Subtidal flow structure at the turning region of a wide outflow plume Arnoldo Valle-Levinson* Civil and Coastal Engineering Department University of Florida 365 Weil Hall Gainesville FL 32611 arnoldo@ufl.edu Tel. 353-392-9537 ext. 1479 *corresponding author Kris Holderied NOAA Kasitsna Bay Laboratory, Homer Office 2181 Kachemak Drive Homer, Alaska 99603 Chunyan Li Coastal Studies Institute Louisiana State University Baton Rouge, LA Robert J. Chant Institute of Marine and Coastal Sciences Rutgers University New Brunswick, NJ 08904 Abstract A series of underway current velocity profiles and near-surface temperature and salinity measurements were combined with temperature and salinity profiles to characterize the subtidal flow structure at the turning region of a wide plume, the Chesapeake Bay outflow plume. In this context, “wide” refers to the ratio of lateral plume expansion to internal radius of deformation being greater than one. Observations were obtained in September and November of 1996 and in February and May of 1997 with the idea of capturing the variability in forcing conditions typically associated with these seasons. However, regional precipitation patterns yielded similar buoyancy forcing conditions for the 4 surveys and among the wettest years on record. This buoyancy forcing produced a well-delineated outflow plume that separated from the coast on its way out the estuary. The plume separation acted in conjunction with frictional effects to delineate an inshore front, in addition to the customarily described offshore front. The outflow plume was markedly constrained by the Chesapeake Channel, which was also the main conduit of shelf waters toward the estuary. The bathymetric influence was also evident in the surface salinity field, the mean flows and the volume fluxes. The offshore extent of the plume was found between the scale predicted by geostrophic dynamics (internal Rossby radius) and that predicted by cyclostrophic dynamics. Such offshore extent was most likely linked to the plume interactions with the bathymetrically steered up-estuary flow. This was corroborated by an analytical solution that explored the dynamical balance among pressure gradient, Coriolis accelerations and friction. In addition to being influenced by bathymetry, the Chesapeake Bay outflow plume was modified by local and remote effects related to atmospheric forcing. 1 Introduction The study of buoyant outflow plumes has produced an extensive body of literature. Many studies have used numerical approaches (e.g. Chao, 1988; Kourafalou et al., 1996; Oey and Mellor, 1993; Ruddick et al., 1995; Garvine, 2001) and others have used observational approaches (Boicourt, 1981; Münchow and Garvine, 1993; Simpson and Souza, 1995; O’Donnell et al., 1998) and laboratory experiments (e.g. Stern et al., 1982; Whitehead and Chapman, 1986; Avicola and Huq, 2002; Lentz and Helfrich, 2002). There is an inherent difficulty in studying outflow plumes observationally because of their relatively large extensions, high horizontal and vertical gradients, and very large temporal variability (e.g. Hickey et al., 2005; Fong et al., 1997). Outflow plumes tend to be characterized by an inertial, or turning, region where the buoyant outflow forms a bulge before it turns into a coastal current that propagates downstream in the Kelvin wave sense (Garvine, 1995; Chao and Boicourt, 1986). Several modeling studies have characterized the inertial bulge of the plume, but few observational efforts have concentrated on this region. The main objective of this study is to characterize the spatial structure of the Chesapeake Bay outflow plume at its turning region and under different forcing conditions of winds, tides and river discharge. This objective was addressed with underway measurements of current velocity profiles and surface hydrography, combined with hydrographic profiles recorded at different times of the year. Because bathymetry plays a crucial role in shaping exchange flows at an estuarine entrance (e.g. Wong, 1994), it was hypothesized that bathymetry also influenced the lateral structure of the outflow plume. It was found that the main channel that connects 2 Chesapeake Bay with the adjacent inner shelf indeed constrains the expansion of the plume and contains most of its outflow volume. The Chesapeake Bay Outflow Plume Experiment (COPE) investigated several aspects of the buoyant outflow from 1996 to 1998 using state-of-the-art in-situ and remote sensors. This experiment produced the first synoptic maps of surface salinity (Miller et al., 1998) and radar-derived surface tidal currents (Marmorino et al, 1999; Shay et al., 2001) in the outflow region. The study also produced an analysis of the Chesapeake Bay plume response to upwelling winds (Hallock and Marmorino, 2002) and distributions of tidal elevation and currents (Hallock et al., 2003). Observations with real aperture radar and sideways pointing current profilers showed that the offshore edge of the plume was linked to the offshore limit of the Chesapeake Channel and that another front marked the onshore edge of the plume (Sletten et al., 1999; Marmorino and Trump, 2004). In addition, in-situ observations depicted the gravity-current aspects associated with the plume (Marmorino and Trump, 2000). The above studies have revealed valuable characteristics of the plume but none has investigated its overall spatial structure (both horizontal and vertical) with enough horizontal resolution (< 500 m), which is the topic of this study. Study Area The Chesapeake Bay is the largest estuary of the United States, with a length of ~300 km. The lower estuary has typical widths of ~20-30 km (Fig. 1), which are at least twice the ~5-10 km dimension of the internal radius of deformation (Valle-Levinson and Lwiza, 1997). The lower bay bathymetry is characterized by channels and shoals (Fig. 3 1). It features a relatively wide (~4 km) and deep (maximum depth of 30 m) Chesapeake Channel that curves to the south around Cape Henry, the southern cape at the bay entrance. This channel is the main conduit of oceanic waters to the estuary (ValleLevinson et al. 1998) and its delineation is appreciable in the inner shelf for ~7 km to the south of Cape Henry (Fig.1). Offshore of the bay entrance and outside Chesapeake Channel, i.e., in the area influenced by the outflow plume, the bathymetry slopes gently downward. The Chesapeake Bay is influenced by a mean annual river discharge of ~2,500 m3/s derived from various tributaries (Goodrich, 1988). A 30-year record shows that mean daily river discharge into the bay is greatest in March and April and reaches a minimum in August (Fig. 2). As a result, the plume outflow is expected to be strongest and have the lowest salinities in the April-May period (roughly one month after the river discharge peak). Similarly, the plume is expected to be weakest and have the highest salinities in September-November. The low-discharge period is coincident with increased wind-induced vertical mixing associated with cold air outbreaks and extratropical storms. However, tropical and extra-tropical storms may produce anomalously high runoff during seasons of normally low runoff (Fig. 2) and cause extremely reduced salinities throughout the bay. The combination of wind forcing and river discharge typically results in strongly stratified (top to bottom differences in salinity of order 10) conditions in April-May, and nearly homogeneous (maximum top to bottom salinity difference of less than 2) conditions in October-November (Valle-Levinson and Lwiza, 1997). The anomalously high precipitation in the fall of 1996 meant that there was less variation in buoyancy forcing than expected between our fall and spring surveys. 