Announcements for Wednesday, October 10, 2001 Two New Handouts: Blue - Exam Review Guide Yellow - Lecture Handout Pink - Berger Paper For Monday: Review chapter 8 Read short paper by Mark Berger For Today: Return Reaction Papers Return Quizzes Take a look at exam review sheet "Why Welfare Reliant Women Don't Work" Underclass and Race Poverty and Education On Monday: Finish Chapter 8 Lecture Some Review Discussion Wednesday, October 17 EXAM Chapter 3, “Why Don’t Welfare-Reliant Mothers Go to Work What do women on welfare base their decision to work on? Do these women base their decision on “CostBenefit analysis and “Rational Choice”? Authors argue yes (p. 63-65) and give some evidence. Most welfare recipients have work experience. What are the lessons learned by low-wage women in the labor market? Returning to low wages jobs held before doesn’t help Risk of loss of job leads to uncertain income Employment in low-paying jobs seldom leads to higher paying jobs JOBS clubs had little benefit since it simply got them the same type of jobs they held before Children’s well-being at risk What is the relationship between welfare and work disincentives? p. 66, loss of housing subsidies and Medical Card (Medicaid) What is the relationship between welfare and job training? JOBS prepares for low-paying jobs Training inadequate for jobs that pay well enough to get off of welfare Do welfare recipient want off of welfare? (p. 77) Yes – majority do at some time Child-care and lack of training major obstacles Not willing to get off for minimum wage job What does it take to get off of welfare? o Extra costs of working (p. 84) child care, $58 $91 health coverage, $37 private housing transportation, $67 clothing, $27 Total = $189 o So welfare mothers spent $1,077 so need $1,300 a month or $8-9 What do these experiences suggest for welfare reform? o Authors argue (p. 86) reform is predicated on: Most welfare-recipient mothers have little or no work-experience Employment at a low-wage job will provide access to better jobs in the future What characterized the welfare mothers that did go to work? o Reduced costs of child-care, special arrangements o Reduced rent o Child Support o Some health coverage Underclass: Culture and Race (Chapter 8 Schiller) While the U.S. economy has grown, the standard of living have risen, and billions of dollars have been channeled into welfare programs to assist the poor, poverty still exists at a higher rate than many people would like. What does the “culture of poverty” theory say about the persistence of poverty in light of overall economic prosperity in the U.S.? An underclass exists – a set of the population so poor and socially isolated that it does not respond to mainstream prosperity, incentives and values. The poor lack sufficient desire and motivation to escape poverty. This culture spawns single parent households discourages labor force participation and perpetuates poverty. Assumptions about underclass that lead to these behaviors: they don’t value economic security in the same way middle and upper class Americans do they might not see educational attainment as a good route to improving economic status they prefer non-deferred gratification and engage in self-indulgence -sex, consumption, not saving – MYOPIC Culture is determined by norms and values – since these aren’t really directly observable, we make inferences by observing behavior. Does this theory rely on arguments based on flawed character, restricted opportunity, or big brother? What are the long-term, intergenerational implications of this theory? Does Schiller believe in “the culture of poverty?” He looks at how schooling choices of the poor might reflect restricted opportunity more than flawed character. He looks at how saving and investment choices of the poor might reflect restricted opportunity more than flawed character. Page 129 of text: “In reality, the poor do not have an equal opportunity to fulfill, or even to pursue, their goals. Hence, there may be a sharp divergence between the aspirations and the behavior of the poor that does not exist among middle-class groups.” What is William Julius William’s Underclass Theory? Restructuring of the U.S. economy and economic activity have reduced the number of jobs inner cities and left certain areas with few jobs that pay well and have upward mobility. In inner city areas heavily populated by African Americans, those with middle and upper class income status are likely to move out of the area. Poorer African Americans remain in social and economic isolation. This core of the impoverished who remain begins to develop a distinct culture of “ghetto poverty.” (This core refers to about 1% of the U.S. population and 10% of all people in poverty.) A unique set of values may develop in this isolated setting that leads to a unique set of behaviors. Does Wilson attribute the formation of this culture to flawed character or other external forces? Behaviors come across as mechanisms to cope with conditions imposed by external factors. There are No Children Here, book about life of two children in a Chicago housing project complex.) Generally, does an underclass stem from “dysfunctional culture” or “external forces?” Schiller examines the aspirations of the poor to see