Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen 1. Introduction Communication is a concept which we all, in one way or another, are exposed to or deal with in our daily lives. It takes a sender, a message and an intended receiver for there to be communication and with the emergence of the Internet and social media and a growing population there is sigmoidal growth in the global communication vectors.1 Social media have improved communication between sender and receiver and produced the possibility of creating relations between people that were not possible just 10 years ago. This is especially true in public relations and political communication where the possibility of reaching a high number of people is growing rapidly. This thesis explores the different levels of political communication. It is an inside look on how the image of politicians is meticulously polished for the purpose of accomplishing a desired objective, namely to attract as many voters as possible and eventually win an election. Communication is not the only pillar in winning elections, but it is a very important pillar. So, just how is an election won? It is not always the smartest candidate or the one with the most experience. In politics as well as in the business world, a lot of aspects play a part in the success of selling a product or getting the most votes. Why are some products more successful than others and why did this particular candidate get the most votes? There is no clear answer to this. What can be answered is how individual aspects of campaigning are successful in their areas. Usually when a product does well following a campaign, it is clear that the campaign was the reason for the success and in that case it is something tangible that can be used again. In political elections it is not quite as simple as that, because of the many factors that are at play. In discussing the impact of information technology and social media, Ralph Tench (2009) has pertinently suggested that “[…] the public relations and marketing landscape is changing”.2 And so is political campaigning. Barack Obama used social media in his 2008 presidential campaign and managed to reach a whole new segment of the population. It can be argued whether or not it actually won him the election. However, the point is that it was a revolution in political campaigning and has since been utilised by many other candidates running for office. For instance, Texas Governor Rick Perry was also using social media extensively in his most recent campaign to become the Republican presidential nominee. He has had great success in previous gubernatorial campaigns without the use of social media. However, he is in a completely different league when running for the leadership of the entire nation and not just his home state of 1 2 Internet World Stats (IWS) http://www.internetworldstats.com/emarketing.htm Last viewed 21/02 2012 Tench 2009 1 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen Texas. Perry would now have to keep up with the times and implement new technology in his campaigns, which he ultimately did. With particular focus on communication strategies, this master thesis will explore the different communicative aspects in political campaigns. Republican candidate Rick Perry’s campaign in the 2012 election is the primary focus. Another focus is how Republicans are now using revolutionary social media as a communication strategy, following Barack Obama’s success with social media in 2008. Ultimately, the purpose of the thesis is to evaluate how conservative radicalism is packaged and ‘sold’ in a time of revolutionary social media. Also, to establish why Obama had a successful campaign and Perry did not, despite his use of new technology. Rick Perry is particularly interesting seen from a business perspective as he is a conservative Republican, which means that he believes in low taxes and economic liberalism. Perry’s main selling point is his ability to create jobs. His argument was that what he has achieved for his state of Texas would be achieved for the entire country if elected. He is giving the impression that he has the answer to the recession and electing him President will mean a lot of new jobs. Perry is an outsider and an anti-establishment – anti-Washington D.C. conservative with hyper-liberal policies, which makes him a very different and interesting entity. Perry started out as a front-runner in the early part of the campaign and had raised large amounts of campaign funds (second only to Mitt Romney). He was a natural ‘hard right’ candidate, a Southerner and a social conservative. He had an up-to-date social media-integrated campaign from day one. He initiated a relationship with Christians in the U.S. and started talking about faith and how America should stop Obama’s ‘war on religion’.3 Perry’s policies, if he had been elected, would have transformed the domestic as well as the international landscape, which makes him one of the more interesting candidates. This is particularly interesting because if Perry were to get his policies of minimal state passed, the many social policies that Obama has worked on getting implicated, such as health care reform, would be, according to Perry himself, repealed.4 Also, since the US has such a large influence on the economy of the world it would mean that Perry’s liberal economic policies would have an impact internationally as well. However, Perry dropped out of the race, which means that he will not be the next President this time around. So how did a front-runner end up quitting the race to become the next Republican presidential nominee in just six months? This master thesis will explore how Perry was communicating his political messages and to explore the reason for his struggles towards the end of his campaign. Perry’s use of social media as a communication strategy is particularly interesting. It will be one of the main focuses 3 4 Facebook http://www.facebook.com/GovernorPerry Last viewed 10/02 2012 Office of the Governor: Rick Perry http://governor.state.tx.us/initiatives/natl_health_care/ Last viewed 10/02 2012 2 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen when evaluating his campaign. The Perry campaign will be contrasted with the 2008 Obama ‘revolution’ in the use of social media. A comparative analysis of the two politicians and their use of social media will provide the reader with an understanding of the way Obama communicates and whether or not Perry is following his example or if the Republican is communicating in a different manner. This analysis will determine if what Perry is communicating is enough to attract a majority of voters or if it is just to attract the minority of far-right, anti-Washington D.C. voters. The analysis will be based on marketing/branding theory to see if a political candidate can be marketed in the same way a product is in the market place. This is especially interesting when selecting the target audience and when advertising. The analysis will determine to what extent Perry’s marketing initiatives during his campaign mimics theory on marketing in the market place. The overall objective of the master thesis is to show that the different subjects studied over the course of the master’s programme can be put to use in an extensive academic paper such as this. The specific communicative competencies that a student of the masters program in English, PR and international market communication should acquire are knowledge of international PR and market communication, media landscapes in English speaking countries and the cultural barriers in different countries. A student in this particular masters program should develop skills in choosing relevant communication strategies in different situations, to different senders and receivers, to evaluate and plan a campaign and to produce PR material in English. Most of these aspects are central to contemporary presidential campaigns in the United States. During the course of the thesis the specific communicative competencies and skills that has been acquired and learned by the author will be displayed. Rick Perry’s presidential campaign constitutes a case that uses different communication strategies, which provides the author with material to demonstrate the knowledge acquired during the masters program. The way to show this is by first looking at Perry’s communication strategies and then use relevant theory to show how his presidential campaign otherwise could have been executed. Image is a very important factor in political communication, and when trying to win an election it is essential to act in a certain way so as not to discourage voters. So how well was Perry communicating his image and is the media helping or not? 3 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen 1.1 Problem Statement Republican presidential candidate Rick Perry and his campaign in the primaries is the object of analysis in this thesis. President Barack Obama’s 2008 presidential campaign is the model that Perry’s campaign in the primaries will be compared to. Both Obama’s campaign as well as Perry’s past gubernatorial campaigns will be the backdrop for the analysis of Perry’s campaign in the primaries. There are three communication strategies that are of particular interest in this analysis and evaluation and they are; the use of social media, grassroots movements, and how the persona of the candidate is portrayed through his politics. These are all strategies that spin doctors and political strategists use in their efforts to optimize the possibilities for their candidates to win. A spin doctor is, according to Macmillan English dictionary (2002), “[…] someone whose job it is to give journalists information that makes a politician or an organization look as good as possible.”5 A political strategist is someone who develops and carries out a political plan.6 This thesis is written especially for the purpose of demonstrating the work that spin doctors and political strategists perform during campaigns. Firstly, the theory that is used in political communication and political public relations will provide the necessary scientific background knowledge needed for the comprehension and analysis of the rest of the thesis. Secondly, there are two cases concerning Obama’s presidential campaign and Perry’s gubernatorial and presidential campaigns, respectively. These cases will provide the material needed to be able to first compare the two politicians and to make an analysis of Governor Perry’s campaign in the primaries. Thirdly, the analysis of Perry’s campaign in the primaries will be based on observations made during the previous campaigns of Obama and Perry, as well as the theory in the first part of the thesis, including empirical data from social media and general media, respectively. Finally, an evaluation of Governor Perry’s communication strategies in his campaign in the primaries followed by an extensive conclusion regarding the entire thesis will answer the following questions: What communication strategies are particularly effective when campaigning for the presidency of the US? What mistakes were made in Rick Perry’s presidential campaign since he could go from being a favorite to win to being the loser of the primaries? 5 6 Macmillan English Dictionary, p. 1377 Macmillan English Dictionary, p. 1417 4 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen Answers to these questions could be of interest to a number of people within politics, especially those who deal with campaigning. Hopefully, the answers might tell us something about the state of political campaigning, including the degree to which communicative processes have turned ‘virtual’ and whether traditional means of campaigning are either obsolete or have decreased in importance. 1.2 Structure For the purpose of creating a clear structure the thesis is divided into six chapters. Each chapter focuses on individual areas and builds on previous chapters. Firstly, the introduction and problem statement presents the overall purpose of the thesis as well as introduces the subject at hand. The following section states the way in which the thesis will be executed by mentioning the use of theory, empirical data, the methodology, and delimitation. Secondly, the next chapter introduces the subject of politics in the United States. This section is made for the purpose of explaining in what environment the subject of the thesis is taking place. The overall theme of the thesis is political campaigning and the main objective of this chapter is to explain the context in which it exists. The sections that explain the context of voting and voters are included for the purpose of explaining important aspects of the process that the electorate goes through in order to execute their democratic rights. Thirdly, the chapter regarding communication strategies is for the purpose of discussing the communicative aspects of political campaigning. This section is mainly theoretical and deals with the three overarching topics of political communication, the media, and public relations. All of which are necessary in contemporary American political campaigns. The fourth chapter provides the thesis with empirical data on the campaigns of two previous presidential campaigners and their staff. Firstly, President Obama’s campaign, which led him to victory in 2008, provides the thesis with a model for a successful approach to campaigning. Secondly, Governor Rick Perry’s six months long presidential campaign as well as his previous gubernatorial campaigns provides the thesis with an example of a campaign, which inevitably was unsuccessful. The reason for the unsuccessful outcome of Perry’s campaign is analysed in this next chapter. This chapter provides the thesis with an evaluation and analysis of a presidential campaign. President Obama’s campaign will serve as a model to compare to Perry’s campaign in this chapter. Finally, a conclusion to the entire thesis will provide the reader with a thorough understanding of the process chosen and a theory on why some candidates are chosen over others. 5 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen 1.3 Theory The general field of theory that will be used is within communication strategies and particularly the sub-genre of political campaigning. The concept of political public relations is the main field of theory. The theories mentioned in the first part of the thesis will be used after the two cases for the purpose of making a comparison and evaluation of the latter case of Perry’s communication strategies during his most recent campaign. In the analysis additional theory on brand attitude will be mentioned for the purpose of exploring the possibility of branding a political candidate using theory from the market place. The literature used in the theory section will primarily be provided by Brian McNair, Darren Lilleker and Dan Nimmo. Also, a number of articles written by other authors will provide this section with additional material. Larry Percy and Richard Elliott will provide the majority of the literature concerning branding. The sources are carefully picked for the purpose of using material which has been substantiated by more than one author, for the legitimacy of the theory used. The theoretical material will be unfolded in the following sections. 1.4 Empirical data The empirical data in this thesis will particularly come from inside the camps of the two aforementioned politicians. Obama’s chief campaign manager David Plouffe and Perry’s chief strategist Dave Carney have themselves written material which will be used as well as articles written about these two communication strategists will also be used as empirical data. Of course, one source about a campaign is not enough, which is why the material from the inside of the camps will be confirmed by comparing articles and books written by a non-partisan, neutral source, such as Theodor J. Lowi. However, firstly, there is a section which explains the subject of politics in the U.S. for the purpose of understanding in which environment the campaigns took place. This is also considered to be empirical data and will be provided by political and communications experts Theodor J. Lowi, Benjamin Ginsberg and Darren Lilleker as well as articles from legitimate sources. Rick Perry’s social media updates are also empirical data and will provide the thesis with messages directly from the Perry team to the social media site’s users. 6 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen 1.5 Methodology The way these questions will be approached is by comparing the communication strategies of Perry and Obama. Firstly, to better understand the field in which they operate, which is political communication, is by explaining politics, as well as political campaigning, in the US in general. Furthermore, the theory section will deal extensively with political communication and political public relations in order to give the reader the necessary knowledge to be able to digest the two cases as well as the comparative analysis and evaluation. Secondly, the two cases will provide the thesis with the necessary empirical data. This section is where the reader will acquire knowledge of the two politicians, Perry and Obama. Focus here is on Perry as he is the object of analysis and Obama, the model used to analyse. Finally, the theory and the empirical data will come to use in the final part of the thesis. This part is equally an analysis as it is an evaluation and discussion of the use of communication strategies in political campaigns. There is a clear link between corporate and political campaigns and this link is continuously displayed throughout the thesis. The final part will compare corporate and political campaigning as well as discuss the possibility of using PR & marketing from the corporate world in a political campaign. All of the different approaches to the subject of political campaigning are carried out for the purpose of getting a full picture of the act of campaigning for the presidency in the U.S. from different angles. 1.6 Delimitation For the purpose of centring the thesis on Rick Perry and his strategic communication, there are a number of limitations. President Obama’s campaign is only used for the purpose of comparing with Perry’s campaign, which means that not all aspects of the communication in Obama’s campaign are covered. Also, not all material written on the Perry campaign will be used as it is too extensive, covering everything from media such as TV broadcasts, magazine articles, newspaper articles, etc. The empirical data used in the two cases are limited to academic books and articles with credible sources. In the analysis the focus is on what is communicated by the Perry camp in terms of communication strategies. The evaluation of the campaign is mainly based on the findings in the analysis, but also the way Perry is evaluated by the media and political commentators. Absent from this thesis is the discussion of interpersonal political communication, which is communication that is not documented or in any way available, such as discussions that take place behind closed doors. It could be any political communication that, despite its importance, 7 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen is not available to be analysed. What is lacking here is especially the conversations between the politician and his managers, which would give us an important insight into what lies behind the decisions that the politician is taking. Such information will usually be available down the line, as the participants write or talk about the relevant events. This information will then only be from their perspective and it is then up to historians to filter out the half-truths and lies until the true story behind the campaign is properly unveiled. 2. Politics in the United States Since this is a political paper, it is first necessary to briefly explain in what environment it is taking place. It is a democratic country, which, according to Lowi (2011), means that “[…] citizens are permitted to play a significant part in the governmental process, usually through the election of key public officials.”7 There are two main political parties, the Democrats and the Republicans. The Democrats are generally more socially-minded, whereas Republicans, who are conservative, are more oriented towards liberal economic policies. The Republican Party is often referred to as the ‘Grand Old Party’ or GOP.8 Compared to most West European countries, the U.S. has never been particularly socially-minded, but more concerned with enforcing liberal economic policies for the sake of economic growth. Americans in general like their independence and taking care of everyone else by paying high taxes is not what they consider to be a libertarian society. A socially-minded society takes care of its citizens, but it requires a lot of government spending and conservative Americans would generally rather decide for themselves how their money should be spent. In some economies there is a need for more social policies rather than liberal economic policies, which is just one of the topics the two parties always seem to debate about. The Democrats are what is referred to as to the left of the middle, whereas the Republicans are to the right of the middle, the middle is where everyone is in agreement on all political matters. The use of left and right wing to describe differing schools of political thought dates back to the time of the French Revolution and the seating arrangements of the French National Assembly. 9 With that in mind it is possible to place the two candidates mentioned herein in their respected places, i.e. Obama, the Democrat, to the left and Perry, the Republican, to the right. In recent U.S. history the fifty states of the nation have been categorized as either blue or red during elections. The blue states are the states where there is a Democratic majority among 7 Lowi 2011, p. 4 Grace, Francie 2009 http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2002/12/03/politics/main531460.shtml Last viewed 23/01 2012 9 Knapp 2006, pp. 1-2 8 8 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen the electorate in the polls. The red states are the Republican majority of voters.10 Candidates tend to focus on states where there is a risk of losing the majority of the votes to the opposition. These states are called swing states. This is why the candidates campaign more in these states than others. Iowa was for instance an important state for Obama when he was campaigning for the presidency. 2.1 Political Campaign in the United States Campaigns lead up to an election where people get to convey their opinions to the government by expressing their individual political preferences through their vote. This is known as democracy and is what is utilised in the US. In local, state and federal elections in the US the people elect their President, governors, federal and state legislators and thousands of local mayors, councillors, and commissioners on a frequent basis.11 12 The elections happen so frequently that the politician and his politics are often affected by it. There is a constant pressure on the politician to cater to the people’s needs in order to get them to vote for him in the next general election. The frequent elections also satisfy the electorate’s need for a continual renewal of government.13 A presidential campaign starts with the primary elections - where the opposition of the ruling party initiates campaigning for the purpose of choosing a candidate to run against the candidate of the opposition, which this time around is President Obama. The primary elections are elections that take place in different states where the candidates compete for the support of the electorate. These elections determine the popularity of the candidates and the candidates that get the least amount of votes can choose to cancel their campaigns. Some candidates are more popular in some states than others and may therefore choose to disregard a low count in one state and hope for an improvement in support in the next state a primary election is held. Eventually there will only be one candidate left and this candidate is to lead the party against the opposition. This whole process is known as a caucus in which members of a political party meet in some U.S. states for the purpose of choosing who will represent the party in the election for President.14 After these meetings the general election begins. In the general election the presidential nominees of the two leading parties 10 Lowi 2011, p. 318 Lowi 2011, p. 284 12 As of June 30, 2002 there were 87,900 government units in the United States. There is one federal government. 