533562731 Pre-publication version of paper submitted to the Second World-wide Research Symposium on Purchasing and Supply Chain Management, 1-3 April, 1998, London Generalising from single samples - Evaluating the contribution of casestudy analysis to empirical purchasing research Introduction [The ’one-shot’ case-study] design is an observation only of what exists at the time of the study, as such, it has no control over extrinsic and intrinsic factors. In addition, it does not allow for manipulation of the independent variable or for before-after or control-group-experimentalgroup comparison. Furthermore, since case studies analyze single unsampled systems, they are weak on generalization as well. Studies that employ the One-Shot Case-Study design have no checks on internal validity and thus are of little use in testing causal relations. Indeed this design has been denoted by some methodologists as preexperimental. Nachmias & Nachmias, (1976), p.42 Criticisms of this kind may have encouraged the abandonment of the case-study approach to empirical research in some academic fields. Mitchell (1983), p. 187 observes that it seems to have disappeared, for example, in Sociology in the early 1950s when it was replaced by the familiar jargon of variable analysis, sampling techniques et al. Much the same is true of Economics where the approach has been largely relegated to the status of a teaching aid. Nevertheless empirical research based on case-studies is alive and well in a variety of other fields such as Politics, Anthropology and Psychology. Moreover, a brief survey of the Purchasing literature indicates that the case-study approach has, in the absence of any critical debate, already become an extremely popular research strategy in this newly formed field of study.i In the light of the severity of some of the methodological attacks on the case-study, it would seem prudent for purchasing academics to pause and take a considered look at the debate before continuing with their current, apparently unquestioning embrace of this particular research strategy. The Nachmias attack is based on an application of the ontology and epistemology of Humean positivism which regards knowledge of the world as proceeding from a search for, and uncovering of, patterns or regularities in samples of data relating to events in the empirical realm. The resulting regularities may then be formulated as ‘laws’ that can be applied as generalisations concerning the relationships between the relevant variables in the parent population of phenomena. The subsequent explanation of phenomena in social systems thus consists of generalisable laws that permit the researcher to make predictions concerning future relationships between variables. If the positivist approach to understanding social phenomena is accepted, then it is reasonable to ask if the case-study research strategy is capable of uncovering generalisable 533562731 relationships between variables. Stated baldly, this line of criticism asks - if the research objective is the creation of a generally applicable understanding of purchasing phenomena, what is the point of looking closely at a sample of one? How can a general law be drawn from an appreciation of the way in which one company, department or individual behaves? It is, of course, possible to challenge the positivist ontological and epistemological foundations upon which such questions rest, and that task will be tackled below. However, before the validity of the positivist methodology is itself brought into question, the claim of Nachmias & Nachmias and othersii that the case-study approach is incapable of producing useful and valid generalisations, will be challenged on two grounds. One major dissenting line of thought deals with the nature of the process of causal explanation, the other with the nature of the phenomena under examination. The process of explanation - analytical induction and logical inference In the 1930s, before positivism had established its grip upon much empirical research and the plethora of statistical techniques and PCs capable of easily performing the necessary calculations had been invented, voices could be heard resisting the new epistemology. Thus Znaniecki (1934) can be found arguing strongly in favour of analytical induction in which: ...certain particular objects are determined by intensive study, and the problem is to define the logical classes which they represent. No definition of the class precedes in analytical induction the selection of data to be studied as representative of this class.... Znaniecki, (1934), p. 249 The procedure he championed involved establishing definitions or descriptions of concepts and processes based upon an identification of their ’essential’ characteristics: Analytic induction abstracts from the given concrete case, characters that are essential to it and generalizes them, presuming that in so far as essential, they must be similar in many cases......Thus, when a particular concrete case is being analyzed as typical or eidetic, we assume that those traits that are essential to it, which determine what it is, are common to and distinctive of all cases of a class. ibid., p. 250 If the essential characteristics of a phenomenon can indeed be identified, then it will be logically possible to generalise from a single sample of a phenomenon by means of, for example, case study analysis. Half a century later, in a development of this kind of inductive argument, Mitchell (1983) can be found discussing the difference between statistical and logical inference, stating: