Professor Edward Desmarais BUS 470 Business Policy and Strategy Spring 2004 SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CASE ANALYSIS Presented by: The Stategizers Lawrence Bluemmel, Irene Johnson, Dennis Mackey, Dorothea Morgan, Elaine Pereira, Jeff Piecuch, Heather Pontifex, Nicole Soucy TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Executive Summary A. Mission B. Vision C. Objectives D. SWOT Summary E. Recommendations 3 3 3 3 6 7 II. Current Situation A. Current Performance B. Strategic Posture 8 8 9 III. Corporate Governance A. Board of Directors B. Top Management 25 25 25 IV. External Factors 27 V. Internal Factors 118 VI. Action Plan 178 Appendix A. Stakeholders Worksheet Appendix B. Answers to Panel’s Questions 206 212 2 I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY A. Mission To provide a low-cost/low-price/no-frills, reliable, friendly service with “more value for less money” mode of transportation for consumers traveling short distances for business and/or leisure. B. Vision To keep their costs down, keep their ticket prices down and expand into new markets that have a high traffic potential while maintaining profitability and strong position as an industry leader. C. Objectives Short-term Strategic Objectives To increase market share by 5% within the next 2 years. Southwest will decrease its downtime for repair of planes by 2% in 3 years. Continue to increase product quality by 5% over the next 5 years. Purchase 2 new planes within the next 2 years. Increase aircraft utilization by 3% over the next 2 years. Add one or two new cities to each route system in any one year. Continue to invent new attractive product lines by 5% by 5 years. To keep improving their Internet capabilities and e-commerce by 5% over 5 years. Work on improving their on-time performance by 5% within one year. Continue to be the most admired airline in America for the next three consecutive years. Work on becoming the top-ranking airline for Involuntary denied boarding within the next 2 years. Increase their technological know-how by 5% within the next 3 years. Introduce new innovative products or services by 5% over the next 3 years. Increase the number of cities introduced to their route each year to 4 cities with in the next 3 years. Continue to rank #1 for the next 5 years in customer satisfaction. 3 Long-term Strategic Objectives Increase Southwest’s 65% share of passengers traffic in its biggest 100 cities by 10% over the next 5-10 years. Over the next 10 years, improve their quicker design to market time by 5% Increase product quality by 10% over the next 10 years. Decrease their operating costs by 5% over the next 10 years. Over the next 10 years, increase attractive product line by 7%. To increase website sales to 90% within the next 10 years. To decrease their flight times by 3% over the next 5-10 years. To decrease their flight times by 3% over the next 5-10 years. To still be the most admired airline in America in the year 2010. Over the next 5-10 years, decrease the number of complaints per 100,000 passengers by 2%. Introduce new systems to decrease time required to create optimal crew schedules by 5% within the next 5-10 years. Increase their products or services by 105 over the next 5-10 years. Increase the number of jets in their fleet by 5% over the next 7-10 years. Decrease customer complaints by 2% over the next 5-10 years. 4 Short-term Financial Objectives Increase revenue passenger miles by 6% by year 2001. Delivery of 23 new aircraft for 2002. Delivery of 17 new aircraft for 2003. Add additional service routes to existing route system by 2003 and additional frequencies. Operating revenue growth to increase by 20% each year for the next two years. To build a sales team by 2003 to spike corporate travel by 70%. To increase daily nonstop departures by 15 by year 2004. Increase diluted earnings per share to .15 cents by 2001. Increase diluted earnings per share to $1.00 by 2004. To hedge 76% of 2003 anticipated fuel needs with cap of $23 per barrel. Lower agency commissions to a flat 5% over one to two years. Hedging fuel costs each year through 2002 by 80% to reflect gains of 10 to 15 million. Decrease unit costs by 2% each year for next two years to account for higher insurance premiums, security fees, and other cost challenges. To obtain revolving credit line of $575 million by year-end 2002. To expand geographic routes to gain market share over the next three years and continue to expand coverage in their current geographic areas. To have $2 million in cash on hand by 2002. Long-term Financial Objectives Options to purchase rights of 396 aircraft for 2004 through 2012 to allow for expansion and growth. Increase diluted earnings per share to $3.00 by 2008. 5 D. SWOT Summary Strengths Low operating cost Service Innovation Technological know-how Advertising and promotion Product innovation Age of equipment Ability to continuously refine service Intellectual capital Financial Position No frills service Image Safety Record Customer Service Attractive customer base Culture Opportunities Weaknesses Product breadth and depth Multi-country coverage No baggage transfer outside Southwest Lack of intra-airline services Growth opportunities in relation to population demographics Societal values in the changing economy Growth opportunity as a result of 9-11 due to decline in market size Vertical integration Extent of rival’s horizontal integration Long-term industry growth Threats Economic downturn Legislative and regulatory Technology/e-commerce Number of rivals and their relative size Rival distribution channels Extent to which rivals use economy of scale Industry profitability in relation to the changing economy Consumer confidence Diminishing pool of candidates Southwest can employ 6 E. Recommendations 1. Introduce structured continuous learning programs that will be used to maintain current employees. 2. Adapt services and specials to cater to the population based on their demographics in order to increase market share. 3. Pursue market growth opportunity created when the market declined as a result of 9-11. 4. Defer delivery of new aircrafts. 5. Create a “shared services” ground crew pilot program with competitors. 6. Create a promotional campaign of a “buy one, get one free” ticket offer on one-way ticket purchases for off-peak flights. 7. Place smaller sized advertisements in newspapers and magazine. 8. Write a letter to shareholders to quell fears and outline Southwest’s future plans. 9. Advertise to gain market share in the most profitable markets and in market that are not achieving forecasted projections. 10. Improve turnaround times 11. Hedge gas prices for the coming year. 12. Promote safety record and safety measures taken in order to defend against the lack of consumer confidence in the airline industry post 9-11. 13. Expand services to add to the convenience of the travelers to defend against the threat of technology/e-commerce. 7 II. CURRENT SITUATION A. Current Performance Overall, Southwest’s performance in recent years has been outstanding. Their ROI’s have been steadily increasing. Southwest has consistently ranked first in market share in 80-90 percent of its top 100 city-pair routes and had an overall 65 percent share of the passenger’s traffic on its biggest 100 city-pair routes. Its market share is 2000 for the airline industry was 9.4%. Despite being in an industry that is noted for its “vulnerability to economic cycles and big swings in bottom-line performance”, Southwest has been profitable every year since 1973. It is also a growth rate of 1.0% in 2000 up from the .5% in 1999. Overall Southwest’s relative competitive position in the airline industry in which it competes is high. They have strong market shares, strong management, and strong strategies that keep them competitive against their rivals. 8 B. Strategic Posture Chapter 2 Worksheet Mission Criteria What is our business? Facts Southwest is in the airline transport business. They provide low cost air travel to consumers moving from one city to another for business or leisure. What does this mean? Southwest is in a highly competitive industry which calls for innovative cost savings and customer service ideas to differentiate their product to gain market share. Southwest satisfies their customers by starting with how they hire their employees. They look for people that are ‘people-oriented extroverts’ with the idea that providing superior customer service will help gain market share and generate word of mouth business. Southwest has its employees perform additional tasks such as cleaning and clearing planes whereas rivals require additional employees thus giving Southwest a competitive advantage. Southwest’s innovation has helped them become a leader in the airline industry. Who are our customers (stakeholders)? What do we do for each of them? How (technology used or functions performed) do we meet their needs and expectations? “See Stakeholders Worksheet” “See Stakeholders Worksheet” 9 How do we communicate the mission to our organization and our customers (stakeholders)? Southwest communicates its mission throughout its organization and to its customers through their website, annual reports, advertisements and their employees actions. Their mission is also transmitted to their employees through their ‘Culture Committee’, which promotes the idea of ‘Positively Outrageous Service’ to all. The company’s executives are the catalysts in their belief in a strong corporate culture that will be demonstrated to consumers every flight. The mission is communicated in order to achieve an understanding of what is to be expected of Southwest. To understand the mission of Southwest, we must see the actual mission: (I found this on their website) “The mission of Southwest is dedication to the highest quality of Customer Service delivered with a sense of warmth, friendliness, individual pride, and company spirit.” Southwest keys on the idea of providing superior customer service as their competitive advantage over other airlines. Their mission states the reason why you as a consumer should choose to fly with Southwest. Also, Southwest provides an additional mission statement directed at employees and prospective employees as reason why you should want to work for them. The idea of Southwest’s mission statement is permeated throughout their entire hiring process which heavily screens for the specific personality types of people they are interested in hiring for customer service jobs. Southwest takes the idea of superior customer service to its highest level. By screening their candidates Southwest has found that they can create a much better (stronger) corporate culture by hiring certain personality types that will blend in and work well with other employees. This strategy has paid off by creating an almost ‘cult like’ corporate culture where all employees work well together. By having direct contact with customers, Southwest’s mission is communicated to their customers. Southwest uses advertisements to communicate the fun loving, low cost attitude to a wide range of consumers. The strategic implications of having this mission are to differentiate Southwest’s customer service from other airlines. The idea is that consumers can switch to other airlines because prices are comparable, because the routes are comparable but an airline can create an advantage for their selves by providing superior customer service. 10 Vision Criteria What will our business be in 5, 10 years? Facts The vision is meant to solidify senior executive’s view of the company’s long term goals, reduces hasty decision making, gives purpose to all employees, and helps the company prepare for the future. Southwest plans to continue down the path they have led over the last 28+ years. Over the next 5 years Southwest will keep their costs down, keep their ticket prices down and expand into new markets that have cities around 150-700 miles apart where there is high traffic potential while maintaining profitability in their existing business. What does this mean? Southwest has a concise written record of where they intend to be in the near future. Southwest’s vision and strategy has worked so well in the past, they are going to continue down the same path while using continuous improvement along the way. Southwest will use meaningful goals to work towards as a company. These goals can be used as milestones to help determine whether compensation bonuses should be given to departments achieve high marks in pertinent categories. Southwest is going to continue to research new ways to keep costs down by observing and listening to employee suggestions. Southwest wants to maintain their perfect record of no accidents. They also want to achieve the highest marks they can in on time arrivals and departures. The key is within Southwest’s mission (superior customer service) to maintain and strengthen their position as an industry leader. Who are our future customers? What will we do for each of them? How (technology used or functions performed) will we meet their needs and expectations? How will we communicate the vision to the organization and our customers? “See Stakeholders Worksheet” Southwest communicates its vision through their website, annual reports, advertising and through company meetings. Management is required to pass on this information to all employees that haven’t heard in order to get everyone on the same page moving forward. Southwest’s focus on customer service works into advertisements. Southwest’s vision is a tool, which they use to attract business. “See Stakeholders Worksheet” Southwest communicates their vision through their website, media and marketing in order to maintain their status. Management circulates the good word from within the organization. 11 ESTABLISHING OBJECTIVES Strategic objectives Criteria Facts Throughout the past 10 years, Southwest Market share has consistently ranked first in market share in 80-90 percent of its top 100 citypair routes and had an overall 65 percent share of the passenger’s traffic on its biggest 100 city-pair routes. Southwest carried the most passengers in the top U.S. markets, even when they were serving only 40 of them. Quicker design-tomarket times Higher product quality What does it mean? Short-term: To increase market share by 5% within the next 2 years. Long-term: Increase Southwest’s 65% share of passengers traffic in its biggest 100 cities by 10% over the next 5-10 years. Southwest’s fleet of planes solely consisted of Boeing 737’s. Having only one type of plane minimized the need for spare parts and inventory for several different planes. This made it easier to train personnel, improve the proficiency and speed and simplify the task of scheduling planes for flights. Ultimately this would allow Southwest to keep its planes up in the air and not on the ground and downtime would be minimal. Short-term: Southwest will decrease its downtime for repair of planes by 2% in 3 years. Southwest was the only major short-hop, low-fare, point-to-point carrier in the U.S. airline industry. This is a competitive advantage for Southwest. They provided more flight times to particular locations that other airlines could not match. Southwest’s low fare and frequent flights were named the “Southwest effect”. Short-term: Continue to increase state of the art equipment by 5% over the next 5 years. Long-term: Over the next 10 years, improve their quicker design to market time by 5%, Long-term: Increase state of the art equipment and technology by 10% over the next 10 years. Southwest placed a strong emphasis on safety. Their high quality maintenance and reliable operations put them at the top of the list. In 30 years of operation, Southwest has never had a plane crash. Their superior state of the art flight dispatch system allowed them to minimize weather and operational delays. 12 Lower costs relative to rivals Having only Boeing 737’s reduced Southwest’s costs for maintenance and parts. Encouraging online reservations over the traditional over the phone method, saved costs paid to travel agents. Short-term: Increase purchase of planes by 3% over the next 2 years. Short-term: Increase aircraft utilization by 3% over the next 2 years. Long-term: Decrease their operating costs by 5% over the next 10 years. Flying passenger to nearby airports and avoiding congested airports reduced the fuel costs associated with planes sitting in line at the airports waiting for land clearance. Southwest used a point-to-point system for scheduling. This was more cost efficient than the hub-and-spoke systems that rivals used. This system resulted in higher utilization of aircraft’s and terminal facilities, reducing both the terminal gates and number of aircraft’s needed to support flight operations. Southwest’s point-to point reduced their labor costs and made theirs lower than that of rivals. Southwest had the flight attendants clean up the plane after each flight thus saving on the costs for a cleaning crew. Southwest’s operating costs as a percentage of revenues were consistently the lowest in the industry. These lower operating costs ultimately allow Southwest to offer the lowest price for airfare in the industry. 13 Broader or more attractive product line than rivals Southwest had 2,700 flights daily in 2001. Short-term: Add one or two new cities to each route system in any one year. Southwest has consistently ranked first in market share in 80-90 percent of its top 100 city-pair routes and had an overall 65 percent share of the passenger’s traffic on its biggest 100 city-pair routes. Southwest is the only airline that met the needs of traveler’s in the cities of Dallas, san Antonio and Houston with the ‘Love Triangle” Short-term: Continue to invent new attractive product lines by 5% by 5 years. Long-term: Over the next 10 years, Increase attractive product line by 7%. Southwest added additional long nonstop flights. Over 85% of Southwest’s flights involved actual in-air flight times of less that 90 minutes. In 2000, about 420 flights were longer than 750 miles compared to there 140 percent in 1995. Not only were Southwest’s schedules attractive but their flight crew and attendants were attractive too. To gain customers, Southwest came up with the idea of dressing their flight hostesses in hot pants and white knee-high boots with high heels. This caught the eyes of passengers. Southwest offered free alcoholic beverages during daytime flights. In 2001 Southwest reported net profits of $121 Million while other major airlines reported losses. In 2000, Southwest passengers on flights exceeded 60 million. Southwest became the fourth largest airline in the industry. In 1999 Southwest added 3 more cities. In 1998 Southwest was named the best company to work for in America. In 1997 Southwest begins service to its 50th city with over 50 million people flying Southwest. 14 Better e-commerce and internet capabilities than rivals In 2001, Southwest implemented its new software program that significantly decreased the time required to generate optimal crew schedules and help improve on time performance. Southwest encouraged customers to purchase tickets via their website. This would reduce the number of personnel needed to handle the large volume of calls. In 2001, 35% of ticket sales were coming from their website. Ticketlless travel accounted for over 80% of all sales. This reduced back office paperwork and processing. Superior on-time delivery Southwest provided fast superior on-time delivery. They were known for their 10minute turns. They took on the challenge of loading and unloading the passengers and baggage, and completing the necessary paperwork all in 10 minutes of time. This became know as one of Southwest’s signatures. In later years when passenger volume grew, the turn around time increase but was still better than the other major competitors. Short-term: To keep improving their Internet capabilities and e-commerce by 5% over 5 years. Short-term: Increase capabilities that are better than rivals by 3% in 2 years. Long-term: To increase website sales to 90% within the next 10 years. Short-term: Work on improving their on-time performance by 5% within one year. Long-term: To decrease their flight times by 3% over the next 5-10 years. Flying passenger to nearby airports and avoiding congested airports, reduced the time spent when planes sat in line at the airports waiting for land clearance. Southwest’s new software helped to improve on their time performance. Southwest was known for its attention getting ads. One particular ad states “The All-time On-Time Airline” Although in 2000 there on-time performance slipped, they have worked on improving it since then. Stronger brand name than rivals Southwest is known as one of the most admired airlines in America. In 1997, 1998, 1999, and 2000 they were ranked one of most admired companies in the world. Southwest is the lowest priced, customer friendly airline around. This gives them a strong brand name superior to rivals in the airline industry. Short-term: Continue to be the most admired airline in America for the next three consecutive years. Long-term: To still be the most admired airline in America in the year 2010. 15 Superior customer service Southwest always went out of their way to make sure that passengers had a fun flying experience. Gate personnel were cheery and witty; and flight attendants were encouraged to let their personalities show. Throughout the years, Southwest’s employees had built up the reputation of Southwest. By providing continuous superior customer service, always smiling, and showing common courtesy to customers. In 1993, Southwest wrote a book, which explained how employee’s attitudes and personal commitment to serving other in a caring manner brought the highest level of customer service to Southwest. Short-term: Work on becoming the top ranking airline for having the lowest involuntary denied boarding within the next 2 years. Long-term: Over the next 5-10 years, decrease the number of complaints per 100,000 passengers by 2%. One of Southwest’s managers stated “Our fares can be matched; our airplanes and routes can be copied, but we pride ourselves on our customer service.” Southwest had the lowest cumulative number of customer complains from 1996-2000. They ranked #1 for five years in a row. Southwest’s percentage of scheduled flights arriving within 15 minutes of scheduled time was the lowest for the period of 1996-2000 based on a cumulative rating. Their mishandled baggage was ranked 1st with the lowest number of mishandled bags for the 5 year stretch. This ranking is cumulative. Stronger global distribution than rivals Industry leader in technology N/A Not a global company N/A Not a global company Southwest’s superior state of the art flight dispatch system helped to minimize weather and operational delays. Thus saving them time on flights going in and out of airports. Short-term: Increase their technological know-how by 5% within the next 3 years. Their ticket sales were 35% via their technologically superior website. Southwest is working on increasing their sales via their website. Long-term: Introduce new systems to decrease time required to create optimal crew schedules by 5% within the next 510 years. In 2001, Southwest introduced their new software that significantly decreased there the time required to generate optimal crew schedules and help improve on time performance. 16 Industry leader in product or service innovation Southwest was the only short-hop, lowfare, point-to-point carrier in the U.S. airline industry in 2001. Short-term: Introduce new innovative products or services by 5% over the next 3 years. Southwest had the simplest fare structure of any of the major U.S. airline carriers. Long-term: Increase their products or services by 10% over the next 5-10 years. Southwest introduced new ideas to their Company that no other airline in the industry matched. They decided to allow passengers to sit wherever they wanted on their flight. Southwest did not have first-class sections on any flight. All passengers were treated equally. Southwest’s Marketing and service were like no other airlines’. They were known for their unique attention getting ads. Flight attendants wore attractive clothing with high heel shoes and were told to let their personalities show and have fun on their jobs. Southwest believed that employees came first and customers came second. Without the employees the company wouldn’t be where it is today. Wider geographic coverage than rivals Southwest was operating 353 jets to 58 airports in 57 cities in the continental U.S. They were the dominant carriers at 4 airports: Baltimore/Washington, Las Vegas, Kansas City, and Chicago Midway. Short-term: Increase the number of cities introduced to their route each year to 4 cities with in the next 3 years. Long-term: Increase the number of jets in their fleet by 5% over the next 7-10 years. Each year, Southwest introduced two new cities to each route system. Higher levels of customer satisfaction than rivals Southwest had ranked #1 in customer satisfaction among U.S. major airlines for 10 consecutive years in a row-19912000. Southwest was ranked as the most admired airline in America and one of the most admired companies in the world. Southwest ranked #1 for 5 consecutive years for their outstanding low number of customer complaints. They also ranked #1 in mishandled baggage and on-time flights. Short-term: Continue to rank #1 for the next 5 years in customer satisfaction. Long-term: Decrease customer complaints by 2% over the next 5-10 years. 17 Financial objectives Criteria Revenue growth Facts In 2000 Southwest Airlines ranked number 7 in operating revenues of the top ten commercial airlines in the industry. In 1995 Southwest’s operating revenues were $2,873.5 mil and increased each year through 2000 to $5,649.6 mil. The growth percentage rate from 1995 to 2000 was 97%. 1995-1996 1996-1997 1997-1998 1998-1999 1999-2000 = 19% growth rate = 12% growth rate = 9% growth rate = 14% growth rate = 19% growth rate 2000 5,649.6 Southwest Continental American North West US Air TWA United American West Alaska Delta 1995 % of growth 2,873.5 97% 19.30% 12.74% 12.63% 11.03% 8.52% 8.34% 7.60% 6.71% 3.95% 2.82% The Southwest strategy for growth has been a threat to competitors as shown by the above chart. They have taken market share away from their top 9 competitors. The growth rate for 2000 was the same as in 1996 at a rate of 19%. Even though Southwest was ranked number seven in operating revenues, they are beating their rivals by having the highest percentage of growth in comparison to the top ten rivals from the year 1999 – 2000. What does it mean? Long-term/Short-term: Southwest’s short-term growth was increasing each year from 1995 - 2000. Increase revenue passenger miles by 6% by year 2001. Short and long term goals of growth plans and adding new aircraft to accommodate these goals. Delivery of 23 new aircraft for 2002. Delivery of 17 new aircraft for 2003. Add additional service routes to existing route system by 2003 and additional frequencies. Operating revenue growth to increase by 20% each year for the next two years. Continue with their current strategy to run special promotions and attention getting advertising. Southwest plans to keep the market share in the long term by staying ahead of the competition with their low flight rates and no frills strategy. They will continue with this strategy as long as they can sustain it. Options to purchase rights of 396 aircraft for 2004 through 2012 to allow for expansion and growth. To build a sales team by 2003 to spike corporate travel by 70%. To increase daily nonstop departures by 15 by year 2004. By bringing in the lowest fare prices, that brought flight pricing down and more people are able to afford flying. This increases the market for travel. 18 Earnings growth Earnings Growth 1991-2000 2000 625,224 150,846 31.80% 1999 474,378 40,947 9.45% 1998 433,431 115,659 36.40% 1997 317,772 110,435 53.26% 1996 207,337 24,711 13.53% 1995 182,626 3,295 1.84% 1994 179,331 25,047 16.23% 1993 1992 154,284 97,385 56,899 64,237 58.43% 193.79% 1991 33,148 In 1990 Southwest was the only major U.S. airline to record both an operating profit and a net profit. In 1994 Southwest acquired Morris Air. The acquisition costs would explain the decrease in earnings growth from 1994 to 1995. Long-term/Short-term: In Feb 1982 Kelleher became President, CEO and Chairman of Southwest Airlines. Part of his fiscal conservatism focused on bottom line profitability. He said, “Manage good times so that you are ready for bad times”. This philosophy will make it easier for Southwest Airlines to get through the 911 crises. They will have an advantage over competitors during rough times. Southwest will continue with this philosophy in both short and long term by making cost reductions before they get into a financial crunch. They will continue with their pro-active approach to profitability to take them into the future while maintaining profitability and staying ahead of their competitors. They will continue with the philosophies of Kelleher to stay financially strong. Southwest will continue with its current business strategy, which includes their competitive cost advantage to endure the hard times to come from the 911 crisis. Will change hedging from 80% to 76% of anticipated fuel expense to plan for falling fuel prices in 2002. In 2001 Southwest reported net profits of $121 million, while Delta, United, American and U.S. Airways reported losses. Based on their earnings from 1991-2000, we can see that Southwest has always shown a net profit and each year it has increased. The increases from year to year varied because of the economic situations. However, their largest earnings percentage increase was from 1991 – 1992. Because of Kelleher’s leadership and philosophies, his hard work was starting to reap the rewards in 1992. 19 Higher dividends Excluding the cumulative effect of accounting changes, in 1991 cash dividends started at .00987 and had reached .02200 by the year 2000. Each year since 1991 Southwest had increased its cash dividends, with the exception of 1994 to 1995, in which it stayed the same at .01185. In 1994 Southwest acquired Morris Air, which would explain the dividends staying the same from 1994 to 1995 due to acquisition costs. Long-term/Short-term: For ten consecutive years, from 1991-2000, Southwest was ranked number one in customer satisfaction, while at the same time managed to keep costs down which enabled them to show a To continue current strategy to continue into the long term to increase dividends each year. Their performance was number one in comparison to all U.S. major airlines. Increase diluted earnings per share to .15 cents by 2001. Increase diluted earnings per share to $1.00 by 2004. Increase diluted earnings per share to $3.00 by 2008. Wider profit margin 2000 1999 Revenue 5,649,560 4,735,587 Costs 4,628,415 3,954,011 Oper Prof 1,021,145 781,576 Margin 18.07% 16.50% 1998 1997 Revenue 4,163,980 3,816,821 Costs 3,480,369 3,292,585 Oper Prof 683,611 524,236 Margin 16.42% 10.30% 10.91% 1994 1993 Revenue 2,591,933 2,296,673 Costs 2,275,224 2,004,700 Oper Prof 316,709 291,973 Margin 12.22% Southwest will increase their revenues 10% each year by expanding to new geographic areas. Southwest will continue with their present strategy to be clever in advertising and promotions to gain market share from rivals. 13.73% 1996 1995 Revenue 3,406,170 2,872,751 Costs 3,055,335 2,559,220 Oper Prof 350,835 313,531 Margin Long-term/Short-term: Southwest will use their hedging strategy to keep the cost of fuel at rates that will produce a wider profit margin. 12.71% 1992 1991 Revenue 1,802,979 1,379,286 Costs 1,609,175 1,306,675 They will continue to maintain the lowest costs in the industry by using their proactive strategy. Lower agency commissions to a flat 5% over one to two years. Hedging fuel costs each year through 2002 by 80% to reflect gains of 10 to 15 million. To hedge 76% of 2003 anticipated fuel needs with cap of $23 per barrel. Decrease unit costs by 2% each year for next two years to account for higher insurance premiums, security fees, and other cost challenges to increase profit margins. To increase profit margin by 3% each 20 Oper Prof 193,804 72,611 year from 2001 - 2004. Margin 10.75% 5.26% To increase profit margin by 5% each year from 2004 – 2010. With exception of 1994 through 1996, Southwest has been able to increase their profit margin each year. Kelleher was always cost conscious. In 1999 he was concerned about the price of jet-fuel going up so he hedged 80% of Southwest’s anticipated 2000-2001 fuel requirements. This moved paid off when the price spiked to almost double of 1999 prices. Kelleher also wrote a letter to employees asking to institute actions that would save the company $5.00 per day in non-fuel costs. The result was a drop on non-fuel costs in 2000 by 5.6% below 1999 levels. We can see from 1994 to 1995, the time Southwest acquired Morris Air, there was a drop in margin due to acquisition costs. In 2000 Southwest records its 28th consecutive year of profitability and 9th consecutive year of increased profits. The profitability of Southwest is a threat to rivals in the industry. This shows that Southwest has been gaining market share from its competitors. For the last ten years going back from 2001, Southwest consistently ranked first in market share in 80 to 90% of its top city-pair routes and overall 65% share of passenger traffic on its biggest city-pair routes. Southwest’s operating costs, as a percentage of its revenues, were consistently the lowest in the industry. EVA performance EVA=OP-IT-WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Long-term/Short-term: To continue with their current financial strategy for both short and long term. Weighted average cost of capital is not available. MVA performance (Current Stock price*#Outstanding Shares)- Shareholders Equity Current stock price not available If stock price were available it would be used to calculate how management used Stockholders investment to appreciate the Stockholders value in the company. Long-term/Short-term: To continue with their current financial strategy in both short and long term. 21 Strong bond and credit ratings In May 2001, Southwest’s capitalization of $14 billion exceeded the combined market capitalization of American Airlines, United Airlines, and Continental Airlines. Southwest has been the strongest in their industry financially. This will make it easier to obtain funds on credit and give them an advantage over their competitors. Long-term/Short-term: Management of finances at Southwest will continue to be superior to their rivals in both the short term and long term. To obtain revolving credit line of $575 million by year end 2002. Continue to become stronger each year financially to maintain a strong bond and credit rating. They had a revolving credit line of $475 million. Recognition as a bluechip company N/A Southwest was the first U.S. airline to win the Triple Crown award in 1988 and has been ahead of the rivals in profit and market share. However, this case does not refer to them as a blue-chip company. N/A More diversified revenue base Southwest Airlines focused their attention on other strategic methods than diversifying their revenue base. Special promotions and treating their employees as being their most important asset has enabled them to grow and prosper without having to rely on diversification. Long-term/Short-term: Southwest will expand geographic routes to gain market share over the next three years and continue to expand coverage in their current geographic areas. They did, however, diversify their geographic market by adding more cities to their routes. To expand and diversify revenue base by 20% by the year 2005 and continue to increase revenue base by 10% each year through 2010. In the airlines industry since the 911 crises, diversifying would be a wise strategic move for Southwest. They have been one of the top performers and have the financial strength and leadership to accomplish diversification. 22 Stable earnings during recessions Southwest’s profit margins have shown excellent management from 1991–2000. There have been economic ups and downs throughout this time period and Southwest was able to maintain and grow earnings and market share. Stable earnings will continue with their consistency to have the lowest operating costs in the industry and growing revenues. Long-term/Short-term: From year to year they always look ahead and plan by using strategic moves, such as hedging. To defer delivery of seven aircraft to November 2001. To defer delivery of 12 aircrafts to April 2002. Defer 113 aircrafts delivery from 2003 through 2008. Lower costs of agency commissions over next year. Clever marketing strategies and promotions are planned for Southwest in both short and long term, to continue to show a profit through economic changes and the aftermath of 911. Higher ROI Higher ROE Return on Assets has been steadily increasing along with the return on equity. ROA 10.1% - 2000 9.2% - 1999 9.7% - 1998 8.0% - 1997 5.9% - 1996 6.0% - 1995 6.6% - 1994 6.2% - 1993 4.6% - 1992 2.0% - 1991 Southwest ability to use their assets that they have invested in to generate a return, continues to increase each year. ROE = 19.9% - 2000 18.1% - 1999 19.7% - 1998 17.4% - 1997 13.5% - 1996 13.7% - 1995 15.6% - 1994 16.0% - 1993 12.9% - 1992 5.3% - 1991 This percentage shows that they use equity to fund capital investments and have continued that trend since 1992. Long-term/Short-term: To keep return on investments steady. Southwest plans to continue using their assets to generate a return. To increase ROI by 5 % in the next 3 years. To increase ROI by 12% from 2004 – 2010. Long-term/Short-term: Southwest has a conservation philosophy on running a business. Being prepared for adversity, maintaining low levels of debt, attention to bottom line profitability, and paying attention to the economic environment. They plan ahead for downturns in the economy and competitive maneuvers by hedging and always cutting costs. With this continued strategy, they plan to increase ROE by 2% each year through 2004 and to increase ROE by 3% each year from 2005 – 2010. 23 Higher cash flow There are no balance sheets provided for Southwest. However, we can infer that there were no cash flow problems based on their financial performance. In 1996 they were able to make a $34,000 cash donation to the Ronald MacDonald house. They have been able to pay cash dividends for the last ten years. They have negotiated with Boeing for 19 new aircraft carriers. Cash was over $1 billion in 2001 with a revolving credit line of $475 million. Long-term/Short-term: Southwest plans to continue superior financial performance and gaining market share, by fiercely competing with rivals. Southwest plans to continue to increase their cash flow by continuing to gain market share from rivals and following their current business strategy for operating cost structures being the lowest. To defer delivery of seven new aircraft scheduled for Sep/Oct 2001 to 2002 delivery in preparation for the aftermath of 911. To have $2 million in cash on hand by 2002. To obtain $600 million credit line by end of 2002. To increase cash flow by 5% each year from 2001 – 2002. To increase cash flow by 7& each year from 2003 – 2010. Financial ratios superior to rivals In 1990 Southwest’s operating profit and net profit beat all of the other U.S. major airlines. In 1993, again, Southwest was the only major U.S. airline to show net profit and operating profit. Long-term/Short-term: Southwest plans to continue to compete fiercely as they have in the past with their rivals. This strategy is going to continue into the long term. To lower debt to capital ratio by 5% by 2002. Consistently lower operating costs, as a percentage of revenues, in the industry. They have a competitive cost advantage over rivals. To lower debt to capital ratio by 2% year through 2010. At year end 2000, Southwest had the lowest Debt to total Capital ratio at 33.3 % compared to top competitors. From these facts, we can infer that Southwest has a superior financial performance in relation to their rivals. In 2000 Southwest had the highest growth rate of the top ten in the industry. To cut costs by 1.5% each year through 2010. To cut costs by 2% by year 2001. To show net profit each year and increase each year by 2% through 2004. To increase net profit each year by 3% through 2010. 