Why High Technology Firms Choose to Locate in or near Metropolitan Areas Amnon Frenkel1 Accepted for Publication in: Urban Studies, Vol. 38, No. 7 (2001). Abstract Various studies have provided evidence of the advantages of the ability of metropolitan areas to attract hi-tech industries, which employ advanced technology and are strongly involved in the process of innovation. This paper presents the results of an empirical study of the location choice of Israeli hi-tech industries within a metropolitan area, carried out in Northern Israel (which encompasses the Haifa metropolitan area and its surrounding localities), and is based on field-survey data obtained from hi-tech plants. The study investigates the effect of different factors on location choice and also identifies the direct contribution of each factor to the probability of choosing the metropolitan area as a preferred location. The implications of these findings for industrial policy are also discussed. Acknowledgements: I would like to thank Professor Daniel Shefer for his support, contribution and invaluable comments, which helped me to conduct and publish this study. I would also like to thank the Vice President's office at the Technion, Israel, for the financial aid which led the completion of this study. 1 Center for Urban and Regional Studies, Technion -- Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel, 32000, Tel: 972-4-8294017, Fax: 972-4-8294071, E-Mail: amnonf@tx.technion.ac.il 1 1. Introduction Many studies have been done in recent years to identify the reasons why specific geographical locations are chosen by industrial firms. Hi-tech industries make choices, which are considerably different from those made by traditional industries. As a result of initial product development and innovation, they locate close to centres of research and science and to places where they have a good chance of rapid market penetration (Shefer and Bar-El, 1993; Bar-El, 1989). The accepted premise of studies focusing on the course taken on the time-space axis by new firms, is that they usually begin in metropolitan areas, which are the urban incubators for the appearance of innovative firms (Hoover and Vernon, 1959; Jacobs, 1966; Davelaar and Nijkamp, 1988). Empirical studies have usually confirmed the competitive edge enjoyed by firms located in large metropolitan areas (Martin et. al., 1979; Thwaites, 1982; Camagni, 1984; Northcott et. al., 1984; Felderman, 1985; Fischer, 1989; Shefer and Frenkel, 1998). These regions possess the most advantageous conditions for technological change, where the headquarters of hi-tech firms, as well as their R&D functions, information centres and so on are located. Peripheral regions, on the other hand, are characterised by relatively low innovation potential (Malecki, 1981; Sweeney, 1987; Fisher, 1989). Nevertheless, spatial analysis of metropolitan areas has shown that urban centres are not the only places for the growth of economic activities (Scott, 1982; Stroper, 1986; Davelaar, 1991). The working hypothesis of this study is that the location decision of a firm is motivated by the maximization of profit. Therefore the optimal location will be determined by the firm's technological capability (treated as an autonomous factor), its attributes and the production milieu. The technological capability of a firm is related to the type of products, its production technology and the need to develop new products and penetrate new markets (Markusen, 1986; Florida and Kenney, 1990). The firm's attributes are represented by its size, age and organization structure. On the other hand the production milieu refers to providing a physical infrastructure, business services, government incentives, quality of life, proximity to a large pool of skilled labour and so on. (Schmenner, 1987; Calzonetti and Walker, 1991; Gottlieb, 1994). The purpose of this study is to develop a locational choice model to test the hypotheses emerging from the literature. The hypotheses tested in this study refer to the three arenas mentioned above. Questions concerning the role of government and local policy inducing the location of hi-tech plants to the region and its impact on the 2 regional economy are discussed and the specific effect of the production milieu on the development of innovation activities in the region was tested. The empirical analysis was performed using data collected in the Northern region of Israel, which includes the Haifa metropolitan area and the less developed Galilee, on the outskirts of the metropolitan area. This region underwent dramatic, spatial changes during the early 1990s (see section 4), and it was therefore interesting to test the impact of these changes on the location choice preferences of hi-tech firms located there. The results of this analysis could help design policies for spatial regional development. The study's analysis consists of two stages: a comparison between locational variables of hi-tech plants in the metropolitan area and plants located outside the metropolitan area, followed by the application of the locational choice model for hi-tech plants (Logit Model). The remainder of the paper is organised as follows: section two presents the literature review from which the principal hypotheses for this study were formulated. The methodological structure of the choice locational model of hi-tech firms is presented in the third section. The fourth section describes the regions selected for the study. The fifth section focuses on the framework and defines the variables tested by the model, and the sixth presents the empirical results. Finally, section seven summarises the main points of the discussion and presents conclusions that emerge from the analysis. 2. Metropolitan Choice Effects The basic assumption is that hi-tech firms' choice of metropolitan location is influenced by the characteristics of the region’s production milieu as manifested in various location factors, the firm's technological ability and its attributes related to the life-cycle phase. These three arenas are presented in the literature perspectives in this section. The main hypotheses tested in the study relate to the Northern region of Israel are thus illustrative. 