Annual Operating Plan (AOP) - WMO / ESCAP Panel on Tropical

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WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION
AND
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL COMMISSION
FOR ASIA AND THE PACIFIC
WMO/ESCAP Panel on Tropical Cyclones
Integrated Workshop
Bangkok, Thailand
27 to 29 November 2013
FOR PARTICIPANTS ONLY
WRD/PTC_IWS/INF. 5
(21.XI 2013)
______________
AGENDA ITEM 11
ENGLISH ONLY
ANNUAL OPERATING PLAN FOR 2013
Coordinated Technical Plan (CTP) for the WMO/ESCAP Panel on Tropical Cyclones
- Annual Operating Plan for 2013 Expected Result
Strategic Goal
Activity
ER-1 (Meteorology)
Enhanced capabilities
of Members to produce
better forecasts and
warnings of tropical
cyclones and storm
surges.
1-a To improve and expand the
observing system of surface,
upper-air, ship, buoy, aircraft,
radar and satellite observations in
the Member countries.
To strengthen of the cooperative
relationship with the Airlines for
development of the regional AMDAR
programme (Members, WMO).
1-b To implement and operate
adequate Members’ connection to
the WMO Information System
(WIS) for operation-critical data
exchange through dedicated
telecommunication means of the
GTS, and through broadband
Internet access for Data
Discovery, Access and Retrieval
service.
1-c To increase accuracy,
timeliness and usefulness of
tropical cyclone forecasts and
warnings.
Members to implement plans to
deploy WIS functionality.
1) To conduct case studies on the
events where gaps were found in TC
intensity analysis between RSMC and
the Members (Oman, RSMC).
2) To establish and enhance the
communication
between
the
operational forecasters in RSMC and
the Members (RSMC, PTC-S).
3) To develop collaborative links with
the Severe Weather Forecasting
Demonstration Project and the
Coastal
Inundation
Forecasting
Demonstration Project of WMO
(Members, PTC-S, WMO)
4) To promote the use of Common
Alerting Protocol (CAP) in partnership
with WGDPP (WMO, Members).
5) To implement TC Landfall Forecast
FDP (RSMC, Members)
6) To prepare an assessment report
on the current status and needs of the
Members with respect to data,
products, analytical and forecasting
procedures.
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7) To arrange the training on Dvorak’s
technique
and
application
of
Ensemble Prediction System (EPS)
for tropical cyclone monitoring and
prediction with the support of WMO.
ER-2 (Hydrology)
Enhanced capabilities
of Members to provide
better hydrological
forecasts and
assessments.
1-d To extend the operational use
of ensemble prediction techniques
and probabilistic forecasts for
more effective disaster risk
assessment and management.
1-e To upgrade the computing
facility of RSMC New Delhi and
NMSs so as to facilitate efficient
data processing and data
assimilation from different
observing systems/platforms to
suit the national and regional
needs.
1-f To establish a regional storm
surge watch scheme to provide
Members with the storm-surge
advisories including daily marine
processed data and information
they require for real-time uses.
2-a To improve regional
cooperation in real time
monitoring and exchange of
relevant data and information,
derived (forecasting) products and
technical expertise related to
hydrological hazards.
Having
the
Tropical
Cyclone
Ensemble
Forecast
Website
established, RSMC New Delhi to
improve the website with the
feedback from the Members.
(to be determined by RSMC New
Delhi)
To provide the graphical storm-surge
forecast charts from RSMC New
Delhi through collaboration between
RSMC and IIT (led by B.K. and Prof
Dube).
1) To develop and implement regional
information exchange strategy during
2009- 2010.
2) To organize regional workshops on
data transmission mechanisms with
special reference to water related
hazards and sharing information
through PTC web site.
3) To collaborate with Commission for
Hydrology (CHy) and Working Group
on Hydrology of RA-II.
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2-b To improve flood forecasts
and warnings particularly in
deltaic and coastal areas by
coupling meteorological storm
surge forecasts with river flow
forecasting.