24 III. CORPORATE GOVERNANCE A. Board of Directors The chairman of the board of directors is Herb Kelleher. Mr. Kelleher was the CEO of Southwest, from February of 1982 to June of 2001. He will continue to be the chairman of the board until December of 2003. Herb is a cofounder of Southwest. Mr. Kelleher has a law degree from New York University and had his own successful firm, in which he represented Southwest. In September of 1981, the newly appointed CEO Howard Putman requested that Herb become more involved in the day-to-day operations of Southwest. Mr. Kelleher did not believe in managing from his office; instead he got to know the employees and operations of Southwest, directly. Mr. Kelleher in February of 1982 replaced Howard Putman as CEO and the chairman of the board of directors. Since then he has been the chairman of the board. He has been highly visible in the organization and held in the highest regard by the employees of Southwest. As chairman of the board of directors and head of the executive committee, Herb is in charge of strategy, expansion to new cities and aircraft scheduling, and governmental and industry affairs. The chairman of the board of directors is the only one mentioned directly in this case. However the board of directors as a whole is regularly mentioned throughout the case as having a major role in the operations of Southwest. B. Top Management At Southwest there are only four layers of management between the frontline supervisor and the CEO and COO. This makes the CEO and the COO the top managers of Southwest. The two newly appointed top managers for Southwest are James Parker, the CEO and Colleen Barrett, the COO. James Parker has been with Southwest since 1986. He was the vice president, the general counsel, a chief labor negotiator, and had been a member of the company’s executive planning committee. He skills include good relations with the employee unions, experiences ranging from properties and 25 facilities to technical services to alliances with company vendors and partners. Parker was more of a straight-arrow kind of guy, which was honest, but got tough if the situation needed it. Colleen Barrett has been with Southwest since 1978. She was the executive vice president of customers. Barrett has been the driving force of Southwest’s strong customer service and its strong cultural underpinnings. She is the builder of morale, culture, and customer service for Southwest. She is well known to the Southwest employees because of her ability to make them feel that they are part of one big family. Parker and Barrett have only been in the top management for a short time but they have been a part of the Southwest management for over 20 years. In Southwest it’s not only the top management but all employees are held accountable for their performance. That is why management has given substantial authority and decision-making power to all employees so they can increase the overall performance of Southwest. Top management has a high level of evolvement in the strategic processes. With only four levels of management there is informal sense of resolve between managers and front line employees. This lets all employees have a sense of comfort in making their own decisions and being able to openly resolve problems with management. All management are also required to spend at least one third of their time out of the office and see first hand what is going on. In the Southwest culture, the top management, lower level managers, and the board of directors have always needed to work as a team to create high productivity. All decisions are made with the well being of their employees and customers in mind. Overall, the top management of Parker and Barrett are highly skilled and are well prepared for the future challenges Southwest may face. 26 IV. EXTERNAL FACTORS Chapter 3 Worksheet Macro-environment forces Criteria The economy at large Facts The economy, during the time of this case, went through many stages. The case closes at the end of 2001. About ten years prior, the economy was in a recession and started to slowly recover over the course of the mid 1990s. Following this recovery was a fantastic boom. Businesses were sprouting everywhere. Just about anyone holding stock from the years 1996 to 2000 was making money. Of course, the economy remains in a constant cycle and moved into time of recession, again, starting at the end of 2000. What does this mean? The huge economic boom in the late 1990s encouraged many businesses to increase spending, renovate and purchase new assets. The companies in the airline industry were taking advantage of the good market by expanding to more cities, buying more aircraft, and setting up new administration offices. Consumers’ wallets were growing as well, or at the very least, the contents were sustaining and reliable during this time. Therefore, these consumers were flying more frequently for both leisure and business and should be considered an opportunity for the airline industry. In September of 2001, the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center accelerated the intensity of the recession that had started in the prior year. The fact that this massive attack was carried out by the hijacking of various airplanes was detrimental to the airline industry. However, when the economy started to dip and was accelerated by the terrorist attack of 9/11, the airline industry plunged alongside. Pilots and flight attendants were paranoid about their flight being targeted in another attack, causing many to refuse to travel. Consumers were frightened to fly for fear of being killed. Flights were not even filled enough to make break-even points. The firms in the airline industry, despite their new expansions and purchases, were being forced to cut back on flights, shut down service to many airports, and dip into lines of credit just to try to keep their heads above water. Some firms were forced to file for bankruptcy. Disposable income of the population starting in 2000, and especially following terrorist attacks, was starting to decline. People were being laid off. Those that did hold jobs were fearful of losing them at any time. However, the occupations of many people require, benefit from, or encourage travel. Although people are much less loose about how often they travel, where they travel to, and how much they pay, businesses still need to take care of their Because of the lay offs and fear of losing jobs, people were much more meticulous about budgeting what money they had. Their budgeting was unlikely to include trips and vacations for leisure. Businesses would be more strict and apprehensive about trips that their 27 traveling needs in some way. They cannot abandon all previous needs for travel without causing a detriment to their own business. employees would have previously taken. Ticket prices would have to be deeply discounted just to get most people to even consider booking a flight. Although business travelers (and their employers) must be more conscious of costs, locations, and frequency of trips, they must satisfy their traveling needs somehow. Airlines must work hard in order to make traveling safe and cost efficient in order to take advantage of the business travelers’ sustained need to travel. Attempting to capitalize on this need will be difficult, but success is possible. The poor economy at this time is a definite threat to the airline industry. Legislative, regulatory and political environments Immediately following the attacks, there was a mandatory three-day shutdown of all flights. The mandatory three-day shutdown “threw major airlines into a financial crunch of huge proportions.” Stricter security measures were enforced from that point on. The Federal Aviation Administration required that the airlines and airports pay “greater attention to baggage; check-in of passengers at ticket counters rather than at curbside or at departure gates; and careful security screening of caterers, cleaners, and flight crews. The stricter security measures caused the ground times of flights to increase. The federal government required that air marshals be present on flights to ensure safety to the passengers and flight crew. Although, air marshals were present on flights to keep passengers safe, the public remained frightened. After the attacks, some people remained fearful of flying even with the air marshals. Beforehand, there were no air marshals, but people weren’t frightened because they were ignorant to any threat that could occur. Once the air marshals were on the flights, people knew the marshals were there for a reason. Protection or not, the air marshals’ presence made customers very aware of the hazards that could occur. Also, many union contracts that were previously made with the airlines contained no-furlough clauses. The political environment following the terrorist attacks was a delicate one. Countries in the Middle East, as a whole, were often generalized to be a danger to the first world countries of the world. Petroleum dependent countries, like the United States, had to be careful not to ruin The stricter security measures also meant that passengers would need to arrive at their departure airport earlier to allow for lengthy screening procedures and long lines. This added “headache”, in some ways, influenced people to avoid making unnecessary ticket purchases. The no-furlough clauses in union contracts forced many airlines to avoid making layoffs, which caused those airlines to try to find other ways to cut 28 business relationships with the quasi-political party OPEC. Ruining a relationship with OPEC could be detrimental to the import of fuel from those countries. Following the attacks, Congress passed a $15 billion aid package to assist airlines in coping with their financial troubles. This program included $5 billion in cash grants and $10 billion in loan guarantees. expenses, if that was even possible. The regulatory environment in the industry is a threat. The delicacy of the political environments caused damage to international airlines and their flights. People were frightened to travel outside of their own countries. Governments advised consumers to not make certain international trips. If the relationship between the United States and OPEC was harmed, gasoline supplies would be greatly limited and prices of the available gas would sky rocket. This would cause the operating costs of the firms in the airline industry to increase dramatically. And it could even cause many flights to be indefinitely grounded. The political environment is a threat. The $15 billion aid package that Congress passed was an opportunity for the companies within the industry to help cope with the financial troubles that could, otherwise, drive the firms to bankruptcy. The bailout is an opportunity. Population demographics The actual population of the United States is increasing every single year. Because of rising living expenses, the population is moving away from expensive metropolitan areas and into sparsely populated, less expensive areas of the center of the U.S. Consumers of the airline industry vary in age. Elderly people are less likely to fly, in general, because of fear, health, and income. Children and teens through age 18 do not purchase tickets for flights on their own. This leaves the general age categories of early adulthood to late middle age and everything in between as the airline industry’s main target age demographic. Airline customers include all The age span of consumers with the most purchasing potential in this industry is very wide. The group would be making purchases for themselves, as well as purchasing seats for children. And chances are good that those people may also be purchasing tickets for their elderly family members, for example, who are willing to fly but, perhaps, cannot afford to. Also, since people are waiting longer to get married and start families, they have more freedom to travel. Age is an opportunity for the airlines. The geographic location of consumers is an opportunity. People are spreading themselves out throughout the country, filling in areas that were formerly sparsely populated. People are also more willing to separate themselves from their family and friends because of the difference between their income and expenses, which will cause people to 29 education levels and geographic locations. The occupations of consumers vary greatly, however whitecollar business people, sales people, and executives account for many repeat and frequent fliers. The age of most customers in the industry is between 15-64 years. There are nearly 194 million people in the United States that lie in that age group (66.7% of the entire population). The male to female ratio in that range is practically 1:1. The median age of all of the population is 35.8 years of age and the life expectancy is 77.14 years. The growth rate, itself, is 0.92%. possibly need a flight to keep in touch. This spread of the population will develop into new regions for demand in travel. The occupations of consumers are also an opportunity. Many white-collar business people, sales people, and executives need to travel frequently. The airline industry has the ability to cater to these individuals’ needs. Also, the people in this class of occupations tend to be frequent and repeat customers. The airline companies can use these tendencies to their advantage by developing the loyalty of those customers. The average annual per capita income is $37,000. The population’s living expenses are constantly rising. However, their income increases at a slower rate. Societal values and lifestyles Ethnographics and psychographics provide the following categories: personality, values, and lifestyle. Many people are staying single long and starting families later. Aside from the influence the terrorist attacks made, over time, society has gradually begun to see the boundaries of their states and countries less as borders to travel within and more as lines to cross. Society is much more willing, excited, and determined to travel further abroad than ever before. The idea of a location for a family trip has shifted from being in a different state than home to being in another country. Simply put, if people are more willing to fly both short and long distances that they have in the past, then those societal values and lifestyles pose as an opportunity for the airline industry. People have also started considering state-to-state flying more as a “minor trip”. Many people have started to use air transportation as an option for weekend travel, where as shorthaul ground transportation has been the only reasonable mode previously. 30 Technology More and more often, airlines are using forms of electronic ticketing instead of traditional printed ticketing. Consumers are encouraged to use the Internet to both research and book flights. Technology creates the means to make more accurate baggage screening equipment. Every day, new audio and visual technology is being created. Cell phone, camera, and computer technological advancements are a few among many. However the most important audiovisual technological advancement that impacts the airline industry is video conferencing. With video conferencing, business people need not travel thousands of miles to meet in person to discuss matters. They can sit in their own offices, halfway across the world and have as much of an interactive meeting as they would in person. People can even have “video conferencing” in their own homes with the use of computer cameras and the internet. A woman in Boston could talk to and see her sister in Sacramento all without leaving her desk. Although the Internet and technology, in general, can cut the costs of using a middleman (in this case a travel agency) and decrease the cost of producing tickets, it can be bad for the industry as well. The independence and information that the Internet provides to consumers allows them to find the best deal. This increases competitiveness in the industry. Technological advancements that have surfaced in the area of audiovisual communications pose a threat to the industry. Because people have the ability to communicate in a sort of “face-to-face” manner, such as what video conferencing offers, they are less apt to make flights. Business people will avoid taking flights and making trips if they can have a conference with similar satisfaction to that of “face-to-face” meetings using video conferencing. People using computer cameras and the internet to videoconference with friends and family members are going to make flights less often to see those people. Technology and E-commerce pose a threat to the industry. 31 1. What are the Industry's dominant economic features? Criteria Facts Market size Year 2000 ”Industry” total revenues 98.1B scheduled revenue passenger miles 651.8B operating profit 5.5B Year 2000 SW Total revenue 5.65B Rev passenger miles 42.2B Operating profit 625M Types of Markets First class customers Business customers Customers flying for their pleasure What does this mean? Prior to 9-11 the market was large in size. There were several sizeable rivals competing for market share. Their fierce rivalry was a threat to the profitability of the industry because it has driven prices down. Their competition has caused the price of tickets to drop considerably making flying competitive with automobiles, trains, boats and busses. This in turn has increased the market size. Flying offers consumers the convenience of rapid transportation, which cannot be offered by the other forms of transportation. This allowed the size of the market to grow at a rate of approximately 5% per year between 1995 and year 2000. Subsequent to 9-11 there was a significant drop off in passengers due to their concern for safety. The market can be expected to grow rapidly once the passengers overcome their fears providing the economy rebounds as well. The rapid growth rate is an opportunity for existing rivals to grow their share. If profitability increases, additional competitors may enter the market to take advantage of the growth. Growth will be maintained as long as the cost and convenience of air travel remains competitive with other forms of transportation. 32 Scope of the competitive rivalry (The competitive scope criteria addresses geographic scope (Global, National, Regional, Local), product scope, market scope and so on.) Many competitors offer flights both domestically and abroad but Southwest competes in the US only. Many rivals are similar in size and capability. For this reason they often resort to price, convenience, quality and rewards as methods to increase or hold on to their market share. Rivalry is very high with competitors often resorting to illegal tactics to drive others from the market Competitors will use every avenue possible to discourage competition, which will improve their profitability. The scope of competitive rivalry is a threat to the airline industry. The rivalry continues to depress pricing which drives down profits. This is turn deters others from entering the industry. This industry has little opportunity for differentiation and many rivals similar in size and capability compete for the same market share. This forces them to rely on cost reduction and rewards to hold on to existing customers and lure in new ones. This type of action drives the profitability of the industry down. Past history has shown the benefit from wrongdoing outweighs the penalty for operating in an illegal manner. The party with the deepest pockets prevails. This type of strategy is a threat to the industry and the consumers it serves. While this is not suitable as an offensive strategy, companies need to be aware of the strategy others could use towards them. The Market scope varies between the rivals. While some rivals compete on a global basis, others compete only in North America or on a smaller regional basis. Those who compete on a global basis require a more diverse portfolio of airplanes, which increases their operating costs. The product scope also differs between rivals. The majority of the rivals offer multiple classes of seating as well as other amenities such as meals and baggage transfer between competing carriers. This increases their operating cost which is passed on to the passengers. Lower cost airlines do not provide these services. 33 Market growth rate and position in the business cycle (development, growth, maturity, decline) US Market growth based upon scheduled revenue passenger milesyear 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 miles B 509.6 534.7 570 583 616.8 651.8 % growth from prev na 4.7 6.2 2.2 5.5 5.4 The market grew at a steady pace of approximately 5% since 1995 with the exception of 1997. Number of rivals and their relative size (Relative size refers to each rival’s market share based on total sales for the overall market or, when applicable, individual market segments.) 10 major competitors in the US ranked by revenues. Year 2000- 98.1B total US Market Number of buyers and their relative size (Address the number of buyers in each market and market segment. Buyer size refers to the buyer’s volume of sales for the industry.) 595,945,486. enplaned year 2001 per Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Airline United American Delta Northwest Continental US Airways Soutwest TWA Amer. West Alaska Revenue 19.3B 18.1B 13.5B 11.0B 9.5B 9.2B 5.6 3.6B 2.3B 1.8B % M Share 19.7% 18.5% 13.8% 11.2% 9.7% 9.4% 5.7% 3.7% 2.3% 1.8% At this point there has been a significant dip in the business cycle caused by 9-11. Development is at a low due to this decline in passenger service. We can expect rapid growth as passengers regain confidence in the system. The growth rate prior to 9-11 will continue as long as the cost and convenience of air travel remains competitive with other forms of transportation and the economy is in good shape. The size and number of the rivals reduce the threat of new entrants to the market. Smaller companies will not be able to benefit from the economy of scale, which the larger rivals enjoy. Fierce competition is a result of the number of rivals and their size. While some of the rivals compete in diverse areas of the market, they all compete for the business and leisure travelers. This makes it difficult for the players to grow their market share without resorting to price reduction, which threatens the profitability of the industry. There are a significant number of individual buyers, which is an opportunity for the airlines to take advantage of. Consolidators buy tickets in bulk at the request of agents and consumers then sell them at a discount. Travel companies and consolidators are a significant threat to the industry due to Travel companies, which set up vacation their buying power. packages, buy tickets in bulk. All forms of third party sales are a threat Ticket agents sell directly to consumers. because they can influence consumer’s choice in airlines. Business travelers, which are the largest and more lucrative segment of the market, are now being drawn towards low cost operators, which is a threat to the profitability of the industry. 34 Extent of rivals’ vertical integration (How far forward or backwards have the rivals extended their value chain?) Vertical integration was achieved by rivals who chose to offer sales directly through the internet. This eliminated the travel agent and increased profits. Some rivals provide their own food and baggage services. Vertical integration is an opportunity because it resulted in a direct savings to the airline. Vertical integration deters others from entering the market because it is a hurdle they have to pass to be competitive. Rivals often partner with other companies to provide companion services at a discount rate as opposed to vertical integration. Example being hotels, car rentals, cruises etc. Partnering with other companies offered the consumer one stop shopping along with an additional discount which helps bring in additional business. Extent of rivals’ horizontal integration (Horizontal integration applies to using the synergies in your value chain to produce different products or provide services for a different industry or market segment.) There are multiple segments of the market that the rivals participate in. The majority of the rivals carry business and leisure travelers. In addition to this, others carry intercontinental travelers and local commuters. Different types of aircraft are often required to service a specific segment of the market. Horizontal integration in this industry provides limited increase in economy of scale because different capital equipment is needed to serve specific markets. Types of distribution channels rivals use to access customers. (Do the channel types vary by customer segment?) Ticket/travel agents Direct sales Internet Consolidators Airports Operating a shuttle service taps into the bus and train market where customers have reasonable assurance they can utilize the transportation without reservations. This provides additional income for the airlines. Horizontal integration is an opportunity for the industry because it is difficult for competitors to enter the market. It is a threat to existing rivals because it is difficult for them to expand into other segments of the market. Consolidators and travel agents who purchase in bulk pose the greatest threat to the airlines because they can shop for the best price. Business travel is more often arranged through travel agents than leisure travelers. The internet is a threat because data is readily available showing airline performance and it allows consumers to shop for the best price. The selection of airports is important because the efficiency of the airports will impact the airlines operating costs. Less congested airports result in shorter holding times and permit faster turn around time. Less congestion and smaller airports are more convenient for the customers. 35 Pace of technological innovation in production process innovation The pace of technology implementation is occurring at a rapid pace. Computerized planning system used to schedule ground and in flight resources needed to support the flights. Computers are used for on line reservations and allow passengers to complete their initial check in. Improvement in computers and communication systems improve video conferencing. The pace at which technology is being implemented will deter others from entering the market and require those in the market to invest in the technology or face declining profits. Its purpose is to improve efficiency and reduce cost. Improvements in video conferencing are viewed as a threat to the industry because it will reduce the necessity of air travel. Pace of technological innovation in product introduction Extent to which the rivals differentiate their products and/or services NA NA Rivals differentiate themselves by catering to the needs of specific customer groups Rivals who are successful at differentiating themselves are a threat to the balance of the industry. An example is setting up the flight schedules and routes based upon their customers needs. Business class customers typically travel early or later in the day to and from airports in heavy industrial areas. Schedules for vacationers are not as rigid and they typically travel to leisure spots such as Florida or California. Airlines who can take advantage of differentiation have an opportunity to grow market share. Airlines, which fulfill customer specific needs, will see both market share and profits rise. Frequently customers have specific needs relating to destination, availability of on board meals, and take off/departure times. Customers who choose their flights based upon meeting these needs often will pay a premium for them. Cost conscious customers will give up these benefits for less expensive flights. Low cost rivals have cut the frills from travel which significantly reduced the cost. Cost conscious customers are willing to accept fewer services for a reduction in cost. Business travelers often will not accept a reduction in services. Rivals have found unique ways to improve convenience for their customers since reducing their ticket prices further will have a significant affect on their profitability. Rivals often provide companion services such as ease of booking rental cars, hotels etc. Airlines that reward frequent flyers are a threat to others. For others to successfully compete against them, they have to offer similar program, which in turn reduce the profitability of the industry. Rivals pride themselves in providing services customers perceive as “quality”. Examples being on time flights, no cancelled flights and no lost luggage. Rivals often offer “elite” bonuses to reward frequent flyers- shorter check in lines, upgrades to first class, mileage bonuses and first to board. 36 Extent to which rivals use economies of scale in: Purchasing Manufacturing Services Transportation (logistics) Marketing Advertising General and Administration Other steps in the value chain (Refer to chapter 4 for the description of the value chain.) Some of the rivals make use of economy of scale by owning and maintaining a limited variety of aircraft. This allows the airlines to keep a smaller spare part inventory and does not require mechanics with diverse skills to maintain the aircraft. The majority of the airlines who fly both domestically and internationally can not take advantage of this. Southwest has used economy of scale to reduce the turn around and boarding times. They have simplified the boarding process by eliminating tickets. Decreased turn around times by eliminated the need to bring food on board and baggage transfer between planes. The use of economy of scale by rivals is limited except in the areas of fuel procurement and shared terminal services. Rivals who take advantage of economy of scale are a threat to the industry because their decreased cost allows them to gain market share in an industry which has limited revenues. This assumes they passed the saving on to the consumer in the form of lower fares. Rivals using economy of scale will deter new competitors from entering the market due to its profitability. Larger companies with considerable buying power negotiate procurement of planes, fuel and services to their advantage. Economy of scale in advertising is more effective by rivals who aim their advertising at one particular market. There are few rivals who can take advantage of this. General and administrative services are a function of the size of the organization and how it is set up. Therefore, the economy of scale is minimized. Extent to which the key industry participants are clustered in one geographic location Rivals often use their buying power to offer customers a larger discount for the companion services (rental cars, hotels etc) than they could obtain by themselves. While there is no realized savings to the airline, it amounts to a considerable savings to the customer which helps increase ticket sales. Competition is fierce in the airline industry because rivals are constantly competing against each other in just about every region in the country. There is no place in the U.S. that is not served by the majority of the rivals in the airline industry. The clustering of the airlines in every region in the U.S. is a threat to the industry. With more competition come lower prices for consumers and less profitability for the rival airlines. With more options for passengers airlines will not be able to fill their airplanes and will incur losses. With less costumers airlines will find it necessary to discontinue service in some areas and will lose revenue which will threaten their existence 37 Extent to which certain industry activities result from learning and experience curve effects The learning and experience curves can be the result of airlines watching each other’s moves. If a rival airline is successful on a certain route, then other airlines will follow in order to take advantage of those routes as long as there is gate availability. Rivals will also learn from prior experiences of what routes are profitable and are not profitable. By watching each other’s moves, airlines are better able to compete with their rivals and this would be threat. The ability for an airline to learn the most popular destinations would allow for the development of more cost effective route structures. With better knowledge of aircraft type and capabilities along with increasingly more fuel-efficient aircraft, would increase competition greatly. Airlines take advantage of more fuelefficient aircraft in order to achieve lower operating costs. The main suppliers of aircraft are constantly educating the industry of why their aircraft are the best for the airlines. This is a great advantage to the airlines. This is an opportunity for them to purchase specific aircraft to cater their needs. Capacity surplus or shortage in the industry (Capacity refers to the total manufacturing output capability for the industry. Capacity surplus would indicate that the industry has the capability to produce more products than the market demands.) The airline industry has reached maturity yet there is a capacity surplus in the airline industry. Most airlines are operating well below full capacity. Capital requirements and the ease of entry into or exit from the industry Capital requirements for the airline industry are great. Aircraft can cost anywhere from 20$ to 160$ million. This makes it very difficult to enter the market. Unloading such capital can also take a toll on a company and make it costly to exit the industry. The industry operates where passengers want to travel. The airline industry can suffer from a shortage and not offer enough routes, but in order to remain profitable the airlines fly to destinations that can guarantee them positive revenue. Capacity surplus on aircraft is a threat to the industry. Rival airlines are competing at a high level in order to maintain their share of passengers in order to fill their aircraft. With fierce competition comes more costs to the airlines in marketing and advertising and therefore is resulting in less profitability for the airlines. The capital requirement to purchase aircraft is a threat to the airline industry. Airlines are strapped with debt before they fly one revenue mile due to the high cost of purchasing and operating an airliner. Unloading an aircraft is also very difficult because there is a limited market for buyers of commercial aircraft. 38 Industry profitability (The annual net profit margin for the industry.) Net profitability for the airline industry is very low. Even those that are profitable do not make a large profit. Indications of the lack of profitability in the industry can be seen in the teaming up of rival airlines, or alliances. These alliances allow airlines to sell seats on each other’s planes and keep the revenue from those sold seats. The alliances that are happening allow them to spread out the costs of operations as well as the revenue. The attacks of September 11, 2001 also have put a great burden on the airline industry and have decreased revenues considerably. Low profitability is a threat to the airline industry. Not only does it make it difficult for airlines to operate and keep out of bankruptcy, but also it increases competition between rivals. Airlines that are operated at close or above profitability are able to market themselves better and can result in taking away customers from those airlines that are grappling with financial difficulties. Degree of alliances Alliances within the airline industry are ever increasing. Alliances allow airlines to book passengers on flights to anywhere in the world, even to places that the airline itself does not fly. When airlines have alliances they are able to sell seats on each other’s flights. A passenger may start out on United Airlines but finish their trip on Thai Airways. This allows the airlines to keep their customers by allowing a seamless trip even though they may not fly the same airline the whole trip. Airlines also have alliances with hotels, rental cars, and theme parks that increase their visibility to the traveling public. These alliances will entice travelers to fly on their airline if they know they can receive a free hotel stay for example. The degree to which these alliances have taken place is a threat to the airline industry. Even though the cost of operating, marketing, and advertising are shared, and there is increased revenue for all the parties’ involved alliances create complex relationships in the industry. Although by creating alliances the airlines can begin to share the burden of the overwhelming competition that exists in the airline industry, the ability to create strong alliances in the industry can put a strain on the resources of individual airlines and increase competitive pressures. 39 2. What is competition like and how strong are each of the competitive forces? Criteria RIVALRY How many competitors are there in this industry? Facts What does this mean? There are 10 major competitors in the United States Airline Industry. There are United, American, Delta, Northwest, Continental, US Airways, Southwest, TWA, American West, and Alaska Airlines. The number of competitors makes rivalry strong in the Airline Industry. The rivalry is intense which is a threat to the industry. Competitors have to continually advertise, provide quality services, provide convenience and improve their reputation to stay competitive. What is the relative size (market share based on their percentage of industry sales) of each competitor? The relative size of each competitor is in 2000: The relative size is weak for the Airline Industry. The competition is fierce in the Airline Industry due to the large size of competitors and the number of rivals. The relative size of the Airline Industry is a threat. Competitors have to continually keep a close eye on their competitors’ fares to provide the “most value for less money” for their customers. What is the industry concentration ratio (C4)? Top 4 company’s sales Industry sales The Airline Industry Sales for 2000 were 98.1 Billion. Airline United American Delta Northwest Continental US Airways Soutwest TWA Amer. West Alaska Airline United American Delta Northwest Revenue 19.3B 18.1B 13.5B 11.0B 9.5B 9.2B 5.6 3.6B 2.3B 1.8B Sales 19.3B 18.1B 13.5B 11.0B % M Share 19.7% 18.5% 13.8% 11.2% 9.7% 9.4% 5.7% 3.7% 2.3% 1.8% Industry Concentration Ratio 19.7% 18.5% 13.8% 11.2% Total What is the product or service demand growth rate? (Use the industry’s total sales over multiple years to determine the industry growth rate. Use the rival’s sales over multiple years to determine individual growth rate.) With 63.2% of the market share being held by the top four companies, there is fierce rivalry due to the tight market share available. Therefore is a threat to the Airline Industry. 63.2% Industry Growth Rate: 2000-1999 8.5% 1999-1998 5% The growth rate for the Airline Industry is strong. With the airline being in a growth stage there are opportunities for rivals to increase their market share by decreasing the cost but increasing the convenience of flying for new customers. 1998-1997 1.1% 1997-1996 5% 1996-1995 5% 40 Growth Rate of Rivals Airline 00-99 99-98 98-97 97-96 96-95 United 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 1.0% 1.4% American 2.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% -0.1% Delta 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% Northwest 1.0% 1.2% -1.3% 0.2% 0.8% Continental 1.0% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% US Airways 0.7% -.01% 0.1% 0.8% 0.7% Southwest 1.0% 0.5% 41 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% TWA 0.3% 0 0 -.03% 0.3% Amer. West 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% Alaska 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% Are rivals using price cuts or other competitive weapons to boost unit volume? Competitors are using price cuts to increase volume of passengers, which will decrease revenue erosions. In 1971, Southwest starting using a “two-tier on-peak/off-peak pricing structure” to decrease their revenue loss but increase their passenger traffic. It increased passenger traffic so significantly that it soon became standard across the whole Airline Industry. Rivals using price cuts to increase unit volume is a moderate force in the Airline Industry. The competition between rivals is a threat for the Airline Industry due to rivals introducing new ways to increase profit margins without passing it on to the customer. 42 Are the customer's switching costs low? The switching costs are low. Passengers can change airlines at any time; however difference in customer service, cost of fares, and/or convenience can depend on the different airlines. “Southwest has been rated number 1 in customer satisfaction among U.S. major airlines for 10 consecutive years for the years of 1991 through 2000.” “Southwest has also received the Triple Crown six times which is awarded based on best on-time record, fewest reports of mishandled baggage, and fewest complaints for a single month.” Northwest is rated 2nd in arriving within 15 minutes of the schedule time. Continental is tied with Southwest for ranking of the fewest number of mishandled bags. The rivalry in the Airline Industry is strong due to the low switching cost. These low switching costs are a threat for the Airline Industry as the rivalry among competitors is fierce. Competitors differentiate their service constantly to keep customers and market share that can cut into their profit margins. Are rivals launching moves to change their market share or industry position at the expense of other industry participants? Rivals are launching moves constantly to change their market share position. The expense to other rivals is high. Braniff and Texas International were indicted by a federal jury, of trying to deliberating put Southwest out of business. It cost Southwest a lot of time and cash to fight the legal battles the two competitors engaged in. Southwest moved their flights from the new Houston Intercontinental Airport where it was losing money, to the Houston Hobby Airport in 1972. This move caused Braniff and Texas International to move some of their flights there also to regain some of the market share Southwest gained. However Braniff and Texas International were unable to regain their market share and switched back to the new airport. The payoffs include gained loyalty of customers; increased market shares; decreased operating costs and increased revenues. So overall the payoffs are big. Southwest had the lowest labor costs in the Airline Industry due to its point-topoint system. “Southwest has been rated number 1 in customer satisfaction among U.S. major airlines for 10 consecutive years -1991 through 2000.” Southwest has the greatest increase in growth of the Airline Industry due to its management, operating costs, and The moves rivals are making are moderate for the Airline Industry. The rivalry among competitors is so intense that it is a threat to the Airline Industry. Rivals are using their size to compete against smaller more innovative competitors. What are the payoffs for strategic moves? The fierce rivalry between competitors is a threat for the Airline Industry. The rivals have to be fierce and improve the daily operations and using new technology to make the industry more convenient. By improving the operations it increases the operation expenses and decreases the profit margin. 43 Does it cost more to exit the industry than to continue participation? How consistent are rivals strategic visions, strategic intents, objectives, strategies, resources and origins? The greater the consistency, the more likely there is increased rivalry. Are strong new entrants acquiring weaker rivals and launching wellfunded, aggressive moves? customer service. The cost of exiting the Airline Industry is high than to continue participation. The rivals in the Airline Industry are more volatile and unpredictable when it comes to its strategic visions, strategic intents, objectives, strategies, resources and origins. Southwest believes that employees come first and customers come second. Southwest used a point-to-point system rather than using some rival airlines that use the hub-and-spoke systems. Southwest management strategy was “more value for less money” rather than “less value for less money”. The cost of exiting is a strong force for the industry. The high exiting cost increases the threat for the Airline Industry. The industry is “noted for its vulnerability to economic cycles and big swings in bottom-line performance”; the losses incurred from exiting keep competition fierce among the rivals. The consistency of rivals strategic visions, strategic intents, objectives, strategies, resources and origins is a strong force. The Airline Industry has a threat with rivals using different strategies and objectives to increase profits and market shares. The Airline Industry is benefiting from the innovative and out-of-the-box thinking some of the rivals are using to compete. N/A 44 THREAT OF ENTRY What economies of scale exist in each of the following areas: Production Purchasing Inbound and outbound logistics Advertising Financing Customer service Raw materials R&D Other steps in the value chain? (Please note that synergies across the value chains of related diversified corporations also constitute economies of scale.) Economies of Scale in Production: N/A Economies of Scale in Purchasing: Are high for the airline industry. Companies in this industry are relatively large in size so they have purchasing power. The high economies of scale will provide an entry barrier to new entries. New entries will unlikely have the volume, purchasing power, variety, recognition, and cash flow, needed to use the economies of scale. The economies of scale pose an opportunity for the existing firms in the airline industry. Economies of Scale Inbound and Outbound Logistics: N/A Economies of Scale in Advertising: Are high in the airline industry. Airlines use advertising as a way to increase in the number of passengers, the number of flights, and the number of cities they service. Economies of Scale in Financing: Are moderate in the airline industry. Airlines need to have the ability to keep operating costs low and to be prepared for hard economic times and rival’s competitive moves. Economies of Scale in Customer Service: Are moderate in the airline industry. Airlines want to provide the best customer service, with low customer complaints, while keeping prices low and keeping their customers satisfied. Cost and resource disadvantages independent of size What are the learning curve and experience effects to enter the industry? Economies of Scale in Raw Materials: N/A Economies of Scale in R&D: N/A The costs of high landing fees and terminal gate costs at high-traffic airports are a disadvantage in the airline industry. Landing slots were controlled and rationed to the airlines willing to pay these high fees. The learning curve and experience effect to enter into this industry is high. A start up airline may have knowledge of the industry but would not have a lot of experience in dealing with the industry; its rivals and the regulatory agencies. Cost and resource disadvantages independent of size are an opportunity for existing airlines. The entry barrier is high for new entries and they will need to have the cash flow for the costs required to gain good landing positions at high traffic airports. The learning curve and experience effects to enter into this industry are an opportunity for existing firms who have the knowledge and experience and would pose a threat to new entries who lack the knowledge and experience. 45 Inability to match the technology and specialized know-how of firms already in the industry. How accessible is the industry's technology? The industry’s technology is barrier for new entries. The technology is accessible to those companies whose personnel have the specialized skills to access and operate this technology. The inability to match the technology and specialized know-how of firms already in the industry poses a threat to new entries that are unable to match the specialized skills needed to access and operate this technology. The lack of know-how by new entries leads to an opportunity for existing firms who have these skills can take advantage of the technology. Brand preferences and customer loyalty Brand preferences and customer loyalty is a high barrier for new entries. New entries must have strong financial resources in order to have access to large amounts of capital for advertising and promotional campaigns that can lead to attracting new clients and building a solid foundation of customers. Brand preferences and customer loyalty pose an opportunity to the existing airlines. The entry barrier is being lowered by new entries with quality, low priced service, which threatens the existing airlines. What are the capital requirements to enter? The capital requirements to enter the airline industry are high. Available cash flow is needed to pay for the costs of high landing fees and terminal gate costs at high-traffic airports. New entries need to have the financing available to acquire planes, pilots, and personnel to operate an airline in a way that will increase overall profits. The high capital requirements to enter are an entry barrier for new entries. New entries are unlikely to have the high capital it needs to pay for good landing positions at high traffic airports. The capital requirements pose an opportunity to the existing airlines. What other resource requirements are necessary to enter? The ability to pay high landing fees and terminal gate costs at high-traffic airports provides a high barrier for new entries to the industry. Landing slots were controlled and rationed to the airlines willing to pay these high fees. The entry barrier of high landing fees and terminal gate costs at high-traffic airports pose a threat to new entries into the airline industry and an opportunity to the existing airlines. What is the access to distribution channels? Access to distribution channels is readily available to companies in the airline industry. Access to distribution channels are an opportunity for new entries and a threat to existing firms because companies in the airline industry all use the same distribution channels. What regulatory policies apply? The Airline Deregulation Act of 1978 and Civil Aeronautics Board (now the Federal Aviation Agency). Regulatory policies pose an opportunity for new entries into the airline industry to gain market share and a threat to existing airlines due to a reduction of their current market share. What tariffs and trade restrictions apply? N/A 46 SUBSTITUTES What is the availability of attractively priced substitutes? The airline industry competes against substitutes such as personal automobiles, buses, trains and transportation by boat. The price and availability are equal and or better to the airline industry. The availability of substitutes that are attractively priced is a threat to the airline industry. Substitutes take business away from the airline industry. Bus transportation runs through most if not more cities then major airlines can serve. Train tickets are attractively priced and although are slower then flights, they do serve many major cities. Transportation by boat is also slow and is not used as widespread as it once was but is considered a threat as some vacationers will use major cruise lines as means to getting to their vacation spots rather then flying. Personal automobiles are not attractively priced to begin with but their overall value can be judged over time. Is the substitute of better, Bus transportation is of equal or worse worse, or equal quality? quality then airline transportation because it is slower, they offer only one class of seating, and they usually make many stops before reaching their final destination. Train transportation may offer the same types of services that the airlines do but again, they are much slower and they also make many stops along the way before reaching its final destination. Transportation by boat, consumers receive a very high level of quality as long as the consumer is willing to pay for it. Transportation by boat might be considered a vacationing option in itself but is not used for business trips. The substitutes to the airline industry all have their own level of quality. Bus transportation quality can be considered of equal or worse quality. Train transportation can be considered of equal quality. Transportation by boat, especially cruise liners should be considered of higher quality. The quality of substitute products should be considered a threat to the airline industry. Is the substitute of better, Bus, train and boat transportation are all worse or equal of worse performance since they cannot performance? provide the speed that the airline industry can. The performance provided by the airline industry cannot be rivaled by any other substitute industry and can be considered an opportunity. September 11th showed that the world was not going to stop due to the airline industry closing for a few days. Some buyers were able to use substitute products. Other buyers, such as business travelers cannot expect to make to meetings in a fast paced work environment using substitute products. The pricing of substitute products makes it easy for consumers to switch but the performance of the airline industry outweighs the price for most travelers. Speed rules in the travel industry and is an opportunity for the airline industry. Can buyers easily switch to the substitutes? 