My Entry for Winter Forecast Challenge

advertisement
Name _________________________________________
Date _________________________
2006-2007 Winter Forecast Challenge
Philadelphia International Airport is our local reporting station (note: average winter snowfall = 19.3 inches).
Note that this is south and east of Abington and their overall winter conditions and their specific conditions
during an actual winter storm can significantly differ from our reported conditions here in Abington.
Time Period
Ex. Nov. Temperatures
Ex. Nov. Snowfall
December Temperatures
December Snowfall
January Temperatures
January Snowfall
February Temperatures
February Snowfall
March Temperatures
March Snowfall
Largest Snowstorm (inches) of
the 2006-2007 Winter
Month in Which We
Will Receive Our Largest
Snowstorm
Total Snow Days in ASD
Total Late Arrivals in ASD
Total Early Dismissals in ASD
Month, Day, and Year of First
Measurable Snowfall Recorded
(“Trace” or Greater) at
Philadelphia International
Airport
Bonus: Total Winter Snowfall
Reported (inches) at Willow
Grove Naval Base. If your
prediction is within 5 inches of
the actual amount you may
discard the prediction that had
the largest value of error. Thus,
this prediction will not count
against your total error.
Prediction: For
temperature, predict a
degree value either
above (+) or below (-)
normal. For snowfall
use inches as your unit.
- 1.8 degrees
0.2 inches
+ 0.3 (above normal)
2.7 inches
-1.3 (below normal)
10.3 inches
-0.8 (below normal)
5.8 inches
+ 2.3 (above normal)
2.2 inches
8.4 inches
Actual
Difference
Total
Error
- 0.4 degrees
2.3 inches
1.4 degrees
2.1 inches
1.4
3.5
January
2
3
1
December 5, 2006
DOES NOT
APPLY.
BONUS
PREDICTION
ONLY. SEE
COLUMN ON
FAR LEFT
FOR
FURTHER
DETAILS.
29.1 inches
Total Error =
Download