2010 Actual unemployment rate in Armenia Household Survey Analysis Yerevan 04/02/10 Contents Introduction………………………………………………………………………………………………..1 Part 1. Organization of Survey Sample..……………………………………………………………..........5 Part 2. Househols'(HH) description……………………………………………………………………......8 Part 3. Economically active population ……………………………………………………………..........11 Part 3.1. Household members'employment by main activities …..……………………………….............11 Part 3.2. Additional employment of household (HH) members………………………………….….........20 Part 3.3. Satisfaction with current job...…………...………………………………………………...........23 Part 3.4. Non-employed members of households (HH)……………………………………………...........24 Part 4. Economically inactive population……………………………………………………………........29 Major conclusions………………………………………………………………………………………....30 Proposals………………………………………………………………………………………………......30 Annex- Classification of activity types in economy ………………………………………………….......32 Annex 2.Survey questionnaire ………………………………………………………………………........33 2 Introduction The country’s development and prosperity greatly depends on high quality labour force, population’s employment (underemployment), rates of employment and unemployment, composition of labour market, as well as the number of population involved in informal employment. At the same time employment rate is one of the most prior preconditions to reduce the poverty in developing countries such as Armenia. Thus, to evaluate actual employment and unemployment rates in Armenia a number of surveys has been conducted and works published, among them “Social situation and poverty in Armenia” (National Statistical Service/NSS, 2008), “Labour force and informal employment in Armenia” reports (NSS and TACIS, 2008) and Statistical Yearbook of Armenia (NSS, 2008). “Social situation and poverty in Armenia” is an annual bulletin reported by National Statistical Service, based on Integrated Household Survey (IHS) and the objective is to provide the Government and public with updated information on population’s income, expenditure and change of social level. The bulletin of 2008 with data referring to the year of 2009 is based on the survey covering 7872 households and information received from administrative statistical sources (administrative registries, legal entity data in State Registry, Ministry of Justice). The survey results have been analysed according to ILO methodology, and in some cases also compared with the same results according to the NSS methodology. “Statistical Yearbook of Armenia, 2008” is the annual complete statistical publication of the National Statistical Service of RA, reflecting the socio-economic situation of the country in 2007. Report on labour force and informal employment in Armenia is a one-off survey on RA labour market. It was carried out in 2008 with an objective to improve the quality of statistical data collected on labour market by using the internationally recognized ILO methodology. The survey is mainly directed to studies and evaluation of labour market informal sector. The survey sample includes 2000 households (HH) in different marzes (regions) of Armenia. The comparison of the data in above-mentioned reports and yearbook discovers differences between the surveys’ reports, which are a consequence of different methodologies used in them. Herewith an attempt is made to clarify the possible reasons of evident differences. Thus according to the methodology used in NSS bulletin to be considered unemployed the person must be registered in State Employment Service and having achieved a status of unemployed officially on the basis of RA Law on “Population’s employment and social protection in case of unemployment”, whereas according to the ILO methodology the persons are considered unemployed, who during the 4 weeks prior the survey have had no job or income activity, were actively looking for a job using all possible means, were ready to start the job within 2 weeks once they get an offer. The above-mentioned creates essential difference between the rates of unemployment as of the following; according to NSS Yearbook the unemployment rate in Armenia in 2009 is 7%, whereas according to the ILO methodology the unemployment rate indicates 28.4% in report on social situation and poverty in Armenia. 3 According to ILO methodology the employed person is the one who during the 4 weeks prior the survey has done a job for hire or not for hire, even if the job was for 1 hour, regardless the time when he will receive the income from the job, whereas according to NSS methodology a person is considered to be employed, if he has been performing a seasonal, temporary, casual or one-time work. This can be the reason of difference between the indicators in NSS Yearbook (50.7%) and report on social situation and poverty in Armenia (48.9%). The NSS Yearbook and report on social situation and poverty in Armenia do not contain any data on underemployment (according to the ILO definition a person is considered to be underemployed wishing changes in current job, and willing to find a new or additional work as of the survey period), whereas these data are important to estimate the level of labour force underemployment. Informal employment in non-agricultural sector has been studied in Report on social situation and poverty in Armenia, which does not introduce the complete number of population involved in the informal sector of Armenian labour market. There are no such data in NSS Yearbook, since the latter is referring to data received from administrative sources. Reasoning from the above-mentioned a survey and evaluation on actual unemployment was launched. Its main objective is to propose changes in employment legislation, provide conditions with job-seekers and people willing to work, aiming to involve them in active labour market, clarify the type of change in labour resources and heighten the productivity of projects implemented, draft new programmes for the real unemployed and certain target groups. To carry this out information on labour force employment, composition, structure, difference between actual and official rates of unemployment, as well as employment and underemployment in formal and informal sectors is required. 