Breeding Programme Statistics as at August 2010 Genetic Make-up of the Flock Males All lines Currently 423 males shown as alive 146 are fully registered 76% are 3 years old or younger Year of birth 2010 (to 18/8) 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 No birth notified 94 131 115 172 140 170 146 178 191 154 No still alive 93 102 48 80 31 14 14 7 2 3 Line 1 76 have significant line 1 genetics (17.9% of flock) 20 of these 76 are fully registered 88% are 3 years old or younger Year of birth 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 or earlier No alive 32 24 3 8 6 3 No registered 2 4 1 4 6 3 235 have some line 1 genetics (55.5% of flock) Of ram lambs born in 2010 72 have some line 1 genetics (76.6% of the crop) Line 2 58 have significant line 2 genetics (13.7% of flock) 31 of these are fully registered 74.5% are 3 years old or younger Year of birth 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 or earlier No alive 25 4 6 6 3 13 No registered 9 1 4 3 3 13 ALL members of the flock have some line 2 genetics (100% of flock) Line 3 32 have significant line 3 genetics (7.5% of flock) 12 of these 32 are fully registered 77.7% are 3 years old or younger Year of birth 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 or earlier No alive 3 6 7 5 4 7 No registered 1 2 1 2 1 5 401 have some line 3 genetics (94.8% of flock) Of ram lambs born in 2010 90 have some line 3 genetics (95.7% of the crop) Females All lines Currently 1667 females shown as alive 1383 are fully registered 49.5% are 3 years old or younger, 70.7% are 5 years old or younger Year of birth 2010 (18/8) 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 No birth notified 192 223 244 250 253 264 244 244 226 No still alive 192 221 221 191 179 175 137 102 68 Line 1 231 have significant line 1 genetics (13.9% of flock) 850 have some line 1 genetics (51% of flock) Of ewe lambs born in 2010 168 have some line 1 genetics (87.5% of the crop) Line 2 202 have significant line 2 genetics (12.1% of flock) ALL members of the flock have some line 2 genetics (100% of flock) Line 3 152 have significant line 3 genetics (9.1% of flock) 1411 have some line 3 genetics (84.6% of flock) Of ewe lambs born in 2010 189 have some line 3 genetics (98% of the crop) Breeding Performance Ownership profile We have 135 flock numbers that have owned animals over the last 5 years. Of these 21 no longer have any ewes on the register. We currently have 83 ewes belonging to non-RBST-members (down from 165 in 2009) and 11 (down from 45) ewes are listed under ‘purchased in 20nn’ so have not been included in a registered flock. The profile for flock sizes with ‘alive’ ewes is: 160 135 140 120 100 80 63 60 40 21 20 8 16 11 10 6 0 zero 2 or less bt 2 and bt 10 and bt 16 and bt 30 and over 50 10 16 30 50 total The number of flocks with over 50 ewes has increased from 4 to 6 but we are still extremely dependent on small flock owners with 78.8% of flocks under the original minimum flock size for a viable flock for the ‘breeds at risk register’. Breeding/Non-breeding Ewe profile At the moment only 27 of the 104 flocks with live ewes have birth notified lambs in 2010 during 2009 46 of 108 flocks birth notified lambs and three of these were flocks from non-RBST- members. Overall in 2009 there were only 268 unique ewes with birth notified lambs inspite of the register showing 1516 live ewes. This indicates only 17.7% of our ewes are being used for pedigree breeding. 55 rams were used giving a ratio of 4.9 ewes per ram, again an indication of small breeding flocks. So far in 2010 the offspring of 203 unique ewes have been birth notified and 38 rams used. The oldest ewes producing lambs in 2010 were born in 1999. Registration profile No of lambs registered (birth notified or fully registered) by year Year of birth Ewe lambs Ram lambs 2010 (18/8) 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 192 223 244 250 253 264 244 244 226 94 131 115 172 140 170 146 178 191 Likely ram lambs not BN Probable crop size Assume 150% ewe no 98 384 256 92 129 78 113 94 98 66 35 446 488 500 506 528 488 488 452 297 325 333 337 352 325 325 301 Assuming the assumptions are correct (that ewe/ram no should be equal and 1.5 lambs per ewe is correct average) we are barely holding numbers.... and unless there are a lot of flocks left to register we are losing ground. 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 CONCLUSIONS AND ACTIONS We have pretty much secured the genetic diversity of the breed we just need to: o o We need to find out why so few of the ewes are being used for pedigree breeding o o o Continue to actively select rams with some (even if not significant) Line 1 genetics We need to remove the 20 remaining rams with NO line 3 (only 2 are registered and under 5 years but we do have birth notified younger ram lambs we need to avoid) Are pedigree lambs being produced for meat and not notified? Are flocks cross-breeding ? Are the ewes not being breed at all? We need to agree a 5 year strategy to increase the number of ewes producing notified, pedigree lambs so we are aware of the real flock size of the breed and take action if the numbers are actually falling.