Math Problem-Solving Lesson: Matching Colors Spinner Game (Adapted from Connected Mathematics’ What Do You Expect? Investigation 1.1, Prentice Hall, 2001) Link SOL/POS/Objective: Students will compare theoretical and experimental probability, and they will also use knowledge of probability to determine whether a game is fair. SOL 7.14: Probability SOL 8.11: Probability Engage Problem Engagement: Students can read the directions for the game and read questions 1 and 2 for the launch or The teacher may want to toss a coin for review and ask: What is the probability of getting a heads? What are the possible outcomes? Are they equally likely? What is the probability of getting a tail? The teacher could toss the coin a few times and ask: What would happen if you continue the experiment for more trials? The class may need to discuss what it means for a game to be fair. Active Inquiry Investigation: Students will read the directions for the game Match/No-Match and answer questions #1 and 2 which are predictions. They will then play the game with partners. Devising a Plan: Students will experiment to answer questions 3 and 4 and to help answer their predictions from earlier. Students will investigate the problem by finding the theoretical probably as well as the experimental probability, listing all possible outcomes. Carrying Out the Plan: Students will compute the theoretical and experimental probabilities of spinning a match, in order to help answer the question: is this game fair? They can use their findings from the Experimental probability or Theoretical probability or both to answer the question. Reflection Reflect: Students should have explained that this was not a fair game. They will then need to explain how the rules can be changed to make this a fair game. Answers to this part will vary. The teacher may want to have partners get together with another pair to form a group and they can discuss their strategies for making the game fair. Or the teacher can have the class collect the experimental data, discuss the results and summarize: Is it fair? Based on the experimental probabilities we found for the class data, do you think Match and No-Match are equally likely? Next Tomorrow: Students made lists of possible outcomes in this experiment, but tomorrow they will learn to make a tree diagram or area model to show all possible outcomes of this experiment. Matching Colors Spinner Game Your best friend just came back from vacation and says she learned a game that she just has to play with you. It is called Match/No-Match and you use a spinner like the one shown here. Blue Red The rules are: Two players take turns spinning a spinner. On each turn, a player spins the pointer of the spinner twice. If both spins land on the same color (a match), then Player A scores 1 point. If the two spins land on different colors (a no-match), then Player B scores 2 points. The player with the most points after 24 spins wins. 1. Do you think this is a fair or unfair game? __________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________ _______________________________________ 2. Are both players equally likely to win? __________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________ _______________________________________ Experimental Probability Play the Match/No-Match game with a partner. For each turn (remember a turn is two spins), record the color pair, for example, blue-red in the box below. Award points to the appropriate player. Take a total of 24 turns (12 for each player). Player A points ________ Player B points________ 3. Use your results from the game to determine the experimental probabilities of a match and a no-match. P(Match) = _____ P(No-Match) = ______ Theoretical Probability 4. List all the possible outcomes of a turn (2 spins). 5. Use the list of possible outcomes to determine the theoretical probability of a match and a no-match. P(Match) = ______ P(No-Match) = ______ 6. Are the outcomes equally likely? That is, does each outcome have the same chance of occurring? __________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________ Summary 7. How do the experimental and theoretical probabilities compare? __________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________ 8. Is Match/No-Match a fair game? If it is fair, explain why. If it is not fair, explain how the rules can be changed to make the game fair. ___________________________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________________________ ____________ Problem Solving Rubric Category Understanding the Problem – Researching and Gathering Information Devising the Plan and Carrying out the Plan Problem Reflection D–1 C–2 B–3 Lacks Partially Explained understanding of explained predictions and the problem – is predictions and reasoning behind unable to move reasoning behind his/her on without a his/her predictions, with complete predictions, some missing explanation and without key details. restatement from concepts. the instructor. Used only one Brainstormed a Brainstormed a strategy, required few strategies but few strategies, assistance to needs assistance decided on one evaluate the to formulate a strategy that strategy or is strategy or a set would be most missing key steps of complete steps effective OR to solving the to solve the brainstormed a problem. problem OR few strategies Attempted to strategy and/or and decided on a solve the given steps are set of steps that problem without inconsistent or were incomplete working through incomplete. or inconsistent. details OR solved Solved given Solved given a different problem without problem problem than working through appropriately given. any details. with some details covered with original or modified plan. Required assistance to evaluate solutions and could not suggest strategy to make game fair. Limited evaluation of theoretical and experimental results. Flawed explanation for strategy to make game fair. Compared theoretical and experimental results and suggested an inappropriate strategy for making the game “fair”. A–4 Thoroughly explained predictions and reasoning behind his/her predictions. Brainstormed many strategies, decided on one strategy that would be most effective OR brainstormed many strategies decided on a set of steps that would resolve the problem thoroughly. Solved given problem appropriately with all details thoroughly covered with original or modified plan. Compared theoretical and experimental results and suggested at least one appropriate strategy for making the game “fair”. Score