Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Preliminary Lecture notes for a Micro Course Based on Microeconomics 8ed by Pindyck & Rubinfeld Prepared by Houston H. Stokes. Goal of the Notes: Allow the student to have an outline of the key ideas and solutions to a number of problems that will be discussed in class. Since the notes are distributed in WORD® format, students can edit the notes. Introduction Quote from Robert Mundell Man and Economics 1968 "Economics is the science of choice. It began with Aristotle but got mixed up with ethics in the Middle Ages. Adam Smith separated it from ethics, and Walrus mathematized it. Alfred Marshall tried to narrow it, and Keynes made is fashionable. Robbins widened it, and Samuelson dynamized it, but modern science made it statistical and tried to confine it again. But the science won't stay put. It keeps cropping up all over the place. There is an economics of money and trade, of production and consumption, of distribution and development. There is also an economics of welfare, manners, language, industry, music, and art. There is an economics of war and an economics of power. There is even an economics of love. Economics seems to apply to every nook and cranny of human experience. It is an aspect of all conscious action. Whenever decisions are made, the law of economy is called into play. Whenever alternatives exist, life takes on an economic aspect. It has always been so. But how can it be? It can be because economics is more than just the most developed of the sciences of control. It is a way of looking at things, an ordering principle, a complete part of everything. It is a system of thought, a life game, an element of pure knowledge. Chapter 1 Preliminaries Economics is concerned with scarcity. If something is not scarce, there is no economic problem. Microeconomics => Study of behavior of individual economic units. How they react and how they interact to form larger units. Economics uses theory to explain actions and predict future actions. For example if: the Bulls are in the playoffs, then there will be a larger number of people wanting tickets than if they have a poor season. If there is high unemployment, then at the university more students enroll in business courses because their opportunity costs (pay loss due to being in class) are less. Theory does not work well all the time. The market test of theory is how well it does in comparison to another theory. A theory must have the possibility to being proved wrong. The statement "all unmarried men are bachelors" is a tautology and cannot be proved 1 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes wrong. The statement "If American Airlines lowers the ticket price to Bermuda, an increased number of people will fly this weekend." Can be proved wrong or right. Marginal utility theory can be used to derive the demand curve. However it will be shown later that to get a downward sloping demand curve the only assumption needed is that consumers buy randomly along the budget line. => a minimalist approach to deriving an important economic concept - downward sloping demand. Normative Economics => What should be done. "Microsoft should be allowed to bundle the IE with Windows XP because it benefits consumers." Positive Economics => What will happen, not what should be done. "An increase in the property tax in the area of UIC will tend to lower the price of apartments, everything else equal." Many decisions involve multiple assumptions. Book example of 1985 decision of Ford to produce the Taurus involved: 1. Consumer tastes vs demand "would they like the car?" 2. How sensitive would demand be to price changes? (elasticity), 3. What would be the production costs? (Depends on assumptions of #'s of cars produced, union demands, inflation, how fast workers learn). 4. How would competitors react (market structure). 5. How much new capital would be needed? (interest rates, engineering). 6. How would the decision be changed if oil prices moved favorably, unfavorably? 7. How should Ford organize the production? 8. How might anticipated Government regulation changes influence the decision (Gas mileage requirements). What is a Market. A market is the collection of buyers and sellers that, through their actual or potential interactions, determine the price of a product or set of products. A market includes more than an industry (a collection of firms that sell the same or closely related products). Key business decision: Determining the market for the product! If prices differ in two markets, arbitrage may be possible. If the price of a T-bill maturing in period t in NY is > than the price of the same T-bill in Chicago => people will buy in Chicago and sell on the NY market. If the price of a Big-Mac is less in Norfolk VA than Chicago, arbitrage is NOT feasible, even with fast planes. 2 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Markets can be competitive (wheat) or noncompetitive (electric power) due to entry costs. In a competitive market with many producers no one producer can change the industry price. Product differentiation => power to alter price within limits. Successful advertising => in perceived product differentiation. Extent of the market => the boundaries, both geographical and physical of a market. Real vs Nominal Price. Economic decisions should be made on the basis of real prices. Money illusion => consumer looks at the nominal price not the real price. Assume two groups: debtors and creditors. Creditors and debtors set the interest rate depending on their expectations of price movements. Unexpected price increases (decreases) favor debtors (creditors). Measuring Price The CPI measures price changes by buying a market basket of goods at different times. Three known problems are: 1. Tastes may change over time but same basket is bought. 2. Relative prices may change but the same basket is bought 3. Price changes involve subtle income changes that give rise to income effects that will alter the mix of goods bought. The CPI for period t, Pt is calculated with the Laspeyres formula: n n i 1 i 1 Pt pti q1i / p1i q1i (1) If in place of the above equation the quantities could have been adjusted every year as in the Paasche formula n n i 1 i 1 Pt pti qti / p1i qti (2) which is not possible to calculate but would avoid the tastes bias and the relative price bias. Table 1.2 lists the CPI and education and egg prices in both nominal and real terms. How you get data in 2010 prices? See file ch1_1.xls for the answer? Why would one want to make this calculation? 3 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Study Questions: 1. Over the past year the price inflation has been 10%. The price of a used Ford SUV has fallen from $6,000 to $5,000. How much as the real price fallen: ((1.1 * 6000) - 5000)/(1.1*6000) = 24.24 Since last year the price of gold has risen from $120 to $420. What annual rate of inflation would hold the price of gold fixed in rea1 terms? (420-120)/120 = 250% If this was over 5 years and we assume yearly compounding, what would the rate of inflation have to be? 420 = 120(1. + r)5 (1. + r)5 = (420/120)=3.5, = > ln(1.+r) * 5 = ln( 3.5), => ln(1. + r) = ln(3.5)/5 or (1. + r) = exp(ln(3.5)/5), (1.+ r) = 1.2847 or 28.47% annual inflation. Check: (1.2847)5 = 3.5, 120*3.5 = 420 2. Suppose that the Japanese yen raises against the U. S. dollar; that is, it now takes more dollars to buy any given amount of Japanese yen. Explain why this simultaneously increases the real price of Japanese cars for U. S. consumers and lowers the real price of U. S. automobiles for Japanese consumers. 4 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Chapter 2 Basics of Supply and Demand The basic model postulates that Supply responds positively to price and Demand responds negatively to price. Qs = Qs(P) and Qd = Qd(P). At equilibrium P (P0) = Q (Q0) and the market clears. Qs(P) > Qd(P) implies excess supply while Qs(P) < Qd(P) implies excess demand. This is shown below S P P1 P0 P2 D Q Points where price is above P0 represent excess supply, while points below P0 represent excess demand. The laws of motion of Walrus state "If there is excess demand, price will rise." The laws of motion Marshall state "If there is excess demand, quantity will rise." P0 is the "market clearing price." Here supply = demand. Assume that somehow the price goes to P1. Now demand < supply. According to Marshall adjustment will proceed by a reduction in supply, while according to Walrus price will fall. Similar arguments can be made for P2. In a market for Old Master Paintings clearly Walrus adjustment is the only legal adjustment mechanism. In 1969 the first man walked on the moon. The New York times printed the edition showing this historic moment for three days until everyone got a copy. This was Marshall adjustment. In the above diagram it does not matter which adjustment model you use, price will go to P0. Assume that supply now is negatively sloped or that economics of scale exist. The producer can increase his production and lower his price. Two Models are possible. 5 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 P Houston H. Stokes D P S D S Q Q The left graph is stable according to Marshall and unstable according to Walrus. The right graph is stable according to Walrus and unstable according to Marshall. Why? There is a shift in supply if one of the variables held constant (not on the axis) changes and that in turn changes the amount supplied. Assume the supply of wheat is a function of P and R where R = rainfall. Qs = a + 1 P + 2 R (3) where 1 > 0 and 2 > 0. An increase in R would, everything else equal move the supply curve right and lower the price for wheat assuming the demand curve is not flat. Assume the demand for wheat is a function of price and income. Qd = a' + 3P + 4Y (4) Where 3 < 0 and 4 > 0. An increase in Y moves the demand curve right and results in an increase in price assuming that the supply curve is not flat and that Y => quantity demanded . Demand and supply curves hold tastes, prices of all other good, incomes and technology etc constant. Over time supply and demand usually shift right. An exception would be the demand for buggy whips! Why? Key Concept: Given a demand curve, it can be said that there is a change in demand or shift in the demand curve if the price of another good changes, income changes or tastes change. If the price of the good itself changes, then there is a change in the quantity demanded or a movement along the demand curve. In the above example Y will cause a change in demand while P will cause a change in the quantity demanded. For supply, P causes a change in the quantity supplied while R causes a change in supply. It is always important to understand the difference with what moves a curve and what causes a movement along the curve. 6 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes . Solve simple system: Qs= 1800 + 240P Qd= 3550 - 266P In equilibrium Qd = Qs. or 1800 + 240P = 3550 - 266P 506P = 1750 => P = $3.46 and Q = 1800 + (1750/506)*240 = 2630 Excel file ch2_1.xls solves this system. Using this technology. Solve the system assuming: - An advertising campaign raises 3550 to 4023. A lack of rainfall lowers 1800 to 1500 A change in taste changes 266 to 280 This is the basic template for micro analysis of supply and demand. A major research objective is to determine what will change a, a', 1,…4. It will be made more complex as we move forward. Ed = = = = elasticity of demand (%Q)/(%P) (Q/Q)/(P/P) (Q/P)*(P/Q) (5) Usually d is used in place of Ed. The price elasticity is measured at a point. On a linear demand curve the slope (Q/P) is constant. Q = 8-2P => (Q/P) = -2 As Q 0 => Ed - As P 0 => Ed 0 If |Ed| > 1 => P => Total Revenue (TR) up. TR = P * Q A firm should never operate where |Ed| (6) < 1. Advertising is designed to make |Ed| decrease for every price. After a successful advertising campaign the firm will have more product differentiation and can either raise price or increase sales at the current price. Careful analysis will tell us what to do. 7 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes S b a P2 P1 c d O Q1 e f Firm started with demand curve a e which implied price P1 and Q1. A major advertising campaign moved the demand curve from a e to b f. For purposes of this example a e is | | to b f. Price rises to P2. Proof that |d | at d is more inelastic than at c. At c d = (Q/Q)/(P/P) = (Q1e/OQ1)/(OP1/OP1) = (Q1e/OQ1) = ce / ac At d d (| | lines produce proportionate segments) = (Q/Q)/(P/P) = df / bd Since df = ce and bd > ac = > at d |d| is less than at c Note that at a d = - while at e d = 0. A parallel shift right of a demand curve makes is more inelastic at each price. Income elasticity measures the percent change in the quantity of a good for a percent change in income. 