PM STRAUSS & ASSOCIATES Energy and Environmental Consulting TO: FROM: DATE: SUBJ: MEMORANDUM Lenny Siegel Peter Strauss June 22, 2012 Review of the Draft Groundwater Feasibility Study and Draft Plume Clean-up Timeline Evaluation Background The EPA has required the MEW Responsible Parties, the Navy and NASA to prepare a Focused Feasibility Study (FFS) for Groundwater. In part, purpose the of this study is to take a hard look at the groundwater remedy that was developed pursuant to the 1989 Record of Decision, and adapt the remedy so that it would be more protective, and could take advantage of new technologies and methods that would hasten the clean-up effort. In addition, as a result of the 2010 Vapor Intrusion ROD Amendment, a new remedial action objective (RAO) was established for the groundwater remedy. This new RAO states: “Accelerate the reduction of the source of vapor intrusion (i.e., Site contaminants in shallow groundwater and soil gas) to levels that are protective of current and future building occupants, such that the need for a vapor intrusion remedy would be minimized or no longer be necessary.” An earlier memo from CPEO was addressed to EPA in 2011 recommending the criteria to be used in this FS. The memo states: “The community, represented by the Community Advisory Board and Center for Public Environmental Oversight believes that new Feasibility Study and remedy selection should focus on the following: In areas with high mass In areas that continue to act as a source In areas that reduce the need for long-term Vapor Intrusion mitigation Where the detectable plume encroaches on residential areas, schools and other sensitive uses In areas that enable reasonable future use of the property.’ Two weeks ago, we received a Preliminary Draft Supplemental Site-wide Groundwater Feasibility Study and a Draft Plume Cleanup Time Evaluation for the Middlefield-EllisWhisman Superfund Study Area. This memo is a review and analysis of these documents, followed by some suggestions and questions concerning the reports’ contents. 1 Two Tables with background information concerning the current Groundwater Extraction and Treatment Systems at MEW and Moffett are appended at the end of this memo. In addition, Figures provided in the Annual Report Memo, can be of help in understanding this memo and draft Feasibility Study. Groundwater Feasibility Study A Feasibility Study (FS) is intended to define the options for cleaning up contamination. In the case of this Focused Feasibility Study (FFS), it is intended to supplement the FS that was prepared in the late 1980s to incorporate new techniques and technologies that could be more effective than had previously been considered. In addition, two additional factors were incorporated into this FFS. The first was that an additional Remedial Action Objective that was established in conjunction with the 2010 Vapor Intrusion ROD, which states: Accelerate the reduction of the source of vapor intrusion (i.e., Site contaminants in shallow groundwater and soil gas) to levels that are protective of current and future building occupants, such that the need for a vapor intrusion remedy would be minimized or no longer be necessary. The second has been the addition of 1,4-dioxane to the list of Chemicals of Concern (COC), as well as deleting several COCs that are no longer a concern because of infrequent low detections. 1,4-dioxane was commonly used as a stabilizer for another industrial solvent, 1,1,1-TCA. It has been detected above the NPDES permit requirements (3 μg/L). There is no MCL for 1,4-dioxane and 1 μg/L was selected as the cleanup goal for the site. 1,4-dioxane, which is more mobile than TCE, is present in groundwater throughout the plume at relatively low concentrations. The maximum concentration of 1,4-dioxane detected in on-site monitoring wells between 2002 and 2009 is 24 μg/L in a sample located within the slurry wall at the former Raytheon site. A monitoring well with a concentration of 20 g/L has also been found North of 101. 1,4-dioxane does not present a potential vapor intrusion risk due to its low potential to volatilize from groundwater. The primary pathway of concern for 1,4-dioxane is ingestion. Given the need to address the vapor intrusion RAO by accelerating groundwater cleanup, EPA developed an overall strategy for cleanup of the plume. This strategy involves aggressively targeting certain areas of the plume based on the concentration of the CVOCs within the shallow A/A1 Zone. EPA has defined these targeted areas to include former source areas and high concentration areas (i.e., greater than 1,000 μg/L). As additional information is collected during implementation of the vapor intrusion remedy and additional data is obtained during further site characterization, EPA may revise the definition of the areas requiring targeted cleanup. Four broad categories of technologies were considered in the FS. Only those that were included are summarized below. In-situ oxidation and reduction (redox) treatment. These include three in-situ technologies, which are briefly described below. Each of the technologies has been pilot tested at various facility-specific source areas at the Site as described below. 