Second Quarter 2015 Report Implementing Agency: Zambia Meteorological Department (ZMD) Project Title: Strengthening climate information and early warning systems in Eastern and Southern Africa for climate resilient development and adaptation to climate change – Zambia Project Number: 00086729 Project Start Date: Project End Date: Original: 2013 Original: 2017 Actual: 2014 Actual: 2017 Fiscal Year: 2015 Reporting Period: 01 April to 30 June 2015 Project Budget (US$) for the Reporting Period (Use annual budgets in quarterly reports): Original Budget (USD) Latest Signed Revision (USD) Core/Trac Resources (UNDP): Donor 1 (Name): GEF Donor 2 (Name): ………………………… Donor 3 (Name): ...................................... Government: ............................................ Total Budget (US$): 1,936,672.00 1,936,672.00 1,936,672.00 1,936,672.00 Submission Date: 15 July 2015 Contact Details (IP): Name of Contact Staff: Position of Contact Staff: Address: Contact Telephone Number: Contact Email: Jacob Nkomoki Director Haile Selassie Avenue, P.O. Box 30200, Lusaka +260 211 251912 jnkomoki@gmail.com Page 1 of 10 Contact Details (UNDP): Name of Contact Staff: Position of Contact Staff: Address: Contact Telephone Number: Contact Email: Winnie Musonda Energy and Environment Advisor Alick Nkhata Avenue, P. O. Box 31966, Lusaka +260 211 386200 winnie.musonda@undp.org 1. Executive Summary As the project’s key result for 2015 is to improve the availability of climate information, this year’s follows: are centered on procuring and installing the necessary equipment to enhance the activities From the outset, the project quantity and quality of weather data collected by ZMD. t effect, the procurement processes for automatic weather stations and for instruments To this required at the manual weather stations are both near completion. For the automatic weather stations, UNDP Procurement Support Office (PSO) has made arrangements for ZMD to be able to make use of an existing long-term agreement with Adcon Telemetry, to order directly from them. This is a great benefit to ZMD, as 31 of ZMD’s current 32 AWSs were supplied by Adcon Telemetry. Once ordered, the delivery time is 12 weeks; thus, the AWSs are likely to be received at the end of the third quarter. Site selection and preparation are to be done within the third quarter to ensure that the sites are ready for installation when the equipment arrives. From the 2. Background and Purpose of Programme/Project quotation received, it is evident that a downward adjustment of the budget for AWSs by USD 500,000 should be effected. For the instruments required at the manual weather stations, a supplier has been selected and an order is soon to be issued. The delivery period is 14 weeks; thus, the instruments are likely to be received within the early weeks of the fourth quarter of 2015. Thus, by the end of 2015, the target of having installed 28 AWSs and rehabilitated all of the existing stations is likely to be met. The second meeting of the CIEWS task team (comprising representatives from all the implementing entities, namely Zambia Meteorological Department (ZMD), Disaster Management and Mitigation Unit (DMMU), Department of Water Affairs (DWA), Water Resources Management Authority (WaRMA), Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock (MAL), Central Statistical Office (CSO), Environment and Natural Resources Management Department (ENRMD), and the Interim InterMinisterial Climate Change Secretariat (ICCS)) was held on 15-16 April 2015 to review the project activities and outcomes in order to align them with current national priorities. The revised activity and output list is appended hereto as Annex I. Furthermore, the national task team reviewed the questionnaires that the baseline study consultants had prepared for the surveys of rural households, urban households, district and provincial disaster management committees, and climate-sensitive businesses. The CIEWS project baseline study is to be concluded by 31 July 2015. Surveys were undertaken in the quarter under review, in order to develop a national snapshot on the current status of climate information systems and early warning systems in the country, and provide a basis for monitoring and evaluation of the CIEWS project. Terms of Reference and an advertisement for a communications consultancy were issued in the quarter under review. The consultants’ ToR is to develop a CIEWS communication strategy and to facilitate national climate outlook forums in Lusaka and the three EWS pilot districts, to give a detailed forecast of the 2015-2016 rainy season. Page 2 of 10 2. Background and Purpose of Project UNDP-GEF’s Multi-country Support Programme to Strengthen Climate Information for Resilient Development and Adaptation to Climate Change in Africa (CIRDA) comprises 11 country-led projects that focus on strengthening climate information and early warning systems (CIEWS) for climate resilient development and adaptation to climate change in Africa. The fundamental problem in Zambia that this project seeks to address is that coordinated and complete climate information systems and early warning systems are weak. This limits the effectiveness of longterm development planning and the delivery of timely climate/weather-related warnings