***The following was extracted from the Space Weather Architecture Study Final Report Background document, a draft of which is located on the Space Weather Architecture Web Page (URL: www.virtualproject.com).*** 1.1 CURRENT AND EVOLVED BASELINE The ORWG documented the current and evolved space weather baseline as the basis for developing and assessing future candidate architectures. The current baseline identifies space weather data sources, processing tools, products, customer base, and requirements as of 1998. The evolved baseline projects current capabilities through 2010. It is based on the assumption that approved plans for modification and new or upgraded capabilities will be implemented on schedule. Both of these baselines contain elements from the civil and international communities. 1.1.1 Space-Based Sensors 1.1.1.1 Defense Meteorological Satellite System (DoD) (Current Baseline) The DMSP mission is to provide an enduring and survivable capability to collect and disseminate global visible and infrared cloud data and other specialized meteorological, oceanographic, and solar-geophysical data. These data support worldwide DoD operations and high priority programs. Normally two operational DMSP satellites occupy Sunsynchronous, near-polar, circular orbits with an altitude of about 840 km, a period of 101.6 minutes, and an inclination of 98.75°. Each satellite scans a swath about 2,900 km wide and covers the Earth in about 12 hours. The DMSP Special Sensor Precipitating Electron/Proton Spectrometer (SSJ/4) measures the ions and electrons that precipitate into the ionosphere and produce aurora. The SSJ/4 measures ion and electron fluxes using four electrostatic analyzers, each with 20 channels detecting particles with energies ranging from 30 eV to 30 keV. These data can identify the location of active aurora and provide an objective measure of the level of any disturbance in the Earth's magnetic field (expressed in terms of the "Q index"). The DMSP Special Sensor for Ions, Electrons and Scintillation (SSIES-2) measures ionospheric parameters such the ambient electron and ion densities and temperatures, plasma irregularities, and plasma drifts at the altitude of the satellite orbit in the vicinity of the DMSP spacecraft. The DMSP orbit (about 840 km) is well above the F2 region peak, so the electron density at this altitude cannot be measured using conventional ground-based vertical incidence ionospheric sounders. Therefore the electron densities measured by the DMSP SSIES-2 provide a basis for the topside ionospheric electron density profiles. The DMSP Special Sensor Triaxial Fluxgate Magnetometer (SSM) measures geomagnetic fluctuations at the altitude of the DMSP orbit. This data can be used to determine the boundaries of currents flowing into and out of the ionosphere. The combination of data from the SSIES, SSJ/4, and SSM provide data for specification of the heating and dynamics of the ionosphere and neutral atmosphere. The DMSP Operational Line Scan sensor provides nighttime visual aurora images and can be used to help determine the location of the equatorial boundary of the auroral oval. (Evolved Baseline) Some DMSP Block 5D-3 satellites are likely to be operational in 2010. The space weather enhancements of the Block 5D-3 over the current baseline include addition of: Special Sensor Ultraviolet Limb Imager (SSULI). SSULI, an optical sensor developed by Naval Research Laboratory (NRL), measures vertical profiles of the natural airglow radiation from atoms, molecules, and ions in the upper atmosphere and ionosphere. It does this by viewing the Earth’s limb at a tangent altitude of approximately 50 km to 750 km. SSULI measures from the extreme ultraviolet (EUV) to the far ultraviolet (FUV) over the wavelength range of 80 nm to 170 nm, with 1.5 nm resolution. New science algorithms will process SSULI observations to determine atmospheric composition. Special Sensor Ultraviolet Spectrographic Imager (SSUSI). SSUSI is a remote-sensing instrument that measures ultraviolet (UV) emissions in five different wavelength bands from the Earth’s upper atmosphere. SSUSI will be mounted on a nadir-looking panel of the DMSP 5D-3 satellite. The multi-color images from SSUSI cover the visible Earth disk from horizon to horizon and the anti-sunward limb up to an altitude of approximately 520 km. The UV images and derived environmental data provide near-real-time information, which can be used in many applications. Initial Operational Capability (IOC) for SSUSI/SSULI on DMSP Block 5D-3 is 2001. Precipitating Electron/Proton Spectrometer Upgrade (SSJ/5). SSJ/5 detects low energy proton and electron data by measuring downward fluxes of charged particles along the earth's magnetic field lines. The upgraded SSJ/5 will provide additional data to derive an estimate of the total energy being deposited into auroral regions. Enhanced Ionospheric Plasma Drift/Scintillation Monitor (SSIES3). SSIES-3 provides in-situ plasma drift, scintillation, and electron density. These data may also be available via an Asynchronous Transfer Mode (ATM) link providing Air Force Weather Agency data directly to Schriever AFB. This link is expected to operate at 45 Mbps with possible expansion to 155 Mbps. Triaxial Fluxgate Magnetometer (SSM). SSM will measure Joule heating and the shape of the topside ionosphere by locating regions where currents flow horizontally. Data are available; however, they are not disseminated to SEOC because there are no algorithms in place to display or employ the data in numerical models. 