1) To develop delta hydraulic models
for river forecasting by coupling MIKE
11 (or any other model being used in
the countries) with the storm surge
forecasts for at least one river delta in
each country.
2) Developing/application of coastal
flood models and associated flood
hazard and risk maps in the line as
mentioned above.
3) To organize workshops for
enhancing the capabilities of the
countries.
2-c To enhance regional
capabilities relating to flood
hazard mapping in delta and
coastal regions through continued
interaction with the user agencies.
1) To undertake flood hazard
mapping at least in one major
delta/coastal area in each country
during the next five years.
2) To organize
capacity building.
ER-3 (DPP)
Enhanced capabilities
of Members to promote
tropical cyclone disaster
resilient communities
through providing
guidance on multihazard early warning
dissemination and
response mechanism.
2-d To improve management of
water resources, including
assessment of surface and
ground water resources in relation
to tropical cyclones.
3-a To improve regional
cooperation in policies and
strategies on DPP, especially
those related to tropical cyclones.
3-b To promote regional
information system to support
development of policies and
strategies on DPP at the regional
level as well as at the national
level.
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workshops
3) To collaborate
experiences
with
Committee.
-
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-
and
for
share
Typhoon
3-c To improve public awareness
of the impacts of tropical cyclones
and possible mitigation and
response actions through effective
communication with the media
prior to, during, and after tropical
cyclone occurrences.
3-d To Improve coordination and
interaction between
meteorological/hydrological
services on the one hand and
emergency management/disaster
response agencies on the other
hand through integrated
emergency management, disaster
response and preparedness
programmes.
3-e To strengthen regional
cooperation on DPP information
exchange through networking.
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3-f To improve multi hazard
disaster risk management,
especially those related to
cyclone-related disaster
preparedness.
ER-4 (Training)
4-a
To
arrange
training
Development
of
a programmes on the use of NWP
strategic approach to model
products
and
their
capacity building with a application in Cyclone (track and
regional perspective.
intensity)
and
storm
surge
prediction.
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4-b To arrange training
programmes on media
coordination during disasters and
their effectiveness on “human
response”.
4-c To arrange training
programmes on the use of
Doppler Weather Radar products
in Cyclone forecasting.
4-d To exchange visits of faculty
members among Member
countries to share their
experiences and expertise on
cyclone & related disaster
management aspects.
4-e To enhance WMO’s fellowship
support on tropical cyclone related
programmes.
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To produce a prioritized list of training
needs and opportunities of PTC
Members through a survey from PTC
Secretariat (PTC-S, WMO, ESCAP)
and advise WMO for reporting,
planning
and
implementation
purposes.
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ER-5 (Research)
Enhanced capabilities
of Members to cope
with high impact
weather through
research.
ER-6 (Partnership)
Enhanced use of
forecasts and warnings
for tropical cyclones
and storm surges for
decision making and
implementation by
Members and partner
organizations.
ER-7 (Management
and Governance)
Effective management
and functioning of the
Panel.
5-a To produce regional
assessment of the impact of
climate change on tropical
cyclones.
To collect data/materials/papers from
the Member countries which are
relevant to the regional assessment.
5-b To develop storm surge and
river flood coupling model over
specific river basins for
forecasting of coastal inundation.
5-c To update vulnerability maps
for various parameters like wind
force/peak storm surge etc.,
based on latest available
database.
6-a To promote exchange of
information and data among
Members to enhance regional
cooperation in meteorology,
hydrology, DPP, training and
research.
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6-b To enhance cooperation with
other regional bodies,
organizations, service providers
and sectors for more effective
provision of the forecasts and
warnings.
6-c To develop proposals of joint
projects in the areas of five
components including resource
mobilization.
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7.a To improve the coordination
and decision making process of
the Panel.
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7.b To enhance effectiveness in
implementation of CTP and
AOPs.
7.c To ensure effective and
collaborative relationships among
working groups of Meteorology,
Hydrology and DPP.
7-d To improve coordinated
technical planning process as well
as monitoring and evaluation.
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