Bennett et al., Abundance, rarity and invasion debt among exotic species in a patchy ecosystem Electronic Supplementary Material 1. Study patches, sampling protocol and patch sizes Fig. ES1: Map showing location of study patches with respect to Vancouver Island, BC (inset, top), and detail of the northern (inset, A) and southern (B) study patch locations. Patch sizes are given in Table S1 below. 1 Quadrat Sampling Protocol Quadrats for intra-patch surveys were established using a stratified-random sampling protocol, in which the number of quadrats was scaled by area. Patches were divided a priori into grids based on UTM coordinates in site maps. Patches <1 ha were divided into 25-m grids; patches 1-5 ha were divided into 50-m grids; and patches >5 ha were divided into 100-m grids. In the field, sample points were navigated to using a handheld GPS. As soon as the UTM coordinates for an exact grid intersection point were displayed on the GPS (e.g. UTM northing ending in “00”, easting ending in “00”), a plot was established. Spatial error on the initial GPS readings (±~10m) and navigation to the first GPS reading showing specific grid points introduced randomness, while ensuring adequate spatial coverage. Quadrats were placed on as many grid intersections as possible within sites. Locations that had >50% cover rock, had slope >45 degrees, or were obscured by shrub cover >1.5 m high were rejected. Table ES1: Patch numbers and sizes. Italicized sites were included in the subset of 22 isolated/least disturbed small-island patches. Site Site Number Area (ha) Number Area (ha) 1 0.32 35 0.77 2 6.52 36 1.22 3 1.84 37 1.07 4 5.03 38 0.62 5 0.39 39 0.64 6 0.3 40 0.63 7 5.89 41 1.1 8 1.17 42 0.57 9 3.48 43 0.34 10 1.2 44 0.26 11 1.35 45 0.34 12 1.27 46 0.59 13 3.19 47 1.96 14 5.88 48 1.62 15 2.03 49 1.26 16 1.31 50 0.56 17 1.15 51 0.68 18 1.48 52 3.37 19 16.38 53 3.83 20 0.18 54 0.17 21 0.6 55 4.02 22 2.77 56 1.93 23 8.72 57 0.42 24 17.68 58 0.59 2 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 8.82 1.22 1.73 1.11 4.43 4.48 2.15 1.55 0.49 0.72 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 0.84 3.72 2.84 3.81 3.83 1.07 3.01 11.54 3.66 3 Bennett et al., Abundance, rarity and invasion debt among exotic species in a patchy ecosystem Electronic Supplementary Material 2. Phylogenetic Analyses Creation of Phylogenetic Tree We created a phylogenetic tree of our species using the Angiosperm Phylogeny Group III (2009) phylogeny. Where there was no sub-family phylogenetic information, species within genera were assumed to be more closely related than genera within families. Internal nodes were dated using fossil evidence where available (Wikstrom et al. 2001), and the branch lengths for the tree were scaled to the dated nodes and made ultrametric via Bladj software (Webb 2000). Phylogenetic distances among species were subsequently used to test intra- versus inter-group distances and to test for a phylogenetic signal in abundance differences. Tests for Phylogenetic Relatedness Within and Among Groups We tested for significant differences in intra- versus inter-group phylogenetic distances using permutation tests (permuting group identities 10 000 times) of mean within-group distances versus means of all other distances. Apart from native long dispersers, selected groups exhibited lower intra-group than inter-group phylogenetic distances (Table S3). As reported in the main article, we also tested for a phylogenetic signal in abundance differences at both scales, using Mantel tests. 4 Table ES2: Permutation test results for intra- versus inter-group phylogenetic distances Group Intra-Group vs. Inter-Group Difference (%) Z P Exotic Long Dispersers -3.1 -7.82 <0.0001 Exotic Short Dispersers -5.9 -8.55 <0.0001 Native Long Dispersers 0.2 0.53 0.60 Native Short Dispersers -1.0 -3.01 0.0032 References Angiosperm Phylogeny Group III phylogeny (2009) An update of the Angiosperm Phylogeny Group classification for the orders and families of flowering plants: APG III. Bot J Linn Soc 161:105–21 Wikstrom, N, Savolainen V, Chase, MW (2001) Evolution of the angiosperms: calibrating the family tree. Proc R Soc Lond Ser B 268:2211–2220 Webb, CO (2000) Exploring the phylogenetic structure of ecological communities: an example for rain forest trees. Am Nat 156:145-155 5 Bennett et al., Abundance, rarity and invasion debt among exotic species in a patchy ecosystem Electronic Supplementary Material 3. Tests for all variables from most parsimonious models Table ES3: Significant and non-significant coefficients from the most parsimonious models for numbers of occurrences and forms of rarity/commonness. P<0.1 are italicized; P<0.05 are bolded and italicized. Response Variable Predictor Variables Final Model Coefficient Coefficient Value Standard Error T P EL ES NL NS EL ES NL NS EL ES NL NS EL ES NL NS 0.364 -0.756 -0.010 0.081 0.626 -1.109 -0.202 0.271 0.510 -1.626 -0.047 0.434 -1.008 0.334 0.385 0.211 0.169 0.192 0.143 