COST Action ES1002 “WIRE” State of the Art Workshop Working Group meetings Management Committee meeting Mines ParisTech, Sofia Antipolis, France March 22nd-24th 2011 Agenda 21.03.2011 Core Group meeting: Fine tuning of the WS Evening, with common dinner 22.3.2011 09:00-09:05 09:05-09-15 Welcome Organization Chair Host, Grant Holder Presentation of the Action (Chair: A. M. Sempreviva & A. Heimo) Presentation of COST Action ES1002 activities: goals, methodology, cooperation, STSMs… 09:15-09:35 09:35-09:55 09:55-10:15 Presentation of Work Plan - WG1 Presentation of Work Plan - WG2 Presentation of Work Plan - WG3 10:15-10:45 Coffee Break G. Kariniotakis F. Kuik G. Giebel Keynote presentations (Chair: A. M. Sempreviva & A. Heimo) 10:45-11:05 11:05-11:25 11:25-11:45 11:45-12:05 12:05-12:25 12:25-12:45 WMO/CIMO and renewable energies A Wind Power Forecasting System to Optimize Power Integration Operational aspects of wind and PV forecasting Observations of solar radiation as a tool for forecasting The Use of Short-term Prediction of Wind Power at End Users European research in the ANEMOS, ANEMOS.plus and SafeWind frameworks B. Calpini S. Haupt V. Lefieux F. Kuik G. Giebel G. Kariniotakis 12:45-14:10 Lunch/Sandwiches 14:10-14:30 Electricity production forecasting based on meteorological forecasting and detailed plant modeling L. Ramirez Specific presentations (Chair: F. Kuik & B. Calpini) 14:30-14:45 14:45-15:00 15:00-15:15 15:15-15:30 15:30-15:45 Post-processing tools applied on short-term irradiance simulations from WRF mesoscale model Verification of direct normal irradiance forecasts for the concentrating solar thermal power plant Andasol-3 location A review of statistical probabilistic wind power forecasting methods at the Norwegian Meteorological Institute (met.no) Advanced Wind Power Ramp Forecasting WRF-STAT coupled model for energy production forecasting from photovoltaic farms 15:45-16:15 Coffee Break 16:15-18:00 Poster session1 20:00-? Common Dinner O. Jorba M. Schroedter J. B. Bremnes R. Girard M. Brabec 23.03.2011 Specific presentations (Chair: G. Giebel & L. Ramirez) 09:00-09:15 09:15-09:30 09:30-09:45 09:45-10:00 The RSE Wind and Solar Forecast System SOlar energy PRediction by Adaptive NOwcasting (SOPRANO) Comparison of wind lidar profiles up to 600 meters and WRF modeling output, what can we see and what can we learn? Dynamic thermal rating of power transmission lines and renewable resources 10:00-10:15 Spatial and temporal balancing between solar and wind energy resources as a way to stabilize the renewable power output. 10:15-10:30 SunEdison activities in the areas of energy forecasting 1 See separate list S. Alessandrini L. Vuillemier Sven-Erik Gryning J. Hosek D. Pozo-Vazquez and grid integration 10:30-11:00 Golnas Tassos Coffee Break 11:00-13:00 Poster session – Visit of Sofia Antipolis site 13:00-14:00 Lunch /Sandwiches 14:00-15:30 WG1 / WG2 / WG3 meetings (separate) Planning - Working methods - Cooperation - Separate meetings - STSMs - etc.. 15:30-16:00 Coffee Break Plenary (Chair: G. Kariniotakis & D. Pozo Vazquez) "State-of-the-Art", learned lessons, objectives … 16:00-16:15 16:15-16:30 16:30-16:45 16:45-17:30 State of the Art WG1 G. Kariniotakis & L. Ramirez State of the Art WG2 F. Kuik & B. Calpini State of the Art WG3 G. Giebel & D. Pozo Vasquez Synthesis of WS - Discussion - Conclusion Closure 24.03.2011 09:00-13:30 MC meeting List of posters (“national” posters not included) 1 Eben K. On the impact of model resolution and time frequency of outputs on renewable energy prediction 2 S. Federico Surface high-resolution temperature forecast in southern Italy 3 A. Buzzi High-resolution short-range wind forecasts with the ISAC model MOLOCH 4 D. Cirio Power system security assessment in presence of variable generation: an approach from RSE 5 S. Dierer Wind power forecasts in icing conditions 6 Luis Martína 7 Shigeo Kimura FORECASTING GLOBAL SOLAR IRRADIANCE BASED ON GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM AND NEURONAL NETWORKS AND IRSOLAV CAPABILITIES Estimation of the icing rate between ice detector and wind turbine bl 8 E. Avolio 9 Elena Collino 10 Karoliina Ljungberg Finnish Icing Atlas 11 Eugenia TulcanPaulescu AIR TEMPERATURE-BASED MODELS FOR NOWCASTING OF GLOBAL SOLAR IRRADIANCE AND FORECASTING OF DAILY GLOBAL SOLAR IRRADIATION 12 V. Kotroni High-resolution model-based wind atlas for Greece 13 Mugur BÄ‚LAN 14 Lorentz JÄNTSCHI Relative Outside Humidity - Analysis of Variance 15 René Cattin SWISS-WIRE: Swiss Research Project on Weather Intelligence on Renewable Energies 16 Paulo Santos Load forecasting in the main injectors points of the national distribution grid (60kV) –The influence of exogenous variables. 17 Kjersti Røkenes Status of energy forecasting in a Norwegian wind power company 18 J. Badosa Predictability of solar irradiation in Reunion Tropical Island 19 A. Katzantzidis The Hellenic Network of Solar Energy 20 S. Guignard Forecast of time series via functional data analysis C. Experimental activities at a coastal site in the Central Mediterranean Southern Italy and preliminary results of a four-dimensional data assimilation scheme using wind a profiler and a sodar Wind and solar data collection over the Italian territory at RSE Relative Outside Humidity - Analysis of Inference Cancelled 21 H. Agustsson Improving high-resolution atmospheric simulations of local weather using in-situ realtime observations from small unmanned aircraft 22 H. Agustsson Observations and simulations of ice loading in test spans