4 Part 1. Organization of Survey Sample To conduct the survey labor force employment and underemployment in formal and informal sectors, employment level, composition, structure, labor force distribution by the spheres of economy and real unemployment were evaluated based on the selected information on HH through a specially elaborated questionnaire. Sample designing The sample included 2010 HH in total. This condition meets the requirement of the client in regard to the number of HH, which should be not less than 2000. The sample was designed per total weight of HH in Yerevan and marzes. As a result, the numbers were rounded with respect to have ten HH in one stratum from each community. The number of HH The weight of HH in the total number The number of the HH in the Sample Yerevan 278,626 35.7 720 Marzes 501,927 64.3 1290 Aragatsotn 32,107 4.1 80 Ararat 63,516 8.1 160 Armavir 64,962 8.3 160 Gegharquniq 55,778 7.1 140 Kotayq 65,611 8.4 170 Lori 69,219 8.9 180 Shirak 68,620 8.8 170 Syuniq 37,247 4.8 100 Vayots Dzor 13,188 1.7 50 Tavush 31,680 4.1 80 780,553 100 2010 Totally The volume of the sample has comprised 2010 HH, 720 of which in Yerevan, and 1290 in marzes, 670 of which are rural HH, and 620 are urban. 5 Designing Sample Volume in Yerevan The HH in each Yerevan community have been included in the sample by the above mentioned principle (here too the numbers have been rounded). The weight of HH in each community has been calculated in total number and the sample was designed by corresponding distribution. Table 2. Designing the sample in Yerevan The number of HH in communities The weight of HH in total number in percentage The number of HH in the Sample Ajapnyak Avan 26,941 12,655 9.7 4.5 70 30 Arabkir 33,462 12.0 90 Davtashen 10,244 3.7 30 Erebuni 30,099 10.8 80 Kentron 33,017 11.8 90 Malatia-Sebastia 35,951 12.9 90 Nor Norq 35,828 12.9 90 Norq-Marash 3,022 1.1 10 Shengavit 35,455 12.7 90 Qanaqer-Zeytun 19,627 7.0 50 Totally 278,626 100 720 After designing it on the basis of HH number in each community involved in the sample, corresponding number of addresses with reserve data of HH have been selected. The principal of its use was instructed to the interviewers. The definition of sample volume in marzes The communities were selected by the method of simple random sampling. By random choice in each marz 25 urban and 43 rural communities were selected, accordingly having 620 and 670 HH. 6 Table 3. Sample designing in marzes The number of urban communities in sample The number of HH in sample The number of rural communities in sample The number of HH in sample Aragatsotn 1 20 5 60 Ararat 3 50 5 110 Armavir 3 60 5 100 Gegharquniq 3 50 6 90 Kotayq 4 100 5 70 Lori 3 110 5 70 Shirak 2 110 4 60 Syuniq 3 70 2 30 Vayots Dzor 1 20 2 30 Tavush 2 30 4 50 25 620 43 670 Totally Afterwards again addresses with reserve data were chosen for the selected urban communities. As for rural communities the inquiries were performed by spiral method (for example, visiting every 5th house in the street). 7 Part 2. HH description In 2009 in Armenia women comprised 53.2% of the labour resources, whereas men - 46.8%. Chart 1. Gender distribution of labour resources 46.8 Male 53.2 Female The educational level of RA labour resources is presented in Chart 2. It shows that the highest share of labour resources have general secondary education (41.5%), 18.4% have professional education, 17.1% higher education. The level of illiteracy in the country is quite low; people having no education at all or having only primary education comprise 1% of labour resources. Only 0.2% of labour force has a postgraduate degree. Chart 2. Educational level of labour resources 1. Illiterate 5. Basic general 9. Middle professional 8 2. Incomplete primary 6. Incomplete secondary 10. Incomplete higher 3. Primary 7. Secondary general 11. Higher 4. Incomplete basic 8. Initial vocational 12. Postgraduate degree Reviewing the structure of labour resources by the family status in 2009 the survey results show that 60.8% is married, 25.8 % has never been married, 10.8% widowed, 2.1% divorced, 0.6% cohabits. Chart 3. Distribution of labour force according to family status Over one month prior the survey 8.6% of the labour force has been absent from the country, 57.8% of which was mainly conditioned by work activity. Besides this, being away from the HH has been reasoned by education, service in the army, and family and other circumstances. 60.8 Married Never married Widowed 25.7 2.1 0.6 Divorced Cohabiting 10.8 Chart 4. The main reasons for being away from HH, % of total number of people residing outside Armenia as of the observed period 9 Other 25.4 Other family reasons 8.6 Marriage 0.5 Work 57.8 Treatment 0.5 Education 7.2 0 10 20 30 10 40 50 60 70 Part 3. Economically active population The economically active population includes the employed and unemployed. Employed are considered to be those people who at the time of survey have done a job for hire even if the job was for 1 hour or performed a profitable activity. Part 3.1.The main employment activities of HH members The survey results show that in 2009 49.7% of adult population had some kind of a job for hire or a profitable activity. Chart 5. Distribution of presence of job for hire or profitable activity by settlements, % of total number of labour resources Having some activity 68.4 Tavush Vayots Dzor Having no activity 31.6 57.3 64.3 Syuniq Shirak Kotayq Lori 42.7 35.7 43.0 57.0 41.2 46.5 58.8 53.5 52.3 Gegharquniq Armavir 47.7 50.2 49.8 62.5 Ararat 37.5 77.3 Aragatsotn Yerevan 22.7 43.3 49.7 Armenia 0% 10% 20% 56.7 50.3 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% In Yerevan 43.3% of observed HH members have had a job or a profitable activity. Aragatsotn was ranked the top marz having the highest employment rate (77.3% of labour resources), and the lowest rate was observed in Kotayk marz (41.2%). Employment distribution according to age groups is presented in chart 6. Chart 6. The distribution of surveyed HH having jobs or a profitable activity by age groups, % of corresponding age groups 11 38.5 55 + Aged 45-54 Aged 35-44 61.5 69.3 30.7 71.5 28.5 57.0 Aged 25-34 43.0 23.2 Aged 16-24 0% 76.8 