11 There are fifty state governments, over 3,000 county governments, 36,000 municipal and town governments, about 13,522 school districts, and over 35,000 special districts (for example, water or utility), http://ftp2.census.gov/govs/cog/2002COGprelim_report.pdf Last viewed 15/12/2011 13 14 Lowi 2011, p.285 Macmillan English Dictionary, p. 214 9 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen compete in debates and campaign in particular states. The whole process can last between a year and a half and two years.15 It is up to the candidate to choose when to start campaigning in this period of time. Campaigns are executed for the purpose of mobilizing the candidate’s supporters. Other purposes are to gain new supporters which could be in the form of winning over supporters of the opposition, undecided voters, newly registered voters and people who usually do not vote. The significance of gaining supporters is essential in campaigns as it is within a system of plurality, meaning that the majority of the vote wins the electoral district. This facet will be discussed in further detail in the following section. The importance of gaining supporters causes a lot of competition between the candidates and the two leading parties. The candidates that are chosen for the nomination to run for President usually keep the supporters of the party. The only exceptions would be if the supporter no longer identifies with the party’s policies or the candidate’s character or personal issues. Voters cannot choose to vote for a law or policy on a national level. In state elections it is sometimes possible that there are specific ballot initiatives where the policy is what is voted on. In national elections, voters have to vote for a candidate or party who are proclaiming that they will pass laws or policies that the voter wants to have passed. It is a way for voters to get officials to do what they want. If and when the officials get elected they are not bound by law to pass the policies they were proclaiming they would pass. This means that the politicians have the opportunity to lie their way through an election. However, at the next election the voters will presumably remember if their chosen official passed that law or policy that they wanted or not. In any case it is necessary to acknowledge the electorate as they possess the power to re-elect the official. With elections every four years it is important to follow through on promises or the electorate may remember the broken promises. In the United States there is a lot of freedom when campaigning in terms of rules and regulations. There is little restriction on what candidates are allowed to do in terms of campaigning. There are no limits as to how much is spent on aspects of the campaign such as advertising. Candidates are also relatively free to say or do whatever they want. There are federal laws that prevent how much individuals or organizations donate to a candidate. However, in presidential campaigns there are no restrictions on how much the candidate may spend. In January 2010 the U.S. Supreme Court permitted unlimited corporate and union spending on elections. Following this new law emerged super PACs (political action committees). According to Garrett (2011), super 15 Lilleker 2006, p. 52 10 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen PACs “[…] have been permitted to accept unlimited contributions and make unlimited expenditures aimed at electing or defeating federal candidates”.16 However, they are not allowed to contribute directly to federal candidates or parties. What this means for candidates is that they may spend as much as they want on advertising, supporters, or whatever is deemed important. Compared to other countries, where there are usually a lot of restrictions on how to campaign, it is a very liberal campaign system.17 This in turn increases competition and creates campaigns that last up to two years, which the case of Obama’s 2008 presidential campaign will provide an example of. 2.2 The Ballot People can cast their votes by either going to a polling place or use absentee vote. When the vote is cast in a polling place it is on Election Day in the presence of other voters. It is up to the voter to share his vote or to keep it secret. In 2008, 30 percent of all votes were not cast at the polling place but as absentee vote.18 Absentee voters are e.g. people who are not able to be at the polling place on the day of voting. It could be people working abroad or military personnel in another country. These people as well as all other registered voters have the possibility of casting their vote early, known as early vote. They do this by filling out an absentee ballot. In 1972 only about 5 percent of all votes nationwide were cast as absentee vote.19 This change in absentee vote could be because of globalism and that more Americans live abroad. What is also likely is that politicians are getting better at informing the electorate about the possibility of early vote. Another important focus during campaigns is for campaign managers to encourage people to get registered to vote. Any U.S. citizen above the legal voting age of 18 years is allowed to vote.20 They just need to get registered first. The challenge lies in getting people interested in getting registered to vote. The voting system in presidential elections is geographically based. Elected officials are tied to a certain state and the number of votes each state has depends on the number of U.S. senators and the number of House members. There are always two U.S. senators but the number of House members is not the same in each state. Whatever the number of senators and House members each state has, equals the number of votes that the state can cast in elections.21 These electors are known as the Electoral College, who are appointed by each state, and they are the ones that 16 Garrett, R. Sam 2011 http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42042.pdf Last viewed 19/01 2012 Lowi 2011, pp.287 - 312 18 Lowi 2011, p.287 19 Lowi 2011, p.287 20 U.S. Voting qualifications http://elections.state.wi.us/docview.asp?docid=1923&locid=47 Last viewed 19/01 2012 21 Lowi 2011, pp.293-297 17 11 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen formally elect the President and Vice President. Since 1964, there have been 538 electors in each presidential election consisting of 100 senators, 435 Representatives plus three electors from the District of Columbia.22 Since all elections in the United States and the elected officials are geographically based in states and not to a national electorate it means that candidates focus on winning certain states. This system is called plurality rule, where the number of votes in the election by the Electoral College is what wins the election and not the majority of all votes cast. Majority rule is an electoral system where, in order to win, it is necessary to receive a majority of the vote, which would be more than 50 percent. In plurality rule it is possible to win the election when enough states are won, which is why the candidates always focus on certain states that have the largest Electoral College. The states with the most Electoral College votes will have the most influence in the election. 2.3 The Voter Studies have shown that most Americans identify themselves with either the Democratic or the Republican Party.23 They are loyal to either one of the parties and stay loyal until they are given a reason not to be. There is a better chance at converting a loyal partisan in presidential elections, rather than state elections, as there are more important national and international issues at stake and there is also more information on candidates. Candidates that run for office in state elections are not covered as extensively in the media as candidates in national elections. This exposure gets voters more interested in choosing the right candidate. Voters will choose a candidate that they share values with and preferably in their preferred party. If there are no candidates that share the same values or are not agreeing on issues, that are important to the voter, in the preferred party, the voter might choose a candidate in another party. The voter will usually choose a candidate with a similar cultural background. Personal characteristics such as race, religion, ethnicity, geography, social background, and gender are likely to influence a person to vote for a certain candidate.24 Voters are, according to some analysts, influenced by personal attributes and seem to prefer tall, light-haired men with short names.25 The personal character of the candidate has increased in importance in recent years, which is evident in debates where the personal attacks have become more obvious.26 The voter wants to be able to trust 22 See Article II, Section 1, Clause 2 of the Constitution and the Twenty-third Amendment Lowi 2011, p. 308 24 Lowi 2011, p. 308 25 Lowi 2011, p. 309 26 SETUPS (Supplementary Empirical Teaching Units in Political Science) http://www.icpsr.umich.edu/icpsrweb/SETUPS/notes/candidate-characteristics.jsp Last viewed 19/01 2012 23 12 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen the candidate and highly values honesty and integrity. It is an important issue in the competitive environment of elections to have a clean slate, so that the competition has no possibility of using any past mistakes against the candidate. Past indiscretions can ruin a political career, as was the case with Republican candidate Herman Cain who suspended his bid for the presidency during the primaries in 2011 after a number of women accused him of sexual misconduct.27 A candidate’s past can also be a benefit if it has a positive influence on voters. During the 2008 election against Obama, Republican presidential candidate John McCain benefitted from his impressive wartime record.28 American voters, in particular, are proud of veterans, who have served their country.29 The voter has a lot of influence on decisions that are made in politics. According to some, the politicians cater to the electorate and policies are therefore decided by the voter.30 If that truly is the case then it is the people’s choice and can be compared to the market where companies cater to their consumers/stakeholders. According to Tench (2009), “Some argue that voters choose at the ballot box in much the same way as consumers choose in the market place; indeed there is an economic theory of democracy based on that assumption.”31 Whatever the case may be, the audience is always an important part in the execution of political messages. Many of the tools used in communicating with voters can be compared to how organizations communicate with stakeholders. One particularly interesting and comparable part of the communication in both the market and in politics is the image i.e. of the organization/politician. Both aspire to have an image that appeal to stakeholders/voters. Organizations will use e.g. corporate social responsibility partially to appeal to stakeholders, whereas politicians will use policies/political agendas to appeal to voters. Some of the less apparent ways of appealing to stakeholders/voters are e.g. the logo of an organization, which arguably can be compared to the demeanour and appearance of the politician. Presidential candidates are constantly exposed to cameras during campaigning, which means that it is important for them to not appear in any way inferior to their competition in demeanour and appearance. Dr. Darren G. Lilleker PhD, BA. senior lecturer in political communication (2006) argues that “[…] political communication has become increasingly more about style and presentation, and increasingly influenced by popular culture, in an attempt to 27 Saulny, Susan - The New York Times http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/04/us/politics/herman-cain-suspends-hispresidential-campaign.html?_r=1&scp=2&sq=herman%20cain&st=cse Last viewed 27/02 2012 28 The New York Times http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/president/candidates/obama-mccain.html Last viewed 10/02 2012 29 Lowi 2011, p. 310 30 Lilleker 2006, p 36 31 Tench 2009, p. 89 (inspired by Downs, A. (1957)) 13 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen become more modern-looking, relevant and in touch with society.”32 This is, according to Lilleker, known as ‘aestheticisation’.33 Politicians can use this in order to appeal to audiences of different social backgrounds. How Governor Perry used this in his campaign videos will be discussed later on in the thesis. 3. Communication Strategies One very important aspect of communication in politics is the relationship between the politician and the public. It is a channel through which the politician mediates his values and political agenda. In order for the message to be comprehended in the desired way, it is imperative to choose communication strategies that the public can relate to. When Barack Obama chose to use social media in his presidential campaign in 2008, he chose a communication strategy that allowed for him to reach a large segment of the population in a new way.34 It was an innovative way to communicate the message of politics in a manner that spoke more personally to the public. It has been proven that brands that appear on a consumer’s Facebook page are more appealing than if viewed on a stranger’s page.35 Advertising next to the consumer’s personal content has a personal effect and probably even more so if the consumer chooses to receive updates from the brand i.e. the politician, by ‘liking’ or subscribing. This would then move the politician away from the other advertisers and over into where the consumer’s friends make their updates. Facebook fan pages have proven to be efficient marketing tools, which is applicable to persons as well as products.36 When marketing a person/product on Facebook, it can increase the number of supporters. It also provides an efficient word-of-mouth marketing, as well as loyal followers. Studies show that these supporters and followers are likely to get involved when asked to do so. These studies suggest that there are possible correlations and not definitive causalities in their results.37 A suggestion is to use social media as a niche tool next to the traditional ways of marketing a candidate for a presidential bid. Using social media is not the only contemporary way of marketing/campaigning, as will be discussed in further detail later in the thesis. The use of media in general, as a way of communicating politics, can have varying results. However, it is necessary, as it is the best way to communicate in politics, when trying to reach a large number of people. 32 Lilleker 2006, p. 25 Lilleker 2006, p. 25 34 Plouffe 2009, p. 21 35 Perkins 2011 36 Science Daily http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/02/100218110938.htm Last viewed 10/02 2012 37 Dolakia, Utpal M. and Durham, Emily. One Café Chain’s Facebook Experiment. Harvard Business Review, http://hbr.org/2010/03/one-cafe-chains-facebook-experiment/ar/1 Last viewed 10/02 2012 33 14 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen For a politician to participate in a live political debate is a communication strategy where the media is used without cost, which should be a benefit in any campaign. However, it also enhances the risk of making mistakes, because it is live and unedited. It would make most sense to take advantage of these debates by participating and getting the exposure. Choosing not to participate in a live debate also sends a signal and is a strategy with a high risk of exposing the politician as an incapable debater. Being a capable debater and rhetorically skilled is a quite important quality in politics. The many strategies in a political campaign and to choose the right ones are a main interest for political strategists behind politicians and are of great importance to politicians. The communication strategies dealt with here are in the genres of political communication, public relations and political PR. What strategies the two candidates have used in their campaigns will be discussed in the two cases later in the thesis. 3.1 Political Communication 3.1.1 Definition of Political Communication Political communication consists of a variety of acts. These acts of communication are not just verbal and written. Paralinguistic signs such as body language, demeanour and attire are also acts of communication that are important factors for a politician’s image. What makes communication political is the content and purpose, i.e. talking health care reform and the objective of implementing it is political communication.38 In political communication there are three key actors:39 There are the political scene in which the politicians and the state belong, non-state actors and the media. The politicians’ part in political communication is to be the senders of political messages to the public. The second actors are the non-state actors that have an interest in politics. They are for instance voters and organisations that are motivated to participate. Their role is to receive the messages of the senders, the politicians, and to respond for the purpose of having an influence on political matters. The third actor is the media, which consists of, among others, printed, digital, televised, and radio media. Their role is to mediate the messages sent by both the state and the non-state actors and in doing so influence the public as well as the political scene. They are the channel through which most of the communication between the two first actors is sent. The only exceptions where that is not the case are when politicians speak directly to the public without the use of a channel. This could be at a 38 39 Mcnair 2011, pp.3-4 Lilleker 2006, p. 1 15 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen meet-and-greet where the politicians’ talk directly to citizens and answer their questions. It would also be the case when a politician holds a speech in a forum where the message is not mediated through any channels. One important factor in defining political communication is that it is largely mediated communication, transmitted through the print and electronic media. What often happens is that when a message is mediated through the media it is sometimes altered, which makes the reporters political actors in their own right. It causes a problem for students and researchers of political communication as the messages most often are mediated through channels that are affected by personal perception and influenced by environmental factors. That is where social media and live political debates become useful as they provide the student with empirical data which have not been mediated. Instead it has gone through a direct channel from sender to receiver through a medium, which most likely has not been tampered with or altered in any way. It is up to the receiver of the message to determine whether or not the message is legitimate. When it is through a trusted channel it will usually be perceived as legitimate. A trusted channel could be a channel through which the audience usually gets their news from. If they have not been given a reason to distrust this channel before, then they have no reason to doubt it now. 3.1.2 Political Communication and its Context There are many factors than can influence the perception of a political message, e.g. social semiotics, such as cultural background of the receiver of the message. According to Brian McNair (2006), “[…] there are pluralities of comprehended meanings in the groups and individuals that are receiving the message.”40 This diversity may also cause responses that vary. It might seem unlikely that a simple message can be decoded in so many ways. However, it is the case when the audience is a variety of people with different social and cultural backgrounds. The context of the political message, such as political affiliation, age, ethnicity, and gender of the receiver as well as the type of message are what influence the comprehension, i.e. meaning of the message, for the recipient. When the comprehension of a message is varied it is natural for the responses to political messages to vary. A supporter of a candidate will decode the candidate’s message positively because the supporter shares the world-view of the underlying political construction of the message. On the other hand a non-supporter or supporter of the opposition will decode the candidate’s message 40 McNair, Brian 2006, The Culture of Chaos http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2006/may/01/mondaymediasection Last viewed 10/02 2012 16 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen negatively since there is no shared world-view. Then there are the undecided voters that have no or little affiliation with any parties. They decode the messages according to their own values, because they lack a commitment to parties. However, they still have a personal world-view, which may correspond with individual pieces of a party’s political values, while rejecting others. Conservatives in general believe in either lowering taxes or at least keeping them as they are, so they will respond negatively to tax increases and reject the policies and values of any politician that suggests such a policy. 3.1.3 Political Communication on the Internet In politics it is now generally recognized that technology has advanced political communication and that the processes in political campaigns have been influenced by “[…] techniques from the worlds of corporate advertising and marketing in order to compete in the modern information-rich society”, according to McNair (2011).41 With the rise of social networking tools, such as Facebook and Twitter, a new element to campaigning became available. All of a sudden, the Internet could be used by the politicians in a personal way and at the same time reach a lot of people. However, it was not until after Obama’s presidential run in 2008 that social networking tools became standard communication practice for political actors.42 According to McNair (2011), “Social networking is now routinely used to communicate with electorates and stakeholders”43. It is especially useful during campaigning where exposure of a candidate is a necessity to keep the electorate informed and interested. Leading up to 2010, official information such as public inquiries and judicial reviews became increasingly available on the Internet. Information is power, as some might say, and when governments are forced to be open and share their information, it can sometimes get them into trouble. That is exactly what happened when the Wikileaks site published classified US military and other documents to the world without permission.44 This has the potential to undermine the political process and democracy. The emergence of such information can hurt a candidate during elections. There seems to be less and less secrets as the Internet provides all sorts of information on candidates. Secrets about Obama’s past drug use came out during his campaign in 2008, which probably did not help him.45 Also, Perry is especially criticised for not always sticking to his 41 Lilleker 2006, p. 6 McNair 2011, pp. 3-5 43 McNair 2011 44 McNair 2011, pp. 3-5 45 Kovaleski, Serge F. 2008, Old Friends Say Drugs Played Bit Part in Obama’s Young Life, The New York Times http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/09/us/politics/09obama.html?pagewanted=all Last viewed 10/02 2012 42 17 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen policies. For instance, he was once a Democrat and is now a Republican, which might lead people to believe that he is not a true Republican. Also, his numerous attempts to convince people that he is not like George W. Bush, despite the obvious similarities, fade when an old quote from 2000 came out where Perry actually said “I’m the same as George W. Bush!”46 Politics on the Internet can be in the form of public activity in forums such as weblogs (blogs), chat rooms or discussion boards. Established political organisations are also active on the Internet, though to a lesser extent than the public.47 The Internet provides the public with a forum where they can utter their opinions in true democratic form. Communication in politics is usually one-way, from the politician to the public. However, with the emergence of the Internet and social networking tools there is now the possibility of dialogue between individuals and groups in the political sphere, as well as outside. What is more important in this thesis is the candidates’ use of the Internet, especially their own websites, including fan-pages on social networking sites. This issue will be addressed in further detail in the following sections. 