ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY VALUATION AND WELFARE IMPROVEMENTS FROM GREEN TAXATION Rahimaisa Abdula INTRODUCTION Impact of environmental taxation has mostly been explored in literatures with pure focus upon productivity and other macroeconomic variables. Often left in the discussion is its positive impact upon household utility and thus upon welfare. Households derive negative utility from pollution emission; taxing emission of pollutants from production and from input use would then posit welfare improvements. This is often missed out in most analysis of green taxation, which treats it akin to producer taxes with burden passed on to consumers. Welfare analysis of green taxation could be improved by an explicit specification of pollution’s impact upon utility. Explicit specification of pollution into the utility of the households has rarely been done in CGE studies. An indirect allusion is made by Robinson,S (199?), where he modeled a dirty consumption good in the utility function together with other commodities; clean-up sector is then incorporated into the model. Most of the studies to date on environmental quality in CGE followed this tract. Bergman (1991) made environmental quality, which is a function of emission affect utility in a multiplicative exponential fashion. This enables separate analysis of pollution impacts upon utility and production and other macroeconomic variables. A green taxation has indirect effect upon utility through the reduction of consumption bundle, but has a direct effect of improving utility as emission which is a bad is reduced. To what extent the direct and indirect effect of green taxation influence the direction of utility depends upon the households’ share of the ‘dirty goods1 and upon the marginal utility responsiveness of the households. If the share of a particular household group to dirty consumption good is high and its marginal utility response is low, meaning it cares too little about environmental quality; then green taxation may have negative impact upon welfare. There is little information as to how household’s utility responds to pollution/ environmental quality. Bergman (1991) illustrated a multiplicative exponential negative effect of total emission. This has been mostly for the ease of analysis. Other forms by which pollution can affect utility may be explored. Responsiveness of utility may differ across income groups. 1 Consumption good that is produced by a dirty industry or is produced by a dirty factor. The rich may care more about it than the poor who just need to meet its lowest dietary requirements. It could be the case that middle income group respond more to it as the rich has access to preventive or defensive expenditures. Responsiveness may differ as well with the perceived effect they attach to it. Household may care more about a pollutant that has visible direct short-run effect (such as PM, SOX, NOX) as they suffer through its health and productivity effects and aesthetic and odor nuisances, than a pollutant that has a perceived more global and long-run effect such as carbon dioxide. This can be verified by conducting valuation studies of improved