SAMPLING INVESTIGATION 5 Objective : Use samples of various sizes to obtain a sample proportion close to the Population Proportion Population Proportion – the proportion of the population that has the property under investigation. Procedure: This activity can be modelled using cube a links 34 black blocks 66 other Read steps B, C, D on page 184 and complete the table below Sample Size Number of Black Selected % of sample black Estmate of black in total population using sample proportion 10 20 Complete Investigation Questions 22 and 23 on page 185 Complete Check Your Understanding Questions 24 and 25 40 80 UNIT 5:3 INVESTIGATION 6 *** Objective : Examine a Sampling Distribution for an experiment in which the outcomes are equally likely. Sampling Distribution : the distribution of results of an experiment or survey. Often the distribution reflects the mean or the proportion of the sample. Procedure : Make a list of the possible number of heads that occur when you toss four coins at once. ( classroom discussion) Now toss four coins at once and count the number of heads that occur. Record the results in a table like the one below. ( You are actually tossing four coins at once for a total of 20 trials) Alternate Procedure: Place four unit Algae tiles in a plate cover with a textbook and shake the container counting the number of red ( heads ) 20 times. Calculator TI – 83 randBin( 4, .5, 20 ) store L1 Data Table for B and C Number of Heads Tally Frequency Proportion of 20 trials 4 3 2 1 0 Repeat the process of 20 trials 20 times or pool your results with 20 other students Equlivent to 20 * 20 trials Number of Heads Tally Frequency Proportion of 400 trials 4 3 2 1 0 Make a frequency bar graph of your results. Part D of Instructions Part E Calculate the experimental probability of each possible number of heads. Display the results creating a bar graph, with the probability on the vertical axis instead of frequency. Note we are looking for the Experimental Probability. THEORETICAL PROBABILITY Number of heads Number of Favourable outcomes 3 2 1 0 Note catalogue command binompdf ( 3,0.5,{0,1,2,3}) store L1 Complete Focus questions 5 , 6 Complete Check Your Understanding 7,8 Theoretical probability Investigation 7 Objective : Observe how “ large number of samples” produce a better match between the “experimental” and “ theoretical “ probability distributions. Procedure : Use your data from investigation 6 ( tossing 4 coins 20 times and observing the number of heads produced) However this time pool you results with 9 other students and complete the table below. Alternate TI – 83 ( 4, .5, 20 ) Store L1 Each Student does this or (4,0.5,200)storeL2 Table: Student Number Of Heads 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total Proportion Experimental of 200 Probability trials Use the table to make a bar graph that shows the experimental probability of each number of heads based on a large number of repetitions. Which activity, Investigation 6 or investigation 7 , produced a better match with the theoretical probability distribution? Why? You can use your calculator to calculate the Theoretical probability INVESTIGATION 8 Purpose : to model a binomial experiment in which The number of trials is very large The two outcomes of each trial are equally likely Procedure: Use a calculator to model 50 repetitions of an experiment in which you toss a fair coin 14 times ( or toss 14 fair coins) store the number of heads in list L1 of your calculator. Randbin ( 14,.5,50) storeL1 After obtaining your list use the calculator to produce a probability bar graph and copy it into your notes. Window settings X min X max 0 , 15 respectively Y min Y max 0 , 20 respectively Use a calculator to model 500 repetitions of an experiment in which you toss a fair coin 14 times ( or toss 14 fair coins) store the number of heads in list L1 of your calculator. Randbin ( 14,.5,500) storeL1 After obtaining your list use the calculator to produce a probability bar graph and copy it into your notes. Window settings X min X max 0 , 15 respectively Y min Y max 0 , 200 respectively Theoretical Probability Step E Please read all instructions carefully. To allow the calculator to calculate the theoretical probability of tossing 14 coins and the number of possible heads obtained perform the following operation on the calculator In order to plot the theoretical probability enter into L1 the outcome values 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14