8 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 EI I = Houston H. Stokes (Q/Q)/(I/I) = (Q/I)(I/Q) (7) A good is normal if I > 0 and inferior if I < 0 . Baked beans are the classic inferior good and the BMW car a classic normal good. Assume an individual faces goods a to n. Let Pa be the price of good a, Pb be the price of good b. Let A be the change in the amount of A bought and B be the change in the amount of B bought. Assume the individual gets an increase in income I. Pa A + PbB + ….. + PnN = I (8) If we assume I = 0, the above equation defines the budget line which will be used in indifference curve analysis. Divide (8) through by I and then multiplying all terms on the left by I A / I A gives a key expression. In steps [ Pa A / I ] [ Pb B / I ],...,[ Pn N / I ] [ I / I ] [ Pa A AI / I AI ] [ Pb B BI / I BI ],...,[ Pn N NI / I NI ] [ I / I ] Finally Ka Ia + Kb Ib + … + Kn In = 1 (9) Or the sum of the weighted income elasticities = 1 The cross price elasticity of demand APB measures the effect of the price of good B on the quantity of good A. AP ( QA / QA ) / ( PB / PB ) QA PB / QA PB B (10) If A is a substitute for B, then APB is > 0 or an increase in the price of B => the quantity of A . If A is a complement of B then APB is < 0. Coke is a substitute for Pepsi while gas is a complement for an auto. In the long run demand is usually more elastic. When the price of gas went up in the 70's people did not just dump their cars that got poor gas mileage BUT when they replaced them they made sure they got a car with a higher MPG rating. In the long run the supply of a product is usually more elastic than in the short run since in the long run fixed factors can be changed. 9 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Given QD = a - bP (11) QS = c + dP (12) And P* and Q* are equilibrium P and Q, then at equilibrium the elasticity of demand D and elasticity of supply S are D = -b(P*/Q*) (13) S = d(P*/Q*) (14) => if we know D , S, P* and Q* we can get the supply curve and the demand curve. In the market we observe P* and Q*. Book shows P* and Q* are $.75 and 7.5 million D , S are -.8 and 1.6 respectively. From equation (13) and (14) we get -b = (-.8) * (7.5/.75) = -8. and d = (1.6)*(75/.75) = 16. Excel file ch2_2.xls solves the general case of determining the supply and demand functions given the elasticity and P* and Q*. In the long run supply and demand are usually more elastic. When OPEC raised price => discoveries went up. Users shifted to more efficient cars over time. An effective price control will cause a shortage. If the supply curve is NOT vertical, the total consumed will go down. Demand for E Problem 1. P 60 80 100 120 Qd 22 20 18 16 Qs 14 16 18 20 d = (Q/P)*(P/Q) Q/P -2/20 => d = (-.1)*(80/20) = -.40 at 100 d = (-.1)*(100/18) = -.56 Problem 2. T or F "Since tuition has doubled in real terms in the last 15 years this implies the demand curve for education is vertical." FALSE may be seeing shifts of both supply and demand. 10 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Problem 3. File Ch2_3.xls contains simulated Data from 25 Families obtained from Stigler Theory of Price Edition 4 page 37. Variables are expend = expenditure, pincome = permanent income, Tincome = transitory income, oincome = observed income. The data was generated from the model expend = f(1+.02*pincome). Tincome was randomly added such that pincome + tincome = oincome Run expend=f(constant pincome) Expend=g(constant oincome) 11 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Chapter 3 Consumer Behavior Key Assumptions of Theory of Consumer Behavior: Preferences are complete => Consumers can rank market baskets. Preferences are transitive => If consumer prefers basket A to B and B to C then the consumer prefers A to C. More of any good is always better. Indifference Curve - Locus of points showing different combinations of goods to which the consumer is indifferent. X II I III IV a b Y Consumer starts with a of X and b of Y. Points in I => more satisfaction. Points is III => less satisfaction. Indifference curves must be in II and IV. X Complements X Y Substitutes Y 12 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Y Usual Case Utility along b > than along a 2 b 1 a X Indifference curves cannot cross unless there is a change in tastes. Ordinal ranking => A is better than B but cannot tell by how much. Cardinal ranking => Can tell how much better A is than B. Slope of indifference curve measure marginal rate of substitution between goods. In terms of above example = ( Y / X ) . At 1 ( Y / X ) 0 At 2 ( Y / X ) => along an indifference curve there is diminishing marginal rate of substitution. Given you have relatively more X than Y => will give less Y for every additional X. Budget line = locus of points showing different combinations of goods that can be bought given income. Where budget lines is tangent to highest indifference curve => desired point (a). Y A a 3 2 1 B X 13 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes A = I / Py, B = I / Px. At a on highest indifference curve. MRS = Y/X =Px / Py 1 2 if income increases budget line moves out. If price of X falls budget line rotates Y a I Px => Budget line moves from 1 to 2 above => Budget line moves from ab to ac on left. B b c X Total spending fixed along budget line. Object is to reach highest Indifference curve (not drawn). Unless there is a corner solution, MRS = Px / Py. Of in words slope of the indifference curve = slope of budget line. Corner solution => consume only one good Utility = satisfaction one gets for consuming a good. Marginal Utility declines as consumption of a good increases unless lumpyness problem (4 tires on a car). MRSxy = MUx / MUy In equilibrium MUx / MUY = PX / PY MUx / PX = MUY / PY (MUx / PX) > (MUY / PY) => Have too much Y relative to X Marginal utility per dollar last dollar spent must be the same for all goods. 14 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Gas rationing => loss of welfare. Rationing done to maintain price. In NYC rent controls led to vast sections of the city being abandoned. Rationing once in place is hard to remove. See Figure 3.22 Other Goods OA C Gas Consumer wants OC of gas. The government forces person to take OA and thus be on a lower indifference curve. The Laspeyrse price index is defined as n n i 1 i 1 Pt pti q1i / p1i q1i which overstates the amount of a price increase because the person is given enough money to buy their old bundle even though this is NOT what they will buy since relative prices have changed. a Y 1 2 3 II III I X Consumer was on indifference curve 2 and budget line I. The price of X increases and the consumer ends up on indifference curve 3 and budget line II. A subsidy is given to allow consumer to buy old bundle of goods BUT consumer now buys relative more of good Y and less of good X since Px/Py has risen. 15 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes # 2 page 99 Draw indifference curves for: Al likes beer, hates hamburgers U3 U2 U1 beer U3 > U2 > U1 Hamburger Betty indifferent between 3 beers or 2 hamburgers. Nothing changes no matter what the level of consumption. beer 9 6 3 2 4 6 Hamburger Chris eats one hamburger and one beer in fixed proportions. beer Hamburger 16 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes 1. Antonio buys 8 new college textbooks at a cost of $50.00 each. Used books were $30.00 each. Next year prices for new books go up 20% and used books go up 10%. Antonio's Dad sent him $80.00 more. Is he better off? Cost last year for new books 8 * $50.00 = $400.00 Cost last year for used books 8 * $30.00 = $240.00 Relative price of new and used books last year 50/30 = 1.67 Relative price of new and used books this year (50*1.20)/(30*1.1) = 60 / 33 = 1.82 New books are relative more costly. Cost this year for the two choices would be 8*60 8*33 = $480 = $264 Dad gave him money to buy 8 new books this year. Will he still buy this bundle now that prices of new books are relatively higher? ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 2. Jane has a utility function U(F,c) = FC. Set up a table for U=12 and U = 24 Suppose Jane has $12.00 to spend and Pf = $1.00 and Pc = $3.00 Show budget line What should she buy? (F=6 C =2 ). Ch3_1.xls Jane U(Fmc)=FC U(F,C) = FC F 1 1.5 2 3 4 6 8 12 P food U=12 C 12 8 6 4 3 2 1.5 1 1 P Cloth 3 U=24 Cost 37 25.5 20 15 13 12 12.5 15 F 1 2 3 4 6 8 12 24 Budget line is Y = Pf * F + Pc * C MRS = -1/3 17 C 24 12 8 6 4 3 2 1 Cost 73 38 27 22 18 17 18 27 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Chapter 4 Individual Market Demand Demand Curve holds constant: Prices of other goods Income Tastes Assume Income available is I: A = I /P1y , B = I / P1x, C = I / P2x, D = I / P3x As Px falls the budget line moves from AB to AC to AD. The possible set of goods increases. The consumer increases x purchases and Y purchases. The above diagram is same as figure 4.1. Points to remember: As price of X falls there is a substutution effect that is due to the relative price change and an income effect which is due to the increase in real income 18 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes due to the price decrease. If the price of X falls, the consumption of Y can increase, or decrease. Income Consumption Curve Traces out points of consumption of X and Y that occurs as income increases. If X and Y are both superior goods, as I increases the consumption of X and Y increases. => Demand curves for both goods shift right. Y ICC X Here X is inferior at high income = > as I increases, consumption of X eventually falls. Y 3 2 1 X As Income rises X consumption first increases, then falls. As income rises the consumption of Y increases. 19 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Y is a normal good. X is a normal good for low incomes, an inferior good for high prices. In an N good world all goods can be normal goods. As a upper limit only N-1 can be inferior. => In a 2 good world cannot have two inferior goods. Income and substitution effects can be drawn 4 ways for a price fall and 4 ways for a price rise assuming normal goods. For the inferior not giffen and inferior giffen there are 8 other ways each. Total number of cases = 24. Inferior not Giffen = > good is inferior but not so inferior that the income effect out weighs substitution effect. Four ways to draw cases: Hicks method (American assumptions). => Assume base case. Prices change causing the budget line to rotate (See figure 4.6). Helping budget line drawn tangent to old indifference curve but parallel to new budget line. Slutsky method (American assumptions) => Assume base case. Prices change causing the budget line to rotate . Helping budget line drawn through old basket but parallel to new budget line. Hicks method (European Assumptions). => Assume base case. Prices change causing the budget line to rotate . Helping budget line drawn tangent to new indifference curve but parallel to old budget line. Slutsky method (European Assumptions) => Assume base case. Prices change causing the budget line to rotate . Helping budget line drawn through new basket but parallel to old budget line. For a price fall Hicks (Slutsky) method with American assumptions looks like a price increase for Hicks (Slutsky) with European assumptions. We assume American assumptions for this course!!! Define AB AB* BC B*C AC = = = = = substitution effect using Hicks substitution using Stutsky income effect using Hicks income efffect using Stutsky Total Effect Assume P X falls. 