3.2 The Media The media environment is constantly changing and so is our mediated political culture.48 According to McNair, “Communication technology has been transformed by the rise of the Internet and real time news channels.”49 This has caused a change in culture, which has given the public more power and decreased the power of media moguls. In a sense, it has brought democracy to the world of media and decentralised where the information is coming from. Maybe it is the beginning of the end of media-centred democracy or at least the part of it where “[…] the public receive the vast majority of their information from media reporting”, according to Lilleker (2006).50 Media-centred democracy is a political system where politicians design their politics with the media in mind.51 It is yet another tool in creating positive awareness of a politician or party. This is particularly used by presidents close to elections. There is the risk that social media and web-based entities take away power from traditional media and in turn gives politicians more leeway. If people turn to the Internet they may not get the same kind of information they would have gotten from traditional 46 Library Grape http://www.librarygrape.com/2011/06/rick-perry-in-2000-im-the-same-as-george-w-bush.html Last viewed 27/02 2012 47 Lilleker 2006, p. 72 48 McNair 2008, pp. 60-64 49 McNair 2008 50 Lilleker 2006, pp 110-111 51 Lilleker 2006, pp 110-111 18 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen media. They, after all, have more economic and political muscle to keep politicians accountable, i.e. serve as the fourth estate. The media takes advantage of the public getting engaged in covering stories. Nonjournalists are influencing and are the cause of news material to an ever increasing extent, because of the Internet. Another cause for the rise in news material is the technological development in mobile phones and the possibility for people to instantly take pictures and video with their mobile phones when news worthy events take place in their vicinity. The media takes advantage of this by using the footage that people upload to Youtube or other video-sharing websites. This has especially been beneficial in achieving additional information on candidates that traditional media missed. The media can either use this extra material as an added sideshow or use it as a leading story, depending on the content and validity. This is certainly also the case when politicians are out campaigning and out talking to voters. If a candidate is caught on video either saying or doing something which is out of the ordinary or inappropriate it will soon become viral on the Internet and that is when the media will pick it up and use it. If it is newsworthy there is a good chance that it will be used by the media and even if it is not worth covering on the news it at least still has a life on the Internet. For political candidates it has meant that they have to be more cautious about what they say during campaigns, because there is a good chance that it is being videotaped by someone. This was the case when Rick Perry was in Iowa early in his campaign. Here he responded to a question from a student by poking the student in the chest and telling him that he obviously did not know what he was talking about.52 Behaviour like this should be avoided at all times. Politicians are especially criticized when they respond poorly to questions from either the media or the public. In addition, it must be said that it helps to increase the awareness of the politicians’ true capabilities in regard to their dedication to politics as well as their abilities to answer questions in live unrehearsed situations. Politicians who are used to solely stick to sound bites and talking points are brought out in the light when the media catches them off guard. A candidate for the presidency of the U.S. will have to eventually discuss controversial and important issues. Former Republican presidential candidate Michele Bachmann was especially viewed as insincere and repeatedly told outright lies, when her talking points did not suffice anymore.53 3.2.1 Media Political Bias 52 Youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=54YgnpovlzM&feature=related Last viewed 10/02 2012 CNN condemns Michele Bachmann lies on mental retardation http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MheCHKSNpyg Last viewed 10/02 2012 53 19 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen Despite the growing emergence of the Internet, the majority of political messages are still mediated by the media. For that reason media-centred democracy still plays a large part in the design of politics. There is a long tradition in the U.S. for the different news and entertainment channels to be biased towards either the Democratic or Republican party.54 However, American news organisations are rarely affiliated with specific parties. The public is heavily influenced by what is said in the media, which makes this a very important issue for politicians. If the majority of media are biased towards the ideologies of one party, it gives the opposition an advantage. However, the general idea is for the media to be neutral when discussing politics. For journalists it is difficult to be completely neutral when dealing with issues of a political nature. It could be anything from elections to the protection of the environment. There are politics involved in so many matters that for a journalist to not utter their opinions while discussing issues on a live TV show or when writing an article on political issues is quite challenging. This is why it has been claimed that media bias exists, because journalists have difficulty being completely neutral and sometimes they want to exercise their right to free speech.55 Media political bias can prove to be hindering for politicians when on the campaign trail. This is due to the advantage of going on local or national TV shows in order to promote their campaign. If the host of the TV show is known to be biased towards the politician’s party, it will most likely prove to be a challenge to attend his show. It might also be a strategy which could end up making the politician less popular with the electorate. This is why it is necessary for communication strategists in political campaigns in the U.S. to know if the network or host has bias towards a party before booking the politician on their show. The preferred scenario for a politician is if the network and host is non-bias and objective. There is unfortunately no assurance that that is the case, which is probably also why Americans often watch the BBC to avoid the favouritism of ideologies and get a more objective view on U.S. politics.56 There is a large segment of the population that believes in what they are exposed to in the media. People that accept television versions as believable are young people and “[…] females of relatively low education and income, associated with ‘working-class’ status, largely indifferent to politics, and without partisan identification,” according to Dan Nimmo (2001).57 Newspapers are the preferred source of credible news for men with medium to high educations, residing in urban 54 Media Research Center http://www.mediaresearch.org/biasbasics/biasbasics2admissions.asp + FAIR http://www.fair.org/index.php?page=100 Last viewed 10/02 2012 55 FAIR http://www.fair.org/index.php?page=100 Last viewed 10/02 2012 56 Lilleker 2006, p. 118 57 Nimmo 2001, p. 145 20 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen areas, with a high-status occupation, and of weak partisan identification.58 When these people are exposed to media that have bias towards either of the two major political parties there is a good chance that they will be influenced to vote for the party that is portrayed most favourably. This is the case for both people of no or weak partisan identification. However, people of weak partisan identification may lean towards one of the political parties and choose media that favour that particular party. It is argued that most people are influenced by all sorts of media. It could be anything from the local newspaper to CNN. 3.2.2 Mass Media For candidates to reach constituents it takes communication experts in order to figure out the most efficient ways of communicating political messages. Communicating to the masses has become increasingly difficult and technical over the years. Politicians are now encouraged to hire specialists in various areas of communication. These areas of communication include public relations, advertising, film/video making, television production, computer programming, and marketing.59 Specialists in these areas are needed in political campaigns for the purpose of increasing awareness of a candidate in mass media. It is their job to develop a creative media campaign using their expertise in their respective areas. These specialists, that the politicians hire, are usually employees in firms that deal with their area of expertise on a daily basis and are preferably experienced in political communication. Top politicians want top specialists in their campaigns, which means that they want the best and are usually willing to pay large amounts of money for their expertise. According to Robert MacNeil (1970), a former news anchor and journalist, “The mass media campaign is not directed to the informed voter but to the eyes and the ears of the voter who does not care very much.”60 There has always been difficulty getting Americans to vote.61 This is why political campaign strategists focus a lot on creating hype around their candidate in order to make the undecided and uninformed voters interested in voting. Since most voters decide early on who they will vote for, it makes more sense to try and convince the undecided and uninformed voters. These voters are also a large part of the population and a group that eventually can turn the tide of an election. 58 Nimmo 2001, p. 145 Nimmo 2001, p. 142 60 MacNeil 1970, pp.198, 222 61 United States Elections Project http://elections.gmu.edu/voter_turnout.htm Last viewed 10/02 2012 59 21 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen A good way to get undecided voters to vote for a candidate is to use mass media. The way this is usually done is, of course, by using the media, but also, by ‘dumbing down’ political messages. Over time political candidates have realised that they are alienating voters by talking in a way that voters do not understand, which is why the concept of ‘dumbing down’ has emerged for the purpose of getting uninformed voters interested in politics. “What meager knowledge Americans do have about candidates’ positions on the issues is picked up from those inane TV spots that proliferate at election time like a biblical plague of annoying locusts.”62 This quote from Rick Shenkman (2009) is very descriptive of how Americans get their impressions of candidates from their TV spots. The messages in these TV spots are usually quite simple and easily understandable. For instance, Rick Perry’s TV spots/Youtube videos are clear messages about how he either proclaims to be a Christian or his opinion about gays and how he will end Obama’s ‘war on religion’ as he calls it.63 Another video is only about his faith.64 These messages are very simple and easy to understand for anyone. Of course, this is not all that Perry’s communication strategies are about. It is just an indication that these videos are made for the purpose of attracting uninformed voters with simple values. The more politically advanced voters will read newspaper articles and watch political debates where they will get the full picture of the candidate’s values and capabilities as a politician. The politician will try to make his messages as varied as possible for the purpose of attracting voters of different cultural backgrounds and values. The objective for communication strategists is to have the ability to have an overview of the messages that are sent from the campaign camp to the mass media. It could be anything from the content of TV spots to the extent of the use of political terms in speeches/debates. 3.2.3 Social Media A clear advantage in political campaigning is the emergence of social media and how politicians are now able to reach a new segment of the population. Social media is having a significant impact on the political landscape as it provides politicians with a tool unlike anything ever seen before in politics. Social networking sites such as Facebook and Twitter are now available on the Internet and the marketing potential of these sites is enormous.65 As previously mentioned there is a 62 Shenkman 2009, p. 118 Youtube channel for Rick Perry 2012 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PAJNntoRgA Last viewed 10/02 2012 64 Youtube channel for Rick Perry 2012 http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=endscreen&NR=1&v=c6tmsxdSUkY Last viewed 10/02 2012 65 Holzner 2009, p. 6 63 22 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen comparison to be made between branding a product and a politician. The use of social media to brand products was initiated shortly after the development of Facebook. However, it was not until Barack Obama’s presidential campaign leading up to the 2008 election that social media advertising was used in a presidential political campaign. The way products are branded on Facebook is by advertising. There is also the possibility for users of Facebook to ‘like’ and become ‘fans’ of products/corporations and persons. Advertising on Facebook is a marketing tool that has the potential of reaching a large number of the site’s 800 million users.66 According to Facebook’s Sarah Smith (2009), the banner ads on Facebook can have down to 0.05 percent of the click-through rate, which is a measure of user responsiveness.67 This is, according to some marketers, about one fifth of the larger web, i.e. the mass of all other sites.68 However, what Facebook may lack in advertising capability it makes up for in the social capabilities it provides. The ‘like on Facebook’ function, which can be added to basically all online campaign material, has the potential of linking supporters with the Facebook fan-page of a candidate. There is, of course, also the possibility of linking to the candidate’s personal social network website. Due to the size of the Facebook network there is a clear advantage in using said site, simply because of the possibility of networking with more than 800 million users. Facebook is not the only social-networking site. Out of the more popular sites, which could be used to promote a candidate, are Twitter (200,000,000+ users)69 and Google+ (50,000,000+ users)70. Governor Rick Perry is using all of these social-networking sites in his campaign.71 There are plenty of other social-networking sites which could be used for the same purpose of creating awareness of a candidate. However, many of the other sites are e.g. for sharing pictures (Flickr) or to talk about movies (Flixster), so they are not particularly fitting for a political campaign. More details of the use of social media in political campaigns will be mentioned in the two cases. Starting with Barack Obama’s revolutionary use of social media and followed by Rick Perry’s adaption of the same communication strategy. 66 Ostrow, Adam 2011, 800 million users as of September 22, 2011 http://mashable.com/2011/09/22/facebook-800million-users/ Last viewed 10/02 2012 67 Techpulse http://techpulse360.com/2009/08/12/facebook-says-its-click-through-rates-do-not-match-those-at-google/ Last viewed 10/02 2012 68 Bloomberg Businessweek 2007 http://www.businessweek.com/technology/content/nov2007/tc20071128_366355_page_2.htm Last viewed 10/02 2012 69 Twitter was launched July 15, 2006 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-12889048 Last viewed 10/02 2012 70 Google+ was launched June 28, 2011 http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2393640,00.asp Last viewed 10/02 2012 71 Facebook http://www.facebook.com/GovernorPerry, Twitter https://twitter.com/#!/TeamRickPerry and Google + https://plus.google.com/104785503282152839300/posts Last viewed 10/02 2012 23 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen 3.3 Public Relations 3.3.1 Definition of Public Relations There are many definitions of public relations. One definition is that PR is a distinctive management function that helps communication as well as the relationship between an organization and the public. It may also be for the purpose of creating a favourable opinion among people about a person, product, company, or institution.72 In this case we are dealing with the activity of creating a favourable opinion among the electorate about a political candidate. This is a complex and wide ranging area in campaigning. The context of public relations is broad and entails a large number of initiatives for its proper execution. PR is not to be confused with advertising or marketing. Some might see a connection between establishing favourable relations with the public and creating material that entices people to buy a product or to support a political candidate. PR is, despite its many definitions, primarily defined as an effort on the company or, in this case, the politician’s behalf to establish a positive image in the eyes of the public and not necessarily to sell a product. 73 Practitioners of public relations are for instance spin doctors whose primary role is to influence the public as well as the politician for the purpose of maintaining or improving the relationship between aforementioned parties. 3.3.2 Political PR The main goal of political public relations is to use media outlets to communicate specific political aspirations in the hope of garnering public support. The term political public relations is not used frequently.74 However, it is a concept, which is frequently used in the political sphere. The concept is often termed differently with definitions such as, political communication and propaganda. Political public relations has largely been dominated by media relations. Mass media is a main influence on voting behaviour. This activity of influencing voters would be categorised as within political PR. Media relations is no longer the only method of influencing a large number of voters due to the emergence of the Internet and social media. The politicians now have the opportunity to spread their political PR online without the use of the general media. 72 Tench 2009, p. 4 & MacMillan English Dictionary p. 1139 Tench 2006, pp. 35-42 74 Jackson 2010, p. 1 73 24 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen The practitioners of political PR are mainly journalists due to the power they possess within the media. They control what is printed in the press and what is said on the news. Some journalists may use the power they possess to influence political outcomes. It is the journalists’ role to create an interesting story and they may twist the words of the politician in order to create a newsworthy story. There are also the practitioners within the political sphere that try to influence the media. They are the politicians themselves and the politician’s spin doctor. Sound bites and talking points is what protect the politician from saying more than what is necessary and to avoid the media from using their own utterances against them. The Internet and social media have provided a direct channel for politicians to speak to a large section of the public, as well as the media, where their political utterances are clear and rehearsed. This minimizes the opportunity for misinterpretations or alterations by the media. This provides the politicians with more public relations power and diminishes the power of the media. Other practitioners of political PR are supporters and volunteers of political candidates. In the process of supporting their candidate they are creating public relations by talking to voters through the different channels that they use. Going door-to-door and putting up posters of candidates are forms of public relations, some might call it propaganda. It can be argued that political PR has experienced a revolution with the emergence of the Internet and social media since it provides the politicians with a direct channel to the electorate to practice their public relations. There is the possibility for politicians to release statements on their own websites, which provides the politician with an excuse to simply refer journalists to the website for further information. This helps to deter the media from getting any unrehearsed utterances that they can twist into their own story. 4. Cases Campaigning is mainly about raising funds and getting people to vote or as the politicians would have us believe, it is about spreading their messages of how to create a better society. However, as these cases will show it is much more than that. Getting people to support a candidate is quite challenging and the candidates and their staff are willing to work excessively hard in order to get people to vote for them. A lot of the time the focus is on the funds and on how much can be raised. However, the focus in this thesis is on communication strategies. So, that is why the use of technology, the supporters’ way of organizing and the communication skills of the candidates are what is most interesting and is what will be focused on in these two cases. The two cases consist of 25 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen Barack Obama’s campaign for the 2008 election in which he won the presidency of the United States and Rick Perry’s gubernatorial campaigns as well as his campaign in the primaries 2011/2012. 