STRATEGY FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE PETROCHEMICALS INDUSTRY IN NIGERIA BY Professor Abiola Kehinde Chemical Engineering Department University of Lagos. INTRODUCTION The petrochemical market is the foundation of many chemicals industry, as it provides the building blocks for most chemical products. For instance, Olefins. (ethylene, propylene, butadiene) and aromatics (benzene, toluene, xylene) are used in end-user markets such as paints, plastics, explosives and fertilizers. In a recent survey and analysis on the importance of refinery capacity to petrochemical markets in Nigeria and South Africa by Frost & Sullivan (www.chemicals.frost.com), strategic analysis of the South African and Nigerian petrochemicals markets, found that the Nigerian petrochemicals markets (excluding export of crude oil) was worth $14.03 billion in 2008 and forecasts it to reach $29.7 billion by 2015. South Africa’s petrochemicals market was worth $18.37 billion in 2008 and Frost & Sullivan forecasts it to increase to $24.5 billion by 2015. The demand for petrochemicals products is highly driven by activities in the enduser segments, which include well developed manufacturing sector, that provides a ready market for end-products of the petrochemicals industry. South Africa’s petrochemicals market is more developed than other sub-saharan markets, with the capacities of the local refineries exceeding domestic demand. South Africa refineries operate at optimum capacity and this enables the country to export to other countries in the region. The South African market is unique because of the production of petrochemicals from coal and gas feedstock using coal-to-liquid (CTL) and gas-to-liquid (GTL) technologies. On the other hand, Nigeria depends on imports of petrochemical products, despite the presence of large crude reserves. This is attributed to the country’s low refinery-capacity utilization (approximately 40% of the full capacity), which results in lower petrochemical yields, creating a need for imports. A restructuring of the operation of Nigerian refineries, with greater private sector participation, is likely to increase the capacity utilization of the refineries. Once this is instituted, the cost structure of the Nigerian petrochemicals market is set to improve crude is the main feedstock for the production of Olefins and aromatics in Nigeria and South Africa. Although Nigeria has an abundance of crude oil deposits, the cost of production of petrochemicals is high. This is due to issues such as disruptions in supply of crude to the refineries due to militants’ activity, general corruption in the country and inefficiency in the way refineries operate. Steps by the Nigerian Government to increase the benefits derived by communities in the oil regions are expected to bring stability and minimize disruptions. The objective of this presentation is as follows: i. Structure of the petrochemical industry. ii. Describe the product profile of the petrochemical industry iii. Describe the requirements of appropriate processing technologies for the petrochemical industry. iv. Suggest appropriate strategy for the development of the petrochemical industry in Nigeria. THE NIGERIAN PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY The Nigerian Petrochemical industry is run by the Federal government of Nigeria through the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC). The NNPC operates four crude oil refineries: Port-Harcourt Refinery I 60,000 bpd Port-Harcourt Refinery II: 150,000 bpd Kaduna refining and Petrochemical Co: 100,000 bpd Warri Refining and Petrochemical Co: 110,000 bpd These refineries are expected to process about 420,000 barrels per day of crude oil, unfortunately the present total refining capacity is about 148,300 bpd (35.3%) of installed capacity. The low refining capacity of the refining and petrochemical plants has affected the production of petrochemical products from the plants. Warri Refining and Petrochemical co (KRPC_ designed to produce Carbon Black. Kaduna Refining and Petrochemical co. (KPRC) was designed to produce Linear Alkyl Benzene (LAB) to be used in the manufacture of detergents. Therefore, the low crude oil refining capacity has affected negatively the production of petrochemical products. The NNPC also have a full fledge Petrochemical Company – Eleme Petrochemical Company Ltd. (EPCL). The EPCL was designed to produce the following petrochemical products: such as polytheylene, polypropylene and polyvinyl chloride in the first phase of the plant. Private initiatives in establishment of petrochemical plants in Nigeria include: i. Chevron Nig. Ltd with a Gas-to-liquid GTL plant in Escravos. ii. Viva Methanol in Lekki (Lagos) Export Free Zone. iii. Axinova Polyolefins. STRUCTURE OF THE PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY The Petrochemical complex involves the manufacture of a combination of the following products: The manufacture of basic raw materials like syn gas, methane, ethylene, propylene, acetylene, butadiene, benzene, toluene, xylenes, etc. Manufacture of intermediate chemicals derived from the above listed basic chemicals by various unit processes like oxidation, hydrogenation chlorination, nitration, alkylation, dehydrogenation along with various unit operations like distillation, absorption, extraction, adsorption etc. Manufacture of target chemicals and polymers that may be used in the manufacture of target products and chemicals to meet consumer needs such as plastics, synthetic fibres, synthetic rubber, detergents, explosives, dyes, intermediate and pesticides. The structure of petrochemical complexes and products derived from various petrochemicals are shown in Figure 1, (1.2). Figure 2 (1.3) illustrates the overall view of a petrochemical complex starting from the production of synthesis gas, olefins, aromatics to the manufacture of intermediates and finished products like plastic, synthetic fibre, synthetic rubber, etc. Figure 3 (1.4) shows the basic building blocks and the petroleum – petrochemical interface. Petroleum and petrochemical industries have close links and have always benefited from their symbiotic relationship, where any variation in the cost of crude oil and petroleum products will