4 The Chesapeake Bay is also forced by seasonal wind patterns (Paraso and ValleLevinson, 1996). In the lower bay, northeasterly and northwesterly winds dominate from late summer to early spring, while southwesterly winds dominate during the summer. The most energetic wind events are usually northeasterly or northwesterly during late fall and winter, although southwesterly winds can occasionally be very energetic. Owing to the orientation of the bay entrance, northeasterly and southwesterly winds cause the greatest effects on the subtidal sea level and current variability in the area (ValleLevinson, 1995). Tidal forcing affecting the lower bay is predominantly semidiurnal (Browne and Fisher, 1988). The interaction among the three semidiurnal tidal constituents (M2, N2 and S2) generates fortnightly and monthly variability in the tidal currents. Owing to the elliptical moon orbit, the N2 constituent dominates over the S2 in this part of the world. This causes a marked asymmetry between consecutive spring (or neap) tides, which results in a spring (or neap) tide of perigee and a spring (or neap) tide of apogee during one month. During spring tides, the currents in the lower bay may exceed 1 m/s, resulting in reduced stratification and weaker subtidal flows than during neap tides (Valle-Levinson, 1995). Thus, bathymetric variations, freshwater discharge, wind velocity, and tidal forcing are expected to influence the flow and water density at the Chesapeake Bay entrance and in its adjacent coastal ocean. This study was carried out through ship surveys at different times of the year in an attempt to assess the influence of those forcing mechanisms on the turning region of the Chesapeake Bay outflow plume. Data Collection and Processing 5 A total of four surveys were conducted onboard NOAA’s ship Ferrel with the purpose of collecting data on the flow and density fields in the turning region of the Chesapeake Bay outflow plume. In each survey, three ~16-17 km long transects (Transects 1, 2 and 3 in Fig. 1) were sampled during the periods of September 23-26, 1996, November 12-15, 1996 and May 12-15, 1997. In the period February 18-21, 1997 two transects (Transects 1 and 3 in Fig. 1), instead of three, were sampled because wind conditions and sea state hindered data collection during the first day of scheduled sampling. In May 1997, Transect 2 had a different orientation than in the other surveys in order to coordinate data sets of that survey with those of COPE II experiments (e.g. Sletten et al., 1999; Hallock and Marmorino, 2002). At each transect, underway measurements of current velocity profiles and of nearsurface temperature and salinity were obtained repeatedly for at least 24 hours of cruising at speeds of ~2.5 m/s. Transect repetitions had to be delayed or interrupted periodically because of heavy ship traffic through the Chesapeake Channel. Despite those difficulties, each transect was occupied for at least 10 times during the sampling period. Complementing the underway measurements were profiles of temperature and salinity obtained typically at the ends of each transect repetition and roughly in the middle or at the deepest point of the transect. Underway current velocity profiles were obtained with a Broadband RD Instruments 600-kHz acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP) mounted on a ~1.4 mlong catamaran. The catamaran was towed mid-ship with a three-point bridle so the catamaran traveled off the starboard side in water undisturbed by the ship’s wake. The ADCP pointed downward and collected current and bottom track velocities. The 6 velocities were recorded every 4 seconds in 0.5 m bins and averaged into 30 second ensembles. This represented a spatial resolution of ~75 m in the horizontal. The first ADCP bin was centered at ~2 m for every survey. Navigation data were obtained with a Trimble 2000 Differential Global Positioning System (DGPS) and were used for ADCP compass calibration and current velocity data correction as in Joyce (1989). This data set corresponds to a total of 11 experiments, each spanning at least 24 hours, or more than 110 transect realizations. As such, this is the most comprehensive data set available for current velocity profiles with high horizontal resolution in the turning region of the Chesapeake Bay outflow plume. The values of current velocity obtained at each transect repetition were rotated to their axis of maximum variance. Then they were interpolated, for each component, onto a uniform grid with horizontal and vertical resolutions of 200 m and 0.5 m, respectively. The time series of current velocity components for each separate cruise was least-squares fitted to a periodic function with semidiurnal (period of 12.42 hrs) and diurnal (period of 23.93 hrs) constituents (e.g. Valle-Levinson et al., 1998). This procedure yielded five parameters related to the flow at the entrance to Chesapeake Bay: the subtidal flow during the period of observation, the amplitude and phase of the semidiurnal constituent, and the amplitude and phase of the diurnal constituent. At the bay entrance (Transect 1), the least-squares fit explained an average of 92% of the variability observed in the principal-axis component of the flow at every grid point. The fit yielded root-meansquared errors between the fit and the observations that in general remained below 0.15 m/s. The percent of variability explained by the fits (or goodness of fit) decreased from Transect 1 to Transect 2 and 3. 