47 SUPPLIERS Is the item or service a commodity available on the open market from many suppliers who are capable of filling the order? There are few major suppliers in the airline industry of aircraft. There are not many suppliers of jet fuel. There are many airports scattered around the United States and many are not being used up to the amount of potential traffic they could generate. The amount of aircraft manufactures capable of filling orders is small which creates a threat to the airline industry. The small amount suppliers forces the airline companies to be accurate in their predictions of the direction of the industry and the amount airplanes they are going to need in the coming years, and forces them to place orders years in advance. Having accurate forecasts is a threat. The amount of fuel suppliers is small, which is also a threat. This forces the airline industry to be innovative in ways to conserve fuel to lessen their reliance on fuel. Are there good substitutes for the product or service to which the buyers can easily switch? There are no substitutes for the aircraft or jet fuel in this industry. Some air transportation companies will use airports that are less congested and offer lower landing and terminal fees. Being able to use airports that may not be at full capacity for the amount potential business is an opportunity. Since there are no feasible substitutes (i.e. other airplane manufacturers or gas companies) for the products supplied to the industry, the lack thereof is a threat to the industry. Although the alternative airports may not provide the largest cities with traffic they are considered an opportunity as some airlines have proven. 48 Is the company a major buyer? Southwest is a major buyer of the Boeing 737. Southwest’s size of firm orders for new aircraft has averaged 24 new airplanes over the years 1995 through 2000 and they have firm orders for 25 in 2001, 27 in 2002, 13 in 2003, 29 in 2004, 5 in 2005, 22 in 2006 and 25 in 2007. “Southwest became the launch customer for the new Boeing 737-300, 737-500 and the 737-700 models, and were able to acquire these aircraft at favorable prices.” Southwest has made innovative strides to conserve fuel, but they will always rely on the supplier’s prices since demand is fairly constant. Southwest is a major buyer of jet fuel. Southwest is a major buyer in the smaller airport markets. In the first years of Southwest’s service to Manchester airport, passenger counts went from 1.1 million in 1997 to 3.5 million in 2000. In the first year of Southwest’s service to Tampa to Fort Lauderdale the annual number of passengers jumped 50%. Does the supplier dominate the industry? (The supplier provides the industry with an item that accounts for a sizable fraction of the costs of an industry's product (or service), is crucial to the industry, or significantly affects product quality.) The suppliers of commercial aircraft are small in number but large in size. No one airline manufacturer dominates the entire airline industry. One jet fuel supplier does not dominate the industry. There are a few suppliers and they compete for the major airlines business. Southwest is considered a major buyer of new 737 airplanes through Boeing. Southwest has cut costs by only using one type of aircraft. Even though Southwest was able to receive their airplanes at favorable prices, using only one aircraft puts Southwest in a threatening position as Boeing can dictate pricing any way they choose. Southwest’s strong relationship with Boeing is an opportunity. The small amount of aircraft manufacturers in the industry is a threat. Southwest is a major buyer of jet fuel which is supplied by a small amount of companies. The price of fuel is a threat to the industry since prices cannot be controlled through economies of scale. Southwest usually turns out to be the major airline at the smaller airport markets where they serve areas relatively near major metropolis’, which would make them a major buyer and can be perceived as an opportunity. Since no one aircraft manufacturer dominates the industry, the competition is increase giving the airline industry an opportunity to obtain better prices for airplanes as long as they don’t mind who the airplane is coming from. Some airline industry rivals like to use only one style of aircraft to cut down on costs of operations (spare parts and training). For those who implement this type of business strategy the size of the supplier and whether or they dominate the industry doesn’t matter. The threat of using only one supplier is real, as all operations depend on that one supplier. There is an opportunity for the major airlines to choose whom they are going to give their business to so they can use economies of scale to try to dictate the price. 49 Does an outside supplier provide a cost advantage over vertical integration? The outside suppliers in this industry do provide a cost advantage over vertical integration. There is no sense for any company in this industry to try to vertically integrate backwards to build their own aircrafts or to build their own fuel refineries. The cost of undertaking a task such as building a reliable aircraft would be huge. The suppliers of the aircraft have the tools, the skilled personal, the knowledge and years of experience. All of which are considered essential to building something that lives will depend on to deliver safety and reliability. What types of working relationships exist? Start by listing the types of working relationships that exist. Then, focus on the strategic importance of relationships with suppliers in this industry. Are these relationships of strategic value for the competitors in the industry? If so, why and how do the relationships impact the competitive structure and environment of the industry? Relationships exist with: Making agreements to purchase aircraft’s in bulk will offer airlines a lower price for the purchase of planes. This relationship can be kept strong and can be maintained by purchasing in high volume. This is an opportunity for a company in the airline industry because they can use this relationship with Aircraft suppliers to gain a cost advantage. This will cause intense competition within the airline industry. Aircraft suppliers Jet fuel suppliers Financial suppliers Advertising suppliers Airports Relationships with Aircraft suppliers such as Boeing are strong relationships that are essential for an airline company in the industry to have, in order to operate and carry out business. Relationships with Jet fuel suppliers are also essential to airline companies in the industry. Without fuel the planes would not run and therefore business would not exist. In order to purchase planes to use in business, money must be borrowed to finance the purchase of new planes. Financial institutions supply the loans and in return Airlines companies pay back these loans with interest added. This relationship is crucial for a company in the airline industry because without adequate finances, the purchase of planes would not be possible. Advertising agencies supply airline companies in the industry with slogans and advertising campaigns that will either make or break a company in the airline industry. The right slogan is crucial for the targeting of customers. To gain customers and build a reputation of being the best airline carrier in the industry, your advertising must stick out and attract customers. Relationships with fuel suppliers can be built strong by agreeing to purchase large quantities in advance for future use. By doing this, airline carriers can build close relationships with suppliers and gain bargaining power over other competitors in the industry. This will alter the competitive environment and the competitive structure of the airline industry. This close relationship would be an opportunity for a company competing in the airline industry. Financial relationships that exist in the airline market are built based on how profitable a company’s operations are. Therefore, the better the operations the more financial help a company will get. This poses as an opportunity for a company in the airline industry. This need for financial assistance will cause intense competition in the airline industry. The environment will become more competitive and the relationships with financial suppliers will become stronger. Companies build tight relationship with advertising agencies. These 50 The relationships between the airlines and the airports are critical as airports usually provide space for those airlines to work from. relationships are crucial for a company. The better the campaign or slogan, the better the product or service will market. Ultimately, this is used to gain market share and the more market share, the more profits. This relationship will cause intense competition among competitors in the industry. Each competitor trying to be the best and gain customers will change the environment in which the competition exists. This is an opportunity for advertising suppliers in the industry and companies can use this opportunity to gain a competitive advantage and win the industry with their strong advertising and marketing strategies. The airline companies build strong relationships with the airports they use in order to gain terminal space and receive good landing times, even though they are paying for both. The amount of airports allowing major airline business can be seen as an opportunity that some airlines are willing to take advantage of. What is the relative quality of the supplier and his services or products? The quality of the products, which include: planes, fuel, financial access, and advertising, are all crucial for the operation of an airline company. Without these essential tangible and intangible assets, a company could not run. The quality is of the highest that a supplier could offer. Boeing jets and fuel that is cheaper in bulk are of high quality to the airline industry. The financial suppliers offer the money to purchase planes and the advertising firms offer the best quality slogans and marketing ideas to companies in the industry. This allows the companies to gain market share and take the lead in the airline industry. Receiving the highest quality goods from suppliers, offers opportunities to the industry as a whole. High quality supplies will produce high quality products and services to passengers. The competitive structure among competitors will be strong and close seeing that all competitors have access to suppliers that offer superior quality products to enhance their services. 51 BUYERS What is the cost to the buyer of switching to a competitor or a substitute? The cost to buyers for switching to a competitor or substitute is minimal. Although there are competitors with lower prices, the product or service provided may not be what the buyer is looking for. Buyers are never locked into any specific competitor; therefore buyers in the industry have the freedom to choose whichever seller best suites their needs. In the year 2000, there was 98.1 billion in revenues for the airline industry. This amount has increased steadily since 1995. These figures show that the buyers in the airline industry are in the millions. The ability for buyers to switch between airline competitors is a threat to the industry. This ability for buyers to freely choose what option is best for them cause’s strong competition among competitors within the airline industry. What is the relative size (based on the amount they purchase) of each buyer? Revenues for the airline industry in the year 2000 were 98.1 billion. This amount was based on passengers in the millions. Ranging anywhere from $85.00 to $200.00 per ticket. The quantity of buyers of airline tickets are in the billions and it creates an opportunity for competitors in the industry. Each competitor will be able to make a profit from sales due to the fact that the revenues were in the billions. No one airline carrier dominates the industry, even when they offer the lowest prices. The reason being that buyers wants and needs differ with regards to what type of flight they are looking for. What is the buyer's knowledge level? Today buyers’ knowledge levels are extremely sharp. Internet knowledge, financial reports of the airlines carriers and advertisements allow the buyers to be aware of their options. With this increase buying power, buyers can make the best decision about what airline to choose. Backward integration is not possible in this industry. Increased buyer knowledge will cause intense competition among the competitors in the airline industry. Buyers’ knowledge poses as a threat to the entire industry. Their increased buying power will raise the standards for all competitors and cause a strong competitive force for the industry. Backward integration does not affect the airline industry. There is no threat or opportunity present. If buyers are not happy with a particular airline, they can choose another airline. The buyers’ choice to buy or not to buy represents a threat to the airline industry. The buyers’ preferences determine the fate of the airline industry. Without buyer preference there would be no industry. How many buyers are there in this industry? Can the buyers threaten the industry with backward integration? Are the industry's products discretionary purchases? Yes, this particular industry’s products are discretionary. Buyers have the option to either purchase or not to purchase from the airline industry. This decision is solely up to the buyer. The enormous quantity of buyers in the airline industry poses as an opportunity for competitors. With so many buyers, each competitor has a chance to gain a fair market share within this industry. With buyer preferences changing, each airline in the industry has a chance at gaining a potential customer. This opportunity is out there for any competitor willing to go after the potential customers. 52 3. What is (and how are they) causing the industry's competitive structure and business environment to change? Factors Industry competitive structure This factor is supposed to capture how the drivers of change are altering the industry's competitive structure. Industry business environment This factor is supposed to capture how the drivers of change are altering the industry's business environment. Strategic implications The competitive structure of an industry entails the number of competitors and their competitive relationships. For example, an industry entering maturity causes fewer, larger competitors. This affects the industry's structural arrangement between rivals, buyers and suppliers. When the industry approaches maturity or when it is in decline, the industry's business environment will create intense rivalry for a diminishing market. Internet and new e-commerce opportunities New business-to-business and business to consumer market opportunities are altering industry boundaries. This change driver is a threat to the airline industry and creating intense competition. Travel by internet booking gives the consumer a wide range of trip choices and low prices. This increases competition among rivals. Alliances are being formed that may include new options such as, events available for the destination of choice and being able to buy tickets for the events as well. New computer technology made it easier for buyers to comparison shop for the best travel fares. Change in technology, such as internet and web tools have changed how customers shop for travel accommodations. The customer wants convenience and quick service as well as the best value and they can find that by using the internet tools. New business-to-business and business to consumer market opportunities are altering industry boundaries. This change driver is a threat to the airline industry and creating intense competition. The business environments as well as personal lifestyles have become more fast-paced. Video Today’s corporate environment requires a lot of meetings and conferences. With the new technology for conference calling and video conferencing, the competition is fierce in the travel industry. Market share could be lost because of these technology changes. This would make competition fierce in the airline business environment. The internet has many web sites for travel booking and is another factor that has changed the business environment. Expedia & Travelocity are websites that offer internet services to book trips. You can book your flights very easily with this tool. However, this tool enables the consumer to comparison shop for the best value, which creates a threat to the industry resulting in increased rivalry. Using the internet for travel is profitable for the industry and works very well because travel is a virtual product. The convenience of sitting at home or in your office and using your computer to book a flight has helped the industry to be more profitable by increasing market share but at the same time keeping costs low to compete with rivals. Internet and e-commerce is an opportunity in the airline industry to increase business at a very low lost by eliminating the travel agent fees. There is no overhead when you set up your business on the internet. This strategy of internet use has changed the travel industry and attracts customers who may have gone directly to a travel agent. The travel agent fees are eliminated when you can go directly to the airline website and book the flight yourself. However, giving the consumer the opportunity to comparison shop very easily through the internet is a threat and can result in sub par profitability or losses, if strategic low cost strategy is not used to counter the low air- fares. 53 conferencing could be used for business-to- business communications. Businesses could save thousands of dollars on airfare by video conferencing. The airline industry must find ways to compete with this service. This drives the cost of airfare down to make it more affordable for businesses as well as the everyday customer who travels for pleasure. Unless competitors can find ways to keep their internal costs down, they will have a problem competing with low fares and internet tools and surviving in the industry. Airfares have to be low enough to make it attractive to businesses and more efficient than the cost of setting up video conferencing. For the average traveler that travels for pleasure or emergencies to meet family obligations, video conferencing would not be an option. Personal contact with family and friends can only be met by physical travel. Airfare has to be competitive with other means of transportation services, such as trains. After September 11th, traveling by train was considered to be a safer way to travel. However, the time it takes to travel by train cannot compare to flying. For people who have time constraints, this is not an available option. The industry as a whole needs to find ways to compete with technology as well as travel agents. On line tools, and cost cutting are needed to take advantage of this new technology to be competitive. Rivalry is fierce in this industry and the internet is an innovative tool that is available to enable the business environment to grow without the added cost of leasing of buildings, and hiring new people to service the customer. The internet opened up the business to consumer market in this industry and created opportunity. The strategy to use the internet for corporate travel enables airlines to take advantage of a tool that may not work in all industries. However, in the travel industry, the fare is not something that you would look at or feel before you buy it. Using the internet is a convenience especially for businesses that use computers every day. Using innovation to specialize in the area of corporate travelers who are looking for low fairs and convenience to keep their business costs down helps to get ahead of the competition. Competition is fierce in this industry and therefore is a constant battle for revenue growth. The airline industry has benefited greatly from the internet in regards to eliminating or reducing the need for the travel agent. Travel agent fees and commissions are saved by setting up their own on-line reservation sites allowing for higher profits and lower costs. After the effects of September 11th, the industry was in a declining stage. Rivalry was very intense, as market share was needed in order to survive. 54 Increasing globalization of the industry The demand for air travel is present all over the world. Air travel is the quickest way to get from one country to another, and also the only way other than by boat, which takes much longer than flying. Globalization opens the doors for revenue growth in the airline industry. Although not all airline carriers are global, some restrict their flights to within the U.S. and are limited to certain areas. When globalization of the airline industry increases, the rivalry will also increase. As more airlines expand globally the competition will increase as well as market share will be taken from existing airlines. Airlines expanding globally will have to compete with the costs of already existing airlines. Low operating costs to allow for low airfares are necessary in order to be profitable. The increase of globalization in this industry has not hurt Southwest or any of the other top airlines in the U.S. Long term industry growth rate This industry was in decline because of September 11, 2001. People were afraid to fly and would only fly when they had to. Business trips continued as necessary. However, there was growth due to special cut-rate fares. These cut-rate fares produced increased passenger traffic and ticket sales. This strategy was a threat to rivals and increased competition. Low rates stimulated higher passenger traffic that created long-term growth for the industry. Industry rivals were forced to compete for market share and a lot of cost cutting was needed. The customer is saying that they like what the When you have ambitious airlines that are striving to gain significant competitive position in as many attractive country markets as they can, the environment will be altered by these competitors entering the global market. When cost economies can be used to benefit from world scale volumes and management know-how ability can provide a significant competitive advantage, the business environment will be altered by global expansion. There are opportunities to expand to other areas of the world; however, it would increase rivalry. Market share would be lost by the existing organizations in the new areas of expansion. Price competition would be fierce and profitability could be lost or diminished. Rivals in the airline industry may increase their market share by expanding globally. Increased globalization will create more competition in the business environment and cause the fares to go down. This competition is a threat to the industry rivals, as they will be forced to lower their rates in order to be competitive and stay in the market. The potential to lose profits would be a risk of expanding globally. Globalization would not be advantageous at this time for an airline to expand globally because of 911. The added security costs resulting from 911 and the restrictions and requirements to safeguard against terrorists would be very costly. There are more oversees restrictions on travel and the costs would outweigh the benefits. In the 1970’s the airline industry was in a Long-term industry growth slump. In 2001 after the 911 crises the rates create opportunity for industry slowed down again. This created increased market share. The pressure for change because of people not concept of cut-rate fares to flying as frequently out of fear. grow passenger traffic so The business environment changed when significantly that the revenue rivals had to alter their actions to compete with erosion wood be more than lower fares. Rivalry became very intense and offset by revenue gains has changed the industry. Long- term growth in increased ticket sales and this industry is attainable if you listen to the volume of traffic. Smaller consumer. When changes in the industry take competitors in this industry place, rivalry intensifies. Long-term growth may want to consider merging 55 Who buys the product and how do they use it Product innovation industry is doing with the lower fares and want to be able to travel more frequently. This change in the needs of the consumer has altered the competitive structure tremendously. will enable competitors to use economies of scale and become a low cost leader. The change in this industry of who is doing the traveling and how they use it has altered the competitive structure. In the past, only the more affluent population used flying for pleasure because it was so expensive. Flying was more of a luxury for pleasure trips, unlike today where it is almost a necessity. Incomes have increased which contributes to the change of who buys and how they use it. Everyday people like you and me travel more often for pleasure as well as for business because it is more affordable. It was not always affordable to travel until industry competition caused rates to be lowered. The industry environment change of who buys the product and how they use it alters the way competitors promote and sell the product. Making reservations easier by using the internet and offering other services on the web site are examples of the changing environment. By giving the customer what they wanted with lower airfare it changed the industry and the competitive structure. Businesses can grow and conduct business by using air travel. In a multinational business, it is important for executives to meet periodically for important meetings and they can do this by flying. Because of the affordability to fly, the industry has changed and has become very competitive. Southwest is a major contributor to this change by lower fares, which caused competitors to follow suit. The competitive structure of the airline industry has changed with new product and services offered by rivals. Low cost, no frills travel has rejuvenating the industry growth. When the market position of the industry innovators got stronger, this increased rivalry. Rivals are forced to compete with product innovation if they wish to stay in the market or risk losing profitability. The threat of product innovation from rivals will result in increased competition. Innovation in this industry was used with low fares, Frequent flyer programs and low cost, no frills, have answered the need of the changing buyers. Lower fares are and frequent flyer programs have increased market share. This creates opportunity in this industry for growth. The business environment of this industry had to change as a result of accommodating the needs of the consumer. More people wanted and needed to fly and the industry had to answer those needs by lower fares and more non-stop routes. People are in a hurry to get to where they are going. The U.S. is a fast paced country unlike some areas of Europe where it is slower paced. This created growth in this industry and changed the business environment intensely. The business environment was forced to change to accommodate the needs of the consumers, by lower fares and increased customer satisfaction levels. Industry growth is the result of these changes for the innovating companies. The innovative ways of competitors to accommodate the needs of businesses and everyday people has changed the industry environment. In 1994 ticket-less travel was introduced and in 1995 became with a larger more successful organization or risk bankruptcy. Larger competitors should look into buying the smaller ones to gain revenue and expansion to new travel routes. The state of competition has changed as a result of this factor. Industry rivals have to lower fares in order to compete. This change could result in profit loss if strategy is not used to also lower costs. The consumer wants the best value at a reasonable price. Marketing strategies directed towards the changing buyers need to be implemented. Promotions and incentives are needed to induce more travel to the changing buyer. Industry rivals will need to find ways to cut their costs in order to compete with the low fares and special promotions. This will threaten their profit margin without the low costs strategy that Southwest has been able to pride them selves on. Rivalry will increase with product innovation since market 56 Technological change Marketing innovation new routes, and non-stop flights to get you there quicker and frequent flyer miles on credit cards. Innovation to change the structure of flying has forced competition to follow with the lower fares. This was a threat to rivals and caused fierce rivalry. This changed in the structure of flights and lower fares caused intense competition in the industry. Competitors in the industry who continuously update their technology will have a competitive advantage. State-of-the-art flight dispatch systems to help minimize weather and operational delays are a must. The technology used for safety, high quality, high maintenance and reliable operations, has prevented plane crashes. Extensive and thorough maintenance programs in the commercial airlines industry create fierce rivalry. It is tough to compete with new technology, as it is very costly. available system wide. Meeting the customers changing needs induces product innovation, which changes the industry environment. Fierce rivalry is a result of product innovation in this industry. share will be lost. The consumer expects strong emphasis on safety issues. Technology to accomplish what is needed to make the consumer feel safe and secure requires considerable capital investment. Weaker rivals in this area could be forced to withdraw from the market changing the business environment by lessening the competitors. Successful marketing innovation can widen industry demand, increase product differentiation and lower unit costs. These changes can alter the competitive structure of rival firms and force strategy revisions. Marketing innovation is a threat to rivals in the industry by creating product differentiation. Product differentiation can alter the competitive structure of the airline industry. Competitors are forced to respond to the marketing of rivals to remain competitive and keep their market share. Competitive marketing strategy, which makes it tough to compete for rivals, causes fierce competition. Websites and the internet play a big part in marketing innovation. Lower unit costs by The competitive strategy in this industry has changed the business environment of the airline industry. Rivals were forced to lower pricing which also decreased their profit margins or risk losing market share. Innovation forces competitors to change their business environment or risk going out of business. High rivalry results when marketing is successful. Strategy revisions are needed to compete. Technological changes pose a threat to the industry because of the capital investment that is required. New security measures since 911 have been very costly by extending the ground times to check baggage and the greater attention needed for safety. This will lower the profit margins and threaten some competitors who will not be able to sustain these changes. New technology is always a threat because of the cost factors involved in making these changes. The financially weak organizations may not survive or may have to merge with a competitor. Marketing strategy to spark the buyer’s interest will widen the demand. New software was implemented in 2001 by Southwest that significantly decreased the time required to generate optimal crew schedules and improve on time performance. These technological changes have changed the business environment in this industry by weakening the financial position to make the necessary changes. Increased product differentiation is a result of successful marketing innovation. By monitoring the marketing strategies of rivals, you can try to quickly match or exceed them. Being aggressive and taking risks should be part of 57 the use of internet, creates intense competition. These strategies make it tough for rivals to compete since low costs are important for profitability. The competitive structure became very fierce because of the marketing innovation in this industry. the strategy to market your product. Seek to be the leader in the industry. Marketing innovation is an opportunity for those who choose to work on it and a threat to those who do not. Entry of major firms Any new entry in this industry would intensify the competition. New marketing and promotion strategies could be used. A firm with strong financial resources and cost efficiencies would cause fierce competition. New entrants with innovative marketing strategies would alter the business environment of this industry. New rules of the competition “game” would change the business environment. New entrants with new skills and strong resources would send competition in new directions. Existing firms may be forced to exit because of tough competition and insufficient resources. Acquisitions of already existing firms could result making a larger, stronger organization. Exit of major firms Reducing the number of market leaders would change the competitive structure in this industry by causing a rush to capture the exiting firm’s customers. The business environment would change when a major firm exits the market. A highly competitive environment would result from a firm exiting the industry. Intense competition to grab the market share. Exit of major firms would be an opportunity for the existing industry rivals. Diffusion of technical knowhow The technological know-how of rivals in the industry can be acquired over time to match the top performers. This would make competition even stronger to retain or increase market share. Firms in this industry can lose their competitive advantage once a rival learns of their secrets to success. Competition will become strong when the technology know-how has been learned throughout the industry. Rivalry will become very fierce. A constant watch of technological changes in the industry is needed to maintain their market share by staying ahead of the competition. Diffusion of technological know-how will create opportunity for rivals in the industry and threaten the organization that is diffusing. This results in a change in the business environment, as new strategies will be needed to obtain and keep new technology. Hiring Retention of employees is needed so that they do not move to another firm and take your ideas and know-how with them. Lost market share results in diffused technology. Erosion of technology based competitive advantage. 58 Competitors will try to steal knowledgeable employees from rivals. away of knowledgeable employees from competitors to obtain know-how poses a threat from this factor. Innovation will result as technology diffuses. Globalization results and national boarders are crossed. Continually work towards improving technology knowhow to stay ahead of competition. 59 Cost and efficiency Cost and efficiency is one of the strengths need to compete in this industry. The strategy is to always be prepared for “a rainy day”. This will create a big competitive advantage when times are tough and the economic situation takes a downturn as had in the past. Competition has been very fierce in trying to compete with lower airfares. The competitive structure was changed dramatically when lower prices were offered to the customer. Rivals are forced to lower air- fares to the customer or market share will be lost. This is one of the most important driving forces of change in as it dramatically alters the state of competition in the industry. The industry environment has changed with the strategy for cost efficiency by forcing prices of airfare to come down. This was an opportunity to gain market share for rivals and a threat to rivals of losing market share or losing profit margin by lowering their prices. A result of lower airfare is more flying traffic. Opportunity was actually created for this industry by inducing more people to fly with a no frills, low cost, non-stop flight plan. The efficiencies from this strategy changed the industry environment. It forced competitors to lower their prices to the customer, which increased air traffic. The risk of having to drop out of the market is a threat when key competitors having a cost and efficiency advantage. Lost market share from competitors who have the competitive advantage of cost efficiency. New management may be needed to motivate employees to cut costs. Low profit margins. Monitor costs and profitability margins to prevent competitors from having a competitive advantage in this area. Growing buyer preferences for differentiated products instead of a commodity product Changing needs of the consumer for low cost, no frills, best value, point to point, on-time performance has changed the competitive structure, by forcing the industry to meet those needs or risk losing market share. Southwest was able to fill this need and changed the industry’s competitive structure. The contest among rivals to out differentiate one another began in this industry. Price competition to obtain differentiated products forces rivals to drive down their costs to maintain profitability. New safety and security measures were put into place after the 911 crises. This put a financial burden to the airline industry. When organizations are not meeting the safety standards and security measures, the customer will not want to fly on that airplane. The competitive structure is altered by these changes, as financial resources are needed to make these changes. The competitive structure of the industry was greatly changed by these new regulations and policies. Opening up domestic market to foreign participants creates competition. Market forces play a huge part in changing the business environment. Changing buyer preferences and needs drive these changes. Price competition begins when buyers decide that they do not need all the bells and whistles and look for budget priced services. This brings about high rivalry to compete in the industry and changes the business environment. Cost reductions are needed to be competitive. Need to create a new image by advertising and promotion of these differentiated products. Research is needed of consumer demographics and economy. Financial resources are needed to conduct research and advertise. Deregulation into new geographic markets. Regulatory and government policy changes After 911 the whole business environment of this industry has changed dramatically placing financial burdens on all, as well as competition to be the safest airlines to fly with. The added cost of baggage checks and security measure and surveillance has put a burden on the industry as a whole. The business environment changes as a result of regulatory and government policy changing factors, as financial resources are needed and only the financially strong will sustain these changes. New competition can result from opening the Costs to cover these changes may pose a threat to rivals in a weak financial position. Financial resources will be needed to make these changes. Strong intellectual capital to implement changes will be 60 Societal concerns, attitudes and lifestyle changes Reductions in uncertainty and risk door to foreign participants. Deregulation in this industry is a potent pro-competitive force in this industry. Concerns about safety and security became a big The business environment of this industry issue after the terrorist attacks. Image and reputation changed drastically. Added costs to meet the for safety and reliability was a major competitive safety and security issues placed a burden on factor. These changes bring about tough the industry. Competition would be very competition and changed the structure of fierce under these conditions. Growth is competitiveness. Advertising and promotion of the needed to meet these higher costs. The changes is needed to create a new image to the industry environment has changed by having consumer. to respond to the concerns of society or exiting the industry. necessary. This would apply to emerging industries that are willing to take risks. Once the industry proves to be lucrative the more conservative firms may enter the market. Once risk and uncertainty appears to be under control, the competitive structure of the industry will change. Strong firms looking for investment and growth will increase competition by entering the industry. New entrants may result. Industry becomes more attractive. Build strong reputation and customer loyalty to prepare for new entrants. Use intellectual capital to create new strategies to defend against new entrants. Market share could be lost if new firms enter the industry. The industry business environment will change to high rivalry once uncertainty and risk is reduced. New entrants will enter the industry and increase competition. Large, financially strong firms looking for an investment could enter and change the industry environment by forcing existing firms to compete with their new strategies. New strategies are needed for existing firms to stay in the market. Build your company image and reputation to counter the concerns of society. Monitor the lifestyle changes to respond quickly to the new trends and conditions. Quick responses to these societal concerns and changes of attitude and lifestyle of the consumer, is needed to stay in the game. 61 4. Which companies are in the strongest/weakest positions? The close grouping of the rivals in the “Broad/Medium-Low” area of the strategic group map shows fierce competition that resides among those rivals. Southwest, having the smallest market size of those rivals is in a position where they must rely on low prices to compete with such large rivals as American, Delta, and United. Although Northwest, Continental, and US Airways have a smaller market than those four competitors in the lower right hand corner, rivals must be aware of any attempts made, particularly, by Continental or US Airways to lower prices. If Us Airways or Continental were to lower their prices much, they would become a direct threat to all four of the companies in the lower right hand corner, especially United (because of their broad market scope and medium price range) and Southwest (because of the fact they have a much smaller market share than either US Airways or Continental already). Because of small market shares, narrow market scope, and high prices, the competitors in the upper left hand corner of the map (Alaska, TWA, and America West) pose little threat to the rest of industry. 62 There are two notable clusters of competitors in the Customer Service strategic group map. The group including American, US Airways, Continental, Delta and United all have mediocre customer service records. Of those five rivals, United is the worst but still poses as a threat to the others in its grouping. The group located on the narrow end of the market scope (which includes Alaska, TWA, and Northwest) has similar customer service records to the group on the right side. However, because of the slight difference in market scope, the two groups do not stand as large threats to one another. There are also two notable loners. Southwest has the highest record for customer service out of all ten competitors. They stand as a threat to the rest of the industry all by themselves when based on customer service. The other loner is America West. Of all the rivals, America West is by far the worst in customer service. America West poses no threat towards any of the competitors in the area of customer service. Southwest’s incredible customer service can be used to their advantage. 63 They are getting stronger. In terms of passengers carried they are the 3’rd highest in Industry. Their operating revenues are the highest in industry and growing at a modest pace. Their operating expense per seat mile is one of the highest in industry. Their strategic posture is offensive . Their competitive strategy is to serve a broad market. What does this mean in terms of their most likely moves? Their plan is to grow market share through internal growth. What is their competitive strategy (low cost, differentiation, broad or narrow, best value)? Their strategy is to move up a notch. What is their strategic posture (offensive, defensive, both)? What is their market share objective (aggressive expansion, expansion via internal growth, expand by acquisition, hold present share, give up share)? Multicountry What is their competitive position (getting stronger, well entrenched, stuck in the middle, going after different market position, losing ground, retrenching)? What is their strategic intent (dominant leader, overtake the leader, top 5, move up a position, maintain position, survive)? United What is the competitive scope of each (local, regional, national, multi-country, or global)? List the competitors 5. What strategic moves are rivals likely to make next? You would expect with the number of passengers they serve, United would be able to take advantage of economies of scale, which would reduce their operating costs. They need to review their value chain for potential savings to decrease their operating expense. They should renegotiate their contracts to lower their operating costs. They should review their overall market strategy to verify it makes financial sense to serve a broad market. They should consider serving a limited segment of the market that provides better profitability as opposed to serving a broad market. They need to investigate why their revenues are the highest in Industry despite the fact they carry significantly less passengers than the leader. This data could b used to help them determine future expansion plans. 64 American Delta Multicountry Multicountry Their strategic intent is to overtake the leader. Their strategic intent is to maintain their position (leader). Their plan is to grow market share through internal growth and acquisitions (TWA) Their plan is expansion through internal growth. They are getting stronger. They are number 2 in terms of passengers carried and operating revenues. Their operating revenues are growing at a high rate. Their operating expense per seat mile is one of the highest in industry. They carry the highest number of passengers in the industry but rank 3’rd in terms of operating revenues and have one of the lowest revenue growth rates in industry. Their operating expense is lower than the other large carriers. Their strategic posture is offensive . Their competitive strategy is to serve a broad market. They should review their operating procedures to reduce the number of passenger complaints, which will improve customer relations. They should look at their expenses to determine if savings can be made to lower the operating cost and improve growth. They should study the industry leader’s methods to determine if changes can be made which will increase American’s market share and profitability. Their strategic posture is defensive Their competitive strategy is to serve a broad market. Delta should review their operating plans to find out why they carry the highest number of customers but do not generate the revenues, which their competitors do. They should consider changes in the service they offer (drop non-profitable cities and add profitable ones). Having one of the lower operating expenses in industry will allow them to go head to head with competitors. They should consider alliances with other airlines to lower their maintenance expense and combine flights to improve profitability. 