13. Examples 13.1 13.2 13.3 13.4 13.5 Entry study – charting of new market Prosperity research – reacts on market requirements without loosing information value Classical quantitative researches : Discovering of level of mark knowledge at existent and potential customers, penetration research, penetration of (our) product into the market, research of purchase behaviour of consumers. 13.6 Equipment analysis of households (things of long term usage) work with specific methodical appliance. 13.7 Consumable habits in relative wide view, but in scope of quantitative research – examines U&A (Usage and Attitude) Product research – research of product resonance on the market. Price research –wide spectrum of relations and ambivalent influence of price 13.8 13.9 13.1 Entry study Problem At entering on a firm into a new market it is necessary to make a marketing preliminary preparation, by which usually : - the firm is deciding, whether to enter into the market, whether the market is interesting for it, - the firm decides on which bases characteristics will prepare its strategy. Philosophy of approach : The content of Entry study are only these basic information, which enable : - to estimate the market capacity - to formulate social, economics and legal ambience of the market for given commodity - to assess competition ambience - to warn of market specifics The firm assigns an institution, that is acquainted well with given market, to a study which will summarise facto-graphical material about given market. The questions are if it is effective to deal with given market in detail. Methodology Resource is mostly collection of secondary data, source of information is statistical annual, different special statistics, statistics of family budgets, information on internet, in some cases experts interviewing. Social ambience is especially based on information about : - number of population - age structure - social structure, rate of city and country population - split into agglomeration - family, household character geographical data - height above sea level, mobility of population ethnic and religious data education employment in general, employment of women Economics data - GDP (rough domestic product) - GDP per person - average income per person, household, average income - differentiation graph - structure of expenses - household equipment Legal ambience - conditions for economics activity of firm, establishment - commodity norms - specific legal problems - example at mark goods extent and risks of piracy Competition ambience (usually expert assessments of quantitative data) - domestic firms and their production - import and export - main marks on the market - prices, price relations Logistics - main logistics ways of suppliers - main logistics ways of consumers - prices, discounts, usual delivery conditions Firms have usually their specific models for calculations of market capacity. Comparison analysis For entering into market, but also for strategy of entering and for propagation conception is at some commodities used so called comparison analysis (or comparison marketing). In this case the thing is not only comparison of basic data , but also comparison of ways of life and culture in large sense of meaning. Its use in marketing can be large. Allow to choose suitable symbols, corresponding with given culture. Economics and effectiveness of research Entry study uses especially secondary data, collects facts. Mostly uses openly published data. Is not financially demanding. Entry study is resource for next steps, is base for hypothesis, that are proving in further process. Its effectiveness is that conclusions give real picture about basic parameters of market, the firm wants to enter into. Outputs, their reliability and interpretation The basic outputs are tables, charts, sometimes commentary. Important is quotation of information origin. The data quality depends very often on quality of statistic materials, statistic level in the given country. Notes to data reliability show reputation of research team and its abilities to orient in statistical materials and information. International firms have usually standard models for key questions. Individual commodities deduce from data accessible in statistics. 13.2. Prosperity research Problem What is the total dynamics of the market, how is developing in scope of this dynamics the followed commodity, eventually trade mark. Has insufficient development my mark only or all my commodities or is it a total decrease of economy ? When I want to increase sale of my mark, with what phenomenon I must fight ? Philosophy History : except dynamics has economical life also cyclic development. Economists following market development say, that the development is not constant, but it runs in sinusoids. Classical names of economic development phases are : - prosperity - boom - recession - crisis - rejuvenation In analysis of prosperity development became critical reversal on black Friday 1929, when occurred total crash of economy. On base of this experience started economists to deal with this problem more in detail. The most successful was a group of economists at Harvard university, which published so called Harvard barometer. The barometer analysed development of economics indicators and showed the time succession of 3 categories of variables : - financial market – stock market – price of shares - stocks - prices Analysis showed that development of these variables has tendency to do a sinusoid, that runs in certain time succession. Methodology developed in next years followed tendency of individual variables in different phases : situation on stock market, stocks in shops, situation in production companies and consumers´ attitudes. Methodology Gradually developed few methodologies for following of prosperity development and methods for fast obtaining and providing of information : 5 methodological spheres : Stock market Dow and Jones from Wall Street Journal suggested an index of stock market development : Bonds – financial share market, Industry, Transport, Utilities, … and average index. In different countries created indexes around economical journals (England – Financial Times, Germany – Frankfurter Algemeine Zeitung, Japan – Nikkei, …) Index of the Czech stock market is analogous with Down-Jones and is elicited from quoted markets. Stock indexes are differently modified. Differences are also in frequencies how are published (to moment of stock market closure, sometimes every minute – Financial Times). Advantage is : operative Disadvantage : follows according to Harvard barometer only one variable. For classical marketing research are more interesting researches based on following of stocks, production, price and consumer´s behaviour. Data analysis (sale and stock) at sellers