to key sectors and communities vulnerable to climate change impacts, such as increase in frequency and intensity of floods and droughts. The project outcomes are: • Outcome 1: Enhanced capacity of ZMD to monitor and forecast extreme weather events and climate change. • Outcome 2: Efficient and effective use of hydro-meteorological and environmental information for making early warnings and informing long-term development plans. The project outputs are: Output 1.1: 28 Automatic Weather Stations procured and installed, and 41 existing manual and automatic monitoring stations rehabilitated. Output 1.2: Weather and climate forecasting systems upgraded, including the installation of the required hardware and software and integration of satellite observations. Output 1.3: Capacity developed for operating and maintaining the climate observation network and related infrastructure including the training of 10 engineers, 10 technicians and local communities to maintain and repair meteorological equipment, computer infrastructure and telecommunications network. Output 1.4: Technical capacity of ZMD is developed to improve the production of standard and customized weather and climate forecasts and packaging meteorological data and information into a suitable format for user agencies and local community end-users. Output 2.1: Tailored, sector-specific weather and climate information made accessible to decision makers in government, private sector, civil society, development partners and local communities. Output 2.2: National capacity developed for assimilating weather and climate information into existing national policies, development plans and disaster management systems. Output 2.3: Communication channels and procedures for issuing warnings are enabled at a national level, and implemented at a district level through the development of mobile phonebased alert platforms in the priority districts of Chipata, Gwembe and Sesheke. Output 2.4: Public-private partnership developed for sustainable financing of the operation and maintenance of the installed meteorological observation network. Page 3 of 10 3. Progress on Implementation of Activities (Quarterly based on agreed annual work plan) Main Activity Target Progress against planned activities and targets Planned Completion Date Implementation Status (Completed, Ongoing-On Track, Ongoing-Off Track & Cancelled) Reason (s) for slippage (if progress and implementation is not on track) and remedial measures taken ZMD Management and Provincial Meteorological Officers had a workshop to revise the list of priority districts for AWS installation. The next steps are physical site selection and preparation. The PMOs shall also submit revised lists of instruments missing from each manual station, so that a rehabilitation schedule can be prepared. UNDP PSO to order AWSs from Adcon Telemetry. A quotation has been received. Adcon’s recommendation for purchase of spare parts is under consideration. 1.1.1 Undertake a systematic analysis of existing synoptic agrometeorological, climatic and rainfall stations to determine gaps in coverage and priority stations for rehabilitation. This will include an identification of the location where AWSs will be installed within the priority districts List of priority districts revised. Order of priority for station rehabilitation established. Condition of existing stations analysed and sites for new AWSs selected Collation of information on all existing weather station operated by ZMD and other institutions is ongoing 30 June 2015 Ongoing-On Track 1.1.2 Procure and install 28 AWSs in the priority districts including solar panels, batteries and GPRS modem for data transmission Procurement of 28 AWSs finalized 30 June 2015 Ongoing-On Track 1.1.3 Rehabilitate / upgrade the 41 existing meteorological stations (including 2 AWSs and 39 manual stations) Instruments for rehabilitation of manual stations procured CIRDA arranged with PSO to make use of WFP’s existing LTA with Adcon Telemetry. Specifications submitted to UNDP CO to be passed on to PSO. Bids evaluated and supplier selected 30 June 2015 Ongoing-On Track The procurement process is currently with the Regional Service Centre, as the amount involved exceeds the Country Office threshold. Budget & Expenditure Monitoring Framework Budget (USD) Expenditure (USD) Expenditure (%) 13,325.00 4,763.00 36% 1,022,000.00 0.00 0% 288,600.00 5,244.00 2% Page 4 of 10 1.2.2 Upgrade and update the national ZMD Database from CLICOM to CLIMSOFT CLIMSOFT Training conducted. ZMD Database migrated from CLICOM to CLIMSOFT 1.3.4 Implement an awareness raising campaign, led by the local meteorological officer, in local communities situated close to installed and rehabilitated stations on the importance/benefits of installed equipment 1.4.1 Train: i) 4 senior climatologists (based in Lusaka); ii) 20 analysts (2 in each province);iii) 28 weather forecasters (1 per AWS installed); and iv) 3 researchers based at UNZA on state-of-the-art regionspecific weather and climate forecasting including the use of observed data, forecasting stations and data storage and information management systems 30 June 2015 Ongoing-On Track These funds could be used to hold a training course on CLIMAT reporting instead. This is under discussion. 