20% 40% 60% 80% Having a profitable activity 100% Having no profitable activity Thus, 23.2% of HH members aged 16-24 has had job on hire over the previous 7 days. One of the main influencing factors here can be the age group, which is representing young people who have no work experience. At the same time 61.5% of HH members aged 55 + has had no paid job over the previous 7 days. This can be explained by the fact that mostly pensioners are representing this age group, though on the other hand people at this age are not flexible from the viewpoint of work or activity change, which means they will have more difficulties to find a new job in case they lose their jobs. Labour force distribution by education is shown in Chart 7. Chart 7. Distribution of employment by the level of education, % of corresponding group Employed Postgraduate degree Higher Incomplete higher Middle Professional Initial Vocational General Secondary (complete) Incomplete secondary General basic Incomplete general basic Primary Incomplete primary Illiterate Non-employed 50.0 50.0 60.3 39.7 31.4 68.6 55.7 44.3 57.9 42.1 48.8 51.2 32.1 67.9 44.1 55.9 32.1 67.9 26.2 73.8 44.4 55.6 7.5 0% 92.5 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100 % According to survey results the highest percent of employment has been observed among household members having higher education (60.3%) and secondary professional education (57.9%). And the lowest percentage was observed among those having no education (7.5%) or primary education (26.2 %). 12 Chart 1. Distribution of employment spheres by place of residence, % Yerevan 1.3 12.2 Marzes 53.5 4.5 Armenia 37.0 6.9 0.3 1.7 1.3 Generation and distribution of energy, gas and water 3.4 3.3 3.3 Construction Trade Hotels and restaurants Transport and communication Financial activity and insurance Real estate operation State administration Education Health care Social services (retirement home, asylum etc) Culture, sports and other services, NGOs Services for household management Foreign organization activities Totally 9.4 18.1 2.7 10.1 2.4 3.4 7.5 13.2 7.2 1.9 5.9 0.5 0.6 100 6.4 6.5 0.2 3.6 0.6 0.2 4.7 8.1 3.0 0.2 3.3 0.2 0.0 100 7.3 10.2 1.0 5.6 1.2 1.2 5.6 9.8 4.3 0.7 4.1 0.3 0.2 100 Agriculture, hunting, fishery Processing industry Mining industry Distribution of employed population by sex and marzes is shown in chart 8. Chart 8. Distribution of employed population by sex in marzes, % Tavush Vayots Dzor 52.6 50.0 47.4 50.0 Syuniq 53.3 53.0 46.7 47.0 56.6 47.7 43.4 52.3 53.2 46.8 56.8 53.1 43.2 46.9 Shirak Kotayq Lori Gegharquniq Armavir Ararat Aragatsotn 48.3 54.9 0% 10% 20% 30% Female 51.7 40.5 59.5 Yerevan Armenia Male 45.1 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% According to Chart 8 54.9% of population is male and 45.1%- female in 2009. The number of employed female, however, prevails in Lori and Aragatsotn. In Vayots Dzor the employment is distributed equally 13 between male and female population. As for the type of activity and entrepreneurship in Yerevan and marzes, in Armenia 66.4% of population works in private enterprises, 28% works in state sector, and 3.5% other (with state participation) enterprises. 2.3% of population is working in municipality, foreign organization, NGO or joint organizations. Chart 9. Distribution of entrepreneurship by type, % of the number of population in given settlement Public 3.4 Armenia 66.3 0.8 Joint 28.0 Foreign marzes 1.7 Other (with state participation) 72.8 0.9 23.4 Private (citizen) 7.0 Yerevan 0.0 Municipal 52.3 0.5 38.2 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 State 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 In Yerevan the weight of state employees is higher (38.2%) than the average number in the republic. In marzes the average unit of this indicator is about 28%. While compared to the employed in state enterprises the share of HH members having private businesses has comprised about 72.8 % that is higher than the average share in the whole country (66.3%). 14 The distribution of employed, hired or non-hired labour resources by agricultural and non-agricultural sectors is shown in chart 10. Chart 10. Distribution of employed, hired or non-hired labour resources by agricultural and nonagricultural sectors, % of the number of employed population in given sector Other 100% 0.1 90% 16.5 0.7 0.2 10.8 0.8 80.4 87.5 80% Unpaid family workers 70% 60% Self-employed 50% 40% 30% Employers 20% 10% Wage earners 0% 3.0 Agriculture Non-agriculture So, according to survey results about 80.5% of observed HH members are self-employed, 16.5% is considered to be unpaid family workers, and 3%- wage earners. The biggest share of wage earners in nonagricultural sectors comprises 87.5%. Self-employed comprise about 10.8% of the employed population in non-agricultural sectors, and only 0.8% are employers. Activity type distribution of employers and self-employed in Yerevan and marzes is given in Chart 11. Chart 11. Distribution of registered employers and self-employed by settlements, % of total number of employers and self-employed accordingly 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Employers 100 Self-employed 87.5 26.6 3.8 Marzes Yerevan 15 According to survey results, in marzes and Yerevan 87.5 % of employers are carrying out officially registered activities. However only 3.8% of self-employed in marzes, and 26.6% in Yerevan have accordingly registered their activities. The distribution of contract wage earners and wage earners on verbal agreement by marzes is shown in chart 12. Chart 12. Distribution of contract wage earners and wage earners on verbal agreement by marzes, % of total number of wage earners Working by contract Working by verbal agreement 78.7 79.5 78.7 84.3 Tavush Vayots Dzor Syuniq Shirak Kotayq Lori Gegharquniq Armavir Ararat Aragatsotn Yerevan Armenia 21.3 20.5 21.3 15.7 69.0 64.1 31.0 35.9 86.8 13.2 75.2 75.0 76.5 72.5 74.2 0% 10% 20% 30% 24.8 25.0 23.5 27.5 25.8 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% According to the survey findings the biggest share of wage earners (74.2%) in Armenia is working on the basis of written agreement. Gegharquniq and Shirak marzes are top two regions where the shares of contract wage earners are the highest in the total number, accordingly comprising 86.8% and 84.3%. The lowest indicator has been observed in Lori region comprising 64.1%. Employment type distribution by marzes is given in Chart 13. 