20 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Normal good Inferior not Giffen Inferior Giffen => => -> Houston H. Stokes ABB*C ACB*B CB*BA Y a 2 1 II III I A B B* Cc d X We assume income is fixed. Original budget line is ac. Consumer consumes A of X. Price falls => budget line shifts out to ad. Consumer now obtains C of X. Hicks method draws helping budget line 1 tangent to old indifference curve I but parallel to new budget line. AC broken into AB (Hicks substitution effect) and BC Hicks income effect. Slutsky method draws helping budget line 2 through old point. Consumer is overcompensated and substitution effect is now AB* and income effect B*C. Slutsky American method is how Lasperse price index ( Pjt Qj1 / Pj1Qj1 ) is constructed. Slutsky European method is how Paasche price index ( Pjt Q jt / Pj1Q jt ) is constructed. Figure 4.6 shows Hicks method for a price fall of a normal good. In terms of ABC, F1 = A, E = B and F2 = C. Figure 4.6 can be used to show the Hicks method using European assumptions for a price increase. Figure 4.7 shows Hicks method for an inferior good not Giffen good. 21 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Figure 4.8 shows Hicks method for an inferior good that is Giffen. Figure 4.9 shows the effect of a Gas tax with total rebate. Gas tax => relative price of gas rises => relative consumption of gas falls. BUT the gas tax involves an negative income effect. State elects to rebate the full tax to each person on an average basis. => heavy users of gas will be at less utility, low users of gas will benefit since they will be over compensated. Graph shows effect on heavy user. For all users relative price of gas has increased. Market demand = sum of all private demands Price 1 2 3 4 5 A 6 4 2 0 0 B 10 8 6 4 2 C 16 13 10 7 4 Market 32 25 18 11 6 At price > 3 consumer A is out of the market. Assuming demand curve is elastic (inelastic) => price fall inplies that revenue increases (decreases). Point elasticity = (P/Q)*(1/slope) For straight line demand curves elasticity = point elasticity. Not all demand curves are straight lines. Arc elasticity = ( Q / P)( P / Q ) Arc Income elasticity = (Q / I )( I / Q ) Demand curves have kinks as consumers jump into the market. See figure 4.11 P Domestic Demand World D Market Demand Q 22 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Consumer surplus = total benefit of consuming = difference between what a consumer is willing to pay for a product and what consumer actually pays. A B E C D Consumer surplus = area ABE = AB * BE / 2 = (P * Q) / (d * 2) d = BC / AB, P*Q = BC * CD => (P * Q) / (d * 2) = = = (BC * CD)/(2*BC/AB) (BC*CD*AB)/(2*BC) (AB*BE/2) Value of clean air: Would consumers maintain their cars better if the exhaust was on front of car? Why? Bandwagon effect => You like the good better if others get it. Bandwagon effect makes market more elastic. Retail marketing based on creating bandwagon effect. MJ paid to wear a special shoe. Snob Effect => You like the good less the more others have it. Snob effect makes market demand less elastic. Table 4.5 data is in Excel file Table4_5. Estimate Q a B1 P B2 I 23 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes and ln(Q) a B1 ln( P) B2 ln( I ) Do you get what the book gets? (Hint I do not!!!) Math Treatment Assuming goods X and Y and income I, Customer wants to (1) Max U(X,Y) Given budget constraint (2) I = PxX + PyY Form Lagrangian or the function to be maximized (3) U ( X , Y ) ( PX X PY Y I ) If the budget constraint is satisfied => second term = 0. Differentiate Lagrangian with respect to X, Y and and set to zero. Obtain (4) MU X ( X , Y ) PX 0 (5) MU Y ( X , Y ) Py 0 (6) PX X PY Y I 0 where MU X ( X , Y ) U ( X , Y ) / X etc Equations (4) and (5) indicate that the consumption of X and Y will proceed until the marginal utility is a multiple of P or (7) [ MU X ( X , Y ) / PX ] [ MU Y ( X , Y ) / PY ] or (8) MU X ( X , Y ) / MU Y ( X , Y ) PX / PY Equation (8) expresses an equilibrium condition. This equation is satisfied where the indifference curve is tangent to the budget line. Along an indifference curve the utility is fixed or 24 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 (9) Houston H. Stokes U ( X ,Y) U * As we move along the indifference curve (10) MU X ( X , Y )dX MUY ( X , Y )dY dU * 0 can express the MRSXY as (11) dY / dX MU X ( X , Y ) / MU Y ( X , Y ) MRS XY or the ratio of the marginal utilities. Practical case using Cobb-Douglas utility function. This section based on Appendix to Chapter 4. (12) U ( X , Y ) X aY 1a which can be estimated as (13) log(U ( X , Y )) a log( X ) (1 a ) log(Y ) forming the Lagrangian and solving we find (14) a log( X ) (1 a ) log(Y ) ( PX X PY Y I ) (15) / X a / X PX 0 (16) / Y (1 a )Y PY 0 (17) / PX X PY Y I 0 Solving (15) and (16) for PXX and PYY and substituting in the budget equation gives (18) a / (1 a ) / I 0 which implies that 1/ I . Form the first two equation we get (19) X (a / PX ) I and (20) Y [(1 a ) / PY ]I . 25 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes The Cobb-Douglas utility function implies that the consumption of each good depends only on the price of that good and income, not the price of the other good or that cross elasticities of demand are zero. The Lagrange multiplier represents the extra utility generated by one more dollar. Taking the total derivative (21) dU / dI MU X ( X , Y )(dX / dI ) MU Y ( X , Y )(dY / dI ) since any increase in income is spent (22) dI PX dX PY dY since from (4) and (5) PX MU x ( X , Y ) and PY MU Y ( X , Y ) then (23) dU / dI PX (dX / dI ) PY (dY / dI ) ( PX dX PY dY ) / dI substituting for dI gives (24) dU / dI ( PX dX PY dY ) / ( PX dX PY dY ) An example. Assume a 1 / 2 , PX=$1.00 and PY=$2.00 and I = $100. From (19) & (20) X (a / PX ) I and Y [(1 a ) / PY ]I . Thus X = 50 and Y = 25. Since 1/ I , then =1/100. If income were to increase to $101, X=50.5 and Y=25.25. The original utility . was .5 *log(50) .5 *log(25) 3565 while the new utility was .5 *log(50.5) .5 *log(25.25) 3575 . . was .01 which is the exact difference in utility. (12) implies that if the consumption of X and Y were to increase by , then total utility goes up by . In a more general case (25) U ( X ,Y) X Y where in general 1 . Here if X and Y increase by , then utility goes up by ( ) . Direct differentiation of (25) with respect to X and Y gives (26) MU X ( X , Y ) dU ( X , Y ) / dX aX ( a 1)Y B aU ( X , Y ) / X (27) MUY ( X , Y ) dU ( X , Y ) / dY X aY ( 1) U ( X , Y ) / Y Equations (27) and (28) show that if Y is fixed and X is increased the marginal utility of each additional X will decline. An additive utility function will not have this property. 26 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Duality in Consumption Theory states that maximizing utility for a given budget is equivalent to minimizing the cost of obtaining a given level of utility. This can be best seen with indifference curves and budget lines. Discussion Problem # 1 Sally Henin has an arc price elasticity of demand for gasoline of -.8. Her income elasticity for gas is .5. Sally has a current income of $40,000 per year and spends $800 per year for gas. The current price of gas is $1.00. a. The government is concerned about energy usage and is contemplating an excise tax which will cause gas prices to increase to $1.40. What will happen to Sally's consumption? b. The Government is considering a $200.00 tax rebate. How will this impact Sally? c. Assume both the tax and the rebate are implemented. Is Sally worse off or not? a. Solve arc elasticity formula for new Q b. Using new Q and arc income elasticity formula sub in new income and recalculate Q c. See how much she spends before and after (Q2 800) /(1.40 1.00) (Q2 800) (1.00 1.40) (1.00 1.40) /(Q2 800) (Q2 800) (1.40 1.00) .8(Q2 800) (Q2 800)6 6.80Q2 4160 Q2 61176 . 612 .8 .5 ((Q3 612) / (40,200 40,000))((40000 40200) / (Q3 612)) .5(Q3 612) (Q3 612)401 400.5Q3 306 245412 Q3 613.53 On final indifference curve she spends 613.53 * 1.40 = $858.94 . With her income and the rebate she would have 40200-858.94 = $39,341 to spend on goods. If she bought 614 at the old price she would have had 40000-614 = $39386 Sally is NOT happy with the government!! 27 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Problem # 2 The San Francisco Chronicle reported that the toll on the Golden gate bridge was raised from $2.00 to $3.00. Following the toll increase traffic fell 5%. What is the point price elasticity of demand? Steve Leonoudakis chairmen of the bridge's finance auditing committee warned that the toll increase could cause toll revenues to decrease by $2.8 million per year. Is this statement consistent with Economic Theory? Elasticity = (Q / Q)( P / P) = -.05/.50 = -.1 or inelastic demand Steve is wrong. Inelastic demand => revenue increases as price increases. Chapter 5 Uncertainty and consumer behavior not covered in detail. Fines: Individual balances “gain from breaking the law” against expected fine Double park Fine Fine => utility gain $5.00 => $50.00 where probability of getting caught = .1 => $500.00 where probability of getting caught = .01 These cases imply enforcement costs = 0.0. Most drivers who do not like risk will not double park. In case of music piracy difficult to catch. => can have very high fines. 28 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Chapter 6 Production Firms turn inputs or factors of production into outputs via a production function Q=F(K,L). A production function implies a given technology. Firm uses each input as efficiently as possible. Isoquant (production indifference curves) show different quantities of inputs (say L and K) such that output is fixed. L Q=30 Q=20 Q=10 K In short run not all inputs can be changed. In the long run all inputs can be changed. Given K, Average product = Q/L, Marginal product = Q/L. Q = Total product. When Marginal Product > Average Product => average product is increasing. Figure 6.1 shows relationship between AP, TP and MP. Why would a firm never operate where MP < 0? MP reaches a peak at point of inflection. of TP curve. Figure 6.2 shows how output per time period goes up as technology improves. Figure 6.4 shows that cereal yield and the food price index appear to be negatively related. Why might this be so? Except for a brief period in the 70's, food prices have declined. Law of diminishing returns => with other inputs fixed, MP of an input declines as the amount of that input used increases. Malthus believed that the earth would not support population growth. To date he has been wrong. 29 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Table 6.3 shows Annual Growth of Labor Productivity in various countries. It is shown below: Year 1960-1973 1974-1982 1983-1991 1992-2000 2001-2009 US 2.29 .22 1.54 1.94 1.90 Japan 7.86 2.29 2.64 1.08 1.50 GDP per hour worked in 2009 dollars $56.90 $38.20 France 4.70 1.73 1.50 1.40 .90 Germany 3.98 2.28 2.07 1.64 .80 UK 2.84 1.53 1.57 2.22 1.30 $54.70 $53.10 $45.80 A technological change raises the production function. Here it is occurring over time. Q Aet L K In any particular year the aggregate value of goods and services produced by en economy is equal to the payments made to all factors of production. We can estimate a production function in log form with Excel. Take Data from 6.4 and fit model. See ch6_1.xls ln( q) ln( a ) ln( L) ln( k ) Production Function data from Table 6.4 of Pindyck-Rubinfeld (2005) Q L 20 40 55 65 75 40 60 75 85 90 55 75 90 100 105 65 85 100 110 115 75 K 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 lnq 2.995732 3.688879 4.007333 4.174387 4.317488 3.688879 4.094345 4.317488 4.442651 4.49981 4.007333 4.317488 4.49981 4.60517 4.65396 4.174387 4.442651 4.60517 4.70048 4.744932 4.317488 30 lnL 0 0 0 0 0 0.693147 0.693147 0.693147 0.693147 0.693147 1.098612 1.098612 1.098612 1.098612 1.098612 1.386294 1.386294 1.386294 1.386294 1.386294 1.609438 LnK 0 0.693147 1.098612 1.386294 1.609438 0 0.693147 1.098612 1.386294 1.609438 0 0.693147 1.098612 1.386294 1.609438 0 0.693147 1.098612 1.386294 1.609438 0 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 90 105 115 120 5 5 5 5 Houston H. Stokes 2 3 4 5 4.49981 4.65396 4.744932 4.787492 1.609438 1.609438 1.609438 1.609438 0.693147 1.098612 1.386294 1.609438 2 22 24 SS 3.769633 0.306771 4.076404 MS 1.884817 0.013944 F 135.1693 Significance F 4.38E-13 Coefficients 3.394232 0.483056 0.483056 Standard Error 0.061017 0.041549 0.041549 t Stat 55.62726 11.62623 11.62623 P-value 3.66E-25 7.28E-11 7.28E-11 Lower 95% 3.267689 0.396889 0.396889 Yhat 29.79175 41.63997 50.64917 58.20024 64.82428 41.63997 58.20024 70.79241 81.34655 90.60499 50.64917 70.79241 86.10902 98.94665 Actual SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.961637 R Square 0.924745 Adjusted R Square 0.917903 Standard Error 0.118085 Observations 25 ANOVA df Regression Residual Total Intercept lnL LnK Upper 95% 3.520774 0.569223 0.569223 RESIDUAL OUTPUT Observation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Predicted lnq 3.394232 3.72906 3.924923 4.063889 4.17168 3.72906 4.063889 4.259752 4.398718 4.506509 3.924923 4.259752 4.455614 4.594581 Residuals -0.3985 -0.04018 0.08241 0.110498 0.145808 -0.04018 0.030455 0.057736 0.043933 -0.0067 0.08241 0.057736 0.044195 0.010589 31 20 40 55 65 75 40 60 75 85 90 55 75 90 100 Error 9.79175 1.639968 -4.35083 -6.79976 -10.1757 1.639968 -1.79976 -4.20759 -3.65345 0.604987 -4.35083 -4.20759 -3.89098 -1.05335 Lower 95.0% 3.267689 0.396889 0.396889 Upper 95.0% 3.520774 0.569223 0.569223 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 4.702372 4.063889 4.398718 4.594581 4.733547 4.841338 4.17168 4.506509 4.702372 4.841338 4.949129 Houston H. Stokes -0.04841 0.110498 0.043933 0.010589 -0.03307 -0.09641 0.145808 -0.0067 -0.04841 -0.09641 -0.16164 110.2082 58.20024 81.34655 98.94665 113.6982 126.6387 64.82428 90.60499 110.2082 126.6387 141.0521 105 65 85 100 110 115 75 90 105 115 120 5.208238 -6.79976 -3.65345 -1.05335 3.698178 11.63871 -10.1757 0.604987 5.208238 11.63871 21.05206 The above Excel output shows how data can be used. Figure 6.4 graphs this data. Marginal rate of technical substitution = K / L for a given Q (K on vertical axis). MRTS K / L ( MPL / MPK ) since along isoquant ( MPL )( L) ( MPK )( K ) 0 When inputs are substitutes => isoquants are straight lines. When inputs are complements => isoquants are right angles Assuming a Cobb-Douglas production function sum of coefficients determines returns to scale. Assume all inputs increase by . Get Q* aet (L) a (K ) aet ( a ) La K ( a ) Q Example: MPL= 50, MRTS = .25. What is MPK? .25 MPL / MPk 50 / MPk . => MPK 200 Example: Determine whether decreasing, constant or increasing returns. A. Q .5KL, Q* .5(K )(L), Q* Q2 or increasing returns. B. Q 2K 3L, Q* 2 K 3 L Q or constant returns. Example: Assuming Q=100(K.8L.2) starting K=4 and L=49 show MP of labor and K are declining 32 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes K 4, L 49, Q 100 * 4.8 * 49.2 660.21 K 5, L 49, Q 100 * 5.8 * 49.2 789.25, MPK 129.04 K 6, L 49, Q 100 * 6.8 * 49.2 91319 . , MPK 123.94 K 7, L 49, Q 100 * 7.8 * 49.2 1033.04, MPK 119.85 K 4, L 49, Q 100 * 4.8 * 49.2 660.21 K 4, L 50, Q 100 * 4.8 * 50.2 662.89, MPL 2.68 K 4, L 51, Q 100 * 4.8 * 51.2 66552 . , MPL 2.63 K 4, L 52, Q 100 * 4.8 * 52.2 66811 . , MPL 2.59 33 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Chapter 7 Cost of Production Accounting Cost - concerned with historical expenditures. Economic Cost takes into account opportunity cost that has to be taken into consideration in the decision process (It is more costly for a doctor to mow the lawn on Monday at 10:00 than a janitor). Sunk costs - costs that cannot be recovered. Valuable Alternative use of land => high opportunity cost of present use. Zoning in many cases reduces opportunity cost. Total Cost (TC) = Variable Cost (VC) + Fixed Cost (FC) Marginal Cost (MC) = VC / Q TC / Q Average Cost (AC) = TC / Q Table 7.1 illustrates FC, AC VC MC, AFC, AVC, ATC In the short run can change labor to increase output. Given the wage w , MC VC / Q wL / Q w / MPL Assuming labor is the only variable input AVC wL / Q w / APL where APL is the average product of labor. Figure 7.1 The MC curve goes through the minimum of the ATC and AVC but not the AFC. As Q , AFC 0 . In the long run all inputs are variable. Isocost line (= production budget line) is locus of points shows different combinations of inputs such that cost is fixed. C wL rK solving for K gives 34 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes K (C / r ) (( w / r ) L) Isocost slope K / L ( w / r ) of ratio of wage rate to rental cost of capital. Want to maximize production for a given total cost TC. K A=TC/Pk A B=TC/PL Q B L The MRTS K / L MPL / MPK . In equilibrium the slope of the isocost PL / PK = MRTS MPL / MPk PL / PK w / r or MPL / w MPK / r Figure 7.5 show effect of an effluent fee raising the relative price of the input water. Production moves to be less water intensive. 35 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Expansion path shows the amounts of labor and capital used as firm grows (figure 7.6). This is a long run concept. K Long Run Short Run L Economies of scale includes increasing returns to scale as a special case. Increasing returns to scale requires inputs be used in fixed proportions. Economies of scale allows the ratio of inputs to change. Figure 7.6 Long-Run Cost with Constant Returns to scale Figure 7.10 Long-Run Cost with first Economies then Diseconomies of Scale. The LAC traces tangency points of SAC curves. At minimum point of LAC the LMC and SMC intersect. Economics of scale => MC < AC. Diseconomies of scale => MC > AC. Define EC = elasticity of total cost EC [ TC / TC] / [ Q / Q] [ TC / Q] / [TC / Q] MC / AC Economics of scale => E c 1, of MC < AC. Economies of scope are present when joint output of a single firm producing two products is greater that the output of two firms each producing one product. Define C ( Qi ) as cost of producing Qi of the ith good. Economies of scope => SC > 0 SC [ C(Qi ) C(Q1 ,..., Qn )] / C(Q1 ,..., Qn ) i Diseconomies of scope SC < 0 36 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Learning Curve => Over time labor costs go down as more units are produced. Define L as labor per unit, A> 0, B>0, 0< <1 and N = # of units produced. Learning curve implies L A BN As N , L A If N=1 then L=A+B or the amount of labor for first unit. If 0 there is no learning. B When 0 then second unit costs A which converges to A as N increases. 2 Costs can decline because of increasing returns to scale or learning. See figure 7.12 which shows cumulative number of machines on the x axis. Figure 7.13 shows production rate. $ Economies of scale => A to B Learning Curve => A to C A B C AC1 AC2 Q In the early life of a product the learning curve is steep. After while the "learning" slows down. In chip business had a 20% learning curve. => 10% increase in cumulative production => costs fall 2%. In aircraft industry learning curve rate was 40%. Estimating a cost curve Linear Model used if MC is constant at . MC VC Q 37 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Quadratic Model used if have straight line MC. MC 2Q. VC Q Q2 Cubic cost function used if have U shaped MC curve of form MC 2Q 3Q2 VC Q Q2 Q3 Can use Excel and other software to estimate the MC curve. Problem 12 page 272. Computer firm cost is AC 10.1(CQ) .3Q where CQ is cumulative quantity, and Q is quantity per year. a. There is a learning curve effect since -.1 b. There is decreasing returns to scale? TC 10Q.1(CQ)(Q) .3Q2 MC TC / Q 10.1(CQ) .6Q Since .6Q .3Q => decreasing returns to scale c. CQt=40,000, Qt = 10,000, Qt+1= 12,000 ACt 10.1(40) .3(10) 9., ACt 1 10.1(50) .3(12) 8.6 Problem 13 page 272. Assume TC a bQ cQ2 dQ3 , MC (TC) / Q b 2cQ 3dQ2 AC [a / Q] b cQ dQ2 . AC not defined for Q=0. For a U shaped cost curve we want c<0 and d>0. At minimum point of AC, MC=AC. Set a=0 to normalize y axis and equate MC=AC. => b 2cQ 3dQ2 b cQ dQ2 or c 2dQ . If c=-1 and d=1 then Q=1/2 Key Question: How do we use this theory to solve a practical problem? Firm has a production function F ( K , L) AK L which could be estimated using Excel when we note that log[ F ( L, K )] log( A) log( K ) log( L) . Want to determine a general case that shows the optimum K and L given the cost of capital r and the wage w. The following is a simpler treatment than 273-278. In equilibrium we note that (1) [ MPK / MPL ] r / w 38 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Given the production function (2) Q0 AK L (3) [ AK 1 L / AK L 1 ] [r / w] (4) [L / K ] r / w (5) L [rK / w] Substituting (5) into the production function (2) gives (6) Q0 [ AK r K / w ] (7) K ( ) (w / r ) Q0 / A The equilibrium amount of capital is (8) K [(w / r ) /( ) ](Q0 / A)1/( ) If the cost of capital, r, increases or the marginal product of capital, , falls K will fall. Direct substitution of (8) into (5) gives (9) L [( r / w) ( /( )) ](Q0 / A) (1/( )) If the wage rate, w, increases or the marginal product of labor, , falls then less labor will be used. The firms cost function is (10) C wL rK At equilibrium (11) C w( /( )) r ( /( )) [( / ) ( /( )) ( / ) ( /( )) ](Q / A) (1/( )) Equation (11) shows how C is related to wages, w, cost of capital, r, and returns to scale ( ) . MATLAB can be used to calculate the appropriate derivatives Equation (11) shows how costs are related to the production function of the firm as well and input costs. See ch7_1.xls for solution. 39 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Chapter 8 Profit Maximization and Competitive Supply Firms want to maximize revenue. Competitive supply => many firms, all price takers, no product differentiation, free entry Profit is the difference between revenue and cost for a given level of output q. (1) ( q ) R( q ) C ( q ) To maximize profit differentiate and set to zero. => MR(q) = MC(q) (2) / q (TR) / Q (TC) / Q 0 For a competitive firm P is given => d and P=MR. It can be proved that (3) MR AR[1 (1 / d )] P[1 (1 / d )] (4) TR / q [(qp pq) / q] p[(qp pq) / qp] p[1 ( pq / qp)] p[1 (1 / d )] Figure 8.1 shows profit maximization. Figure 8.2 shows firm in competitive market is a price taker. Figure 8.3 shows a competitive firm (MR=AR) making extra normal profits and operating with decreasing returns. In long run new firms will enter and firm will earn normal profits or those profits such that no firms enter or no firms leave industry. Figure 8.5 show that in the short run the firms MC curve is the firm supply curve. If an input increases in price => AC curve shifts up => MC curve shifts up and firm produces less output. Book indicates that short run MC of petroleum has flat sections until other refineries get on the line. See figure 8.8. ComEd's costs are constant until they start jet engine generators. Industry supply curve is the sum of firm MC curves in the short run. 40 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Producer Surplus = area above firm supply curve and below price. See figure 8.11. In long run firm can alter all inputs. If industry is making extra normal profits in the short run => new firms will enter such that in the long run all firms are making normal profits. The long run competitive equilibrium point is P=SMC=LMC. Firm is at the minimum point of its AC curve. Given the firm's technology, it is most efficient. It earns economic profit (normal profit). See figure 8.13. In long run firm tries to equate LRMC to price BUT new firms can enter the industry and drive down price. Economic profit = R - wL - rK where rK is the opportunity cost of capital. A firm making zero economic profits may still stay in business. Economic rent = return to factors of production in limited supply. MJ earns economic rent. Songs and books are copyrighted to allow economic rent to be earned for a limited number of years. The long run supply of a constant cost industry is a straight line. This is a partial equilibrium argument. As Q increases input prices will increase at some time. General Equilibrium has all assumptions variable. Some industries are so small that they can be assumed to have no effect on input prices. See figure 8.15 Increasing Cost Case => If extra normal profits are earned new firms will enter the industry and input prices will increase. See figure 8.17. Taxes. An output tax raises the MC curve. A Lump Sum Tax (such as a liquor license) does not change the MC since it is paid no matter what. The effect of a n output tax in the long run is to reduce industry supply. Perfectly Competitive Markets Assume: - Price Taking Product Homogeneity Perfect Mobility of Assets Perfect Information Even if only one firm in the market it may pay to act as if the firm was in a competitive market since extra normal profits => others firms may enter to bid away profit. Problem # 1 The Conigan box company is in a competitive market. It sells boxes in batches of 100 for $100.00. TC 3,000,000.001Q2 . What is profit maximizing output? Want MC=MR=AR. => 100 .002Q, Q 50,000 41 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes What is profit? TR TC, 100 *(50000) (3000000.001*(50000) 2 $500,000 The firm should stay in business in the short run since AVC < P: AVC TVC / Q, TVC TC TFC , TVC 5,5,00,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 AVC (2,500,000) / 50,000 $50 Example: Restaurant stays open in “off hours” if it can cover labor costs. Problem # 2 Competitive market has a market demand curve of P 75 15 .Q and supply curve of P 25..5Q where Q = where a typical firm has MC 2.5 10q . What is market price and rate of sales? We set S = D or 25.5Q 75 15 . Q, Q 25, P 75 15 . * 25 $37.5 Each firm sells where MR = MC . Since perfect competition MR=AR=P=$37.50 37.5 2.5 10q, q 35 . Note: If you use ch2_1.xls template to solve system remember that the template is set up as: Q s f ( P), Qd f * ( P) , Q s 50 2 P, Qd 50 (1/1.5) P 42 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Chapter 9 Analysis of Competitive Markets Want to look at welfare and efficiency effects of a competitive market. Figure 9.1 shows producer (area between supply curve and market price) and consumer (area between demand curve and market price) surplus. Price Controls: Figure 9.2 and 9.3 show changes in producer and consumer surplus when the government put on a price control. The more inelastic the demand curve the more the deadweight loss. If supply is fixed there is no dead weight loss. Looking at figure. Producer surplus loss = A+C. Consumer net gain = A-C-B. Unless demand is totally inelastic a price control => a shortage. Price controls can have a serious long term effect on market as was case with NY housing. Figures 9.4 & 9.5 contrast the effects to price being held below and above the market price. Kidney Market. (See figure 9.6) Supply function of Q s 16000 .4P implies that if the price is held to $0.0 by the 1984 National Organ Transplantation Act, and you cannot sell an organ, only 16000 will be supplied. The demand function is Qd 32000 .4 P . 