Zachary Oswald, Charlene Bentum, Guy Duncan Spring 2010 ESCI 580- Teaching Middle School Earth System Science using Problem Based Learning Assignment: Mt. Pinatubo Module- Cycle B Group Discussion/Team Model Building Document Date Due: 03/07/2010 Problem Statement When volcanoes erupt, the event puts into the atmosphere numerous particles and gases. What are these particles and gases, how much do they affect the planet, and is the resulting cooling something that we can learn from and utilize to reduce Global Warming? Introduction According to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the world’s volcanoes, both on land and undersea, generate about 200 million tons of carbon dioxide (CO2) annually, while our automotive and industrial activities cause some 24 billion tons of CO2 emissions every year worldwide. Despite the arguments to the contrary, the facts speak for themselves: Greenhouse gas emissions from volcanoes comprise less than one percent of those generated by today’s human endeavors. (E>A) Do Volcano Eruptions Alter the Climate/Cause Global Cooling? (The Why) Some scientists believe that spectacular volcanic eruptions, like that of Mt. St. Helens in 1980 and Mt. Pinatubo in 1991, actually lead to short-term global cooling, not warming, as sulfur dioxide (SO2), ash and other particles in the air and stratosphere reflect some solar energy instead of letting it into Earth’s atmosphere. SO2, which converts to sulfuric acid aerosol when it hits the stratosphere, can linger there for as long as seven years and can exercise a cooling effect long after a volcanic eruption has taken place. Scientists tracking the effects of the major 1991 eruption of the Philippines’ Mt. Pinatubo found that the overall effect of the blast was to cool the surface of the Earth globally by some 0.5 degrees Celsius a year later, even though rising human greenhouse gas emissions and an El Nino event (a warm water current which periodically flows along the coast of Ecuador and Peru in South America) caused some surface warming during the 1991-1993 study period. (E>A>L) Volcanic Gasses and Earth’s Atmosphere (The How) There are many harmful gases that are produced and emitted into the atmosphere during volcanic activities. These gases are mostly comprised of water vapor, carbon dioxide, sulfur dioxide, fluorine, and chlorine. The most abundant gas typically released into the atmosphere from volcanic systems is water vapor (H20), followed by carbon dioxide (C02) and sulfur dioxide (S02). Volcanoes also release smaller amounts of others gases, including hydrogen sulfide (H2S), hydrogen (H2), (CO), hydrogen chloride (HCL), hydrogen fluoride (HF), and helium (He) (L>E<A) Volcano Tectonic Style Temperature Kilauea Summit Hot Spot 1170°C Erta` Ale Divergent Plate 1130°C Momotombo Convergent Plate 820°C H20 37.1 77.2 97.1 C02 48.9 11.3 1.44 S02 11.8 8.34 0.50 H2 0.49 1.39 0.70 CO 1.51 0.44 0.01 H2S 0.04 0.68 0.23 HCl 0.08 0.42 2.89 HF --- --- 0.26 Examples of volcanic gas compositions, in volume percent concentrations (from Symonds et. al., 1994) The impurities within the water vapors are harmful and often misconceived as nonthreatening. Carbon dioxide is the leading contributor pertaining to Global Climate Change by means of the Greenhouse Effect. Sulfur dioxide can have a effect on the weather and the environment. Large-scale volcanic activity may last only a few days, but the massive outpouring of gases and ash can influence climate patterns for years. Sulfuric gases convert to sulfate aerosols, sub-micron droplets containing about 75 percent sulfuric acid. Following eruptions, these aerosol particles can linger as long as three to four years in the stratosphere. This leads to the formation of acid rain, which causes serious environmental problems. This aerosol blocks the sun and causes cooler temperatures globally. The sulfur dioxide eventually depletes, but is replenished by each subsequent eruption rich in sulfur dioxide. Hydrogen fluoride, carbon monoxide, and hydrogen sulfide gasses can be a deadly to animals after an eruption. Fluorine and chlorine molecules from the gases tend to condense in rain and coat grasses and plants. This causes animals to become “poisoned” when they eat the fluorine-coated grass and plants. Chlorine gasses are emitted as hydrochloric acid into the atmosphere. Carbon monoxide, chlorine, and fluorine gaseous compositions contribute to other detrimental effects in the atmosphere (E2>A>H<B>E1). Combinations of hydrogen chlorine and hydrogen fluorine affect the ozone layer. The ozone layer of our Earth’s atmosphere protects the DNA of plants and animals by blocking harmful ultraviolet rays emitted from our Sun. (E1>A<L) How long do volcanic events alter the Earth's Climate? A volcanic eruption can affect the Earth’s climate short-term and long-term. The degree to which the climate is affected has many factors including the “amount of gas a volcano emits into the atmosphere, whether the gas is injected into the troposphere or stratosphere, and the regional or global wind and weather pattern that disperses the gas” (United States Geological Survey). Another factor affecting scientists’ abilities to track the effects of volcanic eruptions is the near impossibility of measuring gas output of the volcano (E>A). Aircraft can track some of the output, put their safety is compromised by flying to low and close to the volcano, decreasing the accuracy of data collected. Volcanic magma releases dissolved gases into the atmosphere during a volcanic eruption. Magma, however, can still release gases into the atmosphere when it is underground, through the soil (United States Geological Survey). This could increase the longevity of the effects of volcanic gases. Therefore, it is hard to predict how long volcanic eruptions will affect the environment and climate. Despite the variances in volcanic effects, there are some general conclusions