4.1 Barack Hussein Obama This case of the communication strategies of President Barack Hussein Obama can be seen as a model for how it is possible to campaign when running for president in an age of social media and global communication. A host of commentators have elevated the Obama campaign to a blueprint for (post) modern campaigning. The objective is to compare his communication strategies from 2006 until today with Rick Perry’s communication strategies. Obama’s successful campaign should be seen as a case of good managing and ingenuity in the use of technology. Much of the success of the campaign can be attributed to two of the managers, David Plouffe and David Axelrod. However, winning the election would not have been possible without Obama’s ability to inspire and energize people with his charisma and strong personal character.75 Three main strategies seemed to have made the difference in Obama’s campaign. The revolutionary use of technology played a pivotal role in reaching a large number of voters. Also, the whole grassroots movement and the large number of volunteers were a reason for the success of the campaign. The two methods were intertwined in an innovative way to create a communication network that increased the opportunity for raising funds.76 Finally, Obama, his personality, his ability to win people over and his speeches were what really won him the election, according to David Plouffe. On a further note, Theodor J. Lowi (2011) believes that, “Obama may have won the election partly because of his predecessor’s poor performance”.77 The campaign trail started in August of 2006, where Obama had a busy schedule, which started with a two week tour in Africa and went on for two-and-a-half-months until the midterm elections. The period included a national book tour for Obama’s second book The Audacity of Hope, which had just been released and it unexpectedly turned into a campaign from coast to coast for the run for the Democratic nomination for President.78 Obama eventually wrested the Democratic nomination from Hillary Clinton in the primaries and won the presidency with 365 electoral votes beating Republican candidate John McCain. It was 7 million more popular votes 75 Lowi 2011, p. 320 Lowi 2011, p. 313 77 Lowi 2011, E2 (p. 188) 78 Heilemann 2009, p. 55 76 26 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen than anyone who had ever run for president. It was also a higher vote percentage than any Democratic candidate besides Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936 and Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.79 4.1.1 The Campaign The people behind the campaign were, among others, David Plouffe and David Axelrod, who were partners in a political consulting firm.80 Before they got involved with Obama they had worked on a long-shot gubernatorial campaign for Deval Patrick of Massachusetts in 2006. In this campaign they started doing some innovative communication strategies on the Internet for the purpose of developing better ways of organizing and communicating messages. Obama and his team retained the services of Blue State Digital to create a social networking site, which evidently came to be known as ‘MyBo’.81 People got their first glimpse of Obama’s tremendous television presence and his ability to communicate directly to voters in his 2004 race for the senate in the state of Illinois. Plouffe and Axelrod knew that Obama’s personality and his abilities as a speaker would be powerful tools. They also came to realise that the emergence of social media would prove to be a powerful instrument in conveying Obama’s personality. It was innovative and not the standard for when usually running for President.82 Iowa was an important state for Obama during the primaries as it was a state which he from the outset of the campaign wanted to derail Hillary Clinton in. Accordingly, a lot of time and resources were spent here. This was also necessary as Iowa’s voters historically paid little attention to the national media. There was also the need for personal presence as a lot of people did not turn up to vote, especially young people. In recent caucuses, twice as many people over sixty-five had turned out as people under thirty.83 A new challenge, which seemed to most political observers to be difficult, was to get young people interested and get them to vote. The Obama camp decided to focus on volunteers and they wanted to focus on using grassroots methods, which meant that they would have to stay away from Washington D.C. The reason for this was that they felt that the campaign could be inclined to apply conventional wisdom on how to campaign and they wanted to think differently. There is nothing wrong with conventional wisdom on how to campaign, except that some of the old ways may be too time-consuming and expensive. Technology had made 79 Plouffe 2009, p. 3 Plouffe 2009, p. 6 81 Lowi 2011, p. 320 82 Plouffe 2009, p. 15-16 83 Plouffe 2009, p. 17 80 27 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen campaigning easier and more effective, which is why the team needed to involve themselves in a more contemporary setting and disregard a lot of the old ways of campaigning. They set up headquarters in Chicago, which was a strategic move as they felt that it would be hard to sell an outsider candidate who was based in Washington D.C. Obama wanted to have two headquarters for those that were not prepared to move to Chicago, Plouffe shot it down. He felt it was still important to have everyone under one roof despite the possibility of using conference calls and all of the other technological opportunities that improves communication. He felt that it was important to be able to talk to people face to face, which the IT revolution, after all, does not provide. 84 Despite the social capabilities of social media it still does not provide personal contact, which can also have significance when conveying a message. A lot can be lost in translation when the message is through a technological channel and not in a forum where it is possible to gesture and use body language. This is maybe why Plouffe wanted everything under one roof. A prime motivation for Obama to run, according to Plouffe, was that he wanted people to reengage in their civic life, which was perfect for a grassroots campaign. If properly motivated, the volunteers could become a powerful weapon in the pursuit of raising money and votes. A grass roots movement is an approach to campaigning which has the advantage of reaching the electorate locally.85 The Internet would be the tool to quickly reach a large number of volunteers for the sake of building a grassroots movement. By this time most people were online and it was easy to reach people this way and supporters were likely to be knowledgeable about the Internet and its possibilities.86 Supporters were at this time aware of the fact that information was most easily found online and information about politics was no exception. The Obama team decided to build a website containing their own social-network for them to easily communicate and raise money. It was and still is a tool for supporters to find each other, organize and have discussions.87 The website was a place where supporters could contribute. Fundraising events and direct-mail were also part of the team’s strategy to raise funds. The fund-raising target for 2007 was fifty million dollars, which this strategy would eventually help them achieve. It was enough for their initial budget and as Obama’s popularity grew, so would the contributions.88 The Obama camp spent $700 million in total in his presidential campaign. His Republican opponent John McCain 84 Plouffe 2009, p. 20 Lowi 2011, p. 313 86 Pew Research Center - Pew Internet http://www.pewinternet.org/Static-Pages/Trend-Data/Whos-Online.aspx Last viewed 27/02 2012 87 Plouffe 2009, p. 21 88 Plouffe 2009, p. 22 85 28 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen spent less than half than that ($326 million).89 This was possible due to the fact that Obama opted out of the public financing system (FECA) during the primaries, as well as the general election, which allowed him to spend much more than his opponent. 90 Besides giving money, the team was interested in how to get supporters involved and they went about it quite aggressively in the beginning in order to build a grassroots movement. They had to reach more than 220 million people, which is the number of people in the United States with the proper voting-age, so reaching that many people would not only take a lot of money but also time and a large grassroots movement.91 When Obama announced he was running, he first taped an online video announcing his involvement in matters outside of his work as a senator, which involved the forming of a committee. For anyone involved in politics it was obvious that this meant that he was running. A few weeks later he officially announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination to run for President. 92 It was announced through an online video on January 18 and the video was uploaded to Youtube, where it instantly got hundreds of thousands of views and linked the viewers to Obama’s website. This was an extraordinary moment for the team as they saw how the Internet could play an important part in reaching a large number of people.93 In these early days of the campaign there was a lack of resources and staff. Even with technology there were a number of communication obstacles. There was no campaign office, no internal E-mail, and no staff in the early states, which made communication difficult as there were no sufficient direct channels in a number of places between colleagues.94 Communication became a very important part of the campaign and the new media group, in charge of online communications, maintenance and development of the Web-page as well as texting to the supporter’s mobile phones, was seen as an essential part of communication. Therefore they were to report directly to the senior staff, i.e. Plouffe. Plouffe saw that the success of the campaign relied on the Internet. The media group had a lot of work to do as the strategy of the campaign had to be channelled to the grassroots volunteers. This was orchestrated by the technology staff via weekly conference calls and it was also a place where they could air new ideas. Most other political campaigns were not as evolved technologically as Obama’s campaign.95 89 Lowi 2011, p. 313 FECA Federal Elections Campaign Act. The public financing system is a reform that limits the amounts that a single individual can contribute to a candidate or party. Passed by Congress in 1971. & Lowi 2011, pp. 314-316 91 Lowi 2011, p. 313 92 Plouffe 2009, pp. 28-29 93 Plouffe 2009, p. 32 94 Plouffe 2009, p. 31 95 Plouffe 2009, p. 36 90 29 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen The team initiated an online event page where people could sign up for events such as low-dollar fund-raising events. In the spirit of grassroots movements, the campaign did not focus on big donations but on volunteers and people who could only afford small donations. It turned out to be a great success, with three thousand people showing up to hear Obama. During the campaign this model was used across the country. An added bonus to online campaigning is that everything from monetary contribution to volunteer work can be tracked, which informs the team of where the supporters are. The small amounts that came in, which a tool on the team’s social-networking site showed to be generally between $100 and $1000, along with the proposition to ask others to support, eventually grew into a powerful force. The team was careful not to discourage or leech off of supporters by asking them for money too frequently. Supporters frequently visited and used the website and its social-networking components.96 The team targeted sporadic, undecided and young voters, Republicans and people who were not registered independents. They were determined to get them all if possible and realised that they were not going to come by themselves in groups, so they would have to be reached individually.97 They sent messages sparingly, because they realised that if people were constantly bombarded with e-mails from the Obama team they would eventually get bored with it. That is also why the messages that were sent varied in length and tone. If it was a serious matter the message would be long and informative and then there were the short and informal messages that informed of lighter matters. Also, when Obama personally signed e-mails it should send a strong message and if he did this too regularly they thought they might risk not getting such big responses as they did. Accordingly, Obama’s wife Michelle Obama’s messages were used more frequently and they were also received very well.98 Additional media and Internet advertising was sent out for the purpose of reaching young voters. Part of their strategy for bringing supporters together to caucus was to do comprehensive instructional and informative work. So far their grassroots supporters had used the social-networking site, my.barackobama.com, or MyBo, to organize. On their own, the supporters had done a lot to push forward the campaign, and with some further instruction and information, as well as tools to measure their performance, their effectiveness was bound to increase. The 96 Plouffe 2009, pp. 48-55 Plouffe 2009, pp. 64 & 70 98 Plouffe 2009, p. 76 97 30 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen supporters were told to take matters into their own hands by one of the founders of Facebook, Chris Hughes, who came to help organize online.99 In the business world we often see celebrity endorsements for products and the same is the case in the world of politics, where celebrities choose their favourite candidate and speaks out about why this person should win. This was also the case when Oprah Winfrey showed her support for Barack Obama in early 2007. There was the concern that Obama might be viewed as more of a celebrity rather than a serious contender for the race of becoming the next President, but they went along with it and ended up devoting a weekend to campaigning with Oprah.100 As the campaign went on Obama got a chance to breathe when he won in South Carolina. The Clinton camp argued that Obama won because of his skin colour. What they were aiming at was to get young whites, independents, newly registered African American voters as well as African Americans who usually voted sporadically. They succeeded in winning a quarter of the white vote including the majority of white voters under forty, showing their broad appeal as well as exceeding the medias expectations.101 Obama’s speeches were watched by tens of millions and were a main reason for the massive turnout. Technology played a big part in reaching the high number of people, because not that many people would watch Obama make a speech early on a Tuesday morning. However, when these speeches are uploaded to Youtube, and the other outlets available, it makes the availability of the speeches more accommodating to the general user.102 “Obama’s convention speech at Mile Hile Stadium drew nearly eighty thousand people and was the first to be held outdoors since JFK’s in Los Angeles in 1960,” according to Plouffe.103 By now much of the success of the campaign was accredited to the grassroots supporters and their ability to organize on their own. The supporters started very early on in the campaign by using My.Barackobama.com and Facebook and got so efficient at organizing that they could have trained the staff. This was all done with barely any resources, just the passion and drive to get a proper candidate in the White House.104 The volunteers and staff were better than the Clinton campaign at organizing, because of their use of the social-networking site. Plouffe points to that there was a sort of camaraderie between supporters and the staff, which the staff did not want to take advantage of. This relationship was balanced by sending e-mails that either requested for organizational help, asked for funds, informed, or was sent out locally, as opposed to nationally, 99 Plouffe 2009, pp. 91-92 Plouffe 2009, pp. 117-118 101 Plouffe 2009, pp. 161-163 102 Plouffe 2009, p. 214 103 Plouffe, 2009, p. 227 & Helman, Scott http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2008/07/a_stadium_to_ma.html Last viewed 20/02 2012 104 Plouffe 2009, pp. 174-175 100 31 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen which gave it more of a personal touch. The staff felt that the culture of the campaign was very healthy and that this healthy atmosphere and the support from their volunteers were the reason why they won.105 Their strategy of a wide electoral map was fulfilled by the many volunteers, who campaigned for Obama nation-wide, online and offline.106Having people volunteer through-out the entire country was something they hoped for so that they could reach the electorate in all states and spread their message of ‘change’. The campaign’s strategy was to announce that electing Obama meant ‘change’ and there was hardly any deviation away from this core message. They were willing to change tactics during the campaign in cases when their strategy came under fierce criticism from opponents or other political observers. According to Plouffe, they only had one slogan, Clinton had several.107 The strategy made it easy to make decisions, such as allocations of time and resources, because the goal was always to get the most votes and win the election. The road was laid out before the team and they knew what to focus on in order to serve their strategic interests. It seemed to be working better than the team had thought as they exceeded their own expectations and even gained more resources than their opponents. As the primaries went on, more and more resources, including technological resources, became necessary. In the beginning of the campaign the e-mail list had fewer than ten thousand people on it but due to Obama’s popularity it had grown to over five million by June 3, 2008. About two million of the people on that list had either volunteered or contributed. During the primaries over two hundred million dollars had been raised online. This could be because of the Obama camp’s goal of being predominantly on the Internet when raising funds from the beginning of the campaign.108 Later on in the campaign contributors were up to two million and there were more than seven million people on the e-mail list. They continued to buy more Internet advertising to gain more supporters. The reason for this was to continue reaching people online by making them visit MyBo.com and Obama’s Facebook page. If they were able to get people to visit one of the pages, then maybe it would be possible to get them to support, in one way or another. 109 Even though earlier in the campaign it had seemed like Clinton was a certain win, she had now lost the primaries to Obama and he was now the Democratic nominee for President.110 Obama’s new opponent was the Republican nominee for President, John McCain. He did not have 105 Plouffe 2009, pp. 237-238 Plouffe 2009, p. 256 107 Smith, Ben http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0108/7685.html Last viewed 27/02 2012 108 Plouffe 2009, pp. 236-237 109 Plouffe 2009, p. 254 110 Lowi 2011, p. 320 106 32 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen the same kind of online presence and ability to raise funds in other ways than the traditional way. McCain had to work harder and spent more money on advertising. The Obama team’s strategy still remained the same, which was to continue acquiring e-mails, to build strong local organizations, boosting turnout where needed, use person-to-person persuasion, and registering voters. They saw these field operations as more important than advertising, because they take time and human resources to grow, whereas advertising on TV was something they wanted to wait with until a later stage if it was deemed necessary.111 During the debates Obama proved his abilities as a speaker and convinced many of the non-believers that he was presidential material. There were three televised presidential debates in September and October 2008 where both candidates showed that they were knowledgeable about domestic and foreign policy.112 The experienced 72 year old McCain was expected to know all of these matters whereas the much younger and less experienced 47 year old Obama had to convince voters that he was up for the job as President. Obama’s popularity rose following the debates as he had, according to many commentators, succeeded in convincing voters of his abilities in being able to lead the country. This is an important component of campaigns and it is something that any future presidential candidate needs to achieve at some point during their campaign. Obama’s success was argued to be because of his ability to answer several political matters smoothly and in a reassuring manner, which appealed to the American people. The political matters were anything a president face when in office, such as the economy, domestic and foreign policy. When it was time to pick the Vice President, there was a lot of speculation as to who Obama would pick. John McCain also had to choose a Vice President and he unexpectedly chose far right, religious conservative, Tea Partyer to be, Sarah Palin. There was a lot of media focus on this and it was an opportunity for the team to get more people to visit their website to get updates on when the VP might be chosen. They came up with the idea to first tell supporters who got picked as VP. It went under the tag line “Be the first to know” and it resulted in their list growing fifteen fold in less than two weeks.113 Obama eventually chose Joseph Biden, the Delaware senator, who earlier on in the campaign had tried to become the Democratic nominee, but had dropped out of the race. Biden was partly selected because of his foreign policy experience, which it was said Obama lacked.114 As the day of election was drawing nearer, the funds that were coming in were continuously increasing. Throughout the campaign the number of monetary funds that were coming 111 Plouffe 2009, pp. 260-264 Lowi 2011, p. 322 113 Plouffe 2009, p. 295 114 Lowi 2011, p. 321 112 33 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen in kept increasing and at this late stage in September 2008 the team raised more than $100 million online. On days when the team sent fund-raising e-mails there was a lot more funds coming in, which were in the amounts of $250,000, $300,000, and sometimes even $500,000 an hour. Roughly ten e-mails were sent out in September and on the days when they were sent, the amounts that came in were the highest. However, also on days when they were not asking for money, the contributions that were coming in were often more than $1 million.115 The team was efficient in updating the website and just being online in general. What they came to realise was that their internal communication could be improved. Supporters should be treated differently, so they decided to send memos directly to them, which would add to the sense of camaraderie they felt they had with Obama and his team. Also, the use of direct-mail has a much more powerful impact on people than updates posted on a website. Plouffe started sending videos to supporters every seven or ten days. To keep things interesting, along with the videos there followed a diversity of Obama’s issues and speeches. There sometimes also followed contribution/volunteer requests or supporters were reminded to get registered to vote and were informed of the possibility of early voting. Also, state-specific issues were addressed. In the last sixty days, dozens of e-mails were sent every day and an immense e-mail team was hired to deal with all of the incoming e-mails and contributions.116 Early voting was a key issue when advertising, whether it was on the radio or on the Internet. E-mails and text messages on the subject were sent out to people on their list. In order to reach first-time and sporadic voters they needed to do more than just advertise. Therefore, for that personal touch, volunteers went door-to-door and made phone calls to get voters interested and also to spread the message of early vote. African Americans and whites in progressive areas were turning out on a massive scale.117 By now the e-mail list had reached 13 million people. Obama and his team had essentially their own personal television network in the sense that they could send videos to everyone on the list. It was a way to communicate directly to 20 percent of the total votes they needed in order to win. At one point Obama was to do a 30 minute nationally televised program. More than 20 percent of the nation, that was watching TV at the time, tuned in to watch the program on TV. Millions of people either saw it as it was streaming online on Obama’s website or on the other sites involved with news coverage. Obama spread his message of why he should be 115 Plouffe 2009, p. 327 Plouffe 2009, pp. 328-329 117 Plouffe 2009, pp. 350-351 116 34 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen elected and why this election is so important. He especially emphasized the economy, health care, and the people affected by a system that does not take care of its inhabitants.118 The strategy throughout the campaign had been to use technology and it eventually ended up playing a key role in getting Obama elected. There were a couple of challenges. One was to figure out who would support Obama and the other was where to find them. It was possible to find out about this online, because the people they were trying to reach spent a lot of time online and they realised this at a fairly early stage in the campaign. They also realised that a strong online presence would get them to reach a high number of volunteers and supporters, who would be given the tools to get involved. Most people were at this time regularly online and seeking out information on the Internet. The team would be able to reach people in their homes rather than trying to get them to deviate from their daily lives in order to get them involved. Their commitment to using technology as their platform from the outset of the campaign paid off on a large scale. The idea was to approach campaigning in a new way, but also use traditional methods, such as, using TV ads and press interviews, which also would be important communication tactics. Another of their main tactics was to communicate person-to-person, whether it was online, over the phone or face-to-face. Their use of direct mail and text messaging was also seen as a personal way to communicate. Finally, the messages that were sent had to be diverse, so that people would not get bored with it. However, it was also important that people did not get confused by being exposed to different messages through TV, radio or from Internet ads all at once.119 All of the hard work paid off and Obama won the general election on November 4, 2008. He was the nation’s first African American President and won convincingly with 53 percent of the popular vote, the largest Democratic majority since Lyndon B. Johnson. He was successful in conquering both red and blue states across the nation. As expected he had the majority of the black vote with an overwhelming 95-4 percent. Hispanics and young voters both voted 66-32 in favour of Obama. He also got 43 percent of the white vote, which was better than Gore or Kerry, who were the two last Democratic presidential nominees to run for President.120 One of Obama’s advantages in this campaign was that the Republicans were not particularly popular with voters and Obama’s message was that it was time for a change, which the voters agreed on.121 Obama secured 53 percent of the popular vote. Out of the Electoral College he 118 Plouffe 2009, pp. 364-366 Plouffe 2009, p. 378 120 Heilemann 2009, p. 429 121 Lowi 2011, p. 317 119 35 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen won a 365-173 majority, which is substantially more than the 270 electoral votes that are needed to claim the presidency.122 4.1.2 Epilogue The communication strategies that the Obama team used played a large part in getting the votes needed and in raising funds. His win is attributed to the grass-roots movement in particular, as well as his revolutionary use of technology, which was Plouffe and Axelrod’s idea to begin with. It might seem like what really won Obama the election was Obama, but it would not have been possible without the exposure that the Internet and the grassroots movement provided. In any case there are lessons to be learned here. The grassroots movement was a communication strategy that helped immensely and it is a tool any candidate can use. Also, it makes good sense to take advantage of technology due to its capability of reaching a large audience in a fairly inexpensive way. These advances in technology have previously proven to be of use in political public relations. Former presidents, such as Theodor Roosevelt, Franklin D. Roosevelt and John F. Kennedy put radio, television and tabloid media to good use. Especially, the use of social media has proven to have a strong effect on people, as it is a personal way of communicating to people. When people read an article about a candidate or see him on TV, it is not the same as when he personally writes to you on your Facebook page. It is unlikely that Obama is the one personally writing all of the messages on Facebook due to his important and time consuming job. However, it is assumed that he has approved it since it is written on his personal Facebook site. Finally, having a candidate with strong communication skills, who can win people over and convince them that he is the best candidate, is possibly the best communication tool there is. The challenge for communication strategists is to shape the candidate into that person. This next case will discuss if Rick Perry is as good a communicator as Obama. 