have a direct impact on the overall economy of petrochemicals. In the changing scenario, petroleum refining and petrochemical production integration is of vital importance for maximizing the use of byproducts and improving the overall economy of a petroleum refinery. FEEDSTOCK AND PRODUCT PROFILE OF THE PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY One of the major issues responsible for the worldwide growth of petrochemical industry has been the availability of feedstock, which has led to replacement of the natural resources such as coal, molasses, fats, etc. Basic feedstock used in the petrochemicals industry for manufacture of olefins and aromatics are derived either from natural gas or crude oil petroleum fractions. These include natural gas (associated and non-associated), condensate, naphta, kerosene, catalytic cracking and reformer gases, waxes, pyrolysis gasoline. Summary of the feedstock, their source and process technology involved is presented in Table 1 (Table 1.4) and Table 2 (Table 1.13). Petrochemical products derived from natural gas are shown in Figure 4 (Figure 1.15) Nigeria currently has proven Crude oil reserves of 37.2 billion barrels, this is expected to increase to increase to 40.0 billion barrels in 2015. Crude oil production is between 2.1 and 2.5 million barrels per day. Nigeria is the highest crude oil producer in Africa and the 11th highest producer in the world. Nigeria has a proven reserve of 185 trillion cu. Ft of Natural Gas, and currently up to 35% of Associate Natural Gas produced is flared. The flared Natural Gas is a potential feedstock for the petrochemical industry. FEEDSTOCKS AND TECHNOLOGY Several processes, both thermal and catalytic occur in the conversion of feedstocks and intermediate products. These processes are listed in Figure 1 and 4. (Mall 1994). Few years back, naphta was the dominant feedstock for petrochemicals; however, recent trends have been for more utilization of Natural Gas, Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) and Pyrolysis Gasoline. Many Licensor companies offer their technologies for the production of petrochemical products from variety of feedstocks. Some of the licensor companies include: Table 3: Process Technology – Licensors (McGraw-Hill, 1983) Ammonia: M.W. Kellog Co. Aromatics from Hydrocarbon Mixtures: UOP Benzene: Air Products and Chemicals (Houdry Division) Butylenes (Acetylene-Free): Atlantic Richfield Co. (ARCO) and Engelhard Carbon Black: Phillips Petroleum Chlorine/ Sodium Hydroxide: Occidental Chemical Corp. Hooker Industrial & Specialty Chemicals Ethanol: Huels Ethylbeuzene: UOP Process Division Ethylene/ Propylene: C-E Lummus Div. of Combustion Engineering Ethylene Glycols: Shell Development Co. Ethylene Oxide: Shell Development Co. Linear Alkyl Benzene: ARCO Methanol: ICI Nitric Acid: Stamicarbon Nylon 6: Zimmer Cis-Polybutadiene: Phillips Petroleum Co. Polybutene: Cosden Technology Inc. Polyethylene (High Density): Phillips Petroleum Co. Polyethylene Terephthalate: Zimmer Polypropylene: Hercules Polystyrene: Cosden Technology Inc. Polyvinyl Chloride: Mitsui Toatsu Chemicals Inc. Styrene: Monsato and C-E Lummus Styrene-Butadiene Rubber: Phillips Petroleum Co. Urea from Ammonia and Carbon Dioxide: Stamicarbon B.V. Vinyl Chloride: Stauffer Chemicals Xylenes: Atlantic Richfield Co. (ARCO) STRATEGY FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY IN NIGERIA Many factors have been identified as being critical in the establishment and operation of petrochemical industry. The factors include: i. Availability of feedstocks such as crude oil and natural gas. ii. Crude oil refining capacity for the production of petrochemical feedstock and intermediates. iii. Well developed manufacturing sector to serve as market for petrochemical products. iv. Market for manufactured goods from petrochemical products. v. Availability of appropriate processing technology. vi. Financing of capital-intensive projects. A quick SWOT analysis of some petrochemical projects will show that there are good prospects in the establishment of petrochemical projects in Nigeria. SWOT (Strengths, Weakness, Opportunities, Threats) Strengths: Availability of feedstocks such as crude oil and natural gas. Existing Refining capacity. Sizeable market for finished products. Weakness: Rather weak manufacturing sector. Low level of infrastructure (especially in power supply). Low level of available appropriate technology. Opportunities: Diversification of the Nigerian economy. Opportunity to save foreign exchange. Opportunity to acquire modern technology and know-how. Job opportunities as on the average, there are 7 additional jobs outside due to downstream activities. Threats: Financing of capital intensive projects. National security issues. RECOMMENDATIONS The areas of Weakness and Threats should be addressed seriously. 1. The issue of weak manufacturing sector is tied partially to the low level of available infrastructure especially in the transportation of finished products. 2. Low level of appropriate technology calls for a national strategic approach to technology acquisition. 3. Issues concerning national security will discourage foreign investments and joint ventures opportunities. 4. Financing of capital intensive projects could be undertaken by getting members of industry sectorial groups to mobilize funds for projects relating to production of petrochemical products used by the group. For example, members of Agricultural and Agro-processing Group can mobilize funds for the kick off of the establishment of Ammonia plant. This is an idea that the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) can develop for implementation. The same goes for the paints, packaging, pharmaceuticals, textile, minerals etc. Groups companies that are currently involved in the importation of fuel products should be encouraged to mobilize funds for the rehabilitation of the existing refineries. REFERENCES Mall, I.D.(1994) Indian Petrochemicals – An Overview Chemical Engineering World . p101 Mall, I.D.(2007) Petrochemical Process Technology Macmillan India Ltd, Delhi, India. McGraw-Hill Publications Co. (1983) Sources and Production Economics of Chemical Products. 3 Edition. McGraw-Hill Publications, New York, NY.