NMT Pilot Project Statement of Work 06-09-05 Title: Synthetic Lightcurve Signatures of Unresolved Objects: A Comparison with Observations Period of Performance: June 2005 – May 2006 Total Budget (actual, in-kind, & matching funds): $200,000 Principal Investigator: Eileen V. Ryan, Ph.D. Magadalena Ridge Observatory Project Scientist/Manager, 2.4 meter Telescope Project New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology 801 Leroy Place Socorro, New Mexico 87801 (505) 835-6803 (505) 835-6807 (FAX) eryan@mro.nmt.edu Co-Investigator: William H. Ryan, Ph.D. Magadalena Ridge Observatory Research Faculty, 2.4 meter Telescope Project New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology 801 Leroy Place Socorro, New Mexico 87801 (505) 835-6646 bryan@nmt.edu 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Synthetic Lightcurve Signatures of Unresolved Objects: A Comparison with Observations Proposal Cover Page……………………………………………………………………. 1 Table of Contents………………………………………………………………………. 2 Statement of Work……………………………………………………………………... 3 Expected Milestones & Accomplishments …………………………………………… 6 References ……………..………………………………………………...……………. 7 Short Biography: Principal Investigator …………………….………………………... 8 Budget Details/Matching Funds ………………………………………………………... 9 2 STATEMENT OF WORK INTRODUCTION The temporal brightness variations (i.e., “lightcurves”) of unresolved targets such as asteroids and artificial satellites can be used to develop a powerful tool for general characterization studies. This information is obtainable with modest instrumentation, including off-the-shelf commercial telescopes. Analysis of these temporal signatures permits the extraction of shape, rotation period, and pole orientation for asteroids, and may provide shape, general health status, and attitude configuration for artificial objects. In particular, a tri-axial ellipsoid model has proven to be very reliable in determining the relative dimensions of large asteroids from the inversion of lightcurve signatures (Drummond et al. 1988). Although the extension of this inversion process to the more complex shapes of smaller asteroids and artificial satellites provides additional challenges, especially when the target’s shape has non-convex features, techniques are being developed to address this as well (Ďurech and Kaasalainen 2003; Lambert et al. 2004). However, in general, the problem of inverting lightcurve data to determine a unique shape remains a challenging task for irregularly shaped objects. In this analysis, we build on the large body of work done in the context of asteroid studies, and investigate an iterative approach to the identification and characterization of unresolved targets. We have developed a synthetic lightcurve direct model assuming that the resulting lightcurve is a deterministic function of the target’s physical parameters and the observer’s viewing geometry, and can therefore provide a definitive lightcurve even for the most complex objects. This model can be used to construct a library of lightcurve signatures for a variety of sample objects which, in turn, can be used to provide initial guesses for the input parameters to an inverse model. The resulting inverse-predicted shape is then put back into the direct model, compared with observations, and refined as needed. We present the results of applying this technique to both asteroid and artificial satellite targets. In particular, we demonstrate how this has allowed us to identify the existence of a binary companion to the main belt asteroid 3782 Celle (Ryan et al. 2004). We then compare the accuracy of model predictions from data obtained with meter-class telescopes and a portable, 0.35-meter commercially available instrument. As part of this research, we plan to build upon the single-site lightcurve inversion work reported in Lambert et al. (2004) by acquiring and analyzing simultaneous lightcurve observations of selected low Earth orbiting targets from multiple sites having differing viewing geometries. PREVIOUS WORK Observational Studies During the first funded stage of this project, 81 nights of observing time were awarded using the 1.8-meter Vatican Advanced Technology Telescope (VATT). Over this time phase, periods were determined for 15 Vesta family members, and for 6 of these chips we obtained 3 multi-apparition data. Partial lightcurves were obtained for an additional 15 asteroids. Lightcurve rotation periods range from very short (~2.4 hours) to greater that 10 hours. A typical lightcurve indicating the quality of data obtained is shown in Figure 1. The lightcurves have also displayed peak-to-trough variations that vary from very simple to quite complex (Figure 2, asteroid 3155 Lee). As yet, no sub-two-hour periods (which would definitively imply a monolithic rather than rubble-pile fragment) or period-to-period variations (which would imply 'tumbling', and hence put an upper limit on the age of the Vesta family) have been observed. Figure 1. Composite lightcurve for 1933 Tinchen. Error bars indicate both photon noise and photometric scatter of the comparison stars. Figure 2. Lightcurve data for asteroid 3155 Lee showing an example of complex peak-to-trough variations. The rotation rate for this