local air quality and of improved global climate scenario for instance. Households may have higher willingness to pay for improvement of local air quality as they see the visible impact of what they will pay for. In this exercise, some of these above-mentioned issues will be addressed. It first models emissions to affect utility in a multiplicative exponential fashion following Bergman model. It looks at two pollutants with different perceived impacts and three household groups with different marginal utility responsiveness. Households then are assumed to differ with respect to responsiveness across income group and across pollutants. It would conclude with comparisons of welfare effects of different policy instruments; specifically emission taxes from production and energy use. The Model The model has 3 sectors, 3 factors of production: labor, capital and energy, 3 households, high, medium and low-income group and 2 pollutants C02 and SOx. Production Production follows a Cobb-Douglas function. X(i)=Anek1- for i=agri/forestry, transpo and heavy-industries, services Output elasticities are as follows: L K E X1 .50 0.25 0.25 X2 .20 0.35 0.45 X3 .30 0.40 0.30 Pollution Pollution comes from emission from both production and use of energy inputs, and are proportional to output produced and amount of energy used respectively. EMISB(G,POL)=EMCOEF(G,POL)*QBENCH(G) pollution from production of g for pollutant pol; EMCOEF(G,POL) SOX CO2 X1 .005 .030 X2 .015 .020 X3 .020 .010 EMIFB(G,POL)=EMF(POL)*EBENCH(G) pollution from energy use; where EMF(pol)=/SOX 0.008 ,CO2 0.025/ TEMB(POL)=SUM(G,EMISB(G,POL)+ EMIFB(G,POL)) TAX Emission taxation is introduced in the model as an exogenous shock. Emission from production and factor use is taxed. Different combinations of policy instruments are analyzed. A simulation with taxes on Sox and/or carbon emission from production and/or energy is done. Simulation of differentiated emission tax across pollutant and sectors of production is also conducted. Budget balance is also assumed in the model. So government revenues are redistributed back to households in a progressive manner. Low income receive 0.4%, medium receives 0.35% and the high income group 0.25% Demand for production factors The cost function of the producer is given below: c(g)=wn(g)+rk(g)+pe(energy(g))+ total tax revenue C(G)=(((G)**(-(G)))*((G)**(-(G)))*((1-(G)-(G))**((G)+(G)-1))/AA(G)) + SUM(POL,TPOL(G,POL)*EMISB(G,POL))+ SUM(POL,TNRG(G,POL)*EMIFB(G,POL)); where TPOL=tax on pollution from production and TNRG=tax on emission from energy use From this cost function, we can apply the Shepard’s lemma to derive the factor demands: L(G)= C(G)*(G)*W**((G)-1)*R**(1-(G)-(G))*PE**((G)) C(G)=C(G)*(1-(G)-(G))*W**(G)*R**(-(G)-(G))*PE**((G)) N(G)=C(G)*(G)*W**(G)*R**(1-(G)-(G))*PE**((G)-1) Households Households’ utility is a function of consumption of goods from sectors 1-3 and is affected by emission by a multiplicative exponential fashion. U(h)=c1cc3expsum(pol,(MU(h,pol)*tem(pol)) where c(g) represent consumption of goods produced by sectors 1-3, There are different assumptions made regarding the MU(H,POL). Below lists the different scenarios. Impact of 