After economic crisis started Nielsen A.C. deal with stocks. He came out of these that stocks are at the beginning of a cycle. He said that crisis start with problems in the end phase of cycle – sale of consumable goods. These problems hinder gradually also supplier activities and proceed further to initial production. Crisis in whole economics culminates. Decrease of demand (or its overestimation) causes increase of stocks. Gradually is restricted purchase and hindrance of stock flow proceeds further to initial production. In this phase culminates crisis. Development in stocks averaged on sales organisations appeared as very followed indicator. He started in a shop with food – published food index – further Drugstore Index – textile, hardware, Toys-Index, … At present follows the index (at sellers) stocks, sales, prices, shop areas, changes in marketability, effectiveness of exhibit areas at individual kinds of products, sales actions, sale in individual kinds of shops. The central Nielsen is connected with central computers in chosen shop organisations, using bar code and can provide in short intervals (weekly) detail information. Nielsen works today in some European countries, basic information provides also in CZ. Consumer test At the beginning of second world war asked American government the professor Katona to help with following of American market in view of possible unfavourable reactions on war conditions. Katona – economist and psychologist – is known with his analysis about consumer, he characterised real and addictive purchase behaviour. Real or original decision is usually for larger expenses, consumer collects information, plans the purchase, creates economical conditions for it (adjusts his budget, saves). Addictive decision – short decision, consumer has some stereotype processes, which replace collecting of information. It is typical for everyday expenses, impulsive purchase (textile) etc. He worked out a method, characterising consumer behaviour – known as consumer index. This index is still used in many countries in different modification. Known in for example index of consumer climate – worked out at Erasmus University – expresses development of attitudes to consumption. Decision-makers test (managers) proceeds from the assumption that the most important information about expected development and future behaviour of economic subjects can provide the leading workers – decision managers. IFO Institute in Munich worked out an original methodology based on simple five grades verbal scale, which characterises last period and expected development in sales, stocks, prices, investments, profit. The fulfilment of a questionnaire is based on subjective evaluation, takes minimum time, in optimal case about 1 minute. Data are fast collected and worked out (especially in internet era). Results are published in from : prosperity balance prosperity mirror After few years of following worked out the IFO institution correlation between balance and expected development. Advantages of prosperity test : very fast information, good information. Applied in different modification in many countries. Trend characterisation uses different methods of trends´ development, follows sinusoid and predicates probability of prosperity breaks. Method “exponential smoothing” stress period immediately preceded. Individual parts of expenses structure show different prosperity sensitivity : Food is prosperity inert, have tendency to keep trend (typical for their development is time-factor) and with only some delay react on acceleration or slowdown in increase of incomes of population. The income elasticity we estimate on the base of first difference. Typically prosperity sensitive are expenses for textile, where the second difference is around value “2”. The important prosperity information are data about financial behaviour of population – development of savings, that have important prosperity sensitivity. It is followed rate of savings (share of inserted means of incomes), development of financial incomes of population etc., demand for foreign currency. Economy and research effectiveness Prosperity research is usually organised with these characteristic signs : - it is regular, repetitive research with help of standard model, results in time are comparable. - Sources of information are maximal simple and are easily, fast and standard processing. - Research is dome for large circle of users, therefore is price for one customer relative low. The effectiveness is indisputable for firms, that offer larger portfolio of products and have certain share on market. Interpretation Prediction value of all these methods is conditional. Usually are the methods combined (for example trend characteristics, IFO test etc.). Prosperity research is today an important category in market research. Stated methods give partial – but valuable information about prosperity, from them are deduced marketing data etc. 13.3 How the customers know trade marks Problem How famous is our mark ? Philosophy The knowledge of a trade mark is indicator, which usually correlates with situation on the market. Its knowledge signalises, that enters actively into decision process of consumer. Analysis show that exist quite solid correlation between knowledge and sales. The knowledge also signalises how effective is propagation and informs about conditions of product infiltration into the market. The mark knowledge is one of the primary assumptions of product marketability. Original forms of knowledge (according to Storch) were tested at advertising. Knowledge of advertising was tested with help of three categories : Recall unaided : What advertising in press do you remember ? The result was that followed advertising evoked attention that the respondent kept it actively in memory. Recall aided : What advertising on … (soft drinks, or other commodity) do you remember ? The respondent is prompted an important association binding. Recognition : Have you seen this advertising ? In case that in the respondents memory left a mark, it is possible with help of further advertising or other contact with the mark or product to activate it easily. Information about advertising research were used also for analysis of trade marks knowledge. Usually only two stages are used : Awareness unaided : What kinds of ….. (soft drinks) do you know ? Awareness aided : What of these marks do you know ? Awareness aided and unaided is mutually compared – is valid : - Awareness aided is bigger or equal to awareness unaided. If some mark is stated at respondent unaided, than its absence in awareness aided signalises a mistake. - It is proved, that exist important correlation between knowledge and sales. - The more approaches awareness unaided to awareness aided, the more active is awareness. Risks: - Awareness unaided is relatively importantly determined by space (time) which has the consumer for enumeration of mark he knows. - Questioner can let (from carelessness, incorrectness) the respondent to look into questionnaire, where he can read list of marks used in following question. Sometimes gives in the requirement of respondent to fulfil retrospectively on the basis of listing in the second question a certain mark also in first question. - Awareness aided can be understood prestigiously and respondent states that he knows marks, that in fact does nor know or which mention him something. This problem is sometimes solved by presentation of fictive marks in listing and discovering of mistake coefficient. 