4.2 James Richard ‘Rick’ Perry Texas Governor Rick Perry is according to himself a Washington outsider, a conservative, and a Christian. These were just some of the things he was advertising in his campaign to sell himself to the electorate. This is a part of the communication strategies he used in his campaign in the primaries during his bid for the presidency of the United States. Perry’s past gubernatorial campaigns as well as his campaign in the primaries will be discussed. Some of his work as a governor will be mentioned for the purpose of providing an insight into the man and politician 122 Lowi 2011, p. 317 36 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen before his run for the presidency. These past initiatives are relevant for determining his political life and his values. The case will be compared to President Barack Obama’s case and finally evaluated for the purpose of evaluating his campaign in areas where he might have been lacking in effectiveness. Rick Perry’s gubernatorial campaigns have been seen as great successes and he is the longest running governor in the country. This case study will look into the communication strategies that were used in those campaigns as well as in his current campaign in the Republican primaries. His top consultant is Dave Carney, who has been with Perry since 1998 when he helped Perry win a state-wide race to be elected Lieutenant Governor of Texas.123 Carney’s work is particularly interesting since he and the other campaign managers are the ones that primarily create the communication strategies. Perry is also responsible for a variety of the communication strategies. In the analysis it will be concluded to what extent the communication strategies were successful. 4.2.1 Gubernatorial Campaigns Rick Perry became Governor of Texas in 2000, when he took over from George W. Bush, who had been elected President. In 2002, 2006 and 2010 he was elected to full gubernatorial terms, all with the help of Dave Carney. In fact, Perry had never experienced defeat in an election until he ran for the presidency. 4.2.2 Donations and Favours It appears that one of the more interesting aspects of Perry’s political life is the large amounts that he gets in donations. Money is an important factor in any campaign, and these contributions are definitely a help for Perry to get an advantage in elections. Perry’s three gubernatorial campaigns collected a total of $102 million.124 More than half of that came from just 204 donors, which means that he got very large amounts from these individuals. Most people who donate to a politician because of their ideology would usually just donate small amounts, like $100, therefore, the incentive is that these donors must be getting something in return. Perry has a long track record of doing favors in return for large monetary contributions.125 Texas has no limit on individual 123 Recio (2011) Taibbi (2011) http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/rick-perry-the-best-little-whore-in-texas-20111026 Last viewed 27/02 2012 125 Taibbi (2011) 124 37 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen donations to politicians, which makes it possible for corporations to make a donation to a politician in order to get a legislation passed. This has made it possible for Perry to make a system where donations and favors are like currency. This system has made sure that he gets massive donations, because entrepreneurs are interested in having a person in office who is willing to sign their petitions. This is most likely for the purpose of being able to keep operating in their usual manner, in return for a donation. One of his first big favors was to back a $175 billion project called the Trans-Texas Corridor, which was to privatize the state’s highways. The state-legislature eventually shut the project down. However, Perry was able to push parts of it through, including some new highways around the two largest cities of Texas, Houston and Dallas. Perry had received donations from some of the beneficiaries of the project, such as, Williams Brothers Construction ($621,000), Parsons Corporation ($410,000) and JP Morgan Chase ($191,000).126 These are just a few of Perry’s political endeavours to raise funds during his 11 years as a governor. It is worth noting that these favors send a signal, which most would think is not in the best interest of the people or the state. Especially, the favors he has done for corporations that allow them to dump nuclear waste near cities in Texas, which can potentially pollute the drinking water.127 The Trans-Texas Corridor was a direct violation of Perry’s supposed conservative values as it would have created a public highway system that would have seized 500,000 acres of farmland. Seizing land from farmers for the purpose of creating a public highway system is not particularly liberal and is therefore not something conservatives would usually do. If voters are informed about his past initiatives they will get an impression of a candidate who violates his own values and is therefore not trustworthy. Also, the fact that he used to be a Democrat, who used to root for Al Gore, back in 1988, sends a signal to faithful Republicans that he might not be as conservative as he now wants to be perceived as. It seems that Perry is very efficient at raising large amounts of money by going along with any deal that will give him the largest donation. He is even getting so good at it that he is making donors compete to give him the largest amount in order to make him select whichever endeavour they want him to endorse. This, it seems, is done by sending a signal to the donors that this individual is willing to sign anything for the right price. Perry does not seem to be concerned with any environmental matters as he in 2005 signed an executive order to build 17 new coal-fired power plants. This is a massive setback for any environmentalist, as it would increase the state’s carbon footprint to a level above New York, Florida and California combined.128 As we already 126 Taibbi (2011) Taibbi (2011) 128 Taibbi (2011) 127 38 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen know, with the Trans-Texas Corridor project, Perry is willing to give up his political ideals as well. This could lead one to believe that not much, if anything, is stopping Perry from signing anything for the proper monetary donation. People of industry may find this appealing and see Perry as an individual who is easy to work with. How this all reflects in the eyes of the voter may be another story. Perry’s consistent arguments seem to be that his initiatives are creating jobs and that appeal to a lot of voters. Texas is attracting industry from all over the South due to lenient environmental standards, low wages and illegal immigration. 129 Perry’s stand on illegal immigration came up during a debate where his opposing statements seemed valid. However, Texas has a large illegal immigrant workforce and it is Perry’s job to toe the Republican line on illegal immigration, which he is not successful at. Some of Perry’s top contributors thrive on illegal immigrant labourers but that is not necessarily something that can be hold against Perry. It simply is not possible to know if Perry is being lenient on immigration for the purpose of helping his contributors or if it is just Perry’s incapability of preventing illegal immigrants from working in his state. 4.2.3 Moving Forward Once again to emphasize the importance of this information is how voters may respond when informed about the past actions of Perry. The question is whether or not Perry is any different than his competitors in this area or if all politicians are mainly focused on monetary gains. In any case, what can a spin doctor do when dealing with a candidate that has made mistakes in his past? Is it a losing battle or is it possible to focus on other matters or maybe to justify the candidate’s actions? In the past several candidates have succeeded in moving on after past indiscretions came out into the light. Obama is a prime example of this when he was able to move past the discussion of his run in with drugs in his youth. When Perry was being criticized for his inabilities in live debates, in the primaries, he chose to announce that he was not going to participate in these debates any more. He also made a video, which he published on Youtube and Facebook, where he argued that he is not a slick debater.130 He instead wanted to give the impression that if elected he would create a “[…] clean house in Washington with a balanced budget amendment, a flat tax and a part time congress”131, appealing to those voters that want less government influence in their daily lives. His statement here was to give the impression that he is not like the other political candidates and that Gillman, Todd J. - Dallas News – Texas watch Perry’s attack on Romney ignores Texas dependence on illegal immigration http://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/perry-watch/headlines/20111022-texas-watch-perrys-attack-onromney-ignores-texas-dependence-on-illegal-immigration.ece Last viewed 10/02 2012 130 Youtube channel for Rick Perry http://www.youtube.com/user/RPerry2012?feature=watch#p/u/19/aiCRW5zGSG4 Last viewed 10/02 2012 131 Rick Perry, see link above. 129 39 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen he is not from Congress, continuing his anti-Washington discourse. Perry participated in debates shortly after this statement. A more effective strategy may have been to disregard the mishaps and move on. However, the massive media coverage can make any communication strategist want to respond in one way or another. Perry’s inabilities as a debater was brought on by a mistake he made during a debate in which he forgot what agency he would cut. His ‘stumble’ it seems was arguably reason for his demise, which will be elaborated upon in the analysis.132 4.2.4 Tea Party Connection Another aspect of Perry’s political ideology is his connection with the Tea Party. The Tea Party movement was founded in 2009 as an opposition to the current government. It is an American populist political movement with conservative and libertarian ideals. It was formed as a grassroots movement by people with an aversion towards government. This aversion sprung from the financial crisis, which had ruined a lot of lives due to loss of jobs and homes. Many people joined the Tea Party because of this situation. In addition, people, who generally had aversion towards big government or Obama, also joined.133 Perry is known for having used some of the campaign’s most extreme anti-government rhetoric. This sits well with the Tea party due to their dissatisfaction with mainstream Republican Party leaders. The Tea Party movement “[…] has gone on to upend the existing political order, reshaping the debate in Washington, defeating a number of prominent lawmakers and elevating a fresh cast of conservative stars,” according to The Washington Post.134 In preparation for running for president, Perry wanted to get everyone’s attention by getting a foot in in both of the main camps of the Republican Party base. The Tea Party is one of these main camps. One of Perry’s main political statements is his anti-Washington, anti-government and minimal federal interference in general. Like a true capitalist, neo-liberal and far-right conservative, he wants the government to have as little influence on business as possible. This is right up the Tea Party’s alley, which makes him popular with a lot of the party’s members. However, even though, Perry in general believes in the Tea Party doctrine of limited government he has on several occasions issued government controlled policies, like his order of the HPV vaccine order, which he later renounced as a mistake.135 He repeated the same policy with another order to 132 Wemble, Erik (2011) - The Washington Post http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/erik-wemple/post/rick-perrystumbles-but-for-how-long/2011/11/10/gIQACORc8M_blog.html Last viewed 19/02 2012 133 Barstow, David (2010) – The New York Times http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/16/us/politics/16teaparty.html Last viewed 27/02 2012 134 Gardner, Amy (2010) - The Washington Post http://www.washingtonpost.com/wpdyn/content/article/2010/10/23/AR2010102304000.html Last viewed 10/02 2012 135 West, Paul (2011) - The Los Angeles Times http://articles.latimes.com/2011/sep/13/nation/la-na-gop-candidates20110914 Last viewed 10/02 2012 40 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen vaccinate college freshmen students with shots of a meningitis vaccine, which he got a $700,000 donation for from the drug company Novartis. The students had to get a conscientious-objection form from the Texas Department of State Health Services in order to get out of taking the shot, which is very non-liberal and definitely not something that fits in the doctrine of limited government.136 Perry has experienced some opposition from members of the Tea Party, including Debra Medina, a nurse and entrepreneur and a non-partisan Tea Partyer, who ran against him in a primary race and got 18 percent of the vote. 137 She blames the Republicans’ obsession with getting rid of Obama on why they voted for Perry, because he supposedly would stand a better chance against the President. 138 Perry no longer had the backing of the Tea Partiers later on in the campaign. 4.2.5 The Electorate The state is a neutral entity, in the sense that it acts in the interest of all and represents the electoral vote. In a democracy such as the U.S., there exists a system of plurality where power is dispersed amongst the inhabitants of the society in different social groups as opposed to an elitist society where power is held by only an elite group of people.139 In a democracy there is the risk of voters without the proper knowledge of candidates, who may vote simply because they like the candidate’s persona. Perry is taking advantage of voters who may vote for him simply because he makes statements on Christianity. It seems especially befitting in the South to be religious when in politics. Perry grew up as a Methodist and until recently only showed his faith in God superficially. In 2009 he decided to show his faith by inviting two evangelical pastors into his office for a prayer meeting. This sends a message to the Christian community that Perry is also on their team, which automatically gets him support from a large group.140 In early August of 2011, Perry invited Christian leaders to a big gathering of 30,000 evangelicals in Reliant Stadium in Houston, where he read from the Bible and talked about America's departure from proper Christian values.141 It was a non-political meeting where the 136 Taibbi (2011) Medina Party http://www.medinateaparty.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1&Itemid=20 Last viewed 10/02 2012 138 Taibbi (2011) 139 Heywood 2004, p. 79 140 Taibbi (2011) 141 Dawkins, Richard (2011) - The Washington Post http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/on-faith/post/rick-perrybetrays-a-great-american-principle/2011/07/13/gIQA0cCNCI_blog.html Last viewed 27/02 2012 137 41 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen promotion of it was paid for by state resources. This was right before his announcement that he was running for President.142 Perry is advocating to American Christians regardless of which kind of Christianity they are tied to. His main selling point is the belief in God, Christian values, and faith. There is a large segment of this group who would vote for a candidate because he is Christian, who will leave them alone. Perry knows this and is advocating especially to this group when he is sending messages about God and minimal state. Another segment of the electorate that he is advocating to are industry leaders and independents, who likes Perry’s plan to have a part time Congress and a flat tax for optimal libertarian economic freedom.143 Perry has already shown industry leaders that he is a person who shares their values, which is especially important when collecting donations. It is also important come election time. This is not only because of industry leaders but also how they can influence their employees to vote for a candidate that will help their business and subsequently the employees’ future employment. One might speculate as to why Perry all of a sudden meets with Christians and why he suddenly switches from being a Democrat to being a Republican. In addition, his relatively late conversion to flat-tax/Tea Party rhetoric may be just to get a foot inside a large party. In any case it seems to be a communication strategy that entices a lot of people, which is what an election is all about. 4.2.6 Dave Carney and the Eggheads A particularly interesting aspect of campaigning is the scientific facts and the surveys that have been completed for the purpose of providing empirical data that is solid information that can be used in a campaign. Spin doctors can use this information to optimize exposure of their candidate. In 2006 a team of four political scientists were invited by Perry’s top strategist, Dave Carney, to take a look at the budget for the upcoming gubernatorial campaign and see where they could experiment and measure the effects. 144 They became known as the Eggheads during the campaign, maybe because they were scientists who were doing experiments related to campaigning. An egghead is, according to Macmillan English dictionary (2002), “[…] someone who has a lot of 142 Taibbi (2011) Youtube channel for Rick Perry http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=aiCRW5zGSG4 Last viewed 10/02 2012 144 Sides, John, Rick Perry’s Eggheads, Washington Monthly http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/ten-milessquare/2011/08/rick_perrys_eggheads031734.php Last viewed 10/02 2012 143 42 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen knowledge and intelligence and is only interested in academic subjects”.145 They tested the effectiveness of campaign initiatives, such as candidate appearances, TV ads, and direct mail. It was the first time that scientists got to experiment with an actual budget from within the camp of a political candidate. The experiments gave Dave Carney a lot to work with for the next campaign and he made a lot of changes to optimize the use of Perry’s time and the use of the campaign’s money. Perry and Carney are still working together now on the presidential bid and the work the Eggheads did certainly improved the Perry team’s way of campaigning. The key eggheads are Alan Gerber, James Gimpel, Donald Green, and Daron Shaw. Their experiments included television and radio advertising worth approximately $2 million. They chose media markets, launch dates and volume of television advertising randomly for the purpose of studying the effects on the public. The effects were measured by conducting telephone interviews with approximately 1,000 registered voters each day, including a brief follow-up one month after the television campaign had ended. The experiments showed that voters do not recollect a television advertisement showed one month previously and the advertisements therefore had little effect on voting preferences. Television advertising does provide strong effects while viewed, but is shortlived.146 This was all carried out before Perry started campaigning in the primaries, but is now being used on a national level in the primaries. According to Bingham (2011), “Perry’s team hopes to now take its new political metrics to a national campaign stage”.147 One example where Carney and the team reused a campaign strategy, which they found to be better than their past strategy, was to visit small communities like Abilene instead of doing interviews state-wide from a studio in Austin, Texas.148 The strategy was first carried out in the 2006 gubernatorial campaign and reused in the 2010 campaign. This is according to Sasha Issenberg, in his new e-book chapter, “Rick Perry and His Eggheads: Inside the Brainiest Political Operation in America.” It now seems that Perry is reusing this strategy in the primaries by visiting voters where they live instead of only speaking to them from afar. It seems he has learned that being up close and personal with voters is the best strategy to use. This could be why he has also adapted the communication strategy of using social media, since it is, as previously mentioned, a way to be personal with the electorate. 145 Macmillan English Dictionary, p. 446 Sides, John, Rick Perry’s Eggheads, Washington Monthly http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/ten-milessquare/2011/08/rick_perrys_eggheads031734.php Last viewed 10/02 2012 147 Bingham, Amy, 2011, ‘Rick Perry and His Eggheads’ – ‘Moneyball’ Meets Campaigning, ABC News http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/08/rick-perry-and-his-eggheads-moneyball-meets-campaigning/ Last viewed 10/02 2012 148 See link above 146 43 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen Choosing to write about Rick Perry does not only provide an interesting candidate, but also an interesting political strategist in Dave Carney. David M. Carney is a Republican, based in New Hampshire, who has worked with Perry since his campaign for Lieutenant Governor in 1998. Carney has worked with several other political figures through his professional consulting company, Norway Hill Associates Inc., of which he is the CEO and president.149 Carney has consulted Perry in every campaign since 1998 and was deeply involved in Perry’s campaign in the primaries. 