How to Succeed Without Really Flying: A Comparative Analysis of the Development of the Aerospace Industries of Japan and South Korea Gamal Ibrahim, David Smith and Michael Zhang Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham, UK Abstract This paper reviews the development of the aerospace industry in Asia. The growth of the aerospace sector across the region is first considered, together with the nature and types of industrial policy used to foster aerospace capabilities. A comparative analysis is used to contrast the different forms of industrial policy that have been employed. This analysis is based on case studies of the aerospace industries of Japan and South Korea. The development of the aerospace industry in each country is traced together with the forms of policy used. It is found that while both countries have followed broadly similar three stage strategies, they have been implemented very differently. This has led to different patterns of development particularly in relation to the relative importance of the military and civil sectors. Overall the study concludes that South Korea has made markedly less progress than Japan in developing its aerospace industry. The reasons for this in terms of both institutional and economic factors are examined and assessed. Theoretical Context The ideological shift towards neo-liberalism has gained significant momentum following the slowing down of the Japanese economy in the late 1990s and the 1997 East Asian financial crisis, and many commentators have come to advice the discarding of developmental role of the state in industrial transformation and equitable growth (Noland, 2007, Mok and Yep 2008). Industrial policy is seen as a problem not a solution. Close state-business relations are treated as a sign of crony capitalism, which is underpinned by inefficient state intervention leading to structural deficiencies and corrupt regimes (Luo, 2002; Kang, 2002). 1 Against this background, the emphasis of state-business relations falls largely on promoting good governance based on clear property rights, checks and balances to control for rent seeking and corruption, and other measures which serve to reduce transaction costs. In this paper, we provide a different perspective, one which rejects the forced separation between states and markets. We build on the crucial insights by Evans (1995) and Weiss (1995, 1998) into state-business connectedness to understand the dynamic relation between the two social institutions. As Weiss (1998, p 64) points out, ‘state connectedness without insulation is likely to breed rent-seeking and distribution coalitions that can smother industrial vitality. By contrast, insulation without connectedness may widen information gaps that encourage policy failure. But states which combine both insulation and connectedness…. are equipped with greater institutional assets for minimizing these changes and for achieving policy successes’. There is a clear developmental role for the connected state that goes beyond a market failure approach advocated by the neo-liberal approach, which reduces the role of the state to merely establishing market institutions and adopting macro-economic stabilisation policies. Rather than simply appealing to private property rights, the policy recommendations advocated in this paper recognise that markets, particularly those involving advanced technology based products, involve more than the exchange of existing resources. There is a prime emphasis on creating incentives for production and investment. This links the study of economic organisations to the institutions surrounding them, such as government agencies, financial institutions and universities supporting R&D in industry. Underlying the effective role of institutions in development across different national states lies conscious decision making by the state (Nelson, 1998). This surpasses the abstract notion of the market as solely a form of exchange to concentrate on the complex set of national institutions that sustain or constrain development and technical change (Abramovitz, 1952). As Weiss (1995, p 591) notes, ‘many recent studies fail to pay sufficient attention to the possible importance of cooperation in a theory of state capacity…. The danger is that in trying to bring capital back in, the state is being marginalized or diminished, in a negative-sum manner’. 