2.1 Production milieu The production milieu refers mostly to the agglomeration economies of the region and the basic infrastructure that the region offers to induce industrial activity. This includes the financial and infrastructure factors vital to information transmission and related to regional economic agglomerations (Camagni, 1985). Spatial concentration of firms and institutions also has a positive influence on firms’ innovative capacity. The agglomeration of firms provides a pool of technical knowledge and specialization, which will later develop new technologies. Concentrations of business 3 services create the marketing and commercial knowledge necessary for introducing innovation into the market. Their existence reduces the risk level and the cost related to the innovation process by providing important information on regulation, standardisation, marketing, product testing and financial knowledge. Metropolitan areas are, therefore, the preferred locations for the development of technical innovation (Feldman, 1994). The structure and size of the labour supply in the region may also have a positive influence on hi-tech firms' location decision. Skilled labour is of great importance, especially for the development of technical innovations. It is attracted to localities with a high quality of life, manifested in cultural and educational activities which are more prevalent in the large metropolitan areas (Malecki, 1979a, 1979b; Thwaites, 1982; Bushwell, 1983; Anderson and Johansson, 1984; Oakey, 1984; Johansson and Nijkamp, 1987). The Haifa metropolitan area still benefits to large extent from agglomeration advantages compared to the intermediate zone of the central Galilee and the peripheral zone in the Eastern Galilee (Frenkel, 2000). Evidence gleaned from many studies indicates that the regional infrastructure is of great importance for hi-tech firms (Gibbs and Thwaites, 1985; Camagni and Rabellotti, 1986; Button, 1988). The Haifa metropolitan area offers a well-developed, physical infrastructure and therefore it is expected that hi-tech firms will be attracted to locate there. However, the availability of land in the Haifa metropolitan area is quite limited due to the absence of land reserves. High rates of local taxation in the region could also influence the firms' decision to shift their activities to the outskirts. Yet there is no clear evidence of the extent to which this situation could influence the location decision of the hi-tech firms in the Northern region, and the purpose of this study is to shed some light on it. Systems for telecommunication infrastructure and information transmission are among the most important elements supporting the development and marketing of innovation, a result supported by both theoretical and empirical studies (Brown, 1981; Shefer and Frenkel, 1986; Freeman, 1987, 1991). It allows firms easier access to information sources and contact with markets, and has a strong positive influence on their economic effectiveness and profitability. The importance of advanced means of telecommunication is manifested in the possibilities for the flow of information to firms. The fact that high-quality telecommunication infrastructure is found most frequently in metropolitan areas, contributes to the attractiveness of these regions for hi-tech firms. At the same time, advances in telecommunication might allow a firm to consider the possibility of locating outside the metropolitan area, effectively 4 substituting for the advantages of locating within a metropolis (Razin, 1988; Shefer and Frenkel, 1986). The availability of information sources is an incentive that encourages firms to develop and to adopt innovation. A concentration of knowledge provides the required critical mass for innovation and is more frequently found in central regions, giving them a relative advantage over other regions (Pred, 1977; Feldman, 1994). The spatial concentration of institutions of higher education, technological research facilities and centres of knowledge in metropolitan areas increases information accessibility (Malecki, 1979a, 1980; Nijkamp, 1988). A secondary influence of these institutions is that, as time passes, some of the research staff will leave to establish new firms (Oakey, 1984; Rothwell and Zegveld, 1985; Vider and Shefer, 1993), a considerable number of which will tend to locate near their former institutions due to the continuing relations between them (Aydalot, 1984; Roberts, 1991). Local entrepreneurs tend to establish their businesses close to places where they live for reasons of convenience. These considerations will therefore generally characterise small firms of local entrepreneurs, but their importance will decrease greatly as the firms expand and have other locational considerations. The region's prestige is also very important to hi-tech firms that prefer to locate in areas radiating an aura of success. The Haifa metropolitan area offers a high standard of residential areas and urban services that contribute to the creation of a convenient, environmental milieu and to the increased prestige image of the region, compared to the areas on the outskirts of the metropolitan area. Government incentives play a significant role in assisting regional policy aimed at reinforcing the attractiveness of the region to hi-tech firms (Felsenstein, 1996; Roper and Frenkel, 1999). The Israeli government offers capital incentives and substantial support is available for R&D activities especially in the hi-tech sector. The incentives are also provided on a regional basis designed to attract firms to lagging regions. Accordingly, incentives furnished by the government to firms to attract them to peripheral regions have a natural, negative influence on any preference for a metropolitan area. In the Northern region of Israel, the Central and Eastern Galilee sub-regions enjoy preferred status according to the incentives policy, while the Haifa metropolitan area does not benefit from this status. Firms that decide to locate in the favoured regions deserve to benefit from generous capital and fiscal incentives expressed as capital grants, reduced taxes and greater government inducements in support of R&D activities. 5 2.2 Firm's technological ability R&D activities are considered a most influential factor on the capability to develop and adopt innovation. Therefore a firm's R&D investments express, to a great extent, its technological ability. (Roseberg, 1985; Nelson, 1986; Dosi, 1988; Roper, 1996; Frenkel, 1999). Various studies have indicated that investments in R&D tend to concentrate more in central and urban regions (Malecki, 1979a). Empirical studies have usually confirmed the competitive edge enjoyed by firms located in the large metropolitan areas which afford preferable conditions for technological change (Thwaites, 1982; Alderman, 1985; Fischer, 1989). Here are located the headquarters of hi-tech firms, as well as their R&D functions, information centres and so on. In contrast, peripheral zones are generally characterized by low innovation potential. 