1.1.1.2 Global Positioning Systems/Nuclear Detonation Detection System (DoD) (Current Baseline) Some of the Global Positioning System (GPS) satellites carry an instrument that measures the energetic particle radiation at the GPS satellite’s orbital altitude. This instrument collects data at fixed-time intervals, stores it, and transmits to the ground control segment when commanded. This includes 7 channels of electrons (200 keV to >5 MeV) and 11 channels of protons (6 MeV to > 50 MeV). Currently, the instrument is only flown on every sixth satellite. The intent is to have an operational dosimeter in each of four orbital planes. The orbits of the satellites are ideally suited for monitoring the particle fluxes in the outer Van Allen radiation belt. (Evolved Baseline) Only a few particle sensor packages will be deployed. The Burst Detector Dosimeter (Block) IIR (BDD-IIR) is scheduled to fly on 2 of the first 12 Global Positioning System (GPS) Block II replenishment series. This instrument measures energetic-particle fluxes, primarily energetic electrons trapped in the Earth’s radiation belt. BDD-IIR will also measure, to some extent, the solar energetic particles and galactic cosmic rays. Eight electron channels will cover the energy spectrum from 77 keV to >5 MeV and eight proton channels will cover 1.3 to >54 MeV. 1.1.1.3 Defense Support Program (DSP) (DoD) (Current and Evolved Baseline) Launch and fly-out of the DSP will likely occur before 2010. Follow-on replacements for the particle sensors are currently not in the baseline of the replacement program. 1.1.1.4 Compact Environment Anomaly Sensor (CEASE) (Evolved Baseline) CEASE is a small, lightweight, inexpensive anomaly detector that can fly on any DoD satellite. CEASE will detect surface charging, deep dielectric charging, and highenergy protons and cosmic rays. Any of these can damage satellite on-board electronics, sensors, tracking devices, and surfaces. CEASE is a health and status monitor. Data will go directly to satellite operators and to the 55th SWXS for anomaly assessments. The Concept of Operations (CONOPS) calls for easy-to-understand read-outs and graphical displays so the satellite operators can determine quickly if the space environment has caused an anomaly or if the operators should begin diagnostics. Other potential benefits of CEASE are: A reduction in man-hours needed for anomaly resolution Extension of operational satellite lifetimes Feedback to satellite designers. A similar instrument is the Small On-Board Environmental Diagnostic Sensor (SOBEDS). SOBEDS will measure higher-energy particles and vector magnetic fields, and extend CEASE’s energy range measurements, and provide data for radiation belt specification models. Given the proposed CONOPS, the estimated total cost for CEASE is $20 million across the planning horizon with an estimated cost of $200,000 for each instrument. Five satellites will be launched each year. The planned IOC is 2001. Development is already completed. 1.1.1.5 YOHKOH (International) (Current Baseline) The Yohkoh satellite is an observatory for studying X-rays and gamma rays from the Sun. Launched from Kagoshima, Japan, on August 31, 1991, Yohkoh is a project of the Japanese Institute for Space and Astronautical Sciences. The spacecraft was built in Japan and the observing instruments have contributions from the United States and from Great Britain. (Evolved Baseline) GOES with the Solar X-ray Imager (SXI) is the planned operational replacement for Yohkoh. Follow-on programs with a sensor suite similar to Yohkoh may provide supplemental observations. 1.1.1.6 Geosynchronous Operational Environmental Satellite (Civil) (Current Baseline) The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) operates two GOES satellites in geostationary orbit over the United States. GOES provides imagery of weather phenomena over the continental United States and adjacent oceans. In addition to sensors that provide such conventional weather information as cloud imagery, each GOES spacecraft also carries a real-time Space Environment Monitor (SEM). Each SEM consists of four separate sensor systems. The Energetic Particle Sensor (EPS) and the High Energy Proton and Alpha Particle Detector (HEPAD) are two instruments that measure the influx of protons, alpha particles, and electrons over a wide range of energies. The third sensor is a magnetometer to measure the magnetic field strength and direction at geostationary altitudes. The fourth sensor is a solar X-Ray Sensor (XRS) that measures the whole-Sun X-ray flux in two broad energy bands, 1 to 8 angstroms and 0.5 to 4 angstroms. GOES monitors three main components of space weather at an altitude of 35,000 km: X-rays, energetic particles, and magnetic field. The GOES X-ray detector provides a sensitive means of detecting the beginning of solar flares.1 Larger solar flares can cause massive ejections of solar matter. GOES energetic particle sensors measure this matter, which reaches all points in the solar system. Solar activity can also cause disturbances in the solar wind. This disturbance can propagate to Earth and disturb our local magnetic field. The GOES on-board magnetometer measures fluctuations near the boundary of that field. This magnetometor is used to correlate with the worldwide system of ground-based magnetometers. The data are transmitted via direct telemetry to the Space Environment Center (SEC) in Boulder, Colorado, where they are use in real-time alerts and space weather forecasts. At the end of each month these data are transferred to the Solar-Terrestrial Physics Division of the National Geophysical Data Center, an organization known internationally as World Data Center A for Solar-Terrestrial Physics. (Evolved Baseline) The newer GOES I through M series