16000 .4 P 32000 .4 P, P $16000 / .8 $20,000 Equating Q 16000 (.4* 20000) 16000 (.4* 20000) 24000 On figure 9.6 suppliers lost A+C. If supply is reduced due to not being able to sell kidneys, the market clearing price is $40,000 and many consumers are rationed on a "willingness to pay" A+D = total value of kidneys at new market clearing price. Middlemen and hospitals get gain NOT donators. 43 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Minimum Prices (Government restricts market from lowering prices. Fair trade laws. Tariffs.) (See figure 9.7). P1 A B P2 C Q3 Q0 Q1 Government raises price from P2 to P1. Supplier produces Q1 not Q3 > "glut" From free market consumer surplus loss = B. Producer surplus loss = C (Assuming producer produces Q3) Minimum Wage Figure 9.8 shows the analysis for minimum wage which causes unemployment of L2-L1. Price Supports. In contrast to minimum price laws, price supports require that government buy farm products. Figure 9.11 shows that as a result of the purchase program production when from Q0 to Q2 and price from P0 to Ps. Consumer surplus reduced by = B+A. Producer gain = A+B+D. Government cost = Ps(Q2-Q1). Change in welfare (A+B+D)-(A+B)-[Ps(Q2-Q1)]. Production Quotas. Government reduces supply (taxi licenses, bar permits). NYC has 113,150 taxi licenses. Roughly same as 1937. Medallion costs $880,000. Cost in 1947 was $2,500. In 1980 was $55,000. If supply went up current medallion owners would see a loss of value of their medallions. Drives cab ride prices very high. See Figure 9.13. In NYC cabs are run 24/7, not shut off at night. Acreage limitation programs give farmers money incentive to leave land idle. Causes farmers to farm their land more intensively. Figure 9.11 suggests cost to government must at least equal B+C+D of the gain from planting since farmer sees new higher price as given. CS A B, PS A C payments to stop producing (at least B C D) Thus PS A C B C D A B D Total change in welfare 44 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes ( CS PS (Cost to gov )) ( A B) ( A B D) ( B C D) B C Society would be better off if Government just gave producers A+B+D since what government would lose farmers would gain for a zero net effect. Book Example page 336 figure 9.12 shows how to use above theory: In 1981 Qs 1800 240 P, Qd 3550 266P (240 266) P (3550 1800), P $3.46, Q 2630 Government must increase demand to raise the price. Let Qg be government demand 3550 266 P Qg 1800 240 P, Qg 506 P 1750 Given desired P, Qg is determined. If P=$3.70, => government buys 122 million 2688566) bushels at cost of $451.4 million. Inspect figure 9.12. Customers lose A((3.73.46)*2566) + B(.5*(3.70-3.46)(2630-2566) or 616+8=624 million. Note that A is substantially bigger that B in this problem. Total cost = 624+451.4=1075.4 Exact answers for this problem and related ones are in ch9_1.xls. As an exercise run the problem where the desired price is $3.80. Adjust demand and supply and see what happens. If P = $4.00, => government buys 506*4-1750 = 274 at a cost of $1096 million. Calculate A and B here. Quotas and Tariffs. Figures 9.14 and 9.15 shows basic setup. (9.14 shows a tariff that eliminates all imports). Consider figure 9.15. With free trade the price is Pw domestic supply is Qs, domestic demand is Qd. Imports are (Qd.-Qs). After a tariff (or quota). Domestic supply jumps to Q's, domestic demand falls to Q'd and imports fall to Q'd-Q's. Trapezoid A = gain to producers. Due to higher price consumer loss is A+B+C+D. If a tariff is imposed, Gov gains revenue D. Net domestic loss is B+C+D. Excel file ch9_2 shows setup to analyze Sugar Case. A tariff of 83% gives book case. Can adjust tariff to eliminate imports and thus tariff revenue (area D). Product Taxes. Figure 9.16 and 9.17 shows effect on producers and consumers of a per unit tax on producers. Area A + B = what buyers lose. Area D + C = what sellers lose. Are A + D = what government collects. s = elasticity of supply. d = elasticity of demand. A tax falls mostly on the buyer (seller) if d / s is small (large). Pass-through (to consumers) fraction is s / ( s d ) . 45 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Fraction of tax producers bear is d / ( s d ) NOTE: These formulas make use of fact that d 0 . Most luxury goods have inelastic demand => luxury good tax hits consumers hard. Example 9.7 Tax on Gas. See figure 9.20 and Excel 9_3.xls We are given that d .5, s .4, P* $1.00, Q* 100 . From Chapter 2 and excel ch2_2.xls we know that Given QD = a - bP (11) QS = c + dP (12) And P* and Q* are equilibrium P and Q, then at equilibrium the elasticity of demand D and elasticity of supply S are D = -b(P*/Q*) (13) S = d(P*/Q*) (14) This implies Qd 150 25P, Qs 60 20 P . With no governmental tax 150 25P 60 20 P 90 45P P $2.00. Q 100 After Government places a $1.00 tax the new price is $2.44 and the new quantity is 89. The producer price falls to $1.44. The steeper the supply curve the less quantity falls and the more the producer price falls. The more inelastic the demand curve the more the consumer price increases. In this case a greater proportion of the tax is passed on. The following calculations replicate the figure 9.20 ps supply price, p0 no tax price, pb price including tax pb ps tax ps 1.00 Q d 150 25 pb Q s 60 20 ps Q d Q s 150 25( ps 1) 60 20 ps (150 25 60) 45 ps ps 65 / 45 1.444 pb $2.44. Q 60 20*1.44 88.8 46 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Problem # 12 page 354 has the demand and supply of hula beans. See p354_12.xls Qs 50 P, Qd 100.5 P . The world trade price is $.60. Congress puts on a tariff of $.40. Use of ch9_2.xls implies that Equilibrium P and Q are $1.00 and 50 if there was no foreign supply. If the tariff is imposed at .666666 then the domestic producer will produce 10. The domestic consumption will be 50 (instead of 70 at world trade price of $.60). Deadweight loss = (70-50)*$/40*.5= area C = $4.00. Before the tariff since domestic production is 10 and consumption is 70 => import 60. After tariff there is no imports. Consumer surplus loss =$24. 47 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Chapter 10 Market Power: Monopoly and Monopsony Monopoly => One producer MR AR. Monopsony => One buyer Assuming P=6-Q P 6 5 4 3 2 1 Q 0 1 2 3 4 5 TR 0 5 8 9 8 5 MR 5 3 1 -1 -3 AR 5 4 3 2 1 inf -4 -1.5 -.667 -.25 TR 0 5 8 9 8 5 MR AR[1 (1 / )] Key Formulas: [ AR / ( MR AR)] If || < 1 => as quantity increases TR decreases. See figure 10.1 A At B =-1. AB=BD, AE=EO, OC=CD E B O C D Equilibrium at max profit requires MC=MR where MC hits MR from below. Figure 10.2 is the basic diagram. Various points: - If normal profits are made => AC curve will be tangent to AR curve at a point to left of minimum point. Normal profits with MR < AR => operating at less than optimum capacity. - If MR=AR => perfect competition. Can have three cases: 1. If making loss in short run => less than optimum capacity. 2. If making normal profits => at minimum point of AC curve. 3. If making extra normal profits => operating at greater than optimum capacity. 48 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 - Houston H. Stokes If MR < AR can Possible Cases Table: Study below listed tables and be able to draw all possible cases and prove that the I cases are not possible. MR=AR MC=MR MC<AC MC=AC MC>AC _____________________________________________________________________ AC>AR Case 1 P Case 2 I Case 3 I AC=AR Case 4 I Case 5 P Case 6 I AC<AR Case 7 I Case 8 I Case 9 P _____________________________________________________________________ MR<AR MC=MR MC<AC MC=AC MC>AC _____________________________________________________________________ AC>AR Case 10 P Case 11 I Case 12 I AC=AR Case 13 P Case 14 I Case 15 I AC<AR Case 16 P Case 17 P Case 18 P _____________________________________________________________________ Figure 10.2 is case 16. Here AC<AR, MC=MR, MR<AR. The left hand side of the MC curve has not been drawn. A firm is at less than optimum capacity (MC<AC), at optimum capacity (MC=AC) or greater than optimum capacity (MC>AC). Monopoly power occurs if MR<AR. I firm is in a competitive market if AR=MR. In a competitive market the firm can sell as much as it can without the price falling. A firm always maximizes profit if MC=MR and MC hits MR from below. 49 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes A firm makes an extra normal profit if AR>AC, a normal profit if AR=AC and a short term loss if AR<AC. Solution Strategy: If the functions are known set MR=MC and solve for P, Q, and profit. Cost of production (TC) C(Q) 50 Q2 Demand (AR) P(Q) 40 Q Revenue (TR) R(Q) P(Q)Q 40Q Q2 MC=MR => C'(Q)=R'(Q) or 2Q 40 2Q, Q 10, P 30 Solution is illustrated in figure 10.3. This is case 18 . a firm making extra normal profit operating at greater than optimum capacity. Since in equilibrium MC=MR and MR AR[1 (1 / d )] the markup model for pricing is MC AR AR(1 / d ), or AR P [ MC / (1 (1 / d ))] The "markup model" fails if d 1 . If | d | 1 the implied price is negative! No firm will ever operate here! In a competitive market d and in equilibrium (case 5) P=MC. Figures 10.4a and 10.4b show special cases where demand can shift and leave Q fixed and demand can shift and leave P fixed. This is usually not the case. A per unit tax of increases MC by the same amount. Here profit is where MR MC A B Unless there is a vertical demand curve, Q . If | d | 1, P The more inelastic the demand curve the higher the price after the tax. This can be tested using toolbox file ch9_4.xls. To make the demand curve more inelastic, reduce the coefficient on price. Toolbox file ch9_4.xls must be used in place of ch9_3.xls since the former holds the percent tax fixed while the latter holds the dollar amount of the tax fixed. In a multi-plant firm the profit maximization condition is 50 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes MC1 MC2 ,..., MCn MR n Figure 10.6 shows MCT horizontal sum of MCi MCi for a n plant system. i 1 QT Qi Monopoly Power. A firm in an industry with few sellers will face a more elastic demand curve than the industry as a whole. The greater the product loyalty for that firms product, the more inelastic the demand curve. The more inelastic the demand curve the more the firm can raise price. Lerner's measure of monopoly power L ( P MC) / P . L is in the range 0-1. P=MC => L=0 and demand curve has . Since MR P[1 (1 / )] and B A MR=MC as || P . 1. in food industry, =-10 in store. . MC or a 10%-11% markup. The Manager sets P MC / (1 (1 / )) MC / (1.1) 111 better the quality of the store the smaller | | and the more price can be raised. If 5 prices could be raised (1.-(1./5)) of 25%. B Designer label clothing => || or higher prices. Advertising is designed to lower the absolute value of the demand elasticity. To make the consumer less sensitive to a price change. See figures 10.8a and 10.8b Firm's elasticity of demand due to: - Market elasticity of demand Number of firms in the market Interaction between firms The firm will face a more inelastic demand if the number of firms in the market is small and there is less interaction between firms (i.e. firms do not follow a price lowering with a price lowering). If firms collude, then prices will go up. OPEC limited supply. Some countries cheated!! Figure 10.10 shows Deadweight loss of monopoly power. Monopolist wants to equate MC=MR to maximize profit. Consumers lost A+B. Producer gains A loses C. Deadweight loss = -B-C. Figure 10.11 shows "kink" in MR curve due to a price ceiling due to regulation. If price is set at Pc , can get perfect competition solution. What is interesting is MC can move within the kink and prices will not change. Problems: - How do we know where that it? By price control will we be removing incentives? 