Scientific or causal - or perhaps more appropriately - logical inference, is the process by which the analyst draws conclusions about the essential linkage between two or more characteristics in terms of some systematic explanatory schema - some set of theoretical propositions. Mitchell, (1983), p. 199-200 533562731 and concluding that: ... the process of inference from case studies is only logical or causal and cannot be statistical and that extrapolability from any one case study to like situations in general is based only on logical inference. [Thus] We infer that the features present in the case study will be related in a wider population not because the case is representative but because our analysis is unassailable. Mitchell, (1983), p. 200 Hence, if research into a single sample/case leads to the discovery of an ‘unassailable’ causal explanation of a phenomenon, then the researcher may be confident that the same explanation will apply to other members of the parent population from which the sample was taken. iii The excavation of causation - skeletal specifications Mitchell and Znaniecki provide arguments for the combination of very small or single samples with induction in the search for generalisable causal explanations. However, neither author explores the question of precisely how causation might be uncovered in the practice of empirical research, and the limitations that practice might impose upon the possibility of producing generalisable causal explanations. Some light is thrown on this subject by the literature surrounding the idea that it is possible to usefully distinguish between an entire phenomenon and a sub-section of that whole that can be called an underlying ‘process’. Writing in the context of educational research, Howard Becker (1990) cites the example of empirical research in mens’ and womens’ prisons. At first sight, the phenomena are quite different, Male prisons have, inter alia, well developed markets for drugs, clothes and so on, and the inmates devise prison-specific homosexual relationships that do not threaten their heterosexuality in the outside world. They also maintain a ‘convict code’ of behaviour based on loyalty towards other inmates and distrust of the guards. Female prisons, on the other hand, do not have developed markets, sexual relationships resemble pseudofamilies and they have no convict code. Nevertheless, Becker argues that although the details of the phenomena are quite different, there is an underlying common ‘process’ in which the deprivations of prison life lead to the creation of a prison culture. Consequently he argues: .....generalizations are not about how all prisons are just the same, but about a process, the same no matter where it occurs, in which variations in conditions create variations in results. Becker, (1990), p. 240 Similarly, in a discussion of organisational research that echoes Mitchell’s earlier thoughts, Hartley (1994) argues that: The detailed examination of organizations in a context can reveal processes which can be proposed as general or as peculiar to that organization. The detailed knowledge of the organization and especially the knowledge about the processes underlying the behaviour and its context can help to specify the conditions under which the behaviour 533562731 can be expected to occur. In other words the generalization is about theoretical propositions not about populations. Hartley, (1994), pp. 225-6: This focus on underlying processes appears to be an attractive suggestion. In the field of purchasing phenomena for example, although it may well prove impossible to produce a general theory about, say, buyer-supplier negotiations that could be applicable to all types of company regardless of size, supplier base, product base or market structure, and every negotiator regardless of personal style, personality and the like, it might be possible to identify some underlying processes in negotiation practice that are so generalisable. This proposition appears all the more promising in view of the fact that it is reasonable to expect to find similarities in the underlying processes of individual cases in purchasing. Many of the buyers in companies have been through the same education process. In the UK there is only one professional Institute that represents professional buyers, consequently many buyers have studied the same academic syllabi and the same limited literature. Furthermore, with the increase in the popularity of practices such as bench-marking and the seeking out of ‘best practice’, many companies actively try to copy each other’s operations. In such circumstances it would be extremely surprising if empirical research did not uncover a number of similar, underlying processes. We may usefully take a leaf out of the systems analysts’ book at this point. Significant proportions of their lives are concerned with the stripping away of the idiosyncratic surface details of processes within companies with a view to identifying and specifying what might be called underlying, ‘skeletal’ processes: The physical model is contaminated with many physical and technology-related activities and memories simply because that is the way things are done in the current system. We want to separate the what from the how. Namely we want to separate the things that do the data transformations from the things that service the processes that do these transformations. Simply stated, we want to know what processes and data stores serve the users and which ones serve the system. In this way, we can distinguish between changes in the technology of how things are done from changes in the fundamental business practices implemented in the system. Kowal, (1988), p. 155 Analysts seek to uncover what they term a logical model with which they can: ...briefly and concisely explain the system under study. ......