of satellites will be operational into the first decade of the 21st century. GOES L is scheduled for launch in April 2002 and GOES M April 2000. The next-generation GOES will use both x-ray sensors (XRS) and new extreme ultraviolet (EUV) monitors. Table 2-4 lists the channels and wavelengths. Table 2-5 shows projected GOES particle detector instrumentation. Table 2-4. GOES, XRS, and EUV Channels and Wavelengths 1 sunspots. XRS/EUV Channel Short Wavelength (nm) XRS –A XRS - B EUV – A EUV – B EUV – C EUV – D EUV - E 0.05 0.1 10 25 40 65 119 Long Wavelength (nm) 0.4 0.8 25 40 65 100 124 A solar flare is an explosive event on the Sun’s surface that is fueled by the intense magnetic fields that accompany Table 2-5. Projected GOES Particle Detector Instrumentation Particle Energy Range Protons (HEPAD) > 350 MeV Protons Protons Alphas (HEPAD) 0.8 > 500 MeV 80 keV to 800 keV > 640 MeV/nucleon Alphas Electrons Electrons 3.8 to 400 MeV/nucleon > 600 keV 30 keV – 600 keV Energy Channels 3 differential from 350 to about 700 MeV, 1 integral above 700 MeV 7 5 1 differential 640 to about 850 MeV; 1 integral > 850 MeV 6 3 integral: >0.6, > 2, and > 4 MeV 5 The earth’s upper atmosphere absorbs all x-ray radiation before it reaches the ground. Therefore, Solar X-ray Imager (SXI) data can only be obtained by space-based instruments. X-ray information is crucial to space forecasters since x rays are potentially life threatening to astronauts. X rays are a problem during extra-vehicular activity (EVA) on the space shuttle and, eventually, on the space station or transatmospheric vehicles. X rays can also affect pilots of high-altitude aircraft such as the U-2 and SR-71. SXI will also provide data on coronal holes. These sources of high-speed solar wind streams can cause fluctuations in the earth’s magnetic field, increase satellite drag, and interrupt communications. The SXI is scheduled to fly on NOAA’s GOES M satellite around 2000 and will provide x-ray imagery of the Sun’s disk and corona. SXI will also be able to detect x rays from behind the solar limbs, which can affect the space environment. Japan’s Yohkoh has validated the sensor’s concept and utility. The first SXI was built by NASA and funded by the Air Force for $18 million. NOAA will build the second and third instruments under a memorandum of agreement. DoD will then fund the fourth and fifth instruments. Estimated cost to build the fourth and fifth SXIs is $20 million for a total cost of $58 million. NOAA will decide when to launch new GOES satellites on the basis of constellation health. 1.1.1.7 Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) (Civil) (Current Baseline) The Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) spacecraft uses high-resolution sensors and monitoring instruments to sample low-energy solar particles and high-energy galactic particles, energetic ions and electrons, and magnetic field vectors. ACE has a collecting power 10 to 1000 times greater than past experiments. Located at the L1 libration point, approximately 1/100 of the distance from the Earth to the Sun, ACE provides near-real-time solar wind information and about a 1-hour advance warning of impending geomagnetic activity. For 21 hours each day, ACE sends data (approximately 464 bps) to NOAA operated ground stations. During the other 3 hours when NASA is getting high rate data through the Deep Space Network, NOAA gets a copy of the real-time data. NOAA processes all the data (using algorithms provided by the ACE experimenters) at its Space Weather Operations (SWO) in Boulder, Colorado. The SWO will issue any warnings of expected geomagnetic activity. (Evolved Baseline) The specific follow-on program for ACE is to be determined. It is anticipated that a similar sensor suite at a similar orbit will receive strong support from the operations and research community. 1.1.1.8 Polar-Orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite (Civil) (Current Baseline) The NOAA Polar-Orbiting Environmental Satellites (POES) are in a sunsynchronous retrograde polar orbits similar to the DMSP orbit. Like GOES, the NOAA POES also carry a Space Environment Monitor (SEM) with two instruments, the Total Energy Detector (TED) and the Medium Energy Proton and Electron Detector (MEPED). The TED measures electrons and positive ions in the energy range 300 keV to 20 keV. The positive ions are often assumed to be protons. These data can be used to derive the total energy flux of incident particles, the total energy input to the hemisphere per unit time, the intensity of particle precipitation, and the boundaries of the auroral zone. The MEPED detects electrons, protons, and alpha particles with energies in the range between 30 MeV and 80 MeV. These data provide the capability to map the energetic particle radiation at Low Earth Orbit (LEO) altitude. (Evolved Baseline) No significant changes in capabilities are planned for the NOAA POES sensor suite. Five more satellites are programmed with the last launch scheduled for 2007. 