SOURCE RECONSTRUCTION FOR A COASTAL EVOLUTION EQUATION D E Reeve School of Civil Engineering, University of Nottingham, NG7 2RD, UK. Tel: +44 (0)115 951 4648; Fax: +44 (0)115 951 3898; Email: dominic.reeve@nottingham.ac.uk M Spivack DAMTP, University of Cambridge, Silver Street, Cambridge, CB3 9EW, UK. Tel: +44 (0)1223 337861; Fax: +44 (0) 1223 337918; Email: ms100@damtp.cam.ac.uk Abstract The numerical prediction of seabed evolution over periods of time useful for strategic management is in its infancy. This is due both to a scarcity of appropriate data and a gap in our understanding of the physical processes important in governing the long-term variations in coastal evolution. Recently developed inverse methods offer an opportunity of improving our understanding of the patterns of long-term sediment movement and their variation over time. Introduction In many coastal regions the seabed is composed of sediments that become mobile under the action of moderate waves and tidal currents. Changes in large-scale morphology of the seabed may have a profound effect on sea defences, navigation and shoreline management. Developing a means of forecasting the future evolution of the morphology of the seabed is thus of significant practical importance. The prediction of seabed evolution over periods of time useful for strategic management is in its infancy. This is due both to a scarcity of appropriate data and a gap in our understanding of the physical processes important in governing the long term (ie decadal) variations in coastal evolution. Recently developed inverse methods offer an opportunity of improving our understanding of the patterns of long term sediment movement and their variation over time. An inverse method for analysing longshore coastal changes, Reeve & Spivack (1994), has been used for analysing longshore coastal changes as part of several strategic Shoreline Management Plans in the United Kingdom. The inversion technique described in this paper is 3-d (2 space and 1 time dimension), and can be applied to features such as sandbanks, spits and bars. The new inversion technique has been applied to an area covering the offshore sandbanks at Gt Yarmouth on the East Coast of the UK. The fluctuations in the patterns of inferred sediment supply and removal over the period of 150 years provide a picture of the changes in the long-term sediment transport regime. Theoretical Considerations Diffusion equations have been used in the coastal engineering literature to describe, individually, long-shore and cross-shore sediment movement, Stive et al. (1991), Larsen et al. (1997). The diffusion equation governing the long-shore transport of sand on a beach was derived by Pelnard-Considere (1953) on the basis of theoretical considerations and physical model experiments. This model is also termed a 'one-line' model as it predicts the position of a single depth contour. Niedoroda et al. (1995) have proposed a diffusion equation with a source term to describe changes in cross-shore beach profiles. The obvious extension to two dimensions is again to use a diffusion-type equation to describe long-term changes in the level of the seabed surface, Spivack & Reeve (1999). This form of equation can also be derived from the dynamical equations governing fluid flow, with appropriate assumptions, and may be justified as being physically reasonable, in that wave and tidal action is effective at smoothing or eroding high relief features. However, there are some features such as sandbanks that are also maintained by a combination of waves and tides. The inclusion of a general source/sink term provides a mechanism to maintain seabed gradients without describing specific processes in the equation explicitly. Here we take the equation governing changes in the level of the seabed surface, h(x,y,t), to be: h h h F ( x, y , t ) K y ( y) K x ( x) t x x y y (1) where x , y and t are cross-shore direction, longshore direction and time respectively. Kx(x) and Ky(y) have the role of diffusion coefficients for the cross-shore and longshore directions respectively, and F is a source/sink function. By writing the diffusion coefficients as the sum of a constant reference value and a spatially varying component, Equation 1 may be recast in the form: h 2h 2h Kx K G( x, y, t ) y t x 2 y 2 (2) where Kx and Ky are the reference values of the diffusion coefficients in the cross-shore and longshore directions respectively. The additional terms involving the spatially varying components of the diffusion coefficients have been incorporated into the modified source term G(x,y,t) Numerical Solution It may be shown, Spivack & Reeve (1999), that if the time variation in G is neglected the solution of Equation 2 over any time step can be written formally as h(t ) [(exp( D ) 1) D 1G exp( D )]( h(t )) (3) whereD denotes the horizontal Laplacian, (D2). By expanding the second term in a Taylor series Equation 3 can be simplified to h(t ) [ exp(D / 2)G exp(D)]( h( )) (4) The terms involving D are pure diffusion-type terms and can be expressed using two-dimensional Fourier transforms. Specifically, we have exp(D / 2)h( x, y, t ) F 1 exp( (k 2 l 2 ) / 2 F (h( x, y, t )) (5) where F is the two-dimensional Fourier transform with respect to x and y, k and l are the