FULL EDITING MODULE: FRIDAY AFTERNOON Task brief The text below is a translation of an article that was published on the website of Polityka, a Polish current affairs weekly. The translation was done by a mother-tongue speaker of Polish. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- High risk tourism Travelling without a smile Travel agency bankruptcies reminded us of the dark sides to sunny holidays. Not only can we catch a disease, but also unexpectedly find ourselves with a suitcase on the beach, waiting for a plane to take us home. Is there anything we can do to prevent this? There had been whispers in the tourism industry that Selectours is in bad shape for quite some time. At least a year or two. There was some indirect evidence for this: the company had failed to reveal their financial results for the previous year and was looking for an investor nervously. Rainbow Tours, a listed company, betrayed some interest, but no deal transpired. This should also be food for thought. Still, it was only whispers since no one can officially assess an agency’s financial condition unless they themselves admit that they are experiencing problems. And one cannot publicly voice any suspicions because it would be a kiss of death for the company concerned. Many companies in the Polish foreign tourism industry had suffered more or less serious difficulties, so it was hoped that Selectours can somehow dig themselves out of their problems. They were not a here-today-gone-tomorrow company. Active on the Polish market since 1992, Selectours was one of the big boys. It specialised in Middle East countries — Egypt, Tunisia, Jordan and Morocco. Awarded multiple times, it enjoyed a good opinion among its clients. Internet sites are full of favourable reviews for Selectours. Some are from the end of August, i.e. just prior to bankruptcy. „Everything that the Selekturs [sic] travel agency promised was true. There’s no scam. 8 days for 400 GBP. The accommodation and eatables were super, the reef fantastic, and the animations and swimming pools excellent. It’s a shame to leave”, a holiday-maker has commented. If he had gone to Egypt a week or two later, he would have an opportunity to appear before cameras of TVN24 and say that he would never forgive Selectours for ruining his holiday and that he would go to court for it. Unlucky optimists In response to the question why Selectours went bankrupt, the industry experts only smile. Alpina Tour, Big Blue, SDS Holidays, El Greco, Open Travel or, one year ago, Kopernik, all failed for the same reasons. Foreign tourism is a high-risk branch. Overly optimistic sales plans and cash flow problems are sufficient. The art lies in predicting clients’ demand for trips abroad and their preferred destinations before the season starts. Next one needs to reserve the right amount of hotel rooms and seats on chartered flights. After the contracts are signed, and the deposits and advance payments are made to hoteliers and flight carriers, there’s no going back. If an offer is sold at the earlier calculated price, the company makes profits, if not – problems begin. This year seemed very promising. The previous year had also been decent, because Polish tourists, despite the economic crisis, hadn’t lost their appetite for foreign trips and one could have judged that 2010 should be similar or better still. „In the first quarter we had sales 20% higher, compared to the same period in 2009. Everything suggested this year’s results would be excellent”, explained Krzysztof Piątek, president of Neckermann Poland. And then came the day no one will forget – 10th April, 2010. The economy suddenly went into depression. According to president Piątek, it wasn’t so much national mourning that caused the depression as constant media analyses of the Polish president’s plane crash in Tupolev. Tourists don’t like watching the remnants of crashed aeroplanes when they set off for their holidays abroad. It puts many people off from plane travel. In any case, the Icelandic volcano erupted shortly thereafter, paralysing air traffic over Europe. For travel companies this meant another reduction in clients and additional costs related to the impossibility of getting people to and from their destinations as planned. Next came the Polish floods, which also limited demand for foreign holidays. Strikes started in Greece which, in the opinion of Polish travel agency bosses, were given too much TV airtime. Although the incidents shown on TV concerned Athens, and not Crete, Corfu, Rodos, or Zakynthos, the clients, fearing potential problems, chose not to go to Greece and many decided to stay at home. All the optimistic forecasts fell through. Now, instead of generating profit, travel companies had to think intensively about how to minimize losses. To this end, travel agencies opted for promotions and last minute offers, because if one has to choose between sending a half empty plane or selling the tickets for half price, one chooses the latter. „Someone who pays 200 GBP for a week in Egypt should be aware that this price barely covers transport costs. What about accommodation costs? This should be a warning signal”, explains president Piątek. Travel pyramid Tourist agencies that overestimated the market potential usually try to escape forwards and find new clients at any cost in order to fill the aeroplanes and booked hotels in the hope that the economy will improve. This means that they begin to operate like a financial pyramid: the money from new clients pays the bills of their predecessors’ holidays. Such a mechanism works during the holiday season but, as autumn approaches, it begins to fail. There are fewer new clients and the expenditure for old ones rises. And to cap it all, agencies have to face exchange rate fluctuations, which this year particularly affected companies specialising in the Middle East. For transactions there are calculated in USD, and Polish zloty weakened against the USD. Another option is to claw back losses on winter offers, but not everyone specialises in winter tourism because the market is much smaller than the summer one. Autumn is therefore the moment of truth for each travel agency. „This year the situation of the tourism branch is not good and one can expect at least one more big boy to go down”, forecasts Tomasz Starzyk of Dun&Brudstreet, an economic intelligence company whose analysis suggests that 67% of all travel agencies are in a bad or very bad financial condition. These alarming data are confirmed by the reports of the National Debt Register. „There were 94 travel agents on our list of debtors in June, yet towards the end of August – 134”, informs KRD spokesperson Andrzej Kulik. But this season proved unsuccessful for tourism not only in Poland. In Great Britain, three travel agencies folded. Firms in Hungary and in Slovakia also went to the wall. Each time they went bust they stranded tourists in far-away countries as well as those who paid for their holiday and were about to leave. Rage, disenchantment, wasted time and money – that is the balance sheet of the holiday plans of people who trusted the bankrupt companies. For the insurers and public authorities, this means significant costs and effort connected with organising the return home of the unlucky tourists. As far as Selectours is concerned, the Marshal of the Mazowieckie Voivodeship had to ensure, within several dozen hours, an emergency journey home for over one thousand tourists in Egypt, Morocco and Turkey. The government of the voivodeship where the travel company is registered has, pursuant to the Tourist Services Act, an obligation to ensure that all tourists can return home. This is paid for by the insurer with whom the travel agency has taken out mandatory insurance, in this case – Signal Iduna. A large majority of travel agencies are registered in Warsaw, thus the Office of the Marshal of the Mazowieckie Voivodeship is already experienced in rescuing the clients of bankrupt agencies.