7 Underway near-surface (~1.5 m depth) temperature and salinity values were obtained with a SeaBird SBE 21 thermosalinograph. The instrument was connected to the flow-through seawater system of the Ferrel. Temperature and salinity data were combined with the DGPS signal and recorded every 10 seconds, yielding a spatial resolution of ~25 m. These data were used to construct profiles of mean surface salinity along each transect. Mean surface salinities were used to characterize the hydrography of the outflow plume at each transect sampled. Profiles of temperature and salinity were obtained at fixed stations of each transect with a conductivity-temperature-depth (CTD) recorder. An Applied Microsystems EMP-2000 CTD was used in the 1996 surveys and a Seabird SBE25 was used in the 1997 surveys. CTD use was dictated by instrument availability. During the four surveys, profiles of temperature and salinity were customarily collected at each end of the transect repetition and in the middle or at the deepest part of the transect. This approach was adopted to best characterize the hydrography data without compromising the quality of the towed ADCP data, because the ADCP data collection deteriorates every time the ship stops. The main purpose of the CTD data collection was to help discern the vertical structure of the plume. Forcing Agents - Ancillary data. Ancillary data were used to characterize the forcing at the lower Chesapeake Bay and outflow plume during the survey periods. Ancillary data consisted of river discharge (Fig.2), wind velocity (Fig. 3) and subtidal sea level variability (Fig. 3). River discharge data were obtained from the United States Geological Survey National Water Information 8 System (waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/discharge). Daily data were retrieved for the Susquehanna River at Conowingo MD (01578310), for the Potomac River near Washington DC at Little Falls Pump Station (01646500), and for the James River at Cartersville, VA (02035000). The river discharge values portrayed in Figure 2 represent the combination of those three rivers, which account for ~82% of the river input into the bay, for the common period 1967-1997. Hourly wind velocity and sea level observations were obtained from NOAA’s Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel station (8638863). This was the closest station to the sampling region with data available during the study period. The surveys were conducted at times of the year (vertical arrows on Fig. 2) to capture the expected seasonal variability in river discharge and wind conditions. Weak river discharge was expected in September on the basis of daily averages across the year from the 30-year record (Fig. 2). Strong wind forcing was expected in November and February, and strong freshwater influence was anticipated in May (Fig. 2). However, 1996 was the wettest year on record for the Chesapeake Bay (black continuous line on Fig. 2), with daily discharge maxima records established several times that year. The September and November surveys actually took place during anomalously high river discharges for those months (>3000 m3/s) and after discharge peaks >10,000 m3/s (Fig. 2). The observations in February 1997 and May 1997 occurred during river discharges close to their respective monthly means and to the annual mean of 2500 m3/s (Fig. 2). Because of this sustained buoyancy forcing, a well-defined outflow plume was identified in every survey. The plume itself was noticeably influenced by tides and winds. The September 1996 survey took place two days before and during spring tides, with variable winds (southwesterly to northwesterly) and subtidal sea level (Fig. 3a). The 9 November 1996 survey was carried out following spring tides with northwesterly and northeasterly winds that kept subtidal sea level down (by driving water out of the bay), but allowed it to set-up during sampling of Transect 1 (Fig. 3b). The February 1997 survey took place at the transition from neap to spring tides and had southwesterly, northeasterly and southeasterly winds that first caused weak set-down and then weak setup of the subtidal sea level (Fig. 3c). Finally, the May 1997 survey was conducted during the three days leading to neap tides under variable winds. Winds caused sea level setdown followed by set-up in Transect 1 sampling and weak subtidal sea level oscillations during sampling of the other 2 transects (Fig. 3d). The response time of the flow to wind forcing from the northeast and southwest in the lower bay is less than 10 hours. Northeasterly winds cause unidirectional, laterally varying exchange flows at the bay entrance (Valle-Levinson et al., 2001). Northwesterly winds cause the greatest flushing of water out of the bay and southwesterly winds induce the strongest bidirectional (vertically varying) exchange flows (Valle-Levinson et al., 2001). The variability in these forcing agents will be discussed in the context of similarities and differences in the subtidal flows observed at each transect. Data Description The description of the data set derived from these surveys begins with the distributions of mean surface hydrography along each transect. It continues with the portrayal of mean vertical profiles of salinity at different locations along the transects. It then presents survey-to-survey similarities and differences exhibited by the subtidal flow at each transect sampled. Throughout these descriptions “downstream” refers to the 10 preferred direction of coastal current produced by the plume (Kelvin-wave sense) and “upstream” indicates toward the estuary’s mouth. Mean Surface Salinity In the 3 transects sampled, the lowest overall salinity should have been observed at Transect 1, which was closest to the source of fresh water. This was clearly the case in May 1997, but not in the other surveys (Fig. 4) because of dissimilar atmospheric influences during sampling of different transects. For instance, the streamwise salinity gradients in May 1997 (Fig. 4d) were produced by wind-induced advection of high salinity water toward the bay entrance during Transect 3 sampling. Overall, for all transects, the lowest salinities were observed immediately off Cape Henry in Transect 1, i.e., right against the coast (distances <500 m in Fig. 4). As the plume moved downstream it seemed to have separated from the coast because the lowest salinity of Transects 2 and 3 was typically found at distances >1 km (Fig. 4). This location corresponded to that of the Chesapeake Channel and suggested that, downstream of the point of separation at Cape Henry, the core of the plume was largely constrained by the channel. The plume separation from shore was also observed in the offshore, or streamnormal, gradients of the mean surface salinity ∂S/∂n, where n is the streamnormal direction. The distributions of ∂S/∂n showed portions with negative values at distances <6-8 km on Transects 2 and 3 (Fig. 4). This indicated that salinity decreased offshore at those transects and that the lowest salinities were observed detached from the coast. On Transect 1, at the bay entrance, the gradient was weak or positive near Cape Henry as the 11 lowest salinity was found against the coast. These distributions around the turning region of the Chesapeake Bay outflow were consistent with observations in Delaware Bay (Sanders and Garvine, 1996). The offshore hydrographic edge of the plume could be identified as the location where the gradient decreased markedly, after