51 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Figure 10.12 shows a Natural Monopoly ( are in range of declining MC as Q increases.). Here want one firm. If left alone firm wants to sell Qm at Pm. Government lowers MR as seen by firm by setting Pr or the lowest price where the firms stays in business. If price were set to Pc firm will make a loss since here MC=MR but MC<AC. Rate of return Regulation. Attempts to regulate to insure a given rate of return leads to firms that use relative more capital than labor. Monoposony: Firms is such a large buyer of an input that it faces an upward supply curve (average expenditure curve). On the average expenditure curve draw a marginal expenditure curve. At equilibrium equate marginal expenditure to marginal value product. MVP = marginal physical product * Price of output. The marginal physical product of capital is the increase in output for one more unit of capital. MPPk Q(l , k ) / K Figure 10.14 shows firm with monopsoly power will buy less of an input and pay less that if it were in a competitive input market. The more elastic the supply curve, the less monopsony power (see figure 10.15, 10.16). ME AE[1 (1 / s )] s ME AE Figure 10.17 shows deadweight loss due to Monopsony. A +C = producer loss. Consumer (firm with monopsony power) gains A-B. A-B-A-C = -B-C = deadweight loss. Bilaterial Monopoly => two monopolists facing each other. Hard to tell what will happen. Think of auto producers and parts suppliers. Problem Firm has a demand curve supply curve P 100.01Q TC 50Q 30000 What is P and Q to maximize profit? MC = 50. MR (100Q.01Q2 ) / Q 100.02Q 50 100.02Q, Q 2500, P 100 (.01) * 2500 $.75 Problem Given P= 27 24 21 18 15 12 9 6 3 0 Q=0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 52 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes MC=10 What is P and Q to max profit? Inspection or regression analysis (See p365_5.xls) indicates P 27 1.5Q, TR PQ 27Q 1.5Q2 , MR (TR) / Q 27 3Q TR (18.5)(5.67) $104.83 Profit = 104.83 (10)(5.67) $48.17 Problem Firm faces demand P 700 5Q and has two factories. C1 (Q1 ) 10Q12 , MC1 20Q1 C2 (Q2 ) 20Q22 , MC2 40Q2 Q Q1 Q2 [ MC1 / 20] [ MC2 / 40] 3 MCT / 40 MCT 40Q / 3, MCT MR [40Q / 3] 700 10Q, Q 30 Monopoly price = 700 (5)(30) 550 MR MC1 MC2 700 (10)(30) 400 Q1 400 / 20 20, Q2 400 / 40 10 Firm produces less in higher cost plant!! 53 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Chapter 11 Pricing with Market Power Figure 11.1 suggests that if one price is charged it would be P.* If firm was able to price discriminate, it would charge a higher price to more inelastic market. It has been reported that McDonald's charges more for the same item at Water Tower Place than on the South Side! A firm that practices first-degree price discrimination charges each customer his/her reservation price or the maximum that the consumer would pay. Figure 11.2 shows how in such a world the firm expands production from Q* to Q**. In this word all consumer surplus is captured by the firm. In practice this is hard to do. Universities try to practice this approach by giving just enough aid to get the student. If firm does not have perfect knowledge, then a number of prices can be charged. See figure 11.3 Second-degree price discrimination occurs when price is reduced if additional amounts are bought. (See figure 11.4) “Big box” vs small store. Third-degree price discrimination occurs when firm packages same product under two different labels and sells at a different price. Using formula MRi Pi [1 (1 / di )] and MC MR1 MR2 , then [ P1 / P2 ] [1 (1/ d 2 )]/[1 (1/ d1 )] Figures 11.5 and 11.6 illustrate third-degree price discrimination. Table 11.1 suggests that coupon users have higher elasticity of demand than non coupon users. Assume the non coupon users have elasticity of demand d 1 . If P1 = P2, and V = value of coupon, then in an optimum world [( P1 V ) / P2 ] [1 (1/ d 2 )]/[1 (1/ d1 )] Airlines price discriminate. Table 11.2 on page indicates that industry price elasticity for First-Class, Unrestricted Coach and Discount are -.3, -.4 and -.9. Income elasticities are 1.1, 1,.2 and 1.8. Firm elasticities are > in absolute value. Intertemporal Price Discrimination => firm charges first consumers more. Hard cover edition of a book comes out first. Before too long soft cover comes out at a lower price. Library buys hard cover! Nikon does this with new models! See figure 11.7 Peak-Load Pricing => charge more at a certain time in the day. See figure 11.8 Two-Part Tariff => pay to get into Great America, then, pay for each ride. 54 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Figure 11.9 shows single consumer. Usage fee is set to marginal cost. Entry fee is set to capture entire consumer surplus. Here firm captures all surplus Figure 11.10 Profit making usage fee is set > MC. Entry fee T* set to surplus of customer with smaller demand. Profit = 2*T* + (P*-MC)*(Q1 + Q2). For n customers this becomes (see figure 11.11) n(T)*T* +(P-MC)*Q(n), Polaroid Camera cost was entry fee. Film was price. Bundling. When customers have heterogeneous demands that are negatively correlated => pays to bundle products. Figure 11.12 and 11.13 show cases A II III I I II III IV Consumers buy both Consumers buy only A Consumers buy neither A or B Consumers buy only B IV B By forcing consumer to get both => move to section I Effectiveness of bundling depends on how negatively products are related. Mixed bundling. Sell as a package or alone. MS Office 97 is sold this way. Figure 11.18 shows that with zero MC this is even more profitable. Luxury cars are sold with standard options bundled into the car. Vacation package another example. Restaurants sell items a la carte and as dinners. Tying => force customer to buy all items from one source. McDonalds at one time required owners to get supplies from one source. Gas station has to carry full range of products. Advertising. Want marginal revenue of an additional dollar spent on advertising to equal full marginal cost of that advertising. We define profit as a function of amount sold Q and advertising A. (Q, A) PQ( P, A) C(Q) A / A P(Q / A) MC (Q / A) 1 0 We rearrange and get the marginal revenue from advertising. MR a d s P(Q / A) 1 MC (Q / A) 55 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes [ P MC][Q / A] 1, [( P MC) / P][( AQ) / (QA)] [ A / PQ] Given elasticity of demand = [( AQ) / (QA)] A , in equilibrium then [( P MC ) / P]a [ A / PQ] MC P[1 1 p ] [( P MC ) / P] 1 p [ A / PQ] [ A / P ] Which determines how much advertising should be purchased. The more inelastic the demand for the firm's output, the more advertising. In perfect competition since p , no advertising is done. This logic takes into account the effect of advertising on increasing sales but also adding to costs as added units have to be produced. Transfer Pricing is between units of a vertically integrated firm. Will show that profits are maximized if transfer price equals marginal cost of respective upstream division. (Q) R(Q) Cd (Q) C1 (Q1 ) C2 (Q2 ) where each term represents revenue from sales, firm production costs, costs from intermediate production inputs from plant 1 and costs from intermediate production inputs from plant 2. To maximize the net marginal revenue firm earns from one more input of Q1 and Q2 differentiate (Q) with respect to Q1 and Q2. d / dQ1 (dR / dQ)(Q / Q1 ) (dCd / dQ)(Q / Q1 ) dC1 / dQ1 0 NMRi ( MR MCd ) MPPi MCi Each upstream firm takes price Pi as given and equates it to their marginal cost MCi. NMRi ( MR MCd ) MPPi Pi 56 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Engine problem consists of an auto firm assembling cars with the option of getting engines from an upstream firm. Demand for autos P 20000 Q MR 20000 2Q Cost of assembly C A (Q) 8000Q MC A 8000 engine costs CE (QE ) 2QE2 MCE (QE ) 4QE Net marginal revenue of engines given QE Q NMRE MR MC A 20000 2Q 8000 12000 2Q NMRE MCE 12000 2Q 4QE QE 2000 Optimal transfer price is marginal cost of the 2000 engines or 4QE $8000 If engines can be bought outside for $6000, then a case can be made that the firm should buy all engines outside BUT remember the engine dept has an upward slope to MC. This suggests equate NMRE 6000 12000 2QE 6000 Q 3000 Here we have QE Q since we set MCE (QE ) 6000 4QE 6000 QE 1500 Firm buys 1500 outside and uses 1500 of its own engines. 57 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Chapter 12 Monopolistic Competition and Oligopoly Monopolistic Competition => Large number of sellers each with some market power due to selling a differentiated product. At the model level in the automotive industry we have monopolistic competition. d in monopolistic competition. - Many sellers Each seller selling a slightly differentiated product Entry by new firms is NOT restricted Note: Trade theory suggested that trade would be between countries that were not similar. However most trade is between countries such as Canada and US and Germany and France which are similar. Krugman used monopolistic Competition Theory to rescue trade theory. Oligopoly => Few sellers each with market power. If one firm in an oligopoly market were to raise price, the others would not follow and that firm would find sales fall off rapidly. If the same firm were to lower price hoping to increase sales at the expense of the other firms, then all other firms would lower price and the expected increase in sales would not be realized. - Few sellers Each seller selling a differentiated product. Each with substantial market power Entry is restricted by barriers (example aircraft industry) Cartel=> Firms work together. (GE in 50's until they got caught.) - Like a monopoly BUT members tempted to cheat. - Cartel usually does not control complete market Under Monopolistic Competition free entry => - No extra normal profits in long run. - Firms in long run operate at less than optimum (minimum average cost) capacity (see case 13) and figures 12.1 and 12.2. Table 12.1 lists Elasticities Royal Crown Coke -2.4 -5.2 to -5.7 (more close substitutes) 58 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Folgers Maxwell House Chock Full o’Nuts Houston H. Stokes -6.4 -8.2 -3.6 In perfect competition and monopolistic competition When a market is in equilibrium firms are doing the best they can and have no reason to change their price or output. In oligopoly each firm is doing the best it can, given what its competitors are doing. Cournot Model. Two firms (duopoly) each making its decision at the same time. Decision rule: Each treats the output level of its competitor as given. See figure 12.3 where MC is constant Firm 1 Q 50 25 12.5 Firm 1 thinks Firm two produces 0 50 75 Firm # 1 profit-maximizing output is a decreasing schedule of how much it thinks firm 2 will produce. This defines the reaction curve. Cournot equilibrium => Intersection of firm 1's and firm 2's reaction curve => how firms divide up quantity. (See figure 12.4). Assume problem on page 461-462 where there are 2 firms MCi = 0 P=30-Q Define R1 = total revenue of firm 1 59 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes R1 PQ1 (30 Q)Q1 30Q1 (Q1 Q2 )Q1 30Q1 Q12 Q2Q1 MR1 R1 / Q1 30 2Q1 Q2 R2 PQ2 (30 Q)Q2 30Q2 (Q1 Q2 )Q2 30Q1 (Q1 ) 2 Q2Q1 MR2 R2 / Q2 30 2Q2 Q1 Firms 1 and 2 have reaction curves Q1 15.5Q2 , Q2 15.5Q1 which are derived by setting MR1 and MR2 to zero and solving for Q1 and Q2. at equilibrium Q1 15.5[15.5Q1 ], Q1 Q2 10, Q 20 If firms could work together => PQ (30 Q)Q 30Q Q 2 MR R / Q 30 2Q, Q 15, Q1 Q2 7.5 Note that MC=0 and Q1 Q2 15 defines the contract curve. For graphical analysis see Figure 12.5. Stackelberg Model => One firm moves first BUT has to take into account what other firms will do. Firm 2 has reaction curve Q2 15.5Q1 . Firm 1 knows this and knows its revenue is PQ1 30Q1 Q12 Q2 Q1 . To get solution substitute form 2's reaction curve in firm 1 revenue curve R1 30Q1 Q12 Q1[15.5Q1 ] 15Q1 .5Q12 . MR1 = 15 Q1 , Q1 15 Firm 2 will produce 15.5Q1 7.5 Going first gave firm 1 the advantage. Stackleberg Model good when one firm is dominant and can move quickly to set quantity. 