EXAM 1 – FORM A STAT211 FALL03 Efficient design of certain types of municipal waste incinerators requires the information about energy content of the waste available. There is a paper published accompanying the data on Y: energy content (kcal/kg), X1:% plastics by weight, X2:% paper by weight, X3:% garbage by weight, and X4:% moisture by weight for waste specimens obtained from a certain region. The data have been taken from exercise 13.47 of your textbook. The following is the MINITAB results on data. Notice that on the stem-and-leaf display if you see stem as 9 and leaf as 4, it means 947 (minitab eliminated the last digit). Or if you see stem as 11 and leaf as 5, it means 1155 (again minitab eliminated the last digit). Stem-and-leaf of Energy content(Y), Leaf Unit = 10 2 9 48 3 10 9 7 11 3556 (11) 12 01222235679 12 13 23379 7 14 00556 2 15 5 1 16 5 n = 30 Descriptive statistics: Variable X1:Plastics X2:Paper X3:Garbage X4:Moisture Y:Energy content n 30 30 30 30 30 Variable Minimum X1:Plastics 14.280 X2:Paper 13.770 X3:Garbage 32.450 X4:Moisture 43.820 Y:Energy content 947.0 Mean 19.899 23.414 39.346 50.524 1281.3 Maximum 25.110 29.390 51.320 58.210 1656.0 Median 19.935 23.585 39.100 50.690 1260.0 Q1 18.438 22.118 35.790 48.003 1194.3 TrMean 19.888 23.668 39.130 50.489 1280.5 StDev 2.227 3.377 4.049 3.304 154.2 Q3 21.418 26.270 41.675 53.265 1393.5 The boxplots: 60 50 40 30 20 10 Plastics Paper Garbage Moisture Answer questions 1 to 9 using the information above. 1. Consider the four data sets X1, X2, X3, X4. Do you observe outliers in data sets? (a) No outliers in any of them (b) In one data set (c) In two data sets Paper and Garbage (d) In three data sets (e) Outliers in all of them SE Mean 0.407 0.617 0.739 0.603 28.2 STAT211 2. What is the range for X1? (a) 10.83 (b) 14.39 (c) 15.62 (d) 18.87 EXAM 1 – FORM A FALL03 =25.110-14.280 3. Which of the following data set has the largest variation using the standard deviation? (a) X1 (b) X2 (c) X3 (d) X4 4. Which of the following data set has the smallest median? (a) X1 (b) X2 (c) X3 (d) X4 5. Which of those data sets are positively skewed? (a) Only X1 (b) Only X2 (c) Only X3 if it is not clear on the boxplot look at the difference between the mean and the median (d) Only X4 (e) None of the above 6. If you like to add 5 to each observation for X2 (Paper), how much the interquartile range (IQR) changes? (a) Increase by 5 (b) Stays the same Q1 and Q3 increase by 5. IQR=Q3-Q1 (c) Decrease by 5 7. Which of the following is the largest 25% of X2? (a) 13.770 (b) 22.118 (c) 23.585 (d) 26.270 is the same as smallest 75% of X2 which is Q3 (e) 29.390 8. Which of the following is the proportion of Y more than 1129? (a) 0.0333 (b) 0.0667 (c) 0.1000 (d) 0.9000 count the data larger than 1129. There are 27 of them. Then 27/30. (e) 0.9333 9. Which of the following is the proportion of Y between 1089 and 1545 (exclusive)? (a) 0.0667 (b) 0.1333 (c) 0.1667 (d) 0.8667 count the data between 1089 and 1545. There are 26 of them. Then 26/30. (e) 0.9333 10. What is the reliability for the parallel system of 4 components each with a failure probability of 0.2? (a) 0.0016 (b) 0.4096 (c) 0.5876 (d) 0.5904 (e) 0.9984 P(at least one works)=1-P(none works)=1-0.24. STAT211 EXAM 1 – FORM A FALL03 For a dinner party, the current wine supply includes 3 zinfandel, 4 of merlot, and 3 of cabernet, all from different wineries. Answer the following 3 questions using this information. 11. If you like to serve 3 bottles of merlot and serving order is important, how many ways are there to do this? (a) 4 (b) 6 (c) 12 (d) 24 There are 4 merlot and 3 will be served with order. P 3,4=4(3)(2) (e) 36 12. If 5 bottles are randomly selected, what is the probability that this results in 1 zinfandel, 1 merlot, 3 cabernets? (a) 12/30240=0.0004 (b) 36/30240=0.0012 (c) 12/252=0.0476 (d) 36/252=0.1429 (e) 3/5=0.6 10 10! 252 because they are randomly selected. Number of ways 1 zinfandel, 1 5 5!5! 3 4 3 3! 4! 3! merlot, 3 cabernets are chosen 3(4)(1) 12 . 1 1 3 1!2! 1!3! 3!0! Total selections are 13. If 3 bottles are randomly selected, how many ways are there to select all of them the same variety? (a) 12 (b) 6 (c) 4 (d) 3 (e) 1 3 4 3 3 4 3 4! 3! 1 , all are merlot then 4 , all are 3 0 0 3!0! 0 3 0 3!1! 3 4 3 3! 1 . Considering all the possibilities, 1+4+1=6 cabernet then 0 0 3 3!0! If all are zinfandel then, A college library has five copies of a certain text on reserve. Two copies (1 and 2) are first printings, and the other three copies (3,4, and 5) are second printings. A student examines these books in random order, stopping only when a second printing has been selected and obtains the sample space as S={3,4,5,13,14,15,23,24,25,123,124,125,213,214,215}. Then defines the following events A: exactly one book must be examined = {3,4,5} B: the event that book 5 is the one selected = {5,15,25,125,215} C: the event that book 1 is not examined = {3,4,5,23,24,25} Answer the following 4 questions using this information. 14. Which of the following is the P(AB)? (a) 0.0667 AB={5} then 1/15 because the sample space has 15 outcomes (b) 0.2 (c) 0.3333 (d) 0.4 (e) 0.6667 15. Which of the following is P(A|B)? (a) 0.0667 (b) 0.2 P (AB)/P(B)=(1/15)/(5/15)=1/5=0.2 (c) 0.3333 (d) 0.4 STAT211 EXAM 1 – FORM A FALL03 (e) 0.6667 16. Which of the following are mutually exclusive? (a) A and B (b) A and C (c) B and C (d) None of the above They are mutually exclusive when there is no common outcome. AB={5}, AC={3,4,5}, BC={5,25} 17. Are A and B independent? (a) Yes, P(AB)=0 (b) Yes, P(AB)=P(A)P(B) (c) No, P(AB)0 (d) No, P(AB)P(A)P(B) (e) No, P(A|B)=P(A) 1/15=3/15(5/15) They are independent when P(AB)=P(A)P(B). Eighty percent of all vehicles examined at a certain emissions inspection station pass the inspection. Assume the three successive vehicles pass or fail, independently of one another. Answer the following 3 questions using this information. 18. Which of the following is the probability of the all 3 vehicles inspected fail? (a) 0.008 =0.23 (b) 0.372 (c) 0.488 (d) 0.512 (e) 0.992 19. Which of the following is the probability that at most 2 of the three vehicles inspected pass? (a) 0.008 (b) 0.372 (c) 0.488 =1-P(all 3 pass)=1-0.83 (d) 0.512 (e) 0.992 20. Given that at least one of the next three vehicles passes the inspection, which of the following is the probability that all three pass? (a) 0.4387 (b) 0.4839 (c) 0.5000 (d) 0.5161 =P(all pass)/[1-P(all fail)]= 0.83 / [1-0.23] (e) 0.5613