13.4 How product penetrates customer Problem From company´s statistic and from conjuncture data we get general data about sales and about its development. But when we want to use active marketing politics, we must know who buys our products, how loyal is, in other words, how our product penetrates the market. Philosophy of approach Market penetration is possible to formalise as process that starts with perceiving of product (mark) existence, its first purchase, repeated purchase, dominant or subdominant orientation on given product or mark, ways of change from mark to mark etc. The aim of the penetration analysis is to find out sufficient amount of exact data. Questions must be simple and clear, with simple and clear answer. It is a classical quantitative research, that we try to not complicate with qualitative or open questions, even if open complementary questions are not eliminated. Criterion of sufficient exact data is possible to test with help of probability of mistake. Methodology We usually do the research by interviewing Face to face, with help of ensemble of questioners. At U&A is sometimes used omnibus examination (is repeated and includes commodity in whole width) or panel, especially when we work with help of journal. Selective ensemble reaches about 1000 inquired. Theoretically we should prefer accidental selection, but quote selection gives at good questioner net good, sometimes even better results. From spatial view we accentuate to be, in correspondence with total spreading of population, uniformly fill in regions (districts, regions) agglomerations of different size. Questionnaire In questionnaire we use almost only direct questions, that have closed form. The questions should be short and clear. * Awareness aided According to theory of learning is high correlation between mark knowledge (product) and purchase activity. Therefore information about mark (product) knowledge is basic information about conditions of penetrating of product, or mark the market. * Awareness unaided (spontaneous) is higher level of preservation of a mark in memory, mark is automatically mentioned. * He (she) bought, tried : includes all respondents who at least once bought the product, or tried it. (Increase of cognitive page of perception). * Repeated purchase, frequency of purchase shows level of loyalty to the trade mark. * Main mark (minor mark). Consumer has usually tendency to choose some mark as main, but can have also some minor marks, which he chooses as additional. Relation between main and minor mark characterises next side of the picture of loyalty to the mark. * Stocks (stocks that has a family at home) * Switch : analysis switch gives a picture about main ways of moving from mark to mark. Switch is usually investigated from two points of view : initial mark – shows on which marks will move demand from our mark – i.e. what marks are for given mark the most dangerous. * Mapping – correlation (or graphic) characteristics of mark position among other marks from view of dimensions, that are from view of marketing mark strategy the most important. * Economy and efficiency Penetration is one of basic information for conception marketing politics. It helps to orient in segmentation, shows risk situation, allows to express hypothesis about loyalty factors, competition relations between marks, about needs of marketing support. At products with more important share on the market it is possible to consider the penetration analysis in some time intervals (3-4 years) for effectively spent money. * Outputs and their reliability and interpretation The results of penetration research we usually get in charter form. 13.5 How the customer behaves at purchase Followed categories are for example : * Purchase frequency – this information is important for choice of target group. Purchase rhythm is lengthen. We must not forget the regressive binding. * Frequency of purchase of certain product * Size (total volume) of 1 purchase. Particular accent is put on connection of purchase and services (food, entertainment etc.). This category changes in time. * Size of purchase of 1 commodity also increases, but with lesser intensity. * Place of purchase – changes dynamically. * Decision tree (process at decision about choice of mark, product) * Preferential (motivation) factors do not belong to typical quantitative phenomenon. 13.6 Things of long-term usage Problem How is equipped a household with thing of long-term usage ? Philosophy of approach Further classical quantitative research is research of households´ facilities with thing of long-term usage. This research is not only used for estimation of facilities with given things or demands for them, but it is a base for analysis about demands for products, that have complementary relation with given subject (washing machine and washing powders, fuel and car, frozen products and microwave oven etc.) Methodology The base is interviewing, usually Face to face. It is a typically quantitative research, is valid requirement for precise selection of respondents, which minimises mistakes. The selective ensemble is 1000 and more respondents. Questionnaire includes practically direct and open questions only. At research of facilities we deal with these categories : - Ownership of the thing and usage of the thing : - leasing – the thing is in usage, but not in ownership - usage of official products – especially cars – here is valid the same note like at leasing. Unclear is ownership by tradesmen. Generation shifting – the thing is at grandparents´ disposal, is different owner and user. - Definition of family and definition of household : The habitation condition in the past built here complicated ownership relations and consumer behaviour at habitation in common. If a household is not defined properly, can be incorrect results. This aspect can take on surprising dimensions in international comparison, when we compare utilities at cultures, where a household is created by the whole family clan. - Number of things on 1000 households and per mille of households equipped