65 Northwest Multicountry Their strategic intent is to maintain position. Their objective is to grow market share through internal growth. They are stuck in the middle. They have the highest debt to capital ratio in industry. Their sales revenue is growing at a good pace. Their strategic posture is defensive . Their competitive strategy is to serve a broad market. They need to review their value chain for possible ways to lower their debt. They should re-evaluate the cities they serve for profitability. They should consider reducing the breadth of the market they serve to concentrate on the more profitable segments. Continental Multicountry Their strategic intent is to move up a step. Their objective is to grow market share through internal growth and strategic alliances. They are getting stronger with improved operating performance. They are number two in terms of revenue growth. Their operating expense per mile is one of the highest. Their debt to total capital ratio is one of the highest. Their strategic posture is offensive . Their strategy is to serve a broad market They want to concentrate on the more profitable segments of the market as opposed to the low cost segment. They should continue seeking more profitable business by developing routes which generate higher revenue such as overseas flights. They should continue developing alliances with companies to reduce their operating costs. If they can reduce their costs, they should consider expanding into more competitive markets. They should change their flight arrival times to improve their on time performance 66 US Airways TWA Multicountry They are multi country Their strategy is to move up a notch. Their strategy is survival. Their objective is to grow market share through internal growth. Their objective is to grow market share through internal growth. They are stuck in the middle. Their debt to total capital ratio is one of the highest. Their operating expenses per seat mile exceed all others in industry by at least 30%. Their revenues are growing at a moderate rate. Their strategy is both defensive and offensive They have one of the worst customer performance records in industry. Their operating revenues are growing at a moderate pace. Their strategy is both offensive and defensive . Their strategy is to be a best value provider. They need to look at their value chain to determine if changes can be made to reduce their operating costs. They should consider consolidating their services with other airlines to cut costs. They should consider dropping cities that are not profitable and adding ones that are. They should consider updating their fleet of planes from Turbo props to modern commuter jets. This will improve their appeal to customers. NA American Airlines acquired them in 2000. 67 America West They serve the USA, Mexico, Costa Rica and limited travel to Canada. Their strategy is to survive. Their objective is to grow market share through internal growth. They have the second lowest expenses per seat mile in industry. Their debt to capital ration is moderate. Their operating revenue growth rate is low compared to their competitors. Their customer satisfaction record is poor. Their strategy is defensive Their strategy is to be a low cost provider in a limited share of the market. They have one of the lowest operating expenses per seat mile in industry. For this reason, they should consider competing directly against other low cost providers for customer share. They should consider expansion within the US to take advantage of economy of scale. Their expansion should be limited to a specific geographic area as opposed to nation wide. They need to make changes to improve customer satisfaction. They have the highest number of passenger complaints in the industry. They need to reduce the number of seats they book on a flight to prevent overbooking. If they can grow their market share, they will be a threat to the profitability of the industry due to their low operating costs. 68 Alaska They serve the USA, Mexico and limited travel to Canada. Their strategy is survival. Their objective is to grow market share through internal growth. They are loosing ground. Alaska‘s revenue growth rate is the lowest in industry. Their operating expense per revenue mile is one of the highest. They have a significant amount of cash on hand and a moderate debt to capital ratio. They have one of the worst customer satisfaction ratings in the industry. Their strategy is defensive . Their strategy is to serve a limited share of the market They need to reduce their operating expenses to grow market share and profitability. They could reduce their operating cost by partnering with another airline to share operating expenses. They need to make changes to boost customer satisfaction, which will increase revenue growth and market share. They need to change their flight schedules so more flights arrive and depart on time. They need to investigate their baggage handing process so changes can be made to eliminate lost luggage. 69 Northwest What does this mean? Continental What does this mean? What is their capability for this factor? Delta What does this mean? What is their capability for this factor? What is their capability for this factor? What is their capability for this factor? What is their capability for this factor? 6. What are the key factors for competitive success (in this industry)? United American You can provide your justification for What What selecting the KSFs underneath the does this does this KSF. mean? mean? Technology related KSFs Scientific research and expertise Technical capability to make innovative improvements in production processes Product innovation quality Expertise in a given technology Internet expertise 70 Manufacturing (production of the product or service) related KSFs Low-cost production efficiency A combination of bottom-line performance, low labor costs, and low operating costs are key in keeping itself profitable in the vulnerable Airline Industry. Fair. In 2000 per average seat mile Uniteds’ operating expenses were 10.60 cents and the salaries & benefits were 4.16 cents. Uniteds’ profits would benefit from focusing on lowcost producti on efficienc y. Fair. In 2000 per average seat mile America ns’ operating expenses were 10.49 cents and the salaries & benefits were 4.18 cents. Focusing on a lowcost producti on efficienc y strategy would increase America ns’ profits. Good. In 2000 per average seat mile Deltas’ operating expenses were 9.43 cents and the salaries & benefits were 3.73 cents. Delta has a good start but needs to focus more on increasin g its lowcost producti on efficienc y. Good. In 2000 per average seat mile NWs’ operating expenses were 9.96 cents and the salaries & benefits were 3.65 cents. Focusing more on decreasin g NWs’ operating expenses will increase the lowcost producti on efficienc y. Fair. In 2000 per average seat mile Continen tals’ operating expenses were 10.20 cents and the salaries & benefits were 3.30 cents. Continen tal has decrease d its labor costs but needs to use more of a lowcost producti on efficienc y strategy to decrease its operating expenses . Manufacturing quality High fixed asset utilization Low cost plant locations Access to adequate supplies of skilled labor High labor productivity Low cost product (service) design and engineering Manufacturing flexibility 71 Distribution related KSFs (Note: This applies to inbound and outbound logistics.) Network strength Electronic (Internet) tracking Ample space on retailer's shelves Company owned retail outlets Low distribution costs Speed of distribution 72 Marketing related KSFs Fast, accurate technical service Customer service Rivals needed to use this KSF to “drum up” more passengers by keeping the flying experience enjoyable and fun to the customer. With more passengers on each plane, competitors would breakeven on the load factor, which leads to increased profits. Not Good. United is given the lowest ranking on flights arriving within the 15 min. schedule d time, mishandl ed baggage, and 2nd to lowest ranking on customer complain ts. The ranking of United indicates that they are not focused on the customer service aspect of the airline industry. United needs to improve their customer service to increase its passenge rs and its profits. Fair. America n is ranked 3rd the arriving within 15 min. of schedule d time but rank low on mishandl ed baggage and customer complain ts. America n has not balanced its abilities to keep customer s service high. By not making the total flying experien ce enjoyabl e, America n could see decrease d profits from their overall customer service. Good. Delta is concerne d about their customer complain ts because it ranked 3rd but their ranking of arrival within the 15 min of schedule d time and mishandl ed baggage is in the middle. Delta has not taken its customer complain ts and improve d what needs to be fixed. To increase the experien ce of Delta, they need to improve its arrival times and baggage handling to drum up passenge rs and maximiz e profits. Fair. NW is keeping arrival times within the 15 min. schedule time, they are ranked 2nd. However NW has not covered all the aspects of their customer s’ experien ce. It ranked 6th for customer complain ts and 7th for mishandl ed baggage. Focusing on the whole experien ce of NW, they should realize that their customer complain ts are a big part of this service industry. This could improve the load factor. Good. Continen tal has tied 1st in the ranking of mishandl ed baggage. The ranking on the arriving 15 min. of schedule time and customer complain ts are in the middle. Focusing on improvin g their customer complain ts and arrival time would increase their customer service. Accurate buyer order filling Breadth of product line and selection Merchandising skills Attractive styling/packaging 73 Guarantees and warranties Advertising Rivals used aggressive ad campaigns to promote the company’s culture and values to its employees and customers, in turn can lead to increased market share. Very Good. United spent .20 cents per average seat mile in 2000. This is more than most rivals spent in 2000. Uniteds’ ad campaig ns were not discusse d in the case; however more promotio n of their culture and values would increase their market share. Good. America n spent .13 cents per average seat mile in 2000. This is an average amount of spending among the rivals. The ad campaig ns of America n were not discusse d in the case; however a more aggressiv e campaig n would benefit the market share of America n. Fair. Delta spent .08 cents per average seat mile in 2000. Delta has spent less on advertisi ng than most of the rivals. The ad campaig ns of Delta were not discusse d in the case; however would benefit from improvin g its advertisi ng strategy. Good. NW spent .13 cents per average seat mile in 2000. NW has spent the average amount on its advertisi ng among the rivals. The ad campaig ns of NW were not discusse d in the case; however a more aggressiv e campaig n would benefit the market share of NW. Not Good. Continen tal spent .07 cents per average seat mile in 2000. Continertial has spent the least on its advertisi ng. The ad campaig ns of Continertial were not discusse d in the case; however they need to improve its advertisi ng spending to gain more market share from the promotio n of their culture and values. Skills related KSFs Workforce talent Quality control know-how Design expertise Expertise in a particular technology Ability to develop innovative products and product improvements Speed of getting new products to market 74 Organizational capability KSFs Superior information systems Ability to respond quickly to shifting market conditions Use of the Internet and Enterprise Information systems Overall experience Managerial know-how Success of any organization begins at the top. Managerial know-how is essential to build the foundation for a successful airline. Good: United has ranked towards the bottom of customer satisfacti on since 1996 yet they have managed to increase their revenues year to year. United will find it difficult to improve their standing in the industry as long as their work force continue s to perform less than the rest of the industry. Very Good: America n ranks in the middle of the top ten airlines in customer satisfacti on in mishandl ed bags and complain ts since 1996. America n is taking their approach to workforc e talent seriously and will continue to improve steadily. Very Good: Delta, the largest airline of the top ten has ranked in the top 3 as far as customer complain ts and revenue. Delta will be a force in the airline industry and will make it difficult for other airlines to compete. Very Good: Northwe st’s workforc e has allowed them to maintain a high rank in on time performa nce involunta ry denied boarding . These factors prove that Northwe st has taken a serious interest in their workforc e to make sure that they continue to provide a high degree of customer satisfacti on. Excellent : Continen tal has achieved high rankings in all the areas of customer satisfacti on. Continen tal will be a force in the airline industry as far as the mainline airlines in the industry is concerne d. Other KSFs 75 Image and reputation When an airline has a good and wellestablished image and reputation they are more likely to attract customers and in turn, increase their revenue. Good: United has a good reputatio n among the flying public and offer numerou s destinati on both in the U.S. and abroad Overall low cost In the airline industry low cost is what customers will compare first. Air travel is inherently expensive and an airline that can offer lower fares will be able to keep their planes full and increase revenue. Very Good: United had total operating expense of $10.60 cents per average seat mile of which is about average for the industry for 2000. Their United has been able to maintain their position in the top ten of the industry by offering wide ranging services around the globe. Very Good: America n offers many destinati ons througho ut the U.S. and has been able to rank among the top in customer satisfacti on among the industry leaders Although Very their Good: operating Although expenses America are ns prices average have they increased need to they bring the have annual increased increases at a down or slower they will rate. have raise ticket prices will give America n will be able to attract customer s away from rivals as long as they continue to dominate in the industry. Very Good: Delta has remained among the best in the industry for customer complain ts and has forged a good image and reputatio n for air travel. Delta will be able to compete on the same plain as the other major airlines and continue to be competiti ve. Very Good: Northwe st has develope da reputatio n for on time service and overbook ed flights. This serves Northwe st well in that they are an industry leader in getting people on their airplanes and getting them to their destinati ons on time. Excellent : Continen tal has develope da reputatio n for excellent customer service. There a choice of destinati ons around the globe has also afforded them well. Continen tal has develope d into an industry leader among the top teen airlines in the U.S. and will see continue d growth in their business. America n will be able to hold back on increasin g ticket prices to offset their operating expense increase. Very Good: Delta has been able to maintain a lower operating expense at $9.43 with little increase over the past five years. Delta will be able to remain competiti ve against its rivals into the foreseea ble future. Very Good: Northwe st has been able to keep their expenses below $10.00 in 2000 with a nominal increase over the past five years. Northwe st will be able to remain competiti ve with the top ten airlines in ticket prices. Good: Continen tal has increased their expenses consider able since 1995 from $8.67 to $10.20, which will have an effect on ticket prices. Continen tal will have to wow customer s with excellent customer satisfacti on in order to keep them coming back with increased ticket 76 operating expenses have increased every year since 1996. them higher ticket prices. prices. Convenient retail locations Pleasant employees in all customer contact positions Access to financial capital Patent protection 77 America West What does this mean? What is their capability for this factor? TWA What does this mean? What is their capability for this factor? What is their capability for this factor? Southwest What does this mean? What is their capability for this factor? US Airways What does this mean? What is their capability for this factor? (Competitors continued >>>) You can provide your justification for selecting the KSFs underneath the KSF. Alaska What does this mean? Technology related KSFs Scientific research and expertise Technical capability to make innovative improvements in production processes Product innovation quality Expertise in a given technology Internet expertise Manufacturing (production of the product or service) related KSFs 78 Low-cost production efficiency A combination of bottom-line performance, low labor costs, and low operating costs are key in keeping itself profitable in the vulnerable Airline Industry. Not Good. In 2000 per average seat mile US Airways’ operating expenses were 13.88 cents and the salaries & benefits were 5.35 cents. Focusing on a lowcost producti on efficienc y strategy will benefits the profit margins of US Airways. Excellent . In 2000 per average seat mile SWs’ operating expenses were 7.72 cents and the salaries & benefits were 2.99 cents. Southwe st has used a low-cost producti on strategy to remain profitabl e for over 25 years. Fair. In 2000 per average seat mile TWAs’ operating expenses were 10.14 cents and the salaries & benefits were 3.72 cents. Reducin g its operating expenses and institutin g a lowcost producti on efficienc y strategy will increase TWAs’ profit margins. Very Good. In 2000 per average seat mile AWs’ operating expenses were 8.57 cents and the salaries & benefits were 2.21 cents. AW is focusing on reducing its producti on costs; these figures give us a glimpse of this. Fair. In 2000 per average seat mile Alaskas’ operating expenses were 10.25 cents and the salaries & benefits were 3.53 cents. Focusing on a lowcost producti on efficienc y strategy will benefits the profit margins of Alaska. Manufacturing quality High fixed asset utilization Low cost plant locations Access to adequate supplies of skilled labor High labor productivity Low cost product (service) design and engineering Manufacturing flexibility Distribution related KSFs (Note: This applies to inbound and outbound logistics.) Network strength Electronic (Internet) tracking Ample space on retailer's shelves Company owned retail outlets Low distribution costs Speed of distribution 79 Marketing related KSFs Fast, accurate technical service Customer service Rivals needed to use this KSF to “drum up” more passengers by keeping the flying experience enjoyable and fun to the customer. With more passengers on each plane, competitors would breakeven on the load factor, which leads to increased profits. Fair. US Airways is in the middle across the board for arriving within the 15 min. of schedule d times, mishandl ing baggage, and customer complain ts. Focusing on customer service, US Airways could increase passenge rs experien ce from just all right, to excellent which in turn will increase their profits. Excellent . SW is ranked 1st across the board on arriving 15 min. of the schedule times, mishandl ed baggage, and customer complain ts. SW is making customer service a way to differenti ate itself from its rivals. By priding themselv es on their customer service, SW believes that it was a key to their competiti ve advantag e. Not Good. TWA is not using customer service to differenti ate itself. Overall, TWA has ranked relatively low across the board on arriving within the 15 min. of schedule d times, mishandl ing baggage, and customer service complain ts. TWA should focus on improvin g its overall low rating customer experien ce. Improvin g the experien ce will have customer s coming back and filling their planes and increasin g profits. Fair. AW has ranked the lowest in customer complain ts. Its flights arriving within the 15 min. schedule d time and mishandl ed baggage are ranked 4th and 3rd. Improvin g on its customer complain ts will improve the overall experien ce of AW, which will in turn improve profits. Fair. Alaska is ranked 2nd in customer complain ts but ranked low on arriving within 15 min. of the schedule d times and mishandl ed baggage. Alaska has listen to its passenge rs but not followed through on making the experien ce a “fun and enjoyabl e one.” Different iating the experien ce of flying Alaska would improve its profits. Accurate buyer order filling Breadth of product line and selection Merchandising skills Attractive styling/packaging Guarantees and warranties 80 Advertising Rivals used aggressive ad campaigns to promote the company’s culture and values to its employees and customers, in turn can lead to increased market share. Fair. US Airways spent .08 cents per average seat mile in 2000. US Airways has spent less on advertisi ng than most of the rivals. US Airways’ ad campaig ns were not discusse d in the case; however more promotio n of their culture and values would increase their market share. Excellent . SW spent .26 cents per average seat mile in 2000. SW is one of the highest spending rivals in Airline Industry. “The message in ads were tightly matched to the company ’s strategy and were usually worked in a manner calculate d to intrigue and entertain the audience and to persuade air travelers that what Southwe st offered was of value.” Good. TWA spent .11 cents per average seat mile in 2000. This is an average amount of spending among the rivals. The ad campaig ns of TWA were not discusse d in the case; however a more aggressiv e campaig n would benefit the market share of TWA. Fair. AW spent .09 cents per average seat mile in 2000. AW has spent less on advertisi ng than most of the rivals. The ad campaig ns of AW were not discusse d in the case; however would benefit from improvin g its advertisi ng strategy. Excellent . Alaska spent .38 cents per average seat mile in 2000. Alaska is the highest spending rival in the Airline Industry. Although not discusse d in this case, Alaska should be benefitin g from advertisi ng spending with increased market share. Skills related KSFs Workforce talent Quality control know-how Design expertise Expertise in a particular technology Ability to develop innovative products and product improvements Speed of getting new products to 81 market Organizational capability KSFs Superior information systems Ability to respond quickly to shifting market conditions Use of the Internet and Enterprise Information systems Overall experience Managerial know-how Success of any organization begins at the top. Managerial know-how is essential to build the foundation for a successful airline. Very Good: Us Airways is ranked in the middle as far as customer satisfacti on is concerne d. Their workforc e has performe d adequate ly in order to keep Us Airways competiti ve among the top ten airlines. Excellent : Southwe st has ranked number 1 in customer satisfacti on since 1996. Southwe st has carefully assemble d workforc es that is conscient ious about their work and are concerne d for the well being of its passenge rs. Good: TWA ranks toward the bottom for customer satisfacti on. TWA needs to make their workforc ea priority in order to increase their status in the eyes of the consume rs. Good: America West ranked last in customer complain ts among the top ten in the airlines. America West needs to beef up their workforc e talent in order to give a better impressi on to their customer s that they are a customer friendly airline. Good: Alaska ranks last in categorie s such as mishandl e baggage, schedule flight arrival times and overbook ed flights. They rank number 2 in customer complain ts. Alaska has been able to employ a workforc e that keeps its customer s happy even though their performa nce categorie s may not be the best in the industry. Other KSFs 82 Image and reputation When an airline has a good and wellestablished image and reputation they are more likely to attract customers and in turn, increase their revenue. Good: US Airways is in the middle of the pack for reputatio n and image. They are an average airline in service. US Airways will be hard pressed to continue to compete against strong airlines that have positione d themselv es ahead of US Airways. Excellent : Southwe st has consisten tly been number one in customer satisfacti on and low fares. Southwe st has establish ed an excellent reputatio n that will allow them to continue to build on their past success. Overall low cost In the airline industry low cost is what customers will compare first. Air travel is inherently expensive and an airline that can offer lower fares will be able to keep their planes full and increase revenue. Poor: US Airways has by far the highest operating expenses in the industry, with average service. Higher ticket prices will help offset such high US Airways will need to control their expenses in order not to get beaten out in any fare wars. Passenge rs will choose airlines with lower Excellent : Southwe st is able to keep their operating expenses under $7.50, which allows them to charge much less for ticket prices. Southwe st will always be able to maintain full planes at lower prices due to them being able to control expenses . Good: TWA ranks in the lower tier as far as image and reputatio n are concerne d. They also have a limited amount of destinati ons around the U.S. and globe. Poor: TWA has increased their operating expenses consider able since 1995 from $8.56 to $10.14, which is passed onto consume rs. TWA will find it difficult to compete with the stronger airlines and will not be able to maintain a large customer base. Very Good: America West does not have a very good reputatio n for customer service among passenge rs. This will keep America West behind others in the industry and make it difficult for them to operate their aircraft at full capacity. Very Good: Alaska ranks among the top in customer satisfacti on even though there operation s have ranked last. Alaska has maintain ed a good image for customer satisfacti on that will allow them to compete among the larger airlines in the industry. TWA will find it difficult to compete with the rest of the industry unless it is able to control its expenses . Very Good: America West has operating expenses , which are at $8.57, and is able to operate as a low cost carrier. This will allow them to compete against the lowend operators such as Southwe st and Alaska. Very Good: Alaska has been able to keep their expenses low and is able to compete directly with low cost carriers Southwe st and America West. Alaska will be able to offer competiti ve fares against the other airlines and will be able to capture much of the low cost market. 83 expenses . ticket prices. Convenient retail locations Pleasant employees in all customer contact positions Access to financial capital Patent protection 84 7. Is this industry attractive and what are its prospects for above-average profitability? Criteria Industry growth potential Facts The industry growth potential for the airline industry is low due to the industry being in a mature state. New entries will need strong capital resources to compete against existing airlines. What does it mean? Industry growth potential makes the industry unattractive poses a threat for new entries because they do not have the resources to compete with the existing airlines. For existing companies this unattractiveness of the industry is an opportunity, which will allow existing companies to keep their current market share. Does competition permit adequate profit potential? Competition does not permit adequate profit potential. This makes the industry unattractive. The strong competition in the industry makes it hard for a new entry to be profitable and is a threat to the industry. Does competition lead to stronger or weaker forces? Competition leads to stronger forces. Companies taking advantage of the driving forces will lead to increased competition among rivals and will pose as a threat to rivals in the industry. Will the prevailing driving forces positively or negatively impact profit potential? For the most part, the prevailing driving forces will have a negative impact on profit potential. Internet and new e-commerce opportunities can affect a company’s profit potential. An existing company’s profit margin will be lower because consumers can use the internet to gain easy access to information and purchases. The use of video conferencing can take the place of business trips which also leads to lower profit margins. Regulatory and government policy changes and Long term industry growth rate can have a negative impact for profit potential due to the terrorist attacks. What is the company's relative competitive potential in this industry? Southwest’s relative competitive potential is good in this industry. Southwest has a strong and highly skilled management team that can effectively react to rivals competitive moves. This is an opportunity. 85 What is the company's ability to capitalize on its competitor's weaknesses? The company’s ability to capitalize on its competitor’s weakness is strong. By using the point-to-point system of scheduling flights instead of the hub-and-spoke system used by its rivals, Southwest is able to keep its costs low. Can the company defend against or is it insulated from the factors that make this industry unattractive? Southwest can defend against the factors that make this industry unattractive by their use of the point-to-point scheduling system, ‘cattle call’ passenger boarding, online ticket purchasing, using on kind of aircraft for their fleet and keeping clear of congested airports. By using these operating strategies and many others, the management of Southwest is able to keep their operating costs below those of their rivals. How well do the company's capabilities match the industry's KSFs? Southwest’s KSF’s exceed those of the industry. Their management team, employees, low cost operations and customer service put them well ahead of their rivals. The threat of more possible terrorist attacks poses an uncertain future for this industry. Any future terrorist attacks and the requirements of compliance of companies to meet new safety regulations will pose a risk of lost profits to companies in the industry. Southwest capitalizes on their strengths to maintain their number one position against their rivals. The ability of management to operate Southwest efficiently will keep them well ahead of the competition. Possible future terrorist attacks can lead to a decrease in air travel by consumers. People will not want to travel by air if there is a possible threat to their safety. Terrorist attacks will pose a threat to the industry. The cost of meeting new safety regulations add to increased operating costs and can lead to future revenues being lower for the industry. What is the severity of the issue(s) or problem(s) facing this industry? Terrorist attacks are a severe issue for this industry. Future terrorist attacks can lead to new safety regulations and new security measures. Mandatory compliance of these new standards by companies in the industry will have an effect on their ability to remain profitable and is a direct threat to the industry. The cost of meeting new safety regulations add to increased operating costs and can lead to future revenues being lower for the industry. If a corporation, will continue participation in this industry positively or negatively impact its ability to compete in other industries? N/A N/A What are the future uncertainties and risks for this industry? 86 8. Summary matrix External analysis section Macro-environment The economy at large Legislative, regulatory and political environments Opportunity The huge economic boom in the late 1990s encouraged many businesses to increase spending, renovate and purchase new assets. The companies in the airline industry were taking advantage of the good market by expanding to more cities, buying more aircraft, and setting up new administration offices. Consumers’ wallets were growing as well, or at the very least, the contents were sustaining and reliable during this time. Therefore, these consumers were flying more frequently for both leisure and business and should be considered an opportunity for the airline industry. Threat The poor economy at this time is definite threat to the airline industry. Post 9/11 the economy for the airline industry was under stress due to nervous passengers. The mandatory three-day shutdown “threw major airlines into a financial crunch of huge proportions.” The stricter security measures caused the ground times of flights to increase. This added meant that not as many trips could be made in one day causing breakeven load factors to increase. The stricter security measures also meant that passengers would need to arrive at their departure airport earlier to allow for lengthy screening procedures and long lines. This deterred potential consumers from even making any ticket purchases at all. The no-furlough clauses in union contracts forced many airlines to avoid making layoffs, which caused those airlines to try to find other ways to cut expenses. Many of these “other ways” were already being taxed. The delicacy of the political environments caused 87 damage to international airlines and their flights. People were frightened to travel outside of their own countries. Governments advised consumers to not make certain international trips. All of the legislative, regulatory, and political environments were a threat to the industry. Population demographics The age span of consumers with the most purchasing potential in this industry is very wide. The group would be making purchases for themselves, as well as purchasing seats for children. For example, chances are good that those people may also be purchasing tickets for their elderly family members, who are willing to fly but, perhaps, cannot afford to. Age is an opportunity for the airlines. Societal values and lifestyles Ethnographics and psychographics provide the following categories: personality, values, and lifestyle. Although business travelers (and their employers) must be more conscious of costs, locations, and frequency of trips, they must satisfy their traveling needs somehow. Airlines must work hard in order to make traveling safe and cost efficient in order to take advantage of the business travelers’ sustained need to travel. Attempting to capitalize on this need will be difficult, but success is possible. The occupation of the population is an opportunity. Because of the lay offs and fear of losing jobs, people were much more meticulous about budgeting what money they had. Their budgeting was unlikely to include trips and vacations for leisure. Businesses would be more strict and apprehensive about trips that their employees would have previously taken. Ticket prices would have to be deeply discounted just to get most people to even consider booking a flight. The income of the population is a threat. Simply put, if people are more willing to fly both short and long distances that they have in the past, then those societal values and lifestyles pose as an opportunity for the airline industry. Technology Although the Internet and technology, in general, can cut the costs of using a middleman (in this case a travel agency) and decrease the cost of producing tickets, it can be bad for the industry as well. The independence and information that the Internet provides to consumers allows them to find the best deal. This increases competitiveness in the industry and is, therefore, a threat. 88 Industry’s dominant economic traits Market size Scope of the competitive rivalry (The competitive scope criteria addresses geographic scope (Global, National, Regional, Local), product scope, market scope and so on.) Market growth rate and position in the business cycle (development, growth, maturity, decline) Opportunity The rapid growth rate is an opportunity for new competitors to enter the market and existing rivals to grow their share. Growth will be maintained as long as the cost and convenience of air travel remains competitive with other forms of transportation. The market is large but has several sizeable rivals competing for market share. Their fierce rivalry is a threat to the profitability of the industry because it has driven prices down. The scope of competitive rivalry is a threat to the airline industry. The rivalry continues to depress pricing which drives down profits. This is turn deters others from entering the industry. The rapid growth rate is an opportunity for new competitors to enter the market and existing rivals to grow their share. Growth will be maintained as long as the cost and convenience of air travel remains competitive with other forms of transportation. Number of rivals and their relative size Number of buyers and their relative size (Address the number of buyers in each market and market segment. Buyer size refers to the buyer’s volume of sales for the industry.) Extent of rivals’ vertical integration Threat There are a significant number of individual buyers, which is an opportunity for the airlines to take advantage of providing the buyers go direct to them. The size and number of the rivals reduce the threat of new entrants to the market. Smaller companies will not be able to benefit from the economy of scale, which the larger rivals enjoy. Travel companies and consolidators are a significant threat to the industry due to their buying power. All forms of third party sales are a threat because they can influence consumers choice in airlines Vertical integration is an opportunity because it resulted in a direct savings to the airline. 89 Extent of rivals’ horizontal integration Horizontal integration is an opportunity for the industry because it is difficult for competitors to enter the market. It is a threat to existing rivals because it is difficult for them to expand into other segments of the market. Types of distribution channels rivals use to access customers. (Do the channel types vary by customer segment?) Consolidators and travel agents who purchase in bulk pose the greatest threat to the airlines because they can shop for the best price. The internet is a threat because data is readily available showing airline performance and it allows consumers to shop for the best price. Pace of technological innovation in production process innovation The pace at which technology is being implemented will deter others from entering the market and require those in the market to invest in the technology or face declining profits. Its purpose is to improve efficiency and reduce cost. Improvements in video conferencing are viewed as a threat to the industry because it will reduce the necessity of air travel. Pace of technological innovation in product introduction Airlines who can take advantage of differentiation have an opportunity to grow market share. Airlines, which fulfill customer specific needs, will see both market share and profits rise. Frequently customers have specific needs relating to destination, availability of on board meals, and take off/departure times. Customers who choose their flights based upon meeting these needs often will pay a premium for them. Cost conscious customers will give up these benefits for less expensive flights. Rivals who are successful at differentiating themselves are a threat to the balance of the industry. Airlines that reward frequent flyers are a threat to others. For others to successfully compete against them, they have to offer similar program, which in turn reduce the profitability of the industry. 90 Extent to which rivals use economies of scale in: Purchasing Manufacturing Services Transportation (logistics) Marketing Advertising General and Administration Other steps in the value chain (Refer to chapter 4 for the description of the value chain.) The ability to use economy of scale is limited except in the areas of purchasing and shared terminal services. Extent to which the key industry participants are clustered in one geographic location The clustering of the airlines in every region in the U.S. is a threat to the industry. With more competition come lower prices for consumers and less profitability for the rival airlines. With more options for passengers airlines will not be able to fill their airplanes and will incur losses. With fewer costumers airlines will find it necessary to discontinue service in some areas and will lose revenue, which will threaten their existence. Extent to which certain industry activities result from learning and experience curve effects Capacity surplus or shortage in the industry Rivals who have found ways to take advantage of economy of scale are a threat to the industry because they can gain market share in an industry that has limited profitability. Rivals using economy of scale will deter new competitors from entering the market due to its profitability. With so many airlines operating there is an opportunity for rivals to learn from each other’s experiences and take advantage of learning and experience curve effects. The airline industry is full of examples of successes and failures and the airlines themselves have a wealth of knowledge and information in order to make their company successful. Capacity is a threat to the industry. Rival airlines are competing at a high level in order to maintain their share of passengers. With fierce competition comes more costs to the airlines and therefore will result in less profitability for the airlines. 91 Capital requirements and the ease of entry into or exit from the industry The cost of which it takes to start an airline is an opportunity for the industry. With fewer entries into the market the less competition there is. Since it is difficult to operate an airline profitably there are more chances that existing airlines will fold and free up routes for surviving airlines and allow them to increase revenue. With airlines folding there is also a decrease in the amount of competition. Industry profitability (The annual net profit margin for the industry.) Low profitability is a threat to the airline industry. Not only does it make it difficult for airlines to operate and keep out of bankruptcy, but also it increases competition between rivals. Airlines that are operated at close or above profitability are able to market themselves better and can result in taking away customers from those airlines that are grappling with financial difficulties. Degree of alliances The degree to which these alliances have taken place is an opportunity to the airline industry. Not only can they share costs of operating, marketing and advertising, it can increase revenue for all the parties involved. By creating alliances the airline industry can share the burden of the overwhelming competition that exists in the airline industry. Extent to which the key industry participants are clustered in one geographic location The clustering of the airlines in every region in the U.S. is a threat to the industry. With more competition come lower prices for consumers and less profitability for the rival airlines. With more options for passengers airlines will not be able to fill their airplanes and will incur losses. With less costumers airlines will find it necessary to discontinue service in some areas and will lose revenue which will threaten their existence 92 Five forces RIVALRY How many competitors are there in this industry? Opportunity Threat The number of competitors makes rivalry strong in the Airline Industry. The rivalry is intense which a threat to the industry is. Competitors have to continually advertise, provide quality services, provide convenience and improve their reputation to stay competitive. What is the relative size (market share based on their percentage of industry sales) of each competitor? The relative size is weak for the Airline Industry. The competition is fierce in the Airline Industry due to the large size of competitors and the number of rivals. The relative size of the Airline Industry is a threat. Competitors have to continually keep a close eye on their competitors’ fares to provide the “most value for less money” for their customers. What is the industry concentration ratio (C4)? Top 4 company’s sales Industry sales With 63.2% of the market share being held by the top four companies, there is fierce rivalry due to the tight market share available. Therefore is a threat to the Airline Industry What is the product or service demand growth rate? Are rivals using price cuts or other competitive weapons to boost unit volume? Are the customer's switching costs low? The growth rate for the Airline Industry is strong. With the airline being in a growth stage there are opportunities for rivals to increase their market share by decreasing the cost but increasing the convenience of flying for new customers Rivals using price cuts to increase unit volume is a moderate force in the Airline Industry. The competition between rivals is a threat for the Airline Industry due to rivals introducing new ways to increase profit margins without passing it on to the customer. The rivalry in the Airline Industry is strong due to the low switching cost. These low switching costs are a threat for the Airline Industry as the rivalry among competitors is fierce. Competitors differentiate their service constantly to keep customers and market share that can cut into their profit margins. 