation among many others. It is clear that developing a sustainable poverty reduction strategy for a country like Ethiopia is a very complex and time consuming task that will not only require resources, but great commitment from all parties involved. We sincerely hope that those creating the final PRSP and those reviewing it will find our insights useful as they continue working through the PRSP process. Even more than that, we hope that the PRSP process itself is not so flawed that all the energy and resources that have been put into it so far were wasted. We must maintain faith that if there is sufficient support and desire to relieve the poverty in Ethiopia there can be a successful collaboration between the World Bank and the IMF, international aid organizations, NGO’s, the Ethiopian State, and the people of Ethiopia who are actually suffering from poverty and other dimensions of ill-being. We believe that the only way for such a successful collaboration to occur is through communication, and if our work can aid that process in any way it would be the greatest reward for our labors. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 113 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA References Abegaz, Berhanu. Aid and Reform in Ethiopia, (August 1999). Abraha, Timnit. Debt: Ethiopia a Background Brief, For NGO Networking Service, InterAfrica Group (October 2000). The Christian Relief and Development Association (CRDA) website, URL: http://www.crdaethiopia.org Clark, Jeffrey. Civil Society, NGOs, and Development in Ethiopia, (June 2000). Consultations with Civil Society Organizations: General Guidelines for World Bank Staff, From NGO and Civil Society Unit Social Development Department, (June 2000). Country Report Ethiopia. The Economist Intelligence Unit, (March 2001). Curl, Kinshasa and Sonja El-Walkil. Civil Society, Unpublished paper prepared for University of California, Los Angeles Urban Planning 217A Course: Comprehensive Project, (Winter 2001). Dercon, Stefan and Krishnan, Pramila. Changes in Poverty in Rural Ethiopia 1989 – 1995: Measurement, Robustness Tests and Decomposition. Oxford: University of Oxford, Center for the Study of African Economies (March 1998). Dercon, Stefan and Krishnan, Pramila. In Sickness and in Health…Risk-sharing within households in rural Ethiopia. Oxford: University of Oxford (April 1997). Devarajan, Shantayanan, Daiv Dollar, Torgny Holmgren. Aid and Reform in Africa, From the Development Research Group, the World Bank (December 1999). Development Committee. Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers-Progress Implementation. (April 2001). Domenzain, Alejandra, Peter Song, and Haydee Urita. International Aid Systems, Unpublished paper for the University of California, Los Angeles Urban Planning 217A Course: Comprehensive Project, (Winter 2001). The Economist Intelligence Unit. Country Profile 2000: Ethiopia. London: The Economist Intelligence Unit (2000). Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 114 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA References (cont.) Edwards, Michael and David Hulme. Development, NGO’s and Civil Society, Obtain additional site information form the Winter International Aid Group. Estache, Antonio, Gomez-Lobo, Andres, and Leipzeiger, Danny. “Utility Privatization and the Needs of the Poor in Latin America: Have We Learned Enough to Get it Right?” London, UK: Paper presented at the World Bank Infrastructure for Development: Private Solutions and the Poor Workshop, (31 May - 2 June, 2000). Ethiopia: Country Commercial Guide. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government; U.S. Foreign and Commercial Service. (2001) Available at http://www1.usatrade.gov Ethiopia: Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper 200/01 – 2002/03. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, (November 2000). Ethiopia Regionalization Study. World Bank, (June 2000). Fowler, Alan. NGO Futures: Beyond Aid – Introduction to the Special Issue NGDO Value and the Forth Position, TWQ-Introduction. The Horn of African NGO Network for Development (HANND) website, URL: http://www.hannd.org InterAfrica Group (IAG) website, URL: http://www.interafrica.org. InterAfrica Group (IAG) website, URL: http://www.interafrica.org/vrc/debt.html.#III. Abraha, Timnit. Debt: Ethiopia a Background Brief, For NGO Networking Service, InterAfrica Group (October 2000). Interim Support Strategy for The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. World Bank, (November 2000). International Forum on Capacity Building: Africa (IFCB) website, URL: http://www.ifcb-ngo.org. Latif, Jalal-Abel. Executive Director, InterAfrica Group, Informal exploratory interview, (May 2001). Library of Congress. Ethiopia – A Country Study. www.library of Congress/Federal Research Division/Country Studies/Area Hand…/Ethiopia. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 115 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA References (cont.) Maluccio, John A. and Quisumbing, Agnes R. Intrahousehold Allocation and Gender Relations: New Empirical Evidence. Washington DC: The World Bank (October 1999). Network for Development (HANND) website, URL: http://www.hannd.org. Neuhaus, P., et al. Ethiopia: Recent Economic Developments. Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund, (September 1999). News & Notices For IMF and World Bank Watchers. Volume 2, Number 3 (Fall 2000). News and Notice for IMF and World Bank Watchers. Volume 2, Number 4. (Spring 2001). Owusu, Kwesi, Sarah Clarke, Stuart Croft, John Garrett. Through the Eye of a Needle. Jubilee 2000, (December 2000). Pankhurst, Dr. Richard. An Introduction to the Economic History of Ethiopia. London, (1961). Parker, Ben. Ethiopia: Breaking New Ground. Oxford: Oxfam, (1995). Piester, Kerianne, ed. Food for Thought, Proceedings from Brown Bag Lunch Series, From Latin America and the Caribbean Civil Society Team of the World Bank (Fall 1999). Prochnik, Ethan M. Food and Famine in Ethiopia: A Historical and Political Study. Washington, D.C.: US State Department, (1986). Robb, Caroline M. Participation in Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers – Draft. Washington, D.C.: IMF (August 2000). Savas, E.S. Privatization and Public Private Partnerships. New York: Seven Bridges Press (2000). Schwab, Peter. Ethiopia – Politics, Economics and Society. London, (1985). Telantin, Michela. World Bank partners are the Ethiopian people, not government of the day- say campaigners, (May 23, 2001). Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 116 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA References (cont.) Wangwe, Samuel. Fostering Technical Capacity Building: The Case of Ethiopia and the United Republic of Tanzania, (May 1995). Wily, Liz Alden. Land Tenure Reform and The Balance of Power in Eastern and Southern Africa. United Kingdom: Overseas Development Institute (June 2000) no. 58. www.odi.org.uk/nrp/58.html The Women’s Affairs Office, Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. Implementing the Ethiopian National Policy for Women: Institution and Regulatory Issues. Washington D.C.: World Bank (April 1998). Van Hove, K., and H.B. Solignac Lecomte. Aid for Trade Development: Lessons for Lome V. (ECDPM Discussion Paper 10). Maastricht: ECDPM, (1999). The World Bank. Ethiopia: Social Sector Report. Washington D.C. (August 1998). The World Bank. HIPC Debt Initiative: Flow Chart. Washington D.C. www.worldbank.org./hipc/about/FlowChrt4.pdf. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 117 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Glossary of Terms AfDB ADA ADLI BDPP Bride price CAS CBE CDF CPIA CRDA CSRP DAC DBE Derg DPPC EAUT EDA EMDA EPRDF ERA ESRDF EU GDP GNP HANND HIPC IAG IFCB IDA Idirs INGO I-PRSP Iqub Kebele NGO ODA ODA ORA PRSP African Development Bank Amhara Development Association Agriculture Development Led Industrialization Bureaus for Disaster Prevention and Preparedness A sum of money or goods paid to a bride and her family by the husband at the time of marriage. Country Assistance Strategy Commercial Bank of Ethiopia Comprehensive Development Framework Country Policy and Institutional Assessment Christian Relief and Development Association Civil Service Reform Program Development Assistance Committee Development Bank of Ethiopia The name of the Marxist/Leninist regime led by Colonel Mengistu Haile Mariam in power from 1974 – 1991. Disaster Prevention and Preparedness Commission Ethiopian United Action Team Effective Development Assistance Ethiopian Muslim Development Agency Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front Eritrean Relief Association Ethiopian Social Rehabilitation and Development Fund European Union Gross Domestic Product Gross National Product Horn of Africa NGO Network for Development Heavily Indebted Poor Country InterAfrica Group International Forum on Capacity Building International Development Association Funeral associations, an informal women’s group. International Non-Governmental Organization Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper Traditional rotating savings and credit associations, an informal women’s group. A village level form of government. Non-Governmental Organization Official Development Assistance Oromo Development Association Oromo Relief Association Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 118 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Glossary of Terms Cont. REST RRC SIP SNNPS TDA TPLF UN UNDAF US Woreda WTO Relief Society of Tigray Relief and Rehabilitation Commission Sector Investment Program Southern Nation and Nationalities People’s Region Tigrayan Development Association Tigray People’s Liberation Front United Nations United Nations Development Assistance Framework United States A district level form of government. World Trade Organization Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 119 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Endnotes 2 http://www.worldbank.org/poverty/strategies/overview.htm 2 The Economist Intelligence Unit. Country Profile 2000: Ethiopia, (2000): p. 5 3 IBID: p. 17 4 The World Bank. Ethiopia: Social Sector Report, (August 1998): p. 14. Women’s Affairs Office, Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. Implementing the Ethiopian National Policy for Women: Institutional and Regulatory Issues, (April 1998): p.18. 5 Women’s Affairs Office, Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. Implementing the Ethiopian National Policy for Women: Institutional and Regulatory Issues, (April 1998): p.18. 6 7 IBID: p.2. 8 IBID: p.1. 9 IBID: p.1. 10 IBID: p.46. 11 Government of Ethiopia. Ethiopia: Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper 2000/01-2002/03, (November 2000): p. 18. Women’s Affairs Office, Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. Implementing the Ethiopian National Policy for Women: Institutional and Regulatory Issues, (April 1998): p.3. 12 13 IBID: p.2. 14 IBID: p.6. 15 The Economist Intelligence Unit. Country Profile 2000: Ethiopia, (2000): p.17. 16 IBID: p.14. 17 The World Bank. Ethiopia: Social Sector Report, (August 1998): p. xviii. 18 IBID: p. 83. 19 IBID: p. 80. 20 IBID: p. 24. 21 IBID: p. xx. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 120 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Endnotes (cont.) 22 IBID: p. 68. 23 IBID: p. 30. 25 IBID: p. 29. 26 IBID: p. 57. 27 IBID: p. xxii. 28 IBID: p. xxiii. 29 IBID: p. 57. 30 IBID: p. 17. 31 IBID: p. 17. 3232 IBID: p. 26. 33 IBID: p. 17. 34 IBID: p. 26. 35 Schwab, Politics, Economics and Society, (London, 1985), p. 4. 36 IBID, p. 4. 37 Richard Pankhurst, An Introduction to the Economic History of Ethiopia, (London 1961), p. 64. 