16 Chart 13. Distribution of employment types, % of the total number of the employed 100% 80% 1.3 2.1 3.2 1.7 4.0 1.6 0.4 2.3 1.4 1.4 8.0 15.1 19.5 16.6 21.9 14.3 24.6 26.9 24.3 22.1 28.6 One-time or casual work 56.0 60% 40% 76.0 82.5 90.3 80.1 81.1 73.9 74.0 71.7 75.7 84.9 Temporary or seasonal work 70.1 42.4 20% 0% Ar m en Y e ia r Ar e va n ag at so tn Ar ar Ar at m G a eg ha vir rq un iq Lo Ko ri ta yq Sh ira Sy k Va u yo n iq ts Dz o Ta r vu sh Permanent work Thus 76% of the employed has permanent work, 21.9% works on temporary or seasonal terms, and about 2.1% has had a casual or one-time job. The distribution of working day duration by marzes is given in Chart 14. Chart 14. Work duration, % of the total number of the employed Tavush Vayots Dzor Syuniq Shirak Kotayq Lori Gegharquniq Armavir Ararat Aragatsotn Yerevan Armenia 32.5 61.7 34.9 41.4 38.4 48.8 51.5 54.8 72.2 54.1 46.8 34.2 53.2 31.9 58.0 50.6 59.4 51.7 20% 10.1 5.3 6.9 44.1 59.2 15.5 35.7 33.9 0% 5.8 16.3 7.1 6.8 23.7 4.1 11.7 40% 60% 17 25.1 12.6 80% 100% Full-time working day Part-time working day Extra hours Thus in Armenia 51.7% works a whole working day, 35.7% has a partial working day, and 12.6% works extra hours. The highest share of the employed for the whole working day has been observed in Kotayk (around 72.2%), and the lowest share - in Armavir. The distribution of employment status of population by marzes is shown in chart 15. In Armenia about 56.3% of the employed is hired employees, 36.6% is self-employed, 6.5% is unpaid family workers, and only 0.5% - employers. The distribution of employment status by marzes is shown in chart 15. Chart 15. Employment status by marzes, % of the total number of employed in given stratum Tavush Vayots Dzor 30.6 0.6 62.4 45.3 Syuniq 55.6 40.6 Shirak Kotayq 0.6 0.9 57.5 46.4 Lori Gegharquniq 32.5 41.1 0.9 41.9 1.7 59.1 58.6 56.3 0% 20% 0.5 40% 60% Self-employed 21.1 12.1 0.9 9.9 0.60.2 88.4 Yerevan Armenia Employer 1.2 0.4 40.4 29.3 Wage earner 0.9 10.8 65.4 39.3 38.5 Aragatsotn 11.3 16.9 41.6 0.5 32.9 Armavir Ararat 5.8 0.6 3.5 51.2 36.6 80% 6.5 0.1 Unpaid family workers Other 100% In Armenia about 56.3% of population are wage earners, 36.6 %- self- employed, 6.5 %- unpaid family worker, and only 0.5 %- employers. In Yerevan the share of wage earners is rather big (88.4%). The share of self-employed is big especially in Gegharquniq and Tavush, correspondingly comprising 65.4% and 62.4%. Hidden (informal) employment This section shows the studies of informal employment, which includes employers and self-employed without official registration, wage earners working on the basis of verbal agreement, as well as unpaid family workers. Distribution of informal employment by agricultural and non-agricultural sectors is shown in Chart 2. The weight of above-mentioned persons is calculated both by the total number of employed in the given stratum and by total number of the employed population. 18 Chart 2. Informal employment by agricultural and non-agricultural sectors (%) Including % of the number of employed in given group Total number of informal employed Employers and self-employed Hired employees - 99.7 66.7 - 36.5 29.6 0.7 6.1 66.4 25.0 - 4.9 13.8 0.4 Family members Agriculture % of the total number of the employed % of the number of employed in given group - Non-agriculture % of the total number of the employed 19.1 19 Informal employees in non-agricultural sector comprise 19.1% of the employed population. Although the self-employed and employers comprise only 4.9% of the employed, their share is the highest (66.4%) in total number of the self-employed and employers. In non-agricultural sector the family members are totally 0.4 %, and hired employees- 13.8%. Almost all employers and self-employed (99.7%) in agricultural sector have not registered their activity thus forming informal employment and comprising 29.6% in total number of employed. Part 3.2 Additional employment of HH members The presence of additional employment in Yerevan and marzes is shown in chart 16. Chart 16. Presence of additional employment in Yerevan and marzes, % compared to the number of permanently employed population 97.7 Marzes Yerevan 91.1 8.9 2.3 Had additional jobs Had additional jobs Had no additional jobs Had no additional jobs 6.8% of the permanently employed population has had additional employment or a profitable activity during the 7 days prior the survey. In Yerevan 2.3% of employed population have had additional employment, and in marzes only 8.9% have been observed as household members having additional employment. As of the sectors of additional employment by marzes 87.3% of additional employments were observed in agricultural sector, 3.4%- in trade sector, and 3.9% - in the sector of education. 20 Chart 17. Sector of additional employment, % of total share of additional employment1 Tavush Vayots Dzor Syuniq Shirak 93.7 100 88.2 6.3 5.9 5.9 94.1 100 92.0 100 Kotayq Lori Gegharquniq Armavir Ararat Aragatsotn Yerevan Armenia 13.6 4.5 5.9 20% 40% 6 8 13 4.5 87.6 0% 4 7 8.0 100 100 97.2 31.8 13.7 1 60% 14 2.8 16 22.8 9.1 17 3.9 2.7 3.6 0.6 1.0 0.6 80% 100% In marzes most people having additional jobs have been mainly involved in agricultural activities (and in some marzes all additionally employed people were involved in agriculture), some- in trade and construction. In Yerevan 31.8% have been involved additionally in education sphere, and about 22.7 % - in delivery of utility services and other social services. As for distribution of additionally employed by the type of activity, in Armenia 98.5% are developing additional activities in private sector of economy, 1%- in state sector, and 0.5% - foreign. People in marzes aside the main job had additional jobs and 86.4% in Yerevan had jobs in private sector. Chart 18. Types of enterprise, % of the total number of additionally employed Marzes 100.0 Yerevan 9.1 86.4 Armenia 1.0 0% 4.5 98.5 10% 20% State 30% 40% 50% 60% Private 0.5 70% The distribution of additional employment types is shown in chart 19. 