having attained high values. Such location was somewhat ambiguous in Figure 4 and is plausible to be found between 10 and 14 km. The offshore edge of the plume as suggested by ∂S/∂n was less ambiguous in November for transects 2 and 3 (~12 km), in February for transect 3 (~13.5 km) and in May for transect 3 (~13 km). This edge could have been related to the internal radius of deformation Ri, which equals (g’ H)½ / f, where g’ is the reduced gravity (in m/s2), H is the outflow plume depth (in m) and f is the Coriolis parameter (8.8×10-5 s-1 for the Chesapeake Bay entrance). To compare Ri to the observed location of the plume’s edge, g’ and H were derived from mean salinity profiles. Mean Salinity profiles Mean salinity profiles are only shown for February 1997, when the lowest salinity of the four surveys was observed. The vertical patterns remained consistent from survey to survey when comparing transect to transect and location to location. The mean salinity profiles at the bay entrance (Transect 1) showed increasing salinity away from Cape Henry (Fig. 5), consistent with the surface salinity distributions. The greatest range of surface to bottom values was observed in Chesapeake Channel, the deepest location sampled. Downstream of the bay entrance, the lowest salinity in Transects 2 and 3 was observed in the channel, away from the coast (Transect 2 not available in February as portrayed in Fig. 5). This location of the lowest salinity was consistent with the mean 12 surface distributions and also indicated the separation of the plume from the coast. Otherwise the lowest salinity should have been against the coast. The vertical gradients of the salinity profiles showed a well-defined structure associated with the outflow plume and suggested plume depths H of 5-10 m. Typical top-to-bottom salinity differences of 6 to10 indicated g’ values between 0.05 and 0.08 m/s2. The self-advecting speeds of the outflow plume cp, as derived from the long internal wave speed (g’H)½ were then 0.5 to 0.9 m/s, which yielded a Ri of 7-10 km. These Ri values are conservative overestimates (they are likely to be ~7 km) on the basis of Figure 5 results and are smaller than the offshore plume edge suggested by hydrography. These Ri estimates will also be compared later to plume locations indicated by subtidal flows. Another noteworthy hydrographic feature observed in the surveys was that the highest salinities (>29) were observed in Chesapeake Channel (Fig. 5) and offshore. This distribution suggested that offshore dense waters make their way into Chesapeake Bay by plunging into Chesapeake Channel and following the deepest channels. So it is likely that a substantial source of salty water to the Chesapeake Bay has downstream origins, drawn by the gravitational circulation associated with the plume. Subtidal flows The mean flows observed during ~24 hours of sampling at each transect (Figs. 6 and 7) illustrated the transverse structure of the outflow plume. The patterns observed at Transect 1 have already been described in detail by Valle-Levinson et al. (1998) and will not be repeated here. Here we focus on the patterns of subtidal flow associated with the containment of the plume and the withdrawal of salty waters from a downstream source, 13 as well as the outflow plume separating from Cape Henry. The outflow plume itself showed transverse structure similarities and differences from transect to transect and from survey to survey. Consistent patterns across all the Transect 2 and 3 surveys included the development of depth-independent upstream flows throughout a 2 to 3 kmwide region next to the coast. Other similarities were found in the area of Chesapeake Channel, as the channel: a) mostly constrained exchange flows; b) contained the strongest downstream and upstream flows; and c) enclosed most of the outflow plume volume. Differences were distinguished in the depth at which the outflow plume felt the bottom at each transect and survey, although there were some similarities in this aspect, too. More differences were noted in instances when the outflow plume remained detached from the bottom, as suggested by the patterns of downstream flow. Similarities and differences among subtidal flows in different transects are now explored further, with the mean streamwise and streamnormal flows illustrated in Figures 6 and 7. A revealing pattern that arouse from the surveys was the upstream flow in the nearshore 2-3 km of Transects 2 and 3. This pattern was consistent with separation of the plume noted in the mean surface and profile salinity distributions (Figs. 4 and 5) and indicated a recirculation of bay plume waters likely caused by flow separation at Cape Henry. At this northern hemisphere location, Coriolis accelerations fU, where U is a typical outflow speed, would try to keep the outflow plume constrained against the coast. In contrast, centrifugal accelerations U 2/ R , where R is the radius of curvature of the bathymetry off Cape Henry (~6-7 km), would try to separate the outflow from the coast. The value of U at which Coriolis and centrifugal accelerations become the same, or when the Rossby number equals 1, is the product f R or 0.5 to 0.6 m/s. The outflow was 14 occasionally >0.5 m/s and therefore could have separated from Cape Henry. Another possible explanation for this separation was the asymmetric nature of tidal flows at the bay mouth, i.e., tidal rectification. During ebb, the flow is like a source potential and during flood it is like a radial sink (e.g. Chadwick and Largier, 1999). The ebb-flood asymmetry translates into a tidal mean recirculation around the cape. Whether the flow separation results from tidal rectification or from seasonal pulses of strong plume outflow remains to be determined. Regardless of the cause, the flow separation should generate the recirculation pattern observed in all four surveys, with nearshore upstream flow (Figs. 6 and 7). The recirculation around Cape Henry can be illustrated more clearly in a vector representation (Fig. 8) that showed large lateral shears in the outflow near the coast. In general, surface downstream flow developed in the channel while upstream flow appeared at every depth close to the shore. The vector representation also illustrated bathymetric influences on exchange flows. Consistent exchange flows were also mostly found in Chesapeake Channel during every survey at each of the three transects sampled (Figs. 6 to 8). These exchange flows followed the typical estuarine circulation consisting of buoyant, downstream flow in upper layers and denser, upstream flow underneath. This vertically sheared pattern, preferentially observed in the deepest part of each transect, contrasted to the laterally sheared pattern in which upstream flows develop throughout the channel and downstream flows appear over adjacent shallow areas (e.g. Wong, 1994). The observed vertically sheared