2 ISCO is generally applied in high concentration areas where conditions are aerobic or only mildly reducing and there is little chemical oxidant demand from reduced species. ISCO does not generally form any undesirable intermediate degradation products such as vinyl chloride but can mobilize naturally occurring metals present in subsurface soil. It must come into contact with the contaminant to be effective. This is difficult in less permeable zones. Enhanced reductive dechlorination (ERD) is a form of in situ bioremediation in which a carbon source such as lactate, molasses, or vegetable oil is injected into the subsurface to “feed” the microbial populations that metabolize chlorinated compounds. In some cases, the native microorganisms are unable to metabolize cis-1, 2-DCE and/or vinyl chloride, leading to potential accumulation of these compounds. In such cases, the carbon substrate can be augmented with microorganisms capable of completing the reductive dechlorination sequence through ethene. The distribution of carbon substrate within the subsurface can be enhanced by hydrofracturing or pumping and recirculation. ERD does not require direct contact between the carbon substrate and the contaminant. In-situ abiotic dechlorination using ZVI (zero-valent iron) entails the reduction of chlorinated compounds that occur as ZVI placed into the subsurface is oxidized. Intermediate degradation products such as DCE and vinyl chloride do not generally persist with ZVI treatment. However, ZVI must be in direct contact with the target contaminants as is the case with ISCO. Treatability studies using a combination of a carbon substrate and ZVI (EHC®), have been conducted at the Navy Sites 26 and 28. The pilot test results indicate that injection of ZVI can be significantly more difficult to control than injection of carbon substrates (ERD), but where ZVI injection is successful, appropriate reducing conditions may be maintained for a longer period. Extraction, removal, treatment and disposal. This includes the current system and the optimized groundwater extraction system. Most of the treated water is discharged into Stevens Creek. If discharge is significantly reduced, there may be ecological effects in Stevens Creek, but I expect that the system will find equilibrium after some time. Subsurface barriers. Permeable Reactive Barriers (PRBs) are installed downgradient from or in the flow path of a contaminant plume. Contaminants in the plume react with the media inside the barrier to either break the compound down into harmless products or immobilize contaminants. This technology is a passive system that requires no pumping. The most common of the permeable barrier walls is the Iron Treatment Wall, using ZVI. PRB-like treatment zones also can be installed to depths as great as 100 ft or more. Monitored natural attenuation (MNA). Several lines of evidence suggest that natural attenuation processes are occurring in certain portions of plume. MNA is a system that monitors these processes to ensure that they are proceeding as expected. MNA was retained as a viable technology to be used in conjunction with other technologies. MNA would not be implemented in residential or commercial areas if there is an existing risk or potential increase in risk for vapor intrusion. When evaluating a transition from an active remedy to MNA, the following general process would be followed: Identify potentially applicable area for MNA transition 3 Complete MNA analysis based on lines of evidence criteria Prepare a plan for MNA implementation and demonstration Obtain EPA concurrence on the approach Implement MNA Document VOC loss Document indirect (geochemistry) or direct (biological) evidence supporting natural biodegradation processes Estimate time to achieve RAOs under MNA Document that vertical and downgradient containment is in place during MNA demonstration Five alternatives using these technologies were developed in order to provide comparisons among the alternatives. It should be noted that the alternatives are best on conceptual designs. The configuration of the alternative components such as the location and number of extraction wells, the area for in-situ redox treatment, and