WAFSOPSG/5-WP/20 International Civil Aviation Organization 23/6/09 WORKING PAPER WORLD AREA FORECAST SYSTEM OPERATIONS GROUP (WAFSOPSG) FIFTH MEETING Paris, France, 16 to 18 September 2009 Agenda Item 6: Development of the WAFS 6.2: Visualization of WAFS forecasts DISTRIBUTION OF WAFS FORECASTS ON ICAO APPROVED SYSTEMS (Presented by the WAFC Provider States) SUMMARY This working paper discusses the proposed distribution of automated WAFS forecasts, including those in the GRIB 2 code format, on ICAO approved distribution systems.. 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 Conclusions 4/20 of the WAFSOPSG/4 Meeting called on the WAFC Provider States to develop a web-based distribution of automated WAFS SIGWX forecasts for the intended use in flight documentation. The new web-based service (one from each WAFC) would provide objective gridded forecasts of icing, turbulence and CB clouds, derived from GRIB 2 code-form WAFS forecasts. In addition, Conclusion 4/14 of the last meeting, in discussing the introduction of gridded forecasts of icing, turbulence and CB clouds, called on the WAFC Provider States to design products with a high “at a glance” value. These forecasts do not have to replicate the existing SIGWX forecasts; however, they must provide the same ease of use. In developing the web based distribution of WAFS forecasts, the WAFCs have paid due consideration to the creation of ‘high-at-a-glance’ SIGWX (HG-SIGWX) forecasts based on GRIB 2 WAFS data. 1.2 In addition, the GRIB 2 transition plan endorsed by the WAFSOPSG/4 Meeting (Appendix F to the final report of the WAFSOPSG/4 Meeting refers) invited the WAFC Provider States to make available GRIB 2 code-form WAFS forecasts (for wind/temperature and icing/turbulence/CB clouds) available on ISCS and SADIS FTP services in parallel with GRIB 1 by September 2009. 1.3 This working paper outlines which automated WAFS forecasts will be available on which ICAO approved distribution systems. (9 pages) 106739107 WAFSOPSG/5-WP/20 -2- 1.4 The group is invited to note that, at time of writing (June 2009), no decision has been taken by the WAFSOPSG relating to the distribution of GRIB 2 WAFS forecasts on the ISCS and SADIS satellite broadcasts. 2. WAFS FORECASTS AVAILABLE ON THE WAFC LONDON AND WAFC WASHINGTON WEB SERVICES 2.1 WP15 to this meeting, and the accompanying Progress Report, outlines the intended range of WAFS graphical products to be made available on the WAFC London and WAFC Washington web services. 2.2 The WAFS forecasts listed in Appendix A to this paper are a reproduction of the proposal in the Progress Report of WP15. Subject to endorsement by the WAFSOPSG/5 Meeting, these products will be available to authorised SADIS and ISCS users on each of the WAFC London and WAFC Washington web services in chart form. 2.3 Table 1 in Appendix A contains a list of the forecasts for icing, turbulence and CB clouds. Table 2 in Appendix A contains a list of the HG-SIGWX forecasts for high- and medium-level flight operations (HG-SWH and HG-SWM). These charts are automatically generated from GRIB 2 code-form data from each respective WAFC. These forecasts are not amended or corrected. In accordance with Annex 3 Appendix 8, chart areas A, B, B1, C, D, E, F and M are Mercator projection; whilst chart areas G, H, I, J, K, L and EUR are Polar-Stereographic projection. 2.4 Data will be available four times per day, based on the 0000, 0600, 1200 and 1800 UTC global models runs of the UK Met Office (WAFC London web service) and US NCEP (WAFC Washington web service). As a minimum, users will require suitable public Internet web browsing capability in order to view these forecasts. 2.5 Product issue time, requests for authorised access, and the web URL addresses, will be communicated to users via the WAFS Change Implementation Notice Board and administrative message(s). 3. WAFS FORECASTS AVAILABLE ON THE ISCS AND SADIS FTP SERVICE 3.1 In view of the information contained in WP/14, and its accompanying Progress Report, the group is invited to consider whether the WAFCs should make available (on their FTP servers) the forecasts for icing, turbulence and CB clouds in the GRIB 2 code form, in addition to wind, temperature, humidity and tropopause GRIB 2 data. The icing, turbulence and CB clouds data could, if required, populate a specific FTP folder called “GRIB2 trial forecasts” or similar. 