pattern has been attributed to non-negligible Earth’s rotation effects relative to frictional influences as characterized by the vertical Ekman number E (Kasai et al., 2000; Valle-Levinson et al., 2003). Earth’s rotation effects were quantified by Coriolis 15 accelerations fU and frictional influences could be represented by AzU/h 2, where Az is a typical kinematic eddy viscosity (1×10-3 m2/s) and h is a typical depth that scales U (10 m). The Ekman number was then Az / fh 2 or 0.1, which suggested that both Coriolis and frictional accelerations played a role in shaping the observed exchange flows. Friction was less influential in the deepest areas (E depends inversely on h2) and that is why exchange flows appeared there. In Chesapeake Channel, the asymmetric cross-channel distribution of net flows indicated that Coriolis accelerations must have deflected net upstream and downstream flows to their right, respectively (Figs. 6 to 8). These bathymetric influences are explored with an analytical solution further described in the Discussion. The strongest downstream flows of each transect sampled were observed near the surface in the Chesapeake Channel (Fig. 6 and 7). Net plume flows were as strong as 0.7 m/s (Transect 3 in November 1996 and February 1997) but also as weak as 0.05 m/s (Transects 2 and 3 in May 1997) and 0.15 m/s at the bay entrance (Transect 1). Similarly, the strongest upstream flows preferentially appeared in the channel at depths between 10 and 20 m. Maximum inflows of 0.3 m/s were observed at the bay entrance in February 1997 (Fig. 7). Another interesting aspect that was similar from survey to survey was that most of the outflow plume was constrained by the channel. Even though the low salinity signal may have extended beyond both edges of the channel, the mean volume outflow was largely delimited by those edges. The net downstream volume fluxes in Chesapeake Channel oscillated between ~200 and 18,000 m3/s and were determined, in some measure, by wind forcing (Fig. 9). 16 Wind forcing, both local and remote, caused some variability in the net flow patterns. For instance, the strongest downstream flow and transports in Transect 3 occurred in November 1996 and February 1997 (Figs. 6 to 9). These flows developed with ~10 m/s northwesterly and southwesterly winds, respectively, with very little variability in their speed and direction (Fig. 9). Northwesterly winds are the most efficient for flushing waters out of Chesapeake Bay and southwesterly winds are the most efficient in favoring exchange (surface outflow and inflow underneath) at the bay entrance (Valle-Levinson et al., 2001). Even though the resultant wind was southwesterly during the period of observations of Transect 1 in May 1997, the downstream flow and transport were very weak (Fig. 9c). This was attributed to the periods of southeasterly winds before and during transect sampling and also, perhaps more prominently, to the fact that subtidal sea level was increasing (Fig. 3d). This sea level response was not directly linked to local wind forcing and points to the importance of remote effects in modifying both the volume exchange at the bay entrance and the behavior of the plume. The importance of remote forcing on the outflow plume was also evident during sampling of Transect 3 in September 1996. Although winds were predominantly from the north (Fig. 3a and 9a), their magnitude changed markedly and their direction switched from northwesterly to northeasterly. In addition, sea level increased during sampling and caused very weak downstream transports. The pattern in Transect 2 changed from a robust downstream transport in September and November of 1996 to a very weak transport in May 1997. In September 1996 the downstream transport was not likely driven by the observed onshore winds (Fig. 3a and 9a) but rather by a subtidal sea level drop (Fig. 3a). In November 1996, the 17 downstream transport was likely driven by the combination of northwesterly winds and depressed subtidal sea level (Fig. 3b). The weak transport of May 1997 in Transect 2 was likely the result of a rebounding stage of the plume after the influence of southwesterly winds the day before. The cessation of southwesterly winds caused an increase in subtidal sea level 0.5 days before sampling. This subtidal sea level increase, together with strong southeasterly winds during the second half of sampling, opposed the downstream progression of the plume. The joint effects of subtidal sea level increase and southeasterly winds could have caused the plume to expand offshore (e.g. Hallock and Marmorino, 2002). Finally, the pattern in Transect 1 was that of a relatively well developed outflow plume, except in February 1997, when northeasterly and southeasterly winds combined with a subtidal sea level that was trending up to markedly weaken the outflow plume. One of the main findings from these surveys was that both the local winds and remote wind effects, as represented by subtidal sea level changes, modified the structure of the outflow plume. Discussion This section centers on the a) temporal variability of the subtidal flow structure, b) bathymetric constraints to the plume and c) recirculation characteristics at the turning region of the Chesapeake Bay plume. The effects of river discharge in modulating the subtidal flow structure of the plume were not discernible in the surveys because there was always enough freshwater input to produce a marked plume. For these surveys, atmospheric forcing played the most important role in modifying the outflow plume. The effects of downwelling- and upwelling-favorable winds have been relatively well 18 documented (e.g. Hickey et al., 2005; Chao, 1987; Fong and Geyer, 2001; Xing and Davies, 1999). Remote atmospheric forcing, in the form of subtidal fluctuations in sea level <∂η/∂t>, should also be crucial for the fate of the plume by modulating it at its source (e.g. Garvine, 1985; 1991). Remote effects are proportional to <∂η/∂t> and are most effective when the subtidal fluctuations in sea level are relatively fast (~ 1 day) or when water column stratification is relatively weak (e.g. Wong and Valle-Levinson, 2002). Similarly, Wong and Valle-Levinson (2002) found that local effects are effective when stratification is strong. It has been proposed by Yankovsky and Chapman (1997) that when stratification is strong, the plume is detached from the bottom and is ‘surface-advected’ allowing it to react easily to local wind forcing. According to them, on the basis of cyclostrophic dynamics, the plume will be constrained within a distance Ls, given by: Ls = 2 (3 g’ H + up2 ) / f (2 g’ H + up2)½ , (1) where up is a typical speed of the outflow plume and H is the plume depth as it enters the coastal ocean. For the observations at the turning region of the Chesapeake Bay outflow plume up attained values between 0.15 and 0.7 m/s, H was between 10 