location of PRBs will likely be modified during the remedial design of the selected remedy. The five alternatives are listed below: Alternative 1: Existing Groundwater Treatment System Alternative 2: Optimized Groundwater Treatment System Alternative 3: Optimized Groundwater Treatment System and MNA Alternative 4: Targeted In Situ Redox Treatment, Optimized Groundwater Treatment System, and MNA Alternative 5: Targeted In Situ Redox Treatment, PRBs, Optimized Groundwater Treatment System, and MNA These are summarized below, with the exception of alternative 1. Alternative 2 – Optimized Groundwater Extraction and Treatment System (GWET) The GWET systems would be optimized to improve mass recovery by installing additional wells and modifying pumping rates. Wells would also be installed in areas specified for targeted cleanup and medium concentrations areas of the plume, where additional extraction would likely improve mass recovery. The optimization goal for improved mass recovery is an approximate doubling of the extracted contaminant mass in targeted areas, compared with the 2009/2010 mass recovery rates. It is estimated that this alternative will reduce the high concentrations in the targeted areas approximately 30% more in the first decade as compared to the current remedy (alternative 1). Alternative 3 – Optimized GWET and MNA This alternative includes a transition to MNA from the optimized GWET if it is demonstrated that MNA is capable of achieving the RAOs in specific areas of the plume. Specifically, the alternative would consist of the following: GWET systems would be optimized to improve mass recovery in high and medium concentration areas and to achieve complete hydraulic containment of the regional plume, except where MNA is demonstrated. The target for improved mass recovery is the same as alternative 2. Some portions of the plume are assumed to already have sufficient lines of 4 evidence to warrant entering a MNA demonstration phase, reducing the number of extraction wells. Optimized GWET systems would operate until groundwater COCs are reduced to a concentration where sufficient evidence demonstrates that subsequent passive treatment using MNA would be capable of meeting the RAOs within a reasonable timeframe and it is determined that there is no risk from vapor intrusion into overlying buildings. Alternative 4 – Targeted In Situ Redox Treatment, Optimized GWET, and MNA In this alternative, all high-concentration areas in the A/A1 Zone (concentrations exceeding 1,000 μg/L) and facility-specific source areas (low to medium concentration areas) would be treated with any of the three in situ redox technologies (ISCO, ERD, ZVI), except where it is demonstrated that those technologies are infeasible. In those situations, optimized GWET will be utilized. It is estimated that this alternative will reduce the high concentrations in the targeted area approximately 50% more in the first decade as compared to the current remedy (alternative 1). In the lower aquifer zones, where high-concentration areas are more extensive and the concern about vapor intrusion does not apply, in-situ redox technologies would be targeted only at facility-specific source areas with high residual concentrations. The extent of these treatment areas would be determined during the remedial design. For purposes of this FS, it is assumed that approximately 15 percent of the facility-specific source areas shown on the conceptual design figures would ultimately require treatment by in-situ redox technologies. Groundwater within the remaining regional plume (all aquifer zones) would be hydraulically contained and treated using optimized GWET. Active treatment and hydraulic containment may be transitioned to MNA when and if sufficient evidence demonstrates, and ongoing monitoring confirms, that natural attenuation processes are capable of meeting the RAOs within a reasonable timeframe. Alternative 5 – Targeted In Situ Redox Treatment, PRBs, Optimized GWET, and MNA For Alternative 5, one facility-specific PRB and three regional PRBs would be installed. The facility-specific PRB would be installed in the A/A1 Zone only at the former Vishay facility, to treat residual contamination following in situ treatment. The regional PRBs would be installed in both the A/A1 Zone and the B1/A2 Zone in the following areas: (1) on the north side of Highway 101 (mid-plume PRB); (2) on Moffett Field along Wescoat Road (Wescoat PRB); and (3) on Moffett Field along King Road (downgradient PRB). Costs Estimates Costs estimates are based on a 50-year time period. The current system (without sunk costs being accounted for) is estimated to cost $131 million. Alternative 2 (optimized system) is estimated