Pathways and Risk Assessment of Emerald Ash Borer Movement Into and Within the Western United States December 18, 2007 In Cooperation with the Western Wildland Environmental Threat Assessment Center USDA Forest Service 3160 NE Third Street Prineville, Oregon 97754 William R. Jacobi Department of Bioagricultural Sciences and Pest Management Colorado State University Fort Collins, CO 80523 william.jacobi@colostate.edu 1 Table of Contents: 1. Executive Summary:……………………………………………..…….3 2. Introduction and Background:…………………………………...…….5 3. Objectives of Report:………………………………………………..…7 Pathways: a. Nursery stock b. Natural tree connections between regions c. Firewood d. Logs and minimally processed wood e. Pallets and packing materials 4. Risk Analysis:…………………………………………….………..….8 a. Nursery stock…………………………………............................8 b. Natural tree connections …………………………………….…11 c. Firewood…………………………………………….…...……..13 i. Commercial………………………………………..…14 ii. Campers……………………………………………....17 iii. Second homes…………………………………….…..20 d. Logs and minimally processed wood……………………….….22 e. Pallets and packing materials……………………………….….22 5. Value of ash resource in the western U.S.: .……………………....…23 6. Risk Reduction:………………………………………………………25 7. Data and Information Gaps:……………………………………….....26 8. Literature Cited:………………………………………………….…..27 9. Acknowledgements:…………………………………………….……28 10. Appendices:……………………………………………………… ….30 Table 1. New homes in western region in 2006 Table 2. Existing Single family homes in the West, 2005 American Community Survey, U.S. Census. Table 3. Nursery stock insepected in 2006 in Colorado by stock type. Table 4. Visitor and Camper Data from National Parks in Western U.S. Table 5. Firewood Transportation by Campers Survey in Colorado Summer 2007. Table 6. State source of firewood of camper firewood Table 7. Example of camper survey of firewood use data sheet Table 8. West wide retail firewood survey results: Spring/Summer 2007. Table 9: Example of firewood survey form for Spring/Summer 2007 Table 10. Large retail outlets in Western U.S. that may sell firewood Table 11. Estimated firewood volumes sold per year in western region. Table 12. Pathways of exotic pest movement on wood material into and within Western United States. Table 13. Detailed Pathway Risk Analysis Summary for Nursery Stock Table 14. Detailed Pathway Risk Analysis Summary for Natural Tree Corridors Table 15. Detailed Pathway Risk Analysis Summary for Commercial Firewood Table 16. Detailed Pathway Risk Analysis Summary for Camper Firewood Table 17. Detailed Pathway Risk Analysis Summary for Small local firewood dealers Table 18. Detailed Pathway Risk Analysis Summary for Second home owners Figure 1. Nursery stock movement example Figure 2. Natural ash tree connections and potential movement of emerald ash borer Figure 3: Fraxinus latifolia in Oregon Figure 4. Map of Fraxinus velutina distribution Figure 5. Map of Faxinus cuspidate distribution Figure 6. Map of Faxinus anomala distribution Figure 7. Map of new house data in 2006 2 1. Executive Summary: Exotic insects and pathogens of woody plants continue to be introduced into North America due to improperly treated plant material and wood packing materials. Increased trade with new countries on continents with host trees similar to those found in North America increases the risk of importation of lethal organisms such at the emerald ash borer (Agrilus planipennis) and the sudden oak death pathogen (Phytophthora ramorum). This study was an analysis of the status of pathway management into and within the Western United States and what information is needed to fully mitigate and restrict emerald ash borer movement into and within the region. The western region was defined as including the states of Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oregon, South Dakota, Utah,Washington, and Wyoming. The specific objectives of this analysis were to: 1)Determine what pathways could move the emerald ash borer into or within the Western United States including the states of Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, Wyoming, California, Oregon, and Washington; 2) Determine what information is available and needed to determine the relative risk of each pathway; 3)Determine how pathways could be modified to reduce emerald ash borer movement; 4) Determine what information is available and needed to provide impact metrics that can be used for comparing risks. Pathways that might allow exotic insects and pathogens to move into and within the Western United States include nursery stock movement, natural tree connections, firewood, logs and minimally processed wood such as pallets, packing materials and biofuels. Observations: Nursery stock: The total per year use of woody nursery stock moving into or within the west are estimated at 7.6- 9.8 million trees and 28.2-36.6 million shrubs. The large number of nursery stock moving in the west makes this one of the highest risk pathways to move exotic insects and pathogens Nursery stock can move exotic pests directly to populations of susceptible plants. Natural Connections: The estimated time for emerald ash borer movement through the riparian/natural stands and wind breaks at an average of 3-10 miles per year would be 50-150 years to travel the 470 miles from Chicago to Omaha NE and another 50-180 years to travel the 540 miles to the Front Range Communities of Colorado. Without human help the natural pathway movement to the west is a low risk since the insect can be slowed or stopped when it reaches less dense ash stands in the middle of the Great Plain states of Kansas, Nebraska, North and South Dakota. Movement within the west will be limited by the lack of contiguous hosts except in major metropolitan areas such as the Front Ranges of Colorado and Utah and the west coast where there are native ash and large urban populations of ash. 3 A GIS based analysis of the distribution of natural ash, wind break and urban ash and other species along these pathways would be of use in future management actions and allocation of resources. Commercial Firewood: Sixty percent of sampled firewood in a west wide survey of retail sales of firewood bundles was from the state the sample was taken leaving 40% of the firewood from companies with home offices out of state or country. Commercial retail firewood can be a high risk pathway unless the wood is at least 4 years old or kiln dried. Old wood does not prevent exotic pathogens from moving on the firewood since fruiting bodies can remain viable for three or more years. Camper Movement of Firewood: Based on a survey by the author of campers at two National Parks in Colorado, 9 % of the campers brought wood from out of state. A Michagan study indicated approximately the same ration, so based on these two studies a rough estimate of campers bringing firewood from over 200 miles or another state would be 8%. An estimated of the 10.4 million campers in just National Parks, 3.2 million campers from the east come to National Parks in the West and 8% of them bring wood from home or another state which would be 256,000 opportunities to introduce exotic insects and fungi per year just for the people visiting national parks. The regions with the biggest draw for National Park campers are the; interior west (4.1 million campers); west coast states (3.6 million); Rocky Mountain states (2.5 million campers) and the Great plain states are the lowest (0.6 million campers) Appendix Table 3. The Great Plain states do not have a huge draw for campers as the remaining Western states, but many campers pass through the Great Plains on their way to western states. The plains states are at risk because of the number of campers traveling through the region. Camper movement of firewood is a high risk pathway especially if the campers come from infested areas. Since insect and pathogen exotics can move on firewood the transportation of firewood across state lines should be regulated. Second Home Owner Movement of Firewood Second homeowner movement of exotics is probably a low risk pathway but there needs to be a survey of homeowners to see if firewood is moved and education program to stop the movement of firewood. There are over 1.5 million second homes in the western states and the owners may come from an infested area A survey done by a regional government group of four counties and the City of Steamboat Springs in CO found of 64,000 homes, 55% of the homes or 35,000 were second homes. Sixty five percent of the owners of these second homes were not local residents from Colorado. Fifty five percent of the owners reside east of the Mississippi river leaving 13% from west of the Mississippi. The most common time for these people to use their homes was between November and March during the ski season 4 Second home owners may bring firewood from home but the numbers are probably limited. Second home owners may provide pathways for exotics on firewood and the likely hood might increase as the cost of energy increases and the owners want to bring their own fuel. Logs, Pallets and Biofuels: Logs, pallets and biofuels as pathways for exotics are logically high risk pathways and should be regulated in the future. Unfortunately this study did not address the volumes and directions of movement of these wood products. Collecting data on the volume and directional movement of logs, pallets and biofuels is needed to assess the risk and develop management and education programs Impact on Ash in the West: EAB will cause a significant mortality to ash in urban forests and wind breaks of the Great Plains states. The impact will be devastating in urban forests that have a high percentage of ash such as in the Great Plains states. Good estimates of tree numbers in urban forests are needed for future management. Currently there are only a few surveys that estimate the ash component in urban forests. Mitigation and Data Needs: Mitigation activities for professional tree managers and government entities are provided and along with needed data and information to improve the mitigation of emerald ash borer transport and impact. Education and restrictions of movement of potentially infested living and dead plant materials is needed in the Western United States now. The public is aware of the emerald ash borer in the Midwest but there is limited restrictions and concerns visible in the west. Noninfested states and federal agencies need to have a coordinated grass roots education programs. State and Federal park agencies can restrict the sale or use of potentially infested materials such as firewood and nursery stock in their parks and cause defacto pathway restricksons that Federal and State Regulatory agencies are unable carry out. We have weed-free hay restrictions on national and state lands so why not with tree pathogens and insects? 