3.2 The WAFS forecasts listed in Appendix B to this paper are intended to be available to authorised users on the ISCS and SADIS FTP services in the GRIB 2 code form. Table 1 in Appendix B outlines the wind, temperature, humidity and tropopause forecasts; whilst Table 2 in Appendix B outlines the new icing, turbulence and CB clouds forecasts. -3- WAFSOPSG/5-WP/20 3.3 These WAFS forecasts are in gridded binary format, based on a regular 1.25*1.25 degree (unthinned) grid. Bulletins will contain a global field of data for each element. These forecasts are not amended or corrected. 3.4 Users will require a production platform (i.e. ISCS or SADIS workstation) with suitable visualisation software in order to view these gridded binary products. 3.5 WAFC Washington GRIB 2 WAFS data will be available on ISCS FTP four times per day based on the 0000, 0600, 1200 and 1800 UTC runs of the US NCEP global model, valid for T+6 to 36 at 3-hourly timesteps. 3.6 Similarly, WAFC London GRIB 2 WAFS data will be available on SADIS FTP four times per day based on the 0000, 0600, 1200 and 1800 UTC runs of the UK Met Office global model, valid for T+6 to 36 at 3-hourly timesteps. 3.7 In total, 1078 GRIB 2 WAFS bulletins would be available every 6 hours if both the wind/temperature/humidity/tropopause data and icing/turbulence/CB clouds data were provided on FTP servers. WMO bulletin headers for products listed in Appendix B are available at Chapter 1d) of Annex 4 of the SADIS User Guide, via URL: http://www.icao.int/anb/sadisopsg/sug/sug_annex4.pdf. 3.8 Product issue time and host FTP addresses will be communicated to users via the WAFS Change Implementation Notice Board and administrative message(s). 3.9 Subject to further endorsement by the group, WAFC London expects to make available the GRIB 2 WAFS forecasts on SADIS FTP between September and December 2009. In addition, WAFC Washington is in the process of developing a File Server to provide WAFS products in lieu of the NWS FTP Server that is used for ISCS. This service is expected to be operational March 2010, and will include the agreed specification determined by the WAFSOPSG/5 Meeting. 4. CONCLUSIONS 4.1 As outlined in paragraph 2.1 to 2.5 above, the agreed product set to be included on the WAFC web services is discussed in detail within WP/15, where an appropriate conclusion has been drafted for the groups consideration. 4.2 In view of the discussion in paragraphs 3.1 to 3.9 above, and the information and recommendations contained within WP/14, WP/15 and their respective progress reports, the group is invited to formulate the following draft conclusion with regards the provision of GRIB 2 WAFS forecasts on the ISCS and SADIS FTP servers: -4- WAFSOPSG/5-WP/20 Conclusion 5/.. – Distribution of GRIB 2 WAFS forecasts on ISCS and SADIS FTP services That, the WAFC Provider States make available GRIB 2 WAFS forecasts, as outlined in Appendix1 … to this report, on the ISCS and SADIS FTP services by March 2010. Note 1.— Gridded WAFS forecasts for icing, turbulence and CB clouds are to be placed in a directory marked “GRIB 2 trial data” or similar; Note 2.— WAFC Washington is in the process of developing a File Server to provide WAFS products in lieu of the NWS FTP Server that is used for ISCS. This service is expected to be operational March 2010; and Note 3.— Product issuance time and host FTP addresses are to be communicated to users via the WAFS Change Implementation Notice Board at: www.icao.int/anb/wafsopsg/WAFS%20change%20notice%20boa rd.pdf 5. 5.1 ACTION BY THE WAFSOPSG The WAFSOPSG is invited to: a) note the information contained in this paper; and b) decide on the draft conclusion for the group consideration. ———————— 1 In Appendix B to this working paper. WAFSOPSG/5-WP/20 Appendix A APPENDIX A WAFS FORECASTS AVAILABLE ON THE WAFC LONDON AND WAFC WASHINGTON WEB SERVICES Note. — The products listed below are in chart form. Table 1. WAFS forecasts for icing, turbulence and CB clouds. Product description Pressure levels (flight levels) Standard ICAO chart areas of coverage Model run data time (UTC) Forecast time steps Total number of products per run Maximum Icing 700 (100), 600 (140) A, B, B1, C, D, E, F, G, H, I, J, K, L, M, EUR 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24 210 Maximum clear air turbulence 300 (300), 250 (340), 200 (390) A, B, B1, C, D, E, F, G, H, I, J, K, L, M, EUR 