to cost $162 million. Alternative 3 (optimized system with MNA) is estimated to cost $89 million. Alternative 4 (in-situ redox, optimized system, MNA) is estimated to cost $141 million. Alternative 5 (in-situ redox, PRBs, optimized system, MNA) is estimated to cost $171 million. The following table provides some insight into the assumptions about cost, and I assume, the model development. It provides the number of extraction wells that would be required under each alternative. Of note is that in alternative 5, 80 extraction wells are assumed to 5 be shut down within the first 10 years. There is not much difference between alternatives 3 and 4 – they both have a marked decrease in the number of operating wells after 10 and 20 years. I assume that these assumptions are carried through in developing the model to evaluate plume cleanup time. Alternative 1 2 3 4 5 Number of Extraction Wells Assumed by Alternative Time period Time period Time period Time period 0 - 10 11 - 20 21 - 30 31 - 40 100 99 92 89 112 111 103 100 98 42 30 29 88 32 23 22 20 20 18 18 Time period 41 - 50 88 N/A 29 22 18 Plume Cleanup Time Evaluation A plume model was constructed to evaluate both cleanup times and mass removal rates for each of the alternative. The results did not indicate a clear advantage of one alternative over others with respect to the time required for the plume to meet MCLs, which is projected to be centuries under all alternatives. This is primarily because the model simulates the lasting effects of matrix diffusion (the process by which contaminants are desorbed slowly from low transmissive zones to high transmissive zones). Matrix diffusion becomes the dominant driver of lengthy cleanup times even with aggressive treatments in high concentration areas. However, there are positive results in mass removal rates for some alternatives. In developing the model, the authors were careful not to overstate the accuracy of these models. The report states that when “making relative comparisons of cleanup times between the alternatives considered, the clean-up time estimates should not be expected to be reliable much beyond one significant figure (e.g. a clean-up time estimates of 20 or 24 years should be viewed as effectively the same, and clean-up time estimates of 200 and 240 years should likewise be viewed as effectively the same). “ The authors also observe that there is not a proven model that fits the regional plume, in part because of the heterogeneity of the subsurface. They also note that simulations of each alternative reflect the estimated cleanup time assuming that each technology is successful at achieving its intended performance goals. The authors attempt to model the plume by breaking parts of the subsurface into cells or boxes, and modeling what is understood about the subsurface. The boxes were placed within each aquifer zone into one or more longitudinal “strips” running parallel to the groundwater flow direction. For example, in the A-aquifer zone, there are 21 boxes transecting the entire plume midway from south to north, and 5 boxes on the eastern edge. However, there are no boxes on the western portion of the plume with high concentrations. For B1-aquifer zone, the boxes seem to intersect highest concentration areas. For the B2-aquifer zone, boxes intersect the western and eastern portions of the plume, and south of 101. The same boxes were used to evaluate cleanup times for each of the alternatives. 6 I will not spend too much time analyzing the assumptions in the model, except to say that many are questionable. The model assumes that all alternatives are implemented at once, which is not realistic. I assume, although it was not specifically stated in the text of the model report, that the number of wells in the cost estimate was carried through to the model. Because only certain portions of the plume are modeled, and the results are generalized for the entire plume, the model provides only a “best guess”, and should not be relied upon except to provide a broad framework in which to analyze the alternatives. Analysis This is a very general set of alternatives. In practice, each strategy, if selected, would be implemented over a period of years, and the actual end-result may look quite different than any of the alternatives chosen. There would likely be multiple pilot tests and treatability studies for alternatives 3, 4 and 5 over a number of years, which are not reflected in the model. It is important to note that the model described in the Draft Plume Cleanup Time Evaluation indicated significant short-term reductions in high concentrations areas in the A/A1-aquifer zone. This zone is most relevant for vapor intrusion. The model, no matter how