2.3 Firm's attributes The firm's attributes relate to the product life-cycle phase and include variables such as size, age and the organizational structure of the firm. The connection between technological change and economic efficiency is implicit in the relationship between products' life-cycle and technology. Flynn (1994) views the life-cycle model as an effective tool for examining the role of a country's economic development policy. The early stage of innovation-related, technological development usually requires such highly skilled labour as scientists and engineers. Location incentives have different influences on various modes of production activities. In the early stages of a product's life-cycle, inter-firm competition focuses mainly on aspects of innovation and product variety, while the competition between firms producing standard products is, to a greater degree, related to production costs. Incentives such as wage subsidies and reduced taxation might have greater value for firms during the later stages of the lifecycle than at an early stage. Consequently, young firms are more dependent on the existence of markets and labour pools, and therefore the probability that they will locate in metropolitan areas is greater, since these regions act as incubators for new hitech firms (Davelaar and Nijkamp, 1989). The size of the firms is indicative of the scale effect, and its impact on their innovativeness and innovation potential. The increased probability that large firms will innovate may be due to the fact that they are more likely to procure sources of capital for financing R&D expenditure and their greater ability to take risks than small firms. There is a negative relationship between the firm's size and its preference for a metropolitan location. Large firms, at a more advanced life-cycle stage, tend, at that point, to locate in areas outside the metropolitan area (Frenkel et. al., 1998). 6 Another characteristic is the firms' organizational structure, which was found to affect their propensity to innovate. Studies confirm that multi-plant companies, more common in the hi-tech sector, are more involved in developing innovation than a single-plant (Geroski and Machin, 1992; Roper and Love, 1996; Frenkel et. al., 1998). 2.4 The study hypotheses From the discussion presented above we formulated the following hypotheses: 1. Hi-tech firms prefer to locate in the metropolitan area rather than on the outskirts of the core region due (a) to its agglomeration of economies, and (b) to the quality of life (environment) in the region considered by the management (convenience). 2. The location choice of hi-tech firms is highly influenced by (a) the availability of a well-developed, physical infrastructure and basic physical conditions; (b) the supply of telecommunication systems, and (c) the prestige of the region. 3. Hi-tech firms gravitate towards education and research institutions located in the metropolitan area. 4. Hi-tech firms, with large investments in R&D and exhibiting a high degree of innovation, tend to locate in the core region. 5. Government incentive programmes affect the location decision of hi-tech firms. 6. The types of hi-tech firms that prefer to locate in the core region are (a) young hitech firms; (b) small hi-tech firms and (c) multi-plant firms. 3. Location Choice Model The model chosen to examine the research hypothesis was based on the utility approach, which assumes the existence of a utility function underlying a firm's choice of location, as expressed in the following equation: (1) U ij F(L j , A i , Ti ) According to the model, the utility Uij achieved by firm i as a result of its location in region j is influenced by the characteristics of the production milieu Lj, by the attributes of the firm Ai, and by its technological capability Ti. The model assumes, therefore, that the firm will choose the location in which it expects to achieve the greatest utility. Despite the fact that these characteristics are not measured in monetary terms, they nevertheless influence the firm's location decision. In the long run, locating in a convenient, supportive, milieu contributes to labour productivity, thereby increasing the firm's profitability (Felsenstein, 1996). Factors relating to quality of 7 life, proximity to information sources and the availability of labour pools, all of which create other external influences, can be quantified by means of the firm's priorities (Henley et al., 1989). Following this approach, a firm's choice of location will be influenced by three sets of variables: 1) characteristics of the production milieu, represented by the agglomeration advantages, as reflected by the proximity to suppliers and consumers, business services and so on, availability of government incentives, the existence of a highly skilled labour pool, physical infrastructures, advanced means of telecommunication, and the image and prestige of the region as reflected by quality of life; 2) the attributes of the firm relating to the life-cycle; 3) the firm's technological capability, as expressed by its innovation level, and the investment of capital and labour in R&D activities. We assume that a relation exists between the characteristics of the firm and those of the production milieu in which it operates. Firms belonging to different industrial sectors and technologies will, however, allocate different importance to the attributes of the same production milieu. The financial incentives offered to a peripheral region are likely to be a dominant consideration in a young firm’s location choice, while older and more well-established firms will view the availability of cheap labour in the region as the dominant consideration. In the study, a Logit model was conducted as a binary choice model. The model is based on the assumption that plant i is faced with a choice of two locational alternatives, and that the choice made depends on the characteristics of the production milieu, on the attributes of the plant and its technological capability (Pindyck and Rubinfeld, 1981; Ben-Akiva and Lerman, 1985). In this model, the locational alternatives are marked j (j=1,2), when j=1 indicates the choice of a metropolitan location and j=2 indicates a non-metropolitan location. A binary choice model requires the choice of a specific locational option, and when the choice has been made the other alternatives are relegated to zero level (Haynes and Fortheringham, 1991). The estimated probability of location choice j by hi-tech firm i in this model is expressed by the following equation: (2) When: Pij = F(Zij ) 1Ljix 2A iy 3Tiz i 8 Pij Is the probability that firm i will choose region j as a preferred location in which it will achieve maximum utility. L jix Attribute x of region j chosen by firm i as a preferred location (e.g., the existence of a pool of highly skilled labour in region j required by firm i). A iy Attribute y of firm i (e.g., firm size, firm age, etc.). Tiz Attribute z of firm i's technological capability (e.g., the firm's innovation level, number of employees engaged in R&D, investment in R&D activities and so on). We assumed that the firm's attributes do not change in relation to its location, i.e., the firm's size, age or even its technological ability do not change due to the decision to locate in a metropolitan or non-metropolitan area. However, variance may be expected in the attributes of firms located in different regions as a result of the direct influence of those attributes on the decision itself. In the model chosen for this study, the probability of a firm choosing to locate in a metropolitan area was assessed when the firm's attributes were given, as opposed to attributes of the production milieu which vary among alternate locations, according to the specific conditions characterising each region. The mathematical development of equation 1 in the logistic model is as follows: (3) j j P =F(Z )1/[1+ i i -Zi ]1/[1+ -( 1Ljix 2A iy 3Tiz i) ] For assessing the firm's location probability in a metropolitan area, the maximum likelihood method was used. The hypotheses were tested using a binary model (see above), examining the direct influences of the explanatory variables on the dependent variable. 