93 Are rivals launching moves to change their market share or industry position at the expense of other industry participants? The moves rivals are making are moderate for the Airline Industry. The rivalry among competitors is so intense that it is a threat to the Airline Industry. Rivals are using their size to compete against smaller more innovative competitors What are the payoffs for strategic moves? The fierce rivalry between competitors is a threat for the Airline Industry. The rivals have to be fierce and improve the daily operations and using new technology to make the industry more convenient. By improving the operations it increases the operation expenses and decrease the profit margin Does it cost more to exit the industry than to continue participation? The cost of exiting is a strong force for the industry. The high exiting cost increases the threat for the Airline Industry. The industry is “noted for its vulnerability to economic cycles and big swings in bottom-line performance”; the losses incurred from exiting keep competition fierce among the rivals. How consistent are rivals strategic visions, strategic intents, objectives, strategies, resources and origins? The consistency of rivals strategic visions, strategic intents, objectives, strategies, resources and origins is a strong force. The Airline Industry has a threat with rivals using different strategies and objectives to increase profits and market shares. The Airline Industry is benefiting from the innovative and outof-the-box thinking some of the rivals is using to compete. N/A The greater the consistency, the more likely there is increased rivalry. Are strong new entrants acquiring weaker rivals and launching well-funded, aggressive moves? N/A 94 THREAT OF ENTRY What economies of scale exist in each of the following areas: Production Purchasing Inbound and outbound logistics Advertising Financing Customer service Raw materials R&D Other steps in the value chain? Cost and resource disadvantages independent of size Opportunity The high economies of scale will provide an entry barrier to new entries. New entries will unlikely have the volume, purchasing power, variety, recognition, and cash flow, needed to use the economies of scale. The economies of scale pose an opportunity for the existing firms in the airline industry. What are the learning curve and experience effects to enter the industry? Inability to match the technology and specialized know-how of firms already in the industry. How accessible is the industry's technology? This is an opportunity for existing firms who have the knowledge. The learning curve would pose a threat to new entries who lack the knowledge and experience. The lack of know-how by new entries leads to an opportunity for existing firms who have these skills can take advantage of the technology. The inability to match the technology and specialized know-how of firms already in the industry poses a threat to new entries that are unable to match the specialized skills needed to access and operate this technology. Brand preferences and customer loyalty Brand preferences pose an opportunity to the existing airlines. New entries are unlikely to overcome this entry barrier. The high capital is an entry barrier for new entries. New entries are unlikely to have the high capital it needs to pay for good landing positions at high traffic airports. The capital requirements pose an opportunity to the existing airlines The entry barrier is being lowered by new entries with quality and low priced service, which threatens the existing airlines What are the capital requirements to enter? Threat Cost and resource disadvantages independent of size are an opportunity for existing airlines. The entry barrier is high for new entries and they will need to have the cash flow for the costs required to gain good landing positions at high traffic airports. 95 What other resource requirements are necessary to enter? The entry barrier of financing will likely deter new entries into the airline industry. Financing poses an opportunity to the existing airlines. What is the access to distribution channels? Access to distribution channels are an opportunity for new entries. Access to distribution channels is a threat to existing firms because companies in the airline industry all use the same distribution channels. What regulatory policies apply? Regulatory policies pose as an opportunity for new entries into the airline industry to gain market share Regulatory policies pose as a threat to existing airlines to loose their current market share. What tariffs and trade restrictions apply? N/A N/A SUBSTITUTES (pages 87-88) What is the availability of attractively priced substitutes? Is the substitute of better, worse, or equal quality? Opportunity Threat The availability of substitutes that are attractively priced can only be considered a threat to the airline industry. They take business away from the airline industry. Bus transportation runs through most if not more cities then major airlines can serve. Train tickets are attractively priced and although are slower then flights, they do serve many major cities. Transportation by boat is also slow and is not used as widespread as it once was but is considered a threat as some vacationers will use major cruise lines as means to getting to their vacation spots rather then flying. Personal automobiles are not attractively priced to begin with but their overall value can be judged over time. The substitutes to the airline industry all have their own level of quality. Bus transportation quality can be considered of equal or worse quality. Train transportation can be considered of equal quality. Transportation by boat, especially cruise liners should be considered of higher quality. The quality of substitute products should be considered a threat to the airline industry. 96 Is the substitute of better, worse or equal performance? Can buyers easily switch to the substitutes? SUPPLIERS (pages 88-90) Is the item or service a commodity available on the open market from many suppliers who are capable of filling the order? The performance provided by the airline industry cannot be rivaled by any other substitute industry and can be considered an opportunity. The pricing of substitute products makes it easy for consumers to switch but the performance of the airline industry outweighs the price for most travelers. Speed rules in the travel industry and is an opportunity for the airline industry. Opportunity Are there good substitutes for the product or service to which the buyers can easily switch? Although the alternative airports may not provide the largest cities with traffic they are considered an opportunity as some airlines have proven. Is the company a major buyer? Southwest usually turns out to be the major airline at the smaller airport markets where they serve areas relatively near major metropolis’, which would make them a major buyer and can be perceived as an opportunity Threat The amount of aircraft manufactures capable of filling orders is small which creates a threat to the airline industry. The small amount suppliers forces the airline companies to be accurate in their predictions of the direction of the industry and the amount airplanes they are going to need in the coming years, and forces them to place orders years in advance. This requires solid management within the airline industry manufactures. The amount of fuel suppliers is small which is also a threat. This forces the airline industry to be innovative in ways to conserve fuel to lessen their reliance on fuel. Since there are no feasible substitutes (i.e. other airplane manufacturers or gas companies) for the products supplied to the industry, the lack thereof is a threat to the industry. Southwest is considered a major buyer of new 737 airplanes through Boeing. Southwest has cut costs by only using one type of aircraft. Even though Southwest was able to receive their airplanes at favorable prices, using only one aircraft puts Southwest in a threatening position as Boeing can dictate pricing any way they choose. Having a good strong relationship with Boeing is a must for Southwest. Southwest is a major buyer of jet fuel which is supplied by a small amount of companies. The price of fuel is a threat to the industry since prices cannot 97 Does the supplier dominate the industry? (The supplier provides the industry with an item that accounts for a sizable fraction of the costs of an industry's product (or service), is crucial to the industry, or significantly affects product quality.) There is an opportunity for the major airlines to choose whom they are going to give their business to so they can use economies of scale to try to dictate the price. Does an outside supplier provide a cost advantage over vertical integration? What types of working relationships exist? Start by listing the types of working relationships that exist. Then, focus on the strategic importance of relationships with suppliers in this industry. Are these relationships of strategic value for the competitors in the industry? If so, why and how do the relationships impact the competitive structure and environment of the industry? be controlled through economies of scale. Since no one aircraft manufacturer dominates the industry, the competition is increase giving the airline industry an opportunity to obtain better prices for airplanes as long as they don’t mind who the airplane is coming from. Some airline industry rivals like to use only one style of aircraft to cut down on costs of operations (spare parts and training). For those who implement this type of business strategy the size of the supplier and whether or they dominate the industry doesn’t matter. The threat of using only one supplier is real, as all operations depend on that one supplier. There is no sense for any company in this industry to try to vertically integrate backwards to build their own aircrafts or to build their own fuel refineries. The cost of undertaking a task such as building a reliable aircraft would be huge. The suppliers of the aircraft have the tools, the skilled personal, the knowledge and years of experience. All of which are considered essential to building something that lives will depend on to deliver safety and reliability. Making agreements to purchase aircraft’s in bulk will offer airlines a lower price for the purchase of planes. This relationship can be kept strong and can be maintained by purchasing in high volume. This is an opportunity for a company in the airline industry because they can use this relationship with Aircraft suppliers to gain a cost advantage. This will cause intense competition within the airline industry. Relationships with fuel suppliers can be built strong by agreeing to purchase large quantities in advance for future use. By doing this, airline carriers can build close relationships with suppliers and gain bargaining power over other competitors in the industry. This will alter the competitive environment and the competitive structure of the airline industry. This close relationship would be an 98 opportunity for a company competing in the airline industry. Financial relationships that exist in the airline market are built based on how profitable a company’s operations are. Therefore, the better the operations the more financial help a company will get. This poses as an opportunity for a company in the airline industry. This need for financial assistance will cause intense competition in the airline industry. The environment will become more competitive and the relationships with financial suppliers will become stronger. Companies build tight relationship with advertising agencies. These relationships are crucial for a company. The better the campaign or slogan, the better the product or service will market. Ultimately, this is used to gain market share and the more market share, the more profits. This relationship will cause intense competition among competitors in the industry. Each competitor trying to be the best and gain customers will change the environment in which the competition exists. This is an opportunity for advertising suppliers in the industry and companies can use this opportunity to gain a competitive advantage and win the industry with their strong advertising and marketing strategies. What is the relative quality of the supplier and his services or products? The airline companies build strong relationships with the airports they use in order to gain terminal space and receive good landing times, even though they are paying for both. The amount of airports allowing major airline business can be seen as an opportunity that some airlines are willing to take advantage of. Receiving the highest quality goods from suppliers, offers opportunities to the industry as a whole. High quality supplies will produce high quality products and services to passengers. The competitive structure among competitors will be strong and close 99 BUYERS (pages 90-92) What is the cost to the buyer of switching to a competitor or a substitute? seeing that all competitors have access to suppliers that offer superior quality products to enhance their services. Opportunity How many buyers are there in this industry? The enormous size of buyers in the airline industry poses as an opportunity for competitors. With so many buyers, each competitor has a chance to gain a fair market share within this industry. With buyer preferences changing, each airline in the industry has a chance at gaining a potential customer. What is the relative size (based on the amount they purchase) of each buyer? Buyers of airline tickets are so large that this is an opportunity for competitors in the industry. Each competitor will be able to make a profit from sales due to the fact that the revenues were in the billions. No one airline carrier dominates the industry, even when they offer the lowest prices. The reason being that buyers want and needs differ with regards to what type of flight they are looking for. Increased buyer knowledge will cause intense competition among the competitors in the airline industry. Buyers’ knowledge poses as a threat to the entire industry. Their increased buying power will raise the standards for all competitors and cause a strong competitive force for the industry. What is the buyer's knowledge level? Can the buyers threaten the industry with backward integration? Are the industry's products discretionary purchases? Threat The ability for buyers to switch between airline competitors is a threat to the industry. This ability for buyers to freely choose what option is best for them cause’s strong competition among competitors within the airline industry N/A N/A If buyers are not happy with a particular airline, they can choose another airline. The buyers’ choice to buy or not to buy represents a threat to the airline 100 Drivers of change in the industry Internet and new e-commerce opportunities Opportunity Increasing globalization of the industry There are opportunities to expand to other areas of the world; however, it would make competition much stronger. Market share would be lost by the existing organizations in the new areas of expansion. Price competition would be fierce. It would be very costly to expand globally as costs would increase and fares would increase. The best strategy for this industry is to stay within certain limits to keep costs down and focus on more flights at lower pricing. The potential to lose profits would be a risk of expanding globally. Long term industry growth rate Long-term industry growth rates create opportunity for increased market share. The concept of cut-rate fares to grow passenger traffic so significantly that the revenue erosion wood be more than offset by revenue gains has increased ticket sales and volume of traffic. Smaller competitors in this industry may want to consider merging with a larger more industry. The buyers’ preferences determine the fate of the airline industry. Without buyer preference there would be no industry. Threat Internet and e-commerce is an opportunity in the airline industry to increase business at a very low lost by eliminating the travel agent fees. There is no overhead when you set up your business on the internet. This strategy of internet use has changed the travel industry and attracts customers who may have gone directly to a travel agent. The travel agent fees are eliminated when you can go directly to the airline website and book the flight yourself. However, giving the consumer the opportunity to comparison shop very easily through the internet is a threat and can result in sub par profitability or losses, if strategic low cost strategy is not used to counter the low air- fares. 101 successful organization or risk bankruptcy. Larger competitors should look into buying the smaller ones to gain revenue and expansion to new travel routes. Who buys the product and how do they use it Product innovation Industry rivals will need to find ways to cut their costs in order to compete with the low fares and special promotions. This will threaten their profit margin without the low costs strategy that Southwest has been able to pride themselves on. Rivalry will increase with product innovation since market share will be lost. Technological change Technological changes pose a threat to the industry because of the capital investment that is required. New security measures since 911 have been very costly by extending the ground times to check baggage and the greater attention needed for safety. This will lower the profit margins and threaten some competitors who will not be able to sustain these changes. New technology is always a threat because of the cost factors involved in making these changes. The financially weak organizations may not survive or may have to merge with a competitor. Marketing innovation Being an aggressive risk taker is needed to compete. Using clever ads to intrigue and entertain the audience. Southwest uses fierce rivalry to gain market share. Marketing strategy to spark the buyer’s interest will widen the demand. By monitoring the marketing strategies of rivals, you can try to quickly match or exceed them. Being aggressive and taking risks should be part of the strategy to market your product. Seek to be the leader in the industry. Marketing innovation is an opportunity for those who choose to work on it. 102 It would be difficult for a new airline to enter this industry because of the tough competition in the industry and capital that is needed to start. It is already tough for the businesses in this industry to compete with the low costs and low fares of some of their rivals. A new entry would have to be entering by an acquisition of an already existing company in the industry. Entry of major firms is difficult but would be a threat. Entry of major firms Exit of major firms Diffusion of technical know-how If an airline were to exit the industry, there would be competition to grab the market share. Try to move to a stronger position by building your image or reputation as a long standing firm in the business that will be around for a long time. Exit of major firms would be an opportunity to gain market share for the existing industry rivals. Constant improvements to technology should be the strategy of any business in any industry if they wish to continue in the market. Never let your competitors catch up to your levels of know-how. You need to stay one step ahead of the competition to be the leader. Try to retain your employees so that they do not move to another firm and take your ideas and knowhow with them. By treating employees as your number one asset will help to keep know-how within the firm and not lose them to a competitor. Keeping up with technology is a threat to the industry. 103 Cost and efficiency A strategic plan for lowering costs is needed for rivals in this industry or they run the risk of having to drop out of the market. The industry needs to take a look at the more successful firms and try to copy their strategy. Get employees involved in cost and efficiency and provide them with a work environment that they will enjoy. New management may be needed to motivate. Always do whatever you can to retain your employees and not lose them to a competitor. Remember that they are an asset to the organization. Successfully keeping costs down is an opportunity for the industry. Growing buyer preferences for differentiated products instead of a commodity product Rivals are forced to reduce costs to maintain their profitability. Try to be different and offer what the others do not. Look to fill the changing needs of the customer by using research. Growing buyer preferences for differentiated products is a threat to the industry. Regulatory and government policy changes Try to get government funding to subsidize some of these added costs by showing how it is a financial burden to the whole industry. Look for ways to cut other costs to help with these changes. Just to survive after the 911 crises was a challenge for some in the industry. These government policy changes and regulatory changes are a threat to the industry. Build your company image and reputation to counter the concerns of society. Monitor the lifestyle changes to respond quickly to the new trends and conditions. The terrorist threats have created a threat to the industry. Societal concerns, attitudes and lifestyle changes Reductions in uncertainty and risk The industry business environment will change to high rivalry once uncertainty and risk is reduced. 104 Strategic group map Price: The grouping of the major competitors according to price. Opportunity TWA, AW, and AK airlines are not major threats to other airlines as they try satisfying consumer needs in smaller sectors as the high price, narrow market. Customer Service: The grouping if the major competitors according to customer service. AW has an opportunity to improve their skills in customer service, as do all other airlines in the industry. Threat The grouping of the major rivals in the airline industry shows that there is fierce competition between major airlines in the low price/broad market sector. Southwest’s major competition comes from Airline such as American Airlines, Delta, and United. There is also major competition between US airlines and Continental in the slightly higher priced, slightly broad range. Southwest stands alone as delivering the highest marks as the serving a broad customer range and the highest quality in customer service. Southwest is aware that there is much competition nearby to try wrestling away these accolades from Southwest such as Continental, US airways, Delta, and American Airlines. 105 Key success factors Low-cost production efficiency: A combination of bottom-line performance, low labor costs, and low operating costs are key in keeping itself profitable in the vulnerable Airline Industry. Opportunity United United’ profits would benefit from focusing on lowcost production efficiency. American Focusing on a low-cost production efficiency strategy would increase Americans’ profits. Threat Delta Delta has a good start but needs to focus more on increasing its low-cost production efficiency. Northwest Focusing more on decreasing NWs’ operating expenses will increase the low-cost production efficiency. Continental Continental has decreased its labor costs but needs to use more of a low-cost production efficiency strategy to decrease its operating expenses. US Airways Focusing on a low-cost production efficiency strategy will benefits the profit margins of US Airways. Southwest has used a low-cost production strategy to remain profitable for over 25 years. Southwest TWA Reducing its operating expenses and instituting a low-cost production efficiency strategy will increase TWAs’ profit margins. AW is focusing on reducing its production costs; these figures give us a glimpse of this. America West Alaska Focusing on a low-cost production efficiency 106 strategy will benefits the profit margins of Alaska. 107 Customer service: Rivals needed to use this KSF to “drum up” more passengers by keeping the customers experience enjoyable, fun and a differentiating experience. With more passengers on each plane, competitors would breakeven on the load factor, which leads to increased profits. United American The ranking of United indicates that they are not focused on the customer service aspect of the airline industry. United needs to improve their customer service to increase its passengers and its profits. American has not balanced its abilities to keep customers service high. By not making the total flying experience enjoyable, American could see decreased profits from their overall customer service. Delta has not taken its customer complaints and improved what needs to be fixed. To increase the experience of Delta, they need to improve its arrival times and baggage handling to drum up passengers and maximize profits. Delta Northwest Focusing on the whole experience of NW, they should realize that their customer complaints are a big part of this service industry. This could improve the load factor. Focusing on improving their customer complaints and arrival time would increase their customer service. Continental US Airways Focusing on customer service, US Airways could increase passengers experience from just all right, to excellent which in turn will increase their profits. 108 By priding themselves on their customer service, SW believes that it was a key to their competitive advantage. Southwest TWA TWA should focus on improving its overall low rating customer experience. Improving the experience will have customers coming back and filling their planes and increasing profits. America West Improving on its customer complaints will improve the overall experience of AW, which will in turn improve profits. Alaska Alaska has listen to its passengers but not followed through on making the experience a “fun and enjoyable one.” Differentiating the experience of flying Alaska would improve its profits. 109 Advertising: Rivals used aggressive ad campaigns to promote the company’s culture and values to its employees and customers, in turn can lead to increased market share. Uniteds’ ad campaigns were not discussed in the case; however more promotion of their culture and values would increase their market share. United The ad campaigns of American were not discussed in the case; however a more aggressive campaign would benefit the market share of American. American Delta The ad campaigns of Delta were not discussed in the case; however would benefit from improving its advertising strategy. The ad campaigns of NW were not discussed in the case; however a more aggressive campaign would benefit the market share of NW. Northwest Continental The ad campaigns of Continental were not discussed in the case; however they need to improve its advertising spending to gain more market share from the promotion of their culture and values. US Airways US Airways’ ad campaigns were not discussed in the case; however more promotion of their culture and values would increase their market share. Southwest The message in ads were tightly matched to the company’s strategy and were usually worked in a manner calculated to intrigue and entertain the audience and to persuade air travelers that what 110 Southwest offered was of value.” TWA America West Alaska The ad campaigns of AW were not discussed in the case; however would benefit from improving its advertising strategy. The ad campaigns of TWA were not discussed in the case; however a more aggressive campaign would benefit the market share of TWA. Although not discussed in this case, Alaska should be benefiting from advertising spending with increased market share. 111 Managerial know-how: Success of any organization begins at the top. Managerial know-how is essential to build the foundation for a successful airline. United United will find it difficult to improve their standing in the industry as long as their work force continues to perform less than the rest of the industry. American American is taking their approach to workforce talent seriously and will continue to improve steadily. Delta Delta will be a force in the airline industry and will make it difficult for other airlines to compete. Northwest These factors prove that Northwest has taken a serious interest in their workforce to make sure that they continue to provide a high degree of customer satisfaction. Continental Continental will be a force in the airline industry as far as the mainline airlines in the industry is concerned. US Airways Their workforce has performed adequately in order to keep Us Airways competitive among the top ten airlines. Southwest Southwest has carefully assembled workforces that is conscientious about their work and are concerned for the well being of its passengers. TWA TWA needs to make their workforce a priority in order to increase their status in the eyes of the consumers. America West America West needs to beef up their workforce 112 talent in order to give a better impression to their customers that they are a customer friendly airline. Alaska Alaska has been able to employ a workforce that keeps its customers happy even though their performance categories may not be the best in the industry. 113 Image and reputation: When an airline has a good and well-established image and reputation they are more likely to attract customers and in turn, increase their revenue. United United has been able to maintain their position in the top ten of the industry by offering wide ranging services around the globe. American American will be able to attract customers away from rivals as long as they continue to dominate in the industry. Delta Delta will be able to compete on the same plain as the other major airlines and continue to be competitive. Northwest This serves Northwest well in that they are an industry leader in getting people on their airplanes and getting them to their destinations on time. Continental Continental has developed into an industry leader among the top teen airlines in the U.S. and will see continued growth in their business. US Airways US Airways will be hard pressed to continue to compete against strong airlines that have positioned themselves ahead of US Airways. Southwest Southwest has established an excellent reputation that will allow them to continue to build on their past success. TWA TWA will find it difficult to compete with the stronger airlines and will not be able to maintain a large customer base. 114 America West This will keep America West behind others in the industry and make it difficult for them to operate their aircraft at full capacity. Alaska Alaska has maintained a good image for customer satisfaction that will allow them to compete among the larger airlines in the industry. 115 Overall low cost: In the airline industry low cost is what customers will compare first. Air travel is inherently expensive and an airline that can offer lower fares will be able to keep their planes full and increase revenue. United Although their operating expenses are average they need to bring the annual increases down or they will have raise ticket prices will give them higher ticket prices. American American will be able to hold back on increasing ticket prices to offset their operating expense increase. Delta Delta will be able to remain competitive against its rivals into the foreseeable future. Northwest Northwest will be able to remain competitive with the top ten airlines in ticket prices. Continental Continental will have to wow customers with excellent customer satisfaction in order to keep them coming back with increased ticket prices. US Airways US Airways will need to control their expenses in order not to get beaten out in any fare wars. Passengers will choose airlines with lower ticket prices. Southwest TWA Southwest will always be able to maintain full planes at lower prices due to them being able to control expenses. TWA will find it difficult to compete with the rest of the industry unless it is able to control its expenses. 116 America West has operating expenses, which are at $8.57, and is able to operate as a low cost carrier. This will allow them to compete against the low-end operators such as Southwest and Alaska. America West Alaska Industry profitability Industry growth potential Opportunity For existing companies this unattractiveness of the industry is an opportunity, which allows them to grow and expand their market share. Alaska will be able to offer competitive fares against the other airlines and will be able to capture much of the low cost market. Threat This makes the industry unattractive to new entries and poses a threat for them because they do not have the resources to compete with the existing airlines. Does competition permit adequate profit potential? The strong competition in the industry makes it hard for a new entry to be profitable and is a threat to the industry. Does competition lead to stronger or weaker forces? Companies taking advantage of the driving forces will lead to increased competition among rivals and will pose as a threat to rivals in the industry. Will the prevailing driving forces positively or negatively impact profit potential? Internet and new e-commerce opportunities, global expansion, product innovation, technological change, entry and exiting of major firms, marketing innovation, and good cost and efficiency strategies will provide potential profits. What is the company's relative competitive potential in this industry? Southwest has a strong and highly skilled management team that can effectively react to rivals competitive moves. This is an opportunity. What is the company's ability to capitalize on its competitor's weaknesses? By using the point-to-point system of scheduling flights instead of the hub-and-spoke system used by its rivals, Southwest is able to keep its costs low. Can the company defend against or is it insulated from the factors that The management of Southwest has put into effect a number of operating strategies that allow them to 117 make this industry unattractive? keep their operating costs below those of their rivals. How well do the company's capabilities match the industry's KSFs? Southwest’s KSF’s exceed those of the industry. Their management team, employees, low cost operations and customer service put them well ahead of their rivals. What are the future uncertainties and risks for this industry? Possible future terrorist attacks can lead to a decrease in air travel by consumers. People will not want to travel by air if there is a possible threat to their safety. Terrorist attacks will pose as a threat to the industry. What is the severity of the issue(s) or problem(s) facing this industry? Changes in FAA rules and new security measures have an effect on companies being able to remain profitable and are a direct threat to the industry. If a corporation, will continue participation in this industry positively or negatively impact its ability to compete in other industries? N/A N/A 118 V. INTERNAL FACTORS Chapter 4 Worksheet 1. How well is the current strategy working (page 116)? In this section you must address the criteria and the 'how well' question simultaneously. For example, if the company uses a broad differentiation strategy as their present strategy, how well is the differentiation strategy working for the company? For a broad differentiation strategy, I would expect you to cite examples of adding value for the customer and other stakeholders. Then I expect you to determine how well they are implementing the strategy. Criteria What are the present strategies? (Note: This question applies to the corporate, business and functional levels of the organization. Choose one of the five generic strategies discussed in Chapter 5.) Facts Southwest’s strategy is to be a low cost provider. Their present strategy is focused on providing low cost/ low frills airfare to geographical segments of the market which justify their investment. They serve both business and leisure travelers. Its fares are the lowest in industry accounting for 90 percent of the low fare competition with rival US carriers. They carried 65 percent of the passenger traffic on its largest city-pair routes. Despite only covering 40 of the largest 100 city pair routes in the US, they carried the most total passengers. They will not select a city unless there is a potential for at least 8 flights per day. This provides better utilization of the ground support personal resulting in lower costs. They fly only one model jet (Boeing 737’s) to keep maintenance costs down. Using one model gave them the capability to negotiate favorable costs for new planes. They led the industry What does this mean? Southwest has implemented a well crafted strategy to allow them to be the leading low cost provider. They have chosen to participate in segments of the market which fit their strategy. This allows them to maximize their profits with minimum investment. The management skills which led them in this direction and the lowest operating cost in industry which resulted from these skills are both strengths. Market data shows they hold the largest share of the market in the segments of industry they participate in. Their financial statements show they are in excellent financial shape. The market share they hold and their financial performance are both strengths. A key aspect of their success is attributed to the culture which they created and maintain within their organization. Their culture keeps the employees motivated and working in a collective direction. Their superior customer satisfaction record is a result of this culture. Their culture and customer satisfaction record are strengths. 119 introducing ticket less travel through their internet website. This eliminated the commission paid to travel agents and keeps costs down. Their strategy is to fly between cities 150 to 700 miles apart. Their flight patterns are based upon point to point coverage and they steer clear of congested airports to minimize plane ground time. Staying away from congested airports minimize total travel time for their customers and keeps costs down. Their management skill allowed them to develop and implement these programs which resulted in the lowest operating costs in industry. Out of the top 10 airlines in the US, they have the best customer service record. They have never had a plane crash. Assess the company’s relative performance using the three tests for a winning strategy. (Refer to Chapter 2, pages 68 and 69.) - Goodness of fit - Competitive advantage (You must answer question 2 below before analyzing the company’s competitive advantages.) Performance (You must address the objectives question and financial analysis question below before you analyze the company’s performance.) To address GOF, you must analyze the SWOT. If the majority of the intersections Goodness of fit: The strategy of Southwest to increase revenue, market share and profitability, and keeping operating cost lower than rivals in the industry, gives them a tight fit in the industry. It has been tough for rivals to compete with their low costs fairs because of the efficiency in keeping their operating costs down. Southwest has been innovative in their services to the customer. Their gradual expansion into new geographic markets enabled them to saturate the market for daily flights to the cities and airports that it was currently serving. They Southwest has proven that they have a winning strategy relative to the industry with their competitive capabilities. Their winning strategies have made Southwest superior to rivals with their many internal strengths: Low operating cost: They have chosen to participate in segments of the market which fit their strategy. Point-to-point, no frills, low fares allows them to maximize their profits by keeping costs down with minimum investment. Service innovation: Short-hop, low-fare, point-to-point 120 are in the S-O quadrant, the company has a good fit. For the CA test, you must first complete question 2 in Chapter 4. Your responses to the four tests of competitive value determine whether or not the company passes the CA test. For the performance test, you must examine the company’s actual performance. Look at their financial ratios and their relative performance. When you have the facts, it is much easier to conduct your analysis. increased the number of flights into and out of locations where rivals were cutting back. Southwest added additional long, nonstop flights. Technology know-how of Southwest is a good fit in the industry. They have used their website for customers to purchase tickets which reduced the number of personnel needed to staff their reservation center. Software to improve on-time performance was introduced in 2001. Southwest has used fierce advertising and promotions to attract the customer and take the market share from their competitors. They have used unconventional, attention getting ads which caught the attention of the customer. Southwest has built their intellectual capital by being very selective in their hiring process. They go to considerable lengths to hire the best and are so selective that only about 3% of candidates interviewed are offered jobs. Southwest projects an image of a high spirited, and funloving, atmosphere and high levels of customer service. Southwest is financially strong which reflects upon the strong management skills, and their team strategy. Their financial ratios have improved each year since 1991 through 2001. They were able to sustain hard times without suffering loss or insolvency. All employees have been treated as their number one asset, which has created a superior culture relative to service. Southwest has chosen a single class of service to meet the needs of the frequent traveler and to make traveling more affordable to a wider segment of the U.S. population. This strategy has enabled them to increase market share. Technology know how: A point-to-point system to schedule flights. New software that significantly decreased the time required to generate optimal crew schedules and improve ontime performance. Southwest has effectively used their technology know-how to compete in the industry. Advertising & Promotion: Using clever and unique attention getting ads to attract customers. Incentives for reduced flights when purchased through Southwest.com. These strategies have given them a good fit in the industry. Intellectual capital: By being very selective to look for the right personality and attitude and then trained for skills, Southwest has built a strong team. Their fit in the industry is superior in this area. Image: Southwest has built an image of customer satisfaction and was ranked number one among U.S. major airlines for ten consecutive years from 1991-2000. They have a good fit in this category. Financial position: Increased market share and maintaining profitability for over 28 years, while some of their rivals had showed net losses. They 121 others in the industry. They were given the power to make decisions and give their input on necessary changes. The employees are kept happy and in turn keep the customers happy. Southwest meets and in some areas exceeds the requirements for high quality customer service, service innovation, advertising and promotion, culture, intellectual capital, image and financial strength. This strategy has given Southwest a good fit in the airline industry and has enabled them to be competitive with rivals. are very financially strong and have a good fit in the industry. Culture: The people management of treating employees as their number one asset, and coming first and customers second, has kept employees happy. This strategy contributed greatly to their success and gives them a great fit in the industry. This strategy has enabled Southwest to defend themselves from the external threats of the industry as well as to pursue the opportunities available in the industry and gives them a tight fit in the industry. With their proactive approach to keeping low operating costs, as well as being a trend setter and first mover in the industry, has given Southwest the strength to be competitive in the industry. There were many external threats in this industry that Southwest was able to defend themselves from such as: The economy at large Technology Legislature and regulatory Number of rivals Industry profitability Alliances between competitors Diminishing pool of potential employees By using their strengths to defend against these threats and taking advantage of opportunities available, Southwest has shown that their strategy passes the Goodness of Fit test. Competitive Advantage: The Southwest strategies have enabled them to have a competitive advantage. They 122 have built powerful and effective strategies that give them the edge in the industry. Product innovation a strength for Southwest. Their idea for a no frills, low cost, non-stop flight, was a winning strategy. It was hard for rivals to compete with this idea, since they did not have the cost efficiency that Southwest had. Product innovation has made Southwest more powerful in the industry by meeting the growing demands of the customer with differentiated product/service. This gave them a competitive edge against rivals who were unable to compete with their innovative strategy. The Southwest low-cost strategy of keeping operating costs below industry levels has made them superior to rivals and gives them a competitive advantage. Employees played an active part in cost cutting and were given incentives to look for ways to decrease operating expenses. Low operating costs have been very hard to copy. Southwest was the only airlines to show a profit for over 28 years. They had the lowest operating expenses compared to rivals. This shows that it was very hard to beat their cost efficiency, which makes them superior to rivals and strengthens their position in the industry. Superior intellectual capital of Southwest has made them superior and strong relative to rivals. They hire only the people with the best attitude and believe that the skills can be trained. This is a proven strategy for Southwest and has contributed greatly to their success in the industry. Management of Southwest shows their superior intellectual capital by using clever and unique ways to promote and advertise Southwest. They have also focused on customer satisfaction. The successful strategies of Southwest are all accredited to their superior intellectual capital, which makes them a very strong competitor in this industry. The financial position of Southwest makes them superior in the industry. Their financial ratios have been stronger than rivals for many years. Strong financial management has made Southwest a leader in the industry. The financial position of Southwest has been superior to rivals and has enabled them to grow and show a profit for the past 28 years. This strength has been difficult for rivals to compete with. Better product/service is a strength for Southwest. They have focused on superior customer service. This was done by building a strong Rivals have not been able to match the product/service levels of Southwest, because they have not created the corporate culture that is needed to keep the employees happy and to 123 corporate culture with the principle that the employees come first. This strategy is superior to rivals since many put the customer as first and employees second. convey that attitude to the customer. This strategy is a strength for Southwest. Culture at Southwest is superior to rivals. They have hired employees with good attitudes and trained them to learn the skills later. They provide a nurturing and supportive work environment to give the employee the freedom to make a positive difference. Culture at Southwest is a competitive advantage. The culture is what makes Southwest so successful in many ways, such as superior customer service, and cost efficiency, which in turn gives the customer a low fare flight. The image of Southwest to be a safe, low cost, service provider with superior customer service, has made them competitively strong. Reputation for being safe, and customer friendly, has made their brand name, Southwest a strength and has made them superior to rivals. Image is hard to compete with. Once you have built a reputation for safe, good quality, low cost flights, it is hard for a competitor to take that away. Because of this image, their brand name is strong and well respected in the industry. Cost advantages of Southwest have been very hard to beat. They are superior in their strategy for low costs. Their strategy to keep the costs down in good times and in bad has proven to be successful. The market position of Southwest has created strong rivalry from competitors who are not satisfied with their own market position. The competitive strategy of Southwest has strengthened their