and 15 m, and g’ between 0.05 and 0.08 m/s2. Thus, predicted Ls would be between 30 and 55 km, which is more than twice the various limits observed, and the Chesapeake Bay outflow plume was unlikely ‘surface advected’ during the periods observed. In contrast to the surface-advected plume, the plume could remain attached to the bottom until reaching a critical depth hc. If hc > H and the distance at which hc is found is farther offshore than Ls then the offshore extent of the plume would be determined by 19 advection in the bottom boundary layer. Following Yankovsky and Chapman (1997), the critical depth is given by: hc = (2 L up H f /g’)½ (2) where L is the width of the estuary mouth (16 km). Taking the range of values observed, the critical depth hc was between 7 and 24 m. This suggested that the Chesapeake Bay plume may sometimes be bottom-advected (for high values of hc ). It is essential to note, however, that in some instances hc < H and the bottom-advected approach to estimate the offshore plume extent (Yankovsky and Chapman, 1997) would not apply. This issue was addressed by Lentz and Helfrich (2002), who included bottom slope γ effects. They proposed that the typical scale of the internal radius of deformation Ri, as defined in the Mean Salinity Profiles subsection, is modified by the ratio of cp, the long internal wave speed, to cγ, the propagation speed over small bottom slope and equals γg’ / f. The offshore extent of the plume is then Ri (1 + cp /cγ). In the Chesapeake Bay outflow region, however, the bottom slope is not constant (see for instance Fig. 6 and 7) and changes sign in Chesapeake Channel. Even so, taking values of γ between 0.001 and 0.003, cp between 0.5 and 0.9 m/s (Mean Salinity Profiles subsection), and cγ between 0.6 and 2.7 m/s, yields ratios of cp /cγ between 0.2 and 1.5. This means that the plume is contained within distances between 1.2 Ri and 2.5 Ri. The observations showed a smaller range of plume containment than those proposed by the above theories. Clearly, the plume core and its main outer edge were constrained by Chesapeake Channel, as also suggested by Sletten et al. (1999). It can then be proposed that the bathymetrically steered upstream flow contributes to restrain the main volume of the outflow plume. 20 Through both friction and advection, such upstream flow should influence the dynamics and the offshore extent of the plume. The effects of advection on the Chesapeake Bay plume were discerned by comparing mean advective effects to mean Coriolis accelerations for each transect and survey (Figs. 10 and 11). Mean advective effects were approximated with the only advective term that could be reliably determined. This term was calculated from lateral flows v reconstructed from the harmonic analysis results through <v∂v/∂n>, where brackets denote tidal averages and n indicates streamnormal direction. Mean Coriolis effects were calculated with the streamwise flow u and were represented as <fu>. The comparisons consistently showed the importance of advective effects in Transects 1 and 2, at the turning region of the plume. In those transects, the absolute value of the ratio <v∂v/∂n> / <fu> was mostly > 1, which suggested that Coriolis accelerations may not have been dominant in that region. Further downstream, at Transect 3, Coriolis accelerations became clearly prevalent. This difference can also be seen in the increasing importance of Coriolis accelerations when Transect 2 was reoriented further downstream in the May 1997 survey. It was also seen that the outflow plume could separate from Cape Henry when the velocity exceeded the product of the Coriolis parameter and the radius of curvature f R, i.e., when centrifugal accelerations exceeded Coriolis accelerations. By Transect 3, R becomes large (relatively straight isobaths) and therefore a much larger velocity is required before advection becomes important. The influence of bathymetry, and the friction related to its variability, on the plume structure could be explored with a linear solution (e.g. Kasai et al., 2000; ValleLevinson et al., 2003). The solution arises from a simplified dynamic balance among 21 pressure gradient (both barotropic and baroclinic), Coriolis acceleration and friction. The shape of the solution describing exchange flows (given in the Appendix) depends on the prescription a) of a sea level slope, b) of a space-independent eddy viscosity Az, and c) of net transports through the section. The exchange patterns arising from solution A3 showed very good agreement with those observed in Transect 3 (Fig. 12). The resemblance was striking at distances >3.5 km, which indicated that the main dynamics in most of the transect was well captured by a linear approach. In transect 3 (Fig. 12), advective accelerations were weakest and that is why the comparison is so favorable. At the other 2 transects, where advective effects were more prominent, comparable exchange flow patterns can still be reproduced (e.g. Valle-Levinson et al., 2003). Solutions over flat-bottom bathymetry, with the same forcing as that used to produce the results of Figure 12, showed a markedly different plume and upstream flow structure. The model-observations agreement underlined the importance of bathymetry in constraining the upstream flow and the outflow plume. It is noteworthy that the Delaware River plume, for instance, shows analogous bathymetric steering (e.g. Münchow and Garvine, 1993) whereas the Hudson River plume is unconstrained by bathymetry in the vicinity of the outflow (Chant et al in prep). Both the Chesapeake and Delaware channels tend to steer the estuarine outflow along the coast and may favor coastal current formation. In contrast, the lack of bathymetric steerage of the Hudson’s outflow may play a role in the tendency for its discharge to form a large unsteady bulge (Choi and Wilkin, submitted; Chant et al; in prep). In general, it can be postulated that plumes constrained by channels will produce coastal currents (in the Kelvin-wave sense), 22 while unconstrained plumes will be more reactive to wind forcing and prone to bulge formation. The recirculation (upstream flow) observed in the Chesapeake Bay outflow within the 3.5 km closest to the coast was not explained by solution A3 (Fig.12). This was because of the non-linear character of the recirculation, which was associated with flow separation at Cape Henry. The flow separation caused the formation of two boundaries for the plume waters, one offshore and one inshore, during ebb periods. This was analogous to observations in Delaware Bay (Sanders and Garvine, 1996) and from radar measurements in the Chesapeake Bay (Sletten et al. 1999) and ADCPs (Marmorino et al., 2000; Marmorino and Trump, 2004). During flood periods, the flow is like a potential sink (e.g. Chadwick and Largier, 1999) and moves in roughly the same direction as in ebb (toward the bay mouth) in the