4. The Study Area The early 1990s brought a dramatic change in the economy of Israel. The government headed by Rabin and the Oslo peace agreement altered the attitude of Western countries towards Israel. One of the spin-off effects of the Middle East peace process was a rapid increase in the flow of foreign direct investment (FDI) into Israel, particularly to the hi-tech sector. During that period Israel enjoyed a very high rate of economic growth (5-6% per annum), benefiting substantially at the same time from the inflow of highly skilled immigrants from the former Soviet Union. Many of them found jobs in the hi-tech sector and in the newly established technological incubators. 9 During the early 1990s' the Northern region of Israel underwent dramatic spatial and demographic changes. The cities located on the outskirts of the Haifa metropolitan area (Karmiel and Upper Nazareth) doubled in size, many industrial plants expanded and new ones were established. This phenomenon was linked to the availability of land for the expansion of firms, the development of physical infrastructures and communications systems, and the relative proximity of these areas to a large pool of highly skilled labour residing on the outskirts of the metropolitan area. A new outline and development plan was prepared for the Northern region in the early 1990s (Shefer et al., 1993). The strategic development concept suggested by the plan is to stop the urban sprawl of the Haifa metropolitan area by concentrating the main development effort in the Central Galilee, i.e. the cities of Karmiel, Upper Nazareth and Migdal Haemeq (see map 1). Map 1 (about here) In 1996, some 1.5m. people, comprising about 26% of the population of Israel, resided in that region, which includes the Haifa metropolitan area (the largest urban centre in the North), the intermediate zone (comprising the areas that surround the core, within an acceptable commuting distance) and the peripheral zones (comprising the less developed regions in the North). These peripheral zones are removed from the influence of the metropolitan area and are not within an acceptable commuting distance (for more details see Frenkel, 2000). 5. Framework of the study The locational choice model developed in this study was implemented using empirical data gathered from industrial plants located in the Northern region of Israel. The methodology of the study included three testing phases: In the first stage, the importance conferred by the plant on location factors was examined, including those having a direct influence on location considerations, such as the availability of a labour force, accessibility to transportation, proximity to concentrations of other firms and so on. In addition, indirect location factors which, it was hypothesized, might influence a plant's considerations, were examined, such as proximity to research institutions and universities, quality of life, government incentives and proximity to services. (The full list is presented in Table 1). In the second stage, the overall influence of the explanatory variables on hi-tech plants' decision to locate in a metropolitan area was examined. The explanatory 10 variables represented the three groups of attributes for which hypotheses were made regarding their possible influence on the plants' location decisions. These included the plant's attributes, parameters of its technological capability and the characters of the production milieu in which it was located (see details in section 2 above). In the final stage the direct influence of the various location factors on the probability of a plant's choosing to locate in a metropolitan area was calculated. The coefficients obtained in the Logit model in the previous phase were used to calculate the direct influence of location factors on the choice. Since these factors were defined as categorical, the possible influence of a change in the variable's category on the probability of choosing to locate in a metropolitan area was computed (using the coefficients obtained in the previous phase). Direct influences are measured in terms of calculated probabilities (p’s) using the following equation (Peterson, 1985): 4) P = exp(L1)/[1+exp(L1)] - exp(L0)/[1+ exp(L0)] When: L0 = the probability value received in the Logit model before altering one unit in the independent variable xj. L1 = the probability value received in the Logit model after altering one unit in the independent variable xj (e.g., L0+j). The empirical analysis is based on data collected during a field survey of industrial plants located in the Northern region of Israel. A research questionnaire was designed for the field survey by means of which information was collected on the plant's spatial behavior, its location considerations and the innovation level characterising its activity. At the same time, information was collected on the plant attributes indicating its branch affiliation, ownership, size, investments in R&D and so on. Interviews were held with high level executives in each of the 211 industrial plants included in the sample, belonging to fast-growing, hi-tech industrial branches such as electronics, precision instruments, optics and electro-optics, and to more traditional branches such as metal and plastics products. (For details of the survey see: Frenkel, 2000). Since the present study focuses on the influence of various factors on hi-tech plants' location decisions, the data used in the analysis was derived from the entire sample including only the hi-tech sector located in the tested region. This group of plants was found to differ significantly from the rest of the sample. The statistically significant variance was presented in parameters that most studies recommend using to identify the hi-tech sectors, such as the level of highly skilled labour employed by the plant, 11 and the quantity of R&D activities1. 