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24 315 CB horizontal extent with colour-coded ICAO height at CB top n/a A, B, B1, C, D, E, F, G, H, I, J, K, L, M, EUR 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24 105 Total number of WAFC London/WAFC Washington forecast charts per issue = 630 WAFSOPSG/5-WP/20 A-2 Appendix A Table 2. “High-at-a-glance” SIGWX forecasts. Product description Flight levels Standard ICAO chart areas of coverage Model run data time (UTC) Forecast time steps Total number of products per run High-at-a-glance SIGWX for HIGH level flights (HG-SWH) 250-630 A, B, B1, C, D, E, F, G, H, I, J, K, L, M, EUR 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 165 High-at-a-glance SIGWX for MEDIUM level flights (HG-SWM) 100-250 A, B, B1, C, D, E, F, G, H, I, J, K, L, M, EUR 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 165 Total number of WAFC London/WAFC Washington forecast charts per issue = 330 WAFSOPSG/5-WP/20 Appendix B APPENDIX B GRIB 2 WAFS FORECASTS AVAILABLE ON THE ISCS AND SADIS FTP SERVICES Note. — WMO headers for these GRIB 2 WAFS forecasts are available at Annex 4 of the SADIS User Guide (URL: http://www.icao.int/anb/sadisopsg/sug/sug_annex4.pdf) Table 1. Wind, temperature, humidity and tropopause forecasts in the GRIB 2 code form. Product description Pressure levels (flight levels) Model run data time (UTC) Forecast time Total number steps of products per run U wind component 850 (050), 700 (100), 600 (140) 500 (180), 400 (240), 350 (270), 300 (300), 275 (320), 250 (340), 225 (360), 200 (390), 150 (450), 100 (530) 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 143 V wind component 850 (050), 700 (100), 600 (140) 500 (180), 400 (240), 350 (270), 300 (300), 275 (320), 250 (340), 225 (360), 200 (390), 150 (450), 100 (530) 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 143 Temperature 850 (050), 700 (100), 600 (140) 500 (180), 400 (240), 350 (270), 300 (300), 275 (320), 250 (340), 225 (360), 200 (390), 150 (450), 100 (530) 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 143 Relative humidity 850 (050), 700 (100), 600 (140), 500 (180) 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 44 Tropopause height (ICAO) n/a 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 11 WAFSOPSG/5-WP/20 B-2 Appendix A Tropopause temperature n/a 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 11 Maximum U wind component n/a 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 11 Maximum V wind component n/a 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 11 Maximum wind height n/a 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 11 Geopotential height of standard levels 850 (050), 700 (100), 600 (140) 500 (180), 400 (240), 350 (270), 300 (300), 275 (320), 250 (340), 225 (360), 200 (390), 150 (450), 100 (530) 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 143 Sub-total number of GRIB 2 WAFS bulletins per issue = 671 WAFSOPSG/5-WP/20 B-3 Appendix B Table 2. Icing, turbulence and CB forecasts in the GRIB 2 code form. Note. — These WAFS forecasts are for trial and evaluation purposes only. Product description Pressure levels (flight levels) Model run data time (UTC) Forecast time steps Total number of products per run Mean icing 800 (060), 700 (100), 600 (140), 500 (180), 400 (240), 300 (300) 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 66 Maximum icing 800 (060), 700 (100), 600 (140), 500 (180), 400 (240), 300 (300) 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 66 Mean in-cloud turbulence 700 (100), 600 (140), 500 (180), 400 (240), 300 (300) 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 55 Maximum in-cloud turbulence 700 (100), 600 (140), 500 (180), 400 (240), 300 (300) 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 55 Mean clear air turbulence 400 (240), 350 (270), 300 (300), 250 (340), 200 (390), 150 (450) 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 66 Maximum clear air turbulence 400 (240), 350 (270), 300 (300), 250 (340), 200 (390), 150 (450) 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 66 CB horizontal extent n/a 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 11 ICAO height at CB base n/a 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 11 ICAO height at CB top n/a 0000, 0600, 1200, 1800 T+6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 11 Sub-total number of GRIB 2 WAFS bulletins per issue = 407 — END —