with the thing. Both categories have predicate abilities. The first category respects multiply facilities of some households, the second category states pro mille of households that are equipped with at least one thing. - Multiply facilities and life cycle : household does replacement of facilities for technical innovations, but older things does not cast out, but removes them lodges and cottages. Average numbers about innovation activities are distorted. Economy and efficiency Facility research is effective when it has large ensemble of subscribers, pays for large contractor's community (producer, marketing and advertisement agencies). Is used as economic indicator and also is a part of national statistical publications. For individual firm is recommend to find if the necessary research did any from research agencies. - Outputs and their reliability and interpretation The basic output are charts, that are usually classified – for example according to age, things, number of facilities etc. Other researches with quantitative nature are : 13.7 How the customer behaves at consumption U&A (Usage and Attitude) * Frequency of consumption – how often is the product consumed or used * What marks are consumed (usually are the nature of U&A) * Who in the household consumes or uses it * Situation conditions – in what situations is used , sometimes we talk about situation competence, for what situations is the product suitable * Factors of choice – how proceeds a decision process in a household, is it planned or is actually chosen from disposable possibilities * Experience with preparation of consumption - how emotionally is preparation affected (attention on conclusions from quantitative research) * Experience with consumption – how emotionally is consumption affected (attention on conclusions from quantitative research) * Preference of trade marks, their evaluation – other attitudes are at quantitative research examined exceptionally, results are less valid. 13.8 Product research Problem How is our product perceived and evaluated, what chance has new product in competition field ? Philosophy of approach One of marketing axioms says, that for marketing is determining how is the product perceived, not how it is. Therefore belongs in the research also a specific complex of processes and tests, which discover expected resonance of the product on the market. The investigated persons are mainly laymen (common consumers), not experts. At the beginning were tested new ready products (or their packages etc.), gradually was included also testing of designs of new products and tests of concepts of new products. Therefore are into the phase of ideas and first devices about new product “pulled” possible consumers. Not only creativity, technicians and designers are sufficient, but also it is necessary to listen the voices and opinions of consumers. New products a) can fulfil spaces on the market – a part of tests in searching for these spaces – or b) have to replace products, that are leaving the market, because also the most successful products have their life cycle, so new products are continually developed and freshen up the already existing products. Methodology We divide the product research on searching and testing of ideas for new products and on testing of ready products : - searching for ideas : in first step it is necessary to create from basic idea a concept idea. - test of (ready) products : (or their parts – see further) which shall find out (expected) resonance on the market. Sometimes is tested complete mix , its target is to verify synergy and consistence among different elements of marketing mix. This test is often performed by form of simultaneous test of the market and is so constructed, to provide estimation of possible volume of sales of new product. This means, a product (when introduced on the market) can change or modify, because is always in movement, so it is essential to evaluate it, or revalue. Therefore are product tests and market analysis, that are searching new spaces, never ending processes. Searching for ideas, new conception thoughts Ideas of concepts of new products come out from many sources. Occasionally can arise on basis of an individual creative idea, but the most often sources of ideas are : - search of special literature including licences, data about competitive products etc. - critical responses on existing products, on their usage, including spaces in production series - artefacts – from different sources – from handymen, archaeologists etc. - different types of group discussions – foe example brainstorming – or games, as with common consumers, so with experts - morphological methods – searching for nature, original purpose, product adaptation to certain scope - activities of development workers From view of production firm come out new conception ides from these sources : - fundamental technical discoveries, usually from development and research department - formalised processes on impulse of firm to search new ideas - products transfer from other markets to “our” market - imitations and fakes Fundamental technical discovery Also a new product, coming out from fundamental technical discovery, must be tested in scope of product test. It is necessary to test the product and find out : - what asset, advantage, benefit brings its usage to consumer - how must be this asset presented to potential consumer In scope of the test is important to find out its communication value, i.e. what says the product itself and how is comprehensible to consumer. One of used ways if research of “benefits and reasons”. The aim of this research is to understand : - to whom can the product bring the biggest benefit (what target group) - to find out for consumer the most attractive benefits of product (drivery) - the most motivated reasons for product purchase (reason why). Even if this access can appear in initial phases of development as baselessly rational, it represents key questions where the nature of intellectual conception of new product is formed. Formalised researches The second way how many producers try to find out new ideas is process of formalised researches. Some research agencies have in this sphere its know-how. These researches usually include two types of analysis : - description or market mapping with consequential analysis of current market situation, i.e. creation of market picture and position of different marks in this picture with aim to find out spaces on the market. - If spaces are found, the next step is to determine why. The reason of space could be (and often is) the fact, that the product type that could fulfil the space is totally uninteresting for consumers. These can be groups of products or concrete product, also sub elements – physical or emotional elements, that