0.254 0.368 0.418 0.312 0.553 0.397 0.472 0.362 0.649 0.365 0.411 0.302 0.518 2.161 3.948 0.070 0.321 1.698 2.654 0.649 0.490 1.283 3.443 0.129 0.669 2.765 0.812 1.276 0.407 0.0342 0.0003 0.9443 0.7491 0.0940 0.0114 0.5176 0.6256 0.2037 0.0014 0.8979 0.5053 0.0073 0.4216 0.2047 0.6853 Number of Occurrences in Patches O, D, Gf O×D Number of Occurrences in Quadrats O, D, Gf O×D Commonness on Both Interand Intra-Patch Scales O, D, Gf O×D Rarity on Both Inter- and Intra-Patch Scales O, D, Gf O×D D, Gf, Ta D + Ta Ta -0.453 0.103 4.399 <0.0001 D, Gf, Ta D + Ta Ta -1.479 0.280 5.275 <0.0001 D, Gf, Ta D + Ta Ta -0.210 0.095 2.218 0.0292 EL ES NL NS EL ES NL NS 0.326 -1.500 0.207 0.217 0.385 -2.003 0.223 0.398 0.225 0.259 0.194 0.346 0.425 0.484 0.362 0.644 1.448 5.798 1.066 0.629 0.906 4.135 0.616 0.618 0.1522 <0.0001 0.2888 0.5312 0.3682 0.0002 0.5391 0.5383 6 Number of Occurrences in Full Surveys (Exotic spp. only; including estim. time since arrival) Number of Occurrences in Quadrats (Exotic spp. only; including estim. time since arrival) Minimum Convex Polygon Size (Exotic spp. only; including estim. time since arrival) Number of Occurrences on Patches (22 Small-Island Patches Only) O, D, Gf O×D Number of Occurrences in Quadrats (22 Small-Island Patches Only O, D, Gf O×D Notes: -Predictor variables: O = origin (native or exotic); D = dispersal ability (short or long); Gf = growth form (forb, grass, shrub, tree); Ta = estimated time since arrival -Predictor variable categories: E = exotic; N = Native; S = short dispersers; L = long dispersers (i.e., EL = coefficient for exotic long dispersers in O×D interaction term) 7 Bennett et al., Abundance, rarity and invasion debt among exotic species in a patchy ecosystem Electronic Supplementary Material 4. Patch-level analysis using mean proportion of quadrats occupied per patch. Table ES4: Significant and non-significant coefficients from the most parsimonious models for numbers of occurrences and forms of rarity/commonness. P<0.1 are italicized; P<0.05 are bolded and italicized. Response Variable Predictor Variables Final Model Coefficient EL ES NL Commonness O, D, Gf O × D + Gf NS F G S T Coefficient Value 0.015 -0.023 -0.009 0.010 -0.005 0.047 -0.012 -0.020 Standard Error 0.012 0.014 0.010 0.018 0.003 0.013 0.014 0.020 T P 1.212 1.690 0.907 0.582 1.628 3.721 0.860 0.979 0.229 0.099 0.367 0.562 0.105 0.001 0.396 0.344 8 Bennett et al., Abundance, rarity and invasion debt among exotic species in a patchy ecosystem Electronic Supplementary Material 5. Alternate forms of rarity/commonness Conservative estimate (fewer common, more rare): Common (patch-level) = 20 or more patches Rare (patch-level) = 4 or fewer patches Common (quadrat-level) = greater than one occurrence in quadrats from at least one patch Rare (quadrat-level) = never found in more than one quadrat per patch Liberal estimate (more common, fewer rare): Common (patch-level) = 10 or more patches Rare (patch-level) = 1 or 0 patches Common (quadrat-level) = greater than one occurrence in quadrats from at least one patch Rare (quadrat-level) = never found in more than one quadrat per patch Table ES5a: Coefficients from most parsimonious models for rarity/commonness (conservative estimate) Response Variable Predictor Variables Final Model Commonness O, D, Gf O × D + Gf Rarity O, D, Gf O×D Coefficient EL ES NL NS F G S T EL ES NL NS Coefficient Value Standard Error 0.389 -1.330 -0.066 0.413 -0.198 0.760 0.563 -0.375 -0.803 0.448 0.334 0.045 0.414 0.490 0.374 0.669 0.095 0.324 0.374 0.642 0.311 0.352 0.260 0.456 T 0.940 2.714 0.177 0.617 2.080 2.343 1.504 0.584 2.580 1.274 1.281 0.098 P 0.3507 0.0098 0.8601 0.5393 0.0388 0.0244 0.1432 0.5686 0.0120 0.2099 0.2032 0.9221 9 Table ES5b: Most parsimonious models for rarity/commonness (liberal estimate) Response Variable Predictor Variables Final Model Commonness O, D, Gf O × D + Gf Rarity O, D, Gf O Coefficient EL ES NL NS F G S T E N Coefficient Value Standard Error 0.433 -1.342 -0.163 0.499 -0.180 0.757 0.567 -0.605 -0.536 0.322 0.380 0.446 0.339 0.605 0.093 0.321 0.365 0.638 0.207 0.124 T 1.141 3.009 0.481 0.825 1.943 2.355 1.554 0.948 2.587 2.587 P 0.2576 0.0045 0.6316 0.4115 0.0534 0.0238 0.1307 0.3590 0.0110 0.0105 Notes: -Predictor variables: O = origin (native or exotic); D = dispersal ability (short or long); Gf = growth form (forb, graminoid, shrub, tree) -Predictor variable categories: E = exotic; N = native; S = short dispersers; L = long dispersers; F = forb; G = graminoid; S = shrub; T = tree 10 Bennett et al., Abundance, rarity and invasion debt among exotic species in a patchy ecosystem Electronic Supplementary Material 6. Patterns on small-island patches. Fig. ES1. Frequencies of long- and short-dispersing exotic and native species in the subset of 22 small-island patches. a) number of patches per species in full patch surveys; b) number of quadrats per species in quadrat-level surveys. Error bars indicate ±1 standard error. 11