2 Competing in international markets needs trained, qualified labour as well as producing products of high standards. Indigenous technological capabilities seem vital for industrialisation, a process which is carried out through learning by doing (the development of competitive capabilities may be costly and prolonged, depending on the complexity and scale of technology). It involves interactions with other firms and institutions, and apart from physical inputs, it calls for various new skills from the education system (Nelson, 1993). An active policy requires a state capable of fostering technological capability, picking up the promising industries and breaking them into the market. This fits in with Kaldor’s model (1981) of endogenous growth where the accumulation in human capital and technology creates externalities within the economic system through increasing returns to scale and the social or industry wide returns of R&D. Kaldor recognised the complementarities that exist in the real world between the demand for products, the demand for factors of production and activities in general, in contrast to equilibrium theory in which goods and factors of production are competitive and price is the prime signal for allocation of resources (Kaldor, 1972). Producer behaviour seems to be affected mainly by quantity signals rather than mere price signals. Building on the above, one could see the fallacy of the forced separation between the state and the market. As Landesmann and Abel (1995, p.137) argue, ‘the vital question is not whether the state should or should not intervene but rather, what are the types of state intervention which can increase the response rate of agents (firms, households, workers) to a newly market environment and equip them with ‘capabilities’ allowing them to respond more flexibly to market signals’. Latecomers and the Catch-up Process in the Aerospace Industry Across Asia, several nations have for a long time harboured powerful ambitions to be major players in the global aerospace industry. A senior Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) official in Japan summarised these ambitions very effectively when 3 he noted, ‘a nation without an aircraft industry will never pass as an industrial nation of the first rank’ (Samuels, 1994). And yet despite these ambitions the aerospace industry globally has been dominated by the US throughout the period since World War 2 (Smith, 2001). As table 1 shows even in the mid-1990s some 60% of global aerospace sales (excluding Russia) were accounted for by the US. This position reflects both the military and technological power of the US and in the commercial sector the success of the US in the development of commercial jet airliners (Heppenheimer, 1995). Table 1 Aerospace Industry Sales 1975-97 US UK France Germany Japan Canada Italy 1975 ($billion) 29.7 3.6 3.6 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.7 1980 ($billion) 54.7 9.3 8.3 4.9 1.8 2.0 1.8 1985 ($billion) 96.6 8.0 8.1 5.1 3.5 2.1 2.4 1990 ($billion) 134.4 19.1 18.5 15.0 7.6 4.9 6.3 1997 ($billion) 133.7 24.7 18.8 11.2 11.5 5.4 5.2 Source: Kimura (2006) Other nations have in recent years begun to challenge the US in some sectors of the industry with the result that US domination in aerospace has begun to be eroded. The success of the Airbus consortium in the civil aviation sector has helped the main European players, namely the UK, France and Germany, increase their share of the global aerospace industry to a little over a quarter. However the Europeans were building on a position of strength since they already had established aerospace industries and could even match the US in some fields. Asian nations in contrast were latecomers seeking first to establish an aerospace industry before they could contemplate trying to catch-up. Against this background, Japan’s achievement of having built a significant presence in the aerospace industry (table 1) is all the more remarkable. The extent of the Asian challenge is detailed through case studies of the aerospace industries of Japan and South Korea. The development of the aerospace industry in each 4 of these latecomer economies is traced over the period since World War 2. In each case the phases of the catch-up process are outlined together with the forms of policy designed to foster catch-up. It is notable that the catch-up process has been similar in both countries in so far as each has loosely followed what Goldstein (2002) describes as a three phase process involving: Co-production usually involving. license production to gain familiarisation with aerospace requirements Sub-contracting to develop a robust subcontractor capability Systems integration and assembly Significantly while both countries have loosely followed this process, the policies designed to implement it have been very different. The paper examines the development of the aerospace industries in Japan and Korea and sets out the institutional mechanisms through which firms evolve. This requires an approach which recognises the role of historicity and path dependence. This does not mean a single unique route needs to be followed. It simply means that a limited set of paths can be followed in the future and that these depend fundamentally on where the existing path has already reached (Ibrahim and Galt, 2002). Further down whichever route is followed other changes can be taken on board. But such changes require the prerequisites to be in place and to be accepted. This notion of path-dependency contrasts sharply with the neo-classical economics notion of historical efficiency (Hodgson, 1993), as free markets may lock-in a development path that does not settle to equilibrium. The Anglo-Saxon model based on inter-rivalry firms down plays the critical aspects of organisational learning and adaptability, networks and other determinants of product quality and industrial excellence (Amin, 1996). The acquisition of knowledge of manufacturing technology is often a lengthy process, which warrants government encouragement. Access to technology and a healthy surrounding national system of innovation is essential for corporate competitiveness (Nelson and Rosenberg, 1993, UNIDO, 2002). 