could influence consumers decision. Analysis proceed with quantitative methods (representative interviewing to find out how many people have mentioned associations for colour etc.), but also methods of qualitative research. The initial phase of qualitative research of concepts of new products development is brain storming. This can be done by consumers, so by working group from the firm. In general, the consumers are not very good at creating of new ideas. But the consumers usually have not tendency to preconception. Special are (discussion) groups, that meet repeatedly. After first meeting of the group analyses the producer, propagation or design department results of the discussion and uses them for revision of stimulation materials. These presents again to the same group of people to new evaluation – creates some type of feedback. This process continuous for three or four meetings, usually in relatively short time. It is necessary to mention : consumers, who were at the first meeting classical laymen, are not any more at repeated meetings. They have more information. Products transfer from other markets to “our” market Thank to growing domination of multinational companies is the most usual source of ideas – how to come with a new product on the market – to simply introduce already existing product from a country on a market of a new country. But the fact that a product is successful in one country is not guarantee that it will be successful in other country. Already existing product can be tested by usual processes, but often is useful to test concept of this – new for given market – product. In this case tests the concept usually prospective position of the product on the market, acceptability or comprehensibility of product presentation etc. Imitations The way that is on the first sight ethically inadmissible, but has its practical form. The producer´s effort to connect an imitation with anew product, modification etc. is an asset for market variety. A specific problem are fakes, that overstep ethical limits of mental ownership, but are hardly apprehensible when does not exist precise law (licence) protection. Concept testing and its processing The concept testing is the critical phase of research process. Also this phase can be done in qualitative, quantitative or both methods. One of the most important thing especially at application of quantitative processes is to set before starting of the test . - key parameters - way of use of HDP results Example : when one of the targets is to reduce number of concepts, must be set clear criterions to determine how this reduction will proceed. Content of concept The concept usually includes : Resources that characterise basic conditions for new Positioning of product that is dependent on source of idea, can proceeds from : new technical idea – placement on the market from morphological access – suitable product expression for certain idea, category. Positioning expresses a basic idea, the priority is briefness. (For example on the market where image plays a big role is more advantageous representation expressing emotional picture of the product – funny, lively, family, etc.). Concept reflects situation of development, if the product is in the phase of topic, then concept characterises way for own development (forms spirit of the product). If the product is closer to the end of the development, then is increasing the weight of positioning (marketing activities). Difficult is concept comparing in different phases of processing. Similarly can distort the results of concept test formal side (quality of drawings, pictures, formulations). Mark testing is very useful when expanding the mark. Non-mark testing is usual for new usage that for expanding of existing series. In this phase is not decided about kind of label, if the product place in the existing brand family or create new sub brand. The concept tests can be done without price marking and with price (in case it is assigned). Influence of price is individual problem. Winning concept Further critical factor is to decide, what criterions should be determine for appraisal, if the concept will be further developed. Ideal sample of concept test shows which concepts from given complex are the best. This is achieved by comparison of number of points reached in given research with normative results from database from research agency or marketing company. The most common criterions are : purchase intention, uniqueness. It is important for new products. Ability to differentiate products from one firm from competition is very valued in marketing. Same as the importance that a new product will require less support of advertising. Differentiation of a product is the base of the whole skill of mark creating. Risks – tested persons – or : Who should be the source of information ? In initial phase of concept research is not suitable to use only individuals from key end group, for which the product is set. Reasons : testing of concept in end group only will limit information, it is recommended to test consistently representative sample of population. Development of other elements of mix From effective concept is long way to product, that it possible to put of shelf in a shop. In further phases it is necessary to research the whole product, its colour, form, package, (price, advertising etc.). When we have the product ready – the ways of research divide : - concentrating on own product, its resonance on the market - product test - concentration on penetration of product on the market – simulated test markets Researches in the sphere of “ready” product * Product test is classical process in scope of product research. It is performed : - in studio, laboratory, - in households of testing persons, - at accidental encounter of product and testing person, for example at exhibitions. Product test has many variations, is adaptable to concrete situation, uses different processes and technical means. Is very tractable and adaptable for concrete target and provides with information that are not detectable with other methods. But its application has some limitations : - overestimation of the product (following from quality of tested product, from character of testing persons, etc.) - reality versus test : differences, distance between testes and consumable situation - differences in quality of tested product - overestimation of (sensual) differentiate abilities of tested laymen - expenses – it is relatively expensive test Product test enables to test : the whole product as is offered in a shop part of the product – example : only sound of television the whole product including attendant services and information (how is the product offered, what information are provided etc.) different variants of the product (in different