5 2. Introduction and Background: Emerald ash borer: The emerald ash borer (Agrilus planipennis) is an exotic wood boring insect that is native to China, Korea, Japan, Mongolia and the far east of Russia. The insect was introduced most likely on wood packing material to the Detroit, MI area in the early 1990’s. The insect had been killing trees in Detroit area by 1992 but was not noticed till 2002. The insect has since spread by nursery stock, logs, firewood and naturally to Indiana, Ohio, Illinois and Ontario Canada and has been found surviving in ½ inch diameter stem/branch wood (Federal Register 2007). Adults emerge mid May with peak emergence from late June to early July (Poland and McCullough 2006). Adults feed on ash foliage before mating and females lay 50-90 eggs in bark crevices. Larva feed in phloem and cambium through the summer into the fall causing a girdling of the tree. The insect colonizes the upper branches and stems first so it is hard to detect the insect or damage at low incidences. So far girdled ash trees remain relatively inadequate as a monitoring device but are still the best way to attract adults. The adults apparently can fly from 0.6 miles per year to a maximum of 3-4 miles per year (Poland and McCullough 2006). Damage: Over 15 million ash trees have been killed by this insect borer. In just eight cities where the insect could potentially move–Atlanta, Baltimore, Boston, Chicago, New York, Oakland, Syracuse and Philadelphia over the 14 % of the trees are ash and are valued at 565 million (Federal Register 2003) The cost of ash removals in the US is estimated at 20-60 billion dollars (Federal Register 2003). A survey and analysis of EAB impact on urban ash in just Ohio indicates a total cost of lost value, tree removal costs, and replant costs to be $2-7.6 billion. The costs translate to $157,000-665,000 per 1,000 residents of Ohio. These costs will be handled primarily by the private home owner and municipalities since there is limited state or federal aid for this and other exotic problems. Unless we change the impact payment structure of exotics, international trade is not going to bear any of the brunt of the financial and ecological impacts. Biocontrol potential: Two Hymenoptera insects were found parasitizing the emerald ash borer in its native range in China. These two insects parasitized both eggs and larva. These insects may be tested as biocontrol agents in North America (Liu et al 2007) but the spread rate of the borer is going to make biocontrol difficult to implement. Firewood as pathway of insects and pathogens: Modeling efforts by BenDor et al (2006) and Muirhead et al (2006) implicate the overwhelming importance of human caused movement of EAB to distant areas over the natural movement of the beetle. Normal insect flight accounted for most of the newly infested areas in MI but outlying infestations had to occur through human intervention. Adult female movement is usually 0.8 km per day with a maximum of 4 km so long distance movement is by contaminated nursery plants, firewood or logs. Muirhead et al (2006) found population data to predict human activity at the source and recipient area and distance between them explained most of the movement of the insect to new areas. They also found firewood bundles were brought from quarantined areas at a rate related to the number of campsites. In their analysis of the 6 infestations in MI, OH, and IN they found infestations at least 200-250 km from the nearest infestation. Michigan’s Dept of Natural Resources found that out of 8,096 campers who brought firewood, 20% brought wood from the quarantined area and 1% had signs of EAB in the firewood (www.jsonline.com- Are we barking up the wrong tree?) A reminiscent relationship between firewood and a disease or insect is the exotic bark beetle that vectors the exotic disease pathogen of Dutch elm disease (Ophiostoma novo-ulmi). All elm firewood was, and still probably is, banned in communities trying to maintain elms in their urban forests since it acted as a vector and breeding location for the beetle that vectors the pathogen. Elm firewood was not necessarily thought of as a long distance pathway but more of a shortdistance pathway within or into a nearby city. There is a new exotic bark beetle that may be a new vector of this “old disease” (Jacobi et al. 2006, Negron et al. 2005) that is renewing the interest in restricting firewood movement. The other recent exotic disease sudden oak death (Phytophthora ramorum) pathogen’s spores remained viable on firewood during a 19 month drying period for up to 5 months. The initial infestation rate of the firewood was low to begin with at 10-20% of the samples positive. Firewood consumption: Determining residential firewood use is difficult since users may use very different volume measures of wood from pickup truck sales to actual cords (Marsinko et al 1984). Firewood collecting and cutting on National Forest land is common in most western states and is dominated by homeowners wanting to save money. However, the distances they have to haul the wood actually make the wood not such an economic benefit (Force 1985). Firewood consumption for home heating is variable around the country and varies by other fuel costs, air pollution regulations and availability and the population density (Lippert and Dungan 1983, Lynch and Mackes 2001). In Colorado in 1999, 22,000 cords of firewood were cut from public and private lands and small bundle sales were estimated at 8,000 cords per year for at total of 30,000 cords of firewood used in CO. The bundled firewood sources were 60% from local sources and the rest from out of state. Duration EAB remains in firewood: Infested logs were treated with plastic tarps, splitting wood, and by storing in shade or sun. Emergence, survival and insect size were reduced in logs cut in early larval development times (July and August) and splitting and storing them in sun or shade reduced adult emergence (Petrice and Haack 2006). No treatment was 100 % effective in preventing adult emergence. Previous work with the exotic bark beetle Scolytus multistriatus, the vector of the Dutch elm disease pathogen, indicated elm wood was not suitable for beetle infestation after 7 months of storage under thick clear (6mil) plastic tarps. Beetles however, could emerge under the plastic if logs were already infested (Krawczk, et al 1982, Svihra 1987). 7 Potential Exotic organisms: Insects and pathogens that have been or could be transported via minimally processed wood include the following type examples: 1. Tree Insects Bark beetles: banded elm bark beetle (Scolytus schevyrewi) Wood boring insects: emerald ash borer, Asian long horned borer (Anoplophora glabripennis), Sirex wood wasp (Sirex noctilio) Defoliators: Asian and European gypsy moths (Lymantria dispar ), hemlock adelgid Stressors: scale insects, 2. Tree pathogens Canker fungi: Ramorum blight-Phytophthora ramorum, Chestnut blightCryphonectria parasitica Vascular wilt fungi: Dutch elm disease pathogen-Ophiostoma ulmi Stain fungi: Blue stain complex related to bark beetles Decay fungi: Any fungus that can withstand the moisture content of the wood in transit. 3. Objectives of Study The over arching goal of this study was to determine if minimally processed wood products including firewood are a credible risk for moving exotic tree insects and pathogens. Specific objectives: 1. Determine what pathways could move the emerald ash borer into or within the Western United States including the states of Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, Wyoming, California, Oregon, and Washington. 2. Determine what information is available and needed to determine the relative risk of each pathway. 3. Determine how pathways could be modified to reduce emerald ash borer movement. 4. Determine what information is available and needed to provide impact metrics that can be used for comparing risks. Pathways of interest: 1. Nursery stock 2. Natural tree connections 3. Firewood a. Commercial i. Local-within state ii. Interstate transport b. Private individuals i. Campers ii. Second homeowners 4. Logs and minimally processed wood 5. Pallets and packing materials 8 6. Biofuels 9 4. Risk Analysis: A. Nursery Stock: Assumptions: Nursery stock is a likely avenue of exotic insect or pathogen movement to and within the west. For example the one time spring shipment of Phytophthoroa ramorum out of CA on ornamental plants from one nursery transported this pathogen to many states throughout North America Nursery stock can move soil pathogens and insects, foliar and stem insects and fungi. A fraction of nursery stock is inspected at origin and at reception locations by State Departments of Agriculture. There are so many plants being moved that it is up to the shipping and receiving companies to look for issues. Nursery stock is produced within each western state but for states like CO and AZ most stock is produced other states. The human population in the west is increasing with movement within the region but also major migrations from outside the region. New homes, city/green areas, commercial development all require woody plant material for landscaping. Existing homes require landscape change and maintenance that require new woody plants. The number of woody trees and shrubs required by new homes varies from 0 to 100’s depending on city codes, homeowner preferences and economic capabilities. The number of woody plants needed for new construction is estimated at a very conservative 3 trees and 20 shrubs and 2 trees and 2 shrubs for city/green areas and for commercial and apartment areas 4 trees and 2 shrubs for at total of 9 trees and 19 shrubs. Shrubs probably should be 20-30 for most high end home construction in the west. The number of woody plants needed per year for existing construction is estimated at 0.1 tree and 1 shrub per home and 0.1 trees and 0.1 shrub for city/green areas and 0.01 trees and 0.1 shrubs for commercial areas for at total of 0.21 trees and 1.2 shrubs. Nursery stock will move exotic pests directly to populations of susceptible plants We do not know where all the nursery stock originates so it is hard to make a risk assessment about a particular exotic pest. Risk of pest introduction is high for direct shipped nursery stock and stock at big box stores since there are fewer professional nursery people looking at stock. Risk is lower in states that produce their own nursery stock but those states may be at greater risk for new pest introductions since they also import plant material from outside North America that may have exotics present on them. Methods: To determine the relative number of nursery stock potentially moving within or from outside states we utilized an average number of woody shrubs and trees needed for new construction and existing homes. We then determined the number of new homes and existing homes in each state. 10 We then added a number of trees and shrubs to the per new or exiting home plant count to account for municipal and commercial landscapes. The number of new homes per year based on US Census data for 2006 is 476,591 with 89% detached and 11% of these attached for the west (Appendix Table 1). The number of existing homes in the west based on US Census- American Community Survey for 2005 data is 15,979,672 (Appendix Table 2). West wide estimation of nursery stock movement: The US Census data base, Table Q10. “New privately owned housing units completed in the west by purpose and design” was used to obtain the average number of new homes completed (476,591) for 2006 for the western region. The number of existing single family homes based on the 2005 American Community Survey, of the US Census from StateQuick Fact data was 15,979,672 for the states in our study area (Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, Wyoming, California, Oregon, Washington). Taking these data and multiplying the number of houses times the tree and shrub ratios of 9.0 trees and 19 shrubs for new contruction and 0.21 trees and 1.2 shrubs per existing homes we have 476,591 X 9 trees and 476,591 X 19 shrubs for a total of 4,289,319 trees and 9,055,229 shrubs. For existing homes, we have 15,979,672 X 0.21 trees and 1.2 shrubs or 3,355,731 trees and 19,175,606 shrubs. Thus the estimated total per year use of woody nursery stock moving into or within the west is 7,645,050 trees (7.6 million) and 28,230,835 (28.2 million) shrubs. Colorado Estimation: Existing homes: 903,259 units X 0.21 trees and X 1.2 shrubs: Trees= 189,684 Shrubs= 1,083,910 shrubs. New construction: 38,343 new units per year X 9 trees and 19 shrubs: Trees = 345,087 and Shrubs=728,517 Estimates based on housing units: Trees: 534,771 Shrubs: 1,812,427 Estimates based on retail sales: Trees 690,000 Shrubs: 2,300,000 Colorado estimation by retail sales: Nursery stock is produced in a few nurseries in Colorado. However, most woody plant stock comes from outside of Colorado. The stock comes from over 30 states and Canada and is a complex and massive situation (Appendix Figure 1). Direct shipment of brokered trees may come from a large number of other states such as TN, MI, IA and other locations. Actually numbers of imported nursery stock are not available even though nursery stock is regulated by the Colorado Department of Agriculture. The cities along the Front Range of Colorado are where a lot of importation occurs in the west since these cities are rapidly expanding. One relatively small wholesale nursery brings in 1,000 balled and burlapped trees and 6,000 tree liners, 120,000 shrubs to line out and over 30,000 shrubs to pass on to customers per year for a total of 157,000 plants per year. A professional wholesaler’s estimate for the total number of plants planted each year on the Front Range was 600,000 balled and burlapped trees and 2,000,000 shrubs. 