The Jordan University Mathematics Department Instructor. Prof. Ahmad Zghoul Course Syllabus of Principles of Statistics (0301131) Textbook: Raqab, M. Z., Awad, A. M., and Azzam, M.M (2010), Principles of Statistics , 3 rd edition, Academic For Publishing & Distributing Co. References: 1. Introduction to Probability and Statistics, 11th edition, W. Mendenhall, R. Beaver and B. Beaver, 2003, Brooks/Cole 2. Introduction to Probability and Statistics, Principles and Methods, 3rd Edition, R. A. Johnson and G. K. Bhattacharyya, 1996, Wiley, New York. Lecture Ch1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Ch2 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Ch3 Topics of each 50 m. lecture Descriptive Statistics: Frequency table for discrete data, stem-and-leaf Frequency table for continuous data, relative and cumulative frequency Graphical presentation of discrete data: dot plot, line diagram, bar chart, pie chart Graphical presentation of continuous data: histogram, frequency polygon, cumulative frequency curve Measures of location of raw data: arithmetic mean, median, mode, percentiles Measures of location of grouped data: arithmetic mean, median, mode, percentiles, quartiles Measures of variation for raw data: range, interquartile range, standard deviation, mean deviation Measures of variation for grouped data: standard deviation, mean absolute deviation, interquartile range, Box-Whisker plot. Z-score, coefficient of variation, skewness, kurtosis, Chebyshev inequality, empirical rule. Updating mean and variance due to combining two data collections, linear transformation of data, dropping, adding or correcting data points Discussion 1 Elements of Probability: Random experiment, sample space, event, sampling with and without replacement, counting number of elements in sample space and of events using counting principle, combination and permutation. Probability concept and its rules Conditional probability , independent events and Bayes rule Univariate discrete random variable, pdf, cdf, expectation, mean , and variance Bivariate discrete random variables, joint, marginal and conditional pdfs, Expectation, mean , variance, covariance, and correlation, independence of bivariate random vector. Univariate continuous random variable, pdf, cdf, expectation, mean, variance. Discussion 2 Discrete probability distributions 20 21 Ch4 22 23 24 Ch5 25 26 27 28 Ch6 29 30 Binomial distribution: Bernoulli random experiment, pdf, binomial table, mean and variance Poisson distribution: experiments leading to the distribution, pdf, mean, variance, Poisson table, Poisson approximation to binomial Normal Probability Distribution Standard normal, pdf, tables to calculate probabilities and percentiles General normal and converting to Z : N(0,1), using tables Normal approximation to Binomial and Poisson distributions, CLT Sampling Distributions Sampling distribution of sample mean and of difference between two sample means (normal or T), degrees of freedom, using t-table Sampling distribution of proportion and difference between two proportions (normal) Sampling distribution of sample variance (Chi-square), and of ratio of two variances (Fdistribution) using chi-square and F- tables Discussion 3 Concepts of Statistical Inference Point estimates for population mean, proportion, variance, Confidence interval for population mean, sample size determination Testing terminology: null and alternative hypotheses, simple, one-sided and two-sided composite hypotheses, test statistic, test rule, level of significance, p-vale, type-I and type-II errors and their probabilities , , & p value 31 Calculations of Ch7 32 33 34 35 Ch8 36 39 40 Inference about one population parameters Tests about population mean ( small and large samples, known and unknown variances) Testing and CI for proportion (large sample), sample size determination Testing and CI for variance, relation between testing and CI’s Discussion 4 Inference about two populations parameters Tests about difference of two independent populations means ( small and large samples, known and unknown variances) CI for difference of two independent populations means ( small and large samples, known and unknown variances). Tests and C.I. for difference of two dependent populations (paired) means Tests and C.I. for difference of two independent proportions (large samples) Tests and C.I. for ratio of two independent variances Discussion 5 41 42 43 Review before Mid Term Mid Term Solution of Mid Term 44 45 46 Review before 2nd Exam 2nd Exam Solution of 2nd Exam 37 38