Agricultural Economics Society 81st Annual Conference 2nd to 4th April 2007 University of Reading Monday 2nd April 2007 Time Morning Registration 10.30 Executive Meeting 12.00 Lunch 12.45 Plenary Session Rm. Madejski David Blandford, Tim Josling, Alan Swinbank 2.15 Contributed Paper 1 Berkeley Hill & David Blandford Agricultural Policy Chair: Paul Wilson Paul Keatley & Duncan Anderson Rm Madejski Development Euan Fleming & Pauline Fleming Chair Steve Wiggins Rm GU04 Gero Carletto, Benjamin Davis, Angeli Kirk & Kostas Stamoulis Josef Apfelbeck, Marco Huigen & Climate Change Chair Ian Hodge Tatjana Krimly Rm 1L04 Anita Wreford, Neil Adger, Mike Hulme Ben White, Jananee Raguragavan, & Environment Chair Alistair McVittie Robert C. Chambers Rm. 1L06 Sergio Colombo & Nick Hanley 3.15 Tea 3.30 Contributed Paper 2 Uwe Latacz-Lohmann & Steven Environment Chair Andrew Moxey Schilizzi Rm. Madejski Jochen Kantelhardt and Karin Eckstein Abhijit Sharma, Alasitar Bailey, Marco Technology Chair Stephen Bertaglia & Iain Fraser The Impasse at the WTO: Implications for Agricultural Policy Taxation Concessions As Instruments Of Agricultural Policy Less Favoured Area Compensatory Payments: Rationale, Effectiveness And Future Evidence On Trends In The Single Factoral Terms Of Trade In African Agricultural Commodity Production Non Traditional Exports, Traditional Constraints: the Adoption and Diffusion of Cash Crops among Smallholders in Guatemala Simulating The Effects Of Climatic Change On District- And Farm-Level Decision Making In The Danube Catchment Area. Assessing the future economic impact of extreme climatic events on agriculture in Europe Agri-environmental Regulation on the Back of a Data Envelopment Analysis What Determines Prediction Errors In “Benefits Transfer” Models? Assessing The Performance Of Conservation Auctions: An Experimental Study* Do Farmers Provide Agri-Environmental Services Efficiently? – An Economic Analysis. Modelling the technology adoption decision: theory and empirical evidence Ramsden Rm 1L06 Development Chair Paul Winters Rm. GU04 Environment Chair Alistair Bailey Rm. 1L04 Rural Issues Chair Peter Midmore Rm. 1L14 4.30 Rm. Madejski Rm. 1L04 7.00 C.S.Srinivasan Plant Varieties, Intellectual Property Rights And Innovation In UK Agriculture Knud Jørgen Munk Bob Baulch, Le Dang Trung, Henrik Hansen and Tran Ngo Minh Tam Salvatore Di falco & Jean-Paul Chavas On the rationale for the use of border taxes in developing countries Heinz Ahrens & Jochen Kantelhardt Integrating Ecological And Economic Aspects In Land Use Concepts E. Ariel Bergmann, Sergio Colombo & Nick Hanley The Social-Environmental Impacts Of Renewable Energy Expansion In Scotland Danny Campbell Combining Mixed Logit Models And Random Effects Models To Identify The Determinants Of Willingness To Pay For Rural Landscape Improvements Symposium 1 Prabhu Pingali, Peter Hazell, Jonathan Kydd Richard Tiffin Dinner Tuesday 3rd April 2007 9.00 - 10.15 Contributed Papers 3 Production Evridiki Kaliakatsou & Colin Thirtle Chair Tahir Rehman Rm. 1L06 Johannes Sauer & Damas Phillip Bio-Economics Chair Uwe Latacz Lohmann Rm. Madejski Demand/Health Issue Chair Caroline Saunders Rm. 1L04 Emma Dillon, Alan Matthews & Fiona Thorne Shefali V. Mehta, Robert G. Haight, & Frances R. Homans Marco Bertaglia, Abhijit Sharma, Alastair Bailey, Iain Fraser Mario Mazzocchi & W Bruce Traill Bill Kaye-Blake M. Arnoult, A. Lobb, S. Chambers & R. Tiffin Testing For Food Market Integration: A Study Of The Vietnamese Paddy Market Rainfall Shocks, Resilience And The Effects Of Crop Biodiversity On Agro-Ecosystem Productivity Agriculture Development in a Global Context Food Demand Decomposing The Impacts Of Ozone Pollution, R&D Cutbacks, The Demise Of Free Agricultural Extension Services, Farm Size And Policies On UK Farm Yields Soil Quality, Land Prices And Farm Efficiency –A Hedonic Panel Frontier Analysis A Cost-Effectiveness Study Of Animal Disease Eradication Strategies: Foot-And-Mouth Disease (FMD) In Ireland. The Value-Of-Information In Invasive Species Management: The Value Of Research In Reducing Uncertainty Perceptions Of Biocontrol And The Adoption Of New Pest Management Strategies In The UK Calories, Obesity and Health in OECD Countries Modelling Refusal Of Genetically Modified Food UK Consumer’s Attitude To, And Willingness To Pay For Novel Foods Production Economics Chair James Jones Rm. GU04 Allan J Butler & Martin M Turner Modelling Integrated Dairy Systems In The UK: Towards Economic And Environmental Sandra Saïd & Sophie Thoyer Reform of the Grass Premium in France, What design for an auction-based allocation mechanism? 