11 Adding another 15 percent for the remainder of the state one comes up with 690,000 trees and 2,300,000 shrubs. I think think our estimates of trees and shrubs to be very conservative since the retail estimates are 23% greater than the new and existing construction estimations. If we use the retail estimation the total tree movement in the west would be 9.8 million trees and 36.6 million shrubs The number of trees and shrubs inspected by the Colorado Dept of Ag were approximately 622,000 in 2006 (Appendix Table 3). Other Western States: We did not find a ready source of information on estimates of nursery stock sales from other states. We need to continue to gather this data. Results and Conclusions: The total per year use of woody nursery stock moving into or within the west are estimated at 7.6- 9.8 million trees and 28.2-36.6 million shrubs. The large number of nursery stock moving in the west makes this one of the highest risk pathways to move exotic insects and pathogens Nursery stock can move exotic pests directly to populations of susceptible plants. We do not know volumes or where all the nursery stock originates so it is hard to make a risk assessment about a particular exotic pest. Risk of pest introduction is high for direct shipped nursery stock and stock at big box stores since there are fewer professional nursery people looking at stock. Risk is less for within continent exotic introductions in states that produce their own nursery stock but those states may be at greater risk for new pest introductions from outside the continent since they also import plant material from outside North America that may have exotics present on them. The percent of nursery stock with observable pests present are data that could be obtained from the State Dept of Agric in the western U.S. 12 B. Natural Tree Connections: Assumptions: The Rocky Mountains and intervening deserts will keep the natural movement of EAB from occurring from north to south and east and west within the west. EAB from eastern hardwood forests may move west to the Great Plain states and Front Range states. Adult insect movement is for six weeks in summer and may travel 1400 m that year. (Bauer et al 2003 The leading edge of the mortality in MI is expanding at about 10 miles per year (Personal communication-D Smitley, Michagan State University) The rate of insect movement in the mid west is 0.6-3miles per year (Poland and McCullough 2006). An estimate that errors on the side of rapid insect movment for a rate of expanision of infestation based on the existing information would 3-10 miles per year Movement through Iowa, Nebraska and Colorado: Based on surveys of state forest professionals in Iowa, Nebraska and Colorado there are relatively continuous hardwood trees including cottonwood, elm, ash between the Front Range of the Rocky Mountains in Colorado and the Midwest. Since the emerald ash borer seems to be able to fly at least 2 miles between hosts, movement through this corridor is possible. Thus, EAB will be able to move along the Platt River corridor and its tributaries to the Front Range of Colorado. There is probably limited ability in western Nebraska and eastern Colorado for the insect to move north or south of the Platt River corridor since ash wind breaks are not common. Movement into North and South Dakota: Movement of EAB into these two states from the east should be relatively via natural and planted ash in Minnesota and Iowa to the east. Once in eastern North Dakota there are many ash windbreaks within ½ mile of each other and north south flowing rivers with ash growing along those rivers. In the western half of North Dakota there is not enough ash within 3 miles of each other for the insect to move to new urban or the few wind breaks. In southwest North Dakota, ash grows in wooded draws but the distance between wooded draws is not known so EAB movement in this area is at a low risk. The above relative risk conclusions would also apply to South Dakota. Movement through Kansas to Colorado: EAB should be able to spread fairly easily through the native ash, ash in urban forests and wind breaks that occur commonly in the eastern one third of Kansas. In the western two thirds of Kansas and eastern prairie area of Colorado, communities, wind breaks and natural ash stands are not common. Thus, humans would be the vectors in that area and infestations could be kept from spreading with an active management and education program. 13 North and South Movement within the Western Region: Native ash occur in riparian areas of southern CO, NM, AZ, UT, and NV but the distances between the riparian areas is potentially greater than 5 miles so natural movement by the insect is not likely. In coastal WA, OR and Northern CA, native ash and urban plantings may allow north and south movement of EAB. Results and Conclusions: The estimate of time for movement through the riparian/natural stands and wind breaks at an average of 3-10 miles per year would be 50-150 years to get the 470 miles from Chicago to Omaha NE and another 50-180 years to travel the 540 miles to the Front Range Communities of Colorado (Appendix Figure 2) Without human help the natural pathway movement to the west is a low risk since the insect can be slowed or stopped when it reaches less dense ash stands in the middle of the prairie states. Humans can bring the insect to forests along east and west Interstates highways on firewood or other materials so the exotics will be able to move faster. Movement within the west will be limited by lack of contiguous hosts except in major metropolitan areas such as the Front Ranges of Colorado and Utah and the west coast where there are native ash and large urban populations of ash. A GIS based analysis of the distribution of natural ash, wind break and urban ash and other species along these pathways would be of use in future management actions and allocation of resources. 14 C. Firewood: Assumptions on firewood: Sources: 1. Firewood can be purchased at retail outlets in small bundles- (commercial) 2. Firewood can be brought from home by tent or RVcampers, horse campers, NASCAR fans- (from home source or commercial source) 3. Firewood for home heating (homeowner or commercial bulk delivery) 4. Second home owners can move firewood from primary residence to second home (homeowner and commercial firewood) Probability of infestation: Firewood can harbor bark beetles if the bark is attached Firewood can harbor wood borers for three years with bark on or off Firewood can harbor decay, canker or vascular stain/ wilt fungi with bark on or off ( The duration firewood can harbor insects and fungi are not well researched and most information is based on expert opinions. Firewood can be made insect or pathogen free through bark removal and then fumigation or air drying for three years under cover, or kiln drying wood . Firewood can provide movement of exotics as it is being transported and while it resides in campground. Presence of host material must be present within 2-4 km. If firewood is used within a few days of purchase or movement, the risk of exotic transport is lessened but the zero tolerance required to keep exotics from being introduced makes rapid use of firewood a poor method of management. Most recommendations on firewood are based on insect development timing rather than general recommendations based on both fungal and insect contamination. Fungi can release spores during fall and spring. Firewood supplies: Commercial companies supply grocery stores, convenience stores/gas stations, and big box stores with prewrapped bundles of firewood. Commercial firewood maybe produced and shipped within states, shipped across state lines or the US border from Mexico or Canada Commercial firewood companies buy directly from out of state dealers or go to those states and purchase wood. There is limited information on the amount or source of commercial firewood. There are some large dealers in firewood that have over 5 processing facilities in various states and Canada. State Departments of Agriculture do not monitor, license or have had much to do with firewood in the past. State Departments of Agriculture manage weights and measures so they could certify sources and volumes sold within the state. 15 Methods of Firewood Risk Analysis: 1. A phone survey of retail outlets in Colorado provided information on the type of retail outlets carrying firewood. 2. A collection of firewood and assessment of insect and fungal contaminates in firewood is ongoing in Colorado funded by CAPS. 3. A west wide direct observation survey of firewood at retail outlets was conducted by volunteers organized by the PI in April -July, 2007. This survey will be repeated in the winter of 2007-2008. 4. Camper numbers and their likelihood to carry firewood was determined via National Park Service visitation numbers. 5. A field survey of campers at Federal Forest Service and National Parks in Colorado was carried out in July, 2007. This camper survey will be repeated and expanded in Colorado with CAPS funding in 2008. 6. A phone survey of commercial firewood companies was not able to determine the extent of firewood movement across state lines. This needs to be carried out in future studies to get a handle of firewood sales. 7. A phone survey of individual stores as to the amount of firewood they sell in a year will be carried out in 2008 to refine estimates of firewood sales. 8. A phone survey of big box store corporate buyers did not provide any information about amount and where firewood is moving. Regional and individual stores decide if there will be firewood offered so there is not an easy model to use to determine the amount and movement of firewood sold by retail outlets. Commercial Firewood: Results of Phone Survey of Colorado Retail Outlets: A phone survey of retail outlets in Colorado has given some indication that firewood availability varies by region in the state. In the Great Plains (eastern) area of Colorado 21 businesses were contacted in five towns. Ten retail outlets were gas station/convenience store, three were farm and ranch and none of them carried firewood and of eight grocery stores, two carried firewood. Both grocery stores that carried firewood were Safeway stores. In the western slope towns of Colorado 40 businesses were contacted in four towns. Twenty outlets surveyed were gas station/convenience stores, eight out of nine were grocery stores carried wood (six carry year round and two seasonally, seven were big box stores that 6/7 stores carried firewood in the fall and winter, and one out of three hardware, farm and ranch stores carried firewood seasonally. Along the front range of Colorado we surveyed by phone (17) and direct contact (18) retail outlets. Eighteen outlets were convenience stores –nine carried firewood, all 15 grocery stores carried firewood, one big box store and one farm and ranch store. Although not recorded here, most big box stores contacted said they carried wood seasonally. In Fort Collins two big box stores carried hardwood from PA and CA. Table One. Survey of 114 retail outlets carrying firewood in Colorado Colorado Region Do not sell firewood Sell all year Eastern 90% 10% Western Slope 42% 26% Front Range 33% 59% 16 Sell winter only 0% 33% 8% Results of random firewood collection in Colorado: A visual survey of firewood status (wood supplier and contact information, wood species identification, insect symptoms, fungal fruiting body presence, etc.) was conducted at randomly selected stores prior to visiting the city. Firewood was collected for insect rearing and fungal isolations. The majority of firewood visibly assessed was purchased for insect rearing. As of December 1, 2007, we visibly surveyed and/or collected 42 bundles of firewood throughout Colorado. Forty-five percent of the wood assessed came from companies whose headquarters were out of state (California, Texas, Kansas and British Columbia, Canada). Seventy-one percent of the wood was conifer, 24% was hardwood only and 5% of the bundles contained both conifer and hardwood species. We will identify firewood down to genus and/or species. Species identified as of December 1, 2007: Lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta) Ponderosa pine (P. ponderosa) Elm (Ulmus spp.) Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) True fir (Abies spp.) Oak (Quercus spp.) Aspen (Populus tremuloides) Cottonwood (Populus spp.) Western redcedar (Thuja plicata) Insect and Fungal Evidence of Firewood Firewood from Colorado was assessed for wood species, fungal, and insect contaminants. Sixtyfour percent of firewood had evidence of Ascomycete or Basidiomycete fruiting bodies or had evidence of blue-stain fungi. To determine if firewood can harbor viable fungi, isolations from a subsample of firewood bundles will be conducted this winter.. If there are signs or symptoms of fungi not normally found locally on that host, isolations will be carried out to identify species. Fifty nine percent of collected firewood had evidence of insects. Wood bundles have been placed in rearing cages and checked bi-weekly for emergence of any insects. Insects collected are in the process of preservation and identification, and will be identified to genus by CSU unless there are suspected exotics and then they will be passed on to APHIS. Insects collected and identified as of December 1, 2007: Dendroctonus ponderosae Ips spp. Scolytus schevyrewi Other Scolytus spp. Coleoptera: Buprestidae (no EAB) Coleoptera: Miridae Coleoptera: Tenebrionidae 17 Results of Westwide Firewood Retail survey: One hundred and thirty six bundles were observed in over 30 towns in 11 states. Sixty percent of sampled firewood was from the state the sample was taken leaving 40% of the firewood from companies with home offices out of state or country. Thirty six percent of the firewood was hardwood, 52 % conifer and 11% both hardwood and conifer. Most of the wood that was reported was found at convenience and grocery stores. Sixty percent of the wood had evidence of past or current insects and 57% had evidence of past or current fungal infections (Appendix Table 8 & 9). Conclusions on Commercial firewood: Sixty percent of sampled firewood in a west wide survey of retail sales of firewood bundles was from the state the sample was taken leaving 40% of the firewood from companies with home offices out of state or country. Big box and grocery chains seem to buy from large suppliers that provide many of their stores in a region with the same wood. One large western supplier of firewood provides wood in over 900 cities in 47 states. Safeway, Albertsons, Kroger, Thriftway, Wynco, Rays etc are major suppliers of packaged firewood. For example Kroger owns eight grocery chains in the western region and five convenience store chains. How many grocery stores are in the western region is based on a ratio of stores to population analysis in Fort Collins and Greeley, Colorado and Bend and Eugene in Oregon that ranged from 1/8,000 to 1/ 11,000 with an average of 1/9,925 so we used 1/10,000. Convenience stores were variable per capita with Fort Collins and Greeley CO at 1 per 1,838 and 2,571 and in Bend and Eugene OR at one convenience store per 1,268 and 3,108 for an average of 2,196. The store numbers were based on numbers provided by Goggle Map. The results were an estimated 7,308 grocery stores and 36,943 convience stores in the western region (Appendix Table 10). We determined the number of Walmart, Walmart Super Centers, Home Depots, and Lowes stores by collecting location data from company web sites for a estimated total of 1,351 in the western region, (Appendix Table 10). How much firewood is sold at retail outlets? We estimate convenience stores will have on average 8 X 3’ X 1.5 ft area of wood (0.3 cord) on hand an will replace that twice for a total of one cord per year, grocery stores will sell 2 cords per year and big box stores will use 4 cords. These estimates are based on observations at three Colorado outlets (Appendix Table 11). A phone survey of retail stores this winter will further refine these estimates. The total volume of retail firewood moving into each western state from out of state is estimated at 9,342 cords of firewood (Appendix Table 11). Issues Complicating the Commerical Firewood Risk Analysis: 18 Most firewood is stored outside of the retail outlet so any insect or pathogen can escape. Some outlets have the wood inside so that wood posses a lesser threat of delivering exotic pests. Where wood is actually coming from is difficult to determine since the bundles only list the company home address. Big box stores in many states carry firewood during the winter season. Much of the firewood is from out of state. This winter wood will keep insects and fungi alive longer than summer wood since it will be cooler and closer to when insects moved into wood. Convenience stores that are large part of a large chain also buy and supply the same wood for many locations with in a state and region. For example Seven/Eleven in Colorado uses one to two suppliers. The wholesale dealers that provide move many cords across state lines and provide the large retail chains with firewood are very much on top of the issues of moving firewood. I suspect these companies are willing to work toward better management. The small dealers that go 500 miles away to get wood could be a greater threat since they might be willing to take risks. Local firewood retailers sell and deliver firewood to local clients. Many of these dealers import wood from other parts of the nation. For example, several dealers in Colorado offer oak and related hardwoods from states to the east including Missouri. For example hardwoods from the east and south are sold by over 50% of 20 firewood dealers randomly assessed in Front Range Colorado. State Departments of Ag might be able to get firewood to have labeling of origin or how long it has been dried since they certify volume of the product. Campers and Recreational Firewood Movement: Results: A survey in Michigan state parks found that 28% of the campers bring firewood from home and fifty five percent of these campers were 100 miles from home and 25% were 200 miles from home. Based on a survey by the author of campers at two National Parks in CO, 9 % of the campers brought wood from out of state. So based on these two studies a rough estimate of campers bringing firewood from over 200 miles or another state would be 8%. The number of National Park visitors that camp (Appendix Table 4) is hard to put a firm number on but there are 10.4 million people staying over night in national parks across the western U.S.. How many are campers from outside the state where the park is located in Western U.S.? Based on estimate in Table 3 it appears that 3.2 million visitors stay overnight and are from the east. It is assumed that most of these people camp. Colorado Campground Surveys The objective of the campground surveys was to quantify the number of campers visiting Colorado USFS and National Parks, including Rocky Mountain National Park and Great Sand Dunes National Monument and Preserve, who are bringing firewood from outside of Colorado. This survey is part of our statewide education and research project on reducing the risk of importation of invasive tree insects and disease pathogens to the Rocky Mountain Region. This 19 survey will help us determine the risk of invasive species importation via visitors and help us direct our education and management actions. Colorado parks and campgrounds visited in summer/fall 2007 included two at Rocky Mountain National Park ,Glacier Basin CG (7/27/07), Morraine Park CG (7/24/07) and one at Great Sand Dunes National Park and Presercve ,Pinyon Flats CG (7/20/07) and four on the Roosevelt National Forest (Dowdy Lakes CG (7/5/07), Bel-Aire Lakes CG (7/5/07), Mountain Park CG (7/5/07), and West Lake CG (7/5/07). Out of 484 campsites visited…. 364 campsites were occupied (collected license plate state information) 167 occupied campsites were currently empty (vehicles or tents only) 197 campsites with people were surveyed 21% of campers had no firewood and did not plan to get any 79% of campers had firewood with them when we surveyed them Of campers with firewood, 91% of firewood was obtained in-state (Colorado) Table 2. Source State of Firewood (from campers who had firewood with them). State Source of Wood Frequency Percent Arizona Colorado Kansas Louisiana Missouri Nebraska Oklahoma Texas Utah Wyoming 2 141 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1.3 91.0 1.3 0.7 1.3 1.3 0.7 1.3 0.7 0.7 Table 3. Sources of Colorado firewood (from campers with Colorado firewood) Source of Wood Frequency Percent Unknown 10 7.1 2 x 4’s 4 2.8 Home/cut (yards, cabinets, etc.) 23 16.2 Colorado based firewood dealers (Shretner 27 19.2 and Sons Logging/JCK Corporation) Local Vendor (at campground) 69 48.9 Table 4. Sources of out-of-state firewood (from campers with out-of-state firewood) Wood source Frequency Percent Unknown 5 35.7 Building material 1 4.1 Cut themselves/backyard 8 57.1 20 Results and Conclusions: There are an estimated 3.2 million campers coming to just National Parks in the West and 8% of them bring wood from home or another state. Based on this information there could be 256,000 opportunities to introduce exotic insects and fungi per year just for the people visiting national parks. The regions with the biggest draw for campers visiting National Parks are the; interior west (4.1 million campers); west coast states (3.6 million); Rocky Mountain states (2.5 million campers) and the Great plain states are the lowest (0.6 million campers) Appendix Table 4. The Great Plain states do not have a huge draw for campers but many campers pass through the Great Plains on their way to western states. The plains states are at risk because of the number of campers traveling through the region. Hunters coming from other states to western states may bring firewood with them. The exact number that would bring wood is not known. A survey of hunters via some type of web based questionnaire when licenses are being purchased from state Departments of Wildlife would be the best way to educate and determine the risk. The number of out of state hunters from each state could be determined by contacting each state wildlife department and obtaining numbers of out of state tags and fishing licenses. 21 Pathway Analysis of Firewood use in Second Homes in Western United States. Assumptions: Second homes are common in mountain, river and lakeside communities Second home owners are likely to bring firewood from home if they have free wood or hardwood firewood at or near their primary home. If the home is within one or two day drive the homeowner may bring firewood. One to two percent of the second homeowners will bring wood since food, kids, dogs and other materials would fill up the vehicle. The estimate of 2% needs to be verified by some type of phone survey. Methods: Survey Data: A survey done by a regional government group of four counties and the City of Steamboat Springs in CO found of 64,000 homes, 55% of the homes or 35,000 were second homes (Northwest Colorado Council of Governments. 2006). Sixty five percent of the owners of these second homes were not local residents from Colorado. Fifty five percent of the owners reside east of the Mississippi river leaving 13% from west of the Mississippi. The most common time for these people to use their homes was between November and March during the ski season. In the National Association of Realtors report (Molony 2006) based on two surveys in 2005 they found the median distance the second home was from the primary residence was 197 miles, 47% were less than 100 miles away and 43% were 500 miles away. The largest concentration of second home buyers is in the Midwest at 33%, whereas 30% were in the south, west 20% and northeast 17%. US Census: The number of second homes based on census data projected for 2006 using the sum of (a)occasional use, (b) usually reside elsewhere, and (c) seasonal use, for the western states (Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, Wyoming, Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon, Washington) was 1,493,000. These data are skewed a bit since they do not include the states of South Dakota, North Dakota, Nebraska, and Kansas and adds Alaska and Hawaii. Unfortunately these data are not available on a state by state basis. Estimation Analysis: West wide: There are an estimated 1,493,000 second homes in west, X 0.47(percent under 500 miles) X 0.05 (estimate max percent carrying firewood) = 35,086 chances each year to move firewood under 500 miles to a second home. Is there a susceptible host near the location the firewood gets to? If the second home is in a development then the answer is yes since green ash is commonly planted in urban areas from Kansas to California. If the second home is in a conifer forest, the nearest host tree would be in a nearby town. So if the insect can fly five miles there is a good chance of introduction. For example in Estes Park, Colorado many second homes are with in five miles of 22 the city center and the city street trees are lined with green ash. Bend, Oregon is another urban example where the dominant street tree is green ash while the native forest around the town is conifer based. Transporting firewood for the ski season or summer recreationwould be a great way to deposit wood that might not be burned and allow for the spring or summer emergence of insects. Colorado Example: Second homes, in four mountain counties of Colorado that are popular for winter and summer outdoor activities, accounted for 35,000 homes (Northwest Colorado Council of Governments. 