5 Japan’s Aerospace Industry Japan was banned from engaging in aerospace production from 1945 to 1952. This 7 year period was critical as it was a time of massive technological change in aerospace as piston-engined aircraft gave way to jets. Despite the ensuing hiatus, three of the largest pre-war aerospace firms, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI), Kawasaki Heavy Industries (KHI) and Fuji Heavy Industries (FHI) re-emerged in the mid-1950s as aerospace manufacturers, albeit on a very much reduced scale. At the same time in order to facilitate the re-building of the industry, aircraft production was placed under the strong control of MITI. Re-entry into the aerospace industry ironically came with the help of the US government which actively encouraged Japanese manufacturers to undertake repair and maintenance contracts for the US air force stationed in Japan in the aftermath of the Korean War (Mowery and Rosenberg, 1985). This helped aircraft manufacturers advance their engineering skills rapidly but at the same time highlighted just how far they had fallen behind (Kimura, 2006). In order to advance their capabilities all three Japanese manufacturers quickly moved to undertake licenced production of US military aircraft. MHI undertook licenced production of the North American F-86 fighter and KHI the Lockheed T-33 trainer. Both aircraft allowed the Japanese industry to gain badly need expertise in the area of jetpowered aircraft (McGuire, 2007). In the case of the North American F-86 fighter the indigenous element eventually reached 60%. Although licenced production helped Japanese manufacturers build basic manufacturing capabilities and facilities for the production of jet aircraft, by the late 1950s MITI was concerned at Japan’s passive dependence on licenced production of military aircraft (Kimura, 2006). MITI began to promote the idea of an indigenous civil airliner project. This duly emerged as the YS-11 national project, designed to provide a replacement for the ageing Douglas DC3 airliner still widely used in Japan at the time. The YS-11 began in the mid-1960s and a feature of the project was very close cooperation between the 6 main Japanese manufacturers, MHI, KHI and FHI in a consortium (known as NAMCO) under the direction of MITI. Although more than 180 YS-11s had been built by the time the project finished in 1974, it was not a success in purely commercial terms. However in technological terms it helped greatly in advancing the Japanese aircraft industry’s design, development and manufacturing skills and capabilities. From the mid-1970s the major aircraft manufacturers, MHI, KHI and FHI, began undertaking small scale subcontracting work on programmes such as Boeing’s B747SP. As ‘piece part subcontractors’ their work was largely confined to component manufacture. Another very significant feature of the project was that it helped to create a dense industrial network involving close collaboration between Japan’s leading aerospace manufacturers. According to Kimura (2006: p132) this industrial network based on trust and collaboration, ‘became an important organising basis on which Japanese aircraft manufacturers were able to upgrade their status’. The YS-11 was followed by a proposal for a more advanced jet airliner, the YX in the early 1970s. However the lack of commercial success for the YS-11 led MITI to seek less risky routes to market. Under MITI’s guidance the YX was quietly dropped in favour of a different form of collaborative project this time involving the Japanese manufacturers working with the US aerospace giant, Boeing, on its proposed new wide-bodied twin jet, the B767.. Launched in 1978, the B767 involved the Japanese partners taking a 15% share in the programme which MITI directed as a consortium called the Civil Transport Development Corporation (CTDC). The manufacturers’ role involved much more than being piece part subcontractors. They were involved not just in manufacturing, but design and development as well. The aircraft was a big commercial success, with almost 900 aircraft built, and the Japanese manufacturers gained production experience of a cutting edge modern airliner. By the mid-1980s, MITI began to look for the next development project and the YXX, a 100-150 seat airliner (Kimura, 2006) was proposed. However Japan abandoned 7 indigenous development at an early stage. Keen to for