colours, sizes, packages etc.) Product test has specific rules : product must be present while testing, product test is a test of laymen, processes must respect this fact, to approach maximal the test situation to real consumable situation. The most used tests : Perception test and experience test Perception test probes how the product influence the tested person. Are tested new products and products on the market. Communicated characteristics of the product (package, character) are confronted with results of experience test. Tested persons must have experience with consumption (usage) of the product. Results comparison of perception and experience tests give important information for marketing. Different techniques of product test enable to test different variants of product or its parts only. Elimination technique – eliminated attributes of a product can be substitute by others – by so called substitution technique – and test in process steps, if and how these substituted attributes influenced valuation of the product by testing persons. Use : we find out influence of eliminated – or substituted – attributes on total evaluation of the product : at one product differences of evaluation between individual steps also comparison of two (sometimes more) products at individual steps and the same at substituted attributes Problems in application of elimination and substitution technique : integrated perception of people perception and implicit evaluation is influenced by order of eliminated attributes * Simulated test markets is the last phase before presentation of the product on the market, should test the complete marketing mix. The simplest and most enlarged mathematical solution of this problem is standard Bass model. We meet this model in different variants, that try to express more difficult relations. Group that accept as the first the innovation is called innovators, for them is proving of new product connected with prestige. The first phase is depending on product acceptability of this group. The next key group is called as early adopters. They buy the product that went through the entering phase and lean on knowledge of its benefit. The next phase of diffusion process is called as “early majority”. The product becomes more popular. This phase is accompanied by producers´ and salespersons´ activities, brings maximal volume of profit. These leads to abrupt decrease of prices and increase of advertising and propagation support, this retrospectively actuates to increase of diffusion rate. The process is ended with so called “late adopters” and “laggards”. Identification of individual groups is possible to obtain with help of attitudes and behaviour analysis in analogue consumable spheres. With confrontation of these groups in possible to get readiness for future product acceptation. 13.9 Price and its research Problem Is the price correctly positioned ? Is it not high on uselessly low ? What says the price about product ? Philosophy of approach Price is very specific category, that have many often opposing aspects. Therefore are questions for market research sometimes very difficult. - the price must be assessed in scope of the whole marketing strategy. We assess product placement on strategic markets, suitability of price for target group, efforts to assure required market share, as part of firm´s design etc. - the price is assessed from view of requirements for stability (guaranteed price at homedelivery services, fixed price in the shop, contractual price at services, from view of season, discounts, actions, etc.) - the price must be assessed in competition field of reference products and their marketing strategies - the price must be assessed as factor limiting demands, in the same conditions with increasing price decreases demand (rational price perception) - consumer assesses product on basis of price, has tendency to impute higher quality to product with higher price (mirrored price perception) - the price must be assessed from view of substitution relations – price influences not only demand for given product, but also demand for substitution and complementary products, prices of substitution products influence than also price. At some products is important complementariness – prices of complementary products – for example additional devices, spare parts etc. and the price of set - product has its target group , this group has tendency to buy products of “its target level”, refuses “too cheap” and “too expensive” from view of its social position, the demand is often determinate by offer of shops, where this target group usually shops - the price is assessed in context of price level development – inflation, - market research does not deal with binding on expense or profit calculation. But its importance at price creation is not reduced. The price has ambivalent character and must be “adjusted” in consideration with given situation (not too high or low price). Marketing price conception can weaken seriously if we assess the price from one point of view only. The basic criterion of the price is benefit, that the product brings. The benefit can be expressed with different ancillary criterions : Relation between price and perceived quality - the quality is in general level hardly measured quantity, in marketing it is about haw the quality is perceived by subject – cognitively and effectively. In correspondence with this is also the Simon´s conclusion, that the price is used as qualitative indicator, if the quality evaluating is difficult for consumer. Relation between price and trade mark. The part of design is also some price level. With this is connected also “mark competence”. Deviations from this competence have usually bad consequences for image of the trade mark. With this is connected also individual direction for target group. The price is assessed in context to its surrounding, i.e. inflation progress, development of prices of competitive products and development of price level as the whole. The price must be also adapted to character of decision process. At common consumable goods has the consumer easier decision schemes, he is more overcame with impulsion motives and usually does not know exact price of the product. Other situation is at so called real decision, that proceeds usually at products of investment character (according to Katona). Consumers collect information, compare competition products from view of quality and price. The big role plays image of the product. At price evaluation work the purchaser more with imagination than with exact parameters. Therefore we test the price from view of perception of the target group. By goods of investigation character at B2B is the recourse the product´s technical parameters, but some role of mark image cannot be neglected. Methodology