Electronic Book Project “Freedom of the press is limited to those who own one." H. L. Mencken, pre-Internet Mike Wooldridge mikew@sims.berkeley.edu IS 207, Spring 2005 2 Table of Contents Executive Summary …….………………………………………………………... 3 Problem Statement ……..…….………………………………………….……….. 4 Background …..…….……………………………………………………………. 5 Mission, Goals, and Objectives ………………………………………………….. 6 Description of Existing System ………………………………………………….. 7 Requirements …………………………………………………………………….. 9 Evaluation of Alternatives ……………………………………………..……….. 10 Economic Feasibility Analysis ………………………………………………..... 11 Recommendations……….………………………………………………………. 13 Implementation …...…….………………………………………………………. 14 Plan for Evaluation ..…….……………………………………………………… 15 Appendix A: Content Creation Flowchart ……………………………………… 16 Appendix B: Table of Contents ………………………………………………… 17 Appendix C: Sample Task ……………………………………………………… 18 3 Executive Summary The Electronic Book Project aims to publish a downloadable computer book at Amazon.com during the spring semester of 2005. Titled Google for Grandparents, the book will target senior citizens who have minimal Internet experience. The project has a good chance of meeting its objectives if it can: Take advantage of the time and cost savings that come with publishing in an electronic format Deliver a product that addresses the needs of its novice audience If successful, the project can lay the groundwork for publishing additional electronic titles. 4 Problem Statement Paper-based computer books tend to suffer from problems that their electronic counterparts do not. Paper-Based Computer Books Electronic Computer Books Printing costs require significant up-front capital. Cannot be updated efficiently. This is especially a problem for books about Web sites, which are updated often. Require a trip to a bookstore or a wait for shipping. Multimedia content can be expensive to include. CD-ROMs pose compatibility issues. Because of printing costs, often must meet certain size thresholds to be marketable. Can be created cheaply on a low-end PC using consumer-level software. Can be updated easily, often at little cost. Can be downloaded immediately, offering immediate gratification. Multimedia content (or direct links to such content) can be integrated into the book itself. Lower publishing costs mean publishers can market titles that are smaller and target specific niches. 5 Background Business Model The project’s business model takes advantage of two important e-commerce concepts: disintermediation and virtual products. By self-publishing an electronic book and selling it on Amazon.com, an author can practice disintermediation. S/he can remove the publisher, printer, and distributor—and their associated costs—from the business equation. By creating a digital version of a traditionally physical product, an author can reap the benefits that come with costless duplication, a lack of physical inventory, and inexpensive worldwide distribution. Value Proposition By cutting out the traditional middlemen in publishing, the author: realizes a greater profit on each book sold. (At Amazon.com, self-publishers can receive 45% of the selling price. The standard royalty rates for authors are 1015%.) has more control over editorial decisions and intellectual property. can cultivate a closer relationship with readers. By purchasing an electronic version of a book, the reader: gets immediate gratification via instant download. receives a book that can be stored centrally and accessed wherever there is an Internet connection. usually spends less money than s/he would have spent for the paper-based equivalent. 6 Mission, Goals, and Objectives Mission: To provide non-technical computer users—in particular senior citizens—with an inexpensive, accessible source of information about how to use the Internet search engine Google. Goals: To sell the book through Amazon.com. To offer the book at a competitive price. To write the book in an accessible style that is appropriate for its audience. To cover the basics of using Google in 25 self-contained tasks. To complete the book using a minimum amount of human capital. To develop a publishing process that can be applied to future book projects. Objectives: To list the book for sale on Amazon.com by May 20, 2005, when the spring semester ends. To earn enough money in Amazon.com sales by December 31, 2005, to have paid for all non-labor expenses. 