Knowledge, Technology and Changing Health Care Organization: Challenges & Converging Approaches in Modern Nations David Mechanic, Ph.D. Rutgers, the State University Institute for Health, Health Care Policy and Aging Research 30 College Avenue New Brunswick, NJ 08901-1293 Phone: (732) 932-8415; Fax: (732) 932-1253; Email: mechanic@rci.rutgers.edu Knowledge, Technology and Changing Health Care Organization: Challenges & Converging Approaches in Modern Nations A global economy, advances in biomedical science and technology and demographic changes all pose common challenges to modern nations planning for their futures. [Slide 1] Health science and scientific medical care are part of an international economy and worldwide medical culture increasingly made more cohesive by the accessibility and simplicity of mass communications that have revolutionized information acquisition. Educated populations in nations throughout the world readily learn of medical possibilities whether or not they or their nations can afford them. It is difficult to deny aspirations in matters affecting health and life itself, and this issue is the core of the dilemma facing not only developing nations but even the most advanced and richest nations of the world. Whether it be the provision of useful drugs to HIV positive pregnant women in South Africa or transplanted organs in more affluent nations, we all face the realities of economic constraints. Medical care is more than ever a world system not only in biomedical science and communication, but also in the ways in which medical developments are conceived and marketed. The history and culture of each community has an important role in the acceptance and use of varying approaches to health. But the nature of advances in science and technology, growing tensions between possibilities and cost, and demographic changes throughout the world with increasing longevity and falling fertility pose many shared challenges (Mechanic and Rochefort 1996). [Slide 2] Hong Kong is fortunate in being a wealthy region and one having attained health outcomes comparable to the most advanced nations. But, it too, shares these challenges and dilemmas. Throughout the world populations are aging, some much faster than others. Only about one-tenth of the Hong Kong population is presently 65 years and older in contrast to such countries as Japan, Italy, Germany and Sweden that have much higher proportions of elders. In just 15 years, the elderly subgroups in Japan and Italy will approach one-quarter of their populations. Hong Kong has a longer period to anticipate this kind of transformation but when its largest age cohorts, now ages 30-44, approach their older years, it too can anticipate challenging social changes. More important than the proportions of elderly are those of 80 years or more who we increasingly refer to as the old-old and the oldest-old. Persons in these age groups have more disabilities and limitations of function and 1 are more dependent than the younger old on family and community social supports. This old-old population is increasing in most countries, and with growing longevity typical of world populations, most can anticipate significant growth in more frail and more dependent individuals. Comparatively, Hong Kong is a youthful region with less than 125,000 people 80 or older in 1997 (Hong Kong Hospital Authority 2000), but this age group will also grow substantially in the coming decades. Health care costs for older populations are substantially higher than for other age groups and can pose economic challenges if the expensive medical interventions increasingly available are adopted (Schwartz 1998). Countries like the United States that have medicalized old age face greater difficulties in dealing with long-term care than countries like the Netherlands and Denmark that have more well developed social care models for frail elders. One way of accommodating elderly persons with significant limitations in performing usual activities is the nursing home, a residential facility providing nursing care 24 hours a day and assistance with daily living activities. Such facilities are used differently in varying nations and reliable comparisons across countries is difficult. A recent study of nursing homes in ten countries [Slide 3] ranging from Japan and Italy to the US and the UK (Ribbe et al. 1997) concluded that “...no relationship appears to exist between the ageing status of a nation and the number of nursing home beds available to its citizens or the rate of institutionalization...For example, Iceland, the youngest country in our study pool, has the highest institutionalization rate, while Sweden, the oldest country, has a low rate.” (p. 10) Many factors affect such patterns and culture has a powerful role. Traditionally, in almost all countries most of the responsibility fell on family members but throughout the world family size is decreasing, women are more involved in the workforce, divorce rates are higher and there is increased geographic mobility. Thus, even in countries with the strongest traditions of family responsibility, policy makers have had to explore alternatives. The preferences of the elderly themselves is a powerful force in many countries, and there is a strong wish of many elders to avoid institutional living. Thus, in the United States, nursing home admissions are falling despite increases in the oldest-old population (Bishop 1999). For example, nursing home rates per 1,000 population for the age groups 65-74, 75-84 and 85+ all declined between 1985 and 1995. Part of this trend reflects the strong value of maintaining as much independence as possible and receiving care in the least restrictive setting. Part reflects the better health and functioning of elders at varying ages (Manton et al. 1998). 