1.1.1.9 National Polar Orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite (Civil) (Evolved Baseline) DMSP and POES will converge into a single, national polar-orbiting environmental sensing satellite system. NPOESS is that convergence. This includes not only single site ground control from the Suitland SOCC, but a single bus with sensors designed to meet joint DoD and NOAA requirements as determined by the NPOESS Joint Agency Requirements Group (JARG) and the Senior User’s Advisory Group (SUAG). NPOESS is a triagency effort with DoD, NASA, and NOAA. NPOESS will consist of a three-satellite constellation at altitudes between 750 and 1200 km and nominal nodal crossing times of 0530, 0930, and 1330 local sun time. NPOESS will contain three sensors. A multispectral imager will provide visual and IR imagery at a minimum of seven bands for clouds, surface, and ocean measurements. A microwave imager/profiler will provide wind, temperature, and moisture profiles. A space environment sensor will measure parameters such as electron density profiles, precipitating auroral particles, and geomagnetic field. One of the satellites in the NPOESS constellation will be a European satellite and will carry U.S. sensors. The space environmental sensor suite for NPOESS has not been formulated into a baseline. If the DMSP 5D-3 SSUSI and SSULI sensors, which measure electron density profiles (EDPs) and Total Electron Content (TEC), are validated for their operational utility, they are candidates for the space environmental suite. The current DMSP and POES space environmental sensors that provide value to user products are also candidates for the converged system. 1.1.1.10 GPS Occultation (Civil) (Evolved Baseline) GPS occultation involves placing a special-purpose dual frequency GPS receiver in LEO. From this vantagepoint, the combined orbital motions of the host satellite and the GPS constellation will allow the receiver to “see” GPS satellites rise and set through the earth’s limb. Each of these occultations allows measurement of vertical EDPs from 90 km up to the altitude of the host satellite and vertical temperature and moisture profiles in the lower atmosphere. About 500 occultations per day are observed from a single platform; however, highly accurate (1 mm/sec) near-real-time ephemeris is required to remove non-atmospheric effects from the GPS signal. A ground-based network of GPS receivers may be required to generate accurate ephemeris as well as to correct additional GPS and receiver clock errors. The receiver could be deployed on a single satellite or a system with a small number of satellites (e.g., NPOESS). It could also be deployed on a larger constellation (e.g., Iridium), which would provide many more occultations but would increase the complexity of the tracking and processing software needed. The advantage to a larger constellation is global coverage. A NASA/Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) proposal calls for using 12 microsatellites (weight under 50 pounds each) at a total cost of $12 million for such a constellation. 1.1.1.11 Communications/Navigation Outage Forecasting System (C/NOFS ) (Civil) (Evolved Baseline) C/NOFS will fly seven proven sensors on-board a satellite with a 12-degree inclination at 600-700 km. These sensors will detect ionospheric scintillation, which causes a degradation of satellite communications signals (primarily UHF) and navigation signals. C/NOFS will also detect conditions that could lead to scintillation and thus provide a forecast of potential SATCOM outage times and affected frequencies along with potential GPS signal degradation. One satellite will provide data to users once every 110 minutes, which is usually enough to detect scintillation or conditions leading to scintillation. C/NOFS can also provide data to the 55th Space Weather Squadron (55 SWS) for use in scintillation forecasts. These data will greatly improve current scintillation notifications and forecasts as well as increase the refresh rate from approximately 6 hours to around 1½ hours. AFSPC/SCZ has a validated requirement for C/NOFS type data. With an estimated IOC of 2002, total costs for C/NOFS are $85 million through the planning horizon. This includes $6 million for each satellite, $15 million per launch on a Pegasus or Pegasus XL, and $1 million annual operating costs. This does not include the STP demonstration flight. 1.1.1.12 IMAGE (Civil) (Evolved Baseline) IMAGE is a mission to study the global response of the Earth's magnetosphere to changes in the solar wind. IMAGE will identify the dominant mechanisms for injecting plasma into the magnetosphere on substorm and magnetic storm time scales. It will also determine the directly driven response of the magnetosphere to solar wind changes. Finally, it will discover how and where magnetospheric plasmas are energized, transported, and subsequently lost during substorms and magnetic storms. To fulfill its science goals, IMAGE will use neutral atom, ultraviolet, and radio imaging techniques. Specific imagers include the Neutral Atom Imagers (NAI), Low-Energy Neutral Atom (LENA) imager, Medium-Energy Neutral Atom (MENA) imager, High-Energy Neutral Atom (HENA) imager, Extreme Ultraviolet Imager (EUV), Far Ultraviolet Imager (FUV), and Radio Plasma Imaging (RPI). The IMAGE mission has a completely open data policy with no periods of proprietary data rights. Level 0 data will be delivered to the National Space Science Data Center (NSSDC) for long-term archiving and distribution along with a series of browse and other calibrated data products. The NSSDC will immediately place these IMAGE data on-line in the NASA Data Archive and Distribution Service (NDADS) system for rapid access by the space science community. The projected launch is date is January 2000. The Orbit will be a 1,000-km by seven-earth radii altitude polar orbit. Mission duration is 2 years. 