10% SOX for emission from both production and factor use would be analyzed under the different MU assumptions. A. Impact of different marginal utility response of households upon welfare Marginal utility response is increasing in income MU(h,pol)=/High 0.4, Med 0.2, Low 0.1/ Marginal utility response is higher for middle income /High 0.2, Med 0.4, Low 0.1/ B. Impact of different WTP for reducing pollutants Marginal utility response is higher for local, increasing in income Marginal utility response is higher for global, increasing in income RESULTS The impact of green taxation when pollution is incorporated in the utility is analyzed first. Without regard for households’ valuation of environmental quality, a tax of 10% on Sox emission from both production and energy use leaves a reduction in the utility of households by a magnitude of –12-14%. High-income group consuming more of the goods produced by emission-intensive sectors or by energy, emission-intensive factor of production suffers most of the brunt of the taxation. If a positive utility response of households is incorporated, then it can be seen that the tax has actually led to increase in welfare. And this increase is dependent upon the magnitude of the HH utility response to emission. Assuming increasing MU in income, improvement in welfare occurs mostly to the group valuing it the most. In this case, the high- income group will have a 44% improvement in its utility. The poor however almost not caring about pollution has a negligible fall in welfare. If MU of the low income is a bit higher, that is they care a little more about it, then a 0.1 increment in MU for low income would lead to welfare improvements. Higher utility responsiveness corresponds to higher welfare gains. A tax of sox when households do not care about carbon yields improvements in welfare, but if households care only for carbon then, indirect effect of taxation, reduction in consumption dominates and pulls utility down for middle and low income. This could be verified with looking at utility changes when local is valued and carbon is taxed, then same negative utility change is engendered. It is also regressive in the sense that the lowest two income brackets suffer the negative brunt of taxation. Comparing the improvements in utilities from sox taxation when MU is increasing in income and when MU is higher with middle income, it can be deduced that the improvement is higher for the high income in the first case than the improvement middle income had in the second case. This points to the importance of the magnitude of the share of dirty consumption to households’ consumption. The high- income class consumes less of goods from sector 2 which has the highest sox emission compared to the middle income. Improvement then in middle income’s utility is tempered by the reduction in the goods they consume the most. Impact of 10% Sox tax on utility under different assumptions on MU Increasing in income MU(H) MU(h)=0 no tax 33,94 33,42 34,40 tax change 29,08 -16,73 28,79 -16,09 30,16 -14,08 MU(h)=.4,.2,.1 for both no tax tax change 0,61 0,89 30,78 4,49 5,03 10,64 12,61 12,60 -0,10 MU(h)=.6,.4,.3 MU(h)=.8,.5,.4 no tax tax