86 of the 211 plants in the sample belong to the hi-tech sector and comprise 72% of all hi-tech industrial plants located in the study area, which was randomly selected for examination. However, for the particular research analysis in the current study it was necessary to exclude kibbutz-owned hitech plants, due to the fact that their location decision is not flexible but rather a direct result of the kibbutz' geographical location. The final hi-tech sector that was used in the analysis thus encompasses 76 industrial plants. The explanatory variables used in the empirical analysis include indices representing the three groups of factors, which were hypothesized as influencing the probability of hi-tech plants' choosing a metropolitan area in which to locate (the dependent variable in the model): a) Production milieu variables - this group comprises a series of location factors, included in the list, presented to those interviewed in the survey, for which they were requested to determine the degree of importance of each factor in the plant's location decision. (The list of 14 factors is presented in Table 1.) In the first stage of the analysis the order of considerations was analyzed according to the answers received in the survey. In the second and third stages of the analysis, in which the data were processed using the Logit model, the factors included were those whose influence was rated by the plants as having primary importance on location considerations. b) Plant's attribute variables - this group includes three variables representing the structural characteristics of the plants: Organizational structure - the plants in the sample were divided into two principal groups: a multi-plant group and a single-plant group. Plant age - measured by the age of the plants as a continuous variable, i.e. the number of years since its establishment, or as a categorical one, by dividing the firms into three groups according to their year of establishment. Plant size - measured by the number of workers, to which end the sample was divided into two groups: small plants up to 30 employees, and large plants employing more than 30 employees. 1 T-Test was done to examine the differentiation between the two groups of plants. The explanatory variables used in the analysis included: % of highly skilled labor, average number of R&D employees, % of R&D employees, annual expenditure on R&D, and the % of R&D expenditure from total expenditure. The results of all the parameters used in the test were found to be statistically significant at a level of ( 12 c) Plant's technological capability - two variables were used in this group: R&D investment - the plant’s investment of human capital in R&D as measured by the percentage of employees engaged in R&D activities. Plant's innovation level - the level of innovation produced by the plant expresses its technological ability. This variable is measured by means of a categorical parameter dividing the plants into three groups: (1) plants in which there is radical innovation; (2) plants whose innovation is evidenced in developing new products or by the significant improvement of existing products (developing their next generation); (3) plants whose entire innovation is manifested by their adopting new products developed by others. 6. Research Results 6.1 Location factors During the field survey, plant directors were requested to state the importance they would allocate to various location factors that influenced the plant's locational decision. Those interviewed were presented with a list of 14 location factors which were ranked on a 1-4 scale representing their importance at the time of the location choice: (1) no importance; (2) marginal importance; (3) important and (4) very important. For each factor the sum awarded by those interviewed and the mean score were calculated. The higher a factor's score the greater its influence on the final score. In addition, a chi-square test was conducted to examine the inter-regional differences in the importance allocated by the plants to each of the 14 locational factors. The results are presented in Table 1 below. Before examining the results of the ranking analysis, it is worth making a cautionary point about drawing plant conclusions on location behavior from these results. This is related to the credibility and consistency of survey-type responses in studies dealing with industrial location, a common dilemma in social science research. The problem stems from the ex-post rationalisation of the decision makers, respondent bias, faulty perceptions and problems concerned with collecting accurate and representative responses (Calzonetti and Walker, 1991). The level of credibility of the survey increases as the criteria examined are more objectively observable and measurable (Barkley and McNamara, 1994). Table 1 (about here) The three principle location factors in the entrepreneurs' order of priorities (presented in Table 1) indicate the importance they grant to (1) physical infrastructure as a means 13 of development ability; (2) the possibility of benefiting from government incentives programmes; (3) the existence of highly skilled labour pool in the region. The most important factor, related to the availability of physical infrastructure in the region, confirms our hypothesis 2(a) (see section 2.4). This result is valid for both groups of plants located in the metropolitan area and on the outskirts, therefore the inter-regional differences are not statistically significant. The second most important factor is government incentive programmes. The findings from inter-regional analysis show that statistically significant differences exist between the two groups of plants. This result confirms our hypothesis 5 (see section 2.4), based on the spatial orientation of the incentive policy. Indeed, most (83%) of the plants located outside the metropolitan area ranked this factor as important or very important, compared to only 22% of plants located within the metropolitan area. The third most important factor is the availability of highly skilled labour in the region, expressed as its agglomeration of economies, confirming hypothesis 1(a) (see section 2.4). This result is not surprising, although its level of importance is lower than usual in other countries (Felsenstein, 1996). The great importance that hi-tech plants allot to this location factor stems from their technological ability and their need to employ many highly skilled workers. The substantial weight allocated by plant managers to the convenience of their plant's location was, as expected, directly related to firm size. 58% of small firms ranked the convenience factor as important or very important, compared to only 29% of the large firms. The inter-regional differences related to convenience considerations were found to be statistically not significant and are contrary to expectation (see hypothesis 1 (b) in section 2.4). Two additional factors, which received a relatively high importance ranking, were the location's prestige, and the existence of transportation and a high level of telecommunication in the region, and confirm the study's hypotheses 2(b) and (c) (see section 2.4). The significance allocated to the high level of accessibility and the existence of telecommunication systems in the region is of great importance, especially in Israel with her relative geographical distance from the Western world's centres of technology. In addition, the local market's size forces these plants to rely, to a significant degree, on developing foreign markets and creating dependence on advanced communications systems which reduce the disadvantages of their geographical location. The inter-regional analysis shows statistically significant differences between the two groups of plants for both factors. 