that can be drawn about the long-term effects. Eruptions are though to have a large impact on global cooling that occurs several years after a major eruption (E>A). For two years following the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in 1991, global temperatures dropped on average about one degree Fahrenheit (Exploring the Environment). “The amount and global extent of the cooling depend on the force of the eruption and, possibly, its latitude” (NASA Facts on Line). Volcanic eruptions can cause temperatures around the world to decrease if the eruption is large enough. The eruption of El Chichn in 1982, however, had little effect on global temperatures. This could have been because of the occurrence of El Nino the same year, which cancelled out the effect of the El Chichn eruption (NASA Facts on Line) (E1>A, E2>A). Short-term effects may be easier to measure because there are not as many factors to consider. Sulfur dioxide can have a short term global cooling effects (E>A). Fluorine, which is also emitted during an eruption, “can be a deadly to animals after an eruption. It tends to condense in rain and coat grasses and plants. The fluorine is poisonous to animals that eat the fluorine-coated grass and plants”. (http://www.umich.edu/~gs265/society/volcanoes.htm) The short-term effects seem to be more intense, perhaps because of the fact that “a few years after an eruption most of the aerosol clouds will have decayed so that their effects on radiation will become negligible” (NASA Facts 3). The diagram below shows the products of an eruption. Depending on the amount of products emitted as well as the air currents, the effects, both short and long term, will be altered. Figure 1. Volcanism studies are an important aspect of climate research (see chemistry glossary). Retrieved 6 March 2010 from NASA Facts: The Earth Science Enterprise Series. Geo-engineering (The Why) Geo-engineering has been proposed as a possible mitigation for Global Climate Change (Caldeira and Govindasamy, Teller and Wood). But can geo-engineering our environment work? We have already been conducting a large-scale experiment by pumping uncontrolled amounts of CO2 into our atmosphere, and the results it seems are in. The results are not without detractors, as would be the product of any uncontrolled testing. But the natural eruption of Mt. Pinatubo of June 12-15, 1991 seems to back up the geoengineering possibilities. The eruption threw tons of sulfur dioxide into the upper atmosphere, resulting in a temporary global temperature drop of 1 degree F. (E>A>B/A/L/H) So if we are already geo-engineering our environment, why not entertain mitigating options? One thing that may not be an option is doing nothing. And the idea is not a new one (David W. Keith, University of Calgary, Alberta). Geo-engineering (The How) Sulfur dioxide is a by-product of coal burning (ironically a greenhouse gas producer). Unfortunately, the released sulfur gases are too low in the atmosphere, and have a very short lived suspension in the low atmosphere. One possible model for utilizing sulfur dioxides/sulfur compounds looks like this. http://www.wired.com/science/planetearth/magazine/16-07/ff_geoengineering?currentPage=all Sulfur compounds are collected from smoke stacks of coal burning power plants(1), specially modified aircraft/spacecraft transport the compounds into the stratosphere where they are released(2), the sulfur dioxide combines with Hydrogen to form sulfuric acid which in turn combines with water to form a vast reflective network(3), bouncing back 1-3 percent of solar radiation reaching the Earth(4). Using this process, geoengineers could create a Pinatubo like effect at will, and repeat it as needed to cool the Earth. References: Kirchner, I., G. Stenchikov, H.-F. Graf, A. Robock. J. Antuna, Climate model simulation of winter warming and summer cooling following the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 19,039-19,055, 1999. Stenchikov, Georgiy L., Ingo Kirchner, Alan Robock, Hans-F. Graf, Juan Carlos Antuna, R. G. Grainger, Alyn Lambert, and Larry Thomason, 1998: Radiative Forcing from the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption. J. Geophys Res. 103(D12), pp. 13837-13857. Wolfe, Jason . "Volcanoes and Climate Change (DAAC Study) : Feature Articles." NASA Earth Observatory : Home. N.p., 5 Sept. 2000. Web. 4 Mar. 2010. <http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/Volcano/>. Kunzig, Robert- Geoengineering: How to Cool Earth--At a Price, Scientific American Magazine, November 2008 http://www.wired.com/science/planetearth/magazine/16-07/ff_geoengineering? currentPage =all http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2009/07/re-engineering-the-earth/7552/ http://esseacourses.strategies.org/private/learner.module.php?course_id=295&coursemod ule_id=716&cycle=A&cycle_label=7 <http://www.umich.edu/~gs265/society/volcanoes.htm> Retrieved 6 March 2010. “Volcanoes and Climate.” Exploring the Environment: Volcanoes. Retrieved 6 March 2010. http://www.cotf.edu/ete/modules/volcanoes/vclimate.html “Volcanoes and Global Climate Change.” NASA Facts: The Earth Science Enterprise Series. Retrieved 6 March 2010. <http://www.gsfc.nasa.gov/gsfc/service/gallery/fact_sheets/earthsci/eos/volcanoes.pdf> “Volcanoes and Global Cooling.” NASA Facts on Ling: NASA Goddard Space Flight Center. Retrieved 6 March 2010. <http://www.gsfc.nasa.gov/gsfc/service/gallery/fact_sheets/earthsci/volcano.htm> “Volcanic Gases and Their Effects.” United States Geological Survey. Retrieved 6 March 2010. <http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hazards/gas/index.php> Useful Sites for Teachers: http://volcanoes.usgs.gov/about/ http://crystalinks.com/volcanoes.html http://climate.gsfc.nasa.gov/index.php http://www.ncar.ucar.edu/feature/fieldguides/permafrost/ http://passporttoknowledge.com/polar-palooza/wmv/healy03a.php http://www.photolib.noaa.gov