60 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Cournot Model good when have more firms with no one firm dominant. Cournot model is stable because each firm produces what maximizes its profits, given what competitors are producing. Bertrand Model => Firm sets price NOT quantity in a homogenious product market. Assume MC1=MC2 = $3.00 and market demand is P = 30-Q. Here Cournot equilibrium (where reaction curves are jointly solved) => Q1 Q2 9 . Proof: TR1 PQ1 30Q1 QQ1 30Q1 Q12 Q1Q2 TR2 PQ2 30Q2 QQ2 30Q2 Q22 Q1Q2 MR1 30 2Q1 Q2 3, reaction curves Q1 13.5 .5Q2 , Q2 13.5 .5Q1 MR2 30 2Q2 Q1 3 Q1 13.5 .5[13.5 .5Q1 ], .75Q1 [13.5 (13.5 / 2)], Q1 9 Under Bertrand model set marginal revenue = marginal cost and divide output. MR TR / Q ((30Q Q2 / Q) 30 2Q 3. Q 27 and Q1 Q2 135 .. P = 30-Q=3 Price undercutting would occur until price = $3.00 Problem with Bertrand model. When there is a homogenious product firms compete on quantity not price (orange growers). We assume firms divide Q. This may not be the case. Price Competition with differentiated product and price Two firms with fixed cost of $20.00 with demand curves of Q1 12 2 P1 P2 , Q2 12 2 P2 P1 Excel file ch12_1 solves the system for any fixed cost and marginal cost. Verify that this file calculates correctly. Such a setup provides a 'template' for a more general decision model. Template also shows Collusive Equilibrium. Each firm decides to set price given the other firms price. For firm I 61 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes 2 i PQ i i 12 Pi 2 Pi PP i j 20 i / Pi 12 4 Pi Pj 0 reaction curve is Pi 3 .25 Pj Pi 3 .25(3 .25 Pj ) Pi (3 .75) /(1 .252 ) $4.00 collusion profit 24 P 4 P 2 2 P 2 40 / P 0 24 4 P P $6.00, $16.00 Use the template to solve the system assuming demand curves are now: Q1 24 2 P1 P2 , Q2 32 2 P2 P1 Which might have resulted due to an Ad effort. Since profit is calculated, the effectiveness of an ad effort can be calculated. P & G Pricing Problem Table 12.2 shows P&G decision model assuming fixed costs of $480,000 and variable costs of $1.00. Excel file ch12_2.xls generalizes this analysis. The base case assumes the demand curve is Q 3375 P 3.5 Pu.25 Pk.25 which could have been estimated using Excel if we assume natural logs of the data have been used. Use the template to see what would be the situation at P & G if Unilever charged $1.45 and Keo charged $1.47 and P & G investigated prices $1.10, $2.00, $1.87, $1.44 If P & G does an effective marketing effort the 3375 might be raised or the market elasticity of -3.5 changed. Assume due to a "You got to have it…" type ad effort the elasticity is lowered to -3.. Assuming the base case what happens to profit? How would you determine if the ad effort was worth it? Prisoners Dilemma Nash equilibrium is a noncooperative equilibrium. If you hope that firm will set price at collusive level, the other firm will find that it pays NOT to set at this level. Verify that 62 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes ch12_1 shows that if firm # 2 sets $4.00 and firm # 1 sets $6.00 (collusive price) then firm # 2 makes $20.00 and firm makes $4.00. Use the template to verify Firm # 1 $4.00 Firm # 1 $6.00 Firm # 1 $8.00 Firm # 2 $4.00 $12,$12 $4,$20 -$20,$28 Firm # 2 $6.00 $20,$4 $16,$16 -$4,$28 Firm # 2 $8.00 $28,-$20 $28,-$4. $12,$12 With $6, $6 the total profit is highest ($32.00). But each firm will look at situation as "If I charge $4.00 I will do "best" (i.e. make $12.00)." Each firm does not dare trust the other firm to charge the higher price!! In Oligopoly there is an incentive to keep price fixed. Figure 12.7 illustrates the kinked demand curve. MC can move inside discontinuous section and there is no incentive to change price or quantity. => Oligopolistic firms have price rigidity Price signaling firm such as American Airlines announces it is raising its price. Firm hopes that such price leadership will result in the others following. (This seems to be the case in Hyde Park between Shell and Amoco stations which 'post' prices that seem to agree all the time.) Banks operate using price signaling as they "respond" to changes at the Fed. Dominant Firm Model. Figure 12.9 shows dominant firm model. Dominant firm takes demand curve DD as DD = Market demand - Fringe Firm Supply. Dominant firm draws MR on this derived demand curve and sets price. Fringe firms take this price as given. An Oil Cartel would not be legal in the US. Figure 12.10 shows situation. Here OPEC derives a demand curve DOPEC and draws a marginal revenue curve. Price is set at P* where MROPEC = MCOPEC. If OPEC were not a cartel, OPEC price would be at Pc. Universities work together to keep athletics "amateur" by paying players nothing. Somehow they get away with it!! 63 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Chapter 13 Game Theory Game Theory "If I believe that my competitors are rational and act to maximize theor own profits, how should I take their behavior into account when making my Own profitmaximizing decisions?" Cooperative game => players can negotiate binding contracts and enforce them Noncooperative game => players cannot negotiate and cannot enforce contracts Want to understand your opponent's point of view and assuming your opponent is rational deduce how he or she is likely to respond to your actions. Problem. Company A (acquirer) considering bidding for Company T (target). Company T is exploring for oil and knows what it has found. It is assumed that a share price of $0.00 - $100.00 for company T under its own management is equally likely. If A buys T, T will make 50% more money. A thus can make an offer between $0-$150 a share and T will accept if the offer is greater than or equal to the current share price. What is the optimum offer? Answer. Offer $0.00. Assume A offers $50.00. This suggests that the share price is between 0-50. Its expected value is $25.00. With A's management the value will rise to $37.50 (1.5*25) which is less than the offer!! Dominant Strategy one that is optimal for a player no matter what an opponent does Firm A Firm A Advertise No Ad Firm B Advertise 10,5 6,8 Firm B No Ad 15,0 10,2 Dominant t-strategy is for A and B is to advertise Firm A Firm A Advertise No Ad Firm B Advertise 10,5 6,8 Firm B No Ad 15,0 20,2 Here A does not have a dominant strategy. Depending on what B does, A will either advertise and get 15 or not advertise and get 20. But B has a dominant strategy which si to advertise. => A will figure that B will determine this and will advertise. Nash equilibrium - I am doing the best I can given what you are doing. You are doing the best you can given what I am doing. Dominant Strategy - I am doing the best I can no matter what you do, You are doing the best you can no matter what I do. 64 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Chapter 14 Markets for Factor Inputs Firms demands for inputs are "derived" in that they are the result of production decisions due to market demand for the final product. Marginal revenue product = added revenue from one more unit of input I in the production of good x. In general case MRPi MPPi MRx In perfect competition since firm faces x , MRx Px . Theory suggests that demand for labor of a firm with monopoly with have a lower MRP than a perfectly competitive firm. In equilibrium where i = labor MRPi w or MRx w / MPPi The demand for labor becomes w DL MRP2 MRP1 hours As other inputs increase, MPPL increases which shifts the MRP curve to the right Each firm takes the supply price of inputs as given. As a group if aggregate demand increases the price of inputs will increase. The supply of labor is usually upward sloping. If wages increase, more labor will be supplied. Above some wage, the number of hours supplied may decrease as potential workers chose leisure over work. 65 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Table 14.2 suggests that with home with two earners higher wages reduces (-.086) hours worked my spouse. In one-earned with children this is seen (-.078) but not when there are no children (.007). Economic rent => difference between the payments made to a factor of production and the minimum amount that must be spent to obtain the use of that factor. An upward supply curve of labor => at the equilibrium wage some workers are obtaining a wage that is greater than needed to get them to work. (See figure 14.11) Land rent can be calculated on a vertical supply function (see figure 14.12). This maximizes rent. Figure 14.13 suggests that US Army recruitment is hampered by a wage that is below the competitive wage. Rather that increasing the wage to the competitive wage (for all officers and enlisted men of that rank), the military pays an enlistment bonus to keep people in the service. The military pays a "dependents allowance" and other incentives for those with families. Such incentives have resulted in early marriages. Monopsony Power occurs when a firm has power over the cost on an input. In a competitive market the marginal expenditure (ME) for an input is equal to the average expenditure (AE). With monopsony AEi MEi In equilibrium MEi MRPix where MRPix = marginal revenue product of input i in the production of good x. If unions restrict the number of workers, then the wages of those in the trade will be above the wage that would occur if there was free entry. The wages of workers in the non union labor market will fall due to the increased workers looking for work. In reality many union workers work off the books on the weekends and nights. At university tenured faculty are not allowed to lower their wages for the summer. In period the relative #'s of union workers have decreased. Wages have not risen as expected due to the increased substitution of capital for labor. Assuming a production function of the form Q et L K then MPPL et L 1 K Q / L 66 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes There will be increasing returns, constant returns or decreasing returns depending on whether ( ) 1, ( ) 1, or ( ) 1 . Chapter 16 General Equilibrium and Economic Efficiency Analysis has been based on partial equilibrium. In General Equilibrium prices and quantities are determined in all markets at the same time. In an efficient allocation of goods no one can be made better Figure 16.5 shows an Edgeworth box. At points of tangency of the indifference curves, such as C and D, trade is optimal. Points B and A are a positions off the contract curve (locus of points where the indifference curves are tangent). A movement from A to C make both better off. In partial analysis we noted that the slope of the indifference curve for individual i was [ MU xi / MU yi ] which was equal to the ratio of prices. If exchange is at the tangency point of the indifference curves then the ratio of prices is the same for both individuals. Here [ MU xi / Px ] [ MU yi / Py ] for i 1,2 The position on the contract curve represents an individuals initial endowment. The above analysis shows exchange given that the individuals have the goods. The same analysis can be done at production level. Assume country # 1 produces goods X and Y and in the absence of trade will maximize utility at point A. If trades open up, country # 1 can sell ab of X for bc of Y and get to a higher indifference curve at position c. Consider 4 possibilities between two countries producing two goods with tastes and production conditions: Same Tastes Same Tastes Different Tastes Different Tastes -- Same Production conditions -- Different Production conditions -- Same Production conditions -- Different Production conditions In all but first case, trade benefits both countries (individuals). (See figure 16.10 & 16.11 & 16.12). 67 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes X a b A c Y Assuming two countries (individuals) and two goods. Absolute Advantage => A country # 1 has an absolute advantage in good X if it can product X at less cost than country # 2. A country can have an absolute advantage in all goods over another country. Comparative Advantage => A country # 1 has a comparative advantage in the production of good X than country # 2, if country # 1 is relatively more efficient in the production of that good. Holland Italy Hours to product 1 lb Cheese 1 6 1 gal wine 2 3 Holland has absolute advantage in both goods. Italy has comparative advantage in wine. Holland has comparative advantage in cheese, Example: JM appears to have an absolute advantage in both baseball and basketball over Stokes. JM has a comparative advantage in basketball over baseball. If teams were chosen a rational coach would put JM on the basketball team and Stokes on the baseball team. Free trade implies: If everyone trades in a competitive marketplace, all mutually beneficial trades will be completed, and the resulting equilibrium allocation of resources will be economically efficient. Assumes given endowments. Is this "fair." Four views on equity: 68 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Egalitarian - all members of society receive equal amounts of goods. Assumes that all indifference functions are the same. (Does Stokes want the same amount of green peppers, which make him violently ill, than Jones?) Rawlsian - maximize the utility of the least-well-off person. Utilitarian - Maximize the total utility of all members of society. Market-oriented - The market outcome is the most equitable. All but the last view requires that the leaders/government know the utility function of all individuals. Rawlsian view suggests that an equal distribution of resources may remove the incentive that most productive people have to work hard. This view allows inequalities as long as the lest well off person is better off. How might this be measured? In individual preferences are convex, then every efficient allocation (every point on the contract