4.2.7 Social Media Updates in the Primaries Now that it has been established what Perry has done in the past, what kind of voters he is pursuing, and who he is working with, a further look into his communication strategies during the primaries is in order. This is done for the purpose of collecting empirical data that concern the Perry team’s methods of communicating to supporters. Firstly, a look into Perry’s use of social media will give information on the kind of messages he sent to the electorate during the campaign. He frequently uploaded TV spots to his Youtube account and made frequent updates on his Facebook and Twitter fan-pages.150 Perry made updates sometimes several times a day and almost every day. The messages he sent were wide ranging and mostly political. On August 13, 2011 he made an update about his announcement to run for President. Since then the updates on Facebook and Twitter contained a lot of antigovernment, anti-Obama rhetoric and a lot of his job creation record rhetoric. However, Perry’s updates were quite diverse, which made them interesting.151 The updates ranged from simple messages, such as wishing everyone merry Christmas, to more important messages, such as asking supporters to support the campaign. The diversity of his messages helped to keep people interested in what he had to say. If the messages were similar in nature each time they would quickly become uninteresting, which, as previously mentioned, was something the Obama team was aware of as well. In addition, Obama linked his personal website with his social media sites and so did Perry.152 For reason of scope of Governor Perry’s messages, here is a recap of his main political messages from his Facebook updates and Tweets (=messages on Twitter):153 In chronological order: 149 The Texas Tribune http://www.texastribune.org/texas-politics/david-m-dave-carney/about/ Last viewed 23/01 2012 Youtube channel for Rick Perry 2012 http://www.youtube.com/user/RPerry2012 , Facebook - Governor Perry http://www.facebook.com/GovernorPerry and Twitter - Team Rick Perry https://twitter.com/#!/TeamRickPerry Last viewed 23/01 2012 151 Redish 2007 152 Rick Perry’s website http://www.rickperry.org/ Last viewed 16/02 2012 153 Facebook updates are from the ‘Rick Perry’ account and the ’tweets’ are from the ‘Team Rick Perry’ account. 150 44 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen 1. “Just announced I’m running for President at the RedState gathering. Together, we can get America working again!” August 13, 2011 (Facebook and Twitter) 2. "Americans Need Work, Not Symbolism; We Need New Jobs, Not New Agencies." August 16, 2011 (Twitter) 3. “More Texas job creation facts: pro-growth policies and good wages. It's time to bring these policies to Washington so we can get America working again!” August 19, 2011 (Facebook) 4. "Economic freedom comes from work and wages, not welfare." August 20, 2011 (Twitter) 5. “Voter ID legislation, lawsuit reform, private property protections, and stiff penalties on human trafficking are just some of the legislative successes we were able to achieve this year.” September 1, 2011 (Facebook) 6. “I simply want to get America working again and make Washington DC as inconsequential in your life as I can.” September 13, 2011 (Twitter) 7. “Israel is our friend and ally. It is not a perfect nation, but its existence is critical to America’s security in the world.” September 20, 2011 (Facebook) 8. “America needs a new leader with a proven record of job creation.” October 6, 2011 (Twitter) 9. “You can't live free when the government gets between you and your doctor.” October 7 & 10, 2011 (Twitter & Facebook) 10. “These four principles of governing allow jobs and wealth to grow: don't spend all the money, keep taxes low, keep regulations fair and predictable, and don't allow for oversuing.” October 12, 2011 (Facebook) 11. “We need a Balanced Budget Amendment to the United States Constitution!” October 25, 2011 (Twitter) 12. “Replacing one Washington insider with another won’t change a thing. If you want an outsider who’ll overhaul Washington, then I’m your guy.” November 19, 2011 (Facebook) 13. “Within 12 months of the Inaugural, we will have that border shut down.” November 23, 2011 (Twitter) 14. “These outrageous secret federal loans to bailout big banks are why Americans are disgusted with business-as-usual Washington, the Federal Reserve and taxpayer-funded bailouts.” November 28, 2011 (Facebook) 15. “Americans of every income group will receive tax relief under Perry’s optional flat tax” December 11, 2011 (Twitter) 16. “We need a President with a proven record of creating jobs.” January 15, 2011 (Facebook) 45 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen 17. “We need an outsider in DC with the record to overhaul Washington.” January 15, 2011 (Twitter) 18. “…today I am suspending my campaign and endorsing Newt Gingrich for president of the United States” January 19, 2011 (Twitter) 4.2.8 Analysis of ‘tweets’ and Facebook Updates Firstly, the political messages are the most important messages in that they provide the reader with Perry’s political agenda and values. These messages provide Republican conservative voters with a reason to want to vote for Perry. Especially the anti-Obama, anti-government updates are written to draw in dissatisfied voters. As mentioned previously, these voters, most likely, identify themselves with the Republican Party or generally believe in conservative values. However, it is also possible to change the minds of loyal Democratic voters, who may be tired of a supposed inefficient government. Perry’s political statements help Democratic voters to realise that maybe it is time for a change. This again emphasises the importance of the political messages, like the ones above, rather than the non-political messages. The themes of these updates are all politically charged and written like a sort of propaganda. Many of the updates deal with jobs in America and how Perry will use his proven job record to get America working again. The updates that deal with job creation are conservative and critical of the current Democratic system. Some of the less frequent updates are on political matters such as Israel and the Mexican border. One of the themes of the updates that appear frequently is Perry’s criticism of the government, especially in regard to taxes and the government’s invasion in what he considers private matters. These are just a few of the updates on Facebook and Twitter. The updates that are written are a mixture between political statements, like the ones above, and numerous other messages that are not related to politics. These other messages are mainly related to the campaign, except a few. The non-political messages are for instance updates on issues that concern the citizens of Texas, such as wildfires in Texas on the 6th of September, 2011. On September 11, 2011 Perry made a commemorative update on the 10th anniversary of the terrorist attacks in New York and Washington D.C. Therefore, his messages are not all political or campaign related. However, these messages reflect that he cares about citizens of the U.S. and gives the myriad of messages a personal touch. Governor Perry’s Facebook updates are a mixture between updates with or without videos. The videos all concern his campaign in one way or another. All of the political statements 46 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen are all different and diverse. Some updates are similar in the sense that they concern similar matters. Also, many of the messages are anti-Obama and a cry for people to get involved and overhaul Washington for the purpose of having a conservative government once again. Some messages also criticise his GOP colleagues. Most of the messages concern Perry’s record job creation in Texas and how electing Perry will mean a transformation of the job market of the entire country. The nature of Facebook updates and ‘tweets’ are very different. Governor Perry’s Facebook updates are scarcer than ‘tweets’. His ‘tweets’ are commonly shorter than his Facebook updates. It is possible for other ‘tweeters’ to make updates on Perry, which everyone who ‘follows’ Perry will see on their Twitter page. On Facebook it is possible to comment and ‘like’ Perry’s updates. On both sites it is possible to link to videos. However, on Facebook, a still of the linked video is displayed on the site, whereas on Twitter it is simply a link. On Twitter there are actually three accounts that make updates about Perry. One is as ‘Governor Perry’, the second is ‘Team Rick Perry’, and the third is ‘Perry Truth Team’. Perry’s ‘Governor’ account is naturally for his profession as governor. ‘Team Rick Perry’ is Perry and his presidential campaign team, including Dave Carney. The ‘tweets’ from the ‘Perry Truth Team’ have the appearance of having been written by someone not affiliated with the Perry team. These ‘tweets’ by the ‘Perry Truth Team’ are all political and more critical of Perry’s opponents, especially Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney. All three Twitter accounts are like three different animals. The ‘tweets’ from the ‘Governor Perry’ account are quite mellow and personal. ‘Team Rick Perry’s’ ‘tweets’ are very diverse and mostly only oppositional to Obama. The ‘Perry Truth Team’ is highly oppositional to the other GOP candidates and arguably more to the right politically, appealing to the more extreme right. ‘Team Rick Perry’ encourages people to donate and regularly ‘tweets’ as donations come in, thanking the donors. On Facebook the messages are strongly oriented towards debates and the primary elections when the candidates caucus. The possibility to ‘like’ is heavily used on Perry’s Facebook site, which is a way to determine the popularity of statements or initiatives. It is an easy way to get an idea of the state the campaign is in. If less and less people ‘like’ statements and if the number of new supporters is declining, as well as a low percentage of votes during the primaries, it could mean that focus on Perry is dwindling and that new communication strategies should be set in motion. Of course, there are many other factors that determine a declining popularity, such as what is written and said in the media as well as a decline in support from donors. On January 19, 2012 Perry finally announced that he was suspending his campaign and endorsing Newt Gingrich for President of the United States. This was following a low vote 47 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen count in the primary election in Iowa.154 The primary election was about to start in South Carolina. The campaign team must have realised that it was a losing battle. The ‘tweets’ and Facebook updates were at this stage still positive and enthusiastic. On Facebook he thanked his supporters after he had announced the suspension of his campaign. On the ‘Team Rick Perry’ twitter page he ‘tweeted’ 12 times on January 19, 2012. These messages covered everything from thanking supporters to asserting that he will continue to fight for conservative reforms. All of the messages are quite personal, which is evident in the repeating use of personal pronouns. The Facebook and Twitter updates seem to follow a pattern of characteristics. These characteristics are that the messages are short and simple, diverse and contemporary, and many of the messages are propagandist. Some may think of propaganda as half-truths or lies. That is also the case in many of Perry’s updates. When Perry asks supporters to help him in stopping Obama’s ‘war on religion’ he is making a statement that seems farfetched.155 Obviously Obama is not leading a war on religion. A statement like this is propaganda. The point of messages such as this is to get a rouse out of supporters and to set a mood, which is antagonistic towards Obama and the government. In conclusion to the analysis of Governor Perry’s social media updates, it must be said that the only negative aspects are the updates that resemble propaganda. These updates might serve a purpose for an immediate rise in people. However, using propaganda in a context where every word uttered can have consequences, in the sense that it can backfire and make the person who said it seem dishonest, does not seem prudent. Other than these propagandist updates there does not seem to be anything wrong with the characteristics of the updates. The updates are informative, interesting, short and to the point, diverse, and fits the medium i.e. Facebook updates are generally longer than ‘tweets’. It is obvious that Perry focused on politically charged updates in his communication strategy for social media updates. It seems that it is important to focus on the task at hand, which is to get Perry elected. In order to accomplish that, it is necessary to focus on the politics when communicating, rather than to focus on other matters. Even though most of the updates in one way or another relate to the campaign, the updates mentioned herein are more directed towards actual political agendas, which also make them more interesting due to the sentiments for people to get involved and do something about it. Conclusively it can be stated that writing politically charged 154 Chris Tumlinson, 2012 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/04/rick-perry-iowa-caucus-2012_n_1182594.html Last viewed 24/01 2012 155 Facebook update 29/12 2011 http://www.facebook.com/GovernorPerry?ref=ts Last viewed 24/01 2012 48 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen messages that entice people to get involved, or at least messages that make people think, are generally the most effective updates. 5. Rick Perry as a Brand Analysis and Evaluation of Campaign This section of the paper deals with analysing and evaluating communication strategies of the campaign. A secondary purpose is to demonstrate how to develop communication strategies by using theory from branding in advertising and campaign management in the business world. This will all be compared to Obama’s campaign for the purpose of making a comparison between a successful campaign and an unsuccessful campaign. This will join the different sections of the thesis together and give an answer to how branding can be implemented in political communication. The campaign to get Governor Perry elected was unsuccessful. So, what went wrong? In order to answer that question, this analysis will view Perry as a brand. After all, Perry is the one being ‘marketed’ in this campaign. Unlike a product, Perry is a human, and that is one of the major differences in this type of marketing campaign. Perry’s persona and the live unrehearsed utterances are some of the differences between a campaign of a product and that of a man. However, firstly it is possible to view the communication strategies of the campaign to establish if there was anything that could or should have been done differently. This is done for the purpose of establishing if Perry’s campaign strategist Dave Carney, as well as the rest of the managers, are to be blamed for the unsuccessful campaign or if it was out of their control. Other matters that need to be analysed are for instance the target audience that Perry catered to. Was this strategy the correct one or was that one of the reasons why Perry eventually did not get enough votes in the primary elections? Were Perry’s policies too far right for the general Republican voter to cast their vote on him? The use of social media has already been established as a positive aspect of the campaign, which the campaign definitely should not have been without. The new technological method of campaigning seemed to have no negative aspects, so maybe the old campaign initiatives should have been focused on more. Perhaps the outcome of the campaign was inevitable from the outset. Whatever the case may be this analysis will provide an answer to what to look out for when campaigning for the presidency of the United States. 49 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen 5.1 Creating a Positive Brand Attitude Creating a positive brand attitude is what leads to purchase or in this case a vote.156 Perry was initially successful at creating a positive brand attitude through his communication strategies and so was Obama. Perry’s proven job record and that he was a Washington outsider were his main selling points. In the beginning of Perry’s presidential campaign it seemed that these two main points were just what the public was looking for. The financial crisis and a growing dissatisfaction with the government and its fiscal policies were reason for voters to favour Perry and his anti-establishment agenda. He was the perfect candidate with a long record of job creation in his home state of Texas and unaffiliated with Washington D.C. Perry’s use of social media and the attempt to create a grassroots movement as well as his affiliation with the Tea Party made him look like an outsider who could connect with the people. This in a way mimics Obama’s campaign. Obama’s campaign turned into a grassroots movement from outside of Washington. His campaign introduced social media, which Perry then started using a couple of years later. When Perry is talking about overhauling Washington, he is campaigning for change, which is similar to what Obama did. Perry’s job creation record is one point where Perry’s campaign does not mimic Obama’s campaign. All of these initiatives helped to create a positive brand attitude in the minds of voters who were fed up with the government and ‘a failed president’, according to the Republicans.157 Based on William J. Mcguire’s theory of attitude change, a person goes through several stages before reaching a change in attitude towards a message. Mcguire’s theory can help to understand what happens in voters before reaching a decision on who to vote for or in other words how the voter’s brand attitude changes. The message that the voter needs to comprehend and accept is in this instance ‘Perry for President’.158 This theory can be applied to advertising as well as political campaigning, which the following will display. The first step of the campaign was a success in the sense that the message conveyed by the Perry camp was persuasive and it got the attention of the target audience. The target audience in this instance are voters and the media. The next step in creating a positive brand attitude is for the target audience to comprehend the messages conveyed by the candidate. This was done with the use of social media, traditional media and canvassing. Social media helped to convey the messages in a personal and simple way. The media was helpful 156 Percy 2009, p. 7 Code blue politics http://codebluepolitics.com/ & Chicago Tribune http://blogs.chicagotribune.com/news_columnists_ezorn/2012/01/new-hampshire-math-gingrich-santorum-perrypaul.html Last viewed 31/01 2012 158 Mcguire 1969 http://uts.cc.utexas.edu/~tecas/syllabi2/adv382jfall2002/readings/McGuire.pdf Last viewed 10/02 2012 157 50 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen in spreading the message that Perry was now running for President. Canvassing helped to reach even more people and helped them to properly understand the messages coming from the Perry camp. Now that the target audience are aware of Perry’s bid for President and that they understand his political agenda, the target audience must now accept the arguments in his messages for it to be a success. The next step is for the target audience to retain the arguments of Perry’s messages and act positively towards them. This behaviour is evident in people who support Perry in one way or another. It could be by donating or by volunteering to help the campaign. If the target audience goes through all of these attitude changes they will eventually arrive at casting their vote on the candidate. If this had been a campaign for a product it could have had a very successful start on the market. Unfortunately for Perry, he would have to go through a course, which evidently made the campaign less successful than when it was first initiated. Successful branding includes much more than these steps. This is just an example of what may happen when initiating a campaign and a theory on attitude change. The following sections will elaborate on branding and the steps that should be taken when implementing the strategic planning process when developing communication strategies, including when setting a media strategy. 5.2 Developing the Strategic Plan The following sections will analyse Perry’s strategic plan and simultaneously represent how to develop a strategic plan using knowledge from the market place. The focus here is on the development of communication strategies. In order to develop a communication strategy, it is first necessary to select the target audience. Next is to understand target audience decision making. Then the best positioning is determined. Now that these aspects of the strategy have been established, it is possible to develop a communication strategy. In developing a communication strategy it is necessary to discuss the category need, brand purchase intention, brand awareness strategy and brand attitude strategy, which involves cognitive and affective components of brand attitude. Finally, the critical elements of involvement and motivation affecting purchase and usage behaviour is mentioned. It will be determined how these communication tools may have been utilised in Perry’s campaign while comparing it to Obama’s campaign. Once the communication strategy is set, it is possible to set a media strategy for the campaign. This is all part of developing a strategic plan for a campaign. In this case it is a political campaign in which the theory of branding is used within a context, which it was not intended to work in. This analysis is an attempt to see if it really 51 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen is possible to use brand theory in political communication and to determine if it has already, in one way or another, been used in political campaigns. 5.2.1 Selecting the Target Audience Selecting the target audience is an important factor in any election. A candidate’s goal in elections is to get the support of the most people. There is obviously no clear answer to how that is done. The challenge lies in selecting the largest target audience possible in order to get the support of the largest segment of the population. Corporations target specific groups of people, their target audience, when advertising and when developing communication strategies. Depending on the product that is sold, the corporations may segment groups of people. It could be according to age, gender or cultural background. Corporations do this because it is difficult to cater to all people through one message or advertisement. In order to reach different groups of consumers, it is necessary to communicate by sending different messages i.e. advertisements. This is necessary because consumers are rarely attracted to the same things. In elections in the U.S. the target audience is people of voting age (18+ years), who are U.S. citizens. This is a large target audience, which makes it difficult to know what communication strategies will work best to reach as many as possible. Since the target audience is so vast and diverse, it is necessary to go through a number of steps in order to select a communication strategy that will work most effectively. In advertising management there is a way to develop a communication strategy and eventually also setting a media strategy.159 The first step is to select the target audience, which is easy as it has already been established that it is all U.S. citizens above the age of 18. However, during the primaries it is most prudent to choose a target audience that is loyal to the party that the candidate is running for. This is because they are the ones who will show up and vote in the primary elections. That is probably an indication of why some candidates chose far-right policies during the primaries in this election. This was most likely for the sake of standing out from the other candidates. Candidates tend to move away from extreme politics and into more universal politics once they have been elected the nominee of their party to run against the opposition. Within this group of loyal party supporters there are divisions of groups of people that have different opinions on matters. In marketing, where the concept of loyal supporters is known as brand loyalty, it is the awareness, attitudes, and behaviour of consumers that make up their opinions about products.160 This theory can easily be 159 160 Percy 2009, pp. 109-110 Percy 2009, p. 110 52 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen transferred to the political scene in regard to voters. This is based on the assumption that voters are loyal to a party through, for instance, their awareness of matters involving the party’s undertakings, that they have a personal attitude towards party policies, and behaviour that coincides with party legislations. Selecting the target audience is an essential part of developing a communication strategy since the communication must appeal to the target audience. 