imperfect, indicates a clear advantage for using in-situ redox (alternative 4) than with other techniques. For example, TCE concentrations in high concentration zones are predicted to be reduced by 53% in 10 years. By comparison, alternatives 2 and 3 reduce TCE concentrations from by 32% in the first 10 years. Alternative 4 also results in more TCE concentration reductions compared to Alternatives 2, 3 and 5 for the 50-year and 100-year timeframes. However, I found it difficult to determine how performance goals were established and much they were influenced by modeling results, or conversely, if the performance goals were established and the model plugged them in. For alternative 3, 4, and 5, there is no clear concentration level at which point the optimized extraction system is transitioned to passive treatment using MNA. It is worth noting that Site 26 at Moffett (a site not within the regional groundwater study area), concentrations of VOCs are lower than 100 g/L and the remedial process us continuing. Also, note that MNA will be applied only in cases where there is no risk from vapor intrusion into overlying buildings. The model results for alternative 5 are somewhat counter-intuitive: TCE concentrations are predicted to increase during the first 10-year period. This is because the model assumes that contaminants desorbed from the matrix would migrate with groundwater flow until treatment by the permeable reactive barriers. That assumes that the PRBs would be constructed at one time and 80% of the extraction wells would be turned off in the first 10 years. Additionally, the locations of the four PRBs, 3 of which transect the plume from east to west, do not have a basis that is explained in the FS. A slurry wall/PRB was not retained for further review. The reasoning was that repairing a damaged wall if this did not work would be too expensive. I think that this is a mistake: the upstream side of at least one of the existing slurry walls could be retrofitted without a requirement that it be retrofitted. The downstream side of the slurry wall would remain intact. Although this is an unproven configuration, I do not believe that it presents too much of a risk. The slurry walls are over 30 years old, and they are showing signs of age: that is they are not fully containing the plume within the walls. Therefore, the optimized 7 system had to add additional capture wells downstream from the walls downstream portions of the walls. On the other hand, it is difficult for the community to recommend a solution, which in the view of the proponents, carries a significant financial risk. Recommendations I have the following recommendations: The Groundwater FS should be integrated with the vapor intrusion remedy. There is no integration of these reports with the vapor intrusion sampling data or the proposed vapor intrusion remedies. Eventually, as there is a set of complete indoor samples for the site, we would like to see this data integrated into the remedy selection decision. All Community Criteria should be addressed in the FS. Several of the Community Criteria are not considered in the remedies. These criteria were listed at the beginning of this memo and will not be repeated. Criteria concerning high mass reduction and source areas are addressed. However, residential areas, facilities housing sensitive populations and areas where there is likely to be future development are not addressed. These areas may entail additional monitoring in low-concentration areas near residential areas, and additional extraction wells near low concentration areas and areas with sensitive receptors, such as schools. The conceptual design for the optimized system may need adjustment to address these areas. No final decisions should be based on the model without other supporting documentation. The Draft Plume Time Evaluation Report should only be used to develop a comparative framework to evaluate the efficacy of the various alternatives. It should not be determinative. The model assumes that the remedies would be implemented overnight, and this should be modified with professional judgment. Professional judgment would give us a more realistic cleanup time evaluation. The community should support alternative 4 (in-situ redox plus optimized system and MNA). Alternative 4 is clearly preferable in terms of removing mass more quickly than other alternatives. The use of a slurry wall combined with a PRB should be reconsidered. As described above, I don’t believe that this carries a high risk ($) of failure if done prudently. If this is successful, other applications could greatly enhance the effectiveness of the remedy, and may result in a decrease in long-term costs. MNA should not be considered until concentrations reach 50 μg/L. The transition from active remediation to MNA must be more definitive than is described in the document. Because the Navy is required to continue to treat concentrations below 100 μg/L and more often below 50 μg/L, setting a higher level will cause inequity. If this recommendation is adopted, both the Feasibility Study and the Model must be re-evaluated to make sure that the conceptual design is within keeping of this recommendation. Questions and Suggestions 8 1. Please add a figure with conceptual layout for each alternative within an aquifer zone on one page for comparison. 