[and] describe the system in terms of its most important activities and task, its essential data, and the events to which the system responds.’ ibid., (1988), p. 271 There would seem to be little doubt then, that it is possible to strip away surface detail and reveal underlying processes. It is, moreover conceivable, as we shall see below, that those same processes may well be present in the broader population of phenomena. In summary, support for the argument that it may be possible to use the case-study research strategy to produce valid, generally applicable explanations from a single sample of a phenomenon can be found in the ideas of: 533562731 analytical induction and the identification of the ‘essential’ characteristics of a phenomenon. causal analysis and the construction of ‘unassailable’ analyses. Moreover, the task of revealing underlying causal mechanisms may be facilitated by a search for: skeletal specifications and the uncovering of common, underlying processes. Unfortunately, both the ideas and the suggested empirical technique suffer from a variety of individual and shared defects. Limitations on reliability - The problem of induction Both analytical induction and causal analysis are necessarily subject to a potentially crippling logical difficulty memorably presented by Popper thus: It is usual to call an inference ‘inductive’ if it passes from singular statements ..., such as accounts of the results of observations or experiments, to universal statements such as hypotheses or theories. Now it is far from obvious, from a logical point of view, that we are justified in inferring universal statements from singular ones, no matter how numerous: for any conclusion drawn in this way may always turn out to be false; no matter how many instances of white swans we may have observed, this does not justify the conclusion that all swans are white. Popper, (1972), p.27 This is the notorious ‘Problem of Induction’ originally formulated by Hume over two hundred years earlier.iv More recent treatments of the problem divide it into two parts: ............ the difficulty occasioned by the fact that all our putative knowledge of the natural world is in principle revisable (the little problem of induction)...[and] the difficulty occasioned by the fact that even if we had perfect knowledge of the natural world another world could come into being at any time in which that knowledge would be useless (the big problem of induction) Harré and Madden, (1975), p.75 For positivists, by casting logical doubt on the reliability of any inductively generated theory, the problem of induction constitutes both a powerful argument for avoiding any inductivelybased research technique and support for the hypothetico-deductive search for eventregularities adopted by positivism. However, the positivist research methodology is, of course, not without its own critics. The Realists have convincingly demonstrated that the reliable identification of cause and effect through the use of statistical analysis to uncover patterns in event is only possible in closed systems with stable environments and constant, unchanging processes and actors.v Such conditions rarely apply fully even under controlled conditions in chemistry laboratories. In social systems such as companies, where the external business environment is notoriously unstable and the presence of human beings in the internal company 533562731 environment with their reflexive,vi unpredictable behaviour, unequivocally prevents system closure. The reliable identification of cause and effect from event-regularities as proposed by Humevii is thus rendered impossible. Under the kind of conditions existing in purchasing environments, the casual significance of patterns in data is indeterminate. The realisation that neither inductive approaches nor positivism have a reliable method of uncovering causal explanations in social systems might be regarded as extremely unsettling in a field like purchasing that is tightly tied to practitioners and their interests. Deep uncertainty about the reliability of research results is unlikely to be well received in business circles. Although it might be possible to publish such research in disciplines less intimately connected with the commercial world, businesses will want to be reassured that the risk of failure and loss is small before they invest in and implement change. ‘It might work in your company.’, or ‘It seemed to work in a very small Canadian moccasin business that employed four people.’ will not normally be good enough in such an environment. Business may have more demanding standards of explanatory reliability than the academic referees of, say, the Economic Journal or the American Sociological Review.viii Skeletal process banality - explanation or generalisation The logical difficulties that beset an approach based on inductive inference are compounded by practical restrictions on the feasibility of using the method, suggested above, of uncovering skeletal specifications as a basis for the construction of generalised causal explanations. Systems analysts may well have techniques for excavating underlying system specifications, but in the main that profession is uninterested in either generalisability or causal explanations. They are trying to extract the essence of specific systems within a company with a view to digitising them. It is possible, therefore that the techniques they employ may ignore or even destroy the very information needed to form causal explanations. Consider the following two descriptions of the same (imaginary) company’s system for purchasing new products. Detailed description The company’s engineers produce drawings of the component they require. Frequently these drawings are not based directly on the firm’s technical needs. Because of long-standing corrupt arrangements between the engineers and unscrupulous engineering suppliers, some of the company’s essential needs are modified until they can only be supplied rapidly by the engineer’s favourite suppliers. The resulting (biased) drawings are supplied to the company’s Purchasing Department. They are frequently delivered more slowly than is necessary. This delay reduces the amount of time the buyers have to perform the task of identifying and establishing suitable suppliers. Moreover, the purchase of new components is not given the highest priority by the Purchasing Department’s senior management. Their focus is on the demanding task of maintaining supplies of some 15,000 current production parts to the company’s production lines. The net result is that the purchasing department is frequently happy to rely on the engineer’s suggested suppliers This maximises the likelihood of the buyer selecting suppliers suggested by the engineers, but sub-optimises the company’s purchasing performance. The Company has a sourcing procedure drafted by the Finance Director stipulating that three formal enquiries should be sent out for any order worth more than £10,000/annum. In practice this is rarely followed, either because of lack of time, or because the Chief buyer considers herself to be something of a law unto herself, deeply resents the ideas that Finance should be controlling the Purchasing Function’s behaviour, considers her department to be 533562731 grossly understaffed and does not have the resources to carry out what she regards to be unnecessarily bureaucratic procedures. Skeletal process description 1. Company objective: find a source of supply for a new component. 2. Engineering department produces drawing of required component. 3. The drawing is passed to Purchasing 4. Purchasing employ available resources - purchasing Staff and their knowledge of sourcing techniques, sources of data on potential suppliers such as staff knowledge and trade directories - to match the technical characteristics of the company with the technical capabilities of potential suppliers. 5. Purchasing selects the supplier(s) most likely to minimise the total, long-term costs of purchasing the specified component. The difference between these two descriptions is analogous to the concept of thick and thin descriptions referred to by the Anthropologist Geertz (1972). Thus, Geertz cites Ryle’s (1971) philosophical discussion of the range of nuances associated with the act of twitching the muscles of the right eyelid; everything from a simple involuntary twitch through winking, using the act of winking as a means of transmitting other information, pretending to wink and so on into ironic uses of the wink and the like. Ryle coins the concepts of ‘thick‘ and ‘thin’ descriptions. Where a thin description of, say, the ‘complex’ phenomenon of someone pretending to wink as a means of satirising the behaviour of someone who actually had winked, might be: ‘rapidly contracting his right eyelids’, a thick description of the same event might be: .....practising a burlesque of a friend faking a wink to deceive an innocent into thinking a conspiracy is in motion. Geertz, (1972), p.7 The two descriptions of the sourcing process offered above are thick and thin versions of the same phenomenon. If the empirical research objective is a causal explanation of the company’s new product sourcing performance, then it is likely that the researcher will need to consider such details as the relationships between the various functions involved, the nature of the interactions between the staff and the data processing and paperwork systems and so on. The thick description would appear to be the appropriate vehicle for such an analysis. God may not be in the details, but it is likely that casual explanations will be found there. However, much of the thick detail of any case will tend to be heavily company-specific, and could never form part of a generally applicable theory or description of the way companies source new components. If, on the other hand the research objective is the creation of generally applicable theories or explanations, then the skeletal, thin description of the same process offered above is indeed so fundamental that it could be applied to the majority of medium, and large-sized manufacturing companies in the world. Sadly, however, although it may well be generalisable, the thin description may also be so elementary as to be banal, and offers few causal insights. In other words researchers may find that they frequently have to choose between either creating causal explanations that are not generalisable, or generalisable explanations that do little to identify cause and effect. 