Name _______________________________________ Class _______ Date _______________ Inquiry Activity • Paper and Pencil Chapter 16 Problem Tracking CO2 and Temperature Does human activity cause global warming? Background Increases in Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Toward the end of the 18th century, the Industrial Revolution began. The revolution was marked by a shift from manual labor to the use of machines. As technology spread, so did the use of fossil fuels such as petroleum and coal. The major waste products of burning fossil fuels are carbon dioxide (CO2) and water vapor (H20 (g)). These are called “greenhouse gases,” because they absorb energy radiated by the Earth and redirect it downward, warming Earth’s surface. What Is the Effect? Without greenhouse gases, the planet would be much cooler because much of the sun’s energy would radiate back into space. Scientists worry, however, that increases in greenhouse gases due to human activity are causing accelerated global warming. Using the data table below, you will graph and evaluate measurements of atmospheric CO2 concentrations and global temperature to reach your own conclusion. Data Table Year Atmospheric CO2 (ppm)* Temperature Anomaly (ºC)** 1800 1810 1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 283 284 284 284 285 285 286 288 291 294 297 300 303 307 310 312 317 325 –0.36 –0.20 –0.34 0.04 0.03 –0.39 0.02 –0.32 –0.20 0.08 –0.40 –0.42 0.08 –0.21 –0.13 –0.50 0.28 –0.14 * Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center ** National Climatic Data Center Environmental Science • Lab Manual 1 Name _______________________________________ Class _______ Date _______________ Procedure Materials Graph template (in lab) or graph paper; computer with Internet access (for Question 9) Step 1 The data table shows measurements of atmospheric CO2 for every decade from 1800 to 1970. In the same table is a column of temperature anomalies for the same years. A temperature anomaly is a positive or negative difference between that year’s average temperature and the long-term average. Study both columns of data to detect any trends. Step 2 On the graph, on the next page, study how the temperature anomaly data have been plotted. A trend line shows the overall trend of these highly variable data over the given time period. Step 3 On this same graph, plot CO2 data on the y-axis (on the left) and years on the x-axis (at the bottom). Use a different color as well as a different symbol for the CO2 data points so that they will not be confused with the temperature anomaly data. Step 4 After all of the data have been plotted, draw a trend line across the new data points to show the overall trend of atmospheric CO2. Step 5 Give the graph a title and complete the legend, showing your data point symbol and the line color that you used. Environmental Science • Lab Manual 2 Name _______________________________________ Class _______ Date _______________ 1. Follow the procedure to complete the graph of the data in the data table. Environmental Science • Lab Manual 3 Name _______________________________________ Class _______ Date _______________ Analyze and Conclude 2. Based on the trend lines, what has happened to the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere between the years 1800 and 1970? What has happened to temperatures during the same time period? Do the two trends appear related? Explain. __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ 3. What is the most likely cause of the increase in atmospheric CO2? __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ 4. Based on the relationship between atmospheric CO2 concentration and temperature, as shown by the trend lines, and on the change in atmospheric CO2 concentration since the Industrial Revolution, explain why scientists are concerned. __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ 5. Do the data prove that increasing levels of atmospheric CO2 cause global warming? Support your conclusion. __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ Environmental Science • Lab Manual 4 Name _______________________________________ Class _______ Date _______________ 6. The ocean has a higher concentration of dissolved CO2 than the atmosphere. As temperature of water increases, the solubility of gases in water decreases. If the oceans continue to warm, how might this affect the atmosphere? And in turn, how might the effect on the atmosphere affect the ocean? __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ 7. In 2008, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere was measured at 385 ppm. In addition to expanding the time scale, what would you need to do to your graph to include that data point? Explain. __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ 8. Extension The Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC) maintains records, for the United States, of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. Go to the CDIAC Web site and click on the link for “Atmospheric Trace Gas Measurements.” Select “carbon dioxide.” You will get several choices. Choose “Law Dome, Antarctica” under “Historical Records from Ice Cores.” Then click on the link for “Digital Data.” You will get three choices. Click on the last link, “Record derived from a spline smoothing (75-year cutoff) of the DE08, DE08-2, and DSS data.” Look at the data from year 1000 up to 1800. How do the data compare to the data you graphed? What do these data suggest about the correlation between the Industrial Revolution (burning of fossil fuels) and global warming? __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________________ Environmental Science • Lab Manual 5