2,500.00 0.00 0% Publication of CIEWS brochure SASSCAL project (co-financing) is providing Climsoft installation and training at ZMD. The CIEWS project has provided 5 computers for Climsoft installation. Draft brochure finalised for printing 30 June 2015 Ongoing – On Track The printing company has committed to delivering the brochures by end of July 2015 2,000.00 740.00 37% Sponsorship of 12 ZMD staff to study Diploma in Weather Forecasting College fees and student allowances paid for second term 30 June 2015 Completed College fees and allowances for the second term have been paid. 43,250.00 24,400.00 56% Page 5 of 10 2.1.1 Undertake a comprehensive assessment of existing, tailored (if any)climate information available to the agricultural, water and energy, health and other climate-sensitive sectors – including information exchange mechanisms, communication channels and dissemination mechanisms between ZMD, user agencies and endusers – to establish best practices, gaps and opportunities for streamlining and collaboration on data-use and -sharing. 2.3.1 Develop a national weather and climate information and early warning system communication and coordination strategy. This will include SOPs for disseminating weather and climate information including alerts across all levels, e.g. community-level, local-level, state/province-level and national level 2.4.1 Undertake a review of the private sector demand for improved climate information in Zambia Baseline Study undertaken to verify the current status of CIEWS Complete baseline study 30 June 2015 Ongoing – On track The assignment shall be completed by 31 July 2015. 52,509.00 27,350.00 52% CIEWS household survey conducted in the three pilot districts A national household survey was conducted in 30 flood/droughtprone districts 30 June 2015 Completed The survey results are to be presented in the baseline study report. 15,000.00 28,860.00 >100% National CIEWS Communication and Coordination Strategy development ToR submitted to UNDP and consultancy advertised in the national newspapers 30 June 2015 Ongoing – On track The next step is evaluation of the proposals received. 15,000.00 2,297.00 15% Interview companies across a range of climate-sensitive sectors 8 companies across 4 sectors agriculture, insurance, construction and mining – were surveyed. 30 June 2015 Completed The findings from this survey are to be presented in the baseline study final report. 1,088.50 >100% 1,000.00 Page 6 of 10 4. Progress towards achievement of results Reporting period: 01 April – 30 June 2015 Output 1.1 28 Automatic Weather stations procured and installed, and 41 existing manual and automatic monitoring stations rehabilitated (as well as procurements of additional EWS components) 1.2 Weather and climate forecasting systems updated, including the installation of required hardware and software and integration of satellite observations Budget (USD) Expenditure (USD) Balance (USD) Expenditure (%) Remarks and recommendations 1,310,600.00 7,541.00 1,303,059.00 0.6% A supplier for the meteorological instruments has been selected and the order is to be placed soon. Automatic weather stations are to be procured via a long-term agreement with Adcon Telemetry. Specifications for the remaining EWS components have been finalised. 27,500.00 5,857.00 21,643.00 21% Computers have been distributed to all provincial meteorological offices and selected stations, for climate data management and weather forecasting purposes. Discussions are underway with the meteorological agencies in Uganda and Tanzania to host study visits, for the purpose of comparing the hardware and software in use. 1.3 Capacity developed for operating and maintaining the climate observation network and related infrastructure, including the training of 10 engineers, 10 technicians and local communities to maintain and repair meteorological equipment, computer infrastructure and telecommunications network 20,000.00 0.00 20,000.00 0% Two ZMD technicians and one engineer have been trained in AWS installation through the SASSCAL project (co-financing). More training will be conducted by Adcon during the installation of the 28 AWSs. Sponsorship to short training courses on repair of meteorological equipment, computer infrastructure and telecommunications network is to be done within the year. Page 7 of 10 1.4 Technical capacity of ZMD is developed to improve the production of standard and customized weather and climate forecasts and packaging meteorological data and information into a suitable format for user agencies and local community end-users 56,418.00 24,400.00 32,018.00 43% The sponsorship of 12 meteorological assistants to study the Diploma in Meteorology at ZASTI is on-going. The sponsorship for 4 ZMD staff to study BSc Climatology still underway. Candidates have been selected. ZMD to outline selection criteria and provide verified qualifications. 2.1 Tailored, sector-specific weather and climate information made accessible to decision makers in government, private sector, civil society, development partners and local communities. 52,509.00 27,350.00 25,159.00 52% The baseline survey covered a range of weather information users from various sectors, to understand their needs in terms of tailored weather information. Data analysis is underway and the final report will be delivered during Q3. 