5.2.2 Understanding Target Audience Decision Making The next step in implementing the strategic planning process is to understand target audience decision making. This involves recognising individuals who vote and to develop a Behavioural Sequence Model (BSM), which in marketing is a method to identify the possible steps the target audience takes before making a purchase decision.161 This could translate to the decisions a voter takes prior to going to the ballot and casting their vote. The BSM model, first introduced by Rossiter and Percy in 1987, deals with the decision process of buyer behaviour.162 Using this model is helpful in determining the likeliness of marketing communication affecting consumers. It can also help to develop a marketing communication strategy. In marketing, the model is used to establish who makes the decision to buy a product. This decision quite often involves more than one person, especially with high involvement decisions. This is also the case when casting ones vote in a presidential election because there will always be something that initiates and influences decisions, which the following will elaborate on. In regard to the comparison between communication in the market place and political communication, it is evident that there are differences. In political communication there is no exchange of funds or services in an election. Casting a vote is quite different from purchasing a product. However, as the following will disclose, there are many comparisons after all. In this decision process the initiator is the voter who initiates interest in voting from having been influenced by something. In an election what initiates this interest could be a candidate in a TV spot.163 The voter is also influenced by other sources, such as the media and other members of the community. Ultimately, it is up to the voter to decide who to vote for. Even though these are small steps that lead to voting, the process can contain many influencers. For the efficiency of marketing communication it is important to recognise that an individual is in a role when making a purchase decision. The same can be said of individuals in an electorate who have the role as voters. This is used excessively in marketing in political campaigns. In political TV spots the use of 161 Percy 2009, p. 138 Rossiter 1987 163 Percy 2009, pp. 138-141 162 53 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen personal pronouns like ‘you’, ‘we’, ‘our, and the adverbial ‘together’ are words that involve people in the message. These words are used in order to make people aware of their role as voters and that they can make a difference. Governor Perry and President Obama used this tactic in several of their TV spots to the point where it seemed standard rhetoric when making a political TV spot. Live debates and other media material concerning the candidates also take part in influencing voters. In marketing, it is necessary to convince consumers to buy a product or service by creating brand awareness and a positive brand attitude. In high involvement decisions it is usually not enough with a single advertisement. It usually takes many marketing initiatives in order to create interest in a product. The consumer must be convinced prior to purchase by the influencer. In comparison, in elections a voter goes through much of the same processes before taking an important decision at the ballot. The high number of TV spots that Perry uploaded as well as the numerous social media updates during his campaign is an indication that he was aware of the importance of influencing voters by continuously creating awareness of his presence. Eventually the voter will make his decision when the candidate has established brand awareness and a positive brand attitude through a successful communication strategy. 5.2.3 Determining the Best Positioning The next step is to discover how to best position the candidate in regard to marketing communication and advertising in order to influence the voter.164 The positioning strategy helps to establish how the manager should address the two core communication objectives of brand awareness and brand attitude. In marketing, there is a way to establish the positioning of a brand or product. This is done by asking - what is it? And what does it offer? Asking what the brand is provides the link between brand and category need and establishes brand awareness. Asking what the brand offers provides the link between brand and benefit and establishes brand attitude. In order to position Perry it is necessary to ask – not what, but who is Rick Perry? This is done by looking into his past, present and future. Perry put a lot of emphasis on his past achievements in job creation as well as his disaffiliation with Washington, as opposed to some of the other candidates. His past was also used against him by other candidates in an attempt to discredit him, e.g. Michele Bachmann mentioning the HPV vaccine mandate during a debate.165 It seems a political candidate’s past must be taken under assessment when establishing positioning, because it determines who he is. As previously mentioned, former Republican candidate Herman 164 165 Percy 2009, pp. 161- 189 Madison, Lucy - http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503544_162-20105175-503544.html Last viewed 06/02 2012 54 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen Cain was unsuccessful in his campaign because of past indiscretions. Many of the other Republican candidates have also had their past actions come up during debates and in the media. Republican candidate Mitt Romney has been criticised for his past private endeavours on Wall Street and has been blamed by his rivals for being a “job destroyer and tax dodger”.166 Also, Republican candidate Newt Gingrich has had two adulterous marriages, which positions him poorly in the eyes of many voters.167 The objective of positioning Perry, includes establishing what he offers. He conveyed this message numerous times during debates, on TV spots, on his social media sites, as well as during speeches and when doing interviews. Perry’s positioning during the primaries was built on the political agenda he would enforce if elected president. The rhetoric in this period particularly focused on past initiatives as well as planned future initiatives. Governor Perry was positioned as a Christian far-right social conservative with hyper liberal policies. This positioning was a sensible choice due to his jobs creation record, which is what conservatives are especially interested in. Perry’s positioning as a Christian was just an added bonus in gaining supporters with Christian values. However, Perry may have taken it a step too far to the point where his rhetoric on Christianity resembled propaganda. His statements on Christianity were not just to have faith. It was for Christians to have more rights by joining state and church. Perry went from preaching to propagandising in those statements.168 Also, his positioning as an opponent to gays in the military and his opposition to using foreign aid to combat human rights abuses against homosexuals in foreign countries created a lot of negative hype, as it always does when politicians make statements that if implicated would limit the liberty of people.169 It seems that Perry had found his audience, Christians and anti-gays. Human Rights Campaign President Joe Solmonese (2011) pretty much sums up Perry’s positioning in this quote, “It is bewildering that someone who wants to be President of the United States wouldn’t want to see our nation be a global leader in universal human rights. This is further proof that Rick Perry doesn’t want to represent the best interests of all Americans – he wants to advance an extremist, anti-gay agenda that represents the fringe views of a very small few.” 170 166 Hindman, Nate C. - http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/02/02/mitt-romney-private-equity_n_1243021.html Last viewed 17/02 2012 167 Ward, John - http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/29/newt-gingrich-florida_n_1240392.html Last viewed 17/02 2012 168 Lacapria, Kim http://www.inquisitr.com/166215/rick-perry-strong/ Last viewed 17/02 2012 169 Saenz, Arlette - http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/12/rick-perry-says-human-rights-for-gays-not-inamericas-interests/ Last viewed 17/02 2012 170 See link above 55 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen 5.2.4 Developing a Communication Strategy The next step in developing a strategic plan is to develop a communication strategy. The objective here is to establish the brand awareness and brand attitude strategies. This should be in accordance with target audience decision making in elections. It must be established whether to use a recall or recognition brand awareness strategy depending upon how awareness of the brand is perceived. The category need in marketing can also be used when comparing the policies candidates campaign on. Also, the level of motivation and involvement is established here for the purpose of determining the brand attitude strategy. These next following sections will elaborate on the development of a communication strategy in political communication by using examples from Governor Perry’s presidential campaign. This is a continuation of the theory of branding in the market place and how it mimics branding in political communication. 5.2.4.1 Category Need The need that arises in a person for a product is similar to the need that arises for a voter in politics in which the product is the candidate that fits the needs of the voter. The candidate’s attributes, such as political agenda and capabilities as a leader is what the voter has a need for. The category need is a perception, which can be established and even manipulated through advertising.171 An advertisement has the potential to convince the target audience that there is a need for a certain type of candidate. Perry kept emphasising the need for a new president and the need for a president with a proven job record. Obama kept emphasising the need for change. It seems this aspect of branding is particularly important in political elections, which is evident in not only the rhetoric of the candidates but also the initiatives that are taken to get people interested in voting. The candidates pursue the attention of voters for the purpose of informing about the importance and need for people to come and vote. It is the objective of the advertiser to stimulate a need in people to vote for a particular candidate and not just the overall category of voting for any candidate. This should be done by exemplifying the candidate by pointing out the advantages and benefits of choosing this particular candidate. This is known as brand-level communication effects and includes brand awareness, brand attitude, and brand purchase intention.172 171 172 Percy 2009, p. 194 Percy 2009, p. 194 56 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen 5.2.4.2 Brand Purchase Intention Brand purchase intention can be a communication object in a political campaign. 173 This is based on the assumption that voters will have an intention to vote for a candidate. The intention to vote for a candidate may arise from having viewed an advertisement. The voter may realise that this is the candidate that they want to vote for and that is where the intent to vote occurs. This is not to be confused with the actual act of voting. The objective here is to somehow influence people to take the next step and show up at the ballot. Perry and Obama both emphasised the importance of voting for the sake of change. Since voting is a high involvement decision, the objective for the candidates is to evoke a definite intention to vote. As mentioned, Perry and Obama partly used grassroots movements and canvassing for the sake of getting undecided, uninterested people to vote. What they were pursuing was to create intent to ‘purchase’. This large group of undecided, uninterested voters could change the tide in an election if enough of them are given a reason to vote. Advertising could also have the potential to stimulate brand purchase intention.174 It is especially important to stimulate and influence brand purchase intention close to an election. This is done by advertising and canvassing more than usual in the days before an election. Social media is especially useful in this regard since it is possible to remind supporters that the election is coming up and that it is time to get to the ballot. 5.2.4.3 Brand Awareness Strategy According to Larry Percy and Richard Elliott (2009), “Brand awareness is the target audience’s ability to identify a brand within a category in sufficient detail to purchase or use it.” 175 A brand is identified in one of two ways. The one is to recognize the brand at the point of purchase. Another is to recall the need to purchase a product. The comparability of this aspect of marketing to an election is somewhat questionable. What is questionable is if it at all is possible to create a strategy that will make the target audience recall or recognize a candidate, in the same way these strategies work with products, or if the objective really should be to try and implement both strategies. There are factors in brand awareness that simply cannot be used in a political campaign. These factors are for instance how consumers will recognize a brand by the package or colour and that obviously is not possible with a candidate. A voter may recognize a candidate’s 173 Percy 2009, p. 197 Percy 2009, pp. 197-198 175 Percy 2009, p. 196 174 57 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen name at the ballot and vote for him. If that is how the majority of votes are cast then a recognition strategy should be used. However, it is more likely that a voter will recall the need to vote for a particular candidate. This could be brought on by something the candidate says in for instance an advertisement or at a debate. For instance, when Perry argues the need for a president with a proven job record, the target audience may agree with his statement and value Perry’s political agenda the highest and therefore vote for him. Conclusively, if one of these strategies should be used in an election the most effective is arguably a recall brand awareness strategy. This is based on the assumption that voters will be influenced by what the candidate says and recall the need for a person such as him in the White House. This is opposed to voters simply recognising the candidate’s name at the ballot. The recognition strategy is for low involvement decisions and casting a vote in an election is a high involvement decision. Also, people will most likely not inconvenience themselves by going to the ballot to vote unless they feel it is an important decision. It should be possible to attract all kinds of voters, including uninterested, undecided, low involvement voters. These voters may be influenced by a recognition strategy. That is why it should be possible to use both recall and recognition strategies. This leads the discussion to the importance of brand awareness when advertising. The objective when advertising a candidate is for the voter to recognize the candidate and develop a positive brand attitude. Recall and recognition strategies will be effective if there is a positive brand attitude. In creating a brand attitude it should be considered to implicate recall and recognition strategies. Implicating a recognition strategy in political communication is difficult to compare to a recognition strategy for a product. A product has a logo, an easily recognisable label, and maybe a jingle. In comparison, a political candidate has no visible or audible traits that the voter will recognize at the ballot. The candidate has his name, which as previously mentioned should preferably be short. He may have a catchphrase, such as Obama’s (2007) “Yes we can”. However, in the end a voter needs to recall brand awareness at the ballot, unless the decision to vote is simply based on the recognition of a name. 5.2.4.4 Brand Attitude Strategy Brand attitude is important in an election. Voters will choose a candidate that they have a positive brand attitude towards. According to Larry Percy and Richard Elliott there are several ways to approach communication regarding brand attitude.176 What initially happened in Perry’s campaign was the creation of a brand attitude. That brand attitude was Governor Perry as a presidential 176 Percy 2009, pp. 201-207 58 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen candidate. The media helped to spread the message of Perry as a presidential candidate and thereby increased the brand awareness. During the course of the campaign the brand attitude was also modified and changed. In the initial stages of managing the campaign it was crucial to first understand the attitudes of the target audience. It is evident that Perry’s political agenda was targeted at a certain group of people and this did not change during the primaries. What did change was the attitude the target audience had towards Perry. Also, there was a change in attitude towards live debates from the Perry camp, following Perry’s stumble.177 The brand attitude was slightly modified in order to convince the target audience that what they needed was not a smooth talker, but less of them. The fact that it is possible to adjust the brand attitude during a campaign is evidence that campaign strategies are always changing and can be modified to suit the situation. The campaign strategy may be modified when the brand attitude changes. However, it is not always the best strategy to do so. Changing ones strategy is an indication that things are not working as it should. The challenge for the campaign manager is to decide whether a change in strategy is best suited for the situation. When the media got a hold of Obama’s past run in with drugs, the strategy did not change in any apparent way. In such a case it is probably best to simply move on and focus on other matters. Following Perry’s stumble a repositioning strategy was initiated. The strategy built on Perry’s political objective to decrease the influence of government, including himself and others like him. Perry’s (2011) argument was “If you want a slick debater, I’m obviously not your guy, but if you want a clean House in Washington…and a part time congress, I’m your man”.178 This strategy, it would seem, was unsuccessful. It simply made Perry look incompetent as a debater, which is probably why he shortly hereafter returned to the debates to convince people otherwise. Perry tried to move on. However, it seemed as if ‘the stumble’ never went away, which was evident in the polls, as Perry’s popularity only seemed to diminish. The brand attitude was not as positive as it had used to be. Eventually Perry dropped out of the race, which can be compared to when a company opts out, due to e.g. a financial decline, and is bought by a competing company with a more positive brand attitude and a stronger economy. Perry was unsuccessful in maintaining a strong brand attitude. The objective for the managers was to maintain the positive brand attitude, which now proved to be more difficult than before. This is one instance where the difference between campaigning for a person and a product is evident. The human factor and the increased possibility of making mistakes in live, unedited and 177 The Washington Post http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/erik-wemple/post/rick-perry-stumbles-but-for-howlong/2011/11/10/gIQACORc8M_blog.html Last viewed 07/02 2012 178 Youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aiCRW5zGSG4 Last viewed 20/02 2012 59 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen unrehearsed scenarios are the additional factors managers of political campaigns must be aware of. Despite these differences there is still a lot to learn from campaigning in the market. In the market there are consumers, which is not exactly the same as voters. Voters usually wait to cast their vote until Election Day, whereas consumers in most instances have the possibility of purchasing a product right away. Though, there are still comparisons to be made. There are four characteristics of brand attitude that can be used in order to understand consumers, as well as voters. These characteristics tell us what the consumer/voter wants from the brand, what they know and feel about a brand, the beliefs that make up the knowledge, and the relativity of brand attitude.179 Following ‘the stumble’, the strategy for recovery was based on a belief that what the voters wanted was to get a response from Perry. The managers of the campaign thought it would make voters feel differently about the situation and that they should know Perry’s view of the situation. It is only possible to speculate how Perry and his managers came to believe that this was what the target audience/the voters wanted. Now, that Perry was unsuccessful, it is possible to speculate that his initial positive brand attitude was only relative and that the loyal supporters were also only relatively loyal. Perry’s low scores in the primaries is evidence of this. 5.2.4.5 Cognitive and Affective Components of Brand Attitude It seems that what the target audience knew and felt about Perry quickly changed. This assumption is based on what the media started writing about Perry once they got to know him. This is also known as the cognitive and affective components of brand attitude, i.e. the knowledge and feelings associated with a brand.180 In the beginning of Perry’s presidential campaign there were plenty of flattering articles about him. These articles quickly changed attitude once it became more newsworthy to write negatively about Perry, following his debate gaffe in Rochester, Michigan. 181 Within the theory of the cognitive component there is also the element of belief, which reflects the link between the brand and the consumer’s motivation.182 In the context of an election it translates into the shared beliefs of the voter and the candidate. Since Perry’s political agenda never changed it must mean that the beliefs shared between the politician and his supporters also never changed. However, this does not mean that supporters will stay loyal. Especially, if the candidate proves to be dishonest in his motives or like in Perry’s case show inadequacies in debates. 