1 Appendix-Sectors of economic activity 21 80% 90% Foreign 100% Chart 19. Distribution of additional employment types by marzes, % of the total number of additionally employed Permanent 11.8 53.8 76.5 62.5 h r us zo Va Ta v ha r Ko qu ni q av ir m 35.3 D 23.5 G eg ar at 64.7 11.1 Ar ag Ar 64.0 yo ts 46.2 Ar at so tn va n re 52.9 100.0 45.5 24.0 Ye 37.5 88.9 77.8 ia 35.3 Sy un iq 76.0 36.0 ira k 45.5 51.5 One-time or casual work Sh 46.1 m en Ar 9.0 Seasonal 2.8 19.4 ta yq 2.4 Lo ri 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 51.5% of additional employment is observed as permanent, for 46.1% employed it is seasonal. 2.5% has had it casually as a one-time job. In Yerevan the number of additionally employed people has been distributed equally between permanently employed and people having one-time jobs, comprising correspondingly 45.5% each. As for the marzes there is not a constant tendency observed. For example, in Vayots Dzor observed additional jobs have been permanent, and in Armavir marz they have been either seasonal or temporary. The duration of additional work (working day) is shown in the chart below. Chart 20. The duration of work, % of the total number of people having additional jobs 100 97.5 95.5 97.8 90 80 Full-time working day 70 60 50 Part-time working day 40 30 20 10 2.0 0.5 4.5 2.2 Extra hours 0 Armenia Yerevan Marzes In Armenia 97.5% of additionally employed people worked on part-time terms, 2%- on full-time terms, and only 0.5% worked extra hours. Moreover, both in Yerevan and marzes most of the additionally employed people worked part-time, accordingly comprising 95.5% and 97.8%. Chart 21 reflects additional employment sectors by marzes. 22 Chart 21. Additional employment by marzes, % of the total number of additionally employed Tavush Vayots Dzor Syuniq 5.9 Shirak Kotayq Lori 4.0 Gegharquniq Armavir Ararat Aragatsotn 11.1 13.6 Yerevan Armenia2.0 3.9 0% 93.7 100.0 6.3 58.8 35.3 35.3 64.7 88.2 76.0 84.6 100.0 72.0 88.9 18.3 11.8 20.0 15.4 Employer Self-employed 63.6 40% Wage earner working by verbal agreement 28.0 4.5 76.8 20% Wage earner 17.3 60% 80% 100% Unpaid family worker 76.8% of additionally employed were self-employed, 17.3%- unpaid family workers, 5.9%- wage earners, 3.9% of whom worked on the basis of verbal agreement, and only 0.5% were employers. Almost in all marzes self-employed and unpaid family workers comprised the biggest share in additional employment rate. Part 3.3 Satisfaction with current job According to survey results 78.8% of HH members find that current jobs suit their professional qualifications, 20.5% has jobs requiring less than their professional qualifications allow, and 0.7% vice versa, i.e. jobs requiring more than their original qualifications are. Chart 22. Correspondence of current jobs with qualifications of the employed, % of the total number of the employed Yes 78.8 Lower the qualification 20.5 0.7 Higher the qualification 3.7% of the employed population have been searching additional jobs and 5.9%- new jobs over the previous week. Over 90% of employed population both in Yerevan and marzes have not been searching any new or additional job. 23 Chart 23. Distribution of employed by marzes seeking new jobs, % 18.2 Tavush 18.8 63.0 Vayots Dzor 2.3 4.7 Syuniq 3.0 10.0 Shirak 5.5 87.0 20.5 74.0 Kotayq 5.5 4.5 90.0 Lori 3.6 3.6 Gegharquniq 0.42.2 Looking for a new job 92.8 97.4 Armavir 1.6 1.2 97.2 Ararat 3.1 4.3 92.6 Aragatsotn 6.3 6.9 86.8 Yerevan 1.8 3.2 Was not looking any job 95.0 Armenia 3.7 5.9 0 Looking for another job 93.0 90.4 20 40 60 80 100 53% of employed searching a new or additional job has explained their job seeking by the low salary received for the current job, 32%- by unsatisfactory work conditions and professional discrepancy with current job, 2.1%- expiry of work contract etc. Chart 24. Motivations to search new or additional jobs, % of the total number of job-seeking population Expected l i qui da ti on of orga ni za ti on or s horteni ng of va ca nci es 0.7 Expi ry of work contra ct 2.1 Profes s i ona l mi s ma cht to the pres ent job 16 Uns a ti s fa ctory work condi ti ons 16 Hea l th condi ti on 1.4 Low pa yment 53.1 Other 10.7 0 10 20 30 40 50 Part 3.4. Non-employed HH members During the 7 days prior the survey 32.8% of HH members did not work because they did not have any, 29%- were retired pensioners, 18.9% managed the households, and 14.7% were students. 24 60 Chart 25. Reasons of non-employment, % of the total number of non-employed population 4.8 36.2 Marzes Other 28.9 16.1 14.0 Has no work 4.5 27.8 29.2 Yerevan pensioner 22.8 15.7 Keeps a household 4.7 32.7 Armenia 29.0 Student 18.9 14.7 0 10 20 30 40 Both in Yerevan and marzes the main reasons of being non-employed were absence of jobs and retirement. Non-employed people have been observed from the viewpoint of looking or not looking for a job, as well as their willingness to start the job within 2 weeks once they get an offer. The results are summarized in Table 3. Table 3. Job search of non-employed persons, their willingness to start up their own businesses or start the job, % by the settlements Has searched paid work Has wanted to start up their business Neither, nor Are willing Are not willing Armenia 18.8 0.5 80.7 44.0 56.0 Yerevan 25.9 0.6 73.5 70.0 30.0 Marzes 13.0 0.4 86.6 26.7 73.3 According to the survey results in the republic 80.7% of non-employed population have not been searching a job over the previous 4 weeks and have not initiated own businesses, 18.8% have been searching paid work, and only 0.5 % of non-employed population have expressed wishes to start up a business. In Yerevan 70% of non-employed population are willing to start the job in case they get appropriate offer, whereas in marzes only 26.7% of non-employed are willing to start the job. 25 Chart 26. The reasons why non-employed do not search for a job, % of the non-employed and nonjob seeking population Has already found job and will start working beginning with the following week Has found a job and waiting for work invitation Is retraining/requalification 38.3 40.6 Is waiting for an invitation from the previous place of work Doesnot hope that will succeed in