change no tax tax change 0,08 0,16 47,10 0,01 0,03 59,26 0,60 0,88 31,21 0,22 0,37 39,78 1,70 2,20 22,94 0,62 0,92 32,39 Mu is higher in middle income classes MU for local is zero, global is + MU for local is +, global is 0 MU(h)=.4,.2,.1 for global MU(h)=.4,.2,.1 for local no tax tax change no tax tax change 3,05 3,43 12,50 6,83 7,33 7,23 10,02 9,89 -1,29 14,99 13,75 -8,28 18,83 17,67 -6,17 23,04 19,35 -16,00 MU(H)=.2,.4,.1 no tax tax change 1,37 1,74 27,49 2,02 2,56 26,84 12,61 12,60 -0,10 Policy instruments The impact of different emission tax packages is summarized in table 2. The following can be deduced: 1. Tax on one pollutant does not only reduce the emission of that pollutant but also of the other one. This can be seen with the impact of the sox tax to the total emission of carbon dioxide, and a sole tax on carbon on the total emission of sox. Taxing both the pollutants yield a greater gains in terms of reduction in total emissions. Taxing production instead of energy use yield higher reduction in total emissions. Differentiated tax across sectors seems to have a weaker impact in reducing total emissions compared to emission tax on output. And the best package in terms of reducing total emissions is a tax on both pollutants on both production and factor use. 2. Tax on emissions from input however seem to be more progressive in welfare terms. Almost all the other tax packages reduce utility of the low income, while most raise that of the middle and the high. 3. In terms of increase in GNP at factor prices, tax on both pollutants from emissions in both output and input use yields the highest gains. 4. Reduction in output has been severe under the tax on both pollutants/both output and input packages. Sector 2 which is the most pollutive had the largest production cuts. While tax on emission from inputs alone yield the slightest reductions. 5. Consumption of goods from all sectors and across households experience reductions as well. And again, the highest reduction is under the both pollutants/both output and input packages. Conclusions: 1. This exercise just sheds light on how important incorporation of direct utility impacts of pollution in the analysis of welfare implications of pollution taxation. 2. The impact of green taxation upon utility depends upon the magnitude of households’ shares of goods produced by dirty industry or dirty inputs and upon the magnitude of responsiveness of utility to environmental quality. 3. Policy instruments directed upon one pollutant may have effects as well on other pollutants. 4. Survey of possible intervention should be undertaken. What is obviously ‘the way to do it’ policy may not be the best in terms of environmental, welfare and economic improvements. Policy instruments could produce conflicting equity and growth implications. It is thus upon the governments to choose which package best minimize losses from it. 5. There is a dearth on studies incorporating environmental quality in utility, there’s a gray improvement on research frontier on this area. IMPACT OF EMISSION FROM PRODUCTION AND ENERGY USE TAXATION SAME MU(H,POL) INCREASING IN INCOME (L-HIGH-.4,MED.2,LOW.1, G-H-.4,M-.2,L-.1) BASE