Japan to engage in upstream design and downstream marketing activities, negotiations began with Boeing with a view to full scale collaboration. This came to nothing when Boeing decided to develop a derivative of its existing B737 airliner instead. However in 1988 Boeing put forward plans for a B767 derivative, the B767X (Lawrence and Thornton, 2005). This project eventually became an all new and significantly bigger airliner, the B777 and agreement was reached for Japanese involvement in the development of this 350 seat wide-bodied airliner. Working again through the CTDC consortium (now renamed the Japanese Aircraft Development Corporation (JADC), its share of the programme was raised to 21%, with its status raised from ‘project participant’ to ‘programme partner’. Not only was the Japanese consortium involved from the very start of the programme, with several hundred Japanese engineers in Seattle for the intensive design phase, instead of producing shipsets its involvement covered the life of the programme. As Samuels (1994: p295) noted, the Japanese were no longer, ‘simply bending metal to spec.’ Figure 1.1 Japan’s Changing Involvement in Boeing Programmes Outputs Components Role Subcontractor Sub-system/modules Participant Scale and scope of activities Partner Risk Sharing Full Partner Revenue Sharing 2005 - Large B787 (35%) 1990 - B777 (21%) 1978 - B767 (15%) Late 1960s - B747SP Smal Upgrading Source: Kimura (2006) 8 The B777 proved highly successful commercially and in 2003 Japan’s development of its aerospace capability through MITI coordinated collaboration entered a new phase, when it was announced that on Boeing’s new 250 seat B787 Dreamliner, that Japanese involvement would amount to 35%. The 787 represents a significant step for Japan. Not only does it have a one third share in the programme, it is a full risk sharing partner and significantly has been entrusted with the design, development and manufacture of some of the important parts of the plane. MHI for instance is building the main wing, one of the most critical parts of an aircraft. One of the reasons for Japan’s increased involvement, is the particular skills and expertise it has in the field of composite materials. While Japanese aerospace firms cannot match their US rivals like Boeing, they have made significant progress in terms of catching up. Table 1 shows that in the last 20 years they have doubled their share of the global market. They are key players in leading aerospace projects. In addition they have not merely been successful at catching up as far as skills and capabilities are concerned. Participation in Boeing’s B767 and B777 programmes has contributed greatly to the expansion of the Japanese aerospace industry. Total aerospace production increased from 270 billion yen in 1980 to one trillion yen in 2001 (Kimura, 2006: p147). During the same period aerospace exports jumped from around 180 billion yen to about 360 billion yen, while the share of aerospace work covered by military programmes declined from 80% to 60% (Kimura, 2006: p147). And yet the catch-up process has come about without the Japanese actually building a complete commercial aircraft, prompting Friedman and Samuels (1993) to refer to the growth of the Japanese aerospace industry as, ‘succeeding without really flying’. South Korea’s Aerospace Industry 9 Like many of its Asian neighbours, South Korea’s aerospace industry has progressed through a series of distinct and identifiable stages. Although some routine maintenance work was undertaken in the country in the 1950s following the Korean War, the origins of the industry lie in licensed production first undertaken in the 1970s. Korea entered the aerospace industry in the mid-1970s, some 20 years behind Japan. Entry into the aerospace industry was linked to the South Korean government’s decision in 1976 to switch its aircraft procurement policy from direct purchase from abroad to domestic production (Cho, 2003). The move to domestic production led to US aircraft being built under licence. Initially this involved a licence agreement negotiated by the government under which 220 Hughes 55MD helicopters were to be built under licence (Texier, 2000) by Korean Air. Six years later in 1982 Korean Air began producing the Northrop Grumman F-5E/F fighter under licence. The involvement of Korean Air was significant. Even by the late 1970s not one Korean firm had experience of aerospace manufacturing. The involvement of Korean Air which was part of the Hanjin chaebol was very much at the government’s direction though it did have the best technological assets because of its experience in aircraft repair and maintenance which was derived from its airline activities. The second firm to become involved in aerospace was Samsung, which ventured into producing aero engines under licence. In the period up to the mid-1980s the government’s policy was highly directive and in the case of both Korean Air and Samsung the decision to diversify into aerospace