Vesta chip is 8.310 hours. Shape Inversion Asteroid lightcurves can traditionally provide three important pieces of information: rotation rate, spin axis orientation, and shape. Determining an asteroid's spin rate is straightforward: its reflected light is recorded as the asteroid proceeds along its orbital path, and a cycle of its rotation becomes evident as the light intensity dips and peaks in a clear pattern. Spin axis 4 orientation and shapes, however, are somewhat more difficult to discern, but reliable methods have been developed (Kaasalainen et al., 2002). By comparing shapes computed for 951 Gaspra using lightcurve-based data with those determined from Galileo spacecraft images, Barucci et al. (1992) have shown that available lighcurve inversion techniques are very successful. Their groundbased shape analysis was accomplished using three lightcurves obtained at ecliptic longitudes of 60°, 230°, and 31°. A similar pre-Galileo shape determination for Gaspra was performed by Magnusson et al. (1992) using the above lightcurves plus one recorded at 10° ecliptic longitude. From these studies, it was shown that an accurate shape determination is possible with a minimum of two lightcurves recorded 90° apart in ecliptic longitude. More recently, Kaasalainen et al. (2001) have developed a polyhedron inversion technique that yields relatively detailed models of the convex features of asteroid shapes. However, this technique requires considerably more lightcurve data as input. The observational portion of this proposal is centered on the continuation of the CCD photometric survey to perform a spin-rate and shape analysis of the asteroids in the Vesta family. The specific goals include the following: 1) Obtain data for a total of three apparitions for the 15 objects that already have one or more complete lightcurves. 2) Obtain additional data at various phase angles for at least three objects. 3) Utilize the rotational rate estimates obtained by our partial coverage of the 15 additional targets (mostly slow rotators) to strategically plan observations of these asteroids. 4) Modify current observing strategy of faster rotators to include longer coverage in an attempt to identify any additional binary systems. 5) Perform an extended study of 3782 Celle during its 2004 apparition. 6) Scan all images for new asteroids and perform follow-up astrometry if observing time permits. Item 1 should allow us perform a first estimate of the shapes for at least 15 Vesta chips. Item 2 will be needed to develop an amplitude-phase relationship for Vesta-type asteroids that will be needed to effectively utilize some of our higher phase angle data. Depending on the quality of the resulting curve, it is also possible that this will provide information regarding the surface characteristics of typical Vesta-like asteroids. Item 3 will allow us to determine spin rates for many of the slower rotating Vesta chips that are not in our shape analysis priority list. Item 4 represents the lesson learned by the discovery of a binary system during the first phase of the project. Item 5 will allow us to develop a more detailed model of the 3782 Celle binary system. Finally, Item 6 is just a routine procedure that will be performed having the by-product of contributing to the catalog of known asteroids. 5 The challenging task to be undertaken is the determination, or at least constraint, of the shapes of the Vesta-family asteroids and their spin axis orientation. Under the most ideal geometric circumstances, a minimum of two lightcurves, obtained 90º apart in ecliptic longitude is required to determine the asteroid's shape. However, as pointed out previously by the reviewers, it is highly unlikely that the observer would stumble upon the 'right' geometric conditions that would make this possible. The renewal of this proposal would facilitate the acquisition of lightcurves for an additional two apparitions of our targets that already have at least one complete lightcurve - resulting in 3-4 apparitions worth of data for these objects. This should permit at least a preliminary tri-axial ellipsoid shape model and spin axis determination to be performed for 15 of the Vesta chips during the period of performance of this grant. Lightcurve inversion techniques have matured considerably (Kaasalainen, et. al., 2002) since this survey was initially undertaken. In particular, a convex polyhedron inversion technique has been developed that has need successful in developing rather detailed asteroid shape models from lightcurve data (Kaasalainen, et. al., 2001). However, this technique generally works best for objects with data from four or more apparitions and at a variety of solar phase angles. Although this level of data coverage might be achieved for a few of our targets, we will in general concentrate on getting one (composite) lightcurve per apparition for each object, permitting the use of traditional amplitude-aspect modeling techniques (Drummond, et al., 1988). Although this method will result in a cruder, triaxial ellipsoid model, it will yield spin axis orientations and facilitate the acquisition of data for more objects. This should provide the first indication of whether our Vesta members are spalls