W P X1 X2 X3 Q X1 X2 X3 CD HIGH X1 X2 X3 CD MED X1 X2 X3 CD LOW X1 X2 X3 L X1 X2 X3 C X1 X2 X3 E X1 X2 X3 GNP UTILITY HIGH MED LOW TAX TEM SOX CO2 EMIS SOX X1 SOX X3 CO2 X3 EMIF SOX X1 CO2 X1 SOX X2 CO2 X2 SOX X3 CO2 X3 OUTPUT INPUT BOTH OUTPUT&INPUT S0X 10% C02 10% SOX/CO2 SOX 10% CO2 10% BOTH 10% 10% SOX 10% CO2 BOTH 10% 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.00 1.05 1.31 1.36 1.02 1.07 1.09 1.37 1.45 1.26 1.00 1.15 1.21 1.36 1.04 1.11 1.15 1.32 1.51 1.35 1.00 1.20 1.10 1.31 1.02 1.08 1.10 1.18 1.41 1.32 100.00 95.34 77.05 74.27 98.06 94.18 92.46 93.58 73.56 70.06 100.00 87.07 83.50 74.32 96.55 89.96 87.17 84.45 76.41 67.03 100.00 83.47 91.12 77.23 97.69 93.12 91.11 81.85 85.39 71.85 25.00 23.82 19.25 18.55 24.51 23.54 23.11 23.38 18.37 17.49 40.00 34.82 33.38 29.70 38.62 35.98 34.86 33.77 30.54 26.78 35.00 29.20 31.88 27.00 34.19 32.58 31.88 28.64 29.86 25.12 30.00 28.60 23.11 22.28 29.42 28.25 27.74 28.07 22.07 21.01 35.00 30.48 29.23 26.02 33.79 31.49 30.51 29.56 26.75 23.47 35.00 29.21 31.89 27.03 34.19 32.59 31.89 28.65 29.89 25.15 45.00 42.92 34.69 33.45 44.13 42.39 41.618 42.13 33.13 31.56 25.00 21.78 20.89 18.60 24.14 22.50 21.8 21.13 19.12 16.78 30.00 25.05 27.36 23.19 29.31 27.94 27.34 24.57 25.64 21.59 0.50 0.52 0.65 0.67 0.51 0.53 0.54 0.53 0.68 0.71 0.20 0.23 0.24 0.27 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.26 0.30 0.30 0.36 0.33 0.39 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.37 0.35 0.42 0.25 0.26 0.33 0.34 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.34 0.36 0.35 0.40 0.42 0.48 0.36 0.39 0.40 0.42 0.46 0.53 0.40 0.48 0.44 0.52 0.41 0.43 0.44 0.49 0.47 0.56 0.25 0.26 0.33 0.34 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.34 0.36 0.45 0.52 0.54 0.61 0.47 0.50 0.52 0.53 0.59 0.67 0.30 0.36 0.33 0.39 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.37 0.35 0.42 300.00 300.80 301.20 302.01 300.16 300.50 300.66 300.96 301.71 302.67 33.94 0.84 1.00 1.24 0.66 0.77 0.81 0.89 1.15 1.43 33.42 4.94 5.24 5.55 4.61 4.83 4.92 5.03 5.46 5.73 34.40 12.62 12.29 12.15 12.63 12.63 12.62 12.60 12.19 11.94 0.00 0.40 0.60 1.00 0.08 0.25 0.33 0.48 0.85 1.33 4.01 3.46 3.47 3.04 3.90 3.69 3.60 3.38 3.23 2.80 6.03 5.47 4.92 4.52 5.88 5.58 5.46 5.34 4.62 4.20 0.500 0.477 0.385 0.371 0.490 0.471 0.462 0.468 0.368 0.350 2.000 1.669 1.822 1.545 1.954 1.862 1.822 1.637 1.708 1.437 1.000 0.835 0.911 0.772 0.977 0.931 0.911 0.819 0.854 0.719 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.006 0.007 0.008 0.008 0.006 0.007 0.007 0.007 0.008 0.009 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.005 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.005 0.005 0.011 0.013 0.013 0.015 0.012 0.013 0.013 0.013 0.015 0.017 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.007 0.009 0.008 0.010 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.009 0.009 0.010 A. S0X 10%, C02% 5% B. DIFFERENT ACROSS ACTIVITIES SOX CO2 X1 0.02 0.10 X2 0.05 0.05 X3 0.1 0.02 DIFFERENTIATED A B 1.01 1.01 1.39 1.39 1.26 1.26 1.27 1.27 80.11 72.82 74.73 80.29 76.52 79.71 20.01 18.19 29.87 32.09 26.76 27.87 24.03 21.84 26.16 28.10 26.78 27.90 36.08 32.79 18.70 20.09 22.98 23.93 0.62 0.69 0.27 