was at the government’s behest and part of its policy of promoting national champions. The mid-1980s marked a significant policy shift as the government encouraged rivalry among the major Korean chaebols in relation to military aircraft projects, instead of supporting national champions. In 1984 Daewoo Heavy Industries was allowed to enter the aerospace industry followed three years later by Hyundai. However the emphasis was still on licensed production as Hyundai reached agreement with Kawasaki of Japan to build a small helicopter under license. Building on existing expertise and in a protected market, Korean Air and Samsung managed to learn about the less problematic aspects of 10 the industry, in the form of the assembly of military aircraft under licence from foreign manufacturers (Texier, 2000). During this phase Korean firms had the opportunity to acquaint themselves with the institutional arrangements in the industry and begin to learn about the specific requirements of aerospace manufacture. In addition, they were able to learn about the technologies required if they were to move to the second phase and obtain manufacturing contracts from foreign aerospace manufacturers. However while the first phase involved heavy state intervention, the second phase was to be based on a quite different policy, one based on fierce competition between the chaebols. Competition increased in the 1980s when Daewoo Heavy Industries was awarded a contract to manufacture major parts of the General Dynamics F-16 fighter as part of an offset programme associated with South Korea’s purchase of the fighter. Daewoo invested heavily in staff and equipment to enable it to carry out the work, including building a new manufacturing facility at Changwon. Then in the late 1980s the Korean government, as part of a plan to purchase new military aircraft, proposed the Korean Fighter Programme (KFP) under which a modified US aircraft would be co-produced in Korea. This programme marked a clear move forward for Korea from the licence production phase of industry development to co-production (Oh, 2000). The programme was seen as the cornerstone of Korea’s programme to develop an indigenous aerospace industry. The contract was worth $5.2billion and resulted in intense competition between three of the chaebols: Daewoo, Samsung and Hanjin (the parent of Korean Air) to win the contract. An evaluation committee comprising researchers and civil servants examined the three bidding firms. The evaluation covered not only technological competence but financial robustness. Although the evaluation committee acknowledged that Daewoo was best suited to the project, the contract for the KFP was awarded to Samsung, following last minute representations by Samsung’s chairman to South Korea’s president, Jun Doo Hwan. In the event Samsung had to enlist the help of Daewoo to enable it to complete the KFP contract. With Samsung running the KFP, the other Korean aerospace firms, Korean Air and Daewoo increasingly sought subcontracting work from leading aerospace firms 11 like Boeing. In 1985 Deawoo was awarded a contract by Boeing to build 48 stretched upper decks for the B747. In 1986 Korean Air was awarded a contract to produce the flap track fairing for the B747 and following year it won a contract to produce extended wing tips for the B737-200. In 1990 the South Korean government initiated something of a policy reversal when it announced a number of ‘localisation’ programmes designed to clarify the roles of the leading aerospace firms. Korean Air was selected as prime contractor for the UH-60 helicopter, Samsung granted prime contractor status for the KTX-2 advanced jet trainer, while Daewoo was designated prime contractor for the KTX-1 turboprop trainer. The KTX-1 was the first aircraft fully developed in South Korea. In the early stages the Swiss manufacturer Pilatus, which had extensive experience of building trainer aircraft, was heavily involved. However disagreements about the extent to which the new aircraft was to be based on existing Pilatus aircraft, led to this arrangement eventually being abandoned. The first prototype flew in 1991. By 1997 development and testing had been completed and the aircraft was ready for production. This began the following year when the Korean air force announced an order for 105 aircraft. Although the KTX-1 project succeeded in developing an indigenous aircraft purchased and used by the Korean air force, the value of the programme was somewhat limited. Training aircraft of this type represent a small market niche, furthermore the scope for export sales is extremely limited. Not only that, the specialised nature of this type of aircraft means that the scope for transferring expertise gained to other projects is limited too. Korea’s other major aerospace programme presents a not dissimilar picture. The KTX-2 is an advanced jet trainer. Samsung was designated the prime contractor for the KTX-2 which has been developed in association with Lockheed Martin of the US. The KTX-2 flew fore the first time in 2003 and though it has been bought by the Korean air force, its export prospects too seem limited. 