2 New technologies also make it possible to provide many medical services in homelike settings. Thus we are witnessing substantial growth in new life care communities, assisted living facilities, supervised housing, board and care residences, adult day care, foster care, and a range of new integrated community programs. One important model for community care of persons with substantial limitations of function has been OnLok (Wiener and Skaggs 1995), an integrated long-term care program within the Chinese community in San Francisco. Policy makers in many countries with aging populations worry about the future maintenance of their retirement and social security systems as the proportions of retired persons grow relative to the size of the working population. Retirement in many countries occurs quite early relative to the length of life and data from various countries suggest that life is not only extended but also the elderly at any age are more robust and have greater functional capacity than in earlier periods (Singer and Manton 1998; Svanborg et al. 1986). Thus, there is much interest in extending the period in which people remain in the workforce, particularly in countries with low unemployment and the need for labor. Incentives embodied in retirement and pension systems in various countries have a powerful influence on the extent of employment of the elderly (Gruber and Wise 1999). [Slide 4] In Belgium, for example, almost no men are still working at age 65 and only about one-quarter of men are working at age 60. In contrast, 60% of Japanese men are still working at age 65 and 75% at age 60. In the age group 60-64, more than three-quarters of Japanese are still employed but in France and the Netherlands less than one-fifth are. The United States, the UK, New Zealand and Australia cluster around the 50% level. The important role of social policy here is abundantly clear. [Slide 5] Patterns of disease in modern nations have also changed remarkably with degenerative and behavioral factors taking precedence over infections and other communicable disease (Mechanic and Rochefort 1996). As in Hong Kong, major causes of death are now from cancer, cardiovascular and pulmonary disease. A large proportion of all deaths are preventable until old age if social, environmental and behavioral influences can be modified (McGinnis and Foege 1993). Major risks worldwide now come from smoking, poor nutrition, high risk-taking in sexual and other behaviors and accidents. Violence and suicide are also increasingly common causes of death reflecting high levels of psychological morbidity and distress and the erosion of family and community life (Desjarlais et al. 1995). Throughout the world, poverty is still the major determinant of ill health and mortality with tuberculosis, malaria, AIDS, and other communicable diseases taking an extraordinary toll in addition to the factors 3 already noted. The developed nations cannot be complacent about the traditional killers with the ubiquity of worldwide population movements and the growing number of antibiotic resistant infections associated with the casual use and misuse of antibiotics. There are many disease challenges but modern nations especially will have to give their attention to the prevention of disability and functional maintenance and restoration. Nations vary a great deal in the proportion of GNP devoted to health care. The United States is at one extreme at 14% of GNP. By world standards, Hong Kong’s 5% is modest but it still faces the issue of how best to respond to the growing expectations and demands for health care. The potential is there to spend much more, but such increases must be weighed against opportunities in other valued areas. The fact that a region attains favorable rates of infant mortality and adult longevity is noteworthy but this has more to do with overall standards of living than with medical care. The value of medical care is rarely measured solely by mortality statistics since the role of much of medical care is to enhance function and reduce distress. Thus, the more relevant question is the extent to which the population at any age is free of disability, has a good level of function in the activities of daily living and a sense of subjective well-being. Here such medical/surgical procedures as the removal of cataracts that restore sight and the replacement of joints that allow physical mobility contribute to health in important ways not measured by mortality statistics. This is also the case for many new pharmaceuticals that bring significant relief from physical distress unrelated to mortality such as relief of pain from arthritis or reduction of anxiety or depression. Communication across national boundaries contribute to rising public expectations and increased pressure to spend more for health care. The biomedical industries and pharmaceutical companies now actively promote their products directly to consumers encouraging them to make new demands on their hospitals, doctors, and other health professionals. These range from advertising new expensive models of NMI machines, such as open air type models, directly to the public as a way of indirectly pressuring hospitals to purchase such machines to widespread advertising of prescription drugs. In the United States, it is not uncommon for consumer groups to form coalitions with pharmaceutical companies to pressure government to increase prescription coverage. The billions of dollars spent in promoting these medical products inevitably and importantly affect national systems of care. A recent report from Vietnam (Ladinsky et al. 2000) even noted that physicians in Vietnam were being recruited away from state practice with higher salaries as international pharmaceutical company salesmen. Nations find it increasingly difficult to insulate themselves from international consumer comparisons as illustrated by the continuing pressures on 4 the English National Health Service that has up to now devoted a lower proportion of GNP to medical care than their European counterparts. The commitment of the Labor Government to equal their peers in such national expenditures is in no small way due to the types of forces I am describing. In making these generalizations about medical globalization we should be clear