MARINE AND COASTAL ECOSYSTEMS GROUPS MANGROVES 1 – Climate change risks to mangrove a) Key climate change impacts that may affect mangroves sedimentation due to upstream erosion (as caused by deforestation, poor land use practices) particles are washed to mangroves (mangrove stands becoming smaller) due to wind erosion, to waves ; sédimentation in mangroves Sea level rise : considered as of low impact on mangroves up to now but needs to be mitigated Flooding permanently with sea water some part of the mangrove which will die Abnormal droughts : reduction in freshwater input, thus also nutrients. Affect performance and reproductive potential, stand development, mangrove structure, siltation at river mouth as this latter will no longer be able to flush away the accumulated sediment Abnormal precipitations : flooding leading to erosion upstream and sedimentation downstream – mangrove stands die if their roots are exposed to freshwater for few days ; change in chenal course if it encounters blockage (from sediment and tree trunk carried by the river) ; thus, the portion of mangrove affected will no more receive sea water input. cyclones and strong winds may uproot trees b) Species, sites, regions and processes particularly vulnerable to climate change As species vulnerability is mostly linked to sites vulnerability, the group discussed more on identifying the sites that are vulnerable. There are: - Riverin mangroves Belo-sur-Tsiribihina : flooding and sedimentation Bombetoka : flooding, sedimentation, land use practices (rice cultivation) Mahajamba : flooding, sedimentation, land use practices (aquaculture) Sahamalaza : flooding, sedimentation (deforestation, road construction, erosion upstream) - sites exposed to cyclones du nord est : cyclones, Sites of the North East - islets mangrove sites with no or poor sediment input, no space for landward migration are strongly vulnerable to climate change 2- Resistant and resilient to climate change mangroves Conditions : - Mixed species mangroves stands Gradual sedimentation (allowing enough time for colonization) uneven aged stands topography + zonation freshwater input Identification of sites matching these conditions - all mangrove sites (off the west coast) have mixed stands, at least 3 or 4 species - all sites off the West coast from Manombo except Belo-sur-mer : freshwater input - deltaic mangroves : from Bombetoka to Ambaro developping in bays, favourable topography (light slope) allowing landward migration, freshwater input such as Belo-sur-tsiribihina : topography supposing gradual sedimentation and landward migration possibility, freshwater input - Sites of the Nord-East : freshwater input - Belo-sur-mer : lagoon mangrove with high regeneration, topography, stands of 14-15 m tall 3 - Key non climate stressors Anthropic activities ; Overlogging, overexploitation (e.g. for charcoaling, timber, …) Clearing Urbanization Aquaculture Pollution (e.g. sewage) Mining (sedimentation, pollution, …) land use practices : overgrazing, poor farming practices, 4) Most important geographic area in terms of marine biodiversity Most of the West coast mangrove sites : commercial fisheries among which shrimp fishery Sites of the Nord CORAL REEFS Network considerations and principles Network design principles need to be expressed in forms necessary for policy uptake (CEP), and in MPA selection and management (many publications can support this process). Key concepts mentioned include: Currents and connectivity - insufficiently understood for improving informed design of an MPA network. Source/sink relationships – larvae/spillover. Linkages among marine ecosystems - coral reef, mangrove, seagrass ecosystems Land-sea interactions - ICZM around the MPAs. Multiple sites and replication – encourage recovery in the long term. Multiple objectives and reasons for MPAs – biodiversity, fisheries, etc need to be synergized Priority sites and regions not enough knowledge to effectively prioritize among sites to suggest new ones. existing MPAs and efforts should be strengthened while prioritizing new sites for MPAs. The total area for MPAs needs to be increased significantly Gaps in research and monitoring 1. Revize and update the coral susceptibility maps with improved indicators/variables. 2. Current and basic oceanographic understanding of the Madagascar coast, incorporating: - modeling of currents at a reasonable scale to infer connections between sites along the coast - groundtruthing and validation of the models at a few key sites that can also serve to inform zoning and network decisions at the MPA site level. 3. Measurement of more environmental variables to understand natural variability to better understand anthropogenic impacts – e.g. sedimentation. With good spatial/temporal design. 4. More RAPs (Rapid Assessment surveys), priorities and gaps need to be identified and coordinated among groups to streamline information flow. 5. Data management and coordination – need for database/GIS centralization integrated with large/remote sensing datasets, e.g. with Rebioma. 6. Coastal erosion vulnerability critically needed, e.g. where barriers such as Tulear reef are eroding. Driving the policy process in support of an MPA network strong synergy needed between outputs and follow-up from this workshop and the CEP policy process to support this, we addressed broader concepts behind MPA selection to steer policy formulation at the highest level. SPECIES GROUP Marine mammals: Up to 28 cetaceans species and the dugong Some resident populations, some migratory (large baleen whales) Some species live near shore, others off-shore Hunting is primary threat to near shore in some areas Commercial by-catch and extractive industries likely impact, poorly understood Actions: Reduce non-climate stressors Include climate change effects in outreach and education Integrate mammals into MPA design, location choice, goals, management Create networks of reserves to allow range shifts Work with long-term monitoring projects to gather more scientific data Work with fisheries, whale-watchers, others to collect more data Caveat: need financing to analyze data, and some means of quality control Work with communities to create local laws, “Dina,” for conservation of local populations Use national laws to regulate industrial activities (mining, oil/gas, major development) Data gaps: Basic distribution and abundance information Basic information on trophic interactions What do mammals feed on and where? How will climate change affect the distribution and abundance of these food items? How will changes in mammal populations interact with other climate change effects? Marine turtles 5 species in Madagascar; 4 breed here Extensively hunted in many areas, but poorly documented Maps of nesting beaches from 1992; overharvest may’ve eliminated some beaches Actions Use community-based turtle tagging to increase local buy-in to turtle conservation and gain data Develop alternative food sources Difficult because requires cultural change Reforestation above nesting beaches to reduce flooding, sedimentation Integrate turtles into MPA design, location choice, goals, management Create networks of reserves Allows range shift with increasing temperature Allows change of nesting beach location in the event of local beach loss Protect natural vegetation along nesting beaches Data gaps Current nesting beach distribution Location of feeding grounds, juvenile staging areas, hatchling migration paths