38 Ethan M. Prochnik, Food and Famine in Ethiopia: A Historical and Political Study, (Washington D.C.: U.S. State Department, 1986), p. 14. 39 Ben Parker, Ethiopia: Breaking New Ground, (Oxford: Oxfam, 1995), p. 10. 40 Ethan M. Prochnik, Food and Famine in Ethiopia: A Historical and Political Study, (Washington D.C.: U.S. State Department, 1986), p. 15. 41 IBID, p. 81. 42 Ben Parker, Ethiopia: Breaking New Ground, (Oxford: Oxfam, 1995), p. 14. 43 Interim Support Strategy for the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia, (The World Bank, November 2000), p.3. 44 Ben Parker, Ethiopia: Breaking New Ground, (Oxford: Oxfam, 1995), p. 18. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 121 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA 45 Ethan M. Prochnik, Food and Famine in Ethiopia: A Historical and Political Study, (Washington D.C.: U.S. State Department, 1986), p. 16 – 17. Endnotes (cont.) 46 IBID, p. 17. 47 Country Profile 2000: Ethiopia, (London: The Economist Intelligence Unit, 2000), p. 2. 48 IBID, p. 4. 49 “Ethiopia Regionalization Study”, (Washington D.C.: World Bank, June, 2000), p. 1. 50 IBID, p. 1. 51 IBID, p. 2. 52 IBID, p. 3. 53 IBID, p. 17. 54 IBID, p. 28. 55 IBID, p. 30. 56 IBID, p. 25. 57 IBID, p. 7. 58 IBID, p. x. 59 IBID, p. 10. 60 IBID, p. xi. 61 IBID, p. xii. 62 IBID, p. xii. 63 P. Neuhaus, et al., Ethiopia: Recent Economic Developments (Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund, September 1999), p. 48. 64 “Ethiopia Regionalization Study”, (Washington D.C.: World Bank, June, 2000), p. 45. 65 IBID-, p. xiii. 66 IBID, p. 34. 67 IBID, p. 34. 68 IBIB, p. 34. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 122 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Endnotes (cont.) 69 H.B. Solignac Lecomte and K. Van Hove, Aid for Trade Development: Lessons for Lome V (Maastricht: ECDPM, 1999), p. 27. 70 IBID, p. 28. 71 “Ethiopia Regionalization Study”, World Bank, June, 2000, p. 9. 72 H.B. Solignac Lecomte and K. Van Hove, Aid for Trade Development: Lessons for Lome V (Maastricht: ECDPM, 1999), p. 27. 73 Government of Ethiopia. Ethiopia: Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper 2000/01-2002/03, (November 2000): p. 28. 74 Ethiopia: Country Commercial Guide, (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Foreign and Commercial Service, 2001), Available at http://www1.usatrade.gov. 75 Antonio Estache, Andres Gomez-Lobo and Danny Leipzeiger, “Utility Privatization and the Needs of the Poor in Latin America: Have We Learned Enough to Get it Right?”, (London, UK: Paper presented at the World Bank Infrastructure for Development: Private Solutions and the Poor Workshop, 31 May - 2 June, 2000), p. 29. 76 Ethiopia: Country Commercial Guide, (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Foreign and Commercial Service, 2001), Available at http://www1.usatrade.gov. 77 InterAfrica Group (IAG) website, URL: http://www.interafrica.org. 79 Piester, Kerianne, ed. Food for Thought, Proceedings from Brown Bag Lunch Series, From Latin America and the Caribbean Civil Society Team of the World Bank (Fall 1999). 80 Consultations with Civil Society Organizations: General Guidelines for World Bank Staff, From NGO and Civil Society Unit Social Development Department, (June 2000): p. 5. 81 Abegaz, Berhanu. Aid and Reform in Ethiopia, (August 1999): p. 4. “The Derg (Committee in Amharic) was the Armed Forces Coordinating Committee that came into power in 1975. The Derg abolished the monarchy and proclaimed a republic.” 82 Clark, Jeffrey. Civil Society, NGOs, and Development in Ethiopia, (June 2000): p. 18. 83 Ibid. p. 19. 84 Clark, Jeffrey. Civil Society, NGOs, and Development in Ethiopia, (June 2000): p. 4 and10. 85 Civil war and conflict will be examined by Russell Horning in the crosscutting section of the PRSP Comprehensive project. 86 Clark, Jeffrey. Civil Society, NGOs, and Development in Ethiopia, (June 2000): p. 5. 87 Ibid. p. 9. 88 Ibid. p. 6. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 123 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Endnotes (cont.) 89 Fowler, Alan. NGO Futures: Beyond Aid – Introduction to the Special Issue NGDO Value and the Forth Position, TWQ-Introduction. The solidarity paradigm will be explored in detail during the new paradigm subsection. 90 Clark, Jeffrey. Civil Society, NGOs, and Development in Ethiopia, (June 2000): p. 6. 91 Ibid. p. 12. 92 Ibid. p.1. 93 Ibid. p. 8 and 9. 94 Ibid. p. 1. 95 Ibid. p. 19. 96 Ibid. p. 8. Ethiopia Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper 2000/01 – 2002/03, (November 2000): p. 3. Land Tenure will be examined in detail in the Poverty Section of this paper by Toriana Henderson. Berhanu, Abegaz. Aid and Reform in Ethiopia, (August 1999): p. 42. 97 98 99 Clark, Jeffrey. Civil Society, NGOs, and Development in Ethiopia, (June 2000): p. 8. 100 The Christian Relief and Development Association (CRDA) website, URL: http://www.crdaethiopia.org 101 Ibid. CRDA website. 102 Clark, Jeffrey. Civil Society, NGOs, and Development in Ethiopia, (June 2000): p. 8. 103 IBID: p. 5. 104 The role of the CRDA will be examined in the Involvement in the PRSP process subsection of this paper. 105 Clark, Jeffrey. Civil Society, NGOs, and Development in Ethiopia, (June 2000): p. 9. 106 The Horn of African NGO Network for Development (HANND) website, URL: http://www.hannd.org 107 Yusuf, Yasmin. Ethiopia Muslims Development Agency Established. The Horn of African NGO Network for Development (HANND) website, URL: http://www.hannd.org. 108 InterAfrica Group (IAG) website, URL: http://www.interafrica.org. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 124 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA 109International 110 Forum on Capacity Building: Africa (IFCB) website, URL: http://www.ifcb-ngo.org. I-PRSP. p. 35. Endnotes (cont.) 111 Consultations with Civil Society Organizations: General Guidelines for World Bank Staff, From NGO and Civil Society Unit Social Development Department, (June 2000): p. 3. Fowler, Alan. NGO Futures: Beyond Aid – Introduction to the Special Issue NGDO Value and the Forth Position, TWQ-Introduction. 112 113 Berhanu, Abegaz. Aid and Reform in Ethiopia, (August 1999): p. 30. 114 I-PRSP. p. 35-36. 115 Organizations such as USAID provide relief funds, which are channeled though United States based NGOs. 116 Abegaz, Berhanu. Aid and Reform in Ethiopia, (August 1999): p:3. 117 Ibid. p.8. 118 Ibid. p.8 119 Civil war and conflict will be examined by Russell Horning in the Crosscutting section of the PRSP Comprehensive Project. 120 Devarajan, Shantayanan, Daiv Dollar, Torgny Holmgren. Aid and Reform in Africa, (December 1999): p. 9. From the Development Research Group, the World Bank. 121 Ethiopia Regionalization Study, World Bank, June, 2000, p. 30. 122 Abegaz, Berhanu. Aid and Reform in Ethiopia, (August 1999): p. 35. 123 Ibid. p. Abstract. 124 Ibid. p. 3. 125 Devarajan, Shantayanan, Daiv Dollar, Torgny Holmgren. Aid and Reform in Africa, (December 1999): p. 13. From the Development Research Group, the World Bank. 126 Ibid. p. 14. 127 Ibid. 15. 128 Owusu, Kwesi, Sarah Clarke, Stuart Croft, John Garrett. Through the Eye of a Needle. Jubilee 2000, (December 2000): p. 19. 129 Ibid. p.19. 130 Ibid. p. 19. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 125 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA 131 Abegaz, Berhanu. Aid and Reform in Ethiopia, (August 1999): p. 12. Endnotes (cont.) 132 Ibid. p.12. 133 Ibid. p. 11and 12. 134 Ibid. p. 15. 135 Ibid. p. 25. 136 Ibid. p. 15. 137 Ibid. p. 17. 138 Ibid. p. 18. 139 Ibid. p. 18. 140 Ibid. p. 21. 141 Ibid. p. 32. 142 External aid is coordinated at Consultative Group Meeting which usually occur biennially. Ibid. p. 33. 143 Ibid. p. Abstract. 144 The Ethiopia County Assistance Strategy (CAS) outlines the donors’ goals. 145 Abegaz, Berhanu. Aid and Reform in Ethiopia, (August 1999): p. 32. 