0.25 0.39 0.38 0.32 0.35 0.47 0.44 0.53 0.51 0.31 0.34 0.60 0.56 0.39 0.38 301.82 301.78 1.17 1.17 5.45 5.47 12.31 12.11 0.91 0.89 3.06 3.17 4.70 4.62 0.401 0.364 1.530 1.594 0.765 0.797 0.002 0.003 0.008 0.009 0.005 0.004 0.015 0.014 0.003 0.003 0.010 0.009 Appendix A. PROGRAM $TITLE SIMPLE CGE MODEL OPTION LIMROW = 0 OPTION LIMCOL = 0 * OPTION SOLPRINT = OFF SETS G GOODS /X1 AGRI AND FORESTRY X2 TRANSPO AND UTILITY X3 INDUSTRY AND OTHER SERVICES/ H HOUSEHOLD /HIGH,MED,LOW/ POL POLLUTANT /SOX, CO2/ ALIAS (POL,POLP) PARAMETERS A(G) OUTPUT ELASTICITY OF LABOR /X1 .50, X2 .20, X3 .30/ E(G) OUTPUT ELASTICITY OF ENERGY /X1 .25, X2 .45, X3 .30/ AA(G) SCALE FACTOR IN PRODUCTION FUNCTION BB(H) SCALE FACTOR IN UTILITY FUNCTION FOR HOUSEHOLD H /HIGH 1.0, MED 1.0, LOW 1.0/ TG(G) TAX RATE ON GOODS /X1 0.00,X2 0.00, X3 0.00/ LH(H) LABOR ENDOWMENT OF HOUSEHOLD H /HIGH 25, MED 30,LOW 45/ CH(H) CAPITAL ENDOWMENT OF HOUSEHOLD H /HIGH 35,MED 35,LOW 30/ EH(H) ENERGY ENDOWMENT OF HOUSEHOLD H /HIGH 40,MED 35,LOW 25/ STRANS(H) SHARE OF TRANSFERS ACCRUING TO HOUSEHOLD H /HIGH 0.25, MED 0.35, LOW 0.4/ C(G) COST FUNCTION CONSTANT UCONST(H) EXPENDITURE FUNCTION CONSTANT UBENCH(H) BENCHMARK UTILITY OF HOUSEHOLD H /HIGH 33,MED 33,LOW 34/ PGBENCH(G) BENCHMARK PRICES OF GOODS /X1 1.0, X2 1.0,X3 1.0/ WBENCH BENCHMARK PRICE OF LABOR RBENCH BERNCHMARK PRICE OF CAPITAL PEBENCH PRICE OF ENERGY BENCHMARK QBENCH(G) BENCHMARK QUANTITIES OF GOODS /X1 100,X2 100,X3 100/ LGBENCH(G) BENCHMARK ALLOCATION OF LABOR /X1 50,X2 20,X3 30/ CGBENCH(G) BENCHMARK ALLOCATION OF CAPITAL /X1 25,X2 35,X3 40/ EBENCH(G) BENCHMARK ENERGY /X1 25,X2 45,X3 30/ EMF(POL) EMISSION COEFFICIENT OF ENERGY PER POLLUTANT /SOX 0.008 ,CO2 0.025/ * EM(POL) TOTAL EMISSION OF POLLUTANT TPOL(G,POL) TAX ON POLLUTANT EMISB(G,POL) EMISSION COEF FOR SOX NOX IN OUTPUT EMIFB(G,POL) EMISSION COEF FOR ENERGY EMISSIONS TNRG(G,POL) TAX ON ENERGY STP(POL) TEMB(POL) ; $ontext TABLE MU(H,POL) SOX RESPONSE OF UTILITY TO CHANGES IN EMISSIONS CO2 HIGH 0.4 0.4 MED 0.2 0.2 LOW 0.1 0.1 $OffTEXT TABLE MU(H,POL) SOX CO2 HIGH 0.0 0.0 MED 0.0 0.0 LOW 0.0 0.0 TABLE TPOL(G,POL) TAX ON POLLUTANT FOR ACTIVITY SOX ; CO2 X1 0.00 0.0 X2 0.00 0.0 X3 0.00 0.0 TABLE TNRG(G,POL) SOX TAX ON ENERGY CO2 X1 0.00 0.00 X2 0.00 0.00 X3 0.00 0.00 ; TABLE DG(H,G) UTILITY ELASTICITY OF GOODS FOR HOUSEHOLD H X1 X2 X3 LOW .45 .25 .30 MED .30 .35 .35 HIGH .25 .40 .35 ; TABLE EMCOEF(G,POL) SOX CO2 X1 .005 .030 X2 .015 .020 X3 .020 .010 ; EMISB(G,POL)=EMCOEF(G,POL)*QBENCH(G); EMIFB(G,POL)=EMF(POL)*EBENCH(G); TEMB(POL)=SUM(G,EMISB(G,POL)+ EMIFB(G,POL)); STP(POL)=TEMB(POL)/SUM(POLP,TEMB(POLP)); AA(G)=A(G)**(-A(G))*E(G)**(-E(G))*(1-A(G)-E(G))**(-((1-A(G)-E(G)))); C(G)=((A(G)**(-A(G)))*(E(G)**(-E(G)))*((1-A(G)-E(G))**(E(G)+A(G)-1))/AA(G)) + SUM(POL,TPOL(G,POL)*EMISB(G,POL))+ SUM(POL,TNRG(G,POL)*EMIFB(G,POL)); ; UCONST(H)=(PROD(G,DG(H,G)**(-DG(H,G))))/BB(H); VARIABLES W PRICE OF LABOR R PRICE OF CAPITAL P(G) PRICE OF GOOD G Q(G) OUTPUT OF GOOD G CD(H,G) CONSUMPTION OF GOOD G BY HOUSEHOLD H RL(G) UNIT LABOR DEMAND IN SECTOR G RC(G) UNIT CAPITAL DEMAND IN SECTOR G EN(G) UNIT ENERGY DEMAND IN SECTOR G Y TOTAL DISPOSABLE INCOME YH(H) DISPOSABLE INCOME OF HOUSEHOLD H GNP