Angus migration and commuting patterns ANGUS In 2001 the population of Angus was 108,400, 60% of which were of working age. MIGRATION Table 1 below shows UK migration to and from Angus in the year to the Census in 2001. Table 1: Migration by total and working-age population (UK only1), 2001. Total outTotal inmigration migration Net migration Total migration 3,488 3,233 -255 Working-age migration 2,748 2,225 -523 Source: Census Origin-Destination tables, 2001. In the year to 2001 Angus experienced an overall net out-migration of total population and working-age population. However, it should be noted that the data do not take account of emigration to locations outside of the UK. Figure 1 presents total in-migration to Angus from the UK and overseas. Figure 1: Total2 in-migration to Angus, 2001. Scotland 62% England & Wales 18% Origin unknown 14% Rest of the world N. Ireland 6% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Of the total number of people migrating to Angus (4,033) between 2000 and 2001, 62% came from Scotland; 18% (708) came from England & Wales; 6% (245) came from a country outside the UK; and 14% from an unknown place of origin. Figure 2 below shows in-migration to Angus from other Scottish local authorities only. 1 The Census data provides information on immigration to Angus from outside the UK however there is no data relating to emigration to locations outside the UK. The numbers presented in Table 1 are for movements within the UK only. 2 Including people from outside the UK and people with no address the year before the census. Angus migration and commuting patterns Figure 2: Total in-migration to Angus from Scottish local authorities, 2001 Dundee 45% 12% Perth & Kinross Aberdeenshire 8% Fife 6% Aberdeen 5% Highland 3% Edinburgh 3% Glasgow 3% North Lanarkshire 1% South Lanarkshire 1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Of the 2,519 people migrating to Angus in 2001 from elsewhere in Scotland, almost half (45%) were from neighbouring Dundee. The next most popular origins for migrants were Perth and Kinross (12%) and the Aberdeenshire (8%). Figure 3 below shows out-migrants from Angus to other Scottish local authorities only. Figure 3: Out-migration from Angus to Scottish local authorities, 2001. Dundee 34% 12% Perth & Kinross Aberdeenshire 10% Aberdeen 9% Edinburgh 7% Fife 7% 5% Glasgow Highland 3% Argyll & Bute 2% Stirling 2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Of the 2,561 people moving out of Angus to other Scottish areas, the highest proportion moved to adjoining Dundee (34%). Perth and Kinross (12%) and Aberdeenshire (10%) were the next most popular destinations for out-migrants. Figures 4 and 5 below show in and out-migration by age group. Angus migration and commuting patterns 3 Figure 4: In-migration by age, 2001. Figure 5: Out-migration4 by age, 2001. Aged 0-15 9% Aged 0-15 4% 21% 17% 11% Aged 16-24 Aged 16-24 15% Aged 25-34 Aged 25-34 14% 16% Aged 35-44 Aged 35-44 15% 31% Aged 45-64 Aged 45-64 24% 23% Aged 65+ Aged 65+ The largest groups migrating to Angus are those aged 25-34 (23%) followed by 0-15 year olds (21%). For out-migration, the largest groups are 16-24 (31%) and 25-34 year olds (24%). TRAVEL TO WORK PATTERNS Table 2 below provides an overview of Angus’s residents and workforce. Table 2: Angus residents and workforce, 2001 No. Total population % 108,400 100% 65,344 60% 47,566 100% …who work in Angus 32,470 68% ...who are out-commuters 15,096 32% 37,096 100% …who are Angus residents 32,470 88% ….who are in-commuters 4,626 12% Working-age population Total Angus residents in employment Total Angus workforce Source: ONS: Mid-year population estimates and Origin-Destination statistics (Census 2001). Table 2 shows that of the 65,344 working-age population 47,566 are in employment – 68% in Angus and 32% outwith the area. Of the area’s 37,096 workforce, 88% are residents and 12% are in-commuters. Table 3 shows where Angus’s workforce lives. Table 3: Place or residence of Angus workforce, 2001. Angus workforce % of total Place of residence No. of workers workforce Angus 32,470 87.5% Dundee City 2,414 6.5% Aberdeenshire 814 2.2% Perth & Kinross 655 1.8% Fife 264 0.7% Highland 126 0.3% Aberdeen City 92 0.2% Moray 50 0.1% Edinburgh City 26 0.1% Eilean Siar 17 0.0% Other Scottish LAs 168 0.5% Total workforce 37,096 100.0% 3 4 Based on total number of people migrating to Angus. Based on Scotland and UK only. % of total incommuters only 52.2% 17.6% 14.2% 5.7% 2.