CHAPTER 8 NONLINEAR PROGRAMMING SOLUTION TO SOLVED PROBLEMS 8.S1 Airline Ticket Pricing Model Business travelers tend to be less price sensitive than leisure travelers. Knowing this, airlines have discovered that extra profit can be generated by using separate pricing for these two types of customers. For example, airlines often charge more for a midweek flight (mostly business travelers) than for travel that includes a Saturday-night stay (mostly leisure travelers). Suppose an airline has estimated demand vs. price for midweek travel (mostly business travelers) and for travel that includes a Saturday-night stay (mostly leisure travelers) as shown in the table below. This flight is served by a Boeing 777 with capacity for 300 travelers. The fixed cost of operating the flight is $30,000. The variable cost per passenger (for food and fuel) is $30. Price $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 Midweek 150 105 82 63 49 35 27 Demand Saturday-night Stay 465 210 127 82 60 45 37 1 Total 615 315 209 145 109 80 64 a. One function that can used to estimate demand (D) as a function of price (P) is a linear demand function, where D = a – bP. For positive values of a and b, this will give lower demand when the price is higher. However, a nonlinear demand function usually can provide a better fit to the data. For example, one such function is a constant elasticity demand function, where D = aPb. For positive values of a and negative values of b, this also will give lower demand when the price is higher. Graph the above data and use the Add Trendline feature of Excel to find the constant elasticity demand function that best fits the data in the above table for midweek demand, Saturday-night stay demand, and total demand A B C D E Business Travelers (Mid-Week) 150 105 82 63 49 35 27 Liesure Travelers (Sat-Night Stay) 465 210 127 82 60 45 37 Total 615 315 209 145 109 80 64 Airline Demand 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Price $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 Demand Curve 700 600 y = 3287816x -1.62 500 (Mid-Week) (Sat-Night Stay) 400 Demand Total 300 Power ((Mid-Week)) -1.83 y = 7490107x Power ((Sat-Night Stay)) 200 Power (Total) 100 y = 102922x -1.21 0 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 Price 2 $600 $700 $800 b. For this part, assume that the airline charges a single price to all customers. Using the demand function for total demand determined in part a, formulate and solve a nonlinear programming model in a spreadsheet to determine what the price should be so as to achieve the highest profit for the airline. The decision to be made is how much to charge for the tickets. Therefore, define a changing cell TicketPrice (C12). Based on part a, the demand for tickets is Demand = a * (TicketPrice)b = 3,287,816 * TicketPrice-1.62. The goal is to maximize profit. The profit is based on the ticket price, variable cost, demand, and fixed cost as follows: Profit = (TicketPrice – VariableCost) * Demand – Fixed Cost. This formula is entered into Profit (C16). The Solver information and solved spreadsheet is shown below. A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 B C E Airline Price Model (Uniform Price) Demand = a * (Price)^b Total Demand a 3,287,816 b -1.62 Variable Cost $30 Fixed Cost $30,000 Ticket Price $311.67 Demand Profit 300 <= Capacity 300 $54,501 B 14 15 16 D C Demand =a*TicketPrice^b Profit =(TicketPrice-VariableCost)*Demand-FixedCost Range Name a b Capacity Demand FixedCost Profit TicketPrice VariableCost 3 Cells C5 C6 E14 C14 C10 C16 C12 C8 c. Now assume that the airline charges separate prices for midweek and Saturday-night stay tickets. Using the two demand functions for midweek and Saturday-night stay tickets determined in part a, formulate and solve a nonlinear programming spreadsheet model to determine what the prices of the two types of tickets should be so as to maximize the profit for the airline. The solution to part c is similar to part b. There are now two decisions: (1) the price for midweek and (2) the price for Saturday-night stay tickets. Based on part a, the demand for midweek tickets is Demand = 102,922* TicketPrice–1.21. The demand for Saturday-night stay tickets is 7,490,107* TicketPrice–1.83.The solved spreadsheet is shown below. A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 B C D E F G Total 300 <= Capacity 300 Airline Pricing Model Demand = a * (Price)^b Mid-Week a 102,922 b -1.21 Variable Cost Sat-Night Stay 7,490,107 -1.83 $30 $30 Fixed Cost $30,000 Ticket Price $709.59 $271.49 37 263 Demand Profit $58,457 d. How much extra profit can the airline achieve by charging higher prices for midweek tickets than for Saturday-night stay tickets? With higher prices for midweek tickets, the profit is $58,457. With uniform pricing, the profit is $54,501. The extra profit with higher prices for midweek tickets is $3,956. 4