10.00 11.00 Keynote Speaker Chair Tim Josling Rm Madejski Poster Papers (with Tea/Coffee) Plenary Session 2 Daniel A. Sumner Professor, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Davis Lunch AGM followed by Presidential Address by Professor Ian Hodge, University of Cambridge Tea /Coffee Contributed Paper Session 4 Alison Bailey, John Quinton, Martyn Silgram, Carly Stevens, Bob Jackson Breda Lally, Brendan Riordan, & Tom van Rensburg Thia Hennessy & Shailesh Shrestha 12.30 13.30 Rm Madejski 15.00 15.30 Environment Chair Janet Dwyer Rm. IL04 Agricultural Policy Chair David Colman Rm 1L06 Farmer Attitudes Chair Caroline Hattam Rm GU04 Trade Chair Ken Thomson Rm. Madejski Transition Countries Chair David Harvey Rm 1L14 Martin Henseler Tahir Rehman, Chris Garforth, Kevin McKemey, Chris Yates & Ram Rana The US Farm Bill The Governance of Rural Land in a Liberalised World Determining The Cost Effectiveness Of Solutions To Diffuse Pollution: The Case Of Mitigation Options For Phosphorous And Sediment Loss Controlling Agricultural Emissions Of Nitrates: Regulations Versus Taxes Simulating A Market For Milk Quota Under Policy Reforms: An Irish Study Comparison Between Impacts Of CAP Reform Scenario In The German Neckar River Basin And In England Incorporating elements of farmers’ behaviour into Agricultural Policy Models Alan Swinbank and Carsten Daugbjerg Changing Attitudes: Does Personal Experience Matter? A Structural Equation Modeling Approach with Panel Data Curbing Agricultural Exceptionalism: The EU’s Response to External Challenge C. Saunders and J.D. Santiago An analysis of the EU positions in WTO: impact on EU and New Zealand Aysel Tutkun Laure Latruffe, Sophia Davidova, Elodie Douarin & Matthew Gorton Maria Sassi The Potential Growth Of Individual Farms In The NMS Post-EU Accession Structural Change And Economic Convergence Across The Eu-15 Regions: Can The Agricultural Sector Play A Role? 16.30 Organics Chair Philip Lund Rm. 1L14 Development Chair Wyn Morgan Rm. GU04 Social Capital Chair Anita Wreford Rm 1L06 Trade Chair Alan Swinbank Rm 1L04 Shorter Contributed/Discussion Papers Alan W. Renwick & Cesar L. Revoredo Giha Bob Bansback Steve Wiggins Habtu T. Weldegebriel I. Patrick & M. Bavorova Tom M. van Rensburg, Edel Doherty & Catherine Murray T Donnellan, T Hennessy, & F Thorne, Elizabeth Gotor and Marinos E Tsigas Klaus Kogler & Caroline Saunders Land Use Chair Ben White Rm. Madejski Evening Holger Bergmann and Kenneth J. Thomson Mark O Brien & Thia Hennessy Conference Dinner Modelling the Adoption of Crop Rotation Practices in Organic Mixed Farms Increasing Supplies Of British Organic Beef Is a green revolution taking place in West Africa? The Economics of Rotating and Credit Associations (ROSCAS): Evidence from Rural Ethiopia Social capital and agribusiness linkages; lessons learned in Indonesia and the Czech Republic Exploring Social Capital in Two Environmental Partnerships in Ireland World Trade Talks and the EU Milk Quota Regime – The Time for Reform? The Agricultural Dimension Of The EU Economic Partnership Reformed Sugar Trade Regime. A General Equilibrium Analysis On Development Single Farm Payment In The European Union And Its Implications On New Zealand Dairy And Beef Trade Agricultural Multifunctionality: Concepts, Observation, Encouragement Exploring the Factors Affecting Farm Investment Decisions Wednesday 4th April 2007 9.00 Contributed Session 5 Alistair McVittie, Dominic Moran & Clare Hall Markets Chair Habtu Weldegebriel Michele Nardella RmGU04 C.A. Cockerill, S.M. Chilton & W.G. Decision Making Chair Brendan Hutchinson Riordan Elizabeth Jackson, Mohammed Quaddus, Nazrul Rm1L06 Islam, John Stanton & Zohurul Hoque Organics Johannes Sauer, Jesper Graversen & Tim Park Chair Bob Bansback Rm 1L04 Caroline Hattam Sustainability Janet Dwyer, Julie Ingram and James Kirwan Chair Brendan Bayley Rm Madejski Noel Russell 10.00 Coffee 10.30 Symposium 2 Rm. Madejski Wilfred Legg (organisor), Kevin Parris, Andrew Moxey, David Cawley Rm 1L04 Paul Winters, Katia Covarrubius, Benjamin Davis and Alberto Zezza 12.00 Lunch and Depart 12.30 Executive Meeting The non-market benefits of rural service provision Price efficiency and speculative trading in cocoa futures markets Household Decision Making Models And The Value Of Child Farm Safety A Multi-Disciplinary Approach For Determining Adoption Of Agricultural Price Risk Management Strategies Breathtaking Or Stagnating? – Productivity And Technical Change In Danish Organic Farming Bayes Estimates of Time to Organic Certification Can Markets Deliver Green Farming? – An Environmental Evaluation Of Produce Protocols And Supply Chain Relationships Analysing the sustainability of farming: Economic, ecological and commercial criteria Environmental performance of agriculture: recent results and policy implications for the OECD and UK Rural economic activity in developing countries