1.1.1.13 Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) Mission (Civil) (Evolved Baseline) The STEREO mission is to perform solar activity imaging by two or more spacecraft at large angular separations from Earth. One spacecraft orbit would be 20° to 30° out of the ecliptic plane. STEREO requires supporting observations from (near) Earth. This mission will provide real-time event alerts for forecasters. The science objectives are: Understand the origin and consequences of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) Establish the magnetic field evolution that results in solar eruptions Improve space weather forecast capability Determine the 3D structure of disturbed interplanetary magnetic fields Discover the mechanisms and sites of energetic particle acceleration Determine whether CMEs control the evolution of the corona Probe the solar dynamo through study of cyclic phenomena in the corona and interplanetary space. STEREO will image the chromosphere, corona, and interplanetary plasmas and photospheric magnetic fields from several perspectives simultaneously and measure plasmas, magnetic fields, and energetic particles in situ. 1.1.1.14 Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate (COSMIC) (Civil) (Evolved Baseline) COSMIC is a follow-on program to an experimental satellite called GPS/MET. This experiment used the Global Positioning System to derive important weather and climate research parameters. Included in the measurements is the electron density of the ionosphere. COSMIC will advance this research by testing the ability of a constellation of approximately eight “GPS/MET microsatellites” to measure electron densities. A global data collection network and operations center will process COSMIC space and ground observations and deliver products to users for operational impact studies. The COSMIC constellation will be launched early in the year 2001 and will operate for 2 years. It is being developed by the Taiwan’s National Space Program Office (NSPO) in cooperation NASA JPL and several universities. 1.1.2 Ground-Based Sensors 1.1.2.1 Solar Optical Observing Network (DoD) (Current Baseline) The four Solar Observing Optical Network (SOON) observatories are part of the Solar Electro Optical Network (SEON). The SEON consists of six sites distributed around the world. These sites monitor the Sun continuously in visible light and radio wavelengths. Table 2-6 lists the SOON observatories. Table 2-6. SOON Observatories SOON Observatories Holloman AFB, New Mexico Ramey, Puerto Rico San Vito, Italy Learmonth, Australia Location 32N106W 18N67W 41N18E 21S115E Each SOON telescope (AN/FMQ-7) uses a 10-inch objective lens and a series of beam splitters, scanner mirrors, and other lenses to supply photographic, video, and visual observing subsystems with a stabilized image of the Sun. Visual observations are available on a white light projection board and through eyepieces in two light paths. The white light projection board displays sunspots located in the photosphere. The upper light path isolates the Hydrogen alpha (H-alpha) wavelength to observe the features of the chromosphere. The lower light path is used in conjunction with a magnetograph to map the magnetic field of active regions on the Sun. A mini-computer operates the telescope, analyzes solar observations, and displays the selected output on television monitors. (Evolved Baseline) An Improved SOON (ISOON) telescope will replace the current SOON optical telescope. ISOON will be based on a fully tunable narrow-band filter and CCD detector. This telescope will feature autonomous, rapid-cadence solar imaging and remote operation at four existing sites (Holloman, Learmonth, San Vito, and Ramey). ISOON will transmit solar images in near-real time to central facilities at Falcon AFB and Boulder, Colorado. ISOON data products will include full-disk H-alpha, continuum, and line-of-sight magnetic field images (all on 1-arcsec pixels). High-resolution images (limited field, 0.3-arcsec pixels) will be available via a future upgrade in the secondary optics. ISOON will also be capable of acquiring vector magnetic field images via a software upgrade to be added at a future time. ISOON data derivatives include intensity histograms, flare area, brightness, location, start, maximum, end, heliographic coordinate overlay, movie playbacks and pseudocolor graphical displays, and cartesian coordinate transformation and display. 1.1.2.2 Radio Solar Telescope Network (DoD) (Current Baseline) The Radio Solar Telescope Network (RSTN) is a network of systems that detect, quantify, and report on solar radio events. Each RSTN (AN/FRR-95) observatory uses three dish antennas to detect solar radio noise at eight discrete frequencies. Radio Interference Monitoring Sets (RIMS) measure solar radio energy at eight fixed frequencies (245, 410, 610, 1415, 2695, 4995, 8800, and 15400 MHz). These data are then screened for patterns indicating solar activity. RSTN was the Swept Frequency Interferometric Radiometer (SFIR) as the primary system to detect and specify solar radio events. Specialized radio receivers sweep through a range of frequencies (25 MHz – 75 MHz) and identify events, including solar location, strength, and radio frequency. The Solar Radio Burst Locator (SRBL), a secondary system, is particularly useful in identifying short-duration solar radio events that may be missed by SFIR. Four RSTN observatories are also part of the SEON (see Table 2-7). Table 2-7. RSTN Observatories RSTN Observatories Sagamore Hill, Massachusetts San Vito, Italy Learmonth, Australia Palehua, Hawaii Location 42N70W 41N118E 21S115E 21N158W Both standard reports and alerts are produced when appropriate. Data are processed on-site at each network location. The Automated Weather Network (AWN) forwards summaries and alerts in plain language and encoded formats. Processed data is transmitted continuously, within 1 minute of observation, at 2.4Kbps, except Learmonth, which is at 1.2Kbps. Sites identify solar regions with high levels of activity. This identification provides continuity between