533562731 At this stage, the task of deriving generalisable causal explanations from single casestudies thus appears possible, but both logically unreliable and unlikely to produce valuable findings. Nevertheless, all is not yet lost. Side-stepping the problem of induction Harré & Madden (1975) argue that the problem of induction stems from positivism’s erroneous foundation of Humean ontological and epistemological beliefs. If those errors are removed, they argue, then the little problem of induction is no longer a concern for inductive causal explanations. Specifically they point out that the positivist Humean scheme of laws deriving from event regularities depends upon an ontology of discrete, atomistic events that: ....can be understood best as temporal cross-sections of what we would ordinarily call a physical object. ‘x is red at t1’, ‘x is round as t1’, ‘x is sweet at t1’ etc. Would each be an event in this sense....Humean events are momentary ‘happenings’ in consciousness, the immediate impression of the moment...Our experience of a physical object [or process] is conceived to be a construction out of such events....[which are] ... instantaneous in nature, punctiform and elementary.’ Harré & Madden, (1975), p.109-110 Moreover, Hume considered it reasonable to treat events as though they were entirely independent. It is assumed that if a material thing undergoes a sequence of changes, thus generating successive events, that these events are absolutely independent of one another, that is, no matter what the structure of the previous succession has been, it is possible that the thing could take on any property whatever in the future. Similarly, it is assumed that no matter what properties a body has, it could, for all we can know, at any time take on simultaneously any other properties whatever. Harré and Madden, (1975), p. 3-4 Thus, the individual members of any given sequence of events are assumed to be unconnected in any manner. Consequently, from an epistemological point of view, it is impossible to understand a world of atomistic, independent events in terms of causal relationships based on connections between such events. Moreover the effect of these ontological assumptions is to remove the logical necessity for the repetition of any particular sequence of events in the future. Without the possibility of connections between events, it is logically possible that any ‘explanation’ based on specific sequences of events may be incorrect and hence in need of future revision. From these foundations they argue, springs the little problem of induction. Whereas Hume and the positivists focus on patterns in the events we experience, Harré & Madden propose an alternative Realist ontology that stresses the importance of the nature of the things: 533562731 ....whose interactions produce the flux of events. The system of things, of ultimate and derived individuals, is the permanent structure of the universe. Harré & Madden, (1975), p. 4 Shackled by the logical limitations of its chosen ontology, positivism is incapable of generating causal explanations in open social systems; only descriptions of patterns in data/events and unreliable predictions. In contrast, Harré & Madden’s universe of things allows them to offer a radically different method of explaining empirical experiences which stresses the role of ‘powerful particulars’: Our conception of causality is deliberately in keeping with one of the commoner ways in which this concept is employed. In this sense, causation always involves a material particular which produces or generates something. But what may be singled out as the cause may be an event, a state of affairs, or even in certain contexts, a material substance.....in any specific application of the notion of causality, the crucial element, we argue, the presence of which makes the action causal, is a powerful particular. Harré & Madden, (1975), p. 5 Freed from the restraints imposed by the positivist event ontology, they argue for the renewed validity of the process of induction: ... if we see that certain powers and capacities are explained by the nature of certain particulars and are necessarily attendant upon them then we have, in turn, an explanation of why certain things must go together and happen as they do...... The claim that inductive inference carries its own internal warrant and needs no bolstering from the outside can be justified directly in the following way. Providing we have no reason for thinking we were perceptually mistaken and have positive evidence for the truth of the description of a certain causally efficacious particular, then we can confidently say of a past occurrence of a causal production that the expected outcome did not simply happen to occur but had to occur, since the citation of the causally efficacious particular explains why the outcome and not something else occurred. Harré & Madden, (1975), p. 71 By challenging the epistemological and ontological foundations of positivism they argue for the ability to identify explanations based on the effects of ‘causally efficacious particulars’ and casual connections between the events we experience.ix Harré & Madden devote little attention to the question of generalisability,x however, we may surmise that if, in the course of empirical research, case-study work were to uncover a ‘causally efficacious particular’ that permitted a causal explanation of some aspect of a phenomenon, then it would be logically possible to generalise that causal explanation out to all other examples of the phenomenon containing similar powerful particulars. Unfortunately for the empirical researcher in search of practical guidance on how to proceed in case-study analysis, although Harré & Madden may well have produced a 533562731 convincing argument for ignoring the problem(s) of induction, the introduction of their ‘causally efficacious particular’ does little to clarify the practical task of identifying causal explanations. Unlike the problem of induction, this is not so much a problem of pure logic, as one of epistemology concerning the way in which we can gain reliable knowledge of the empirical world. Thus two decades after Znaniecki (1934) was published, Robinson (1951) argued that analytical induction is limited to the identification of the: ‘necessary conditions for..