14 Finally, it is worth noting those factors which were ranked as having less importance, to a relatively surprising degree, than is usually assigned to them in other countries. One of these is the proximity to academic and research institutions, generally considered a very important location factor by hi-tech plants. It contributes to their R&D activity, especially for those firms in the first stage of the life-cycle. In Israel its importance is significantly less than what considerable was postulated in hypothesis 3 (section 2.4; see also Felsenstein, 1994, 1996). This result contradicts our expectations particularly in view of the academic and research institutions located in the Haifa metropolitan area (the Technion - Israel Institute for Technology and the Haifa University). Two other factors, proximity to services and to markets, are surprising in the low level of importance granted them by the plants in the sample. These results partly contradict our hypothesis 1(a) regarding the ability of the metropolitan area to attract hi-tech firms due to the existence of agglomeration economies, expressed by the concentration of suppliers and consumers. This finding may be related to the country's physical size (which is not perceived as a limitation), which generates significant remoteness from markets and service providers. At the same time the local market is too small to support hi-tech plants and most of them rely on foreign markets. 6.2 The Logit model The results of the Logit model tests, presented in Table 2, were obtained by using six separate models (variations of variables), each of which included a different location factor. The six factors included in the models were those which were ranked as most important by the plants in the sample (see Table 1). Separate models were used, as it was not possible to include all the location factor variables in one equation because of their multi-collinearity. Results obtained from running the models (see Table 2) indicate the contribution of the variables tested to the probability of plants' choosing a metropolitan area as a preferred location. The t-values in the table indicate the level of statistical significance of each of the coefficients, as well as the direction and scope of the variables' effect. The overall strength of the model is also presented in the table, as the final likelihood obtained, and the model's overall level of explanation (p2) provided by the independent variables included in the model. Table 2 (about here) The results indicate that the plant's technological ability is a decisive factor in its choice to locate in the core area, confirming the study's hypothesis 4 (see section 2.4). 15 The two indices used in measuring the plant’s technological ability were found to have significant statistical influence on the choice of location. All the models used show identical results regarding the influence of the plant's size on the probability of its choosing a metropolitan area location. The probability of small plants (employing less than 30 workers) doing so is greater than that of large plants. This result, which is statistically significant for all the models, confirms the study's hypothesis 6(b) (see section 2.4), and was anticipated because of land limitations and the high level of rates and rents in metropolitan areas. Plants' growth and expansion force them to relocate outside the metropolitan area where land is more available and less expensive. However, the statistically significant result regarding the influence of plant age on location was unexpected according to the literature, and contradicts hypothesis 6(a) by indicating that there is a higher proportion of veteran plants in the metropolitan area. This finding can be explained by the organizational structure of hi-tech plants which, at the mature stage, tend to establish subsidiary plants, engaging mainly in mass production. These subsidiary plants are moved out of the metropolitan area while their mother plants remain in the core area and concentrate on research and developing innovations. Thus small and well-established plants which focus on R&D are situated, to a greater extent, in the metropolitan area, while larger, younger plants that engage mainly in mass production, are more commonly found outside the metropolitan area. An examination of the sample data in this context shows that 58% of the multi-plants are located outside the metropolitan area, of which 83% are young plants established after 1980. On the other hand, 69% of the multi-plants located within the metropolitan area are older plants, established before 1980. In all the models tested, however, no statistically significant impact of the plants' organizational structure on their choice of location was found, results that contradict our hypothesis 6(c) (see section 2.4). Testing the location factors included in the third series of variables, as defined in the choice model, shows that the estimated effects were mostly in accord with the study's hypotheses. Four of the six factors included in the models were found to have statistically significant influence on the probability of choosing a metropolitan location. The influence of the existence of a good physical infrastructure, a factor which was ranked first in importance in the location choice for plants (see Table 1), was not statistically significant. This result might be explained, at least partially, by the fact that the factor's importance is considered to be substantial both by plants located in metropolitan areas and those which choose to locate outside the region. That is, it cannot be determined on the basis of this result that the Haifa metropolitan 16 area has a leading edge in the field of physical infrastructure over the outskirts and vice versa. The same results were found for the convenience factor. Salient location factors influencing the preferred location in the metropolitan area include the agglomeration of economies in the region, expressed in the large pool of highly skilled labour and well-developed transportation and telecommunication infrastructures. These results confirm our hypotheses 1(a) and 2(b) (see section 2.4). Another factor related to the metropolitan area's positive image and prestige. Its contribution to the probability of locating in the metropolitan area is statistically significant, confirming our hypothesis 2(c) (see section 2.4). Since the incentives provided by the government aim to attract firms to the peripheral regions, their influence lessens the probability of choosing the metropolitan area as a preferred location. These results were found to be statistically significant and confirmed our hypothesis 5 (see section 2.4). 