7 Description of Existing System Amazon.com is a leader in the sale of electronic books, offering more than one million downloadable titles in its “E-books and Docs” section. Titles include electronic-only editions, electronic versions of paper-based books, reprints of articles from magazines and newspapers, and research reports from industry analysts. While some of the electronic books at Amazon.com are from large, well-known publishers, many are from individuals and small businesses who may lack the resources to publish in the paperbased format. In some ways, the “E-books and Docs” section represents a democratization of the book-publishing genre. As of May 12, 2005, searching the electronic section at Amazon.com for “Google” returned 77 results. Only 11 of these results are electronic books, with most of the others being reprints of Google-related news articles. None of the electronic books target a novice audience interested in learning how to use Google. (Most of them target Web designers who want their pages to rank higher in Google.) Prices for the electronic books range from $4.99 to $26.39. Mission, Goals, and Objectives for Amazon.com Mission: To provide Web users with a central, easy-to-use portal for browsing and buying books and other consumer products online. Goals: To offer the widest selection of books and other products for sale on the Web. To offer innovative ways to aid buyers in making purchases, including: o recommendation systems that tell customers what products were bought by customers with similar tastes o preview systems that enable customers to search through book content online before buying o review systems that allow customers to post reviews of products and read reviews of others To offer an innovative Web-based purchase path that enables customers to buy products quickly and easily by offering: o ways for customers to save their personal information such that they only need to enter it once, during their first purchase o “one-click” ordering, which allows registered customers who are logged in to purchase items by clicking a button once 8 To offer customers a comprehensive interface for managing their completed orders. Objectives: To meet sales objectives demanded by their shareholders as well as business analysts on a quarterly basis. To meet such overall sales objectives, Amazon.com needs to meet: o objectives related to Web traffic—the number of site visits over a given period (for example, 10 million customer visits per month) o objectives related to customer conversion, which is the rate at which a site visitor ends up making a purchase (for example, 10% of customer visits result in a purchase) o dollar-value-per-order objectives, which is the measure of how much a customer spends on average when he or she completes an order (for example, each purchase results in an average sale of $25) 9 Requirements To be successful, the Electronic Book Project must meet the requirements of the retailer, reader, and author: Requirements for the retailer (Amazon.com): The book must be in a format suitable for digital distribution. Amazon.com requires either PDF or Adobe e-Book format. The book needs to have an ISBN number, which is the worldwide standard by which booksellers track inventory and sales. Amazon.com requires an ISBN for every book it sells. The author needs to complete an application to sell the book on Amazon.com. S/he must also meet the standards required by Amazon.com of sellers. Requirements for the reader: The book needs to be set in type that is easy to read (12 point or greater). The book needs to be written in easy-to-understand language with minimal jargon. Tasks in the book need to be accompanied by screen shots that show the reader exactly what steps to take to accomplish the tasks. The book needs to be published in a format that is printable on standard 8.5”x11” printer paper. Requirements for the author: The book needs to be of limited scope, since it must be written while the author is attending school, working part-time, and raising a family. The steps in the publishing process need to be such that they can be applied to other projects in the future, since a long-term goal for the project is to develop a process that can be replicated for other electronic books. 10 Evaluation of Alternatives Alternatives to selling an electronic book on Amazon.com (“Amazon.com/Electronic”) include selling an electronic book on a personal Web site (“Web Site/Electronic”) or printing a paper-based book and selling it on Amazon.com (“Amazon.com/PaperBased”). Web Site/Electronic Pros: Author would make more profit per sale by not paying commission to Amazon.com. Author would have more options in terms of format (HTML, .doc, etc.). Author could make additional money by selling advertisements on the site. Cons: Book would have more competition. To attract customers, would need to distinguish site from the billions of other Web pages online. Author wouldn’t have Amazon.com marketing power to drive sales. Author would incur costs creating and maintaining the Web site. Amazon.com/Paper-Based Pros: Paper-based format is more familiar to consumers. People might be more willing to buy. Author could sell titles in bricks-and-mortar bookstores in addition to Amazon.com. Cons: Paper-based books are more expensive to publish. Author would have physical inventory to deal with. Author would have shipping to Amazon.com to deal with. 11 12 Economic Feasibility Analysis To determine the economic feasibility of the Electronic Book Project, I compared its budget with the budgets of the two other publishing options. All figures are for 1 year. * Author already pays for these outside of the project Amazon.com/ Electronic Web Site/ Electronic Amazon.com/ Paper-Based ISBN: $244.95 $244.95 $244.95 Word Processing Software:* $200.00 $200.00 $200.00 Image Editing Software: * $100.00 $100.00 $100.00 PDF Creation Software: * $150.00 $150.00 $150.00 Office Supplies: $150.00 $150.00 $150.00 Web Site Hosting: N/A $120.00 N/A Printing (Setup): N/A N/A $900.00 Printing (Books): N/A N/A $5,516.35 Postage: $0.00 $0.00 $120.00 Amazon.com Fees: $29.95 N/A $29.95 Business Mailbox: * $255.00 $255.00 $255.00 Internet Connectivity: * $600.00 $600.00 $600.00 $1,729.90 $1,819.95 $8,266.25 Selling Price: $4.99 $4.99 $9.99 Amazon.com Commission: 55% N/A 55% E-Commerce Fees Per Book: N/A $0.43 N/A Net Proceeds Per Book: $2.25 $4.49 $4.50 770 405 1,839 100% 53% 239% TOTAL COSTS: SALES TO BREAK EVEN: Comparison: 13 Amazon.com/Electronic vs. Web Site/Electronic Selling electronic books on a personal Web site would generate greater profits per book for the author since Amazon.com would not receive a commission. Additional costs would be incurred for e-commerce support (PayPal rates are used for estimation purposes), but those costs would be only 10%. The project would also need to absorb monthly Web hosting fees, which drives up total costs slightly. Overall, greater profits but only slightly higher costs means the project would only need to sell 405 books to break even, about half the number it would need to sell through Amazon.com (770 books). Amazon.com/Electronic vs. Amazon.com/Paper-Based Selling paper-based books at Amazon.com would mean much higher costs—more than quadruple the costs for publishing an electronic book. These higher costs are attributable mostly to printing. There would also be some extra shipping costs, since the author would need to ship books periodically to Amazon.com. To offset the increased costs, the project would need to sell the book at a higher price. Otherwise, the printing costs per book would outweigh the net proceeds. For estimation purposes, I’ve assumed paper-based books would sell for twice the price of the electronic version ($9.99 instead of $4.99). At twice the price, more than twice as many books would still need to be sold to recoup costs within a year (1,839 books vs. 770 books). Conclusion Although the Web Site/Electronic option offers a better profit margin and a lower breakeven threshold, the dollar figures don’t take into account the substantial time required to maintain an e-commerce Web site. Nor do they take into account the marketing costs necessary to promote the Web site. The high costs associated with printing make the Amazon.com/Paper-Based option unattractive. Having to maintain an inventory of physical books and periodically ship them to Amazon.com are also negative factors. Raising the cover price to $19.99 could help recoup costs faster, but that would also mean more price competition. All things considered, the Amazon.com/Electronic option represents the most economically feasible option of the three options analyzed. 14 Recommendations Considering the benefits that electronic books offer over paper-based books and the advantages that the Amazon.com/Electronic strategy has over other business options, I recommend that the Electronic Book Project be pursued. The following are additional recommendations: Learn from the experience. The electronic book market is still in its infancy. This project should be viewed primarily as an experiment to help guide future endeavors and secondarily as an opportunity to make money. Lessons learned about the business should be taken into account when evaluating the project’s “success.” Keep costs low. A key benefit offered by electronic book publishing is that it cuts out costs associated with traditional book publishing. These include printing costs, distributor costs, and shipping costs. During the publishing process, avoid adding to the project’s scope in ways that significantly increase costs. Set a low price. Given the low costs of electronic publishing, you can afford to sell your book for a low price. Don’t allow price to drive away customers. Act quickly. The faster the book can be made available on Amazon.com, the sooner it can offer clues about how to improve your next book project. A short time-to-market also means the content will stay current for a longer period. Retain control of the intellectual property. Retaining full ownership of the content and marketing rights for this book means that you can repurpose it for future titles. 