[a] phenomenon, to conditions which must be in existence before the phenomenon occurs but which are not shown to be sufficient to produce the phenomenon. Robinson, (1951), p. 817 In order to find out the sufficient conditions for the existence of a phenomenon it would be necessary to compare cases where it occurs, with those where it does not. Furthermore, even if it is felt that the definition of necessary conditions only will suffice in an explanation, the researcher is left with the problem of deciding whether or not the characteristics the research has identified are indeed the ‘essential‘ ones. Mitchell’s (1983) development of Znaniecki’s ideas has some initial persuasive power, but, it might be argued, does little more than change the problem of identifying the ‘essential characteristics’ of a phenomenon into one of assessing whether or not a causal analysis of a phenomenon is ‘unassailable’. Harré & Madden’s (1975) resolution of the problem of induction is elegant, but even they are left with the question, in this context, of how researchers can be sure that they have correctly identified a ‘causally efficacious particular’. Finally the discussion of skeletal specifications highlighted the apparent conflict between generalisability and causal understanding. However, even if the underlying process was useful in producing a causal explanation without descending into banality, researchers would still face the problem of identifying the point at which the analysis is ‘thick’ enough to facilitate the act of casual explanation. Researchers attempting to apply any of the ideas advocated above can thus reasonably ask the following questions: how will I know if the characteristics I have identified are ‘essential’? how will I know if the analysis or theory I have constructed is ‘unassailable’? how will I be able to tell when I have successfully identified ‘causally efficacious particulars’? How can I be sure that the process description is ‘thick enough’ to permit causal explanation? Without answers to these questions, researchers’ confidence in the reliability of their own results will be extremely limited. Improving reliability - the need for corroboration One strategy that might be employed to improve reliability would be to use any theories or hypotheses thrown up by the original ‘explanation’ to generate new research questions that might be answered by reference back to the phenomenon in the case-study. If, following further investigation, those questions are answered in the affirmative, then this could be regarded as what might be called internal corroboration of the explanation.xi Such a 533562731 process is illustrated in diagram 1 in which the researcher approaches the research task with pre-existing, opinions, experiences and so onxii, forms a hypothesis and seeks evidence from a search for causal explanation in an analysis of the case (the numbers alongside the arrows between stages in the process indicate the sequence in which the various stages occur). When the results of the research are compared with the original hypothesis, this may prompt a revision of the original hypothesis (represented by arrow 4) and a re-examination of the casestudy, and so on until a tentative, working explanation is developed. Alternatively, external corroboration that characteristics of a phenomenon are ‘essential’; an explanatory analysis was ‘unassailable’; a description ‘thick enough’ or that a ‘causally efficacious particular’ had been correctly identified, might be sought from an attempt to identify the proposed or identified characteristics, analysis, description or powerful particular in a larger sample of phenomena similar to that found in the case-study. This kind of process is illustrated in diagram 2. In this way statistical analysis of large samples may have a role to play in conjunction with individual case-study investigations. The purpose of the statistical analysis in this context however is not to seek out event-regularities from which to draw up universal laws, but merely to attempt to corroborate the theories or explanations uncovered by inductive, causal analysis. Moreover, there is no reason why the sequence of events should not be reversed and the process begun with statistical analysis techniquesxiii that facilitate the investigation of large numbers of cases or samples of the target phenomenon. Once more, however, the purpose of that analysis would not be to use patterns in the data to infer causality. That task would fall to case-study research employed as a follow-up technique. See diagram 3. In this way an attempt to derive generally applicable causal explanations might be undertaken without recourse to the usual panoply of random sampling techniquesxivintended to ensure the selection of ‘representative samples’ from parent populations. The choice of the sequence of research approaches may then be determined largely by the availability of data. Where large amounts of data on a number of different variables in a variety of cases is readily available, statistical analysis might be a reasonable approach with which to begin. Where such data is not easy to obtain, a single case-study may well indicate