market position and makes them superior to rivals. Their strategy to concentrate on specific segments of the market and to be a low cost provider has made them strong. This strategy has put Southwest in a strong position in the industry. The cost advantages of Southwest make them more powerful and effective relative to rivals. They have a sustainable competitive advantage in this area. Their market position as a low-cost provider has made Southwest an industry leader and has given them a competitive advantage in the industry. They have achieved their cost advantage by making it difficult for rivals to copy or match. By providing superior customer service, they have gained the loyalty of their customers. This strategy makes them strong and gives them a competitive advantage over rivals The strong performance ratios of Southwest show they are competitively strong and will be able to sustain a long-term market position. Management’s strategy to keep operating costs down has proven to be 124 Southwest has developed an attractive customer base by providing excellent customer service. Their customers are loyal and that is what makes them strong in the industry. their claim to fame. No rival has been able to compete with this strategy. Management has reached their strategic objectives by using clever advertising and promotion to attract market share. Their people management and culture strategy has been a strength for Southwest by having loyal employees who give Performance: Southwest has shown gains in superior customer service. Their profitability as well as gains in overall management style, of competitive strength and long- observation, listening to employees, term market position. and being responsive to employee Southwest has been able to concerns, have made them strong in show a profit for the last 28 the industry by giving employees the years. Their 1991 operating opportunity to express their ideas and profit margin was .05 and help to grow the company. These increased to .18 in 2000. strategies contributed to Southwest’s Long-term solvency ratios very low labor costs and fostered high show that they will be able to labor productivity. sustain without having to Southwest’s performance relative to liquidate during tough times. their rivals has been superior. This In 1991 the ratio was .49 and shows excellent management of a well decreased to .18 in 2000. Their crafted and well executed strategic debt to equity ratio shows their performance. strength to meet long term Southwest has passed the performance obligations without suffering test with flying colors. losses or insolvency. This ratio was 1.92 in 1991 and went down to .93 in 2000. In 2001 Southwest reported net profits of $121 million, while Delta, United, American, and US Air, reported losses. Southwest’s operating costs as a percentage of its revenues were consistently the lowest in the industry. Employees took pride in doing their part to achieve good ontime performance and giving superior customer service. The management culture contributed to their excellent performance by enabling employees to be a part of the team. This strategy to create a superior culture was a contributing factor to company growth and excellent 125 performance. What is the company’s competitive scope stages of the industry's production-distribution chain it operates, geographic market coverage, and Size and composition of the customer base? Please add other facets of competitive scope as necessary. You are supposed to examine the company’s competitive scope from the perspective of how the competitive scope is a competitive capability within the overall framework of how well is the current strategy working. From your analysis, identify the particular strengths or weaknesses associated with the competitive scope strategy. Stages of the industry’s production-distribution chain it operates Southwest uses travel agents to distribute the product (or rather the vouchers for purchase of service) as other airlines do. However, Southwest does not solely rely on the travel agents and agencies. They rely mostly on electronic ticketing and printing. Geographic market coverage Southwest flies to 56 airports located within thirty contiguous U.S. states. These airports are located in the following states: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Florida, Idaho, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, Missouri, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Michigan, New York, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, and Washington. Stages of the industry’s productiondistribution chain it operates Because Southwest does not heavily rely on travel agents to distribute their product, the savings of cutting out a middleman can be used to keep ticket prices low. Also, since Southwest encourages customers to use electronic ticketing, less workforce is required to distribute the product/services. This cuts Southwest’s operating costs and helps to keep ticket costs low for travelers. Of those states, Texas, California, and Florida have five to eleven airports each that are served by Southwest. At this time, Southwest does not travel to any non-contiguous state in the U.S. There are also 18 contiguous states that Southwest does not service. Although this limits their geographic market somewhat, it allows Southwest to maintain focus on growing in the areas that are served. Southwest’s steady and successful progression to the point of flying in and out of 30 states suggests that it is only a matter of time before Southwest begins expanding further into those currently non-serviced areas. There is also one airport outside of the United States, located in Ontario, Canada. Southwest does not fly to any non-contiguous U.S. states. Southwest does, however, fly out of many smaller airports that are located in less congested areas. Flights were also offered in areas where Geographic market coverage Southwest’s nationwide flight coverage allows them the opportunity to try to capture various markets. Many of their biggest competitors offer nationwide service; however those rivals cannot match the “directness” and convenience of Southwest’s point-to-point system. Because Southwest services multiple airports in heavy traffic areas like Florida, California, and Texas, they are able to capitalize on business and leisure travelers by giving them an alternative to short-haul, instate ground travel. Large rivals may feel forced to cut back on service to areas that are not 126 rivals were cutting back service. heavily frequented. This is because higher ticket prices cause them to struggle to make serving those areas worth it. However, this is where Southwest, with their low fares and excellent cost efficiency, can use rivals’ service cutbacks to their advantage. Southwest’s broad geographic coverage of the United States is a strength. Size and composition of the customer base In 2000, Southwest had approximately 64 million passengers. Each year between 1991 and 2000, Southwest’s number of passengers increased. These passengers are made up of both [timesensitive business travelers who want weekday flights at times suitable for conducting business] and [price-sensitive leisure travelers who want low fares and have more flexibility about when to fly.] Size and composition of the customer base Because Southwest’s customer base is composed of both leisure travelers and business travelers, they are able to service the travel needs of both markets while building lasting business relationships with both markets, as well. These two markets overlap which gives Southwest the opportunity to gain life-long customers. Also, because Southwest’s fares are so low and their flights are convenient for business travelers, companies are more likely to have their employees’ book business trips with Southwest. Leisure travelers allow Southwest to utilize their employees, planes, and facilities at off-peak times. Southwest’s commitment to customer satisfaction and fun-loving approach to service creates masses of loyal, return customers. The size and composition of Southwest’s customer base is a strength. 127 What are the functional strategies Production, Marketing. Finance, Human resources, R&D, Etc.? Start by listing the functional areas; then provide the facts associated with each of the areas. Finally, conduct your analysis and determine how well the functional areas are working and the associated strengths and weaknesses. Production One of Southwest’s most important strategies is keeping their costs low and moving customers in above-average times. In an effort to move customers along quickly, Southwest tries to steer clear of congested airports. Southwest also encourages passengers to make reservations and ticket purchases through their website, which translates into ticket less travel. Southwest also chooses to use a system of point-to-point routes as opposed to the huband-spoke routes of most other airlines. Assigned seating is not used. Instead, passengers are seated in groups according to color allowing passengers to sit in whatever seat is open. From 1992 to 2001, Southwest had also received 5 consecutive Triple Crown awards, which recognizes the airline with the best on-time record, best baggage handling, and fewest customer service complaints. Production By serving airports relatively near major metropolitan areas and in medium-sized cities, Southwest is able to produce better-than-average ontime performance, as well as reducing fuel costs of idle planes waiting for clearance to land. Serving smaller airports also lowered the landing fees and terminal gate costs. Also, customers spent less time driving to the airport, parking, ticketing, and boarding. This strategy has proved to be working very well as it has kept their costs down and their customers happy. This strategy has strengthened their position competitively. When reservations and purchases are made on Southwest’s website, it involves fewer costs and less human resources. This also makes purchasing very easy and convenient for customers, which cuts down on the time they need to complete transactions. Also, ticket less travel reduces costs for Southwest dramatically, which adds to their strength of low cost strategy. Southwest’s point-to-point system is more cost efficient. It also minimizes the time that planes are parked at the gate because there is no waiting for passengers from different incoming flights to land, unload, and connect. Their evenly spaced flight schedule also minimizes the number of gates that they need for operations. “Southwest’s point-to-point route system results in higher utilization of aircraft and terminal facilities, reducing both the number of aircraft and terminal gates needed to support flight operations”, as well as minimized the amount of time needed in the production of getting passengers on board, wait length, flight length, and getting passengers off of the planes. This increases customer 128 satisfaction as well as lowers costs for Southwest, and strengthens their competitive position. The “cattle call” system of seating reduces the amount of time required to check passengers in which is normally associated with traditional assigned seating. This further simplifies the process of making reservations for the customer and adds to the strength of high customer service quality levels. Southwest’s production processes and systems are strengths. Marketing Southwest is a low-cost provider. They pride themselves on cost efficiencies, which enable them to offer good service at lower prices to the customer than their competitors. Their marketing was to convey the message that what they had to offer was of value. Southwest markets themselves as the only major short-hop, low-fare, point-to-point carrier in the U.S. airline industry. Their marketing style is known for being unconventional, unique, unpredictable, and attentiongetting in order to create and reinforce the company’s maverick and fun loving, combative image. They continually looked for ways their distinctive persona can come alive and strike a spark in the minds of the consumer. Marketing Southwest’s marketing strategy adds strength to their competitive strategy to gain market share. Their ads do not focus on spreading the routine details of their company and its offerings as other rivals may tend to do. Instead, Southwest chooses to make their ads comical and fun-loving in a deliberate effort to impress their corporate culture and company sense of humor to their market. Their light-hearted, unconventional marketing strategy really creates an intimate and “familyoriented” connection between the airline, its employees, and the customers. Finance In the year 2000, Southwest reported its 28th consecutive year of profitability as well as its ninth consecutive year of increased profits. In many Finance The Southwest financial strategy is hard for rivals to compete with. Southwest works to increase market share and keep costs down in order to sustain profitability. 129 years, Southwest was reporting profits while many other airlines (and at times, all other airlines) were reporting losses. Southwest does an incredible job of keeping costs low enough to profit from low fares. Their continual effort to cut costs and increase cost efficiencies has, in no way, lessened the quality of service that they provide to passengers. Southwest is constantly growing, gaining more market, and increasing revenues. Even though the economy had begun to fall, Southwest’s growth rate was the same in 2000 as it was in 1996 (19%). Southwest is able to maintain and increase their profit margins by keeping their costs low, being highly efficient, and creatively cutting other costs any way they can. And even though many of their competitors are very large in size, Southwest is able to “hold their own” among those competitors while still keeping the ticket prices to the customer exceptionally low. Low operating costs have been Southwest’s claim to fame. Southwest has steadily risen in profit margins from 1991 with a ratio of .05 through 2000 with a ratio of .18. By keeping their long-term solvency ratio’s low, they have been able to withstand adverse business conditions. Southwest’s financial strategy is a proven strength. Southwest’s operating profit margin ratios show management’s superior ability to monitor and control expenses on resources committed to the business. Southwest uses their intellectual capital to be competitive and remain strong financially. The efficiency of Southwest is superior to competitors. This ratio is steadily rising and keeps Southwest ahead of the competition in this area. Southwest is continually monitoring its costs even when times are good so that they can sustain when times are bad. Southwest continually increase their operating revenues. This shows that their cost efficiency strategy is working. Southwest is continually strengthening their financial position in the industry. This strategy has helped them through sour business conditions and the adverse effects of September 11th, 2001. Southwest’s financial strategy is a strength. Southwest’s return on sales ratio is above the industry average of 2.9%. Southwest’s operating 130 revenue’s have continually increased from 1991 at $1,379,286 to 5,467,965 in 2000. In 2000 their operating revenue increased from 1999 by 17% and their operating expenses increased by 15%, which shows that operating revenue increased by 2% more than their costs. After the terrorist attacks in 2001, Southwest was forced to tap $1.5 billion dollars of a $475 million line of credit. Because of the weak air travel conditions, aggressive fare discounting spawned causing Southwest to expect lower average fares for the foreseeable future. Human Resources Southwest’s operative principle is “employees come first and customers come second.” Southwest’s exceptionally enthusiastic and caring employees are a direct product of the company’s culture. Southwest employees are “hired for attitude and trained for skill.” The company’s thought is that it can train people to do the tasks and hold the skills that are required, but a person’s attitude is not something that can be changed, and therefore making attitude a new hire’s first criteria is most important. Southwest keeps their customers happy by keeping their employees happy. The employees at the company are considered to be their greatest asset. The hiring process involves on Human Resources The strategy of treating their employees as number one is working. You can see the effects of this strategy in their superior customer service that they provide to their customers. Southwest empowers their employees to feel free to make decisions and encourages and listens to their ideas and suggestions. Southwest makes sure that their employees know that they are genuinely concerned for their well-being and committed to providing them with job security. A nurturing and supportive work environment is provided to give the employees the freedom to be creative, have fun, and make a positive difference. Competitive compensations packages are offered to employees. Management coaches and encourages rather than supervises and enforces. Southwest promotes from within for 80 to 90% of supervisory positions. Pay scales are kept at levels close to the industry average, and benefits are good relative to the industry. 131 an interviewing approach called “Target Selection”, which aimed at matching people’s traits to the traits (or target dimensions) for performing a specific job successfully. Southwest, being named numerous times as one of Fortune’s highest ranking companies on their “best to work for” list gets volumes of resumes. Yet they can only take a small percentage of those applicants. For example, in 2000, Southwest reviewed 216,000 resumes and only hired 5,134 new employees. Southwest puts great care into choosing, breeding, and molding its human resources. Their hiring process allows personnel to field candidates with a good fit in the right direction and allows them to, at the same time; weed out those hires that may not fit quite as well. This strategy provides Southwest employees to enjoy substantial authority and decision-making power. Happy customers prove that this strategy is working. Also employees are confident in and trusting of their employing company with the understanding that employees needn’t worry about being laid off. This strategy increases the productivity, attitude, and efficiency of all employees. Southwest’s human resource is, without a doubt, a strength to the company. Also, in 1989, the company had changed the personnel department’s name to the “People Department”. New hires are trained at Southwest University for People. Managers trained in this program take leadership courses that emphasize a management style based on coaching and encouraging rather than supervising or enforcing rules and regulations. Southwest’s employees genuinely believe that customers are important and deserve to be treated kindly, politely, and with much respect. The company also has the 132 lowest employee turnover rate in the industry, which may be partly due to the fact that 80 to 90% of supervisory positions are filled internally. Southwest’s pay is close to that of the industry average; however their benefits packages are above those of rivals. They provide 12 different stock options and a 401(K) including a profitsharing plan. By 2000, employees owned 12% of Southwest’s outstanding shares. Approximately 200 employees were millionaires by the end of that same year. Nearly 85% of employees belong to a union. All of the contracts allow any qualified employee to perform any function. Southwest also has maintained a no-layoff policy through the years. Company executives are very approachable and exercise this quality with their “open-door policy.” There are only four levels between frontline supervisors and the CEO. Has the company achieved its financial objectives? Determine if they achieved their short and long-term objectives and provide the R&D No information in this case really pertains to research and development. Financial Objectives Just before that point, Southwest had a very successful run. However, when the attacks on the World R&D No information in this case really pertains to research and development. Financial Objectives The information given in the case follows Southwest until nearly the end of October 2001. 133 supporting analysis why they did or did not achieve the objective. Then you are in a position to determine the associated strengths or weaknesses. Trade Center happened in September 2001, the airline industry was sent into a “tailspin”. Despite the tragedy, Southwest was able to survive, recover, maintain, and grow more easily than any of its large rivals. Southwest had purchased 132 Boeing jets prior to the attacks to aid in expansion and growth. Even though the industry had been hit hard financially, Southwest only had to defer 26 of those 132 jets. In the third quarter of 2001, which ended September 30, Southwest reported a net earnings of $151 million, pretax gain of $169 million from a federal grant, and a pretax charge of $58 million that included deferral fees paid to Boeing. Excluding these special gains and charges, their net income for that quarter was $82.8 million. They incurred operating losses of $95 million in September following the terrorist attacks due to a decrease in traffic and sales. Increase revenue passenger miles by 6% by year 2001. Southwest’s short term and long term financial objectives to increase market share and profitability each year has been met. Their objective to obtain financial strength in order to sustain adverse market conditions has been met and this was proven in 2001 as they were the only airline to have no lay-offs. Their cash on hand in the aftermath of September 11th was $1.5 billion and was only beat by Delta at $1.51 billion. Their debt to capital ratio was the lowest of the major U.S. airlines at that time also. These statistics prove their financial strength in the industry. Many of their objective deadlines are still in the future. Although they have not been met as of yet, and Southwest needs only time to complete them. Also, the unfortunate happenings of September 11th caused most forward progress to cease. Of course, financial objectives in this industry after this horrible event would be difficult to obtain. Southwest’s strong recovery proves that they did not fail to meet their financial objectives for lack of ability, but because of a great obstacle. Given more time, Southwest would more than likely prove to meet their objectives successfully. Southwest has been strong, thus far. Operating revenue growth to increase by 20% each year for the next two years. Options to purchase rights of 396 aircraft for 2004 through 2012 to allow for expansion and growth. Spike corporate travel by 70%. Decrease hedging from 80% to 76% of anticipated fuel expense to plan for falling fuel 134 prices in 2002. To increase daily nonstop departures by 15 by year 2004. To increase diluted earnings per share to .15 cents by 2001. To increase diluted earnings per share to $1.00 by 2004. To increase diluted earnings per share to $3.00 by 2008. Decrease unit costs by 2% each year for next two years to account for higher insurance premiums, security fees, and other cost challenges to increase profit margins. To increase profit margin by 3% each year from 2001 2004. To increase profit margin by 5% each year from 2004 – 2010. To obtain revolving credit line of $575 million by year end 2002. To defer delivery of seven aircraft to November 2001. To defer delivery of 12 aircraft to April 2002. Lower costs of agency commissions over next year. To increase ROI by 5 % in the next 3 years. To increase ROI by 12% from 2004 – 2010. Increase ROE by 2% each year through 2004. 135 Increase ROE by 3% each year from 2005 – 2010. To have $2 million in cash on hand by 2002. To increase cash flow by 5% each year from 2001 – 2002. To increase cash flow by 7% each year from 2003 – 2010. To lower debt to capital ratio by 5% by 2002. To lower debt to capital ratio by 2% year through 2010. To cut costs by 2% by year 2001. To cut costs by 1.5% each year through 2010. To show net profit each year and increase each year by 2% through 2004. To increase net profit each year by 3% through 2010. Has the company achieved its strategic objectives? Determine if they achieved their short and long-term objectives and provide the supporting analysis why they did or did not achieve the objective. Then you are in a position to determine the associated strengths or weaknesses. Strategic Objectives The company began flying its full schedule of 2,772 flights within a week of the attacks. New service began in Norfolk, Virginia on October 7, 2001. In the four weeks after the attacks, Southwest’s load factors increased from 38.5 percent to 67.0 percent. This is still nearly 8% less than the load factor prior to September 11th. However, considering the circumstances and comparing this progress to the rest of the industry, the recovery over those four weeks is remarkable. Strategic Objectives Southwest had many strategic objectives to meet over the short and long term. They have not met all of their strategic objectives yet. Regardless, they have been able to push forward through difficult times and were able to maintain their ability to function. Most of the time frames of their objectives have not yet met maturity. Southwest has done a good job proving their ability to sustain even in hard times 136 Southwest continued its “no layoff” policy throughout the entire period following the incident, although it put a freeze on any new hiring until January 2002. In order to limit its financial damage, Southwest did its best to defer any nonessential capital spending and nonessential operating costs? They also revised the delivery schedule of 132 Boeing jets. In this, they negotiated that 7 of the jets would be delivered at a later date in November, and 19 other jets would be delivered in the years 2003 and 2004 (as opposed to their scheduled delivery of 2002 To increase market share by 5% within the next 2 years. Increase Southwest’s 65% share of passengers traffic in its biggest 100 cities by 10% over the next 5-10 years. Southwest will decrease its downtime for repair of planes by 2% in 3 years. Over the next 10 years, improve their quicker design to market time by 5%, Continue to increase state of the art equipment by 5% over the next 5 years. Increase state of the art equipment and technology by 10% over the next 10 years Increase purchase of planes by 3% over the next 2 years. Increase aircraft utilization by 3% over the next 2 years. 137 Decrease their operating costs by 5% over the next 10 years. Add one or two new cities to each route system in any one year. Continue to invent new attractive product lines by 5% by 5 years. Over the next 10 years, Increase attractive product line by 7%. To keep improving their Internet capabilities and ecommerce by 5% over 5 years. Increase capabilities that are better than rivals by 3% in 2 years. To increase website sales to 90% within the next 10 years. Work on improving their ontime performance by 5% within one year. To decrease their flight times by 3% over the next 5-10 years. Continue to be the most admired airline in America for the next three consecutive years. To still be the most admired airline in America in the year 2010. Work on becoming the top ranking airline for having the lowest involuntary denied boarding within the next 2 years. Over the next 5-10 years, 138 decrease the number of complaints per 100,000 passengers by 2%. Increase their technological know-how by 5% within the next 3 years. Introduce new systems to decrease time required to create optimal crew schedules by 5% within the next 5-10 years. Introduce new innovative products or services by 5% over the next 3 years. Increase their products or services by 10% over the next 5-10 years. Increase the number of cities introduced to their route each year to 4 cities with in the next 3 years. Increase the number of jets in their fleet by 5% over the next 7-10 years. Continue to rank #1 for the next 5 years in customer satisfaction. Decrease customer complaints by 2% over the next 5-10 years. 139 What is the company's position relative to EACH of its competitors? Market share Profit margin Net profits ROI EVA (page 9) MVA (page 10) Financial strength Sales growth Image Reputation Industry position Please add other facets of relative position as necessary. Market shareSouthwest rank first in market share in 80-90 percent of its top 100 citypair routes. Profit margin The Market share they hold is a strength. Southwest has the highest profit margin in the industry. They have been the only airline which has been profitable in the years following 9-11. Net profit, ROI, EVA, MVA- competitive data was not available from the text. Financial strengthSouthwest has the lowest debt to total capital ratio among the top 9 airlines. While they were tied for the most cash on hand with their rival Delta, Delta had carried twice as many passengers in 2000. Their financial record is a strength. It will be easier for them to obtain capital when needed and provide additional stability during hard times. Sales growthSouthwest’s sales growth from 1999 to 2000 was 19.3%. This was the highest in industry with the second place follower 12.75%. Their sales growth record is a strength. Growth of an organization boosts moral and provides additional opportunity for cost savings through economy of scale. Image-Southwest has built an excellent image based upon their low cost structure, customer satisfaction level, and frequent flyer program and safety record. They ranked the highest in customer satisfaction and have received several industry awards to recognize this achievement. The image they developed is a strength in the segment of the market they participate in. This makes it easier to draw in new customers. Reputation- The name NA Their reputation is a strength 140 Southwest is widely known through out industry for its low cost airfares and customer service. If the strategy is not working, is it due to: Weak strategy and/or Poor implementation Industry positionThey are number one in the segment of the industry they serve in terms of market share, sales growth, low cost fares, financial performance and customer satisfaction. Based upon their present financial position and the methods implemented to maintain this position, their strategy is working. because it draws in new customers and makes it difficult for rivals to steal existing... Their industry position is a strength. Being number one shows you are successful. NA 141 2. What are the company's resource strengths and weaknesses? The purpose of this tool is to assess the competitive values of the company's resources. The four tests of competitive value (pages 123-124) are: Is the resource hard to copy? How long does the resource last? Is the resource really competitively superior? Can the resource be trumped by a rival's resources/capabilities? If you can answer the first three questions in the affirmative and the last question with a no, then decide if the resource is the basis for a competitive advantage. As a minimum, for each of the resource types listed below, assess the competitive value of each resource. To address the resource strengths and weaknesses question, you must answer all four questions for each of the criteria. For example, answer all four questions for proprietary technology. Then answer all four questions for advertising and promotion. Continue with the same approach for each of the criteria. You must also provide solid logic and analysis in your responses. Why are you answering yes or no to each of the four questions? After completing your analysis, you can determine if the company under analysis has CAs or strengths. Please identify all of competitive advantages. All of the CAs are strengths. A company may have a resource strength that is not a CA. Identify all of the company’s strengths and weaknesses. Criteria Facts What does this mean? Skills and expertise Proprietary technology Southwest flight dispatch system Proprietary technology they use proprietary in not hard to copy. The resource software for their dispatch does not last long because advertising and promotion systems to minimize technology is constantly being product innovation weather and operational improved. It is not competitively ability to improve delays. superior due to ease of copy. production processes Although it is state of the art and technological know-how would be hard to trump, it is possible. It is a strength because it helps minimize delays and weather related issue. It is not a competitive advantage. Advertising and promotion- They rely on unconventional advertising and promotion strategies to get the customers attention. Example being slogans, and their Triple Crown Awards- all intended to convey the message Southwest was offering value. Southwest uses unique attention getting methods but their advertising and promotion is not hard to copy. This resource has no specific life. It is competitively superior because their ads are unique in their ability to get the publics attention. It can be trumped by rivals resources and capabilities. It is a strength but not a competitive advantage. Product/service innovation- Their decision to concentrate on specific Southwest’s service innovations are hard to copy. They services have lasted a significant period of 142 geographical areas and low cost have provided them a competitive edge in terms of market share and profitability. They pioneered drastic changes in the industry by implementing ticket-less travel via the internet and did away with seat assignments to reduce boarding time and costs. They adopted a system to predict problems flights could encounter based upon weather forecasts. This allowed them to optimize their flight patterns and schedules. time. They are leaders in industry due to their innovations in this area. Due to their unique and constant changing style it is tough for rivals to compete with this strength. Ability to improve production processesThey have lead the industry by introducing new methods to reduce their costs while making it simpler for their customers. Their decision to eliminate individual seating assignment in favor of group boarding is an example along with the weather prediction system which helps reduce flight delays. Their ability to improve production processes is based upon their management skills and culture which are both hard to copy. The fact they are continuously changing their process causes it to last a significant amount of time. It is competitively superior because they have lead the industry in process changes. It is hard for rivals to trump their low cost strategy. This is a strength and competitive advantage. Technological know howThey have implemented state of the art flight support package which schedules ground and air personal required to support a flight. They have implemented software which predicts how the weather patterns will influence flight schedules. This allows them to make adjustments to their flying patterns and schedules to reduce delays The software which generates flight support crews and improves on time performance is hard to copy. Their ability to implement new technology provides constant growth. It is competitively superior because they take advantage of the latest technology. It can be trumped because most of the technology is readily available on the market providing the rivals have the funds needed to buy the technology. It is a strength but not a competitive advantage 143 and improve customer satisfaction. Physical assets plant capacity plant and equipment age and technological capabilities plant and retail location access to distribution channels wide geographic coverage global distribution capability Plant/equipment capacitySouthwest does not add equipment/flights until the existing flights are sufficiently utilized. There was no mention of capacity utilization in the case. The capacity of the equipment can be copied. Capacity is based upon demand. The greater the demand, the shorter the life span. It is not competitively superior. Their utilization is similar to their competitors. It can be trumped by their rivals. It is neither a strength nor competitive advantage. Equipment age and technological capabilityTo reduce operating costs they have standardized on Boeing 737’s which are available to their rivals as well. Their improved profitability allows them to utilize the latest aircraft available which improves down time, reduces maintenance costs and appeals to their customers. Their equipment can be copied providing a rival has the capital to pay for it. It has a finite life span. It is competitively superior because the age of their airplanes is less than their rivals. It can be trumped by their rivals providing they have the required capital. It is a strength but not a competitive advantage. Retail locations- They use public airports which are available to their competitors as well. They select the airports based upon their ability to generate a profit. Their track record selecting and predicting the profitability of their flights has been very good. The airport they use can be occupied by other rivals. The life span is infinite. They are competitively superior based upon their ability to predict locations which provide superior profitability. It can be trumped by their rivals. It is a strength but not a competitive advantage. Access to distribution channels- they sell tickets at the airports as well as through the internet and travel agents. Rivals use the same distribution channels. It has an infinite life span. It can be trumped by their rivals. Their use of the internet is a strength but their distribution channels do not provide a competitive advantage. Wide geographic coverage- they have The wide geographic coverage in the U.S. is a strength for Southwest and 144 chosen to concentrate their coverage areas based upon the locations which produce the desired profit. They do not fly outside the United States. With the new global economy, considerable growth can be expected overseas. enables them to compete with rivals. It has an infinite life span. It is not competitively superior. It can be trumped by their rivals. Global distribution capability NA Human assets Superior intellectual capital Superior intellectual capital- Overcoming the roadblocks to build a profitable corporation from scratch is a testimony to their superior management capability. Southwest has put considerable effort in molding employees to fit their corporate culture. It takes time to develop an affective company wide culture. Their management skills and corporate culture are hard to copy. Their training program gives this an infinite life span. It is competitively superior as demonstrated by their profitability record. It is hard to trump because their corporate culture is a unique product of the people they employ. It is a strength and competitive asset. Organizational asset financial position patents better product quality culture product line breadth and depth Financial position- Their operating costs are the lowest in industry. Their revenue growth is the highest in industry. This is a result of their management skills and their unique corporate culture. Their financial position is hard to copy. Providing they maintain their level of management skills, their financial position will have an infinite life. It is competitively superior. Competitors have not been able to trump it. It is a strength. NA Patents Better product/service quality- their corporate culture allows them to provide superior customer service, on time flights and baggage handling. They have one of the worst records in industry for involuntary denied boarding’s. Based upon Since their superior products and services are a product of their corporate culture and management skills, it is difficult for others to copy and will have an infinite life span. Their quality is competitively superior based upon records kept by the industry. The lead they have makes it very difficult for their rivals to trump. It is a strength. 145 the fact they have the lowest number of complaints logged against them in industry, customers do not view their boarding record as a serious issue. Intangible asset image brand name reputation for customer service Culture- Southwest puts considerable effort into molding employees to fit their corporate culture. It takes time to develop an effective company wide culture. They are known for the fact they consider their employees to be more important than their customers and treat the employees with tremendous respect. Their culture is hard to copy because it is a unique product of their organization. Providing they continue developing it, their culture will have an infinite life span. It is competitively superior because it is responsible for many of the advantages Southwest has over the industry. It cannot be trumped. It is a strength and competitive asset. Product/service breadth and depth- their success is built upon the fact they service a limited geographical area and offer one level of service. This allows them to reduce their investment and maximize their operating profit. There is nothing unique about the breadth and depth of their service, which makes it easy to copy. It does not have a defined life span. It is competitively superior because it has been a key factor in their profitability. Their service can be trumped and is a weakness. Image- Their image is a product of their corporate culture, management skills and public relations (advertising). They are a well respected, low cost service provider. They have one of the best customer satisfaction records in industry. They are known for the manner which they treat and respect their employees. Example being they have never laid an employee off. Their image is hard to copy. They continuously strive to be the best in the industry, which gives their image an infinite life span. Their image, which is influenced by their performance record, is superior compared to their competitors. The Southwest image is a strength. 146 Competitive capabilities cost advantages sophisticated use of ecommerce Brand name- The Southwest name is well known in industry for their low cost fares, good customer service and safety record. A brand name is a result of the image the company develops to support it which makes it hard to copy. The life span will continue as long as they maintain their competitive edge. It can not be trumped by their rivals as long as they continue making improvements which provide the competitive edge. It is a strength and competitive advantage. Reputation for customer service- Based upon surveys taken by airline industry, Southwest has the best customer satisfaction record in industry with the exception of denied boarding’s. The fact Southwest has the lowest number of reported complaints in industry indicated while denied boarding’s may be an inconvenience to customers, the actions Southwest takes satisfy their customers when it occurs. Their reputation for customer service is hard to copy because it is driven by corporate culture. Providing they can maintain the corporate culture it will have an infinite life span. Their past records have proven it to be competitively superior and it is a strength. Cost advantage- They have the lowest operating cost per seat mile in industry. They have developed methods to unload, prepare and reload aircrafts in record time. They have eliminated nonvalue added services such as paper tickets. They use technology to maximize their efficiency. The systems they put in place which result in low cost makes it difficult for others to achieve the costs Southwest does without significant changes to their organization. Their management strategies give their cost advantage an infinite life span. Their expense per revenue mile makes this competitively superior to their rivals. Their, competitors have not been able to trump this. It is a strength and competitive advantage Sophisticated use of e- It is not hard to copy. The life 147 commerce- They pioneered the use of the internet for ticket sales. This eliminated commission to travel agents which improved their profits. Market position recognized industry leader attractive customer base Alliances or cooperative ventures span is infinite. It is not competitively superior and can be trumped. It is a strength due to the amount of sales it generated but it is not a competitive advantage. Recognized industry leader- They have ranked first in market share in 8090 percent of their citypair routes they serve. Southwest’s strategy has been to concentrate on a specific segment of the market. They are a recognized leader in the short hop, point to point, low cost, no frills air fare market which serves limited geographical area. They are not a leader in the overall market. Their market position is hard to copy due to the ability of their managers to select profitable routes. The life span is indefinite providing they can maintain their position. Their continuous profitability makes them competitively superior and their market position as an industry leader is a strength. Attractive customer basetheir customer base consists of the general public as well as business travelers. Their customer base is available to competitors and is not hard to copy providing the competitor can provide the same services Southwest does. It has no life span. The loyalty Southwest has been able to develop makes their customer base competitively superior. This is a strength, but not a competitive advantage. Southwest has not formed alliances or cooperative ventures with their rivals. This is a weakness on their part. Properly handled alliances can result in shared services, which would reduce their operating expenses. 148 3A. Are the company's prices and costs competitive? Structural cost drivers Scale economies Learning curve Technology requirements Capital intensity Product line complexity Etc. Inbound Logistics Southwest does their best to use economies of scale to reduce expenditures on supplies. Southwest worked with Boeing to introduce their new aircrafts and thus received a discount on those aircrafts. The relationship with this supplier allows Southwest an advantage over the industry. Operations Outbound Logistics Southwest’s Southwest operating costs has lower are lower then cost in the rivals which outbound gives Southwest logistic part a significant of the value advantage in the chain industry. They specifically have limited because they their product have done line complexity so well with in terms of the classes within operations the flights, and portion of they have very their value few styles of chain. By aircraft which limiting the allows for complexity maintenance to of their be relatively product line, easily trained. this creates Their hiring more on process also time allow them to arrivals, the easily train their employees flight staff as they have the screening hired lead to Southwest on process will happier Sales and Marketing Southwest lowers their marketing costs by encouraging consumers to order their tickets through the company’s website. This eliminates the need for outside travel agents who take commission s for their work. This is a cost advantage for Southwest. Service Southwest’s dedication to cost cutting measure in their service, such as not offering in flight meals, and having the flight crew attend to cleaning up the planes after flights give Southwest a cost advantage over other airlines in the industry that do implement these measures. Profit Margin Fewer complaints and more word of mouth traffic from happier consumers will lead to higher profit margins which in turn will allow Southwest to keep costs down through the use of economies of scale. R&D HRM A&G Southwest relies on gradual expansion into new geographic areas where they identify pairs of cities ‘that could generate substantial amounts of business and leisure traffic.’ By using this strategy Southwest is able to generate enough traffic that they can achieve economies The way Southwe st uses its human resource manage ment is an advanta ge for them as the use a rigorous system to screen potential hires to the point where they know that the hire most likely will not be a Management pays special attention employees cost saving ideas. Management has given the go ahead on several new technologies that have helped Southwest lower costs concerning the assignment of workers to scheduling and used internet technology to streamline and eliminate the travel agents that 149 one occasion gambled that gas prices would spike in the years 2000 and 2001 and hedged 80% of their anticipated requirements. The move paid off as the price of gas went above the $22 strike price they had set. The gamble created a cost advantage on this occasion. They are able to use their volume requirements to acquire contracts to purchase fuel at set prices. Southwest is narrow down the personality types of the staffers they want. All of these processes lead to lower costs, lower turnover and an advantage for Southwest. Southwest implemented software technology which reduced the time needed to generate ‘optimal crew schedules’. This is another cost cutting measure. consumers which lead to lower costs overall. The idea that no meals are served on the planes also helps cut costs. Fewer complaints and more word of mouth traffic from happier consumers will lead to higher profit margins which in turn will allow Southwest to keep costs down by scale economies. of scale through cutrate fares consumer volume would increase and then raise prices enough to compensate for initial losses. This strategy has proven to be an advantage for Southwest over industry rivals. turnover statistic after the first year probatio nary period. By employi ng the philosop hy of employe es first, custome rs second; Southwe st is able to keep the employe es they have and are less likely to have turnover , which can be costly as in training can also cut into earnings by taking commissions. Management has been able to cut costs is by offering less in terms of their product complexity. Southwest has been able to cut costs by only offering one class on all flights which has allowed them to offer fewer services such as in air meals. These differences may seem small but looking at the ratios in comparison to 150 able to cut costs in training requirements for mechanics by using only one type of airplane which allows them a cost advantage over competitors in regards to the learning curve. costs. Potential hires were recruited through several places includin g the Internet which is the least costly for the compan y. Concerning technology requirements, Southwest has taken steps to improve the costs associated with consumers purchasing tickets through their website, This is an area that Southwe st perceive s as very importa nt. the industry averages, but Southwest’s costs are consistently lower in the areas of food and commissions. 151 bypassing travel agents and their commissions. Doing so has created a cost advantage over industry rivals. 152 Executional cost drivers Commit ment to continuo us improve ment Product quality Process quality Capacity utilizatio n Internal business processes Working with buyers and suppliers on costs Etc. Inbound Logistics Southwest uses point-topoint service instead of the hub and spoke system. In the point-topoint system aircraft spend less time parked at gates. Aircraft therefore are utilized more allowing planes to fly more passengers. With more utilization there is less down time for ground crews throughout the day increasing productivity. Costs are Operations Outbound Logistics Southwest uses Southwest less congested has no first airports near class or major reserve metropolitan seating on cities. Doing their planes. this reduces Planes are landing and loaded in gate fees as well groups of as improves on thirty and time this performance. considerably By reducing speeds up overall travel passenger time per flight loading there is a times. considerable Aircraft are cost advantage, also turned much greater around in than any of their approximate rivals. ly twenty Southwest is minutes, constantly which keeps looking for new them in the destinations to air longer. compliment Less wasted their route time system. Smaller increases less used cost savings airports keep and is gate and significantly Sales and Marketing Southwest uses clever and innovative ad campaigns to attract customers. They cater to both business and leisure travelers. They promote buying tickets directly from their website, using eticketing and cutting out travel agents. These processes reduce costs considerabl y and give them an Service Southwest uses just one type of aircraft, the Boeing 737, which allows Southwest to save cost regarding the training of mechanics. The speed and ease of repairing aircrafts is greatly reduced. Considering the above statements, this is a distinct cost advantage over their rivals, who operate more than one aircraft type. By Profit R&D Margin By reducing N/A operating cost by operating one type of aircraft, quick turnarounds and pointto-point service, Southwest is able to reduce costs considerabl y. Coupled with their high load factors, Southwest’s profit margins are considerabl y higher than their competitors. HRM A&G Southwest hires only those people that meet their specific criteria. By providing staff that makes customers first and are attentive to the airline itself, they are able to keep their productivity at a high level. The more productivity cuts wasted time and cost and sets them above their competition. Southwest continually brings in Southwest has a superior managemen t team that is able to develop and bring together courses of action for the company, that in total, reduce costs across the board. Southwest stands second to none in managemen t skills to any of their rivals and provides them a distinct advantage in cost reductions. 153 kept low due to the high productivity and are well ahead in this area compared to their rivals. landing fees lower than using major metropolitan airports. greater than that of any of their rivals. edge versus agreeing to their be the competitors. launch customer for three types of the 737 Southwest was able to discount some of their aircraft purchases. employees that will expand their operations only if they meet the criteria set by their strong culture. 154 4. How strong is the company's competitive position (page 140)? Although I provide only one column for competitors, you should add the number of columns necessary to assess each of the competitors. Key success factors (Refer to Q 6 in the external analysis, and pages 141 and 142 for a list of factors to assess.) Low-cost production efficiency Customer Service Advertising Managerial know-how Image and reputation Overall low cost Sum of weights Weighted overall strength rating: Weight United American Delta Northwest Rating Weighted Rating Weighted Rating Weighted Rating Weighted score score score score Continental Rating Weighted score .20 4 .8 4 .8 5 1.0 5 1.0 4 .8 .15 3 .45 4 .6 5 .75 3 .45 5 .75 .15 7 1.05 5 .75 4 .6 5 .75 3 .45 .10 5 .5 7 .7 7 .7 7 .7 10 1.0 .20 7 1.4 7 1.4 7 1.4 7 1.4 10 2.0 .20 1.00 7 1.4 7 1.4 7 1.4 7 1.4 5 1.0 5.6 5.65 5.85 5.7 6.00 155 Key success factors (Refer to Q 6 in the external analysis, and pages 141 and 142 for a list of factors to assess.) Low-cost production efficiency Customer Service Advertising Managerial know-how Image and reputation Overall low cost Sum of weights Weighted overall strength rating: Weight US Airways Southwest TWA America Rating Weighted Rating Weighted Rating Weighted Rating Weighted score score score score Alaska Rating Weighted score .20 3 .6 10 2.0 4 .8 7 1.4 4 .8 .15 4 .6 10 1.5 3 .45 4 .6 4 .6 .15 4 .6 10 1.5 7 1.05 4 .6 10 1.5 .10 7 .7 10 1.0 5 .5 5 .5 5 .5 .20 5 1.0 10 2.0 5 1.0 7 1.4 7 1.4 .20 1.00 3 .6 10 2.0 3 .6 7 1.4 7 1.4 4.1 10.0 4.4 5.9 6.2 If we analyze the overall strength ratings, we can see that Southwest has the highest compared to its competitors. The previous strong ratings show that Southwest is the strongest competitor in the Airline Industry. These key success factors are very important to Southwest; it gives them a competitive advantage over most of the rivals. 156 5. What strategic issues does the company face? facts Is the present strategy adequate in light of driving forces present in the industry? To address this question, look at the SWOT analysis. If most of the intersections are in the S-O quadrant, you can conclude that the company’s strategy is adequate. If the intersections are in the other quadrants, your conclusions should be different. Consumers’ wallets were growing as well during this time. Consumers were flying more frequently for both leisure and business. While some of the rivals compete in diverse areas of the market, they all compete for the business and leisure travelers. Rivals using price cuts to increase unit volume is a moderate force in the Airline Industry, rivals introducing new ways to increase profit margins without passing it on to the customer. Southwest does not offer its passengers, baggage transfers services between carriers. It also only books tickets for its own flights. What does this mean? Southwest’s strategy of providing low fares has enabled more people to fly therefore increasing its market share and customer base. Their strategy to keep the fares low has leaded them not only to be popular airline but a profitable airline. Southwest’s strategy to distinguish the two types of travelers has led to institute a two-tier pricing that increased passenger traffic significantly. This new pricing strategy has allowed them to serve their business travelers with more flights at suitable times and serve their leisure travelers with lower fares and flexibility. This strategy keeps them competitive against the rivals that are in the more diverse areas of the market. Southwest’s strategy of offering constant low fares has given them a strong customer base. However Southwest keeps their customers loyal by giving their customers #1 customer service. This strategy defends Southwest against rivals using price cuts by giving “more value for less money”. Southwest’s strategy for alliances between its competitors is a weakness. Customers are left to handle baggage transfers to other carriers and booking flights by other means. This can lead to lost customers. Southwest needs to improve its alliances with competitors. 157 Is the company’s present strategy geared to the industry's future key success factors? Please start with the industry KSFs you identified in the question 6 of the Chapter 3 worksheet. Use the KSFs as the starting point for your analysis. Then determine how well the company performs each of the KSFs. If the company has high performance on each KSF, their current strategy is geared to the industry’s future key success factors. Low cost production efficiency. Southwest is using the pointto-point system. The results are that they have higher labor productivity and have lower labor costs compared to most rivals. Customer Service. Southwest is ranked 1st across the board on arriving 15 min. of the schedule times, mishandled baggage, and customer complaints. Southwest is making customer service a way to differentiate itself from its rivals. Advertising. Southwest is one of the highest spending rivals in Airline Industry. “The message in ads were tightly matched to the company’s strategy and were usually worked in a manner calculated to intrigue and entertain the audience and to persuade air travelers that what Southwest offered was of value.” Managerial know-how. Southwest has carefully assembled workforces that is conscientious about their work and are concerned for the well being of its passengers. Image and Reputation. Southwest has consistently been number one in customer satisfaction and low fares. Southwest has established an excellent reputation that will allow them to continue to build on their past success. Overall low cost. Southwest is able to keep their operating expenses under $7.50, which allows them to charge much less for ticket prices. Southwest will always be able to maintain full planes at lower prices due to them being able to control expenses. Southwest has outperformed the rivals in all of the airline industry’s KSFs. Their current strategies are working for Southwest due to their strategy of having low-cost, low-price, and no-frills airline. Southwest has been able to increase the passenger traffic and made airline travel more convenient and affordable to a wider segment of the U.S. population, which will increase future market share potentials. 158 How good a defense does the present strategy offer to the 5 forces? Rivals using price cuts to increase unit volume is a moderate force in the Airline Industry. Southwest has always been low fare airline that provides “more value for less money” to defend against rivals price cuts. Southwest can keep the prices low all the time due to its diligent effort to keep operating costs low and labor productivity high. The entry barrier is being lowered by new entries with quality, low priced service. Southwest uses its high quality customer service to defend itself against new entrants. They pride themselves on their customer service. The availability of substitutes that are attractively priced is limited. Southwest low fares have given more customers the “freedom to fly”. With such low cost, Southwest has enabled more people to travel by plane cheaper and/or faster than traveling by bus or train. competitors easily. The price of fuel cannot be controlled through economies of scale. Southwest’s management to anticipate high fuel costs. In the past, Southwest hedges most of its fuel requirements at the lower prices before its spikes. The ability for buyers to switch between airline Southwest uses a combination of high customer service, low fares, advertising and promotion to keep customers loyal to their airline. Their motto “more value for less money” appeals to their buyers. Southwest strategy offers a great defense against these 5 forces. By maintaining their current strategies, Southwest is able to defend itself against rivals. Southwest is able to increase passenger traffic, increase profit margins, and increase market shares in the airline industry. 159 Does the present strategy protect the company against external threats and internal weaknesses? Southwest has operating costs that are lower than most of its rivals. This criterion is asking you to analyze the intersection of the external threats and the company’s strengths and weaknesses in the SWOT matrix. You have to list the threats and, strengths and weaknesses as the starting point for conducting the analysis. Southwest offers the lowest price possible to give consumers the “freedom to fly”. If the majority of the intersections are in the strengths-threats portion of the matrix, then the company’s current strategy protects them. If the majority of the intersections are in the weaknesses-threats portion of the matrix, then the strategy will not protect them. Is the company vulnerable to competitive attack by one or more rivals? Southwest does not offer any “frills” like most of their rivals. Southwest uses its promotions and advertising to convey the value of their airline. Southwest is number one in customer service. Northwest is rated 2nd in arriving within 15 minutes of the schedule time. Continental is tied with Southwest for ranking of the fewest number of mishandled bag gages. The present strategies Southwest is using have defended them against competitors. They are able to keep their low operating costs by constantly looking at its expenses and how to control them. This gives them the ability to offer low prices during a time when customers are looking for affordable flights. They enable more consumers to use air travel, which increases the passenger traffic for the overall industry. Southwest also gives the customer value in their flight experience. They offer the highest quality customer service to counteract their no-frill approach to flying. Overall, all these strategies complement each other to provide the profitability Southwest has achieved despite the violate airline industry. Southwest is vulnerable to competitive attack by these two rivals. Southwest however has tried to prepare itself against such attacks by continuing to show their customers and employees that they are number one in customer service and they give “more value for less money.” Southwest uses advertising and promotion to remind they’re loyal customers that although appealing to switch carriers, Southwest provides a higher quality service and a higher value. 160 Does the company have competitive advantages (Refer to your responses to question 2 above.) or must it offset the competition's competitive advantages? Southwest has a competitive advantage in these areas. Cost advantages Sophisticated use of ecommerce Wide geographic coverage Culture Brand names Ability to improve production processes Southwest has used each of these competitive advantages to offset their competition. Southwest had combined all these in a way that has made them an innovator in reducing operating costs with using the latest technology, providing service across the U.S., being the best company to work for, know for being a quality airline. Southwest has used these advantages to the highest level to make airline travel affordable and convenient to a wider segment of the U.S., while making itself a profitable company. What are the strong and weak parts of the current strategy? “From its inception, Southwest has pursued a lowcost/low price/no-frills strategy that featured offering passengers a single class of service at the lowest possible fares and making air travel affordable to a wide segment of the U.S. population”, “The freedom to fly”. A strong part of their current strategy that the personnel at the U.S. Department of Transportation have coined it as being the “Southwest Effect”. This strategy of Southwest known as the “Southwest Effect” is offering low fares and frequent flights has succeeded in stimulating higher passenger traffic at airports across the U.S. Southwest has increased their market shares and profitability by creating its own passenger traffic from its affordability. Southwest is continually perfecting its operating strategies to give them operating costs that are below most of the rivals operating costs in the airline industry. This effective strategy has provided Southwest’s operating costs, as a percentage of its revenues, were consistently the lowest in the airline industry. The strength of these strategies is Southwest’s continued effort in providing customers with the highest quality service and best value. 161 What additional moves are necessary to: Improve costs Capitalize on emerging opportunities Boost the company's competitive position Improve Costs: Continuing controlling operating costs. Emerging Opportunities: New airport potential. Emerging Threats: Price cuts from rivals. Industry profitability. Boosting Competitive Position: Increasing alliances with rivals. Southwest should keep a constant watch over costs due to its bottom line profitability. Southwest cannot provide a low price if the operating costs exceed their breakeven mark. Without low price Southwest will lose its “effect”. Southwest should consider more airports a year for expanding their service. With increased passenger traffic they will increase their growth and market shares. Southwest should continue preparing for the threat of rivals using price cuts to cut into its market shares. Southwest needs to continue conveying their company’s value. Being prepared for economic downturns will help Southwest in their push for industry profitability. Southwest has been prepared but constant watch needs to be kept on the economy. Southwest should create alliances a rival to increase their customer service and their market share. By working with a rival, Southwest would be able to improve its customer base by receiving referrals from a rival they have an alliance with. 162 6. Financial ratio analysis for the company and industry (If applicable, refer to the web page spread sheet.) Specifically state the strengths and weaknesses that you find through your analysis of the financial ratios. A. LIQUIDITY RATIOS Financial Ratios LIQUIDITY OR SHORT-TERM SOLVENCY MEASURES 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 Current Ratio Quick or Acid Test Ratio Cash Ratio B. LONG TERM SOLVENCY MEASURES 1. Long – Term Debt to Capital Ratio = (Total long-term debt / (equity + long-term debt) These ratios have decreased from 1991 through 2000. That is the direction that Southwest should be going to increase their financial strength. With low debt to capital, they will be able to withstand adverse business conditions without suffering net losses or insolvency. They can stay competitive in the industry because of this strength. LONG TERM SOLVENCY MEASURES 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 Long-Term Debt to Capital Ratio 2000 = 761 / (3451.3 + 761) = .18 1999 = 872 / (872 + 2835.8) = .24 1998 = 623.3 / (623.3 + 2397.9) = .21 1997 = 628.1 / (628.1 + 2009) = .24 1996 = 650.2 / (1648.3 + 650.2) = .28 1995 = 661 / (1427.3 + 661) = .32 1994 = 583.1 / (1238.7 +583.1) = .32 1993 = 639.1 / (1054 + 639.1) = .38 1992 = 735.8 / (879.5 + 735.8) = .46 1991 = 617.4 / (635.8 + 617.4) = .49 .18 .24 .21 .24 .28 .32 .32 .38 .46 .49 163 2. Debt to Equity Ratio = (Total debt/total equity) There is a decreasing trend of this ratio for Southwest from 1991 through 2000. This shows the increasing stability of Southwest Airlines and the improving ability of the entity to meet long-term obligations without the danger of net losses or insolvency. 1991 ratio was 1.92 % and decreased through 2000 to a ratio of 93%. This ratio shows strength for Southwest to be competitive in the industry. Debt to Equity Ratio = (Total debt/total equity) 2000 – 3218.3 / 3451.3 = .93 1999 – 2817.9 / 2835.8 = .99 1998 – 2318 / 2398 = .97 1997 – 2237.1 / 2009 = 1.11 1996 – 2075.2 / 1648.3 = 1.26 1995 – 1828.3 / 1427.3 = 1.28 1994 – 1044.3 / 1238.7 = .84 1993 – 1522 / 1054 = 1.44 1992 – 1489.4 / 879.5 = 1.69 1991 – 1218.5 / 635.8 = 1.92 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 .93 .99 .97 1.11 1.26 1.26 .84 1.44 1.69 1.92 164 3. Equity Multiplier Ratio = (Total assets/total equity) The equity multiplier ratio for Southwest has gone done from 1991 of 2.92 to 1.93 in 2000. This shows that their equity in r elation to their assets has grown. This is a sign of financial strength and good financial management. Assets to Equity Ratio 2000 – 6669.6 / 3451.3 = 1.93 1999 – 5653.7 / 2835.8 = 1.99 1998 – 4716 / 2398 = 1.97 1997 – 4246.2 / 2009 = 2.11 1996 – 3723.5 / 1648.3 = 2.26 1995 – 3256.1 / 1427.3 = 2.28 1994 – 2283.1 / 1238.7 = 1.84 1993 – 2576.0 / 1054.0 = 2.44 1992 – 2368.9 / 879.5 = 2.69 1991 – 1854.3 / 635.8 = 2.92 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1.93 1.99 1.97 2.11 2.26 2.28 1.84 2.44 2.69 2.92 165 4. Debt to Assets Ratio = (Total debt/Total assets) This ratio is used to assess the debt levels of Southwest Airlines. In 1991 the ratio was 66%, and it went down to 48% in 20 00, which shows that the long-term solvency measure as improved. Southwest’s ability to withstand sour business conditions without suffering net losses or insolvency has improved by 18% since 1991. Their ability to repay long-term creditors has improved which makes them stronger financially. This financial strength has enabled them to continue to operate, even through the 911 crises. LONG TERM SOLVENCY MEASURES 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 Debt to Total Assets Ratio 2000 = 6669.6 - 3451.3 = 3218.3 / 6669.6 = .48 1999 = 5653.7 - 2835.8 = 2817.9 / 5653.7 = .50 1998 = 4716 - 2398 = 2318 / 4716 = .49 1997 = 4246.1 - 2009 = 2237.1 / 4246.1 = .53 1996 = 3723.5 - 1648.3 = 2075.2 / 3723.5 = .56 1995 = 3256.1 – 1427.03 = 1828.3 / 3256.1 = .56 1994 = 2283 – 1238.7 = 1044.3 / 2283 = .46 1993 = 2576 – 1054 = 1522 / 2576 = .59 1992 = 2368.9 - 879.5 = 1489.4 / 2368.9 = .63 1991 = 1854.3 - 635.8 = 1218.5 / 1854.3 = .66 .48 .50 .49 .53 .56 .56 .46 .59 .63 .66 166 C. ASSET MANAGEMENT, TURNOVER MEASURES OR ACTIVITY RATIOS 1. Net Working Capital Turnover = (Sales/Net working capital) Short term liabilities are not available from the text for Southwest therefore; we are unable to calculate this ratio. 2. Fixed Asset Turnover = (Sales/Net fixed assets) Fixed assets were not available in the text for Southwest. 3. Total Asset turnover = (Sales/Total assets) Southwest has remained relatively stable in their asset turnover ratio. They are reasonably using their assets to product sales. When the terrorist attack took place in 2001, their strategy was to postpone the delivery of new aircraft. This was a good strategy that kept this ratio stable. This shows good financial management at Southwest. Their 1991 ratio was .74 and increased up to .85 in the year 2000. Total Assets Turnover Ratio 2000 - 5649.9 / 6669.6 = 85% 1999 - 4735.6 / 5653.7 = 84% 1998 - 4164.0 / 4716.0 = 88% 1997 - 3816.8 / 4246.2 = 90% 1996 - 3406.2 / 3723.5 = 91% 1995 - 2767.8 / 3256.1 = 85% 1994 - 2592 / 2283.1 = 1.14% 1993 - 2296.7 / 2576 = 89% 1992 - 1803 / 2368.9 = 76% 1991 - 1379.3 / 1854.3 = 74% 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 .85 .84 .88 .90 .91 .85 1.14 .89 .76 .74 167 D. PROFITABILITY MEASURES 1. Gross Profit Margin = (Sales -cost of goods sold)/Sales) Cost of goods sold is not available from the text on the Southwest case. 2. Operating Profit Margin = (Profits before interest and taxes/Sales) This ratio shows the management’s ability to monitor and control expenses on resources committed to the business. Low operating costs have been Southwest’s claim to fame. Management has been superior in monitoring and cutting costs at Southwest and makes this a strength to Southwest. The chart shows that they have steadily risen from 1991 through 2000 in this area. Operating Profit Margin = Profits before interest and taxes/Sales 2000 – 1021.1 / 5649.6 = .18 1999 – 781.6 / 4735.6 = .17 1998 – 683.6 / 4164 = .16 1997 – 524.2 / 3816.8 = .14 1996 – 350.8 / 3406.2 = .10 1995 – 313.5 / 2872.8 = .11 1994 – 316.7 / 2591.9 = .12 1993 – 292.0 / 2296.7 = .13 1992 – 193.8 / 1803.0 = .11 1991 – 72.6 / 1379.3 = .05 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 .18 .17 .16 .14 .10 .11 .12 .13 .11 .05 168 3. Net Profit Margin/Return on Sales Ratio = (Net Income/Sales) This ratio also shows that management has been doing a superior job of keeping the costs down. Southwest is above the industry average of 2.9%. The efficiency of Southwest is superior to competitors. This ratio is steadily rising and keeps Southwest ahead of the competition in this area. Southwest is continually monitoring its costs even when times are good so that they can sustain when times are bad. Return on Sales 2000 = 625.2 / 5649.6 = .11 1999 = 474.4 / 4735.6 = .10 1998 = 433.4 / 4164 = .10 1997 = 317.8 / 3816.8 = .08 1996 = 207.3 / 3406.2 = .06 1995 = 182.6 / 2872.8 = .06 1994 = 179.3 / 2591.9 = .07 1993 = 154.3 / 2296.7 = .07 1992 = 97.4 / 1803 = .05 1991 = 33.1 / 1379.3 = .02 11.07% 10.02% 10.41% 8.33% 6.09% 6.36% 6.92% 6.72% 5.40% 2.40% 2000 11.07 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 10.02 10.41 8.33 6.09 6.36 6.92 6.72 5.40 2.40 169 4. Return on Assets = (Net Income/Total assets) These numbers measure the efficiency of Southwest to use their assets to generate a return. This ratio has risen greatly from 1991 through 2000, which shows that management is doing their job very well. This shows growth potential and is a strength to Southwest. Management is careful and takes precautions, such as postponing delivery of aircraft that they had on order when the 911 crises happened. Southwest uses the proactive approach rather than a reactive approach. Return on Assets (Net Income/Total Assets) 2000 2000 – 625.2 / 6669.6 = 9.37% 1999 – 474.4 / 5653.7 = 8.39% 1998 – 433.4 / 4716 = 9.19% 1997 – 317.8 / 4246.2 = 7.48% 1996 – 207.3 / 3723.5 = 5.56% 1995 – 182.6 / 3256.1 = 5.61% 1994 – 179.3 / 2283.0 = 7.85% 1993 – 154.3 / 2576 = 5.99% 1992 – 97.4 / 2368.9 = 4.11% 1991 – 33.1 / 1854.3 = 1.79 9.37 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 8.39 9.19 7.48 5.56 5.61 7.85 5.99 4.11 1.79 5. Return on Equity = (Net Income/Total equity) Average Stockholders Equity This ratio shows the ability of Southwest to monitor and control expenses to earn a profit on resources committed to the business. From 1996 through 2000, they have steadily increased this ability. The effective use of resources provided by the stockholders has been below the industry median, however, since 1996 has shown significant increase in this area. Return on Stock Average Stockholders Equity (given from text) 2000 19.9% 1999 18.1% 1998 19.7% 1997 17.4% 1996 13.5% 1995 13.7% 1994 15.6% 1993 16.% 1992 12.9% 1991 5.3% 170 E. MARKET VALUE MEASURES 1. Earnings per Share = (Net Income/Shares outstanding) N/A 2. Price to Earnings Ratio = (Price per share/Earnings per share) N/A 3. Market to Book Ratio = (Market value per share/Book Value per share) N/A 4. Dividend Payout Ratio = (Annual dividends per share/After tax earnings per share) N/A 5. Dividend Yield on Common Stock = (Annual dividends per share/current market share per share) N/A 6. Cash Flow per share = (After tax profits + depreciation) / number of common shares outstanding) N/A 7. Internal Growth Rate = (Maximum growth rate with no additional equity financing) = (ROA) (b / (1-ROA) (b)) {Where b is the plowback ratio: b equals addition to retained earnings /net income} 8. Sustainable Growth Rate = (maximum growth rate with no additional equity financing) = (ROA) (b / (1-ROA) (b)) {Where b is the plowback ratio: b equals addition to retained earnings /net income} 171 7. Top Management’s values and perspectives (Refer to Chapter 2, page 62 and Chapter 13 pages 430-437) How are the personal ambitions, business philosophies, and ethical beliefs of managers stamped on the company's strategy and competitive capabilities? Specifically state the strengths and weaknesses that you find through your analysis of Top Management’s values and perspectives. Top management at Southwest airlines is strong. Managers were expected to spend at least one-third of their time outside of the office, walking around the facilities under their supervision, observing firsthand what was going on, listening to employees and being responsive to their concerns. Managers were called by their first names at Southwest, and they have an open door policy where any employee can be heard at any time. Management at Southwest airlines believes in doing what ever is necessary in getting the job done and keeping their customers satisfied. Southwest puts their employees first believing that by delivering superior service to their employees this would translate into superior service delivered to their customers. Southwest employees were paid well and had access to profit sharing plans, 401(k) plans and stock options. The management at Southwest believes that hiring an unskilled person with a positive attitude is better then hiring a more skilled person with a bad attitude because an unskilled person could be trained but it is harder to change a person who has a bad attitude. Southwest believes that superior, hospitable service and a fun-loving spirit flows from employees who liked their jobs and the company they work for and who are empowered to do their job as they see fit. Southwest management knew that low fares would mean keeping a sharp eye on operating costs and keeping them low. To keep operating costs low, Southwest only used Boeing aircraft to minimize the need for spare parts inventories, to make training personnel easier and to improve efficiency. Customers were encouraged to purchase their tickets online using Southwest’s web site. Southwest set up flight service at less congested airports to minimize total travel time for passengers. Southwest also used the point-to–point system of scheduling flights, which is more efficient than the hub-and-spoke system used by rival airlines. Southwest used “cattle-call” seating to economize the amount of time it took terminal personnel to check passengers in and to simplify making reservations. Instead of hiring a cleaning crew to clean the planes between flights, Southwest had their flight attendants clean the cabins between flights, which helped to keep 172 operating costs down and made turn around time more efficient. This approach would lead Southwest to become the first airline to win the Triple Crown award, for best on-time record, fewest reports of mishandled baggage, and fewest complaints per 100,000 passengers for a single month, in 1988. Southwest management would not have formal strategic plans in place but had their managers’ think ahead and have back up plans prepared. Managers at Southwest believe in being prepared for adversity, economic downturns, and the competitive moves of rivals. It is for these reasons that Southwest practices fiscal conservatism, low levels of debt and fervent attention to bottom-line profitability. This would lead Southwest to achieving its 28 th consecutive year of profitability in 2000. 173 8. Organization’s culture (Refer to Chapter 2, page 63 and Chapter 13 pages 410-428) How do the company's values, policies and culture impact the strategy, strategy implementation and company's competitive capabilities? Specifically state the strengths and weaknesses that you find through your analysis of the organization’s culture. Southwest’s operating principle was that employees come first and customers come second. In Southwest’s 2000 annual report, an excerpt from Southwest’s Management team stated the following: “Our people are warm, caring and compassionate and willing to do whatever it takes to bring the Freedom to Fly to their fellow Americans. They take pride in themselves by doing well for others. They have built a unique and powerful culture that demonstrates that the only way to accomplish Southwest’s mission was to keep costs low and the quality of customer satisfaction high.” Southwest hired people with winning attitudes and once they were hired they were provided with a nurturing and supportive work environment that gave the Employees the freedom to be creative, have fun, and make a positive difference. Employees took pride in team accomplishments, and enhanced job satisfaction which in turn kept Southwest’s Culture and Spirit alive and that is why they continue to produce winning seasons. Southwest hired employees for attitude and trained them for skills. Management believed that superior customer service came from having employees who genuinely believed that customers were important and that treating them warmly and kind was the right thing to do. Southwest had the lowest employee turnover rate for the entire airline industry. According to Kelleher, “We are interested in people who externalize, who focus on other people, and people who are motivated to help other people. And for this reason, that is why Southwest has had a competitive advantage over rival airlines. Southwest carefully chose who would work for their airline. Choosing the most qualified candidates yielded Southwest year after year profits and superior customer satisfaction. Kelleher hired 80-90% of its supervisory positions from within the company. He felt that there is no better route to take than that of internal hiring. Kelleher felt that people who had been there and done that would be more likely to appreciate and understand the demands that people under them were experiencing and also more likely to enjoy the respect of their peers and higher level managers. Employees were compensated by pay scales that were very close to the industry average. On a survey conducted during 1997-1998 the data revealed that airline pilots were being paid 10% above the 174 industry average. Stock options were made available to employees and by the year ending 2000, 200 employees were actually stated to be millionaires. Mainly due to stock options and profit sharing that were provided to them. Almost 85% of Southwest’s employees belonged to unions. Southwest airlines were one of the most highly unionized airlines in the United States. Southwest’s CEO Herb Kelleher believed that lying off employees did not sustain and nurture the corporate culture that the company held so strongly together. Kelleher believed that lying off employees was not worth the small amount of money gained in the short term but rather employees are much more important. He truly felt that not furloughing people would breed loyalty and trust. This belief is what makes Southwest so unique over the other airlines. Southwest’s management style was also very eclectic. Kelleher expected managers to spend at least one-third of their time out with the employees and customers observing the day to day activities of the airline. Company executives were very approachable and insisted that they be called by their first names. Managers and executives had an open door policy. This policy openly accepted employees’ concerns, opinions, and comments for reducing costs and improving efficiency. Southwest cherishes their employees and that is why their customer service scores were the best in the industry for the years of 1996-2000. The better you treat your employees, the better they will treat others. This was the idea that Kelleher had. Southwest was ranked #1 for the best 100 companies to work for in 1998 by Fortune 500, ranked second in 1999 and 2000 and in 2001 they ranked fourth. Southwest had two core values: LUV and fun. Employees were encouraged to have fun at work. This idea lead employees to enjoy their jobs and ultimately this reflected on the companies profits. Happy employees lead to happy customers. In 1990, the culture committee was set up by Colleen Barrett. This committee promoted positively outrageous Service. Over the years, this committee has come up with a variety of ways to nurture its core values and perpetuate its unique culture. Southwest’s culture and values are a direct result of company growth. Executives believed that the growth was primarily a function of how quickly Southwest could hire and train people to fit into its culture and mirror the Southwest spirit. The culture of Southwest is a highly competitive advantage. 175 Their core values are also a competitive advantage. The employees of Southwest have made it possible to implement as well as carry out company strategies and goals for the company. Southwest has a superior strength in the area’s of values and culture and this is why they have been so profitable and successful every year for the past 30 years. Kelleher is a unique leader and his strong faith and belief in his employees, has lead Southwest to success. 9. 176 9. Provide a summary of the company’s strengths and weaknesses. Use the summary matrix from the Chapter 3 worksheet as an example for organizing the strengths and weaknesses. Internal Analysis section Skills and expertise Strengths Proprietary technology Advertising and promotion Product innovation Ability to improve processes (prod) Technological know-how Physical assets Plant and equipment age Technological capabilities Plant capacity N/A Plant and retail location Access to distribution channels Global distribution capability N/A Wide geographic coverage Human assets Superior intellectual capital Organizational asset Financial position Better product/service quality Culture Patents N/A Intangible asset Image Brand name Reputation for customer service Competitive capabilities Cost advantages Sophisticated use of e-commerce Recognized industry leader Attractive customer base Market position Alliances or cooperative ventures Weaknesses Product service breadth and depth Alliances 177 WEAKNESSES STRENGTHS SWOT MATRIX Low operating cost Service innovation Technological know-how Advertising and promotion Product innovation Age of equipment Ability to continuously refine service Intellectual capital Financial position No frills service Image Safety record Customer service Attractive customer base Culture Product line breadth and depth Multi-country coverage No baggage transfer outside Southwest Lack of intra-airline services X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Alliances between competitors Cost of exiting Fuel costs Terrorism Consumer confidence Diminishing pool of candidates that Southwest can employ Industry profitability in relation to the changing economy OPPORTUNITIES Extent which rivals use economies of scale Rival distribution channels Number of rivals and their relative size Technology/E-commerce Legislative and regulatory Economic downturn Long-term industry growth rate Extent of rivals' horizontal intergration Vertical intergration Growth opportunity as a result of 9-11 due to decline in market size Societal values in the changing economy Growth opportunities in relation to population demographics 10. SWOT Matrix THREATS X X X X X X X X 178 VI. ACTION PLAN Intersection Recommended actions priority Implementation steps Required resources Schedule and sequence Threat: Industry profitability in relation to the changing economy To defend against the industry profitability in relation to the changing economy in the wake of the 9/11 incident, Southwest must continue to achieve the lowest operating costs in the airline industry. Use your intellectual capital to assess the state of the airline today and focus upon the areas that need improvement. Use incentive bonuses to help employees come up with innovative ways to help lower costs. Southwest understands in the past as well as now that industry profitability is of the highest importance. Being a profitable company touches on every aspect of a successful business from the shareholders to the employees’ job security. Gaining market share in markets will Southwest an advantage going forward. First, Southwest must continue to find innovative ways to keeps their operating costs low. This is already strength of Southwest and they should use another strength intellectual capital to insure that innovative ideas that help achieve lower costs are brought forward. Give bonuses to those employees who come with these ideas. The bonuses should be flat rate as until implementation we cannot judge the importance of a particular suggestion. -Ability to improve production processes -Technological know how - Superior intellectual capital -Cost advantage - Reputation for customer service - Superior intellectual capital Researching into how to find new ways of cutting costs should begin immediately. Within six months Southwest should have ideas for 3-4 new techniques that should allow them to achieve lower operating costs. Strengths: Low operating cost Advertising and promotion Product innovation Ability to continuously refine service Intellectual capital Image Customer Service The advertising Focusing the advertisements specific to this markets should begin by next month. Promotions run should be given two months time and then prices can go back to original status. Internal and external success standards (e.g. benchmarks) Internal: -Low cost efficiency -Superior management and evaluation -Ability to improve production processes. External: -Low customer switching costs -Number of competitors in the industry -Cost and efficiency - Technological change (it would be easier for consumers to not travel) -Marketing innovation Measurement metrics Southwest should be able to come up with 3-4 new ideas that will be able to lower operating costs within the next year. Compare Southwest low costs to industry rival to insure that the recommendatio n is working. Using advertising in specific markets should be able to gain 2-3% market share within the next year. At one years end, evaluate and adjust as necessary. 179 and promotion team must promote the safety record of Southwest to gain the confidence of flyers in markets that are the most profitable to Southwest. Try to make gains in market share in locations that are not performing as well as once projected. Contact investors that are concerned about the industry. Use this to alleviate concerns and outline new plans. The customer service provided by Southwest is the best in the industry at this point but this must continue going forward in order to maintain the customer base they have and Using advertising to promote Southwest’s safety record is critical in this new environment. The promotion of these ideas in more profitable markets and markets that are not achieving the forecasted numbers is of great importance. Gains can be made in these markets at this time. The letter to be mailed to investors should happen within the next month. The sooner we can mail this letter, the more likely the investors will hold onto their stock. Contacting the investors in this time of turmoil could prove beneficial if the stock does not fluctuate as much as industry rivals. Think about using this strategy again if results are good. The letter to investors should be written and discussed and ready to go within the next two weeks. Retaining management with performance based incentives 180 attract more word of mouth business. Retaining the management that Southwest has in place now, the management that has propelled Southwest to its present position is a must. The knowledge that this management team has amassed of the years is an advantage that Southwest has over other airlines in regards to innovation and how to be a low cost provider without sacrificing service. Southwest must maintain its image of a well recognized branded airline with a perfect no crash record to remain profitable within the industry. is critical. Upper management should discuss and decide what the criteria should be for each individual management title and have these incentive plans ready for submittal within a month. 