Electronic Supplementary Material Figure S1. Fading evidence of old land use (reindeer corral) on the eastern slope of Mt Njulla (see Figure 1 and Supplementary Table 1). Top-left, air photo 1959, top-right, air photo 2000 (Swedish Land Survey, Lantmäteriet), bottom, indications on the ground 2006 (Photo R. Van Bogaert). 1 Table S1: Data sources for Callaghan et al “Ecosystem change and stability over multiple decades in the Swedish sub-Arctic: complex processes and multiple drivers” (The numbers in the column on Data Sources refer to the reference numbers in the manuscripts` reference list.) Figure Component Fig. 2: Abiotic change Data Sources Methodology Calculations 68.36, 18.81 at Abisko Scientific Research Station (ANS). Backdrop maps are standard products used by courtesy of the National Swedish Cadastral Authority (Lantmäteriet, Gävle) Maps produced in ESRI ArcMap (Arc-Info) and exported to Adobe Illustrator for final production. Background map Entire region Swedish regional survey map, Lantmäteriet, Gävle Components digitised onto the backdrop map None Historic land use Entire region [58] (figs. 6, 8, and 9). In situ inventory and literature study None Reindeer corral 68.34, 18.67 Van. Bogaert, R., pers. obs. Photographic evidence None Background map: summer degree-day change 1913 2009 Entire region; 68.36, 18.81 (ANS); 68.42, 18.17 (Katterjåkk) [27], [28] Climate downscaling from observation at ANS (monitoring programme), Katterjåkk (SMHI regular survey), and manually deployed thermo-loggers (across the region). All figures: Fig. 1: Land use and infrastructure Location (decimal WGS84) 2 ArcGIS Maplex Label Engine was used to optimise the location of objects, where the strategy was chosen to maximise the number of exact positions while retaining the overall neighbourhood topology. Arithmetic means for reference periods 19131930, 1931-1960, 19611990, and 1991-2009. Change is calculated as difference between averages across the first and last periods. Primary temperatures transformed Mean annual temperatures and temperature change 68.36, 18.81 [173] ANS monitoring programme Snow-depth change 1913 2012 68.36, 18.81 at eastern ANS transect [19], [173] ANS monitoring programme Permafrost temperature change 1980 – 2002 68.35, 18.85 (Kursflaket) and 68.35, 18.90 (Storflaket) 68.35, 18.85 (Kursflaket) [51] Tables 2 and 3 Borehole temperature monitoring at Kursflaket and Storflaket Borehole temperature monitoring at Kursflaket. Mechanical probing Permafrost thickness change 1980 – 2009 Permafrost thickness change 1992 – 2009 Active layer change 1978 – 2011 Lake-ice change 1913 – 2006 UV solar radiation change together with figure 5. [51] P. 564, section “Permafrost Thickness”. 68.37, 18.48 (Latnjajaure) [26] West to east: 68.42, 18.17 (Katterjåkk); 68.43, 18.34 (Låkta); 68.41, 18.68 (Rackas); 68.36, 18.77 (Heliport); 68.35, 18.85 (Kursflaket); 68.35, 18.87 (Mellanflaket); 68.35, 18.90 (Storflaket); 68.34, 19.00 (Stordalen). 68.36, 18.82 (off ANS) [50]: Figure 4. 68.36, 18.81 (ANS) into degree-day accumulations. Arithmetic means for reference periods 19131930, 1931-1960, 19611990, and 1991-2011. Change is calculated as difference between averages across the first and last periods. Graph calculated on decadal arithmetic means 1913 to 2012. With snowfree months considered as missing values. Overall change estimated as (statistically significant) regression slope. None None None Mechanical probing, CALM monitoring Regression slopes [19], [173] Historic data plus ANS monitoring programme. [56]: Figure 6, table 2, and Radiometer measurements, Overall change estimated as (statistically significant) non-linear regression slope. None Data from CALM http://www.gwu.edu/~calm 3 1950 – 1999 Figure 3: Vegetation change text page 9. ANS monitoring programme. Background map: land cover Entire region National Swedish Cadastral Authorities, Lantmäteriet, Gävle. Reference mountain and vegetation maps. None Aspen species line 1904 2009 North-west shores of Lake Torneträsk. [32] Figure 1. Historic literature sources Tree-ring width aspen vs. birch, 1900 - 2007 68.33, 18.81 (Paddus area) [75] Figure 2. Alder expansion 1977 – 2002 68.42, 18.49 (S2, Kopparåsen); 68.45, 18.86 (N2, Jibrenluokta) 68.47, 18.71 (N1, Djupviken); 68.45, 18.86 (N2, Jibrenluokta); 68.51, 18.63 (N3, Pålnoviken); 68.40, 19.11 (N4, Torneträsk north-shore); 68.31, 18.63 (S1, Abiskojaure); 68.42, 18.49 (S2, Kopparåsen); 68.36, 18.75 (S3E, Mt. Njulla); 68.34, 18.67 (S3S, Mt. Njulla); 68.26, 18.60 (S4, Kaisepakte); 68.26, 19.39 (S5, Nivssakjåkka) 68.48, 18.62 (Pålnoviken); 68.36, 18.78 (Abisko Tourist Hotel) [85] Text on page 98 with Repeat photographic analysis, field analysis and dendrochronology Repeat field survey. Repeat photographic analysis. Aspen tree-lines digitised, geo-referenced, and transferred to vegetation map. Visual estimation. 