corresponding transform variables and F-1 is the inverse transform. A similar expression holds for the second term. The inverse problem consists of determining G(x,y) from Equation 4. The inverse of the expression acting on G in Equation 4 is given by exp(-D/2). Multiplying Equation 5 through by this term and collecting up the exponential terms on the right hand side of he equation gives: 1 G ( x, y ) [exp( D / 2)h(t ) exp(D / 2)h(t )] (6) Given the bathymetry at two different times, t and t+, we can evaluate the terms on the right hand side of Equation 6 via discrete Fourier transform to yield the source term. The inversion requires values of the diffusion coefficients to be prescribed. Here, values of 103 m2/year were used which is at the bottom of the range of values typically used in oneline models of sandy beaches. Note that it is not possible to resolve the details of G more finely than the points at which H is known. Computational Results The inversion technique has been applied to an area covering the offshore sandbanks at Great Yarmouth on the East Coast of the UK. The area considered is approximately 12km wide and 35km long. Historical data were abstracted from sixteen bathymetric charts for dates between 1846 and 1992, for an area that extends from Winterton in the north to Benacre in the south, see Figure 1. Key features of the sand bank system are: Holm Sand, almost 3km due east of Lowestoft; Corton Sand, ~5km due east of Gorleston-on-Sea; Middle and North Scroby Sands lying ~2km offshore and running almost parallel to the mainland between Gt Yarmouth and Newport; South, Middle and North Cross Sands running almost parallel to the Scroby Sands but approximately another 3km further offshore; Caister Shoal which runs parallel to the mainland between California and Winterton, approximately 1km offshore. Holm Channel; Barley Pickle (a deep channel); Caister Road (also a channel). The dates of the charts used were 1846, 1864, 1875, 1886, 1896, 1905, 1916, 1922, 1934, 1946, 1954, 1962, 1974, 1982, 1987 and 1992. Maps earlier than this are available. However, maps and charts earlier than 1800 are not usually reliable, in that they are rarely based on an adequate ground-triangulation control, and often were simply sketch surveys, Carr (1962). The earlier charts in particular may contain data from several surveys over a period of months or more. The data were digitised and then reduced to a common projection and datum (OSGB38 Ordnance Survey National Grid). The reduced data were then used to create a TIN (Triangular Irregular Network) model for each survey date. The TIN models were then used to interpolate to a set of digital terrain models, (DTMs), covering the area of the sandbanks at a resolution of 100m. The data on which the charts were drawn had a mean density of ~30 points per km2, corresponding to a mean resolution of approximately 180m. Contour maps showing the digital seabed models for 1982 and 1992 are shown in Figures 2 and 3 respectively. Some of the major changes in the sandbanks between 1982 and 1992 are: the growth of Holm Sand, Corton Sand and the southeastern section of Middle Scroby; the extension of the channel between Middle Scroby and Corton Sand further south and east. Figure 4 shows the results of the inversion process for the 1982 and 1992 maps. Positive/negative values correspond to a supply/removal of sediment through dynamical processes other than those described by diffusion over the period 1982-1992. Comment on features on result…. Include more solutions? Conclusions Inverse techniques can provide a useful adjunct to more traditional prediction models and may lead to improved forecasting methods through the improved understanding of the underlying physical processes that they can bring. We have derived and implemented a method for reconstructing a source term in a simplified governing equation for seabed evolution where time variation is slow. Data measurements are required on a regular grid of points at intervals over time. Although these data requirements are fairly demanding, such measurements are available in some regions of interest to coastal engineers and managers. The results shown here demonstrate the feasibility of the approach. Acknowledgements The authors would like to acknowledge the useful discussions with Dr Li Bin of Halcrow Group Ltd. This work was partially funded by the UK Government's Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food under Contract No. FD1008, and was commenced while the first author, (DER), was a member of staff with Halcrow Group Ltd. References Carr, A.P., 1962. Cartographic record and historical accuracy, Geography, 47 (2), p135144. Clayton, K.M., McCave, I.N. & Vincent, C.E., 1983. The establishment of a sand budget for the East Anglian coast and its implications for coast stability, Shoreline Protection Conference, Thomas Telford, p91-96. Halcrow, 1991. 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Residual currents in relation to shoreline evolution of the East Anglian coast, Marine Geology, 4, p57-84. Spivack, M. & Reeve, D.E., 1999. Source reconstruction in a coastal evolution equation, Submitted to J.Phys.Comp. KEY WORDS Coast Evolution Equation Inverse Reconstruction Source Morphology Long-term Management Sandbank Numerical