12 The limited prospects of these two flagship programmes, combined with the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s forced the government into another policy shift when in 1999 it ordered the three chaebols, Daewoo, Samsung and Hyundai to merge their aerospace interests. The result was the creation of Korean Aerospace Industries (KAI). While pooling these separate aerospace interests into a single organisation will undoubtedly strengthen the country’s aerospace industry, it is belated recognition that South Korea’s policy of developing its aerospace industry through competition has proved markedly less successful than Japan’s policy of fostering collaboration and the building of well developed industrial networks. This is particularly evident in table 2 which shows the relative size of the newly merged Korean Aerospace Industries in relation to the major Japanese aerospace manufacturers. Table 2 Turnover of Asian Aerospace Manufacturers 2001-6 Manufacturer Mitsubishi IMI Kawasaki Fuji Singapore Technologies Engineering Korean Aerospace Industries Hindustan Country 2001 Japan Japan Japan Japan Singapore $m $m $m $m 3,883 4,047 3,382 3,639 1,916 1,910 2,082 2,050 1,779 1,237 1,498 1,679 546 530 488 662 575 582 627 662 Korea India 554 508 2002 761 493 2003 2004 2005 2006 $m 4,050 2,402 1,998 743 743 $m 4,256 2,518 2.382 808 1,055 670 653 n/a 1,002 695 738 1,218 1,657 Source: Flight International Industrial Policies Compared As latecomers, the aerospace industries of Japan and Korea have followed a similar three stage strategy in their attempts to catch-up. Despite its initial backwardness in the new technology of jet aircraft compared to the United States and Europe, Japan has developed and enhanced its aerospace technology base, though it has yet to complete the final stage 13 of fully acquiring the competences associated with systems integration, Japan has however developed expertise in key aerospace technologies such as the use of composite materials and with the new Boeing 787 programme has emerged as a major player in the commercial sector. Korea in contrast, while it has made progress in catching up, has largely confined its activities to small scale military projects, with few applications beyond its domestic market and small scale subcontracting work in the commercial sector. Its aerospace industry has yet to emerge as a major player in the commercial sector, and remains a piece part subcontractor, confined to the less technologically demanding task of component manufacturing. Though their strategy for catch-up has followed a similar process, the two countries have followed quite different paths in industrial policy, especially in terms of state-industry collaboration. The difference, it is argued in this paper, reflects and explains the divergence in performance of the two industries. State-business collaboration in Japan has been grounded in what Evans (1997) refers to as, ‘a vision of economic transformation’ i.e. a search for both profit and productivity enhancing investment. However, as Evans (1997, p 63) shows in a world of increasing returns, path dependence and multiple equilibrium, there is no guarantee that the two objectives coincide. Japan has used formal and informal mechanisms as part of its industrial policy, which is underpinned with effective communication and consensual policy making between government and business. The unquantifiable role of informal mechanisms has led sceptics to underestimate the importance of industrial policy in Japan (Chang, 1994, Okimoto, 1989 ). Another very significant feature of aerospace projects in Japan was the part they played in creating a dense industrial network involving close collaboration between leading aerospace manufacturers. According to Kimura (2006: p132) this industrial network based on trust and collaboration, ‘became an important organising basis on which Japanese aircraft manufacturers were able to upgrade their status’. This is anchored in what Hayami (2001, p 328) calls, ‘a multistandard nexus of communities’. Firms are 14 grouped together under, ‘a community spirit’ and establish close community relations with government agencies. Such collaboration has become an essential feature of commercial aerospace in recent years, not only in Europe but also in the US. Japan has also been successful in promoting technological capabilities via governmentsponsored R&D consortia. The promotion of cooperative R&D in Japan started in the 1960s, when MITI and the aircraft makers launched the YS-11 turboprop airliner and more recently has continued with the development of composite materials for projects such as the Boeing 787. Industrial policy in South Korea stands in marked contrast to what has taken place in Japan. No sooner had the aerospace industry in Korea taken root than a significant