where data collection in the parent population could usefully be concentrated with a view to corroborating a tentative causal explanation. The combination of a realist epistemology and ontology with the positivist epistemology One of the strengths of the inductive realist approach, as applied through case-study research, is the promise of causal explanations resulting from examinations of the thick details of small samples. However the weakness of this approach is the unreliability of any resulting causal explanations, and thus the inability to reliably suggest generally applicable patterns, theories, explanations or laws. Conversely, one of the strengths of positivism, as applied through largesample statistical analysis, is its ability to identify generalised patterns of event-regularities. Its primary weakness, meanwhile, is the inability to generate a reliable causal explanation in open social systems. The strengths and weaknesses of each approach display a curious specular quality. It is proposed therefore that researchers in the field of purchasing adopt a form of triangulationxv involving the combination of small-sample causal and large-sample statistical analyses of the same phenomena, with the strength of one approach being used to compensate for the weakness of the other. This suggestion rests upon an abandonment of the positivist, Humean ontology of atomistic, independent events and the embrace of the realist ontology of things. However, since no attempt is being made to use statistical analysis as a means of trying to identify cause and effect directly, it is not necessary to jettison the positivist data pattern- 533562731 searching epistemology which can, instead, be combined with the causal explanation epistemology of the realists. Data patterns may serve well the limited purpose of indicating potentially fruitful avenues for causal investigations using other techniques. Working explanations However, even a triangulated research strategy combining complementary statistical and causal analyses in order to produce corroborative evidence will be unable to produce conclusive causal explanations in open systems. Consequently Popper’s celebrated warning xvi that it is ultimately impossible to verify theories only refute them, remains valid.xvii Hence the conclusion that not only all hypotheses, explanations or theories drawn from small or singlesample research, but also the results of such research carried out in combination with large sample statistical analysis, should be understood, and clearly labelled as being, of a ‘working’ nature. They are what might be called ‘working explanations’. (See diagrams 1-3) Conclusions This paper has attempted to answer the question of whether it is possible to use the case-study research strategy to uncover generalisable relationships between variables or identify causal mechanisms within open systems. Clearly, the strategy is well suited to the task of generating thick descriptions of phenomena, and if it were to enable researchers to define ‘essential’ characteristics or produce ‘unassailable’ theories, then the answer would be an unequivocal ‘yes’. However Robinson’s (1951) objection that analytical induction is able to describe the ‘necessary’ conditions, but not the ‘sufficient’ conditions for the existence of a phenomenon constitutes a serious logical restriction on the efficacy of the strategy. Moreover, the discussion of the use of triangulation above indicated that the case-study strategy may be most effective when it is deployed as part of (at least) a two-track approach in collaboration with the statistical analysis of data patterns in larger samples of phenomena. Even then, given the open nature of social systems, empirical researchers in Purchasing environments can logically never be certain that they have correctly identified causal explanations of isolated phenomena, let alone produced a reliable, generalisable theory. Some academics in other fields have reacted to the extreme problems of attempting to generate generalisable theories in social systems by abandoning the attempt all together. xviii However, there is no need to adopt quite such a fatalistic stance in Purchasing. As this paper has argued, single-sample case-study analysis and large sample statistical techniques may be seen as complementary in nature, and used in tandem to generate explanatory theories of greater reliability than could be achieved by the application of either approach on its own. Nevertheless, given the unavoidable residual causal uncertainty in open systems, total reliability will always remain unattainable. Consequently purchasing researchers should make every effort to refrain from the temptation of either generalising freely from single cases, or using large sample statistical analysis techniques to try to justify statements of the form: ‘changes in variable x cause changes in variable y’. It will, of course, be possible to draw firm conclusions of this nature when examining banal circumstances involving inanimate objects, viz.: ‘Turning this ignition key to the right causes the starter motor in the purchasing department’s van to engage.’ or ‘Pressing this button causes some data to be sent to suppliers through the department’s EDI system connections.’