sites as an individual site’s solar visibility rises and fades. (Evolved Baseline) A Solar Radiospectrograph (SRS) will replace the current Swept Frequency Interferometric Radiometer (SFIR). The current SFIR is limited in solar patrol range (25–75 MHz), is difficult to maintain, and has difficulty in accurately measuring Sweep Activity. The SRS more accurately characterizes Types II and IV radio bursts and provides a capability of remote operation and data transfer. The SRS is a combination of the SFIR (antenna, filters amplifier) and Culgoora Radiospectrograph (data acquisition and display software and hardware). The system will use software code already developed for Culgoora’s radiometer. The conversion of the existing SFIR to a Swept Frequency Radiometer will allow account event shock speed measurement and extend the frequency range to 25–180 MHz where more than 99 percent of sweep activity occurs. A Solar Radio Burst Locator (SRBL) telescope will replace the current RSTN’s fixed frequency RIMS telescopes with a system sensitive to a wider, continuous range of radio frequencies and with some radio burst location capability. The present RSTN only monitors eight discrete frequencies and cannot determine where on the Sun a radio burst originated. The SRBL will permit direct observation of any frequency requested by a customer and will provide burst location information for those bursts between 2 and 18 GHz and with intensities of 500 SFUs or greater. This location capability will supplement optical observations during periods of cloudiness or precipitation. The SRBL will also replace the current 3-antenna discrete frequency RSTN (i.e., RIMS) with a single 6-foot antenna; and the current 11 racks of antenna controls and radiometers with a dual PC workstation. The SRBL will provide considerably more automation in the radio observing process, and will permit remote operation and data analysis at the SEOC. 1.1.2.3 Digital Ionospheric Sounding System (DoD) (Current Baseline) Vertical incidence ionospheric sounders (ionosondes) measure the relevant features of the bottomside of the ionosphere. A few analog ionosondes remain in operation and still provide reliable and useful ionospheric parameters. Most ionosondes now take advantage of state-of-the-art microprocessors, integrated circuits, and large-capacity memory storage devices. The early analog ionosondes, designed and built in the 1950s, generate a Polaroid camera photograph of an ionogram displayed on an oscilloscope screen. An experienced analyst interprets the ionogram to determine the critical frequencies of the various layers of the ionosphere. Nicosia, Cyprus, located at 35N and 33E, is the one remaining station that routinely provides observations. The Digital Ionospheric Sounding System (DISS) (AN/FMQ-12) takes advantage of state-of-theart integrated circuit technology to provide real-time ionospheric observations. It measured and distributes the data automatically, with no manual intervention. Table 2-8 lists the sites. Table 2-8. DISS Ionosonde Sites DISS Ionosondes King Salmon, Alaska College, Alaska Vandenberg AFB, California Dyess AFB, Texas Eglin AFB, Florida Wallops Island, Virginia Ramey, Puerto Rico Hamilton, Bermuda Argentia, Canada Goose Bay, Canada Narssarssuaq, Greenland Sondrestrom, Greenland Qaanaaq (Thule), Greenland Learmonth, Australia Location 58N157W 64N147W 34N120W 34N120W 31N86W 37N75W 18N67W 32N65W 48N53W 53N60W 61N45W 67N51W 78N69W 21S115E (Evolved Baseline) No significant improvement or expansion of the Digital Ionospheric Sounding System (AN/FMQ-12) is programmed through 2010. 1.1.2.4 Ionospheric Measuring System (IMS) (DoD) (Current Baseline) The Ionospheric Measuring System (IMS) was formerly known as the Transionospheric Sensing System (TISS). IMS measures Total Electron Content (TEC) by exploiting two frequencies (1575.42 MHz and 1227.60 MHz) of the Navstar Global Positioning System (GPS) Precise Positioning Service (PPS). Table 2-9 lists the IMS sites. Table 2-9. IMS Ground Stations IMS Ground Stations Eareckson AS, Shemya, Alaska Thule AB, Greenland Otis ANG, Massachusetts RAF Fylingdales, UK Diego Garcia, BIOT Location 53N174E 76N68W 42N70W 54N1W 7S73E (Evolved Baseline) The Ionospheric Measuring System instruments are to be phased out at the start of FY04. 1.1.2.5 Neutron Monitor (DoD) (Current Baseline) The Neutron Monitor, located at Thule, Greenland, is used for ground-based detection of secondary neutrons produced during collisions between high energy “cosmic rays” and molecules or atoms in the Earth’s atmosphere. It indirectly measures the cosmic ray flux encountered by the Earth, whether from outside the solar system (galactic cosmic rays) or the most intense of solar flares (solar cosmic rays). Sudden increases in the secondary neutron fluxes known as Ground Level Events (GLE) are important as an indicator that a very energetic solar flare has occurred, and a Polar Cap Absorption (PCA) event is almost certain to follow. (Evolved Baseline) No replacement for the Neutron Monitor has been programmed. 1.1.2.6 Relative Ionospheric Opacity Meter (Riometer) (DoD) (Current Baseline) The Riometer, located at Thule, Greenland, records the strength of High Frequency (HF) cosmic radio noise2 received at the Earth’s surface. A decrease in power represents an increase in ionospheric opacity or absorption. Riometers can detect ionospheric disturbances that may cause Short Wave Fades (SWFs), Auroral Zone Absorption (AZA), and Polar Cap Absorption (PCA) events. The instrument at Thule is currently the only instrument for detecting and monitoring PCAs. (Evolved Baseline) No replacement of the Riometer has been programmed. 