curve) is a competitive equilibrium for some initial allocation of goods. There is a tradeoff between goals of equity and efficiency. Does the system take into account negative externalities? Would auto pollution be reduced if exhaust pipes were mandated to be at the front of cars? Air pollution laws in California gave a "pass" to old cars. => incentive to repair old "dirty" motors rather than put in a cleaner new motor!! Why Markets Fail Market Power - Producer has market power and sets MR not P equal to MC. Labor union has power and reduces supply of labor to an industry. Any Differentiated product => downward sloping demand curve and MR < AR. BUT many small firms where AR=MR might be at a higher price. Incomplete Information - Customers may not know real cost on an item such as cigarettes and thus buy too many for their own good Insiders may know more than the public and be able to trade stocks to their advantage. Very hard to police!! Exteralities - Steel plant ruins stream for fishing. => Laws prohibit this. 69 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Government now allows select firms to trade their "rights to pollute." Is this right? How are rights given out initially? If the Government wishing to reduce hurricane insurance costs mandates that people not rebuild their homes near the water, then the value of land is reduced. "Historical Houses" are lowered in value. Should owners be compensated? Recycling: Have required bottle deposits. Have imposed fees to allow use of dumps. Property Rights. Owner of land can require that pipeline builder restore surface. Coase Theorem 'When parties can bargain without cost and to their mutual advantage, the resulting outcome will be efficient, regardless of how the property rights are specified.' Farmer requires that the train company clear a path to curtain sparks starting a fire and pay farmer for loss of land. Coase Theorem suggests "buying off" a problem. It assumes bargaining is costless. If bargaining is costly the theorem does not always work. Public Goods - Are nonrival (have MC=0 for additional users) and are nonexclusive (no one can be excluded from using them). Example lighthouse. Such a good is hard to collect for use. Historically farmers maintained or did not maintain roads across their places. Tolls were collected. This system was replaced with public roads. NJ Toll road => get a ticket and pay when you get off. Garden State Parkway => pay a fixed fee every so many miles. What determines what system? Clean air is nonexclusive BUT rival. One person's pollution hurts the car behind!! Public Goods - Defense. Immunization. Should select religions be allowed to reduce their risk at the expense of others? How should this be decided? High School Education is rival. It does not have MC=0. Why are churches given tax breaks while the same is not done for pubs? Communities have historically paid for their schools from the tax base. Some communities have been willing to pay more. Recent policy in a number of states mandates state level funding. Who benefits? Who loses? What will the effect of such a policy be on high schools in poor neighborhoods, in high neighborhoods, on private schools? 70 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Discussion: Historically the US has required service in the military in time of war. In Colonial times males over 17 were required to maintain arms. In the Civil war those drafted could buy someone else to serve. During WWII key occupations (farmers) were not drafted and others with special skills were placed in certain positions. During Vietnam the more well to do "hid out" in college. The poor were not paid to go in their place. Women have never been required to serve in the US. Discuss the efficiency of these alternative systems. 71 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Linear Programming Goal: To equip you to solve a number of problems relating to the organization of production and the purchase of inputs. Discussion Example Assume you are placed in charge of a factory packing fish products. Two products are produced: fish cakes (for human consumption) and fish meal (for animal consumption). The production process involves Separating (take light meat off fish for cakes), shredding, packing and canning. Workers are trained for each task. The sales price of fish cakes is $.80 per pound and fish meal is $.70 per pound. Labor requirements per 1,000 lb are: Separating Shredding Packing Canning Hours Available 205 106 188 65 Req. Fish Cakes 22.78 10.60 14.46 5.00 Req. Fish Meal 13.67 8.83 17.09 5.00 As manager you want to know how to maximize profit by determining how many fish cakes and fish mean pounds to produce. In addition you want to know how much profit would change if you were to retrain workers from separating to shredding etc. The reading lists shows various way to setup the problem. Setup Max .80C .70 M s. t . 22.78C 13.67 M 205 10.60C 8.83 M 106 14.46C 17.09 M 188 5.00C 5.00 M 65 The b34s setup for this problem (comments begin with /$) is: /$ /$ /$ /$ /$ /$ /$ /$ /$ b34s program to solve Fish Packing Problem Max .80C + .70M st 22.78C + 13.67M 10.60C + 8.83M 14.46C + 17.09M 72 LE 205 LE 106 LE 188 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes /$ 5.00 + 5.00M LE 65 /$ b34sexec lpmax n=2,m1=4,m2=0; amatrix(22.78, 13.67, 10.60, 8.83, 14.46, 17.09, 5.00, 5.00 ); bvector(205., 106., 188., 65.); cvector( .80, .70 ); b34srun; With answers: LPMAX Command. Version 1 September 1997 Of 2000000 double precision slots in space, Number of activities (X) 2 Number of constraints (m1+m2) 4 Number of inquality constraints (m1) 4 Number of equality constraints (m2) 0 93 are being used. Constraint Matrix (A) 1 2 1 22.7800 13.6700 2 10.6000 8.83000 3 14.4600 17.0900 4 5.00000 5.00000 Constraint vector (B) 205.000 106.000 188.000 65.0000 Cost vector (C) 0.800000 0.700000 Objective function maximized at 8.288942665534615 Primal values 2.83325 8.60335 Dual values 0.00000 0.663896E-01 0.665767E-02 0.00000 The answers indicate that profit = $8,288.94 and the production of fish cakes and fish meal should be 2.83325 and 8.60335 thousand pounds respectively. Since the shadow price of separating labor and canning labor was 0.0, this suggests that adding more labor in this area is not needed. Depending on the prices of labor in shredding and packing, more labor could be added provided that the cost of the labor is less than the shadow price. 73 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Given the base case = 8.288942665534615. If one more hour of shredding is allowed, = 8.355332303514723. Note that profit has increased by the shadow price of .066389. If one more hour of canning is added, then the objective function moves up .00665767 to 8.295600330639099. The reader is encouraged to run the job fish.b34 to verify these numbers. If the primal is Max CX s. t . Ax B the dual is Min V Bw s. t . A' w C In equilibrium it can be shown that V . The object it to organize production to that the profit is maximized. The B vector is the numbers of inputs available. Production should be organized so as to minimize bottle necks. The shadow price of removing a constraint, w, is solved from the dual. As shown above w(i) is the increase in that would occur if one more unit of the ith input was obtained. Sample LP programs: Max 5x 3z s. t 3x 5z 15 5x 2 z 10 Verify that at the solution 12.36842105263158, x = 1.05263 w = 0.263158 2.36842 0.842105 A linear programming setup can have a number of problems. There will be no unique solution if a constraint is parallel to the objective function such as: 74 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Max 2.5x z s. t . 3x 5z 15 3x 2 z 10 A minimum problem such as Min V 2 x 3 y x y 4 6x 2 y 8 x 5y 4 x 3 y 3 can be written as Max V 2 x 3 y x y 4 6 x 2 y 8 x 5y 4 x 3 y 3 Verify that at the solution V = -4.0, the primal is ( 1.14286 , 0.571429) and the dual is ( 0.0, 0.25, 0.50, 0.0, 0.0). Difficulties that indicate an error was made in setting up a LP problem include inconsistent constraints, no feasible solution and unbounded solution. It is beyond this course to discuss these problems at this time. 75 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Gravel Problem (From Managerial Economics by Douglas): The Grimes Gravel Company produces three mixtures of sand, pebbles and rocks for eventual sale in 20-kg bags to the home handy person for use in cement work. The sandy mixture is composed of 10kg sand, 7k pebbles, and 3 kg rocks. The pebbly mixture is composed of 6kg sand, 10 kg pebbles and 4 kg rocks. The rocky mixture is composed of 2kg sand, 8 kg pebbles and 10 kg rocks. The market prices prevailing ate $2.75 for the sandy mixture, $2.50 for the pebbly mixture and $2.25 for the rocky mixture. Games Gravel feels that the market prices will hold regardless of the volume of each procust it supplies. Games Gravel wishs to maximize sales revenue from its present plant and equipment. The constraints on output are the limited size of the storage bins for the sand, pebbles and rocks. The bins hold 2000kg, 3000kg and 2000kg respectively and replenishment of supplies can only be made once a week. Find max profit. What Constraints are binding: sm = sandy mixture pm = pebbly mixture rm = rocky mixture s = sand p = pebbles r = rocks 10 sm + 6 pm + 2 rm LE 2000 7 sm + 10 pm + 8 rm LE 3000 3 sm + 4 pm + 10 rm LE 2000 Max 2.75 sm + 2.50 pm + 2.25 rm b34sexec lpmax n=3 m1=3 m2=0$ * Gravel problem Douglas page 280 amatrix(10 6 2 7 10 8 3 4 10); bvector(2000 3000 2000); cvector(2.75 2.50 2.25); b34srun$ LPMAX Command. Version 1 September 1997 Real*8 space available Real*8 space used Number of activities (X) Number of constraints (m1+m2) Number of inquality constraints (m1) Number of equality constraints (m2) Constraint Matrix (A) 1 ; 12000000 78 3 3 3 0 2 3 76 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 1 2 3 10.0000 7.00000 3.00000 Houston H. Stokes 6.00000 10.0000 4.00000 2.00000 8.00000 10.0000 Constraint vector (B) 2000.00 3000.00 2000.00 2.50000 2.25000 Cost vector (C) 2.75000 Objective function maximized at 868.7500000000000 Primal values 90.0000 145.000 115.000 0.106250 0.106250 Dual values 0.168750 Now expand bin # 1 to 6000. What happens? LPMAX Command. Version 1 September 1997 Real*8 space available Real*8 space used Number of activities (X) Number of constraints (m1+m2) Number of inquality constraints (m1) Number of equality constraints (m2) Constraint Matrix (A) 1 2 3 1 10.0000 7.00000 3.00000 2 6.00000 10.0000 4.00000 12000000 78 3 3 3 0 3 2.00000 8.00000 10.0000 Constraint vector (B) 6000.00 3000.00 2000.00 2.50000 2.25000 Cost vector (C) 2.75000 Objective function maximized at 1178.571428571428 Primal values 428.571 0.00000 0.00000 0.392857 0.00000 Dual values 0.00000 77 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 Houston H. Stokes Lamp Problem from Douglas The P. M. D. Light Company produces and sells three standing lamps. The contribution to profit for these lamps is constant at the following levels regardless of output level: Model A $8.75, Model B 13.25, Model C $16.80. All three models go through the basic assembly process; then models A and B go through fabric installation process while model C goes through the antique-bronzing process. The requirements of each model in each process and the weekly availability of these processes are as follows: Should all models be produced? If overtime labor is available for each process at $12.00 in place of the usual $8.00, what should be done? Process Assembly Fabric Bronzing Hours Total 800 480 160 Hours for A .2 .1 0 Model .2 Mod_A .1 Mod_A + .3 Mod_B + .12 Mod_B + .35 Mod_C .8 Max 8.75 Mod_A Mod_c + 13.25 Mod_B + LE 800 LE 480 LE 160 16.80 Mod_C b34sexec lpmax n=3 m1=3 m2=0$ * Lamp problem Douglas page 281 ; amatrix(.2 .3 .35 .1 .12 0. 0. 0. .8); bvector(800. 480. 160.); cvector(8.75 13.25 16.80); b34srun$ LPMAX Command. Version 1 September 1997 Real*8 space available Real*8 space used Number of activities (X) Number of constraints (m1+m2) Number of inquality constraints (m1) Number of equality constraints (m2) Constraint Matrix (A) 1 12000000 78 3 3 3 0 2 3 78 B .3 .12 0 C .35 0 .8 Microeconomic Study Notes (17/7/2012 1 2 3 0.200000 0.100000 0.00000 0.300000 0.120000 0.00000 Houston H. Stokes 0.350000 0.00000 0.800000 Constraint vector (B) 800.000 480.000 160.000 13.2500 16.8000 Cost vector (C) 8.75000 Objective function maximized at 35601.66666666667 Primal values 0.00000 2433.33 200.000 0.00000 1.67708 Dual values 44.1667 Summary: LP analysis can be used to allow micro theory to be used to solve real world problems. In the oil industry and the airline industry, problems with > than 50,000 variables are common. 79