finding a job Does not know how to find it 10.2 0.4 2.6 0.1 7.8 Other The job search passiveness of non-employed population is conditioned by a number of reasons. Particularly 40.6% were hopeless to find a job, and 38.3% did not know how to find a job, 10.4% have already found a job and were waiting for invitation, and 2.6% were waiting to be invited to work by the previous employer. About 10.2% had other reasons not to work. Non-employed people used different means of job search. Particularly, their highest share, 80.9% have applied directly to the employers, about 32.7% have been following the information in papers etc. or announced themselves, 4.3% tried to find a job through the net of friends and relatives, and 25.7% used other means. Chart 27. Steps initiated by non-employed population to find a job, % of the corresponding stratum (multiple answer) Has applied to State Employment Service Agency Armenia 9.6 4.6 28.1 4.3 80.9 25.7 Followed the announcments Gave announcements Marzes 6.9 25.9 81.0 37.1 Asked friends and relatives for help Yerevan 11.2 6.4 29.4 7.0 80.7 18.7 Applied to the empoyer Other 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% As for the number of registered non-employed in SESA, only 2.6% is registered. 26 Chart 28. Non-employed who are registered and who are not registered in State Employment Service, % of the total number of non-employed Tavush 4.0 Vayots Dzor 96.0 7.1 92.9 Syuniq 3.7 96.3 Shirak 3.6 96.4 Kotayq 1.2 98.8 Lori 3.3 96.7 Gegharquniq 0.9 99.1 Armavir 1.5 98.5 Ararat 4.1 95.9 Aragatsotn 1.6 98.4 Yerevan 3.2 96.8 Armenia 2.6 97.4 0% 20% 40% Registered 60% 80% 100% Not registered In Kotayk and Gegharquniq accordingly 1.2% and 0.9% of non-employed have been registered in State Employment Service. These are the lowest rates in the total number of registered non-employed. 27 Unemployment The unemployed are persons who are at work age and during the 4 weeks prior the survey have had no job or profitable activity, were actively looking for a job using all possible means, were ready to start the job within 2 weeks once they get an offer.2 As noted in Introduction according to methodology used in NSS bulletins (particularly in Yearbook) to be considered unemployed aside the above-mentioned conditions the person must not receive social pensions prescribed by RA Law (except pension given in case of loosing the bread-winner) and must be registered in State Employment Service. Table 4 illustrates the distribution of employed and unemployed, i. e. economically active population by marzes according to the first, ILO methodology definition. Table 4. Distribution of employed and unemployed population by marzes, % Employed3 Unemployed4 Armenia 49.7 27.5 Yerevan 43.3 29.8 Aragatsotn 77.3 10.3 Ararat 62.5 17.4 Armavir 50.2 29.8 Gegharquniq 52.3 22.5 Lori 46.5 36.9 Kotayq 41.2 38.0 Shirak 43.0 37.6 Syuniq 64.3 17.2 Vayots Dzor 57.3 21.1 Tavush 68.4 11.0 Unemployment rate reaches its highest peak in Shirak and Kotayk with 37.6% and 38.0% respectively. The lowest unemployment rate was observed in the marz of Aragatsotn- 10.3%. 2 3 According to ILO methodology Percentage of labour resources of each marz 4 Percentage of economically active population of the marz 28 Part 4. Economically inactive population Economically inactive population includes able-bodied population at working age, who are not working but neither are considered unemployed, i.e. have not searched job or been ready to start working immediately in case of suitable job proposal. Thus economically active and inactive population comprise country’s labour resources. Chart 29 reflects their distribution by marzes. Chart 29. Economically active and inactive population by marzes, % of marz labour resources 100 86.2 75.7 80 71.5 61.6 67.4 77.6 73.8 66.4 76.9 72.7 69 60 38.4 40 24.3 32.6 28.5 33.6 26.2 31 27.3 22.4 13.8 20 Dz or iq ot s un Va y Sy ra k Sh i Ko ta yq i Lo r ir Ge gh ar qu ni q Ar m av Ar ar at an Ar ag at so tn Ye re v Ar m en ia 0 Economically active population Economically inactive population 29 23.1 Major conclusions According to survey findings employed population comprise 49.7% of Armenia’s labour resources, and Aragatsotn is the top marz with highest employment rate – about 77.3% of employed labour resources, whereas lowest rate of employment has been observed in Kotayk – 41.2%. The study of employment by age and gender distribution shows that employment rate is the lowest in age group 16-24 comprising 23.2% and the average share of women in employed population is 45.1 %. The low employment rate is especially sharp in rural regions. The absence of work is a serious issue especially in rural communities of those marzes, which are at relatively remote distance from Yerevan. It, in its turn, has resulted in high level of migration; about 61.5% of people have left their places of residence for temporary jobs abroad. In non-agricultural sectors the majority of employed – about 87.5% are wage earners, 10.8%self-employed, and 0.8% employers. Observation of informal employment by agricultural and non-agricultural sectors show that in agricultural sector 36.5% of the employed are informal or hidden employed, and in nonagricultural sector they comprise 19.1% of the total. Almost all employers and self-employed in agricultural sector (99.7%) have been engaged in hidden (informal) activities. The majority of this percentage is mostly comprised by selfemployed who do not register their profitable activities. By the opinion of non-employed the main reason of having no job is the absence of work, 32.7% of total number of non-employed, and 36.2% of non-employed in marzes. The survey findings show that 40.6% of non-employed and ‘seeking-no-job’ have not had any hope to find a job, therefore have not had any initiative to find one. At the same time the majority of jobseekers around 80.9% have applied to employers to find a job. The unemployed have comprised about 27.5% of economically active population; moreover this indicator is the highest in Kotayk and Shirak - round 38%. Economically inactive population has comprised 31.5% of labour resources. Proposals To mitigate unequal development of RA marzes and especially of rural communities, it is necessary to provide directing of corresponding financial flows, due to which it will be possible to create non-agricultural vacancies, which in its turn will promote increase of employment. Both wage earners and employers and self-employed will prefer to carry out their activities in formal field and register it. But high taxation system makes them develop their activities in shadow economy to avoid taxes. That is why it is important to review and regulate the taxation system legislation. 