68.34, 18.88 (north southshore cluster); 68.33, 18.83 (west south-shore cluster); Tree-line change 1912 2009 Birch forest densification 1906 – 1986 Biomass change 1997 – positions given in table 1, page 43. [16] Two first columns of table 2, with locations given in Figure 1. None Repeat photographic analysis, repeat transects analysis, field measurements, dendrochronology. None 13. Repeat photographic analysis. [82] Figure 1. Repeat field survey. Photos renovated and analysed for birch-forest content. Degree of change estimated on a subjective visual-analogue 0-1 scale Data were combined into the six clusters represented in the map, with min, [58] Figures 11, 12, and 4 2010 68.33, 18.93 (east southshore cluster); 68.31, 18.89 (south south-shore cluster); 68.46, 18.84 (west northshore cluster); 68.44, 18.89 (east north-shore cluster) 68.36, 18.81 (ANS) [57] Repeat field survey of shrub expansion at the ANS UV-B control plots. None. Tall shrub expansion 1976 - 2010 68.36, 18.75 (Mt. Njulla) [84] Table 1. Repeat field survey. Number of vascular plants species in understorey, heath and meadow communities [96] Table 1, with Repeat field survey. Understorey heath shrub changes1999 – 2008 68.40, 18.32 (Kärkevagge); 68.36, 18.75 (Mt. Njulla); 68.34, 18.71 (Slåttajåkka); 68.36, 18.76 (Ridonjira); 68.36, 18.80 (Abiskojåkka) 68.36, 18.77 (Abisko heliport) Change calculated as the ratio of species area change to plot size. Min, mean and max are, thereafter, calculated across species and plots. Number of vascular plat species gained and lost per year. Understorey shrub change 1991-2006 Heath biomass change 1998 – 2011 68.33, 18.83 (SE of Abisko village) 68.31, 18.66 (Abiskojaure outlet) [95], [96] Wetland vegetation change 1970 – 2007 68.34, 19.00 (Stordalen) Alpine heath evergreen shrub change 1995-2006 63.87, 18.48 (Latnjajaure) Understorey change 1991 – 2009 mean, and max biomass change calculated for each cluster. locations given in figure 1. Control plots from in-situ warming experiment on heath vegetation. Repeat survey of vegetation cover Repeat survey of plant biomass. None. [53] Table 7. Repeat colour infrared (IR) remote sensing and field survey [37] Repeat survey of vegetation cover CIR site-classes combined into hummock, wet sites, and semi-wet sites (called others), with average change calculated per group. Expansion ratio based on primary observations. [10], [112] [13] Figure 1c, triangle curve. 5 Qualitative estimate. Point estimate of (nonsignificant) regression slope through time-series of annual means. Figure 4: Impact of rapid events Slush torrents Rain storms Winter warming event 2007 – 2008 Frost impacts Autumnal moth defoliation of birch forest 2004 Lemmings and voles 2000 2012 Moose density 1991 - 2009 68.43, 18.23 (Vassijaure); 68.42, 18.32 (Låktajåkka); 68.40, 18.32 (Kärkevagge); 68.36, 18.75 (Ridonjira) 68.43, 18.13 (Riksgränsen); 68.40, 18.32 (Kärkevagge); 68.40, 18.39 (Låktajåkka); 68.37, 18.47 (Latjnavagge); 68.37, 18.70 (Mt. Njulla); 68.29, 19.23 (Pessijåkka); 68.36, 18.77 (Abisko valley) Entire region [146], [147], [152] In-situ observations. Literature study. None Jonasson, C., pers obs. [144], [148], [149], [150], [151], Jonasson, In-situ observations. Literature study. None [139] Figure 3. Remotely sensed NDVI. 68.34, 18.74 (Mt. Njulla); 68.34, 18.77 (Njakajaure); 68.36, 18.77 (Abisko valley) Entire region [71] Table 1 and text In-situ observations. Literature study. NDVI index given in fig. 3 transformed into visualanalogue scale 0 – 1 at selected locations. Area of symbol proportional to area affected by frost damage. 68.37, 18.48 (Latnjajaure) Molau, U., pers. obs. Entire region [70] C., pers obs. section “Frost damage”. [76] Figure 4. 6 Multi approach: Remotely sensed NDVI, literature documentation, historic temperature data, birch and pine chronologies. Field surveys No of individuals caught by trap in control plots Annual hunters inventory Defoliation index given in fig. 4 transformed into visual-analogue scale 0 – 1 at selected locations. none none