1.1.2.7 Scintillation Network Decision Aid (SCINDA) (DoD) (Evolved Baseline) Scintillation Network Decision Aid is an ongoing PL/GPI effort to provide real-time specification and short-term forecasts of satellite communication outages in the equatorial region. Real-time data from remote, ground-based scintillation receivers are used to derive an empirical scintillation model. The model generates three-dimensional displays of scintillation structures and simplified outage maps for communications and navigation users. SCINDA can be used in conjunction with C/NOFS and provide a portable scintillation capability to deployed forces. SCINDA will combine with C/NOFS to improve scintillation notification and forecast accuracy, timeliness, and refresh rate. Because much of the R&D and validation testing has been done, SCINDA is a relatively lowcost solution. With a 1999 IOC, cost estimate is $7 million across the planning horizon for 14 instruments at $200,000 each plus O&M. 1.1.2.8 Canadian Radio Observatory (International) (Current Baseline) The Canadian Radio Observatory, also known as the Dominion Astrophysical Radio Observatory (DARO), is located at Penticton, British Columbia, Canada. This site is the primary source for measurement of solar radio energy at the 10.7-cm wavelength (2800 MHz). This index, F10.7, is a key measure of solar activity. The variation of the 10.7-cm radio flux is closely associated with enhanced thermal radiation from solar active regions, and thus the overall level of solar activity. Many high frequency (HF) communications customers use this index directly. It is also a key input parameter in many ionospheric and orbital prediction models. (Evolved Baseline) No significant improvement of the Canadian Radio Observatory, also known as the Dominion Astrophysical Radio Observatory (DARO), is programmed through 2010. 1.1.2.9 Australian Observatory (International) (Current Baseline) The Culgoora Solar Observatory is located 25 km west of the town of Narrabri, in northwest New South Wales. The observatory conducts continuous optical and radio observations of the Sun throughout the year. Observing instrumentation includes a 12-cm solar telescope fitted with a hydrogen-alpha filter, used to observe solar flares and other phenomena. The observatory also has a 30cm heliostat, used to observe sunspot evolution. A solar radio spectrograph, which sweeps through a frequency range of 18 to 1800 MHz every 3 seconds, monitors solar radio bursts. The observatory transmits regular reports and forecasts of solar activity to the Australian Space Forecast Center in Sydney and disseminates these reports to similar organizations internationally. The observatory reports particularly significant solar outbursts to a wide range of interested parties around the world within minutes of the outburst. (Evolved Baseline) No significant improvement of the Australian Solar Observatory is programmed through 2010. 2 Radiowaves emanating from extraterrestrial sources. 1.1.2.10 Australian Ionospheric Network (International) (Current Baseline) The Australian Ionospheric Network, also known as the Southern Hemisphere Ionospheric Network (SHIN), provides ionospheric sounder data via NOAA/SEC. These ionospheric sounders provide vertical incidence ionospheric measurements routinely. Table 2-10 lists SHIN sites. Table 2-10. SHIN Sites Southern Hemisphere Ionospheric Network Camden, Australia Christchurch, New Zealand Darwin, Australia Hobart, Australia Townsville, Australia Location S34 E151 S43 E171 S12 E131 S42 E147 S19 E147 (Evolved Baseline) No significant improvement of the Australian Ionospheric Network, also known as the Southern Hemisphere Ionospheric Network (SHIN), is programmed through 2010. 1.1.2.11 National Solar Observatories (Civil) (Current Baseline) The National Solar Observatory (NSO) operates two major observatory sites. On Sacramento Peak in southern New Mexico, major telescopes include the Vacuum Tower Telescope, the John W. Evans Solar Facility, and the Hilltop Dome. Operations are a cooperative undertaking of NSO and the Air Force Phillips Laboratory. When fed with the John W. Evans Solar Facility 40cm Coronagraph, the Fisher-Smartt Emission Line Coronal Photometer (ELCP) photoelectrically records the solar corona. The output of the ELCP is sensed by a photomultiplier, digitized, and recorded every 3 degrees of latitude. The ELCP obtains obsolute intensities, in millionths of the brightness of the center of the disk, at each wavelength. NSO joins 15 days of data and projects the data onto a sphere to produce pseudo-full-disk maps. The most recent scan is on the left of the map, and the data on the central meridian are from 7 days before the date of the map. Data are incremented from the central meridian at 12.857 degrees per day. West-limb maps, which show the far side of the Sun on the day they are produced, have an effective date of 2 weeks into the future, so that they may be compared with East-limb maps of the same date. Maps are normally available for each Monday through Friday, excluding holidays. On Kitt Peak, outside of Tucson, Arizona, NSO operates the McMath-Pierce Solar Facility and the vacuum solar telescope. Synoptic observations at the vacuum telescope, jointly supported by NSO, NASA, and NOAA, have produced a 20-year record of solar magnetic activity. This record is now partially available through ftp and the World Wide Web. The McMath-Pierce Facility houses the world's three largest solar telescopes. Mt. Wilson in California sends a daily sunspot magnetic classification fax to the 55 SWXS and NOAA/SEC. The Mt. Wilson Institute, which includes the Hale Solar Observatory, is not part of the NSO, but is a non-profit organization. (Evolved Baseline) No significant improvement of the National Solar Observatory is programmed through 2010. 