or not, and form a basis for a more detailed shape study in the future. April 20, 2005 Memorandum For the Record Subject: AFRL Phillips Research Site and NMT Magdalena Ridge Observatory Joint Project – Light Curve Inversion Pilot Study Background The New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology (NMT), Magdalena Ridge Observatory (MRO) will include two instruments: (a) a 2.4m telescope with rapid tracking capability and (b) a multi-aperture optical interferometer. Language in congressional appropriations for MRO requires that the facility be of use both in scientific applications in astronomy and to the Department of Defense, including applications in Space Situation Awareness (SSA.) During March-April 2005 a survey analysis of applications in SSA for MRO was conducted by a team of individuals from NMT led by Dr Eileen Ryan and Dr Louis Blackwell. Collaboration with AFRL SSA efforts was coordinated with Dr Barry Hogge, SSA technology lead for AFRL/DE directorate. The project effort has identified numerous applications in SSA to which MRO may be able to contribute and has further identified a joint ‘pilot project’ which shows technical promise of contributing to the state of the art for SSA. Recognizing that the MRO will be a new facility with no practical background in SSA and the inherent potential security considerations of observations supporting SSA, this project will provide significant training for the MRO 2.4meter Telescope team in expanding their understanding of SSA. 6 A further benefit of the pilot project is that the MRO team, working with SSA elements of the Air Force, will explore the structure and functions of becoming a “contributing site” in the SSA community by conducting the pilot project. This knowledge will be applied when the MRO 2.4m facility comes on line in FY 2007. The pilot project will also contribute to the state of the art in SSA and extend recent work on ground based observations of satellites using ‘lightcurve’ inversion – a technique well known in observations of asteroids. Recent work has investigated the benefit of single location lightcurve signatures of satellites collected over multiple passes. The pilot project will extend this work by performing simultaneous observations of the same resident space objects (RSOs) from differing locations – and combining the resulting lightcurves for inversion. The observations will be conducted by AFRL sites (SOR and/or AMOS (details to be defined)) in collaboration with an MRO portable telescope. Analytic prediction of light curves using a direct model will be conducted based on knowledge of the resident space objects (RSOs) – details on the candidate RSOs will be provided by AFRL/DE. An available set of light curve prediction tools at NMT will be used in collaboration with AFRL/DE tools. The project is anticipated to require as much as a year to complete. If the pilot project proves the merit of multiple simultaneous observation, then follow on phases are possible. A paper based on the project is already proposed for presentation at the AMOS Technical Conference (covering SSA topics) in Maui September 5 - 9, 2005. 7 EXPECTED ACCOMPLISHMENTS AND MILESTONES -Identified a research project for a new satellite characterization method -Simultaneous observation by multiple sites -Apply well known ‘light curve inversion’ from asteroid research (Builds on recent single site ‘light curve inversion’ results by Lambert, et al) -Proposed as a joint AFRL/MRO SSA project Conduct pathfinder experiment using 14” Meade telescope to establish credible approach to Light Curve inversion -Estimate light collection based on satellite signature model -Collect measurements in collaboration with SOR Phase I -Choose a RSO for experiment with 14” instrument -Estimate light curve inversion results -Extrapolate performance expectations for MRO instrument -Collaborative measurement simultaneous with SOR -Comparison between measurements and model Demonstrate potential for meeting SSA goals of satellite characterization Develop operational concepts and procedures for 2.4m Pilot Project will: -- Analytically investigate shapes and light curve inversion -- Select known satellites/objects for data collection -- Obtain simultaneous “lightcurves” with 14” Meade Telescope and additional sites (SOR/AMOS)* -- SOR obtain simultaneous AO images on selected observations (for ground truth) -- Acquire 4-color visible spectrum photometric data -- Spectroscopy if budget allows -- Invert lightcurves for shape & pole orientation; evaluate benefit of simultaneous two site collection NMT will provide Personnel and funding for a twelve month effort and will provide an available Meade telescope as one of the observing instruments to gather data on resident space objects. Analytic tools to predict light curves and analysis and inversion of gathered light curve information Project leadership – Dr. Eileen Ryan, MRO Project reporting and documentation 8 AFRL will provide Information and candidate listing of RSOs to be considered for experimental collection Support by personnel at SOR (e.g., Dr. Jack Drummond) Support by Personnel at MSSS (e.g., Paul Kervin) Simultaneous light curve collection in collaboration with the NMT/MRO