181 Opportunity: Growth opportunities in population demographics Strengths: Service innovation Advertising and promotion Image Weakness: Product breadth and depth It is recommended that Southwest use their preexisting strengths and rework their weakness to take advantage of the opportunities that lie within the population’s demographics. The age of most customers in the industry is between 15-64 years. There are nearly 194 million people in the United States that lie in that age group (66.7% of the entire population). The male to female ratio in that range is practically 1:1. The median age of all of the population is 35.8 years of age and the life expectancy is 77.14 years. The Medium Southwest should use market research to discover what the travel needs, preferences, and wants of the population are. Following, they should evaluate their current product/service line breadth and depth, advertising and promotion campaigns, and service innovation capability in order to see if there are any supplementary services, additional pricing tiers, or geographic areas that can be added without compromising their low operating costs and wide profit margin. The resources required include: the use of marketing team to research and strategize; advertising and promotion; intellectual capital. Southwest should begin market research by the end of Quarter 1 of 2002. They should complete market research by the end Quarter 2 of 2002. Once research is completed, evaluation of current product/service line breadth and depth should be conducted to find where changes or additions could be made to compliment the research findings. Southwest should aim to increase their market share by 2% by September 2003. Market share measurements can be used to determine if the changes have been successful. Customer satisfaction surveys can be conducted to measure success of changes/additio ns, as well. By Quarter 1 of 2003, evaluation should be complete and the intentions on making changes and/or additions 182 growth rate, itself, is 0.92%. These varying age groups have different needs and different priorities when it comes to travel, which poses as an opportunity for company’s like Southwest, to do whatever they can to cater to as many groups as possible. The average annual per capita income is $37,000. The population’s living expenses are constantly rising. However, their income increases at a slower rate. Because of this, people are more apt to move away from their families and friends in order to live in affordable They should also see if there are any flight schedule changes or additions that can be made that would allow Southwest to cater to a larger customer base. They should use their service innovation skills and capabilities to adapt to and act on those realized needs and wants. Once those services/products are adapted, Southwest should devise a unique, attention-getting advertising and promotion campaign to spread the word about how they’ve changed to accommodate their current customers and to their existing services, products, or offerings should be acted upon at such time. Within a month from implementation, a new advertising and promotion campaign should be initiated. the beginning of Quarter 3 in 2003, an evaluation of Southwest’s efforts should be conducted to decide if the result was successful which will determine if they should continue with their promotion. 183 regions. But they still want to be able to see their friends and family on occasion, which may require taking flights. “would-be” customers. Many people are staying single long and starting families later which means they have more freedom to travel. A large number of consumers are white collared business people (including executives) whose occupations require travel require travel regardless of economic changes. Southwest should consider widening their product line breadth and depth to satisfy the 184 needs, wants, and financial abilities of an everchanging population. They should also consider servicing more locations. Southwest should use their strengths in service innovation to satisfy those same needs. Unique advertising and promotional campaigns can continue to be used to convey the image of value and superior service that Southwest has become well known for in order to grab the customers of various demographic groups. By acting on these recommendations, Southwest should be able to satisfy 185 the needs and preferences of customers from with different population characteristics. In doing this, they will increase market share and customer base while continually keeping those customers happy. 186 Threat: Economy at Large Strengths: Financial Position Low Operating Cost Intellectual Capital Image Attractive Customer Base Culture Southwest must defend against the threat of a declining economy and the economic effects of September 11th. Your strengths have allowed for continuous profitability despite the temporary loss of flights and some passengers. Southwest management should defer delivery of new aircraft and create a ‘shared services’: ground crew pilot program with competitors. Management should also create a promotional ‘buy one get one Addressing this threat is a priority for Southwest so that they will be able to continued being profitable despite declining economy. 1. Southwest management works with suppliers to finalize the deferred schedule of delivery for new aircraft. 2. Management develops and finalizes the details of the ‘shared services’: ground crew pilot program with competitors. 3. Southwest management develops a promotional campaign of “buy one ticket get one free” ticket offer to keep current customers and attract new customers. This campaign Organizational assets: Financial position Culture Human assets: Superior intellectual capital Intangible assets: Image Southwest management monitors the scheduling of deferred inventory. Management schedules implementation of the ‘shared services’ ground crew pilot program for the beginning of the 1st quarter of the new fiscal year. Management should schedule the promotional campaign of “buy one ticket get one free” ticket offer to run for a time period of 2 months during June and July of the current year. Southwest’s Management should set an internal deadline for rescheduling of the delivery dates for new aircraft. Management should continue monitoring the deferred delivery schedule in order to be able to put the new aircraft into Management service when it sets deadline is needed. for Southwest development management and should monitor implementation the progress of of ‘shared the ‘shared services’ services’ ground crew program with pilot program. competitors to determine if Management the program is sets internal successfully deadline for the maintaining development your current and finalization levels of low of the new operating costs promotional and/or if the campaign. program is producing a decrease in Southwest your operating management costs. If this should set program internal proves deadline for the unsuccessful 187 free’ ticket campaign and place smaller advertisements in print media. should be offered on oneway ticket purchase only and should be limited to offpeak flights 4. Southwest management works with their advertising agency to workout a package deal for the placement of smaller concentrated ads in the print media and negotiating for a small increase in the discount of 1% to 2%. new advertisements should being running the by the end of the 4th quarter of the current fiscal year. development and finalization of new advertisements. and your operating costs increase Southwest management should reevaluate this program to correct any problems or discontinue if the existing problems cannot be resolved. Southwest management should also track the progress of the new campaign to determine if it is successful in maintaining current customer levels and/or generating an increase in new customers or not. If this strategy proves unsuccessful Southwest should re- 188 evaluate and/or adjust the use of the new promotional campaign. Southwest management should track the progress of these new advertisements to determine if they are successfully maintaining current customer levels and/or generating an increase in new customers or not. If this strategy proves unsuccessful Southwest should reevaluate and/or adjust the use of the new advertisements. 189 Threat: Diminishing pool of candidates for Southwest employees Strength: Advertising & Promotion Intellectual Capital Image Culture Safety Southwest must address the direct threat of the diminishing pool of candidates. Southwest can adequately defended against this threat using their current strengths. Southwest needs to keep current employees as well as recruit, hire and retain new potential candidates for hire. Southwest can use theirs strengths in culture, Image, Safety record and Intellectual capital to keep their current employees and hire future employees that will keep the culture of Southwest alive. Southwest must continue to retain its current employees. Secondly, Southwest must focus on hiring the right people, who can fit, live and enhance their culture and continue it for years to come. These new hires must be found, recruited, hired, trained and retained for the future of Southwest to continue to build and maintain a strong culture. The job pool is diminishing due to the fact To keep current employees for the future of Southwest, they must construct continuous learning programs that will continue to refresh the minds of Southwest employees, as well as reassure them that their environment is a safe place. Continuously building strong relationships with employees, offering incentives for performance, and involving employees in the company’s future plans will build a future for employees and Southwest. Reducing the need to recruit from outside. Intellectual Capital (HRM) University for People Career Development services Culture Committee Marketing Image Reputation for customer service Potential candidates Begin by setting up new training programs and enhance existing ones. By doing this, it will build current employees selfconfidence. Happy employees will display the company’s culture, and excellent customer service. This should be done during the third quarter. Next, the culture committee along with HRM or “people department” should get together and reevaluate the current Compare turnover rates to competitor’s turnover rates. See if there rates are higher, lower or about average. Conduct exit interviews to find out why employees left. Use this data for future hiring. Gather up data that will give you the facts on the number of new hires other airlines hired and their retention time. Set deadlines for the tracking of this information. Measure turnover rate. If the rate is less than 4.5% then Southwest is doing a good job at retaining its current employees and should continue what they are doing. If the turnover rate rises over 5.0% then Southwest must reevaluate its current training programs and their interview process. If the turnover rate increases then Southwest is not retaining current employees and new hires 190 Southwest must also: Continue to involve employees with the company’s goals, strategies, and Promotion & Advertising plans. By doing this, Southwest will ensure the employees that they are a very important part of Southwest and their future plans. If they can maintain current employees then the need to go outside to find new recruits is greatly decreased and therefore the diminished job pools will be less of a threat. Southwest needs that people are afraid of working for the airline industry, employees no longer feel safe at their job, the right people are far and few between and rivals are also fighting for the same pool of candidates to help build their company and make it better for the future. Next Southwest should devise top notch tactics to attract and retain employees. Develop interviewing tactics that focus more on hard skill The culture of Southwest is what drives the company forward, without the right people, and then Southwest will lose its advantage over rivals. For hiring new candidates for the company, Southwest needs to create better tests, interview criteria, and questions that focus more on the candidate’s personality and ability to solve difficult customer scenarios. Southwest’s idea has been to use a behavioral based interview process. This process weeds out candidates interviewing process and come up with better tests, questions and criteria to target the right employees from outside. It the right employees are hired the first time around, then they can last for years to come. are not lasting. Find out the reason for this happening. Advertise and promote via their website to make it known that Southwest is looking for people who can fit, live and enhance the company culture. Culture is the key to SW. Without culture then Southwest would not be where it is today. They 191 to devise tactics to attract top notch employees and retain them for the long term future of the company. abilities. Southwest needs to formulate structured continuous learning Southwest needs programs for to Develop new hires and interviewing existing tactics that focus employees. more on hard These skill abilities. programs should spread Formulate the Southwest structured spirit, culture, continuous and values to learning their programs. employees. By doing this, Southwest needs employees to perform exit will continue interviews so to provide that they can excellent asses what could customer have been done service; differently. values; and fit, live and Formulate data enhance the for revising new company tactics for future culture. hiring. Lastly, Southwest must with the wrong criteria. This idea needs to be re-evaluated to ensure that the right people are brought in to live and fit the Southwest culture. If the right people are brought in the first time around, then there is no need to go back to recruit new hires. need to continue to retain current employees thus eliminating the need to go outside to hire from the diminishing pool of potential employees. Southwest needs to use their strengths in Advertising and Promotion to attract these potential candidates. The use of their website is a great place to start. Using online communication to speed up the identification 192 alleviate current employees concerns as well as future candidates concerns on Terrorism. They need to be reassured that the company is a safe place to work and matching of available Candidates will assist Southwest in finding the right match. Encouraging slogans, is one way to alleviate potential concerns on terrorism and to bring in the employees that Southwest is looking for. 193 Threat: Number of rivals and their relative size Strength: Advertising and promotion Ability to continuously refine service Financial Position Image Culture Weakness: Product Breadth and Depth Southwest airlines needs to use their clever and innovative advertising and promotions to draw more customers to the airline. Service, from the time of check in to the time of deplaning needs to be finetuned. This includes customer service, maintenance and baggage handling. Southwest has a strong financial position that will allow them compete with their rivals by wisely spending in order to capture market away from their rivals. Southwest needs to take advantage of the image it has built over the years as a friendly, low Medium. Since the rivals will always be a factor in the operation of the airline the actions taken will be an ongoing process. Southwest will expand their advertising and promotional campaign in order to pull more customers away from their rivals and bring them to Southwest. Southwest will have an action plan developed to asses the current status of their service and refine those services to make them second to none. Southwest will maintain profitability in order to expense for the changes that will take place. Southwest will use their image as a fun, low cost airline to attract Southwest’s required resources will be that of their advertising and marketing team, financial team and the resources of their intellectual capital. All of the employees will be a required resource since the culture is such a key to the success of the airline. By June of 2002 Southwest will have a new marketing and advertising campaign that will freshen the image of the airline. By June of 2002 the turnaround time for the aircraft will be reduced to 15 minutes from 20 minutes. By the end of 2002 there will be an increase of 2% in the overall profit for the airline. Southwest will hire an additional 2000 employees to supplement the already existing airports and will be used to man new Southwest will have an increase of 7% in passenger market share by the end of 2002. Southwest will increase the annual profits by 2% by June 2002. Southwest will maintain its hold on being the number one airline in customer service profitability and on time service in the United States. Even though they will be smaller than their rivals, Southwest will be known as the friendliest and cheapest airline to fly in the United States, offering wide geographic coverage in the United States. 194 priced and professionally run airline. Southwest’s superior culture has to be the main focal point when pitting their strengths against the larger rivals. Southwest’s mission as an airline is to provide low cost no frills service in the continental U.S. By continuing to focus on these strengths Southwest will be able to compete with the large number of rivals no matter how large they are. In extending their product breadth and depth, Southwest can take market segments away from rivals by offering an expanded range more leisure passengers to leisure destinations. Southwest will hire more employees to extend the reach of their culture to more destinations in the U.S. Southwest will reevaluate and expand their service, not only in flight but to more destinations. destinations. Southwest will increase their passenger load by 7% by the end of 2002. Southwest will need to expand its service with new destinations and innovative services. Both on the ground and in the air. 195 Threat: Consumer confidence Strengths: Image Advertising & Promotion Culture Safety Record of services and destinations. Use Southwest’s already strong image to include safety. Use Southwest’s strong advertising and promotion to promote an outstanding safety records and customer service to increase the public confidence in air travel. Use their corporate culture to instill confidence. Use the safety records of Southwest to that it has always been a safe airline to travel with. Top priority should be on the public’s confidence in air travel before more revenue is lost to the decrease in passenger traffic for the airline industry Analysis of Southwest’s safety records, procedures, and policies need to start right away. At the same time your analyzing, Southwest needs to convey to their employees that they are a safe airline to work for and fly with. If the employees gain confidence then they can successfully pass on their confidence in Southwest. Also retrain employees on new procedure and policies so they are up to date with current standards. Next promote what you have found from the safety reports, for instance the fact that there -Strong Advertising and promotion by increasing the spending from 26 cents per average seat mile to 30 cents per average cent mile. -Labor, to analyze the records, procedures, and policies. -Retraining programs to all employees. Analysis of the safety records, procedures, and policies needs to be done by the end of the month. Retraining should start next month and be completed by the end of 3 months. New advertising and promotions promoting the expanded image of Southwest needs to start no later than 1 month. It should continue until the assurance in flying is reestablish. Internal: -Increased passenger traffic. -Increase in employee’s confidence in Southwest. External: -Public trust in air travel returns. -Increased number of passengers in industry. -Industry leader in market shares. -Satisfied loyal customers. -A strong and positive image. Breakeven load factor reaches the level of 74.6%. The level averaged before the terrorist attacks. Southwest continues to initiate service to 1-2 airports a year. Growth rate increases from 1% to 2%. The public’s confidence needs to be raised as soon as possible. 196 has been no plane crashes. While promoting the safety aspect of Southwest to increase customer confidence, also promote the strong customer service aspect. By doing so, the aspect of safety with the lowcost/lowprice/no-frills image will increase the public’s confidence in Southwest’s overall image. 197 Threat: E-commerce /technology Strength: Service /Product Innovation Advertising & promotion Intellectual capital Weakness: Product breadth & depth Multi-country coverage No baggage transfer out-side SW Lack of intra airline services Southwest needs to use their strengths to defend against the threat of competitors using ecommerce and to overcome or strengthen their weaknesses. They have been intellectually strong and need to use that strength to be innovative in building up a defense against the threat of rivals by new product innovation, advertising and promotion. They need to enhance their existing or set up a new web site that caters just to the needs of the business traveler with more options available and packages that make it quick The threat is a high priority for Southwest since the possibility of losing market share to competitors as well as ecommerce web sites high. Ecommerce enables the customer to comparison shop and threatens the market share of Southwest. Southwest needs to implement a plan immediately before market share is lost to competitors. Review recent changes in how competitors are booking their flights as well as checking their web sites to see what they are offering in terms of hotel accommodations, and other services. Find out where travelers are going and where they are coming from, as well as customer preferences regarding, hotels and car rentals. Work with the R & D and the finance department, for their input on what financial support will be needed as well as the cost involved and will it be cost effective to offer this new service. Marketing, R & D advertising, technical and financial support. We estimate $200K in advertising expense to market the new service. We estimate $50K to cover development of initial service via the internet. We estimate $50K for R & D to check the competition and see what they offer as well as what the market is looking for and review recent trends. Funds to support the project will be offset by the gains in revenue over the next year. Within one year the organization will Complete internal consultation with necessary departments for feasibility by the fourth quarter of current year. Complete external study to avoid the risk of being blindsided by surprise actions of rivals by the first quarter of the next year. Complete proposal and present to management by the first quarter. Obtain management approval by the first quarter. Service should be implemented and tested for technical errors by the end of Time to Market. Meet sales and customer satisfaction objectives. Compare customer satisfaction levels competitors offering similar service. Compare and measure market share increase to rivals as well as to previous years of Southwest. Justification of continued existence of the service by conducting research studies both internally and externally. Initial product brought to Market no later than second quarter. Cost of service should not exceed amount specified in project by more the 3%. Customer satisfaction levels should be high relative to using competitor’s service. Market share to increase and exceed past levels of Southwest as well as exceed levels of competitors. Compare cost increase levels to market 198 and easy to book. They need to set up this web site so that a customer can book their hotel and rental car as well as their flight all in one shot. They also need to set up a link to an international airline, that they must form an alliance with, so that they can offer a service of booking a connecting flight with an international airline for the convenience of the customer. This would also enable them to keep the customer on their own web site and not have a need to search the web site of competitors. This would increase their weakness of Meet with the marketing department to discuss advertising and promotion of this new service and what costs are involved. gain market share. the second quarter. share increase levels. Check profitability ratios. Consult technology management to see if the capability exists to add this service to their current web site or if new software will be needed and what costs are involved. Write a proposal to set up a strategic plan to implement the program and how it will be marketed. Management should check their options on which hotels and 199 product breadth and depth by offering the customer what they want: ease and convenience. Southwest will make it all available to them in one easy step. Southwest needs to create this new web site to deter the customer from going to other web sites of competitors and travel agencies for booking trips. Southwest has always been able to use unique and clever advertising to get the attention of the customer, and they need to use this strength to create a new web site and promote it. They should focus their promotion of the business site, as “why car rental services to form alliances with as well as an international airline service and set up meetings with the management of those organizations to discuss their options and what they can offer in terms of discounts for using this service. Determine specific, measurable and time bound objectives for the plan. Present the above plan to upper management for approval. 200 settle for the next best thing, be there” video conferencing is too impersonal. This is especially true in the sales profession, where face to face interaction has a better impact when selling. It increases your selling power. It also is better to conduct business meetings with face to face contact to build better, more personalized relationships. Southwest needs to use their intellectual capital to work on researching various lower cost hotels and car rentals so that they can offer more to their customers than their rivals and to gain the edge 201 over competitors. They need to consult with their employees at all levels of the organization for their input of these new services. Southwest needs to consider baggage transfer to other airlines as a new service as well as flight transfers for passengers to other airlines. This will strengthen their weakness of intra-airline services. This will increase their costs, however, it will increase their market share at the same time to cover those costs. By using their intellectual capital in areas of cost, advertising and promotion, 202 research and development, and product innovation, they will be able to increase market share as well as keep costs down as they have in the past. Southwest should also form an alliance with an international airline service that can also be accessed through their web site for out of the country travelers who are visiting their website. This will enable them to keep the customer away from the travel agent and rival’s web sites by offering this service. Although Southwest does not offer multicountry service, by using the above strategy, 203 Opportunity: Growth opportunity as a result of 9-11 Strengths: Low operating cost Service Innovation Technological know how Advertising and promotion Product innovation Intellectual capital Financial position Image Weaknesses: Product Breadth and Depth Multi-country coverage they will increase their market share within their current geographic service area to strengthen their position. The objective is to take advantage of the present downturn in the market by making changes which will put us in a better position to increase our market share and profitability when the market rebounds. Southwest should base their implementation schedule upon the ability of an item to provide the quickest return on investment. Advertising, direct sales and other methods of promoting Proposal is to their business take advantage of require the their strength in least product investment and innovation and will provide their financial the quickest position- Retrofit payback. planes and terminals adding Offering meal power and on board communication planes requires ports for laptops. coordination with outside Working with Marketing and Finance, write a preliminary proposal to justify the investment. Present to management for approval and to obtain limited funding. The limited funding would contract Boeing to evaluate the feasibility of changes to the airplane. The money would also fund the entire advertising and direct sales programs. If Boeing’s findings are Marketing, advertising, sales, management, technical and flight support personal. Funds for capital improvements. Funds to implement this project will be raised by borrowing upon lines of credit. We feel Southwest’s would not have problems borrowing money. Rational is their stock dropped the least as a result of 911 which shows investors have Complete proposal and financial justification in Q1 Internal BenchmarksMaintain turn around times of planes. Obtain limited funding from management in Q1. Start advertisements promoting safety and customer satisfaction record in Q1. Boeing completes feasibility study of changes to plane in Q2. Obtain balance of funding for capital Net operating profit increases. Increase in the number of business related travelers. Turn around times should be measured in Q3 and Q6. They should not exceed average time met when project was approved. Annual net operating profit to grow by 4M above present plan during Q6 after project approval. Number of business travelers to be 15% above pre-project level by Q3. 204 Taking advantage of the strength of their financial position- Retrofit planes increasing size of overhead compartments to add capacity for carry on luggage. Taking advantage of their strength in service innovation- Add optional meal service (pay per meal) for flights over 2 hours in length. Strengthen their weakness in product breadth and depth- the above proposed changes provide frills which will appeal to the business class. Taking advantage of their strength in promotions and sources and hiring additional staff so this would be second. Changes requiring investment in capital equipment will take the longest to implement and provide a return on investment. For this reason they are the last task to work on. favorable, submit confidence in a proposal to their ability to management for pull through this. the balance of the funds needed. improvements from management in Q2 Maintain operating cost per passenger mile. Sign contracts with food service company in Q2. Initiate food service in Q3 Complete capital improvements Q6 (6 quarters after project initiated). External BenchmarksIncrease market share. Maintain customer satisfaction record. Level to exceed 25% above preproject level during Q7. Operating cost per passenger mile shall not exceed $.0772 plus cost of living increase per average seat mile when measured during Q3 and Q6 Southwest operating revenues to exceed 16% of total market revenue by Q7 Southwest shall maintain #1 position for flight arrivals, mishandled baggages and Complaints 205 their low operating costsInvest heavily in advertising to promote business travel and raise customer awareness of their past achievements including their safety record. throught entire project. Taking advantage of the strength of their intellectual capitalImplement a direct sales force to call on business accounts. 206 APPENDIX A: STAKEHOLDERS WORKSHEET stakeholders Customers Competitors specific companies, Groups, and individuals Business travelers Fliers looking for cheaper rates Fliers wanting superior customer service Fliers wanting to avoid much of the traffic hassles in traveling Fliers wanting to get to certain destinations Passengers in general United American Delta Northwest Continental US Airways TWA America West Alaska type/nature of the relationship/ what we do for each of them needs how we satisfy those needs Southwest Airlines provides air travel to customers for cash. Southwest’s customers are treated with same type of respect that Southwest employees would like to receive. Southwest provides superior customer service in the airline industry. Southwest’s relationship with their customers is a give and take process, where suggestion made by customers are taken seriously and careful consideration is given to ideas customers may give to improve their service. Southwest believes the stronger their relationship with their existing customers, the more word of mouth business they will get through their superior customer service. Customers want to get to where they are going on time with the least amount of hassle. Such as: they don’t want their baggage lost, and an on time arrival. Customers want to be respected and most of all, customers want a pleasant experience while traveling. Southwest has won awards for their record for their on time arrivals, the least amount of baggage mishandling and the fewest customer complaints. Southwest is in a highly competitive industry where rivals are always trying to take away market share. The level of competition is intense. Southwest needs to maintain and strengthen its position as a leader in the industry. Southwest tries to provide a unique flying experience by allowing employees to show their personalities. This helps Southwest create a strong employee/customer relationship. Southwest listens to customer suggestions and complaints to help them react in positive ways which they see as ways to improve their customer service. Southwest will be able to maintain and improve its position by continuing the innovative strategies that has got them to where they are now. 207 Employees Board of Directors CEO Top Managers Management Pilots Maintenance Flight Attendants Employee/employer relationship. The channels of communication are open within this relationship. Employees are empowered to make suggestions and are seriously considered for company policy. In return for this respect, competitive wages are given and employees display a good outward attitude towards their job and their customers. The relationship between the company management its employees allow for ‘very high labor productivity and very low labor costs’. The company understands the needs of employees and tries to allow for empowerment, such as when Colleen Barrett wrote a memo that stated ‘no employee will be punished for using good judgment… when trying to accommodate a customer’. Employee/customer relationship. Southwest was convinced that displaying its spirit to customers was the key to Southwest’s competitive advantage over other airlines. ‘Employees take price in doing their part to achieve good on-time performance.’ Since you have employees taking pride in their job, it is an attribute that is reflected by the customers they serve. Southwest understands that their employee’s needs are competitive wages, monetary benefits, health benefits, training and respect. Southwest provides competitive wages as their pay scales are close to the industry average. Southwest’s ‘benefit packages were good relative to other airlines’. Southwest provides profit sharing to nearly all of their employees. The employees’ empowerment to make suggestions is a sign that they matter to their company. The fact that Southwest is willing to listen to suggestions made by employees is a sign of respect. Training is provided to new hires at Southwest’s People Department. All employees attend courses on the corporate culture to try to help them think as they want all Southwest personal to think. Southwest focuses on trust, harmony and diversity. 208 Shareholders Investors Employees Consumers Southwest’s shareholders own the company. The shareholder’s expect the company to perform at a high level to increase their wealth. Southwest must provide their shareholders returns on their investment. The Shareholders may be involved with the business in terms of voting privileges on company goals, missions, objectives and strategic plans. Southwest satisfies the shareholder’s need by being a profitable company over the last 28 years and expanding into new areas to gain market share and become an industry leader. Price per share coincides with these trends and increase, making the company more valuable. The stock options granted to employees have given them reason to try individually to add value to the company by performance measures; not all measures are based totally in low cost. 209 Community Airports and their staff Local Governments Businesses These groups depend on the company to continue to produce stable revenues and attract large amounts of patrons—both of which will help to provide steady tax revenues and residual business to capitalize on. Airports and their staff need cooperative and successful airlines to provide them with stable income and foot traffic. Local governments need stable income from local businesses to keep up cash flow for the communities. Local businesses need a lot of consumer traffic to give them as much opportunity to provide their services and sell their goods. Southwest satisfies the needs of the airports by continuing their business in a stable, cooperative, and profitable way. This fulfills the needs of the local governments as well. And in the same manner, Southwest’s success and ability to attract patrons increases the opportunity for local businesses to attract those customers as well. For example, customers that are flying Southwest are potential customers for the businesses within the airport, as well as for businesses in the general area where Southwest flights arrive and depart from. Financial Institutions Investment Bankers Financial Institutions Banks Private Capital The relationships between Southwest and these financial institutions, in general, are of a business nature. Funds are made available to fulfill both the needs of the lender and borrower. The financial institutions need to find lending opportunities that will provide interest revenues. Southwest needs to find lenders that are willing to invest in their business. Southwest meets the needs of the financial institutions by providing an investment opportunity that is reliable, without much risk, and will result in interest revenue. 210 Strategic Alliances Vendors Washington Lobbyists Boeing Airports Car Rental Companies Hotels The collaborative relationship between Southwest and these strategic alliances form a cooperative agreement between both parties. The vendors (including Boeing) need to sell their product and are willing to offer discounts to attract alliances and loyalty while Southwest needs inventory and fixed assets at the lowest cost possible. Washington lobbyists need funding and support. Also, these lobbyists and their political figures are constantly in need of a means of business travel. Southwest needs political backing in some legal and regulatory matters. Airports need to collect fees from airlines to enhance cash flow. They also need consumer traffic in and out of the airport to account for additional funds. Southwest needs a place to conduct their air transportation The needs of both Southwest and vendors are satisfied by the purchase of items from those vendors at discounted prices. By providing loyalty and support to lobbyists, and perhaps deep discounts on travel, Southwest is able to satisfy the needs of these lobbyists in exchange for a voice in the political world. Bringing in customers in droves and paying airport fees, Southwest is fulfilling the airports’ needs for various types of revenue. In an effort to kill two birds with one stone, Southwest has allowed hotel and car rental companies, in the past, to offer discounts to Southwest customers in combined specials. This has satisfied both needs of travelers and the lodging and car rental companies. 211 business. Car rental companies and hotels need customers. Southwest’s customers need lodging and ground transportation. Govt. and Environmental groups Texas Aeronautics Commission Federal Aviation Agency U.S. Department of Transportation The government and environmental groups provide structure, regulation, and oversight of the entire industry. These groups need to fulfill their mission of setting forth rules to regulate the activities of the air transportation industries and such. They basic need is to ensure order is maintained. To satisfy the needs of these groups, Southwest abides by the rules that are set in place without objection or creating complications. 212 APPENDIX B: ANSWER TO PANEL’S QUESTIONS 1. Why do you recommend that Southwest go into vacated markets? Why not take our “go get ‘em” attitude to more profitable markets where we know we can make money? We understand the concerns of the management at Southwest Airlines for my recommendation to enter vacated markets. The concept, however, we believe is fairly straightforward. We do not suggest that Southwest enter any market, even those that would be “obviously” profitable, blind eyed. We feel that this is an opportunity for Southwest to essentially give a knockout punch, for a share of the market, to your rivals. Most of your competitors are struggling to keep their heads above water after the events of 9/11. Many are going to need the bailout loans to function at a level just above bankruptcy. Although Southwest has lost a considerable amount of revenue to these circumstances you are still in superior standing to your rivals. The main point of this segment of our recommendation is that this is an opportunity to saturate the market with your presence. As we said in the presentation, when people think of flying domestically, the airline that should immediately come to mind is Southwest Airlines. You are also aware that there are over 100 cities vying for your services, some of these cities may be ones that you thought were not profitable because other airlines were already serving these cities. Now is the time to have your marketing department research which new destinations are right for Southwest. In conclusion, our recommendation, that Southwest differentiates or distinguishes itself from its rivals is just that. Southwest is in a financial position to take chances on new vacated markets that may have potential. After all, not many industry analysts believed that Southwest could make a dent in the Texas market flying out of the smaller Houston Hobby or Dallas Love Field. This is one of Southwest’s biggest strengths. Your ability to make work what many do not think will. We recommend that you use this strength to your advantage when the time is right. And that time is now. 2. With a 5% turnover rate, that would be approx. 1500 people. Does your recommendation for hiring 2000 more people include these 1500? Is it a constraint to have to weed thru 50,000 people? Yes, the hiring of 2,000 employees would be an addition to the 1,500 that were lost to the 5% turnover. So a total of 3,500 employees would need to be hired. Having to weed through 50,000 candidates is a time constraint setback but by doing this and interviewing more candidates, the new selection process will ensure that your company weeds out the right candidates. Although you may need to interview more people, it would be the best choice. This way you can be sure that your selections fit the selection process as well as the background checks. Since September 11th, 2001, employee and customer safety is a very high priority therefore; background checks and stricter security measures must be taken when hiring new employees for the future. 213 3. What are the demographics of the population? Consumers of the airline industry vary in age. Elderly people are less likely to fly, in general, because of fear, health, and income. Children and teens through age 18 do not purchase tickets for flights on their own. This leaves the general age categories of early adulthood to late middle age and everything in between as the airline industry’s main target age demographic. The actual population of the United States is increasing every single year. The age of most customers in the industry is between 15-64 years. There are nearly 194 million people in the United States that lie in that age group (66.7% of the entire population). The male to female ratio in that range is practically 1:1. The median age of all of the population is 35.8 years of age and the life expectancy is 77.14 years. The growth rate, itself, is 0.92%. Airline customers include all education levels and geographic locations. The occupations of consumers vary greatly, however white-collar business people, sales people, and executives account for many repeat and frequent fliers. Many people are staying single long and starting families later. The average annual per capita income is $37,000. The population’s living expenses are constantly rising. However, their income increases at a slower rate. Because of rising living expenses, the population is moving away from expensive metropolitan areas and into sparsely populated, less expensive areas of their states and of the U.S. in general. 4. What are the societal values in the changing economy? How does consumer confidence relate to the societal values? A misunderstanding of the concept of societal values in this analysis occurred. However we did reevaluate consumer confidence and found it does not fit into this opportunity of societal values. Instead it creates a new threat in the external environment that we have readdressed in the corresponding action plan. 214 5. Is it feasibility from a technical and cost standpoint to retrofit the overhead compartments so they can accept larger suitcases? Based upon a study we completed, there is adequate headroom to increase the size of the overhead compartments to accept a larger size suitcase. We feel this will not affect the overall weight of the plane because we are redistributing the weight we would have carried in the cargo department to the overhead compartment. While we believe it is feasible for the weight to be re-distributed to the upper section of the fuselage, we will not know for sure until we contract Boeing to evaluate changing the existing overhead compartment design. As part of this evaluation Boeing will run a Finite Element Analysis to determine the affect it will have on the structure of the plane. Our cost “estimate” which will be firmed up after Boeing completes the design proposal is: $1,000,000 for Boeing to complete the design proposal, and if feasible build the required tooling to produce the components needed for larger overhead compartments. Since the laptop power and communication ports would be designed into the overhead compartment, they are included in this estimate. We feel Boeing will share in the tooling costs because we will not claim exclusive rights to the tools. $7,000,000 total cost to retrofit the planes. This is based upon an average cost of $20,000 per plane times 353 planes. If needed to hold this budget, we could reduce our cost by using wireless communication and eliminate the power outlets. We feel we can hold this cost down by having the Southwest maintenance crew under the direction of Boeing employees retrofit the planes. The Southwest maintenance crew has a lot of time on their hands due to the depressed market. We feel by selling the right to run pop up advertisements we can find a partner who will bare the cost to retrofit the terminals for wireless communication. We would not install power outlets because we feel cables used by the passengers to access the power would be run in a hazardous manner. Wireless routers are presently available in many common area’s today and are not expensive to install or maintain. 215