region inshore of the Chesapeake Channel. This resulted in net flows moving downstream in the channel and upstream inshore of the channel. The mean anticyclonic recirculation was clearly illustrated by forming surface maps from interpolated values of each transect (Fig. 13). Even though these representations could not provide a truly synoptic picture of the surface flow field because of the rapidly changing forcing conditions, even from day to day, they did show a recirculation. This is owing to the persistent and coherent flow toward the bay mouth in the region inshore of the channel. Whether the observed anticyclonic recirculation around Cape Henry develops under much weaker riverine input than those observed in this study remains a question to be explored. Nonetheless, it is hypothesized that the recirculation is most likely caused by tidal rectification as also suggested by Johnson (1976), Marmorino et al. (2000) and Marmorino and Trump (2004). The persistent 23 observations of this anticyclonic recirculation in different studies suggests additional observational or modeling studies to explore whether it functions as a retention mechanism for transport of larvae that require re-entrance into Chesapeake Bay for their survival. Conclusion This observational study at the turning region of the Chesapeake Bay outflow plume has produced revealing results. Centrifugal accelerations combine with frictional influences to produce an anticyclonic recirculation off Cape Henry and also, through bathymetric variations, to limit the offshore extent of the plume. The mean downstream flow related to the plume is mostly constrained by the edges of Chesapeake Channel. This channel provides and important pathway for coastal ocean water to enter into Chesapeake Bay underneath the plume. 24 References Avicola G. and P. 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Mech., 123, 237-265, 1982. 28 Valle-Levinson, A., Observations of barotropic and baroclinic exchanges in the lower Chesapeake bay, Cont. Shelf Res., 15, 1631-1647, 1995. Valle-Levinson, A. and K.M.M. Lwiza. Bathymetric influences on the hydrography of the lower Chesapeake Bay. J. Mar. Syst., 12, 221-236. 1997. Valle-Levinson, C. Li, T. Royer, and L. Atkinson. Flow patterns at the Chesapeake Bay entrance. Cont. Shelf Res., 18(10), 1157-1177, 1998. Valle-Levinson, A., Wong, K., Bosley, K., Observations of the wind-induced exchange at the entrance to Chesapeake Bay. J.Mar. Res., 59(3), 391-416, 2001. Valle-Levinson, A., C. Reyes and R. Sanay, Effects of bathymetry, friction and Earth’s rotation on estuary/ocean exchange, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 33(11), 2375-2393, 2003. Whitehead, J.A. and D.C. Chapman, Laboratory observations of a gravity current on a sloping bottom: The generation of shelf waves. J. Fluid Mech., 172, 373-399, 1986. Wong, K.-C., On the nature of transverse variability in a coastal plain estuary, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 14,209-14,222, 1994. Wong, K.C. and A. Valle-Levinson, On the relative importance of the remote and local wind effects on the subtidal exchange at the entrance to Chesapeake Bay, J. Mar. Res., 60, 477-498, 2002. Xing, J., and A.M. Davies, The effect of wind direction and mixing upon the spreading of a buoyant plume in a non-tidal regime, Cont. Shelf Res., 19, 1437-1483, 1999. Yankovsky, A.E. and D.C. Chapman, A simple theory for the fate of buoyant coastal discharges, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 27, 1386-1401, 1997. 29 Appendix. Model The model that generated the results of Figure 12 solves for the non-tidal or mean along-isobath u and transverse v flows produced by pressure gradients and modified by Coriolis and frictional influences. In a right-handed coordinate system (x, y, z), where x points downstream, y offshore and z upward, the non-tidal (or steady) momentum balance to be solved becomes a set of two differential equations: g 2u z Az 2 x x z g 2v f u g z Az 2 y y z f v g (A1) where f, g, o, , , Az are the Coriolis parameter, the gravity acceleration (9.8 m/s2), reference water density, variable water density (kg/m3), surface elevation (m), and vertical eddy viscosity homogeneous in z and y (m2/s), respectively. The set of equations (A1) may be represented in terms of a complex velocity w = u + iv, where i 2 = 1 is the imaginary number: g N D z Az 2w z2 i f w. (A2) In (A2), N and D represent the barotropic and baroclinic pressure gradients, respectively: i x y g D i x y N and are assumed independent of depth. Then, the flow w has contributions from the sea level slope and from the horizontal density gradients, i.e., w(z) = gNF1 (z) + F2 (z) 30 (A3) and F1 and F2 represent functions that depict the vertical structure of the barotropic (from sea level slope) and baroclinic (from density gradient) contributions to the flow. Using equation (A3), then equation (A2) can be rewritten as: 2 F1 z F2 2 2 z2 if 1 F1 Az Az if Dz F2 Az Az . (A4) Assuming, as boundary conditions, no stress at the surface (F1 /z = F2 /z = 0 at z = 0), and no-slip at the bottom (F1 and F2 = 0 at z = Hy), and that the horizontal density gradient is independent of depth, the solution of (A4) is: F1 iD F2 f cosh z i 1 f cosh H y z cosh z H y H y e z e cosh H y (A5) In this solution, the parameter equals (1 + i)/DE, where DE is the Ekman layer depth [2Az / f ]½. Solutions (A5) and (A3) require prescription of the sea level slope N and the eddy viscosity Az and a density gradient D that is dynamically consistent with N. In order to derive the value of D we use a boundary condition that assumes a prescribed net volume flux R (m3/s) along or across a cross-section (Kasai et al., 2000), i.e., B 0 w dz dy R 0 H y where B is the estuary’s width. The value of D that satisfies a prescribed N is: 31 (A6) B R f 2 i g I1 N ( y ) dy D 0 iI2 B R f 2 i g N ( y ) ( e H y H y ) tanh( H y ) (1 e H y 2 H y2 2) dy (A7) 0 B i tanh( H y ) H y dy 0 Prescribing N (= 110-6 {1+ i exp[-(y/B-1)2]}), Az (order 10-4 to 10-3 m2/s), R, and Hy (as any function of y), the solution to (A3) is obtained with (A5) and (A7) and portrayed in Figure 12. The shape of N was justified by observations as described by Valle-Levinson et al. (2003). 32 Acknowledgments This work was funded by the U.S. Mineral Management Service under Cooperative Agreement No. 14-35-001-30807 and by the NOAA Office of Sea Grant, under Grant No. R/CF-47 to the Virginia Graduate Marine Science Consortium and Virginia Sea Grant College Program. Ship time on the NOAA ship Ferrel was provided by the National Sea Grant College Program. We greatly appreciate the professional support and cooperation from the crew of the Ferrel under the able command of LCDR S.D. McKay. We also appreciate the technical support of R.C. Kidd and L. Brasseur plus the participation of T. Royer, J. Klinck, R. Ellison, E. Haskell, G. Jiang, J. Koziana, T. McCarthy, M. Moore, S. Paraso, B. Parsons, C. Reiss, C. Reyes, D. Ruble, S. Wathanaprida, and B. Wheless, M. Gruber, S. East, S. Kibler on various surveys. We appreciate the comments of A. Yankovsky and one anonymous reviewer who helped improve the presentation of the paper. 