Econometric methods of price analysis is from view of marketing relatively separate problem, for marketing are applicable only with big reservation. In this sense we state some basic model characteristics : Price flexibility comes out from presumption that with certain percentage change will change also demand for certain percentage. e = (ΔD/D) : (ΔP/P) e D P is flexibility (elasticity) – value that states how will change the demand in % when the price changes about 1 % demand – formulated in mass units price – formulated as price for unit – in price analysis we sometimes work with price index Substitution effect At estimating of price flexibility is important to know so called: Slucki-Schulz theorem e = -E ± S the price flexibility is equal to income flexibility value with inverse polarity plus or minus substitution effect. The less deviate the products the bigger is substitution effect and in consequence also price flexibility has bigger absolute value. Contrary – lowering of absolute value of price flexibility influences complementary effect, e.g. in consumption is one product connected with other (for example car and fuel). Optimal price Optimal price defines so called : Robinson-Amoros relation P* = e/(1+e) . C´ P* C´ e optimal price marginal expenses price flexibility This relation allows to estimate flexibility of presumptive profit. Where is strong competition field and where affects invisible hand of market, there is necessary to consider with responsive price flexibility. Analysis of price flexibility Finding out the price elasticity from time series is necessary to consider as confirmatory method, results reliability depends on statistical material and assortment´ specifics. In case of availability of relevant statistical information we perform estimation of price elasticity and cross elasticity. We usually work with models of MAM group (Multiattribute-modelling) – price is followed as one of tested attributes. At price testing is recommended, that MAM test precedes to specific price tests and allows to find out intensity of price influence. Subjects of price elasticity expense aggregates commodities products and trade marks complementary cross-elasticity substitution cross-elasticity Expense aggregates – for example food, habitation, hygiene etc. The price elasticity is close to income elasticity with minus sign, because substitution relations between aggregates are weak. Commodities : price elasticity has logical value in sphere from –0,1 to circa –4 in dependence on non-essentiality and on substitution or complementary relations. Products and trade marks – marks competition is reason of important substitution pressures, that increase absolute value of price elasticity - explanation we find in RobinsonAmoros relation. Cross elasticity at products, where predominates complementariness, is in minus field, but its deviation from zero is small. Cross elasticity at products, where predominates substitution, is in plus field, deviation from zero is usually low, but can reach also higher values, if the price is strong perceived. Price curve and Veblen effect (Prestige effect) American sociologist Veblen warned that at some products is strong tendency to buy products in certain price level. This is valid especially for segments in higher groups, where social group creates pressure on prestige consumption. Graph 1 : combination of classical price elasticity and from certain price Veblen effect. Demand is generally influenced by price elasticity, but from certain price is increased interest of certain segment. Graph 2 . Pure Veblen effect. Product is demanded mainly by certain segment, but is not attractive until certain price. At lower price has not sufficient reliance or social symbolic. Change of price proves not only immediately in connection with price change, but has some character of subsiding. It is formulated as so called Carryover effect (see Simon, Kotler). The price influence can be divided into : immediate short-term (usually stated by elasticity) comeback : tendency to return to consumable habits (consumable habits have longer validity – typical at smoking) dynamic – carryover effect – new price creates new consumable habits, first purchase displays in some extension in repeated purchase, gets to change in trade mark loyalty. Carryover effect is formally expressed in three forms : (according to Simon, H. Price management), 1. as additive qt = at + λ qt-1 q a λ amount of sold goods constant Carryover coefficient 2. as multi plicate qt = at . q λt-1 λ Carryover elasticity 3. with variable (decreasing) value qt = (at + λ qt-1) rt r coefficient of reduction For orientation some values (according to additive model), published by Simon (rounded) Commodity Cosmetic Pharmaceutics Drinks Cigarettes Fuel Coffee Vegetal greases Washing powder λ 0,63 0,63 0,61 0,57 0,56 0,50 0,46 0,38 Some specific effects refers to certain situations. For example Guttenberg effect – price reductions at sales causes different intensity in dependence with change extension. Methodology of price tests (finding out by interviewing) Marketing praxis does not provide with sufficiently quality statistical material, that would enable a credible statistical evaluation of price influence. Therefore we consider the results as tentative. Therefore the market research uses methods of price tests, nature of which are analysis of attitudes to price and corresponding attributes. On one side restricts the price consumption – classical price elasticity – on the other side is the purchaser importantly influenced at quality perception by product price, what can cause seemingly paradox price influence, where dominate social-psychical aspects. * The price has anticipation value in relation with quality : the consumer assumes that the quality corresponds with price. * The price is more stable element at solution of cognitive dissonance, for good picture of perception must correspond the quality and the price. Experiment McConnel 1968 : test group evaluated 3 beer (fictive) marks, with neutral labels, differentiated only in price. After testing tests described the respondents qualities of the beers. In the group of the most expensive beer predominated positive qualities, the cheapest beer had deficit of positive qualities and marked predominance of negative qualities. The other aspect is time display. Immediate result of price increase is over dimensioned first reaction, dependent on extent of change and on behaviour of price surrounding. In general it is valid also at price decrease (Guttenberg effect). At price analysis we can use for example these methods : Estimation of price level, that is expected at products super premium, premium, standard, cheap. Comparison with real price of product allows to assess, how will be the product