15 Implementation Implementation will involve an administrative phase, which includes ordering the ISBN and signing up as a seller at Amazon.com, and a book-creation phase, which includes writing and editing the book. Tasks in the administrative phase should be initiated as soon as possible, since they involve less work on the part of the author and also aren’t fully under his/her control. Writing and editing of the book should proceed as described in the content development flowchart (Appendix A). To save time, tasks such as writing instructional steps and capturing screen shots can be performed in parallel. Time permitting, members of the target audience (senior citizens) should review the book before it is uploaded to Amazon.com. The author could also distribute free copies of the book to relevant online and offline publications for review. These might include the magazine and Web site of AARP and other publications aimed at senior citizens. As this is the first electronic book published by the author, he should make use of the resources for electronic-book publishers available on the Web, including: Planet eBook: http://www.planetebook.com KnowBetter.com: http://www.knowbetter.com eBooks Central at Adobe: http://www.adobe.com/epaper/ebooks/main.html 16 Plan for Evaluation Monitoring Sales The obvious way to measure the success of the project is by numbers of books sold at Amazon.com. Sellers can track product sales through their account on the Amazon.com Web site. To judge performance relative to competitors, you can compare the Amazon.com Sales Rank number, which is displayed on each product page. The topselling electronic book about Google currently has a ranking of 96,280. If sales are unimpressive, the author can consider lowering the price of the book. (However, at a selling price of $4.99, it’s already near the low end of the price range for books at Amazon.com. Amazon.com’s minimum price is $2.99.) To increase marketing attention on the product page, publishers can submit Editorial Reviews, which appear above the Customer Reviews. They can also submit “Look Inside the Book” sample content, which potential buyers can view prior to buying. Learning From Customer Reviews You can get a subjective measure of the book’s success by checking the customer reviews at the bottom of the Amazon.com product page. Customers can submit comments about a book and include a star rating from 1 to 5. The average star rating for all reviews is displayed above a book’s Sales Rank. Customer reviews offer a valuable way to obtain honest feedback from readers about your book. Improving the Publishing Process You will also want to evaluate the publishing process. Are there areas in the publishing pipeline that can be made more efficient? You can assess the role that labor played in creating the book. Future projects might be improved by subcontracting tasks that were especially time consuming or difficult. You can also look at the role played by software. For instance, using higher-end word processing or layout software could improve the aesthetics and readability of the book. Creating screen shots could be streamlined with better screen-capture tools. 17 Appendix A: Content Creation Flowchart 18 Appendix B: Table of Contents Google for Grandparents covers the following tasks: Search for Keywords Search for a Person Restrict a Search Include Synonyms in a Search Search for Keyword Alternatives Limit a Search by File Format Limit a Search by Web Site Limit a Search by Country Search in a Language Translate Text Translate a Web Page Use Google as a Calculator Calculate Measurements With Google Search Within a Number Range Search for a Definition Filter Adult Content Search for Shipping Information Search for Weather Search for Stock Quotes Search for Movie Show Times Map a Location Get Driving Directions Search Current News Search for Local Results Search for Images Set Google Preferences Set Your Homepage to Google 19 Appendix C: Example Task Search for a Definition Google stores word definitions from a variety of online sources in its database. You can search specifically for a definition by typing define: before a keyword. 1 Type the text define: in the search box (be sure to include a “:”). 2 Type the word for which you want a definition. Example: define:technology 3 Click Google Search. Google displays definitions for the word. You can click a green hyperlink for more information about a definition.