2006). If 55% of the homeowners came from the eastern US and 43% could drive to their second home and 5% might bring firewood there would be 414 homeowners that would fit this scenario for these four counties. There are other second home communities in southern Colorado where visitors from the Midwest, Texas and California come in the winter and summer. Results and Conclusions: There are over 1.5 million second homes in the western states. The owners may come from an infested area Sixty five percent of the owners of second homes in a Colorado Study were not local residents from Colorado. Fifty five percent of the owners reside east of the Mississippi river leaving 13% from west of the Mississippi. The most common time for these people to use their homes was between November and March during the ski season Second home owners may bring firewood from home but we have no numbers to verify this activity or the 5% estimate used in this exercise Second home owners may provide pathways for exotics on firewood and the likely hood might increase as the cost of energy increases and the owners want to bring their own fuel. 23 D. Logs and minimally processed wood: Assumptions: Logs and related materials can easily vector bark beetles, wood borers, canker, decay and stain fungi. Hardwood and conifer logs are moved to pallet plants in Colorado from other states (Kurt Mackes-Colorado State University, personal communication) A survey of logs via state highway weighing stations and a survey of railroad transport of logs between states are needed. Saw mills, furniture manufacturing facilities and pallet plants need to be surveyed and education program provided Collecting data on the volume and directional movement of logs was not within the scope of this project. We need more information on this topic. We need to contract this information gathering to a wood products and economic aspect researcher. E. Pallets and packing materials: Assumptions: Pallets/Packing materials coming from outside the US are supposed to be fumigated or heat treated but a percentage have raw wood and bark attached and may contain insects and fungi Pallets/Packing materials from overseas move directly to western states without inspection or containment. Where raw materials come from for the manufacturing of palletts and the risk of pest introductions via recycling of pallets is a topic for high priority research Collecting data on the volume and directional movement of pallets was not within the scope of this three week project. We need more information on this topic. We need to contract this information gathering to a wood products researcher. 24 Value of Ash Resource in the Western US: Assumptions: The hectares occupied and numbers of native, wind break and urban ash in the west are necessary data and will hopefully be collected in future projects related to this issue. For example there is a large USDA Forest Service funded survey of urban forests ongoing in the Great Plains states. The remaining western states municipal and urban professionals are interested in doing similar surveys. Native ash: There are several species and sub species of native ash in the west. 1. Fraxinus anomala (Single leaf ash): Found from western CO to eastern CA and south to AZ and northwestern NM. Single leaf ash’s largest extent appears to be in UT(Appendix Figure 4) 2. Fraxinus cuspidate (Fragrant ash): Scattered areas throughout AZ and New Mexico and western TX (Appendix Figure 3). 3. Fraxinus velutina (Velvet ash): Found from southwestern UT to southern NV, and south from western TX to southern CA. I t is the most common ash of the Southwest (Appendix Figure 2). 4. Fraxinus latifolia (Oregon ash): Found along the western-coastal areas of WA, OR and CA and in the Sierra Mtn of CA (Appendix Figure 1) 5. Potential losses to native ash: The extent and ecological importance of these four native species is not well known but a literature search would be a logical first step in assessing their importance. Riparian tree species and their importance has been a topic of interest in the Western United States for years. The FIA plot system may eventurally include this resuource of “stringer” woodlands. Green ash has naturalized in many of the river corridors of Colorado and the Great Plains states. Green ash occurs as a common component with cottonwoods but the exact frequency is not known since there are no data on woody plants in riparian ecosystems. Urban ash: There are many cultivars of green (Fraxinus pennsylvanica) and white ash (Faxinus americana) planted in urban areas of western states. The numbers of these trees in urban areas vary with state, age of urban area, and climate. Urban residential and commercial areas developed in the last 25 years in CO, UT, WY, and prairie states may have 10-50% green and or white ash. Examples of potential losses: the following are based on personal estimates by city foresters in each state or actuall inventory data. Oregon: 2-15% of urban trees are native and non-native ash with new developments planted heavily to ash. Washington: 1-13% of urban trees are native and non-native ash with larger cities with larger components of ash. North Dakota: 40% of urban forests are ash. New Mexico: 15-30% of urban forests are ash. Idaho: 1% in cities and windbreaks are ash. 25 South Dakota: 36% of urban forests are ash. Nebraska: 20-40% of urban forests are ash. Colorado: 15-25% of urban forests are ash. Cost of removals and replacements: An example of costs in Colorado would 4.5 billion dollars lost in just the value of the dead ash trees. The $4.5 billion estimate does not include take down and replacement costs which would double this value. The need for this data based on surveys and statistically valid sampling is imperative for the immediate planning and mitigation activities in currently uninfested areas. Forest Inventory and Analysis: The US Forest Service has inventory data on ash but in most data sets the ash is lumped into a hardwood group with elms, or riparian species. It would be good to determine what the FIA folks can determine from their data about ash distributions in native forests of the west. Environmental impact: The environmental impact of dying ash trees includes: Loss of carbon fixed in these trees and increased green house gas production from burning or decay of these trees Loss of heating and cooling energy reductions by homes and business Reduction off crop and animal production with the loss of wind breaks Riparian ecosystem disturbance in Southwestern and west coastal areas. Results and Conclusions: EAB will cause a significant impact to urban forests in western cities and wind breaks of the Great Plains states. The impact will be more devastating in areas with a higher percentage of ash such as the northern Great Plains states. Getting good estimates of tree numbers of our urban forests would be a first step in future planning and management. Currently there are only a few surveys that give actual estimates of the ash component in urban forests of the west US Forest Service inventories are currently not specific enough in the area of ash species to give only a general impression of the existence of the tree. The EAB issue is making funding available to do surveys to determine the extent of ash in various areas. More funding or coordination among agencies and municipalities could provide a readily available and useful data set for management of all issues not just EAB. 26 Risk reduction: See detailed paythway analysis tables (Appendix Tables 12-18) for more input on risk reduction. General Actions: 1. Educate nursery plant producers, State Departments of Agriculture inspectors, nursery plant retail and landscape installation companies, arborists and firewood and wood products companies on the risk of shipping or planting infested plant material and how to recognize disease and insect signs and symptoms. 2. If there are regulations implemented on firewood/minimally processed wood, make sure the fine is at least $1,000 for firewood infractions. 3. Educate the public so firewood and recreational vehicles are not means of pest movement. 4. The most important educational means (United States Dept of Interior, National Park Visitor Studies, Visitor Services Project) that should be targeted by government agencies responsible for tree pest management Word of mouth Travel Guides and tour books Web pages for park and other agencies Newspaper/magazine Maps and bulletins State and local welcome centers 5. Urge states, parks, and other local, state and Federal agencies to require only locally produced firewood to be used while camping. 6. Provide local firewood for minimal cost at camping locations 7. Require all Federal concessionaires to provide certified local (within the state) firewood only and to require only firewood produced within the state to be used in the campground if camper brought 8. All ash plants and hardwood firewood and logs should be prohibited from crossing the Mississippi River 9. Urge all ash trees removed in uninfested areas to be chipped just in case they are harboring EAB. Chips 1 inch or smaller do not harbor EAB larva however chips may harbor fungal pathogens for up to three years (Koski and Jacobi 2004) 10. APHIS requires all hardwood firewood from Canada to carry a certificate that it does not come from an infested area of Canada. We have not seen this on retail firewood? 11. Encourage more public participation such as the, Union of Cncerned Scientists. Pledge: use local firewood, do not cross county lines with firewood, do not leave unused firewood, burn all wood where it was purchased. Organizational Actions: 1. Each state should form an invasive species committee that keeps APHIS, State Departmetn of Agriculture, State Forestry Departments., University, Extension, Federal Forest Service, BLM and diagnostic networks communicating through periodic gatherings and communications. 2. Multiple states that share pathways and similar risk should implement consistent regulations and educational messages so industry, public and agencies do not have 27 conflicting or inconsistent messages. For example the Great Plains states should have similar messages and regulations as should the Rocky Mt and Interior Mountain states that have huge tourist influxes and large firewood consumptions. 3. Promote statewide and municipal tree inventories so the impact of EAB on the ash trees is known to the communities planning for mitigation can be applicable. 4. Municipalities need to figure out an insurance program so funding for tree removals can occur rapidly if an isolated infestation is found. If the infestation is unchecked municipalities and the public will need hundred’s of thousands to millions of dollars to remove and replace urban trees. 5. Firewood needs to be certified by State Departments of Agriculture as to its origin and composition. There is no way for camp grounds or the public to determine where the wood is from unless it is labeled. Unfortunately, for many large firewood companies the company address does not have anything to do with where the wood actually came from. 6. State Departments of Ag and other agencies need to go on a blitz of education of firewood dealers and the public. 7. Educational programs are not organized across regions to spread the same message 8. Municipalities, state parks, homeowners, and farmers with wind breaks are the the entities that will bear the brunt of tree mortality and there are no programs to help mitigate these costs. 9. A environmental impact tax should be implemented on all material imported into North American to provide a “super fund clean up” account for exotic animals, plants, insects and pathogens 6. Data and Information Gaps: Risk prediction and assessment is hampered by the lack of data on: How many woody nursery plants are moved across state lines and from what state of origin and holding locations Location and numbers of natural riparian and urban trees by species-especially hardwoods How long minimally processed wood remains infested with insects and fungi How much firewood is infested with organisms of concern How much firewood is moving across state lines by commercial operations How much firewood is sold How much firewood is moved across state lines by individuals (ie campers,hunters etc) How many minimally processed logs by species are moved across state lines 28 Literature Cited: Baurer, L. S. Miller, D.L., Taylor, R.A.J. Haack, R. A. 2003. Flight potential of the emerald ash borer. IN Mastro, V. Reardon, R. (Eds.) Abstracts of Emerald Ash Borer Research and Technology Development Meeting. Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team. USDA FHTET2004-2. BenDor, T. K., Metcalf, S.S., Fontenot, L. E., Sangunett, B. and Hannon, B. 2006. Modeling the spread of the emerald ash borer. Ecological modeling 197: 221-236 Federal Register June 2007, 72:107 30459-30467 Force, J.E. 1985. Firewood use in Idaho: Implications for forest management. J. of For. Jan, 1985 p36-39. Jacobi, W.R., Koski, R.D., Harrington, T.C., and Witcosky, J.J. 2006. Association of Ophiostoma novo-ulmi with Scolytus schevyrewi Semenov (Scolytidae) in Colorado. Plant Disease 91:245-247. Koski, R and Jacobi, W. R. 2004. Tree pathogen survival in chipped wood mulch. J of Arboriculture 30: 165-171 Krawczk, J.H., Kostichka, C.J. Worf, G.L. and Mahr, D.L. 1982. Polyethylene tarping of elm firewood to prevent elm bark beetle flight. J of Arboriculture 8:292-295. Lippert, F. W. and Dungan, J. L. 1983. 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Modeling local and long distance dispersal of invasive emerald ash borer Agrilus planipennis (Coleoptera) in North America. 29 Negrón, J.F., J.J. Witcosky, R.J. Cain, J.R. LaBonte, D.A. Duerr II, S.J. McElwey, J.C. Lee, and S.J. Seybold. 2005. The banded elm bark beetle: a new threat to elms in North America. American Entomologist: 51: 84-94. Northwest Colorado Council of Governments. 2006. Transitions in mountain Communities. Petrice, T.R. and Haack R. A. 2006. Effects of cutting date, outdoor storage conditions, and splitting on survival of Agrilus planipennis (Coleoptera: Buprestidae) in firewood logs. J Economic Ent. 99:790-796. Poland, T.M. and McCullough, D.G. 2006. Emerald ash borer: Invasion of the urban forest and the threat to North America’s ash resource. J. For. ???? 118-124. Singh, R. and J.R. Shelly. 2006. Evaluating the survival of Phytophthora ramorum in firewood. Final Report. To the USDA For. Serv. PSW Res. Station. 11pp. Sydnor, T. D., Bumgardner, M. and Todd, A. 2007. The potential economic impacts of emerald ash borer (Agrilus planipennis) on Ohio, U.S., Communities. Arboriculture and Urban Forestry 33: 48-54. Svihra, P. 1987. Suitability of elm firewood to bark beetle attack stored under polyethylene sheeting. J of Arboriculture 13: 164-166. Todd, J.J. and P.H.J. Horwitz 1990. Spreading insects through firewood collection in Tasmania. Aust. For. 53: 154-159. United States Dept of Interior, National Park Visitor Studies, Visitor Services Project, University of Idaho, Park Services Unit. John Day Fossil Beds National Monument Visitor Study. 2004. Rept. No.162. 88 pages. Oregon Caves National Monument Visitor Study. 2003. Rept. No.147. 88 pages. Grand Teton National Park Visitor Study. 1997. Rept. No. 97. 110 pages. Crater Lake National Park Visitor Study. 2001. Rept. No.129. 105 pages. Bryce Canyon National Park Visitor Study. 1998. Rept. No.98. 88 pages. Grand Canyon National Park Visitor Study. 2003. Rept. No.144. 125 pages. Yosemite National Park Visitor Study. 2005. Rept. No.168. 103 pages. Mount Rainer National Park Visitor Study. 2001. Rept. No.124. 71 pages. Lassen Volcanic National Park Visitor Study. 199. Rept. No.116. 96 pages. Zion National Park Visitor Study. 1993. Rept. No.50. 64 pages. Olympic National Park Visitor Study. 2001. Rept. No.121. 113 pages. Bent’s Old Fort National Historic Site Visitor Study. 1993. Rept. No.48. 43 pages. Bandelier National Monument Visitor Study. 1995. Rept. No.76. 72 pages. Sequoia and Kings Canyon National Parks Visitor Study. 2002. Rept. No.137. 127 pages. Great Sand Dunes National Monument and Preserve Visitor Study. 2002. Rept. No.134. 85 pages. Arches National Park Visitor Study. 2003. Rept. No.150. 98 pages. Crater of the Moon National Park Visitor Study. 2004. Rept. No.155. 100 pages. 30 Acknowledgements: I would like to thank the numerous volunteers who helped with the west wide firewood survey and providing other information including P. Angwin, J. Blodgett, I. Aguayo, A. Crump, A. Eglitis, H. Kearns, J. Ball, M. Gleason, J. Hoffman, S. Frankel, B. Geils, J. Guyon, E. Goheen, D. Hildebrand, M. Kangas, D. Omdal, J. Morrow, F. Krist, L. Peraino, J. Pronos, T. Shaw, J. Beaty, B. Woodruff, L. Mannix, M. Harrell, A. Kanaskie, P. Zambino, N. Tisserat, J. Walla, M.L. Fairweather, B. Goodrich, R. Koski, Kara Hempy-Myer and acknowledge the help of numerous businesses people who took the time to answer questions over the phone , J. zumbrunnen and others for detailed field work and data analysis and the USDA Forest Service, PNW, WWETAC staff for help, encouragement and discussions. 31 Appendix Appendix: Table 1. New homes in western region in 2006 State Arizona California Colorado Idaho Kansas Montana Nebraska New Mexico Nevada North Dakota Oregon South Dakota Utah Washington Wyoming Number of new homes in 2006 65,363 160,502 38,343 17,075 14,619 4,542 8,230 13,573 39,445 3,529 26,623 5,304 25,873 50,033 3,537 Total 476,591 Appendix: Table 2. Existing Single family homes in the West based on 2005 American Community Survey, U.S. Census. State Arizona California Colorado Idaho Kansas Montana Nebraska New Mexico Nevada North Dakota Oregon South Dakota Utah Washington Wyoming Total Number of homes 1502457 7070138 903259 379948 744580 254458 474682 504354 550125 182490 909113 214246 558769 1584549 146504 15,979,672 32 Appendix Table 3. Nursery stock insepected in 2006 in Colorado by stock type. Nursery Stock Inspected in 2006 by County and Stock Type for Colorado Sum Of QntyInsp Year Month 2006 County Stock Type ADAMS EVERGREEN FRUIT TREE April 2006 Total May 40 ORNAMENTAL ROSES SHADE TREE 300 3924 227 40 400 707 707 656 280 415 1351 1351 1113 7090 115 8618 8618 736 500 1806 1806 9040 1080 13163 13163 2 2 252 365 30 647 647 6501 19942 2985 30218 30218 EVERGREEN 700 95 795 795 FRUIT TREE 100 50 150 150 ORNAMENTAL 350 300 650 650 ROSES 225 400 625 625 SHADE TREE 200 1200 1400 1400 SHRUBS 500 350 850 850 3000 3000 2 790 TURFGRASS VINES 3000 175 100 275 275 5250 2495 7745 7745 EVERGREEN 530 15799 3112 19441 19441 FRUIT TREE 75 1716 2041 3832 3832 ORNAMENTAL 120 2232 1825 4177 4177 ROSES 160 12013 2312 14485 14485 SHADE TREE 120 7080 4167 11367 11367 SHRUBS 640 19879 5701 26220 26220 ALAMOSA Total TURFGRASS VINES ARAPAHOE Total 200 100 1745 200 200 3631 7244 7244 62432 22789 86966 86966 3513 EVERGREEN 1420 1420 1420 FRUIT TREE 321 321 321 ORNAMENTAL 290 290 290 ROSES 850 850 850 SHADE TREE 1640 1640 1640 SHRUBS 1270 1270 1270 650 650 650 6441 6441 6441 36 36 36 VINES ARCHULETA Total EVERGREEN FRUIT TREE ROSES SHADE TREE SHRUBS VINES BACA Total BENT 3924 520 ADAMS Total BACA September 445 2643 VINES ARCHULETA August 2391 50 TURFGRASS ARAPAHOE July 1088 400 SHRUBS ALAMOSA June Grand Total EVERGREEN 2 2 2 61 61 61 66 66 66 218 218 218 3 3 3 386 386 386 12 12 12 33 FRUIT TREE 30 30 30 ROSES 20 20 20 SHADE TREE 39 39 39 SHRUBS 99 99 99 5 5 5 205 205 205 4932 VINES BENT Total BOULDER EVERGREEN 291 338 2781 1302 220 4932 FRUIT TREE 16 398 185 75 60 734 734 ORNAMENTAL 62 524 781 204 50 1621 1621 ROSES 333 593 6051 864 200 8041 8041 SHADE TREE 48 614 2338 220 20 3240 3240 SHRUBS 77 925 12656 1218 1150 16026 16026 90 160 24 274 274 420 400 894 431 480 2625 2625 1247 3882 25846 4314 2204 37493 37493 150 1215 1920 540 3825 3825 65 125 62 220 568 568 165 159 140 1475 1939 1939 TURFGRASS VINES BOULDER Total BROOMFIELD EVERGREEN FRUIT TREE 96 ORNAMENTAL ROSES SHADE TREE SHRUBS VINES BROOMFIELD Total CHAFFEE 305 560 262 640 1767 1767 112 65 490 127 670 1464 1464 85 540 641 305 2760 4331 4331 187 112 220 529 529 1290 3377 2928 6525 14423 14423 10 303 EVERGREEN 1680 1680 1680 FRUIT TREE 185 185 185 ORNAMENTAL 397 397 397 ROSES 277 277 277 SHADE TREE 370 370 370 SHRUBS 523 523 523 VINES 145 145 145 CHAFFEE Total COSTILLA 3577 3577 3577 40 40 40 40 40 40 EVERGREEN 100 100 100 FRUIT TREE 25 25 25 ORNAMENTAL 25 25 25 ROSES 50 50 50 SHADE TREE 100 100 100 SHRUBS 150 150 150 25 25 25 475 475 475 ORNAMENTAL COSTILLA Total CUSTER VINES CUSTER Total DELTA EVERGREEN 2450 1585 4035 4035 FRUIT TREE 1080 1060 2140 2140 ORNAMENTAL 1000 880 1880 1880 ROSES 2300 4950 7250 7250 SHADE TREE 6200 3725 9925 9925 SHRUBS 5500 4350 9850 9850 VINES DELTA Total DENVER EVERGREEN 1150 1225 2375 2375 19680 17775 37455 37455 4557 4557 735 34 2157 465 1200 FRUIT TREE 140 173 120 322 755 755 ORNAMENTAL 130 1296 270 750 2446 2446 1835 6400 1020 15 9373 9373 60 310 287 2000 2657 2657 1015 2946 4276 5400 13637 13637 70 120 120 20 500 2540 554 400 4014 4014 123 10157 ROSES 103 SHADE TREE SHRUBS TURFGRASS VINES DENVER Total DOUGLAS 50 4415 15872 6992 37559 37559 EVERGREEN 255 7189 2961 10405 10405 FRUIT TREE 90 2773 2469 5332 5332 ORNAMENTAL 170 3602 2676 6448 6448 ROSES 355 2054 5236 7645 7645 SHADE TREE 164 12166 3041 15371 15371 1000 4835 5638 11473 11473 SHRUBS TURFGRASS VINES DOUGLAS Total EAGLE 560 250 2284 34412 23451 60147 60147 10597 10597 FRUIT TREE 285 2248 2533 2533 ORNAMENTAL 400 4976 5376 5376 2100 4002 6102 6102 35250 8398 43648 43648 SHRUBS 4050 8502 12552 12552 VINES 1030 3557 4587 4587 44645 40750 85395 85395 EVERGREEN 10730 2955 13685 13685 FRUIT TREE 1883 1770 3653 3653 ORNAMENTAL 2195 1685 3880 3880 ROSES 5540 1850 7390 7390 SHADE TREE 5920 6055 11975 11975 16400 5875 22275 22275 706 361 1067 1067 1975 1075 3050 3050 45349 21626 66975 66975 SHRUBS TURFGRASS VINES EL PASO Total EVERGREEN 225 225 225 FRUIT TREE 326 326 326 ORNAMENTAL 200 200 200 ROSES 150 150 150 SHADE TREE 250 250 250 SHRUBS 275 275 275 VINES 200 200 200 1626 1626 1626 ELBERT Total EVERGREEN 1175 1175 1175 FRUIT TREE 350 350 350 ORNAMENTAL 300 300 300 1190 1190 1190 ROSES SHADE TREE SHRUBS VINES FREMONT Total 2913 9067 EAGLE Total FREMONT 2913 1530 SHADE TREE ELBERT 560 1430 1233 EVERGREEN ROSES EL PASO 560 527 527 527 3855 3855 3855 455 455 455 7852 7852 7852 35 GARFIELD EVERGREEN 550 3430 3980 3980 FRUIT TREE 100 1090 1190 1190 ORNAMENTAL 320 1105 1425 1425 ROSES 1550 5900 7450 7450 SHADE TREE 2050 7060 9110 9110 SHRUBS 1200 8010 9210 9210 175 2290 2465 2465 5945 28885 VINES GARFIELD Total GRAND EVERGREEN ORNAMENTAL ROSES SHADE TREE 14 14 158 65 65 VINES 16 16 16 366 366 366 2295 2295 2295 620 620 620 ROSES 1450 1450 1450 SHADE TREE 5700 5700 5700 SHRUBS 3100 3100 3100 EVERGREEN 390 390 390 13555 13555 13555 EVERGREEN 216 1822 3656 2837 8531 8531 FRUIT TREE 189 675 819 466 2149 2149 ORNAMENTAL 185 1346 739 1375 3645 3645 ROSES 299 1748 2256 915 5218 5218 89 655 878 1997 3619 3619 866 2539 3865 1759 9029 9029 15 84 381 2 482 482 SHADE TREE SHRUBS TURFGRASS VINES JEFFERSON Total 90 756 751 628 2225 2225 1949 9625 13345 9979 34898 34898 EVERGREEN 483 483 483 FRUIT TREE 48 48 48 ORNAMENTAL 50 50 50 ROSES 482 482 482 SHADE TREE 496 496 496 SHRUBS 757 757 757 52 52 52 VINES KIT CARSON Total 2368 2368 2368 EVERGREEN 6550 6550 6550 FRUIT TREE 1130 1130 1130 ORNAMENTAL 1600 1600 1600 ROSES 5800 5800 5800 SHADE TREE 29050 29050 29050 SHRUBS 8100 8100 8100 VINES 2225 2225 2225 54455 54455 54455 LA PLATA Total LARIMER 2 14 158 VINES LA PLATA 2 65 GUNNISON Total KIT CARSON 111 2 158 ORNAMENTAL JEFFERSON 34830 111 SHRUBS GRAND Total GUNNISON 34830 111 EVERGREEN 2115 2817 300 5232 5232 FRUIT TREE 402 1541 350 2293 2293 ORNAMENTAL 376 2035 500 2911 2911 36 ROSES 2512 3016 200 5728 5728 SHADE TREE 1174 4617 1000 6791 6791 SHRUBS 4045 6000 680 10725 10725 VINES 1582 398 56 2036 2036 12206 20424 3086 35716 35716 LARIMER Total LAS ANIMAS EVERGREEN 110 110 110 FRUIT TREE 45 45 45 ORNAMENTAL 12 12 12 135 135 135 ROSES SHADE TREE 55 55 55 SHRUBS 295 295 295 VINES 145 145 145 797 797 797 36 37 37 75 75 75 LAS ANIMAS Total LINCOLN EVERGREEN 1 FRUIT TREE ORNAMENTAL 6 10 16 16 ROSES 2 20 22 22 SHADE TREE 28 25 53 53 SHRUBS 85 40 125 125 5 5 5 VINES LINCOLN Total LOGAN 333 333 EVERGREEN 1850 122 1850 1850 FRUIT TREE 370 370 370 ORNAMENTAL 620 620 620 ROSES 440 440 440 SHADE TREE SHRUBS VINES LOGAN Total MESA 435 435 435 1520 1520 1520 130 130 130 5365 5365 5365 EVERGREEN 705 6090 6795 6795 FRUIT TREE 475 2345 2820 2820 ORNAMENTAL 375 7490 7865 7865 ROSES 900 11125 12025 12025 SHADE TREE 2250 16000 18250 18250 SHRUBS 1600 10425 12025 12025 275 2650 2925 2925 6580 56125 62705 62705 VINES MESA Total MOFFAT EVERGREEN 65 65 65 FRUIT TREE 28 28 28 ORNAMENTAL 35 35 35 ROSES 60 60 60 SHADE TREE 47 47 47 145 145 145 SHRUBS MOFFAT Total MONTEZUMA 211 380 380 EVERGREEN 3240 380 3240 3240 FRUIT TREE 1290 1290 1290 ORNAMENTAL 1450 1450 1450 ROSES 4350 4350 4350 SHADE TREE 7775 7775 7775 SHRUBS 6000 6000 6000 37 VINES MONTEZUMA Total MONTROSE 1850 25955 25955 25955 1320 2500 3820 3820 FRUIT TREE 840 500 1340 1340 ORNAMENTAL 780 750 1530 1530 ROSES 1400 2000 3400 3400 SHADE TREE 4150 10500 14650 14650 SHRUBS 1870 2000 3870 3870 570 600 1170 1170 10930 18850 29780 29780 EVERGREEN 1520 14 1534 1534 