30 It is necessary to provide legislative regulation of labour mobility, which will promote legality of migration. Population engaged in land cultivation and thus getting their money and farm income regardless the land size, category and zone, are considered to be employed. It is necessary to clarify their status taking into consideration the above-mentioned peculiarities, Since the share of the youth and women is relatively small in the number of employed, it is necessary to consider them as target groups in the frames of activities directed to decrease the unemployment rate, The actual unemployment rate must be considered an important indicator in process of evaluating the actual unemployment situation in Armenia and elaborating employment programs and implementing activities, Taking into consideration underemployment or partial employment of rural labour force, it is necessary to make legislative changes to involve rural labour force in state employment programs, It is necessary to complete the unemployment indicators’ system measured with calculation of mean unemployment indicator and evaluation of official unemployment rate. Annex- Classification of economic activity types 1 Agriculture, fishery, aquaculture, hunting, forestry 2 Mining industry 3 Processing industry 31 4 Generation and distribution of energy, gas, water 5 Construction 6 Trade (except sale of air tickets, vehicles, repair of perishable, consumable items) 7 Hotels and restaurants 8 Transport and communication 9 Financial activity (also pawnshops and insurance) 10 Real estate operations, lease and delivery of services to consumers 11 State administration 12 Education 13 Health 14 Social services (retirement homes, orphanages and other establishments) 15 Delivery of utilities services and individual services (culture, sports, utilities and other services, NGOs) 16 Services of HH management (persons working in HH) 17 Foreign organizations activities 32 Annex 2. Survey questionnaire A specially elaborated questionnaire has been used as a main tool to collect data for estimation of real unemployment as well as implementation of survey. The questionnaire consists of 6 separate sections, which are given below. Section 1. Description of HH, where data on HH members’ age, sex, education and marital status are collected Section 2. Main employment of HH members, where questions on main employment or presence of any type of profitable activity, sphere of activity, any type of entrepreneurial activity, employment status or other employment conditions of able-bodied HH members at working age are included Section 3. Additional employment of HH members, where data on presence of additional employment, activity sphere, type of entrepreneurship, employment status and other conditions of able-bodied HH members are revealed Section 4. Non-employed HH members, this section includes questions regarding HH members not having any kind of employment, particularly the reasons of not working, job-search, wish and willingness to work, initiatives taken to find a job or to start up own business etc. Section 5. Satisfaction with current jobs. This section discovers professional correspondence of HH members with their current jobs and their wish or motivation to seek a new or additional job Section 6. HH employment in agriculture. This section reflects on land cultivation and/or cattle breeding, i.e. cultivation of private or rented land, their whole or partial use, as well as the aim of farming production (for satisfaction of own needs or for sale) by HH members There are 43 questions in the questionnaire, the result of which will be more than 120 collected data on average HH. The analysis of data collected through given questionnaire will allow us to estimate the actual employment, employment by demographic features, education, spheres of employment, as well as formal and informal employment. 33 Questionnaire On estimation of actual unemployment rate Dear citizen, Herewith a study is implemented to estimate the actual unemployment rate. The address of your household has been randomly included in our sample. We ask you to participate in the inquiry, answer the questions, which will allow us to summarise the whole information and implement general analysis. The information presented by you will be confidential, therefore cannot be rendered to any other person or used for other purposes rather than for survey. Thank you in advance for cooperation. Code of the questionnaire` Code of the interviewer` Marz` The name of settlement` Date of the interview` Day Month 34 Section 1. HH description Q1 HH member’s tel. Q2 HH member’s name Q3 Sex 1.male 2.female Q4 Age Q5 Q6 Education 1. Illiterate 2. Incomplete primary Primary 3. Incomplete basic Basic 4. Incomplete secondary 5. General secondary complete General 6. Initial vocational 9. Middle professional 10. Incomplete higher 11. Higher 12. Post graduate degree 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 35 Q7 Q8 Marital status (above 16) Is HH member absent form the country? The reasons of leaving the country 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 1. Yes 2. No Next section 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Married Never married Widowed Divorced, living apart Cohabiting (without official registration) Education Treatment Work Marriage Other family reasons 6. Army 7. Other Section 2. Main employment of HH members (group aged 15-75) Q9. Please, note if you have had some job or a profitable activity over previous 7 days 1.yes 2. no 1.yes 2. no /If no pass to section 4 / Q 13. Please, note if the activity of HH members have been registered or not 1.Yes 2.No Q10. Do the HH members have any job or are engaged in a profitable activity? Q14. Please, note the code of the HH members’ activity Code; 1. Permanent 2. Seasonal 3. casual/one-time Q11. Please, note the code of the sphere corresponding with the sphere of work or enterprise of HH member (According to annex) Q15. Please, note the duration of HH members’ working day Q16. Please, note HH members’ employment status code Code. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Code; 1. Full-time working day 2. Part-time working day 3. Extra-hours 36 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Q12. Please, note the code of the type of organization ownership State Municipal Private (citizen), Other (with state participation), Foreign, Joint, Public Wage earner Employer Self employed Unpaid family worker Production/Consumer’ co-operative member Section 3. Additional employment of HH members Q17.Please, note the codes of those HH members, who have had additional jobs during the day jointly with the main job and activity Q18. Please, note the numbers of those HH members who have additional jobs jointly with the main job Q19. Please note the code of work or activity sphere of those HH members who have additional jobs (according to annex) Q20. Please, note the type of organization/entrepreneurship Code; 1. State 2. Municipal 3. Private (citizen) 4. Other (with state participation) 5. Foreign 6. Joint 7. Public Q21. Please, note the stability of HH members’ additional work Q22. Please, note the duration of HH members’ additional job Code; 1. Permanent 2. Seasonal 3. Casual/one-time 4. On contract basis 5. On verbal agreement Code; 1.Full-time working day 2.Part-time working day 3.Extra hours Q23. Please, note the main status of HH member’s employment Code; 1.Wage earner 2. Employer 3. Self-employed 5.Unpaid family worker 6. Production/Consumer’ cooperative member 7.Other Section 4. Non-employed HH members Q24.Please note the numbers of those HH members who do not work Q25. Please note the reasons why HH members do not work Code; 1. is a student/ is studying 2. is engaged in household management 3. is a pensioner 4. doesn’t have work 5. other Q26. Please, note the numbers of those HH members, who have searched paid job or tried to start up their own business at the 4 weeks prior the survey Q27. Please note the numbers of those HH members who are willing to start working immediately once they get a suitable offer 37 Q28. Please note what HH members have done to get a job Code; 1. Has applied to State Employment Service 2. Has applied to private recruitment agencies 3. Has followed announcements 4. Has announced job-search 5. Has tried to find a job through the net of friends and relatives 6. Has applied to employers 7. Other Q29. Please note the numbers of those unemployed HH members, who are willing to work but have not looked for it Q30. Please note the reasons of not looking for a job Code 1. Is waiting for an invitation from the previous employer 2. Is not willing to work 3. Is hopeless that will find a job 4. Does not know where to search a job 5. Other Q31. Has any of HH members tried to start up his own business 1. yes pass to the next question 2. no pass to Question33 HH/NN Q32. Please note what the HH member have done to start up their own business Code 1. 2. 3. 4. Have looked for areas, premises, machines, equipments Have tried to achieve financial resources (loan) Have applied to state authorities for permission Other HH member’s number Q32. Please note the members of those HH, who have been registered in State Employment Service 38 Section 5. Satisfaction with current jobs Q33. Please note the numbers of those HH members whose present work suits their professional education, qualification, and work experience HH member’s number Main Q34. Please note the numbers of those HH members who have searched job at the 7 days prior the survey Q35. Please, note the reasons of searching another job HH Ñ/Ñ Code 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Expected liquidation of the organization or redundancies Expiry of work contract Profession (qualification) and current work mismatch Unsatisfactory work conditions Health condition Low payment Other 39 Additional Section 6. HH employment in agriculture Q36. Please note the size and type of land, which is the property of HH member, or rented by HH member Private land (hectare) Homestead land (hectare) Q37. Please note which part of the land is used` Rented land (hectare) Q38. PLease note the numbers of your HH members engaged in land cultivation 1. Wholly (100%) 2. More than the half (more than 50%, but not 100%) 3. Less than the half (less than 50%) 4. Not cultivating Q39. Please note the reasons if you do not use the land wholly 1. Too far……. 3. There is no irrigation water…… 5. There are no financial means 2. The land is not of good quality….. 4. Not profitable to cultivate it........ 6. Absence of agricultural machines Q40. Is your HH engaged in cattle breeding? 1. Yes 2. No Q41. Please note the numbers of those HH members, who are engaged in cattle breeding Q42. For what purposes does the HH produce farming products? To satisfy own needs 1. Yes 2. No To sell 1. Yes 2. No 40 7.I am sick, I am old 8.Other ---------------------- ANNEX TYPES OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY-CLASSIFICATION (question 11 and question 19) 1. Agriculture, hunting, forestry 2. Fishery, aquaculture 3. Mining industry 4. Processing industry 5. Generation and distribution of energy, gas, water 6. Construction 7. Trade (except sale of air tickets, vehicles, repair of perishable, consumable items) 8. Hotels and restaurants 9. Transport and communication 10. Financial activity (also pawnshops and insurance) 11. Real estate operations, lease and delivery of services to consumers (operation with IT equipment, elaboration of surveys and audition activities in the sphere of justice) 12. State administration 13. Education 14. Health 15. Social services (retirement homes, orphanages, establishments for deaf and dump, blind, physically handicapped and mentally retarded persons) 16. Delivery of utilities services and individual services (culture, sports, utilities and other services, NGOs) 17. Services of HH management (persons working in HH) 41