179 Percy 2009, pp. 203-205 Percy 2009, p. 206 181 USA Today http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2011-11-09/Republican-debate-michigan-herman-caineconomy/51145714/1 Last viewed 07/02 2012 182 Percy 2009, p. 206 180 60 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen The ability to debate is especially important considering that eventually the candidate has to debate Obama, who is known for his abilities as a good debater and speaker. In any case, the cognitive component of brand attitude i.e. knowing and sharing belief in policies simply is not enough to get the support of like-minded supporters when other factors, such as the ability to debate, are lacking. What happened with Perry was that the affective components of the brand attitude changed. The attitude towards Perry changed in the sense that the feelings that supporters had of Perry were no longer as positive as when he first came on to the scene. Basically, his image had changed, which caused a decrease in motivation for his supporters to stay loyal. At this stage a drastic change in motivation should be initiated. It was not a successful strategy to apologize for Perry’s inadequacies, which his ‘not a slick debater’ video basically was.183 However, it was an attempt to change the motivation for supporters to keep supporting Perry. The objective of such an advertisement is to take specific attributes, characteristics, or emotions and link them to Perry in such a way that he is seen as uniquely satisfying the motives of supporters.184 The aforementioned video was a textbook example of motivating supporters with similar beliefs as Perry. Communicating a brand attitude has its benefits in that it helps to promote a brand and it is possible to meet what potential voters are looking for in a candidate. What makes this concept relative is that it is very difficult to meet everything that potential voters want. Trying to stimulate the brand attitude by advertising will always have an effect on potential voters. If the effects of Perry’s ‘not a slick debater’ video advertisement were positive or not is unknown. However, the video has been watched by more than 600,000 on Youtube alone, which in any case is a lot of potential voters that may be motivated by it.185 5.2.4.6 Motivation and Involvement Motivation and involvement of voters are critical elements when communicating to the electorate. It is important to understand that the level of motivation and involvement of voters is relatively high. This is because of the importance of electing a president, which increases in importance when a nation is suffering from a financial crisis. The target audience sees this election in both fiscal and psychological terms due to the financial crisis.186 The fiscal aspects are for instance the threat of losing a job or a further decline in the economy. The psychological aspects are for instance the 183 Youtube channel for Rick Perry http://www.youtube.com/user/RPerry2012?blend=9&ob=0#p/u/19/aiCRW5zGSG4 Last viewed 07/02 2012 184 Percy 2009, p. 207 185 Youtube channel for Rick Perry http://www.youtube.com/user/RPerry2012?blend=9&ob=0#p/u/19/aiCRW5zGSG4 Last viewed 07/02 2012 186 Percy 2009, p. 207 61 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen belief in liberal economic policies and how implementing more of these policies might abate the financial crisis. Other people may believe in more social policies and that the liberal economic policies were the reason for the crisis. The objective for a Republican candidate in a primary election is to motivate and involve the people that generally believe in conservative policies. Perry’s communication strategy was to involve people who were discontent with the current government and who were motivated because of a lack of jobs. Perry also catered to Christians and generally tried to reach a large segment of the population that he figured would have high motivation for electing a new president. The high level of involvement of the voter in this election adds to the importance of knowing more about a candidate. If involvement is low people may vote for a candidate simply because he is Christian. Most people consider this election important because of the financial crisis which means that involvement is high. That is why voters will have to believe in the capabilities of the candidate before supporting him. In an election there is a perceived risk in electing a candidate because of unknown factors, such as the capabilities of the candidate and his ability to follow through on promises. However, the underlying motivation for voting is positive, but only if the message is accepted as true. In this case it is known as a high-involvement transformational brand attitude strategy.187 If the motivation for voting is negative, which could be because of a dissatisfaction of the government, it is a high-involvement informational brand attitude strategy. Arguably, supporters of Obama and supporters of Perry can be divided into these two categories. Obama’s supporters have an underlying positive motivation to support Obama because they accept his messages as true. In their case a high-involvement transformational brand attitude strategy should be used. Perry’s supporters have an underlying negative motivation to support Perry because they perceive Obama’s messages as untrue. When motivation is negative it is necessary to inform the target audience, which means that short messages would not suffice because of time needed to process the messages. Some psychologists argue that motivation originates from negativity.188 As previously mentioned, Perry has used some of the campaign’s most extreme anti-government rhetoric. This could be a strategy thought out by the Perry camp for the purpose of attracting voters by adhering to their negative motivation. In advertising and marketing it is said that there is no such thing as bad publicity. Maybe that is what Perry was pursuing with his negative statements. One particularly negative message from Perry was a video that received more than 700,000 ‘dislikes’ and only 60,000 ‘likes’ on Youtube.189 The video was anti-gay and against oppression of Christianity. These 187 Percy 2009, pp. 213-217 Percy 2009, p. 208 189 Youtube channel for Rick Perry http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PAJNntoRgA Last viewed 07/02 2012 188 62 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen messages are ‘strong’ messages to entice negative motivation in people that are passionate about the subjects. If that is the reason why the video is called ‘strong’ is unknown. Strong messages get a lot of attention, which is evident in the many views (more than 8 million) on Youtube that this video has received to date.190 Also, several parody videos of Perry’s ‘strong’ video have been uploaded. Conclusively, Perry’s strong negative messages are getting a lot of publicity. The question is whether there really is such a thing as bad publicity when it comes to advertising in a political campaign. There can be no question about the ramifications of ‘the stumble’ and how this bad publicity really in fact was bad. The sort of negative motivation in Perry’s video may get 60,000 people to like the video, but at the price of getting 700,000 people to dislike it. Arguably, it does not make sense to make a majority of voters dislike a message for the purpose of enticing a minority. If all motivation is negative it makes sense to run a campaign based on the assessment that being highly critical of the opposition will get the most rise out of people. It seems that running a strictly positive or neutral campaign will not get the same respect as a candidate speaking his mind and criticising left and right. Perry seems to have taken it a step too far by being strongly negative towards groups of people among the electorate. He is basically alienating potential voters. Perry’s radical and outright untrue statements such as “Obama’s war on religion” and “kids can't openly celebrate Christmas” may motivate a small percentage of the population. However, untrue statements or mistakes by candidates will be ridiculed in the media, such as on the Daily Show with Jon Stewart.191 The more negative exposure a candidate gets the more voters will be discouraged to support him. In contrast, Obama was also critical of the former President George W. Bush and criticised his opponent Senator John McCain in the 2008 election.192 However, these statements were based on truths and at the same time commemorated his opponent’s wartime record. It seems that Obama’s campaign messages of hope and change were strong messages without the same degree of negativity as Perry’s. After all, Perry’s ‘faith’ and ‘strong’ messages in his video advertisements were highly negative with untrue statements, such as ‘Obama’s war on religion’. Whether or not the two candidate’s statements made a difference in the minds of voters at the ballot is unknown. However, when looking at the ‘likes’ and ‘dislikes’ of videos by Perry and Obama on Youtube, it is obvious that Obama’s communication in his videos were liked more than Perry’s.193 Maybe there is a lesson to be learned here. After all, Obama was successful with his communication 190 See link above Youtube channel for Comedy Central http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h2O8ICDLkb0 Last viewed 07/02 2012 192 Youtube – Barackobamadotcom http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv8eiDvrHJ4 Last viewed 07/02 2012 193 Youtube: Obama (2008) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtREqAmLsoA, Perry (2011) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PAJNntoRgA Last viewed 07/02 2012 191 63 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen strategy and Perry was not. This might be a hint that Perry’s target audience was not the right choice in this campaign. Perry is not alone in using negative motivation. The other Republican candidates also use a lot of negative rhetoric, mostly towards the opposition, as well as towards each other. According to a survey on Facebook, it is evident that the level of negative rhetoric from candidates is quite high.194 Facebook users also speak negatively about the candidates and Perry experienced a spike in negative chatter about him in the days up to the cancellation of his campaign. Political chatter is generally charged with negativity. It could be negativity towards policies or politicians. Conclusively, it makes sense to produce negatively charged campaign ads for the purpose of inciting negative motivation. That is also what some of the more successful Republican candidates have done. Mitt Romney spent more than $15 million on ads in Florida of which 92% were negative.195 The ads mostly targeted Romney’s closest competitor, Newt Gingrich. Romney eventually won the primary election in Florida.196 5.6 Setting a Media Strategy In theory, setting a media strategy for a brand is the same whether it is for a product or a person. There are differences such as longevity and placement of marketing material. A candidate will advertise profusely in the state where an upcoming primary election is held and spend millions of dollars in each state on getting audio and video files played in broadcast media. It is unlike how campaigns are usually done in the market place for products. However, it does not differ when planning what communication channels to use. Once it is clear what should be prioritized in terms of perception of brand, the media strategy can be set. The communication strategy is what helps to develop the media strategy. This final step in developing the strategic plan is to select media that can deliver the possibility for voters to process the messages from the candidate in the most efficient way. This must all be consistent with what the candidate needs in terms of brand awareness and brand attitude. It has already been established that the brand awareness strategy in an election is a recall brand awareness strategy, which means that all media is appropriate to use when advertising. It has also been established that the brand attitude strategy is high-involvement and in Perry’s Dongen, Rachel Van – Politico http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0112/71642.html Last viewed 20/02 2012 Karl, Jonathan - ABC News http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/01/the-statistic-of-the-campaign-romneyssingle-positive-ad-in-florida/ Last viewed 20/02 2012 196 Cillizza, Chris – The Washington Post http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/mitt-romneys-floridasweep--and-how-it-changes-the-presidential-race/2012/01/31/gIQAfNuCgQ_blog.html Last viewed 20/02 2012 194 195 64 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen campaign it was arguably an informational brand attitude strategy that should be used. This is based on the assumption that voters are interested in being informed and that they have an underlying negative motivation for voting for Perry. The negative motivation would be to get rid of Obama. In a high-involvement informational brand attitude strategy such as this, broadcast media should be avoided because of time needed to process message. However, it is accepted to use broadcast media if both high- and low-involvement voters are the target audience. There are some noticeable differences between a high involvement informational brand attitude in the market place and in politics. One difference is that in the market place the price is what makes it high involvement. In politics it would be the importance of electing a president. In both cases there are exceptions where some people will not see it as high-involvement to for instance buy an expensive car, as well as some will not regard voting for a president as particularly important. If that is the case then all media is appropriate. Arguably, a presidential candidate may use broadcast media to motivate low-involvement voters. Written public relations marketing material, newspaper articles and long debates are preferable for high-involvement voters that demand information. It seems that the general notion in presidential elections is to use a high-involvement informational brand attitude strategy. Perry’s short Youtube videos were not particularly informative, which could be because he wanted to motivate a low-involvement target audience. There is nothing wrong with trying to motivate through short messages as long as there is additional information for high-involvement voters. Obama has also made short motivational videos with simple messages for the 2012 election. One example is a video criticising Republican’s anti-Obama initiatives for the last three years as well as in this election.197 A campaign in an election is considerably larger than for any product, which makes this theory of marketing limited in covering all bases of such a massive undertaking. However, these theories will guide the campaign in the right direction and if the general belief is that people have high motivation and involvement to participate in elections then the objective should be to abide to these findings. In terms of choice of media it would be prudent to only use broadcast media for the purpose of enticing people to get involved and to find out more by e.g. visiting the candidate’s website. 197 BarackObama.com http://www.barackobama.com/videos?source=primary-nav Last viewed 09/02 2012 65 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen 5.3 Chapter Summary In this chapter the objective was to discover the possibility for using brand theory in political communication and to determine if it in one way or another was used in Perry’s and Obama’s campaigns. There is at no point an indication in the material on the two candidates that actual brand theory was used. However, it is apparent that brand theory to a certain extent can be used in the development of a campaign strategy. It is likely that the two politicians and their managers are aware of using brand theory. Many of the strategies that have been used in the campaigns resemble strategies that could have been developed using brand theory. The choice of target audience is a very important aspect in developing a campaign strategy. Perry chose a far-right conservative political agenda, which seems to be the standard in Republican primaries. This strategy gained Perry a target audience that are strongly conservative and loyal GOP followers. In Republican primaries this is the audience to cater to, which is what the other Republican candidates also did. Gingrich and Santorum were arguably more to the right politically and were more successful than Perry. This is evidence that Perry was not too far right. The dislikes Perry’s videos received on Youtube could very well be from people outside of the target audience. It could also be that individual pieces of Perry’s communication strategy were poor choices. The findings in the analysis indicate that Perry had selected a target audience and understood target audience decision making. Governor Perry’s positioning as a Christian far-right social conservative with hyper liberal policies seems deliberate. It seems like his political agenda was planned, which it should be when campaigning for the presidency. It also seems like Perry’s sudden interest in talking to Christian leaders was planned. This was possibly for the objective of retaining the support of Christians. Conclusively, Perry had made a strategic plan to position himself. This mimics brand theory positioning. In developing a communication strategy there are a number of aspects which must be fulfilled. In brand theory a category need must be achieved which in politics translates to the need that candidates should evoke in voters. Similarly, the candidates should evoke intend for people to vote, which both Perry and Obama did through canvassing, advertising, and on their social media websites. Next is for the candidates to create awareness of their participation in the election. This is done by using a recall strategy, which is when the voter recalls the need for voting for a particular candidate. Another important aspect of campaigning is to develop a positive brand attitude and preserve it throughout the campaign. This includes preserving positive cognitive and affective components of the brand attitude, which Perry was unsuccessful at achieving. Motivating and 66 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen involving supporters was achieved by adhering to their negative motivation. It seems that Perry used a high-involvement informational brand attitude strategy because his supporters were motivated by negativity towards the government. When motivation is negative the voter demands information. In setting a media strategy it was concluded that all media is appropriate. However, broadcast media should only be used to motivate low-involvement voters. High involvement voters will need time to process the information given, which makes broadcast media insufficient. Written public relations material would be preferable for such voters. 6. Conclusion The objective of this thesis was to determine what communication strategies are particularly effective when campaigning for the presidency of the U.S. By using brand theory from the market place it was possible to analyse Governor Perry’s campaign in the primaries. Perry and his managers were successful in a number of aspects of campaigning. According to the findings in the analysis Perry had successfully created a positive brand attitude as well as brand awareness in the beginning of the campaign. Prior to that, Perry had already chosen a target audience and positioned himself as a far-right social conservative with hyper liberal policies. Perry’s main selling points were his ability to create jobs and that he was unaffiliated with the government. These points were strong messages in a time with a recession and dissatisfaction among conservatives towards the government. Perry’s use of social media was another aspect of the campaign that was successful. It helped to reach a large number of supporters. It was and still is an inexpensive tool that can reach people in their homes. It is a communication tool that can be used to send messages to the electorate and supporters alike. Perry focused on political propaganda in his updates with only few updates concerning other matters than the campaign. The length and frequency of the updates matched the standard when writing updates on the different social media sites. Therefore, all things considered, an effective use of social media. Social media, advertising and canvassing helped to make people aware of the election. It also created a need as well as intend for people to go vote on Election Day. Initially the cognitive and affective components of the attitude the target audience had towards Perry were positive. This was achieved by focusing on the political agenda. Only Perry’s rivals and the media could have a negative influence on what the majority of the target audience knew and felt about him by 67 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen mentioning past mistakes from his work as a governor. Though there was mention of past mistakes it never seemed to disturb the course of the campaign. A particularly interesting part of the analysis was the motivation and involvement of Perry’s target audience. Perry definitely catered to the negative motivation that voters have for getting involved in the election. Arguably, Perry catered to both high- and low-involvement voters. This is based on the short videos with simple messages, which provide low-involvement voters with enough incentive to go and vote. Primarily voters are involved on a greater level and will seek out information on the candidate. This is why it is necessary for all candidates to provide information on their political agenda for high-involvement voters. Perry’s participation in the debates as well as his social media updates and articles on his website was a way to provide information. What also provides information on a candidate is by advertising through the media. In setting a media strategy there are a number of aspects to consider. These aspects are based on the communication strategy. Choosing which media to use is solely dependent on the target audience. In this particular campaign it was possible to use all sorts of media. The content of campaign videos is quite important in that the messages herein are what will define the candidate. The videos should entice high- and low-involvement voters. Perry’s video ‘strong’ created a lot of hype and critique. It was not apparent if it had a positive or negative influence on the primary elections. However, it may have been partially to blame for the outcome. This leads to the discussion on what mistakes were made during the campaign that turned Perry from being a favourite to win to being the loser of the primaries. It seems that the biggest mistake during the campaign was Perry’s stumble in the Michigan debate. Political commentaries agreed that it could very well doom his campaign.198 It seems it did. Dave Carney and the other managers had no control over this and can therefore not be blamed for it. They did however choose to announce that Rick Perry would not attend any debates any more, only to disregard the announcement shortly after. The Perry team also released a video about the stumble, which just seemed to remind voters of Perry’s inadequacies in debates. Perhaps a more effective strategy would have been to disregard the stumble and improve Perry’s debating skills in the next debate. Arguably, Perry’s ‘strong’ video was bordering on too extreme statements on gays and Christianity. However, the other Republican candidates make similar extreme statements. The candidates must all think that the conservative target audience are not discouraged by such statements. 198 Wemple, Erik - The Washington Post http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/erik-wemple/post/rick-perry-stumblesbut-for-how-long/2011/11/10/gIQACORc8M_blog.html Last viewed 24/02 2012 68 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen The comparison with Obama’s campaign was surprisingly similar. The political agenda was of course very different. Democrats and Republicans are generally very far apart politically. However, this thesis was about the communication strategies and how to optimize a campaign. Both candidates used new technology, such as social media. In determining positioning their plan was to be Washington outsiders and to start a grassroots movement. They both also campaigned for change. Despite these similarities there were also several differences. This was particularly evident in their choice of target audience. However, that comes with being from two opposite parties. The main difference was the two candidates’ capabilities in debates. Obama showed that he was a capable leader with the presence of a president. Perry never convinced the electorate of his ability to be able to lead the country. All things considered, according to the analysis, Perry’s campaign was very well planned and executed. There was nothing wrong with the new technological way of campaigning. The traditional way of campaigning, where the gift of gap is what wins the election, was what Perry lacked. To become the President of the United States is a vigorous competition where a simple stumble in a debate is enough to rule a candidate out. Governor Perry will have to stick to what he is good at, which is to govern his home state of Texas. 69 Master thesis Sune T. Nielsen 7. Bibliography 7.1 Books: 1. Butler, D. & Kavanagh, D., The British General Election of 1987, London, Macmillan, 1988 2. Downs, A. - An Economic Theory of Democracy. New York: Harper & Row. 1957 3. Garrett, R. Sam - “Super PACs” in Federal Elections: Overview and Issues for Congress. Congressional Research Service, 2011 4. Heilemann, John & Halperin, Mark - Game Change: Obama and the Clintons, McCain and Palin, and the Race of a Lifetime. Harper, 2009 5. Heywood, Andrew - Political theory: An introduction. Third edition. 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Sune T. Nielsen http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PAJNntoRgA Youtube channel for Rick Perry 2012 56. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=54YgnpovlzM&feature=related Youtube 57. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aiCRW5zGSG4 Youtube 58. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtREqAmLsoA Youtube: Obama (2008) 59. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h2O8ICDLkb0 Youtube channel for Comedy Central 60. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv8eiDvrHJ4 Youtube – Barackobamadotcom 61. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MheCHKSNpyg Youtube - CNN condemns Michele Bachmann lies on mental retardation 62. https://plus.google.com/104785503282152839300/posts Google + 76