146 Ibid. p. 33. 147 Ibid. 34. Further detailed analysis regarding NGOs is available in the Civil Society section of this paper. 148 Abegaz, Berhanu. Aid and Reform in Ethiopia, (August 1999): p. 39. 149 These findings are based on ten case studies in Africa, including Ethiopia. Devarajan, Shantayanan, Daiv Dollar, Torgny Holmgren. Aid and Reform in Africa, (December 1999): p. 3 and 30. From the Development Research Group, the World Bank. 150 Ibid. p. 31. 151 Ibid. p. 17. 152 Wangwe, Samuel. Fostering Technical Capacity Building: The Case of Ethiopia and the United Republic of Tanzania, (May 1995): p. 14. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 126 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA 153 For additional information on building partnerships with the private sector to increase technological capacity please refer to: Wangwe, Samuel. Fostering Technical Capacity Building: The Case of Ethiopia and the United Republic of Tanzania, (May 1995): p. 14-19. Endnotes (cont.) 154 Abegaz, Berhanu. Aid and Reform in Ethiopia, (August 1999): p. 35. 155 News & Notices For IMF and World Bank Watchers. Volume 2, Number 3 (Fall 2000): p. 16. 156 Ibid. p. 16. 157 Domenzain, Alejandra, Peter Song, and Haydee Urita. International Aid Systems, Unpublished paper for the University of California, Los Angeles Urban Planning 217A Course: Comprehensive Project, Winter (2001). Edwards, Michael and David Hulme. Development, NGO’s and Civil Society. P. 51. Obtain additional site information form the Winter International Aid Group. 158 159 Informal exploratory interview with Jalal Abel-Latif, Executive Director, InterAfrica Group, (May 2001) 160 Government of Ethiopia. Ethiopia: Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper 2000/01-2002/03, (November 2000): p. 21 and 22. 161 Development Committee. Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers-Progress Implementation. (April 2001): p. 5. 162 News and Notice for IMF and World Bank Watchers. Volume 2, Number 4. (Spring 2001): p. 14. 163 IBID: p. 9. 164 Ibid. p. 11. 165 Ibid. p. 13. Ethiopia Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper 2000/01 – 2002/03, (November 2000): p. 1215. 166 167 Abraha, Timnit. Debt: Ethiopia a Background Brief, For NGO Networking Service, InterAfrica Group (October 2000). 168 Telantin, Michela. World Bank partners are the Ethiopian people, not government of the day- say campaigners, (May 23, 2001): p. 2. 169 According to Jubilee 2000, Ethiopia owes US$1.5 billion in IDA loans, the largest amount in SubSaharan Africa. 170 I-PRSP: p.27 171 I-PRSP: p. 33. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 127 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA 172 IBID: p.3. 173 IBID: p. 3. Endnotes (cont.) 174 IBID: p. 11. 175 IBID: p. 11. 176 IBID: p. 12. 177 IBID: p. 15. 178 IBID: p. 13. 179 IBID: p. 10. 180 IBID: p. 22. 181 IBID: p. 5. 182 IBID: p. 8. 183 IBID: p. 13. Women’s Affairs Office, Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. Implementing the Ethiopian National Policy for Women: Institutional and Regulatory Issues, (April 1998): p.1. 184 185. Government of Ethiopia. Ethiopia: Interim Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper 2000/01-2002/03, (November 2000): p. 14. 186 IBID: p. 19. 187 IBID: p. 19. 188 IBID: p. 20. 189 IBID: p. 20. 190 IBID: p. 16. 191 IBID: p. 18. 192 IBID: p. 28. 193 IBID: p. 21. 194 IBID: p. 22. 195 IBID: p. 22. Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 128 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA 196 IBID: p. 23. 197 InterAfrica Group (IAG) website, URL: http://www.interafrica.org /vrc/debt.html.#III. Abraha, Timnit. Debt: Ethiopia a Background Brief, For NGO Networking Service, InterAfrica Group (October 2000). Appendix A Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 129 POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES FEASIBILITY FOR ETHIOPIA Ethiopia I-PSRP Critique 130