Name _________________________________________ Date _________________________ 2006-2007 Winter Forecast Challenge Philadelphia International Airport is our local reporting station (note: average winter snowfall = 19.3 inches). Note that this is south and east of Abington and their overall winter conditions and their specific conditions during an actual winter storm can significantly differ from our reported conditions here in Abington. Time Period Ex. Nov. Temperatures Ex. Nov. Snowfall December Temperatures December Snowfall January Temperatures January Snowfall February Temperatures February Snowfall March Temperatures March Snowfall Largest Snowstorm (inches) of the 2006-2007 Winter Month in Which We Will Receive Our Largest Snowstorm Total Snow Days in ASD Total Late Arrivals in ASD Total Early Dismissals in ASD Month, Day, and Year of First Measurable Snowfall Recorded (“Trace” or Greater) at Philadelphia International Airport Bonus: Total Winter Snowfall Reported (inches) at Willow Grove Naval Base. If your prediction is within 5 inches of the actual amount you may discard the prediction that had the largest value of error. Thus, this prediction will not count against your total error. Prediction: For temperature, predict a degree value either above (+) or below (-) normal. For snowfall use inches as your unit. - 1.8 degrees 0.2 inches + 0.3 (above normal) 2.7 inches -1.3 (below normal) 10.3 inches -0.8 (below normal) 5.8 inches + 2.3 (above normal) 2.2 inches 8.4 inches Actual Difference Total Error - 0.4 degrees 2.3 inches 1.4 degrees 2.1 inches 1.4 3.5 January 2 3 1 December 5, 2006 DOES NOT APPLY. BONUS PREDICTION ONLY. SEE COLUMN ON FAR LEFT FOR FURTHER DETAILS. 29.1 inches Total Error =