2. Please add a figure in the FS of plume time series (10 – 20 - 30 yrs. Etc) for each alternative. Note that this is already presented in the Time Evaluation. 3. Please explain the logic behind the placement of the PRBs in text. See Figure 413 for reference. 4. Please add a figure for the A-aquifer zone plume and overlying buildings and proposed projects of concern. This should include recent VI sampling results. 5. Please provide an explanation of why was 1,000 μg/L selected as the target concentration. Is it due to attenuation factors or some other reason? 6. Please explain if, in the description of Alternative 4, where it is stated that: ”It is estimated that this alternative will reduce the high concentrations in the targeted area approximately 50% more in the first decade...” is driven by the model simulation or was arrived at independently? 7. The distribution of 1,4-dioxane in groundwater at the Site is shown on Figure 2-1. It would be helpful to have an additional figure depicting contour lines of this plume, using the most recent data available. 8. Although mentioned as a new chemical of concern, treatment of 1,4-dioxane is not addressed in any of the alternatives. Please confirm that it is EPA’s intent to allow this contaminant to go untreated. 9. Please explain why the TCE cleanup goal of 0.8 μg/L for deep wells has been removed from Table 2-3 in the FS? 10. We would like some additional explanation of the conclusion that multi-phase extraction was not retained. Soil cleanup standards were established at 3 orders of magnitude greater than groundwater standards. We have been unable to find the source of these standards, and the vapor intrusion pathway has been identified after soil standards were established. For this reason, these standards were questionable. We have seen very good results with multiphase extraction at other sites. 11. We suggest using environmental molecular diagnostic tools, such as compoundspecific isotope analysis and qPCR to learn about rates of attenuation, what factors are contributing and the application of both biotic and abiotic enhancements, and the transition to MNA. (See ITRC EMD publications). 12. There is no analysis of potential ecological effects of the various alternatives. For example, if groundwater extraction and treatment systems significantly reduce capacity, would there be any ecological effects along Stevens Creek? Is there a need for a biological assessment when a remedy is chosen? 13. Do the in-situ redox alternatives include hydrofracturing or pumping and recirculation to enhance the distribution of carbon substrate within the subsurface? 9 14. How is the no action alternative defined in the Plume Time Evaluation Report? Table 1 does not coincide with the Alternatives at the beginning of the report. All figures in this report may need to be changed or clarified. 15. Please explain how performance goals for each alternative were established. Did modeling results influence them, or was there other information that was used? If other information, please explain. 16. Table 6 in the Draft Plume Time is mislabeled – it has two sub tables labeled the same, latter should be B2 zone. Appended Tables Groundwater Extraction and Treatment System Summary Extraction Wells 9 10 15 8 N/A 3 2 8 Pounds of VOCs Removed in 2010 351 234 274 581 N/A 3.4 1.5 149 MEW Regional Program S101 MEW Regional Program N101 Navy WATS 10 458 15 544 9 306 NASA Ames TOTAL 3 3.4 2,624 Facility Fairchild (System 1) Fairchild (System 3) Fairchild (System 19) Raytheon Intel* SMI NEC/ Renesas Vishay/SUMCO Treatment GAC GAC GAC Oxidation/GAC Bioremediation GAC None UV/Oxidation/airstripper GAC Air-stripper/vaporphase GAC Oxidation/GAC GAC Discharge Location Stevens Crk Stevens Crk Stevens Crk Stevens Crk N/A Stevens Crk Sanitary Sewer Stevens Crk Stevens Crk Stevens Crk Moffett storm drain Stevens Crk Depth Intervals Zone A or A1 or Upper A B1 or A2 or Lower A B2 B3 C Deep Aquifers Approximate Depth Interval Below Ground Surface 0 to 45 feet 50 to 75 feet 75 to 110 feet 120 to 160 feet 200 to 240 feet > 240 feet 10