33 List of Figures. Figure 1. Study area in the lower Chesapeake Bay showing transect locations. CC and CBBT indicate Chesapeake Channel and Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel, respectively. Insert shows Chesapeake Bay in the Mid-Atlantic Bight region of eastern United States. CBBT is the location of wind and sea level measurements. Figure 2. River discharge into Chesapeake Bay as derived from the Susquehanna, Potomac and James Rivers. Range of daily discharges (shaded) throughout a year. The white line indicates the 30-year average. Darkest line indicates daily values for 1996 and dark line shows daily values for 1997. Periods of observation are marked with vertical arrows on top of the figure. Figure 3. Wind velocity vectors (indicating direction toward which the wind blows), subtidal sea level, and high-pass sea level during each experiment. Shaded periods indicate measurement of a transect. Figure 4. Temporal mean surface salinity (upper subpanel) and streamnormal salinity gradient (lower subpanel) drawn along each transect for all surveys. All dotted lines represent Transect 1, dark lines relate to Transect 2 and gray lines represent Transect 3. Figure 5. Profiles of mean salinity and vertical gradient at each location of the two transects sampled in February 1997. Figure 6. Mean streamwise (contours) and streamnormal (vectors) flows at each section measured in September and November 1996. Looking upstream. Shaded areas indicate upstream flow. 34 Figure 7. Mean streamwise (contours) and streamnormal (vectors) flows at each section measured in February and May 1997. Looking upstream. Shaded areas indicate upstream flow. Figure 8. Mean vectors for each survey, plotted at different depths. The figure suggests anticyclonic circulation off Cape Henry and exchange flows in Chesapeake Channel. Figure 9. a) Resultant and variability of wind velocity during the period of each section measured. Positive arrows indicate northward and eastward winds. b) Maximum net flow for each section. c) Volume flows integrated in Chesapeake Channel. Figure 10. Absolute value of the tidal average ratio between advective and Coriolis accelerations as estimated from observations. Shaded areas denote ratios < 1 (Coriolis > advective). Looking upstream. Transects measured in September and November 1996. Figure 11. Same as Figure 10 but for February and May 1997. Figure 12. Observed along-isobath flows (a through d in cm/s) in Transect 3 compared to model results with observed bathymetry (e through h in cm/s) and flat bottom (i through l, at transect’s mean depth). Model results were obtained by prescribing the following parameters: e) and i) Az = 0.0014 m2/s, R = 7000 m3/s upstream; f) and j) Az = 0.001 m2/s, R = 16000 m3/s downstream; g) and k) Az = 0.0006 m2/s, R = 11000 m3/s downstream; h) and l) Az = 0.0017 m2/s, R = 12000 m3/s upstream. Prescribed transports were within 10% of the net transports calculated from observations for each case.. Sea level slopes were N = 110-6 {1+ i exp[-(y/B-1)2]} (see appendix). 35 Figure 13. Surface vectors interpolated onto a uniform grid. Even though this figure does not portray a synoptic picture because of the changing winds from one day to another, all representations depict anticyclonic circulation over the shallow area off Cape Henry. 36 Figure 1. Study area in the lower Chesapeake Bay showing transect locations. CC and CBBT indicate Chesapeake Channel and Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel, respectively. Insert shows Chesapeake Bay in the Mid-Atlantic Bight region of eastern United States. CBBT is the location of wind and sea level measurements. 37 Figure 2. River discharge into Chesapeake Bay as derived from the Susquehanna, Potomac and James Rivers. Range of daily discharges (shaded) throughout a year. The white line indicates the 30-year average. Darkest line indicates daily values for 1996 and dark line shows daily values for 1997. Periods of observation are marked with vertical arrows on top of the figure. 38 Figure 3. Wind velocity vectors (indicating direction toward which the wind blows), subtidal sea level, and high-pass sea level during each experiment. Shaded periods indicate measurement of a transect. 39 Figure 4. Temporal mean surface salinity (upper subpanel) and streamnormal salinity gradient (lower subpanel) drawn along each transect for all surveys. All dotted lines represent Transect 1, dark lines relate to Transect 2 and gray lines represent Transect 3. 40 Figure 5. Profiles of mean salinity and vertical gradient at each location of the two transects sampled in February 1997. 41 Figure 6. Mean streamwise (contours) and streamnormal (vectors) flows at each section measured in September and November 1996. Looking upstream. Shaded areas indicate upstream flow. 42 Figure 7. Mean streamwise (contours) and streamnormal (vectors) flows at each section measured in February and May 1997. Looking upstream. Shaded areas indicate upstream flow. 43 Figure 8. Mean vectors for each survey, plotted at different depths. The figure suggests anticyclonic circulation off Cape Henry and exchange flows in Chesapeake Channel. 44 Figure 9. a) Resultant and variability of wind velocity during the period of each section measured. Positive arrows indicate northward and eastward winds. b) Maximum net flow for each section. c) Volume flows integrated in Chesapeake Channel. 45 Figure 10. Absolute value of the tidal average ratio between advective and Coriolis accelerations as estimated from observations. Shaded areas denote ratios < 1 (Coriolis > advective). Looking upstream. Transects measured in September and November 1996. 46 Figure 11. Same as Figure 10 but for February and May 1997. 47 Figure 12. Observed along-isobath flows (a through d in cm/s) in Transect 3 compared to model results with observed bathymetry (e through h in cm/s) and flat bottom (i through l, at transect’s mean depth). Model results were obtained by prescribing the following parameters: e) and i) Az = 0.0014 m2/s, R = 7000 m3/s upstream; f) and j) Az = 0.001 m2/s, R = 16000 m3/s downstream; g) and k) Az = 0.0006 m2/s, R = 11000 m3/s downstream; h) and l) Az = 0.0017 m2/s, R = 12000 m3/s upstream. Prescribed transports were within 10% of the net transports calculated from observations for each case. Sea level slopes were N = 110-6 {1+ i exp[-(y/B-1)2]} (see appendix). 48 Figure 13. Surface vectors interpolated onto a uniform grid. Even though this figure does not portray a synoptic picture because of the changing winds from one day to another, all representations depict anticyclonic circulation over the shallow area off Cape Henry. 49