GROSS NATIONAL INCOME AT FACTOR COST U(H) UTILITY OF HOUSEHOLD H EV(H) EQUIVALENT VARIATION FOR HOUSEHOLD H TAX TOTAL TAX BILL TEM TOTAL EMISSIONS PE PRICE OF ENERGY EMIS(G,POL) EMISSION FROM GOOD BY POLLUTANT EMIF(G,POL) EMISSION FROM ENERGY USE BY POLLUTANT EQUATIONS YDEF DEFINITION OF TOTAL DISPOSABLE INCOME * Associated free variable: Y DISP(H) DEFINITION OF DISPOSABLE INCOME OF HOUSEHOLD H * Associated free variable: YH(H) NATIO DEFINITION OF GNP * Associated free variable: GNP TAXDEF DEFINITION OF TOTAL TAX BILL * Associated free variable: TAX UTILITY(H) UTILITY FUNCTION OF HOUSEHOLD H * Associated free variable: U(H) EQUIVAR(H) DEFINITION OF EQUIVALENT VARIATION OF HOUSEHOLD H * Associated free variable: EV(H) DEMAND(H,G) DEMAND FOR GOODS BY HOUSEHOLD H * Associated free variable: CD(H,G) SUPPLY(G) UNIT LOSS FOR GOOD G * Associated free variable: Q(G) MARKET(G) MARKET CLEARING CONDITION FOR GOOD G * Associated free variable: P(G) LABDEM(G) UNIT DEMAND FOR LABOR IN SECTOR G * Associated free variable: RL(G) CAPDEM(G) UNIT DEMAND FOR CAPITAL IN SECTOR G * Associated free variable: RC(G) LABMARK MARKET EQUILIBRIUM FOR LABOR * Associated free variable: W CAPMARK MARKET EQUILIBRIUM FOR CAPITAL * Associated free variable: R TEMEQ(POL) TOTAL EMISSION ENDEM ENERGY DEMAND *ASSOCIATED FREE VARIABLE: EN(G) EMARK ENERGY MARKET EQUILIBRIUM *ASSOC FREE VARIABLE EH(H) EMIDEMG(G,POL) EMISSION DEMAND FOR ACTIVITY *ASSOC FREE VARIABLE EMIS(G,POL) EMIDEMF(G,POL) EMISSION DEMAND FOR ENERGY USE *ASSOC FREE VARIABLE EMIF(G,POL) ; YDEF.. Y=E=SUM(H,YH(H)); DISP(H).. YH(H)=E=W*LH(H)+R*CH(H)+PE*EH(H)+STRANS(H)*TAX; NATIO.. GNP=E=SUM(H,W*LH(H)+R*CH(H)+PE*EH(H)); TAXDEF.. TAX=E=SUM(G,TG(G)*P(G)*Q(G))+ SUM(G,SUM(POL,TPOL(G,POL)*EMISB(G,POL)))+ SUM(G,SUM(POL,TNRG(G,POL)*EMIFB(G,POL))); UTILITY(H).. U(H)=E=PROD(G,CD(H,G)**DG(H,G))*EXP(- (SUM(POL,(TEM(POL)*MU(H,POL))))); EQUIVAR(H).. DEMAND(H,G).. EV(H)=E=UCONST(H)*(PROD(G,PGBENCH(G)**DG(H,G)))*(UBENCH(H)-U(H)); (1+TG(G))*P(G)*CD(H,G)=E=DG(H,G)*YH(H); SUPPLY(G).. C(G)*W**A(G)*R**(1-A(G)-E(G))*PE**(E(G))=E= P(G); MARKET(G).. Q(G)=E=SUM(H,CD(H,G)); LABDEM(G).. RL(G)=E=C(G)*A(G)*W**(A(G)-1)*R**(1-E(G)-A(G))*PE**(E(G)); CAPDEM(G).. RC(G)=E=C(G)*(1-A(G)-E(G))*W**A(G)*R**(-A(G)-E(G))*PE**(E(G)); ENDEM(G).. EN(G)=E=C(G)*E(G)*W**A(G)*R**(1-E(G)-A(G))*PE**(E(G)-1); LABMARK.. SUM(H,LH(H))=E=SUM(G,RL(G)*Q(G)); CAPMARK.. SUM(H,CH(H))=E=SUM(G,RC(G)*Q(G)); EMARK.. SUM(H,EH(H))=E=SUM(G,EN(G)*Q(G)); TEMEQ(POL).. TEM(POL)=E=SUM(G,EMIS(G,POL)+ EMIF(G,POL)); EMIDEMG(G,POL).. EMIS(G,POL)=E=EMCOEF(G,POL)*Q(G); EMIDEMF(G,POL).. EMIF(G,POL)=E=EMF(POL)*EN(G); MODEL OPEN SIMPLE OPEN-ECONOMY CGE MODEL / UTILITY.U, EQUIVAR.EV, NATIO.GNP, DISP.YH, TAXDEF.TAX, DEMAND.CD, SUPPLY.Q, MARKET.P, LABDEM.RL, CAPDEM.RC, LABMARK.W, CAPMARK.R, TEMEQ.TEM, ENDEM.EN,EMARK.PE,EMIDEMG.EMIS, EMIDEMF.EMIF/ ; * NUMERAIRE R.FX=1.000 ; * BOUNDS ON VARIABLES W.LO=0.01; CD.LO(H,G)=0.01; * INITIAL VALUES W.L=1.00; Y.L=300; YH.L(H)=300; Q.L(G)=QBENCH(G); * TEM.L= TEM; PE.L= 1.00; P.L(G) =PGBENCH(G); EMIS.LO(G,POL)=0; EMIF.LO(G,POL)=0; SOLVE OPEN USING MCP; DISPLAY GNP.L, Y.L, YH.L, U.L, EV.L, Q.L, CD.L, P.L, W.L, PE.L, R.L, RL.L, RC.L,EMIS.L,EMIF.L,TEM.L,EN.L;