perceived. Price estimation of given product and competition products. Most of the respondents do not know prices of individual products and the price figures according to product perception, in which quality is evaluated. Qualified price comparison : respondent assesses what would be adequate price of other products, if the price of initial product is defined on certain level. Ambi test : product set allowing to consider the rate of price influence on quality perception. Ranking of quality and price of reference products. Processes based on willingness of purchase at certain price relations. Different cognitive programmes. BPTO (Brand-price trade off) Characterises preference of purchase at certain price relations. BPTO allows to deduce the optimal price and also allows to simulate effect of different price tactics. It is very sophisticated method, its asset is charting of price relations effect of relevant set of competition products. * Test of acceptable price. Cumulated part of respondents, who accept some price, creates a curve with marked price thresholds, that show the critical parts of price positioning of product. * Price sensitivity test. Price tests are often performed with technique of shelf test, it means that tested products including reference competition products are on shelf next to each other like in a shop. Neither the tested person nor the interviewer does not know, which products are tested and which are reference. The other tool for these price tests is table with price scale, the tested person scours from below (or from the top) the prices up to the limit, that answers critically the given question. Each of the mentioned methods of price testing show the price perception from different views. Only with their comparison and synthetic evaluation is possible to characterise the space for marketing price positioning. Testing of acceptable (maximal acceptability) prices – price thresholds Is a method, which originally issued from psychophysics (perception thresholds etc.) and was further developed by prof. Stoetzl (Sorbona – Paris). Respondents in correspondence with consumable logic (maximisation of effect for disposable budget) want to have the lowest price. Therefore we formulate questioning for price, that would still be maximal acceptable. Respondent set the upper acceptable price on price scale. So called price thresholds, e.g. breaks, where come to marked decrease. Typical is “Baťa effect” – the biggest price beaks are around price rounded (tens, hundreds). We follow boldness of the break, e.g. share of those, who stop at this price. The more marked is the price threshold, the bigger decrease of demand signalises. We follow marked breaks, moving around the limit 50% of respondents : this limit has importance from view of public opinion, if for most of the respondents is the price acceptable, it is expected that this opinion will gradually predominate. At standard common products we usually require acceptation at 2/3 of respondents. At super premium products is usually required acceptation at 1/3 of respondents. PST (Price sensitivity test) With test scale tests the respondent 4 price levels of given brand : Moving up the scale you can see there, at what price do you feel (test product, service) is (accord. to Westendorp) : Becoming Expensive Become Expensive Becoming Reasonably Priced Def. Good value Respondents have at disposal number of prices from the real lowest to the highest (relative to given product). At third and fourth product proceeds the respondent from the highest price, designates again the price corresponding with given statement. The Westendorp method has quite good predicate ability and is modified in different ways. In the ČR showed quite good distribution the statements : the product is unacceptable expensive the product is expensive the product is cheap the product has suspiciously low price PST gives especially quantitative information, has some questions, which can be answered by qualitative research only : Table No. 13-1 : Information obtained by PST Quantitative information real price diverges relevantly from point of optimal price (points F resp. E) Qualitative problems product is incorrectly priced positioned or is perceived in discrepancy with price. Necessary analysis of product perception. Is correctly defined the target group ? neutral, safe space is relatively narrow limitation of neutral space is usually defined by competition products and intensity of their perception. What are the competition aspects ? Bench comparison. Neutral, safe space is relatively large usually signalise social uncertainty, product is inadequate social positioned operational space is extensively open to cheap prices is the mark adequate protected against imitation ? Is the product logistic good worked out ? operational space is relatively large testifies about predominance of perception evaluation over experiences, image is diffusion, is the mark knowledge sufficient ? Is the image formed well ? curves in section of points A and B are relatively steep testifies about authoritative position of competition. Which product or group of products defines it ? Also comparison with other tests answers number of questions and expresses questions for qualitative research. Valuable is also comparison PST with perception of position of super premium, premium, standard and cheap products. At price positioning (especially at premium products) appears as useful respondents categorisation into social segments. Research in the price sphere is very useful for some products, because price positioning can remarkably influence the total position of the product on the market. Outputs and their credibility and interpretation The result of price analysis – if performed properly, is not clear recommendation. It shows that the problems of prices is very difficult, but also partial consultation with relations influencing the price can have important asset for marketing decision. Evaluation of perceived price, acceptable price (price thresholds) and PST are methods of subjective price perception with requirement caeteris paribus. Conclusions : price evaluating has a rational relation, characterised by price elasticity and derived theorems. (Slucki-Schulz, Robinson-Amoros etc.) evaluation is influenced by selective choice of qualities (see Fishbein) the price evaluation influence mirror effect – insufficiency of cognitive criterions replaces the purchaser with price, the price is signal of quality, or product utility evaluation is subconsciously pressed in certain way by emotional influences evaluation in influenced by schemas, consumer is at price evaluation influenced by stereotypes price evaluation is usually difficult to insert into formal logic model, is often influenced by intuitive conclusions.