policy shift in the mid-1980s led to the government encouraging rivalry among the major Korean chaebols in relation to military aircraft projects, instead of supporting national champions. Not only was this the opposite of the concensual collaborative type of policy pursued in Japan, the promotion of domestic rivalry marked the decline in the Korean State’s relative autonomy vis-à-vis the chaebols. This in turn facilitated the rise not of concensual but of cronyistic state-business relations in the aerospace industry, as exemplified by the selection of Samsung for the KFP project. Not only has Korean industrial policy been non-concensual and non-collaborative, it has also been what Landesmann and Abel (1995) term a reactive policy. A reactive policy is one set in response to social and political pressures that have emerged from the burdens of economic reforms. Following the Asian Financial crisis, The main reaction of the government to the problem of domestic rivalries was manifested in the Big Deal. This policy framework aimed to reduce the diversification of the business groups in Korea by encouraging each chaebol to focus on a limited set of activities. Implementation was undertaken by the merger of specific units across the chaebol under the leadership of either one business group or an assigned controlling body (Yoo, 1999). In the case of aerospace this involved the creation of Korean Aerospace Industries (KAI). These post 1997 reforms were undertaken out of fear and necessity and not as part of a well designed 15 and coherent industrial policy, underpinned by a strong consensus between government and business. As Cherry (2005, 341) shows, ‘critics accused president Kim of riding roughshod over democratic principles and compromising the rule of law by conducting business with the chaebol in closed, informal meetings, which they suspected, were little more than a forum for the government to gain endorsement for its plans and strategies’. This highlights the mistrust that existed between the government and the chaebol, which puts the Korean model of industrial policy in marked contrast to its Japanese counterpart. The comparatively poor performance of the Korean aerospace industry is also a reflection of the dismantling of the investment coordination mechanisms in a high technology industry, which had been a feature of the old Korean model of development. The strength of the old Korean model rested on its power to coordinate investment, mainly through the Economic Planning Board, which was absorbed within the Ministry of Finance and the Economy in the mid 1990s (Mathews, 1998; Chang, Park and Yoo, 1998). With the capacity of the state thus weakened decision making was dispersed across various agencies, increasing the scope for rent seeking behaviour (Atkinson and Coleman, 1989). Conclusion If the aerospace industry in Asia is anything to go by, reports of the demise of industrial policy would appear to be premature. The contrast between the aerospace industries of Japan and South Korea brings into stark contrast the difficulty of developing a technology-based industry without a coherent industrial policy. On the basis of the evidence presented here, technology-based industries dependent on extensive R & D, high levels of capital expenditure and lengthy product lifecycles, cannot be left to the vagaries of the price mechanism, if they are to develop and flourish. The success of aerospace industries is almost invariably linked to close state-industry relations. Such relations are partly a matter of financial support. Between the 1950s and the mid-1990s, US federal government funding accounted for 50-70% of the country's 16 total R&D funding (Chang 2008). Lacking such assistance, Chang notes, the US would not have been able to maintain its technological lead over the rest of the world in key industries like aerospace. However it is also about fostering the growth of inter-firm industrial networks. It was true of the US in the 1960s and 1970s where close stateindustry relations enabled Boeing to rise to its prominent position in the commercial jet airliner market. It was true of Europe in the 1980s and 1990s when the Airbus consortium (McGuire, 1997) was developed as a rival to the dominance of Boeing. And it was true of the two other newcomer aerospace nations, Brazil and Canada, when they entered the regional jet market in the 1990s (Goldstein, 2002). The case of Japan provides another textbook example of this process. South Korea on the other hand provides a sharp contrast. Encouraging domestic rivalry among the chaebols, prevented the development of the sort of collaborative industrial network that has become such a vital feature of the global aerospace industry and would have facilitated the development of the major Korean aerospace firms as potential collaborative partners for Western firms. 17 References Abramovitz, M (1952). Economics of Growth. In Haley, B (ed.) 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