instrument If feasible, simultaneous imagery of an RSO during lightcurve collection 9 REFERENCES Drummond, J. D., S. J. Weidenschilling, C. R. Chapman and D. R. Davis, 1988, Photometric geodesy of main-belt asteroids. II - Analysis of lightcurves for poles, periods, and shapes, Icarus 76, 19-77. Ďurech, J. and M. Kaasalainen, 2003, Photometric signatures of highly nonconvex and binary asteroids, Astronomy and Astrophysics, 404, 709-714. Kaasalainen, M., S. Mottola, and M. Fulchignoni 2002, Asteroid Models from Disk Integrated Data, In Asteroids III, (Bottke, W.F., Cellino, A., Paolicchi, P., and Binzel, R. P., Eds., University of Arizona Press, Tucson) 139-150 M. Kaasalainen, J. Torppa, and K. Muinonen 2001, Optimization methods for asteroid lightcurve inversion. II. The complete inverse problem. Icarus 153, 37. Lambert, J., K. Luu, and E. Brevdo, 2004, Direct inversion of visible and infrared signatures, Proceedings of the 2004 AMOS Technical Conference, Hawaii. Ryan,W.H., E. Ryan, and C. Martinez (2004). 3782 Celle: Discovery of a Binary System within the Vesta Family of Asteroids. Planetary and Space Science, 52, 1093 -1101. 10 SHORT BIOGRAPHY OF PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR Eileen V. Ryan is currently a Research Scientist and Adjunct Faculty at New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology for the Magdalena Ridge Observatory Project, serving as the Project Scientist and Project Manager of the 2.4-meter Single Telescope initiative. Previously, she was a tenured member of the Physics faculty at New Mexico Highlands University, and a Research Scientist affiliated with the Planetary Science Institute in Tucson, Arizona. She completed her Ph.D. at the University of Arizona, Tucson, in 1992. She also has a M.S. degree in Astronomy from New Mexico State University, and a B.A. in Physics from Rutgers University. Her research work includes theoretical and experimental studies of small body collisions in the solar system, microbe survivability during collisional events, and telescopic observations of asteroids. She has been successful in securing funding for these programs, has served on senior review panels for NASA and the National Science Foundation (NSF), and has refereed papers for journals such as Icarus, Nature, Planetary and Space Science, the Astronomical Journal, and the Journal of Geophysical Research. She currently has 24 published papers and 47 meeting abstracts, including 3 review papers in her field of expertise. Asteroid (9542) ERYAN = 1983 TU1 has been named in her honor, and she has made several television appearances discussing her research, most recently appearing on the Canadian Discovery channel detailing her work in astrobiology. Selected Recent Publications: Ryan, E.V., and W.H. Ryan (2004). Asteroid Physical Characterization Studies and its Relation to the Hazard Mitigation of NEOs. Proc. of the 2004 AMOS Technical Conference, Hawaii. Giblin, I., D.R. Davis, E.V. Ryan (2004). On the Collisional Disruption of Porous Icy Targets Simulating Kuiper Belt Objects. Icarus 171, 487 - 505. Ryan,W.H., E. Ryan, and C. Martinez (2004). 3782 Celle: Discovery of a Binary System within the Vesta Family of Asteroids. Planetary and Space Science, 52, 1093 -1101. Asphaug, E., E.V. Ryan, and M. Zuber (2002). Impact Structures and Asteroid Interiors. In Asteroids III (William Bottke, Alberto Cellino, Paolo Paolicchi, and Richard P. Binzel, eds. Univ. of Arizona Press). Holsapple, K., K. Housen, E.V. Ryan, and I. Giblin (2002). Asteroid Impacts: Laboratory Experiments and Scaling Laws. In Asteroids III (William Bottke, Alberto Cellino, Paolo Paolicchi, and Richard P. Binzel, eds. Univ. of Arizona Press). Ryan, E.V. (2000). Asteroid Fragmentation and Evolution of Asteroids. Ann. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci., 28, 367-389. Ryan, E.V., D.R. Davis, and I. Giblin (1999). A Laboratory Impact Study of Simulated EdgeworthKuiper Belt Objects. Icarus, 142, 56-62. Ryan, E.V., and H.J. Melosh (1998). Impact Fragmentation: From the Laboratory to Asteroids. Icarus 133, 1-24. Melosh, H.J., and E.V. Ryan (1997). Asteroids: Shattered but not Dispersed. Icarus, 129, 562. 11 BUDGET DETAIL AND MATCHING FUNDS New Mexico Tech AFRL/VS Funding: Direct Costs: 1. Professional Salaries: (0.45 FTE) Fringe benefits: (33%) Subtotal: = $32,548 = $10,741 = $43,289 2. Travel: (AMOS Conference, 2 people) = $ 3,400 3. Equipment: (Video rate CCD plus associated Equipment for 14” Meade Telescope) = $ 4,000 SUBTOTAL: = Indirect Costs: Overhead (15.6%) TOTAL (AFRL/VS Funds): = $50,000 New Mexico Tech Matching Funds: 1. NASA HQ Planetary Astronomy Grant: ''CCD Photometry of the Vesta Family of Asteroids II: More Lightcurves and a Search for Satellites” Professional Salaries & Fringe Graduate Student Support Travel, Materials, Supplies SUBTOTAL: = $54,144 = $12,000 = $ 6,000 = $72,144 2. NASA HQ: "South-West Internet Program for the Enhancement of Minority Education" Equipment (14” Meade Telescope) = $ 7,500 3. NMT Tech R&ED: Administrative support, computer facilities: = $20,356 TOTAL (NM Tech Matching Funds): = $100,000 AFRL/DE In-kind Support: AFRL/MSSS: Salaries and telescope usage: AFRL/SOR: Salaries and telescope Usage: =$ =$ 12