6.3 Direct effect of the location factor Calculation of the direct influence of locational factors on the probability of choosing a metropolitan area was performed for the four variables whose influence on the choice of location had statistical significance. They were granting government incentives, the existence of a regional pool of highly skilled labour, the region's prestige and the existence of a high-level telecommunication infrastructure. The results of the calculations are presented in Table 3. Average values of the plant sampling were introduced for different variables as a starting point for computing the change in the probability of locating in a metropolitan area, resulting from a change in one unit of these explanatory variables. Accordingly, Table 3 also presents the probabilities of an average hi-tech plant's choosing a metropolitan area in which to locate. Table 3 (about here) The results indicate that the probability of such a choice by an average plant is lower than the probability of its choosing to locate outside the metropolitan area. These results would seem to reflect a trend among hi-tech plants to shift to the outskirts of the Haifa metropolitan area, a trend, which has been growing stronger in recent years1. However, as mentioned above, the plants referred to are, for the most part, large manufacturing plants, while their relatively small development units, remain in the metropolitan area. The probability of small hi-tech plants (employing less than 30 workers) choosing to locate in the metropolitan area is thus higher, ranging from 0.661 Such findings did not emerge from Felsenstein study (1996). 17 0.77, compared to the lower probabilities with the range of 0.24-0.30, which characterise large hi-tech plants (employing 30 workers or more)1. A metropolitan area's advantages would therefore seem particularly appropriate for small plants which do not need large land reserves in which to expand, and which enjoy the agglomerate advantages that exist in that region. The change in the probability of choosing to locate in a metropolitan area is determined by the change in the importance the plant confers on each of the four location factors (Table 3). The results indicate that the influence of government incentives on plants at the different sites is decisive. The probability of choosing a metropolitan area drops to 0.20 for plants which ranked a high degree of importance to this factor. It can therefore be expected that 80% of those plants will choose to locate outside the metropolitan area in places where they will be able to enjoy government incentives. On the other hand, among plants which cited this factor as unimportant, the probability of choosing a metropolitan area rises to 0.76. It should be noted that the incentives granted in regions outside the metropolitan area are related mostly to erecting buildings and purchasing equipment. These incentives are usually less relevant for plants whose main activity is R&D, and they tend, as previously mentioned, to locate in the metropolitan area. The three other location factors examined, namely the availability of skilled labour, the region's prestige and the presence of a developed infrastructure of advanced telecommunication, all have a positive influence on the choice of locating in a metropolitan area. The most prominent of these factors is the influence of the availability of knowledge and advanced means of telecommunication. The region's prestige has a similar effect on the choice of location, thus a metropolitan area, which enjoys a relatively prestigious image, is likely to attract those plants for which it is an important factor. The influence of a large pool of highly skilled labour is more moderate. Its impact is found to be decisive only among plants ranking this factor a high degree of importance in choosing to locate in the metropolitan area. This finding is surprising considering the importance of this factor in the general ranking (see Table 1 above). The explanation is, apparently, that most hi-tech plants located outside the metropolitan area, choose to locate on its outskirts, i.e., within a reasonable commuting distance. They are therefore also likely to profit, in no small measure, from the labour pool found in the metropolitan area. 7. Conclusions 1 The ranges represent the results received in four models in which the location factors were tested alternately as presented in Table 3. 18 This study focuses on the choice of a metropolitan area as the location preferred by hitech plants in Israel. An attempt was made to examine the influence of various locational factors on plants' spatial behavior, the interaction and tradeoff that exist between them, the plants' internal attributes and the characteristics of the production milieu at alternative sites. The general conclusion drawn from the results of the empirical analysis regards the influence of a plant's technological ability on the probable choice of a metropolitan area. The plant's life-cycle attributes, and in particular the scale effect, also influence the choice. The results thus indicate that metropolitan areas hold strong attractions for small plants with high technological ability. These stem from their relative advantages with respect to the presence of well-developed, telecommunication infrastructures and means of knowledge transmission, their prestigious image and the availability of scientific and academic labour. On the other hand, government incentives have a negative impact on the choice of the metropolitan area by these hi-tech plants. The results relating to the various variable groups reinforce the assumption that a plant chooses a location (metropolitan or otherwise) that maximizes the utility attained from the combination of the plant attributes and the characteristics of the production milieu. Among the location factors tested in the study, the importance of the possibility of physical development and of the existence of an appropriate physical infrastructure is prominent, more so among multi-plants than among single plants. This reflects the greater physical needs of production plants (subsidiaries). A very influential locational factor is that of government aid incentives in directing plants that were ranked second in