if they resemble the middle class. When poor mothers asked about career ASPIRATIONS for eldest child, 70% had goal of a white collar job When poor mothers asked about career EXPECTATIONS for eldest child, 46% had expectation of white collar job When poor children were asked if they plan to attend college 90% said yes. Nonpoor – 96% yes Schiller concludes from this that lower educational and occupational attainment of the poor reflects restricted opportunity more than insufficient aspirations. Are most poor people happy with being in poverty? Poverty and Race: For African Americans and Hispanics, 1 out of 4 are in poverty. For whites, 1 out of 12 are in poverty. There is a correlation between race and poverty, but what causes it? Theories we will look at: Restricted Opportunity (chapter 9 and 10) Discrimination (chapter 10) Culture of Poverty and Underclass Theory (tied to race) (chapter 7) Racial Inferiority (chapter 7) What is “racial inferiority theory?” Does Schiller believe that some races are inferior and that this explains the increased rate of poverty these groups experience? How does Schiller support his view? Raw, innate intelligence is very difficult to observe and quantify. I.Q. test results Average scores of blacks 15-20 points lower than whites While race is connected to lower scores, does not necessarily mean lower intelligence. Outcome of IQ test profoundly affected by economic status and environment and experience of child. Structure and design of test favors experience of racial majority children. Additional evidence: Blacks fare differently based on geographic region. Average black economic status has improved significantly over time. How do you explain the extreme successes? What does “race” mean anyway? Are races pure? Why does Schiller go here? Why does he talk about racial inferiority? He isn’t using this study to rule out flawed character arguments, only to rule out racial inferiority arguments. Causes of Poverty and Education Outline: Poverty and Education I. Education and Income II. Education and Earnings in Kentucky On survey we completed on first day of class, students said that lack of education was the leading cause of poverty. I. Education and Income Does Education Pay? (What is the impact of education on earnings?) More education means more human capital to bring to the labor market. If education does pay, what are the policy implications for poverty reduction? Table 8.1 in text: Education and the Labor Market (for males aged 25-64) U.S. Dept. of Labor High School High School College Dropouts Graduates Graduates Unemployment rate (%) 6.3 3.9 1.6 Labor Force Participation Rate 76.1 76.2 93.3 (%) Full-time workers (%) 61.7 77.8 85.6 Occupational Status Blue collar Clerical Professional Average Earnings $19,223 $29,018 $63,529 Education and Poverty Table 8.2 in text: Incidence of Adult Poverty, by Education 1998, 25 years old and above, U.S. Bureau of the Census Education No High School Diploma High School Graduate no college Some College College Graduate Poverty Rate within group 23.4 10.1 6.5 3.0 Is the earnings gap for educational attainment widening? (Increasing skill premiums?) See Berger's figures 3 and 4 to see widening gap Why has earnings gap increased? 1) Higher demand for skilled labors has driven up wages. Technological advance and international competition have increased demand. 2) Steady flow of immigrants and low-wage goods have held wages of less-skilled workers down. What relevant factors, other than education, affect earnings? Holding constant education level, 1) Average earnings of whites exceeds blacks 2) Average earnings of males exceeds females 3) Labor market conditions/Condition of economy/the hiring queue II. Education and Earnings in Kentucky Mark C. Berger, "Education and Earnings in Kentucky, 1964 - 1996"CBER Annual Report, 1998, p. 19-25 This paper describes research that examines the connection between education and labor market success in Kentucky. The stronger this link, the more likely policy designed to improve education and reduce drop out rates will improve the economic status of low income Kentuckians as well. Facts: In Kentucky (1990): 35.4% not completed high school; 13.6% had BA or more In US: 24.8% 20.3% In Kentucky only 62-69% of high school freshman complete highschool. Table 2 - Berger Average Weekly Earnings Level of Education All Less than High School High School Some College BA Graduate or Professional Men United Kentucky States 533 557 Women % of United US Kentucky States % of US 95.7 401 520 578 767 340 576 628 966 117.9 90.3 92.0 79.4 176 303 371 706 206 382 391 571 85.4 79.3 94.9 123.6 1628 1386 117.5 1006 794 126.7 Figures 1-4 show changes in earnings gaps over time based on gender, schooling, KY, and nation. Male high school graduates earn 40% more than dropouts in Kentucky (Drop out penalty) Weekly earnings of Male BA approximately 60% more than that of high school graduates Weekly earnings of Male graduate or professional degree approximately 75% more than that of high school graduate Women BA’s earn double a HS graduate and women with a graduate or professional degree earn 200% more. While there is payoff to attending some college in Kentucky, the payoff of completing the degree is significantly higher.