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.4% 3.6% 100.0% Angus migration and commuting patterns Table 3 shows that Dundee is the largest provider of labour to Angus supplying 2,414 (6.5%) of the area’s workforce – 52% of all in-commuters. Aberdeenshire and Perth and Kinross are the next largest suppliers of in-commuters. Table 4 below shows where Angus residents work. Table 4: Place of work of Angus residents, 2001. Angus residents Place of work Angus Dundee City Aberdeen City Perth & Kinross Aberdeenshire Fife Highland Edinburgh City Glasgow City Stirling Other Scottish LAs Total residents No. of residents 32,470 10,363 2,050 1,077 757 341 157 90 54 34 173 47,566 % of total residents 68.3% 21.8% 4.3% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 100.0% % of total commuters out- 68.6% 13.6% 7.1% 5.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 1.1% 100.0% Table 4 shows that of all Angus residents 68.3% work in Angus itself. 21% (10,363) of residents travel to work in Dundee accounting for 68.6% of all out-commuters. Aberdeen City and Perth and Kinross are the next most places of work for out-commuters. Table 5 below compares employment status of the total Angus workforce to in-commuters. Table 5: Employment status of Angus workforce, 2001. Total Employment status workforce % of total Full-time 27,353 74% Part-time 9,743 26% Total 37,096 100% Employed 31,350 85% Self-employed 5,746 15% Total 37,096 100% In-commuters 3,745 881 4,626 4,289 337 4,626 % of incommuters 81% 19% 100% 93% 7% 100% Of those working in Angus, 74% are employed full-time, however for in-commuters this rises to 81%. 85% of the workforce are employees, again this is higher for those in-commuting (93%). Therefore in-commuters to Angus are slightly more likely to be full-time employees than residents working there. Table 6 shows the employment status of all Angus residents compared to out-commuters. Table 6: Employment status of Angus residents, 2001. Employment status Full-time Part-time Total Employed Self-employed Total Total residents 36,426 11,140 47,566 41,346 6,220 47,566 % of total 77% 23% 100% 87% 13% 100% Outcommuters 12,818 2,278 15,096 14,285 811 15,096 % of outcommuters 85% 15% 100% 95% 5% 100% Angus migration and commuting patterns Table 6 shows that 77% of employed Angus residents work full-time, for out-commuters this rises to 85%. Out-commuters are also more likely to be employees (95%) compared with all employed Angus residents (87%). Figure 6 compares industry of employment for in-commuters and Angus residents. Figure 6: Angus workforce by industry and place of residence, 2001. Mining etc.; manufacturing; elec., gas & water 15% Wholesale & retail trade 13% Health & social work 1% 12% Construction 2% 8% Real estate & business act 1% 7% Public admin. & defence 6% Agriculture, forestry & fishing 6% Education 1% 1% 5% 1% Other 5% 1% Hotels & restaurants 5% 1% Transport, storage & com. Financial intermediation 2% 4% 1% 1% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Angus residents working in Angus 14% 16% 18% 20% Non-Angus residents Of Angus’s 37,096 workforce 15% are employed in ‘mining & quarrying; manufacturing; electricity, gas & water supply’ with only 2% of employees in-commuting. ‘Wholesale and retail trade’ and ‘health and social work’ are the next largest sectors with 14% of Angus’s jobs. For both industries only a small proportion of jobs are held by in-commuters. Figure 7 compares industry of employment for Angus residents who work locally and those who out-commute to work. Figure 7: Angus residents by industry and destination, 2001. Mining etc.; manufacturing; elec., gas & water 12% Wholesale & retail trade 7% 10% Health & social work 4% 10% Construction 4% 6% Real estate & business act 2% 6% Public admin. & defence 3% 5% Agriculture, forestry & fishing 4% Education 4% Other 4% Hotels & restaurants 4% Transport, storage & com. 3% Financial intermediation 1% 1% 0% 2% 2% 0% 3% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Angus residents working in Angus 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% Angus residents working outwith Angus Figure 7 shows that 19% of Angus’s 47,566 employed residents work in ‘mining & quarrying; manufacturing; electricity, gas & water supply’, of which one third travel to work outside Angus. ‘Wholesale and retail’ and ‘health and social work’ are the next largest industries for residents – in both cases 71% of employees