. However, in the main, empirical researchers seeking to uncover causal relationships in purchasing system phenomena will have 533562731 to reconcile themselves to the fact that their best efforts will be incapable of generating anything more than tentative, working explanations. Finally, researchers in this field might also usefully avoid replicating the behaviour of other academic disciplines that have dug themselves into entrenched methodological positions over the years. This kind of behaviour merely leads to the expenditure of intellectual energy and physical resources on unnecessary, wasteful territorial trench warfare. Qualitative and quantitative research techniques are not mutually exclusive; the use of case-study analysis is not necessarily a sign that a discipline is ‘pre-experimental’ or ‘non-scientific’. On the contrary, a willingness to embrace and combine a range of research methodologies may be interpreted as a sign of sophistication and pragmatic maturity. 533562731 References Akacum, A. & Dale, B. G., (1995), ‘Supplier Partnering: Case Study Experiences’, International Journal of Purchasing and Materials Management, Winter, pp. 38-44 Becker, H. S., (1990), ‘Generalizing from Case Studies’, in Eisner, E. & Peshkin, A. 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(Ed.), Beyond method: Strategies for social research, (pp. 129-146), Sage, Beverley Hills Ellram, L. & Edis, O., (1996), ‘A Case Study of Successful Partnering Implementation’, International Journal of Purchasing and Materials Management, Fall, pp 20-28 Geertz, C., (1993), The Interpretation of Cultures, Fontana Press, London 533562731 Haavengen, B. & Sena, J., (1996), ‘The development of a purchase manager’s decision support system for budgeting and contracting in a wood-processing company’, European Journal of Purchasing and Supply Management, 2, 1, pp. 71-86 Harland, C., (1996), ‘Supply network strategies. The case of health supplies’, European Journal of Purchasing and Supply Management, 2, 4, pp. 183-192 Harré, R. & Madden, E. 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S., (1951), ‘The logical structure of analytic induction’, American Sociological Review, 12, pp. 812-818 Rossman, G. & Wilson, B., (1985), ‘Numbers and words: Combining quantitative and qualitative methods in a single large-scale evaluation study.’, Education Review, 9 (5), pp 627-643 Sayer, A., (1984), Method in Social Science: A realist approach, Routledge, London Schofield, J. W., (1990), ‘ Increasing the Generalizability of Qualitative Research’, in Eisner, E. & Peshkin, A. (Eds.), Qualitative Inquiry in Education: the Continuing Debate, pp. 201232, Teachers College Press, New York Sharrock, W. & Anderson, B., (1986), The Ethnomethodologists, Tavistock Publications, London Smith, P., (1996), ‘Procurement Re-engineering in a Service Business: The Dun and Bradstreet Experience’, in Cox, A,. (Ed.), (1996), Innovations in Procurement Management, pp 127-152 ,Earlsgate Press, Boston (UK) Znaniecki, F., (1934), The Method of Sociology, Rinehart, New York Akacum & Dale (1995), Boyett et al (1996), Chandrashekar (1994), Ellram & Edis (1996), Haavengen & Sena (1996), Harland (1996), Juga (1994), Lehtinen (1996), Rees (1994), Smith (1996). ii See, for example, Campbell (1957), Campbell & Stanley (1966), Katzer, Cook & Crouch (1982). iii Space constraints led to extremely brief summaries of Znaciecki and Mitchell’s work. All that has been left is the core of their arguments. Much meaning is lost in such a savage process of reduction, and the reader is recommended to read the originals. iv Hume, D. (1975), Book I, part iii, section vi v See Bhaskar (1978) and (1979), Sayer (1984) and Collier (1994). vi See Mehan & Wood (1975), Chapter 2, Coulter (1991), p. 34, Sharrock & Anderson (1986), p.103. viiHume, ibid., p. 87 viii On the other hand, the fondness many companies display for embracing inappropriate or largely unproven fads suggests that the quality of their critical faculties also frequently leaves a lot to be desired. ix Space prevents all but a sketch of the complexities offered by Harré & Madden. The interested reader should consult their 1975 text in full. x See Harré & Madden (1975), p. 151-2 xi It is tempting to use the word ‘confirmation’ here, but that would involve denying the truth of Popper’s argument that is only possible to refute theories, not confirm them - see Popper (1972), p. 33, and ibid., appendix ix, pp. 387-419 xii Pace the ethnomethodologists! See Mehan & Wood (1975), for example, who argue passionately that researchers should make every effort to abandon pre-existing theories, ideas and the like before research is begun. xiii Some authors use the phrase ‘statistical inference’ in this context [see Mitchell (1983)], but as the Realists have conclusively established [See Bhaskar (1978) and (1989), Sayer (1984) and Collier (1995)], it is impossible to infer reliable causal explanations from statistically generated relationships between variables in open-systems such as organisations. Statistical analysis in these circumstances is only capable of description not explanation. xiv See Katzer, Cook & Crouch (1982), p.148. xv Cassell & Symons (1994), p. 4, Rossman & Wilson (1985), Jick (1979), Patton, (1990, pp. 464470. i 533562731 Popper (1972), p. 33. See also Bhaskar’s powerful argument concerning the impossibility of performing decisive tests of theories in open-systems, Bhaskar (1989), p. 83. xviii In Educational research for example Schofield (1990), p.280-9 suggests that: ...there is broad agreement that generalizability in the sense of producing laws that apply universally is not a useful standard or goal for qualitative research........ Similarly, in Sociology Denzin (1983), p. 133 states that: The interpretivist rejects generalization as a goal and never aims to draw randomly selected samples of human experience. xvi xvii