FRUIT TREE 300 300 300 ORNAMENTAL 680 680 680 MONTROSE Total ROSES 1450 19 1469 1469 SHADE TREE 2515 8 2523 2523 SHRUBS 2075 35 2110 2110 VINES MORGAN Total OTERO 1850 EVERGREEN VINES MORGAN 1850 327 8867 76 477 477 FRUIT TREE 269 269 269 ORNAMENTAL 60 60 60 ROSES 66 66 66 SHADE TREE 276 276 276 SHRUBS 620 620 620 80 80 80 1848 1848 1848 EVERGREEN 150 150 150 ORNAMENTAL 200 200 200 SHADE TREE 500 500 500 SHRUBS OURAY Total 500 500 500 1350 1350 1350 EVERGREEN 17 17 17 FRUIT TREE 5 5 5 ORNAMENTAL 25 25 25 ROSES 10 10 10 4 4 4 15 15 15 7 7 7 SHADE TREE SHRUBS VINES PARK Total PHILLIPS 83 83 EVERGREEN 83 10 10 10 FRUIT TREE 20 20 20 ORNAMENTAL 15 15 15 ROSES 15 15 15 SHADE TREE 20 20 20 SHRUBS 30 30 30 110 110 110 PHILLIPS Total PITKIN 8943 477 OTERO Total PARK 327 8943 EVERGREEN VINES OURAY 327 EVERGREEN 350 350 350 FRUIT TREE 25 25 25 ORNAMENTAL 75 75 75 950 950 950 ROSES 38 SHADE TREE SHRUBS VINES PITKIN Total PROWERS 750 750 4300 4300 358 358 84 84 84 1189 1189 1189 530 530 530 1877 1877 1877 VINES PROWERS Total 35 35 35 4073 4073 4073 EVERGREEN 1675 160 1835 1835 FRUIT TREE 2221 195 2416 2416 906 90 996 996 ROSES 2965 180 3145 3145 SHADE TREE 2726 235 2961 2961 SHRUBS 5435 1590 7025 7025 TURFGRASS 1071 1071 1071 VINES 1465 85 1550 1550 18464 2535 20999 20999 310 300 610 610 50 50 50 200 210 210 375 90 465 465 10 150 160 160 SHRUBS 650 350 1000 1000 VINES 230 40 270 270 1585 1180 2765 2765 EVERGREEN 290 290 290 FRUIT TREE 197 197 197 ORNAMENTAL 265 265 265 ROSES 146 146 146 SHADE TREE 990 990 990 SHRUBS 675 675 675 ORNAMENTAL PUEBLO Total EVERGREEN FRUIT TREE ORNAMENTAL 10 ROSES SHADE TREE RIO GRANDE Total ROUTT Total SUMMIT 750 4300 358 SHRUBS ROUTT 850 1300 FRUIT TREE SHADE TREE RIO GRANDE 850 1300 EVERGREEN ROSES PUEBLO 850 1300 2563 2563 2563 389 389 389 ORNAMENTAL 37 37 37 ROSES 81 81 81 SHADE TREE 284 284 284 SHRUBS 313 313 313 3 3 3 53 53 53 1160 1160 1160 215 215 EVERGREEN TURFGRASS VINES SUMMIT Total WASHINGTON EVERGREEN ORNAMENTAL 15 80 80 80 ROSES 300 40 340 340 SHADE TREE 150 12 162 162 SHRUBS 200 30 230 230 930 97 1027 1027 5260 5260 WASHINGTON Total WELD 200 EVERGREEN 1725 39 3435 100 FRUIT TREE 245 970 ORNAMENTAL 200 1270 1405 2160 365 1700 80 2145 2145 4249 10920 50 15219 15219 ROSES SHADE TREE SHRUBS TURFGRASS VINES WELD Total YUMA EVERGREEN 185 FRUIT TREE 10 ORNAMENTAL 93 ROSES SHADE TREE SHRUBS YUMA Total Grand Total 20 1215 1215 1490 1490 3565 3565 150 150 150 201 825 1026 1026 8390 21430 30070 30070 465 465 250 280 10 10 65 158 158 290 290 290 49 105 154 154 346 295 641 641 683 1035 1718 1718 867490 867490 57447 328470 341818 117158 40 22487 110 Appendix Table 4. Visitor and Camper Data from National Parks in Western U.S. Region State Visitors to National Parks in 2006 Rocky Mt New Mexico Colorado 1,620,457 5,289,308 Wyoming Great Plains Interior West Coastal Parks in estimate Average percent visitors from eastern US 31,950 448,722 Bandelier Great Sand 25 29 7,987 130,129 5,322,531 1,163,045 37.5 (30-45) 436,142 Montana Sub total 3,897,415 16,129,711 920,550 2,564,267 Grand Teton Yellowstone Glacier 35 31.6 322,192 896,450 North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska Kansas Sub total 472,986 3,703,047 225,937 125,408 4,527,378 20,768 40,182 0 0 60,950 31.6* 19,260 Idaho Utah 435,806 7,840,356 11,860 1,651,779 23 31.3 (27-35) 2,727 517,006 Nevada Arizona Sub total 5,911,839 10,543,205 24,731,206 830,032 1,661,150 4,160,821 Washington 6,518,791 661,417 Oregon California 806,344 32,906,849 Over night Visitors in 2006 68,973 2,898,448 Craters of Moon Zion Arches Bryce Grand Canyon Olympic Mt Rainier Crater Lake, Oregon Caves John Day Lassen Yosemite Sequoia 45* 45.0 373,514 747,517 1,640,764 20 (15-25) 132,283 12.7 (10-18) 8,759 16.7 (5-20) 484,041 Sub total 40,231,984 3,628,838 Total 88,574,737 10,414,876 * Data derived from other near by state sources since state data not available. Total visitor numbers and over night visitors from NPS Public Statistic Office from 2006 visitor data. Average percent of visitors from east of the Mississippi available from online from University of Idaho, Park Services Unit. Average number of visitors camping from east = (% visitors from east X over night visitors) 41 Estimated number of campers from eastern US 625,083 3,181,557 Appendix Table 5. Firewood Transportation by Campers Survey in Colorado Summer 2007. HOME STATE/ COUNTRY FREQUENCY PERCENT AK 1 0.21 AR 1 0.21 AZ 5 1.03 CA 7 1.45 CANADA 3 0.63 CO 138 28.51 FL 6 1.24 IA 8 1.65 IL 15 3.1 IN 5 1.03 KS 20 4.13 LA 2 0.41 MA 4 0.83 MEXICO 1 0.21 MI 4 0.83 MN 5 1.03 MO 15 3.1 MT 1 0.21 NB 1 0.21 NC 1 0.21 NE 5 1.03 NJ 1 0.21 NM 8 1.65 NV 1 0.21 NY 1 0.21 OH 3 0.62 OK 9 1.86 OR 1 0.21 PA 1 0.21 SC 1 0.21 SWITZERLAND 1 0.21 TN 2 0.41 TX 14 2.89 VA 2 0.41 VT 1 0.21 WI 3 0.62 WY 2 0.41 78 16.12 106 21.9 CAR/CAMPERS NOT AT SITE EMPTY SITE Campgrounds in survey: Rocky Mountain NP, Glacier Basin(7/27/2007),Morraine Park (7/24/2007), Great Sand Dunes NP and Preserve, Pinyon Flats (7/20/2007), Arapahoe/Roosevelt NF, Dowdy Lakes (7/5/2007), Bel-Aire Lakes(7/5/2007), Mountain Park (7/5/2007), and West Lake (7/5/2007) Total sites visited 484 and home states recorded on 300. 42 Appendix Table 6. State source of firewood of camper firewood STATE SOURCE AZ CO KS LA MO NE OK TX UT WY NO WOOD FREQUENCY PERCENT 2 143 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 52 0.96 68.42 0.96 0.48 0.96 0.96 0.48 0.96 0.48 0.48 24.88 Of campers with firewood: 48.0 % bought it from local vendors, 20.3% brought it from home or cut it on their property. 43 Apendix Table 7. Example of camper survey of firewood use data sheet Colorado Campground Firewood Survey Comments: Comments 44 Ascomycete fruiting bodies stain fungi bark beetles Bark on Species 2? (y/n) Species 2 ** 1=conifer 2=hardwood 3= both Bark on Species 1? (y/n) Home state of camper Species 1 ** 1=RV 2=trailer 3=tent trailer 4=tent 5=other State Source Camp ground code site number Date collected (mm/dd/yy) NP Information about wood 45 Appendix Table 8. West wide retail firewood survey results: Spring/Summer 2007. State Arizona California Colorado Big box stores Farm and ranch Convenience stores Grocery stores Tree care Flagstaff 4 2 0 0 0 0 Berkeley 0 2 0 0 0 1 Redding 0 3 0 0 0 Kingsburg 1 1 0 0 Sonora 3 1 0 Truckee 1 3 0 Tahoe City 4 3 Susanville 0 Durango 1 Fort Collins Evidence of insects % of bundles Evidence of fungi % of bundles Out of state hardwood 4 2 0 6 0 100 2 1 1 1 2 0 30 0 3 0 1 1 1 33 100 1 2 3 2 1 4 0 80 40 0 0 1 5 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 2 5 0 42 72 4 0 0 0 0 4 0 3 1 0 0 50 1 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 3 1 60 40 4 3 0 1 0 0 8 0 1 7 0 80 20 CO Springs 2 3 0 0 0 0 3 2 2 3 0 100 50 Pueblo 1 4 0 0 0 0 5 0 4 0 1 100 100 Avon 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 1 100 100 Glenwood Sp 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 0 100 100 Rifle 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 100 100 Moscow1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 100 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 6 0 0 50 50 Reno 3 5 0 0 0 0 6 2 2 6 0 25 100 Carson City 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 1 0 0 50 South Lake Tahoe 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 75 Fargo/Grand Forks 7 1 0 0 0 0 2 6 7 0 0 71 28 Sandy 1 4 2 1 0 0 4 4 0 6 2 40 40 Bend 1 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 0 6 0 83 100 Medford 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 2 1 33 0 Rapid City 1 3 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 2 3 100 80 Ogden 2 2 0 0 2 0 6 0 2 4 0 100 100 State/city Other local conifer Both 100 Kansas2 Idaho Coeur de Alene Boise Montana Missoula4 Nebraska Nevada New Mexico North Dakota Oregon South Dakota Utah 46 Washington Wyoming TOTAL Olympia 2 2 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 2 0 83 Green River2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 2 100 0 50 66 11 2 3 4 82 54 50 71 15 60.0 57.4 36.7% 48.0% 8.0% 1.5% 2.2% 2.9% 60.3% 39.7% 36.7% 52.2% 11.0% TOTAL Percent of total 136 1 In Moscow ID area the survey found most firewood is from local sources and many carry wax logs and or pellets. One convenience store had three suppliers from CO, BC and Kroger- Eastern looking hardwoods.\ 3 Kansas is conducting a survey of firewood dealers in Ks. Their data are slightly different that the west side survey so it is not presented in this table. They did find fire wood from AR, CA, CO, MO, NM, and TX. Big box stores bring in hardwoods from TX, CA but the exact source is unknown. 4 At Missoula MT there was little firewood found since it is seasonal and there are strict burning bans in effect. 2 Not all columns add up equally since one store had three different bundles of firewood. 47 83 Appendix Table 9: Example of firewood survey form for Spring/Summer 2007 Western United States Firewood Survey Ascomycete fruiting bodies Basdiomycete fruiting bodies stain fungi Phone number bark beetles Zip code Evidence of insects and/or fungi in wood (y/n) borers Wood Supplier Name State Information of wood dealer (if available) State Source Species 2 ** 1=conifer 2=hardwood 3= both Bark on Species 2? (y/n) Name of Business Where Wood is Sold Species 1 ** 1=corner store 2=grocery store 3=department store 4=tree care 5=firewood supply 6=other Bark on Species 1? (y/n) Zip Code Date of Survey collected Location (mm/dd/yy) (or city) State Information about wood collected Comments: Comments Comments Comments ** Species: pine = 1, fir = 2, other conifer = 3, oak = 4, ash = 5, aspen = 6, other hardwood=7, not determinable = 8/ Use next line for evid. of insects data if two spec. in bundle Survey minimums: I will take any and all data. However, I would greatly appreciate if you are in a large town to obtain data from at least two examples of three types of businesses . You may enter the data and send me the spread sheet or you can print the form and just write on the form and fax it to me (and I will enter the data). Thank you for your help with this survey! Bill Jacobi, william.jacobi@colostate.edu. Feel free to call: (970) 491-6927, fax: (970) 491-3862, or email with questions or comments on the survey. 48 Appendix Table 10. Large retail outlets in Western U.S. that may sell firewood. Large retail outlets in Western US State Arizona California Colorado Idaho Kansas Montana Nebraska New Mexico Nevada North Dakota Orgeon South Dakota Utah Washington Wyoming Total Wal mart super centers 51 25 48 16 45 9 27 28 23 7 14 12 28 25 10 Wal mart discount centers 23 144 13 3 10 3 0 3 4 2 15 0 2 20 0 Wal-mart Distribution centers 3 9 2 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 3 2 1 Home Depot stores 54 229 45 10 16 0 8 0 0 0 23 1 20 45 5 Home Depot Distribution centers 2 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 Lowes stores 25 85 22 7 10 5 5 10 14 3 11 3 12 28 1 Grocery stores 616 3645 455 146 276 94 176 195 249 63 370 78 255 639 51 Convenience stores 2808 16602 2072 668 1259 430 805 890 1136 290 1685 3989 1161 2912 235 Census population 6166318 36457549 4550688 1466465 2764075 944632 1768331 1954599 2495529 635867 3700758 781919 2550063 6395798 515004 368 242 26 456 18 241 7308 36943 73147595 49 Table 11. Estimated firewood volumes sold per year in western region. Big box-Wal-Mart and home depot 1,307at 50% carrying firewood1 635 Grocery at 75% carrying firewood1 5,481 Convenience at 30% carrying firewood1 total outlets with wood total X 38% average out of state firewood 1 11,083 17,199 6,536 x4 cords/yr =2,540 x2 cords/yr = 10,962 x1 cords/yr = 11,083 24,585 cords 9,342 cords See Table 10 for counts and estimates of retail outlets. 50 Appendix Table 12. Pathways of exotic pest movement on wood material into and within Western United States. Pathway Nursery Stock Original Source Production nursery in origin state Mid point Transport to wholesaler in another state Final location retail nursery in new state big box store directly to landscape site Natural tree corridors Introduction location Riparian area, Urban forest, Wind breaks Rocky Mountain Front Range L Commercial firewood Commercial production yard Pruning materials Saw mill residue Land clearing Forest management Wholesale warehouse Grocery store Convenience store Big box store Commercial restaurant M M M L Camper firewood Grocery store Convenience store Big box store Local forest- small dealer or self Campgrounds between home and destination Campground National Park Private campground Forest Service Campground M M H L Small firewood dealers Local dead trees Pruning material Tree removals Near by state with hardwood Dealer storage yard Homeowner Convenience store Restaurant Camp ground H L L M Second home owner Local forest- small dealer or self Commercial supply Motel if home more that one day away Forest City Lake or ocean L M M Pallets/packing material Asia Local hardwood sources Warehouses across country Cities and businesses H Logs for products ? future research ? Bio Fuels ?future research? 