work locally. Angus migration and commuting patterns Figure 8 below compares the occupations of Angus residents working locally and in-commuters to the area. Figure 8: Angus workforce by occupation and place of residence, 2001. Large employers & higher managerial occ. 2% 3% Higher professional occ. 1% 1% Lower managerial & professional occ. 19% Intermediate occ. 10% Small employers & own account workers 5% 2% 1% 12% Lower supervisory & technical occ. 10% 1% Semi-routine occ. 17% Routine occ. 2% 14% 0% 5% 1% 10% 15% Angus residents working in Angus 20% 25% 30% Non-Angus residents working in Angus Figure 8 shows that in-commuters account for a relatively small proportion of all occupational groups working in Angus. In-commuters represent the largest share of employment in largeemployers & higher managerial occupations (accounting for one-third of jobs) and higher professional occupations where they fill one-quarter of jobs. Figure 9 below compares the occupations of Angus residents working locally and those outcommuting. Figure 9: Angus residents by occupation and place of employment, 2001. Large employers & higher managerial occ. 1% 2% Higher professional occ. 2% 3% Lower managerial & professional occ. 15% Intermediate occ. 7% Small employers & own account workers 5% 10% Lower supervisory & technical occ. 10% 1% 8% 4% Semi-routine occ. 13% Routine occ. 4% 11% 0% 5% 3% 10% Angus residents working in Angus 15% 20% 25% 30% Angus residents working outwith Angus Figures 8 and 9 show that the overall occupational profiles of Angus’s workforce and residents are very similar with lower managerial and professional occupations representing the largest industries for both groups. A higher proportion of residents employed in larger and higher managerial occupations and higher professional occupations travel outwith the area to work than work in Angus. Angus migration and commuting patterns Figures 10 and 11 below show in and out-commuting by gender. Figure 10: In-commuters by gender, 2001. Figure 11: Out-commuters by gender, 2001. Female, 41% Female, 43% Male, 57% Male, 59% Figure 10 and 11 show that a clear majority of commuters are male. However, females represent a slightly higher percentage of in-commuters (43%) than out-commuters (41%). Figures 12 and 13 show in and out-commuting by age. Figure 12: In-commuters by age-group, 2001. Figure 13: Out-commuters by age-groups, 2001. Aged 16-24, 10% Aged 16-24, 12% Aged 25-29, 10% Aged 25-29, 10% Aged 45-74, 37% Aged 45-74, 38% Aged 30-44, 41% Aged 30-44, 42% Figures 12 and 13 shows that a clear majority of commuters are aged 30+. In general the age profiles are very similar for in and out-commuters. Figure 14 below shows commuting by mode of transport for residents working in Angus, residents out-commuting to their place of work and in-commuters to Angus. Figure 14: Commuters by mode of transport, 2001. 100% 90% 2% 5% 11% 9% 12% 9% Foot/bicycle 28% 80% 70% 60% 9% Carpassenger/taxi 4% 50% 40% 30% 75% 77% Bus/train 59% 20% Car/motorcycle 10% 0% Angus Out-commuters from Angus In-commuters Figure 14 shows that 59% of Angus residents travelling to work within Angus do so by car (as a driver) and 9% travel by bus or train. Of all out-commuters, 3 out of 4 drive to work and only 11% use a bus or train. The modes of transport used by in and out-commuters are very similar. Angus migration and commuting patterns ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Table 7: Change in total and working-age population in Angus, 1998-2003. Angus 1998 2003 Change 1998-2003 Total population 109,800 107,500 -2,300 -2.1% Working-age population 67,600 (62%) 65,800 (61%) -1,800 -2.7% Source: Mid-year estimates, General Register Office (GRO) Scotland Table 8: Angus residents by place of birth, 2001. Place of birth % Scotland 88.3% England 8.2% Wales 0.3% Northern Ireland 0.5% Republic of Ireland 0.2% Other EU countries 0.7% Elsewhere 1.8% Source: Census 2001 Table 9: Job density5 in Angus, 2002. 2002 Angus 0.69 East of Scotland 0.86 Scotland 0.82 Source: Office of National Statistics (ONS) Table 10: Claimant count rate, November 2004. Claimant count Angus 2.8% East of Scotland 2.3% Scotland 2.7% Source: Claimant Register, Nomis Table 11: Resident and workplace based gross weekly earnings, 2003. Workplace Resident based based Angus £362.8 £322.3 East of Scotland £374.0 £372.7 Scotland £367.2 £365.8 Source: Nomis: New Earnings Survey, 2004. 5 Ratio of filled jobs to working-age residents