1.1.2.12 Jet Propulsion Laboratory Total Electron Content Monitors (Civil) (Current Baseline) The Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) provides ionospheric data from more than 25 passive receivers operating worldwide. These JPL sites are part of a worldwide network of more than 100 receivers. The JPL network uses GPS signals to measure total electron content (TEC). Table 2-11 lists the passive receiver sites. Table 2-11. JPL Sites Station Name Auckland, New Zealand College, Alaska Ensenada, Mexico Fredericksburg, MD Goldstone, CA Guam JPL Mesa, CA Kokee, Kauai, HI Mauna Kea, HI McDonald, TX Mcmurdo, Antarctica North Liberty, Iowa Nyalesund2, Norway Oat Mountain, CA Pasadena, CA Pie Town, New Mexico Potsdam, Germany Quincy, CA Santiago, Chile St Croix, Virgin Islands Tidbinbilla, Australia Tromso2, Norway Usuda, Japan Westlake, CA Wettzell, Germany Latitude Longitude -36.60 64.90 31.87 38.00 35.42 13.59 34.20 22.13 19.80 30.68 -77.84 41.77 78.93 34.35 34.14 34.30 52.38 39.38 -33.15 17.76 -35.40 69.66 36.13 34.16 49.14 174.83 212.20 243.33 283.00 243.11 144.87 241.83 200.34 204.54 255.99 166.67 268.43 11.86 241.40 241.87 251.88 13.07 239.06 289.33 295.42 148.98 18.94 138.36 241.17 12.88 (Evolved Baseline) No significant improvement or expansion of the JPL TEC Monitors is programmed through 2010. Some new JPL TEC sites may be substituted or added to satisfy a particular customer need. 1.1.2.13 U. S. Geological Survey Magnetometers (Civil) (Current Baseline) The United States Geological Survey (USGS) operates a network of groundbased magnetometers. Several of these magnetometers provide the data used at 55 SWXS to compute the level of geomagnetic activity in real time. The 55 SWXS calculates the planetary geomagnetic indices KP and AP. They base these indices on reports from the magnetometers located in the United States and Canada, as listed in Table 2-12. The stations located in Canada are Canadian owned. The USGS also owns and operates other real-time reporting magnetometers. Some of these additional sites (also listed in Table 2-10) are monitored for geomagnetic activity. Geomagnetic variations are reported, calculated, and transmitted routinely. The USGS-operated sensors forward data every 12-minutes to a GOES spacecraft. GOES retransmits the data to Wallops Island, Virginia, then to the NOAA Data Collection System at Camp Springs, Maryland, then to the SESC in Boulder, Colorado, and finally to the 55 SWXS. Table 2-12. USGS Magnetometers Location USGS-Operated Magnetometers Sitka, Alaska Meanook, Canada Glenlea, Canada Ottawa, Canada St. Johns, Newfoundland, Canada Newport, Washington Fresno, California Boulder, Colorado Coordinates 57N135W 55N113W 50N97W 45N76W 47N54W 42N117W 37N120W 40N105W Canadian-Owned Canadian-Owned Canadian-Owned Canadian-Owned Canadian and USGS-Operated Magnetometers Fredericksburg, Virginia Resolute Bay, Canada Baker Lake, Canada Churchill, Canada Cambridge Bay, Canada Yellow Knife, Canada Post de la Beleine, Canada College, Alaska Anchorage, Alaska Victoria, Canada Tucson, Arizona Del Rio, Texas San Juan, PR Honolulu, Hawaii 38N77W N74W 94 N64W 96 N58W 94 N60W105 N62W114 N55W 77 N64W147 N61W150 N49W123 N32W110 N30W101 N18W 66 N21W158 (Evolved Baseline) No significant improvement of the Magnetometers is programmed through 2010. Some new USGS sites may be substituted or added to satisfy a particular customer need. 1.1.3 Data Processing Centers 1.1.3.1 United States Air Force Space Environment Operations Center 1.1.3.2 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Space Environment Center 1.1.3.3 Archival Center Solar and geophysical data are archived by the NESDIS/National Geophysical Data Center (NGDC) in Boulder, Colorado. This agency also fulfills the functions of a World Data Center (WDC) in accordance with the International Data Exchange guidelines and through various ad hoc arrangements with other WDCs and sources of data. Data include solar images, sunspots, energetic particles, cosmic rays, geomagnetic measurements, ionospheric soundings, auroral images, auroral particles, and activity indices. Data less than 30 days old may be available at the SEC. NGDC holds over 163 Gigabytes of digital data from about 340 worldwide observatories and stations and many miles of microfilm. The NGDC mission includes data rescue (maintain archives for 204 closed solar observatories, 79 closed cosmic ray neutron monitor stations, and many closed geomagnetic and ionospheric stations). NGDC collects, checks, and disseminates space weather data via the Geophysical On Line Data (GOLD) system on the worldwide web (http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov, gopher.ngdc.noaa.gov, ftp anonymous, ftp.ngdc.noaa.gov) and bulletin board access. New online search capabilities for space weather plots, Space Physics Interactive Data Resource (SPIDR), now provides geomagnetic, aurora, and ionospheric data. Solar data will be included in SPIDR in the near future. A monthly publication, Solar-Geophysical Data (SGD), is available by subscription. This publication includes historical solar activity data compiled from worldwide observatories and related satellite and ground-based geomagnetic and cosmic ray indices that document the effects on the Earth environment. Popular solar and geomagnetic indices are distributed quickly via the monthly Solar Indices Bulletin and the Geomagnetic Indices Bulletin. Large digital space weather databases are available via CD-ROM or other media as requested.