51 Risk H H H Appendix Table 13. Detailed Pathway Risk Analysis Summary for Nursery Stock Pathway Nursery Stock Original Source Production nursery in origin state Mid point Transport to wholesaler in another state Final location retail nursery in new state big box store directly to landscape site landscape after retail Risk H Invasives Borers Canker fungi Stain fungi Root fungi Notes: Original source-Nursery production risk: High: Nurseries are at a high risk for receiving and introducing new exotic pathogens and insects because of the volume of plant movement into these locations from various locations including overseas shipments. Fungi may hybridize between exotic and native strains and provide for new strains that can attack native plants that might not have been able to since they were exotics. Large production nurseries have a lot of professional talent that monitors the plant quality so the high risk is offset by monitoring of plant health. Mid point risk: High. If plants are transported to a holding location it is not known by the receiving site where the plants might have been. If the holding location is near exotic or native pests that do not reside in the receiving location there is the potential for infestation of the plants while they are in holding. The plants will be slightly stressed because of the holding situation so will be susceptible to infestation. Final location: High. Plants in retail nurseries are usually close to cities or within cities so insects will not have far to fly to reach a host. Cities have multiple hardwood and conifer species in their populations that can act as hosts for exotics. The landscape where the plant is established is obviously even a better final location for an exotic. However, retail outlets have professionals present that will monitor the stock and find infested materials before it leaves the yard. Big box stores usually have seasonal staff handling plant that might not be as familiar with insects and disease. The highest risk is with plants moving directly to landscape installation sites where there is less chance of someone noticing a plant health problem. Invasives: High .All listed groups should be able to be transported and have been transported via nursery stock. 52 Appendix Table 14. Detailed Pathway Risk Analysis Summary for Natural Tree Corridors Pathway Natural tree corridors Original Source Introduction location Mid point Riparian area, Urban forest, Wind breaks Final location Risk Invasives Western Region H- but slow Borers Rest of west via human movement Canker fungi Stain fungi Root fungi Notes: Original source: Example-Location in Chicago- High: Large cities have many plant materials, firewood, packing materials moving into and through these locations. Mid point risk: High. If EAB is moving from east to west through the natural and urban forests then it will move easily north and south in communities and forests that are near an east-west corridor. Once EAB reaches the eastern Great Plains states the risk to spread is less in the western parts of the states since tree density is much less except along riparian corridors. In North and South Dakota ash wind breaks are much more common in the western half of the state than in Colorado, Nebraska, and Kansas. Example: Riparian zone along the Platte River has green ash component all the way to Colorado Front Range via the South Platte and Poudre Rivers. Management would be much easier in the Great Plains where ash trees are less common and eradication would be feasible. Final location: High. The Front Range of Colorado has a high density of ash in urban locations. Movement to the other states in the west will have to be primarily by human movement of nursery stock or firewood or minimally processed wood. Ash host type does exist in riparian zones in the south western states so if the insect was transported to these areas it could move but the riparian areas are separated by large distances so there is a low risk of movement to other large urban areas of AZ and CA Invasives: High. Primarily flying insects can move the easiest this way and fungi vectored by insects can be moved easily such as the new ambrosia beetles on red bay. 53 Appendix Table 15. Detailed Pathway Risk Analysis Summary for Commercial Firewood Pathway Original Source Mid point Final location Risk Invasives Commercial firewood Commercial production yard Pruning materials Saw mill residue Land clearing Forest management Wholesale warehouse Grocery store Convenience store Big box store Commercial restaurant Camper- see next line Moderate Borers Canker fungi Stain fungi Decay fungi Notes: Original source Risk: - Low to Moderate: Potentially from land clearing or tree removals in EAB infestation area People will be trying to make money from the large amount of ash killed and removed from urban areas in the infested areas. If only one person puts this wood into the firewood pathway, it might be moved to many states within months. Education of firewood companies should be a top priority of APHIS and State Department of Agricultures and Forest Services. Mid point risk: High. If the firewood source is moved to a processing area then that area there is a high probability that infestation of surrounding hosts will occur. Final location: Moderate. Firewood is sold inside and outside of convenience, grocery, and big box stores and supplied as heating fuel through out the west. If infested firewood is moved to an urban community rish is hight since in most towns ash is a large component of the urban forest.. Invasives: High .Primarily flying insects can move easily this way and fungi vectored by insects can be moved easily such as the new ambrosia beetles on red bay. Decay fungi and canker fungi can be moved when the wood is taken home and it sits outside and it can get wet from irrigation or precipitation events. 54 Appendix Table 16. Detailed Pathway Risk Analysis Summary for Camper Firewood Pathway Original Source Mid point Final location Risk Camper firewood Grocery store Convenience store Big box store Local forest- small dealer or self Campgrounds Campground ? National Park Private campground Forest Service Campground Invasives Borers Bark beetles Canker fungi Notes: Original source Risk: Low to Moderate. Firewood could potentially come from land clearing or tree removals in EAB infestation area. People will be trying to make money from the large amount of ash killed and removed from urban areas in the infested areas. If only one person puts this wood into the firewood pathways it might be moved to many states within months. Education of firewood companies should be a top priority of APHIS and State Department of Agricultures and Forest Services. Mid point risk: High. If the firewood source is moved to a processing area then that area there is a high probability that infestation of surround hosts will occur. Final location: High. Firewood is sold inside and outside of convenience, grocery, and big box stores through out the west. If infested firewood is move to an urban community there is most likely in larger towns (> 20,000) or towns with expanding populations numerous ash since it has become a major species in new housing and commercial developments over the last decades. If the camper firewood is moved to high elevation conifer dominated camp sites then the risk of introduction is low since there are few hosts nearby. The potentially huge amount of firewood moving by campers is suggested by the 10 million campers that head to National Park campgrounds each year in the west. Invasives: High. Primarily flying insects can move easily this way. Decay fungi and canker fungi are at low risk of movement but can be moved when the wood is taken home and it sits outside and it can get wet from irrigation or precipitation events. 55 Appendix Table 17. Detailed Pathway Risk Analysis Summary for Small local firewood dealers Pathway Original Source Mid point Final location Risk Invasives Small firewood dealers Local dead trees Pruning material Tree removals Near by state with hardwood Dealer storage yard Homeowner Convenience store Restaurant Camp ground high Borers Bark beetles Canker fungi Notes: Original source Risk: Moderate. Firewood could potentially come from land clearing or tree removals in EAB infestation area. People will be trying to make money from the large amount of ash killed and removed from urban areas in the infested areas. If only one person puts this wood into the firewood pathways it might be moved to many states within months. Small firewood companies are probably not well informed on were quarantined areas are or what the latest exotic pest is. Education of firewood companies should be a top priority of APHIS and State Department of Agricultures and Forest Services. Mid point risk: High. If the firewood source is moved to a processing area then that area there is a high probability that infestation of surround hosts will occur. We do not have any estimate of the amount of firewood being moved across state lines by small local firewood dealers. This will need to be obtained some how. Final location: High. Firewood is usually sold by truck lots to homeowners or commercial establishment like restaurants. If the wood is kept drive the canker and decay fungi will not move. Stain fungi moved by bark beetles can move if there are bark beetles present. Wood borers will have an easy time moving to nearby host if the buyer is in an urban location. Invasives: High. Primarily flying insects can move easily this way. Decay fungi and canker fungi are at low risk of movement but can be moved when the wood is taken home and it sits outside and it can get wet from irrigation or precipitation events. 56 Appendix Table 18. Detailed Pathway Risk Analysis Summary for Second home owners Pathway Original Source Mid point Final location Risk Invasives Second home owner Local forest- small dealer or self Commercial supply Motel Forest City Lake or ocean H L H Insects and cankers etc Notes: Original source Risk: High. Firewood could potentially come from commercial or tree removals in EAB infestation area. People will bring firewood if it is readily available at home and expensive or not available at their second home. I hope the education of second home owners can become another target of education activities in the next year for APHIS and regional dept of agricultures and state forest services. Mid point risk: Low. The firewood will probably be hauled in a pickup and moved rapidly to the second home with most likely only one over night stop since if the second home is over 2 days away one would assume firewood would not seem like a worthwhile material to haul that far. Final location: High. Firewood movement by second home owners to locations where host trees exist provides for high risk of a beetle or borer to move into the surround trees. Many homes in the west are located near lakes in the Great Plains where ash might be present. In the Rocky Mt and Interior areas many second home are in confer forests so the risk is lowered. However many mountain communities have green ash for street trees. The amount of second homes in the west is estimated at 1.5 million so there is a good probability some one will carry firewood. Even at 0.1 percent there is 1,500 folks heading to their cabins with firewood. Invasives: High. Primarily flying insects can move easily this way. Decay fungi and canker fungi are at low risk of movement but can be moved when the wood is taken home and it sits outside and it can get wet from irrigation or precipitation events. 57 Nursery Stock Movement 1 4 1 2 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Nursery Stock Movement to a Nursery in Colorado 24 Nurseries 17 States Appendix Figure 1. Nursery stock movement example. 58 Appendix Figure 2. Natural ash tree connections and potential movement of emerald ash borer. Arrow thickness represents the the estimated ease of movement based on contiguous host type. 59 Appendix Figure 3: Fraxinus latifolia in Oregon 60 Appendix Figure 4. Map of Fraxinus velutina distribution 61 Appendix Figure 5. Map of Faxinus cuspidate distribution 62 Appendix Figure 6. Map of Faxinus anomala distribution 63 Appendix Figure 7. Map of new house data in 2006 64 65