importance. This finding emphasises the great significance of government policy in persuading hi-tech plants to locate in less central regions, which it could help to develop by creating opportunities for attractive jobs for young and skilled populations. An important conclusion drawn from the study shows that hi-tech plants in Israel do not consider proximity to academic and research institutes to be important in their choice of location. This finding contradicts those reported in the international literature (Rogers, 1985; Saxenian, 1985; Smilor et. al., 1988; Roberts, 1991; Massey et. al., 1992). It does, however, coincide with Felsenstein's findings (1994, 1996), whose studies were conducted on firms located in the Tel Aviv metropolitan area and indicate a relatively low level of interaction between hi-tech plants and academic institutions in Israel. This contradicts the accepted situation in the USA, where there is a prominent, direct connection and the universities support seedback for young and innovative hi-tech plants. 19 It is worth examining why the connection between industry and the universities and academic research institutes is so tenuous and considered unimportant. This is of added interest, especially in view of Israel's excellent technological and scientific ability, manifested by its scientific output, which, when measured in relative terms, is higher than that of the Western world (Maital et. al., 1994). An encouraging public policy might increase the academic contribution to the development of advanced industry in Israel, beyond its important contribution as manifested in training and generating a skilled technological labour pool, which provides the principal basis on which this industry grew. The results reported in this study indicate the relative unimportance of locational factors, such as proximity to market and service centres or to a concentration of similar plants, in choosing a location. In contrast to the findings of other studies done world-wide (Camagni, 1985, Malecki, 1991), the relatively short distances between the metropolitan area and the peripheral zone in the Northern region of Israel may be contributory factors. Moreover, Israeli hi-tech plants are based principally on the development of overseas markets, mainly because of the limited size of the local market, and therefore these factors are less important than they are in larger countries. On the other hand, locational factors related to the agglomeration of telecommunication networks for transmitting information, and to skilled labour pools, were found to have a significant, positive influence on the location choices of these plants. The connection to external markets stresses the importance of telecommunication systems for transmitting knowledge. These systems are prevalent in metropolitan areas, and are thus linked to the need for finding abundant highly skilled labour, which is also one of the salient advantages of the metropolitan area. 20 Bibliography Alderman, N. 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Knowledge Centers and the location of High-Tech Institutions: The Case of Rehovot-Nes Ziona Region in Israel, The Neaman Institute, Technion, Haifa, Israel. 25 26 Table 2: Location factors: ranking according to the mean scores of the level of importance Location factor Mean Score S.D Rank % of firms indicating the location factor as important or very important Total plants Plants in core region Plants on outskirts Statistical examination Level of significance Availability of physical infrastructure Government incentives Proximity to highly skilled labour pool Convenience Prestige of the region High level of transportation and telecommunication Proximity to similar plants Proximity of cheap and non-skilled labour 2.78 2.66 2.38 2.36 2.03 2.00 1.15 1.40 1.23 1.30 1.06 1.09 1 2 3 4 5 6 65.7 55.3 47.8 44.7 35.9 37.3 58.1 22.6 58.1 54.8 54.8 51.6 72.2 83.3 38.9 36.1 19.4 25.0 1.481 24.860 2.455 2.363 9.077 5.044 0.224 0.000 0.117 0.124 0.030 0.025 1.82 1.82 1.07 1.14 7 29.0 12.9 22.2 38.9 0.408 5.725 0.523 0.017 Support of the local authority Connection to academic and research institutions Proximity to ex-location Proximity to services Proximity to markets Proximity to investors 1.79 1.67 1.09 1.05 9 10 25.4 26.9 23.9 22.4 12.9 32.3 33.3 13.9 3.825 3.235 0.051 0.072 1.66 1.64 1.31 1.25 0.99 0.88 0.63 0.64 11 12 13 14 25.4 17.9 9.0 4.5 35.5 22.6 9.7 16.7 13.9 8.3 2.8 3.115 0.856 0.037 0.526 0.078 0.355 0.848 0.465 n=67 6.5 27 Table 2: LOGIT model results for the metropolitan locational choice model analysis (t-value in brackets) Independent variables Constant Model a Model b Model c Model d Model e Model f -4.856 (-2.73)* -4.225 (-1.86)* 1.476 (0.85) -6.076 (-2.98)* -4.410 (-2.85)* -3.288 (-1.60) 0.509E-01 (3.05)* _______ _______ 0.511 (2.97)* _______ 0.548E-01 (2.96)* _______ 1.470 (2.39)* _______ _______ _______ _______ Plant characteristics: Small firm (less than 30 workers) 1.723 (2.11)* 1.806 (1.97)* 2.366 (3.24)* 1.729 (2.10)* 2.336 (2.94)* 1.546 (1.84)** Age of firm (years) 0.289 (3.40)* 0.183 (2.67)* _______ 0.255 (3.09)* 0.152 (3.04)* _______ Period of establishment ________ ________ -1.270 (-3.04)* ________ _______ -2.288 (-3.41)* Type of plant (multiplants) -0.934E-01 (-0.12) 0.110 (0.13) 0.139 (0.21) -0.616E-01 -(0.08) 0.261 (0.38) -0.161 (-0.21) -0.886E-01 (-0.29) ________ ________ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ 0.388 (1.62)** _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ Technological level: R&D employment R&D workers) (% Product innovation level (1=adopt.; 2=developed; 3=radical innovation) Locational factors: Physical infrastructure++ Government incentives++ Proximity to highly skilled labour pool ________ -0.840 -(2.98)* ________ Convenience++ ________ ________ ________ 0.315 (1.10) Prestige of the region++ ________ ________ ________ ________ 0.5421 (1.82)** High level of telecommunication++ N Initial likelihood Final likelihood ________ ________ ________ ________ ________ p2 p2 * ** + ++ 0.622 (1.87)** 66 -45.75 -27.79 66 -45.75 -23.35 66 -46.44 -34.10 66 -45.75 -27.22 66 -45.75 -32.74 67 -46.25 -26.59 0.39 0.39 0.49 0.49 0.27 0.26 0.41 0.40 0.28 0.28 0.43 0.43 Significant at p<0.05 Significant at p<0.10 Categorical variables (1=before 1970; 2=1970-79; 3=1980-89; 4=1990+) Dummy variable. Categorical variables (1=no importance, 2=little importance, 3=important, 4=very important). 28 Table 3: Changes in the probability values according to the level of importance of the locational factors Locational factors Average plant Level of importance No Marginal importance importance Important Highly important Government incentives 0.435 0.755 0.571 0.365 0.199 Proximity to pool of highly skilled labour 0.398 0.280 0.364 0.457 0.554 Status prestige of the region 0.464 0.329 0.457 0.591 0.713 High level of telecommunication 0.451 0.306 0.451 0.605 0.740