2.3 Communication channels and procedures for issuing warnings are enabled at a national level, and implemented at a district level through the development of mobile phone-based alert platforms in the priority districts of Chipata, Gwembe and Sesheke 15,000.00 2,297.00 12,703.00 15% The deadline for submission of proposals by prospective communications consultants was 30 June 2015. Thus, the consultants will be selected and appointed during Q3. 5,000.00 1,088.50 3911.50 22% Liaison with mobile service providers and insurance companies is on-going. There will also be engagement on this matter with MAL to understand the provisions for weather-index insurance in the revised draft Agricultural Policy. 2.4 Public-private partnership developed for sustainable financing of the operation and maintenance of the installed meteorological observation network Page 8 of 10 4. Next Quarter’s Work Plan Expected Output Main Activity Sub Activities Fund Source Budget Description 1.1 28 Automatic Weather stations procured and installed, and 41 existing manual and automatic monitoring stations rehabilitated 1.1.1 Undertake a systematic analysis of existing synoptic agrometeorological, climatic and rainfall stations to determine gaps in coverage and priority stations for rehabilitation. This will include an identification of the locations where AWSs will be installed within the priority districts Physical site selection and preparation in the selected districts GEF LDCF 75700 Workshop 1.1.2 Procure and install 28 AWSs in priority districts including solar panels, batteries and GPRS modems for data transmission Procurement of AWSs completed through the LTA with Adcon telemetry and orders placed for the remaining components of the EWS Instruments for rehabilitation of manual stations procured GEF LDCF 72300 Materials and Goods 522,000.00 GEF LDCF 72300 Materials and Goods 288,600.00 CLIMAT training for meteorological officers GEF LDCF 71300 Local Consultant Needs assessment of the forecasting center conducted, through study visits Sponsorship of 4 ZMD staff to study BSc Climatology at Mulungushi University GEF LDCF 75700 Training Workshops and Conferences 20,000.00 GEF LDCF 75700 Training, workshops and conferences 13,168.00 1.2 Weather and climate forecasting systems updated, including the installation of required hardware and software and integration of satellite observations 1.4 Technical capacity of ZMD is developed to improve the production of standard and customized weather and climate forecasts and packaging meteorological data and information into a suitable format for user agencies and local community 1.1.3 Rehabilitate / upgrade the 41 existing meteorological stations (including 2 AWSs and 39 manual stations) including procuring and replacing relevant instruments for manual stations, and sensors and data loggers for automated stations, as required 1.2.2 Upgrade and update the national ZMD Database from CLICOM to CLIMSOFT 1.2.4 Procure and install equipment including the hardware and software required for modern meteorological forecasting workstations at ZMD HQ 1.4.1 Train: i) 4 senior climatologists (based in Lusaka); ii) 20 analysts (2 in each province);iii) 28 weather forecasters (1 per AWS installed); and iv) 3 researchers based at UNZA on state-of-the-art region-specific weather and climate forecasting including the use of observed data, forecasting stations and data storage and information management systems Amount (USD) 12,100.00 2,500.00 Page 9 of 10 end-users 2.3 Communication channels and procedures for issuing warnings are enabled at a national level, and implemented at a district level through the development of mobile phone-based alert platforms in the priority districts of Chipata, Gwembe and Sesheke 2.3.1 Develop a national weather and climate information and early warning system communication and coordination strategy. This will include SOPs for disseminating weather and climate information including alerts across all levels, e.g. community-level, local-level, state/province-level and national level 2.3.5 Establish an Open Data Platform including server and software for SMS alert system, tailored to the priority districts of Chipata, Gwembe and Sesheke 2.3.6 Implement a two-way, SMSbased alert system in the priority districts of Chipata, Gwembe and Sesheke including community engagement, community training, inclusion of indigenous knowledge Engage communications consultants to draft strategy Hold consultative workshop on a draft CIEWS Communication and Coordination Strategy Zambia Emergency Preparedness and Response Information System (ZEPRIS) reactivated and tailored to the needs of key users in the three EWS pilot districts Agreements with mobile service providers signed and database established GEF LDCF 71300 Local Consultants 15,000.00 GEF LDCF 75700 Training Workshops and Conferences 2,450.00 GEF LDCF 71300 Local Consultants 5,000.00 GEF LDCF 72100 Contractual Services Companies 3,000.00 Signature (ZMD):_____________________________ Signature (UNDP):________________________ Name: ___________________________________ Name: __________________________________ Date: ____________________________________ Date: ___________________________________ Page 10 of 10