that culture and local politics remain extremely powerful. There is no automatic or inevitable changes outside each Nation’s unique history and experience, and alternative pathways are always possible. The forces of medical globalization, however, make certain trends more likely. As the OECD (1994) concluded in a study of health care reform in seventeen nations: [Slide 6] “The most remarkable feature of health care system reform among the seventeen countries is the degree of emerging convergence. Whether intentionally or not, the reforms follow in the general direction of those pioneered in other countries.” (p. 45) The Technologic Imperative and the Need to Ration Advances in medical knowledge and technology provide increasing opportunities for new health care expenditures (Schwartz 1998). [Slide 7] In some instances such new technologies offer opportunities to prevent disease or correct problems in cost-effective ways. In others, new techniques of dubious value are widely disseminated at large cost with no evidence of their value, much less their cost-effectiveness. Although there is much interest among policy makers in evidence-based medicine, manufacturers of medical equipment and drugs and specialty health providers have strong economic incentives to market new interventions aggressively as soon as they become available. One of the more recent such modalities is lung screening for cigarette smokers using low-radiation-dose computerized tomography. There is evidence that such imaging improves the likelihood of detection of small non-calcified nodules (Henschke 1999). This provides an opportunity to detect lung cancer at an earlier stage than with traditional chest radiography. However, there is no evidence that such screening can reduce lung cancer mortality and false positive results are common. But this technology is being aggressively marketed to cigarette smokers. One of my community’s local health care providers aggressively markets such screening on radio and the Internet at a price of $325. The potential world market here is enormous given the prevalence of persons who smoke or have a past history of smoking. 5 Preventive lung imaging is just one of a large set of screening technologies that are aggressively marketed without evidence that they reduce morbidity or save lives (Russell 1994). The use of the PSA test for prostate cancer is now increasingly prevalent and accepted despite a lack of evidence that it reduces mortality. Indeed, like other unproven screening approaches, it may contribute to poorer health by putting patients on a treatment trajectory that results in invasive interventions that have serious side effects. Once patients are told they have cancer, the social and psychological pressures to pursue treatment are strong despite the absence of evidence that good outcomes will result. As Black and Welch (1993) inform us in an important article in the New England Journal of Medicine, “...despite clinicians’ best intentions, many patients may have been labeled with diseases they do not really have, and many have been given therapy they do not really need.” This might be of less concern if these interventions were simply cost-ineffective, but there is a growing body of evidence that too much unproven medical care may make health worse. Fisher and Welch (1999) in a provocative review of a range of medical studies provide an informative framework to explain how more care may lead to worse health. [Slide 8] The argument is complicated, but part of their abstract helps convey their view: “More diagnosis creates the potential for labeling and detection of pseudo disease - disease that would never become apparent to patients during their lifetime without testing. More treatment may lead to tampering, interventions to correct random rather than systematic variation, and lower treatment thresholds, where the risks outweigh the potential benefits. Because there are more diagnoses to treat and more treatments to provide, physicians may be more likely to make mistakes and to be distracted from the issues of greatest concern to their patients.” (p. 446) Although evidence-based medicine sounds appropriate to policy makers, it is less appealing to patients and their families, particularly those facing serious illness or death and seeking last chance therapies that offer any potential. Cost-effectiveness is an assessment across populations but insured patients who are sick and want help care little about whether a particular treatment is cost-effective for a population. This is why efforts at rationing are so very controversial. When the public becomes aware that care is being rationed there is often a backlash or political controversy. Many philosophers and ethicists seek rationing processes that are explicit and transparent, but because of the inherent tension between individual wants and limits on public expenditure efforts to ration explicitly often results in conflict (Mechanic 1995). Many nations are now struggling with the issue of how best to 6 make health choices in a politically acceptable fashion (Klein et al. 1996). Types of Convergence Among Nations Nations, depending on their history and culture, have very different political and administrative systems for organizing and financing health care. Nevertheless, as the OECD noted in its study of seventeen countries, there has been considerable similarity in the reform ideas being introduced and the extent to which nations seem to be learning from one another. In the remainder of my discussion, I briefly review some tendencies toward common practice. [Slide 9] These include health promotion, primary medical care, building more seamless systems of care through administrative and clinical integration, improving efficiency and effectiveness, developing chronic care and long-term care services, improving quality, and using market incentives and quasi-markets. Health Promotion [Slide 10] The importance of behavioral risk factors, particularly in respect to smoking, diet and sexual behavior have now been widely disseminated and most countries have some initiatives in these areas. Many countries that had well conceived and developed programs in contraception and fertility control have now extended their sophisticated epidemiological approaches to additional health problems. The extraordinary devastation caused by AIDS in Sub-Saharan Africa, parts of Asia and in some areas of the United States among others made clear the importance of health education and behavioral approaches. Many preventive actions depend on motivation and cooperation of affected populations. There are impressive indications, even in the poorest countries, that aggressive outreach can help prevent many problems, reduce infant mortality, and limit contagion. Solely reducing cigarette smoking, the single largest cause of morbidity and mortality, can substantially reduce all the three major causes of death in developed countries - heart disease, cancer and pulmonary disease - and many other illnesses as well. Policy makers in many countries view prevention activities quite narrowly as an individual approach, and individual efforts have not been particularly successful. It is increasingly clear that successful prevention requires a multi-level community approach in which varying policy initiatives reinforce one another (Smedley and Syme 2000). Such initiatives involve not only efforts to educate and motivate and preventive efforts at the clinical level but also community mobilization to reinforce such practices, social and economic incentives to redirect behavior, regulatory 7 initiatives to control access to noxious agents and the establishment of social norms. Two very successful efforts in the United States include the reduction of cigarette smoking and significant progress in injury control, particularly motor vehicle accidents. The epidemiological approach in motor vehicle safety nicely illustrates the value of a multi-level program. These involve the behavior of the driver, the construction of the vehicle, and the social system as it affects driving including highway design, building materials, driving norms, policing, etc. At the individual level, the goal is to induce driving skills, judgment and lawfulness on the part of drivers, with particular focus on drinking and driving. At the vehicle level, the goal is a design that not only contributes to accident avoidance but also protects passengers in the event of a collision. There have been dramatic improvements in auto design including air bags, seat belts, improved brakes, interior protections, breakaway engines and the like. Finally, the regulatory context is also important including driving norms, enforcement, licensing, vehicle inspection, and the like. The point of multi-level intervention is that one attacks the problem not only in relation to the host but also in respect to the agent and the environment. Primary Health Care [Slide 11] The basic logic of health care is one of a hierarchy of levels from the most simple types of self care to increasingly complicated types of interventions. The majority of medical care is relatively simple although the uncontrolled growth of medical specialization often obscures the fact that care is a set of organized functions that can be performed by persons with varying types of training and capacities. Primary medical care which may constitute between half and three-quarters of all health care encounters is a function that can be carried out by doctors, nurses, health aides or teams. There is persuasive evidence, for example, that nurse practitioners can provide a level of primary care equal in quality to doctors and often superior in terms of patient satisfaction (Mundinger et al. 2000). The decision as to who performs the primary care function depends on the financial capabilities of the system, the organization and power of each of the health occupations, the economic incentives to health workers to provide primary care and the expectations and demands of the population. Any of a variety of first-contact practitioners can provide basic preventive services, treat everyday common problems, triage patients who need more specialized care, and provide continuing care for persons with many chronic illnesses. 8 I had the privilege more than 20 years ago of being in the first official U.S. delegation to learn about rural health care in the PRC. We traveled to many areas in rural China to understand how basic primary care services were being provided. The cooperative medical services in much of the country were primitive but it was remarkable how much could be accomplished with minimal resources and minimally trained personnel. In a small survey of patients we did, it was evident even then that many patients aspired to more sophisticated services (Mechanic and Kleinman 1980) and with economic growth and privatization, many patients sought more advanced services and better trained providers. I have not had an opportunity to revisit these communities but the literature suggests that in many areas the cooperative insurance system collapsed leaving some better off but others at greater risk than before (Liu et al. 1999; Hsiao 1994). Most nations aspire to provide basic primary care services to all, a laudable campaign of the World Health Organization. Tiers of service are common in most nations, reflecting the economic capabilities of consumers. From a public policy standpoint the goal to insure a reasonable quality of service to all and the appropriate organization of primary care is seen as the vehicle to achieve this. How the system organizes primary care relative to more specialized care, inpatient care, and tertiary services depends on many factors including budgetary capacity, available personnel and facilities, and the political context of health care organization. In most systems, those more affluent buy their own private services which may not always provide better care but certainly improved amenities. One exception is Canada which prohibits insurers from offering services covered by the National Health Plan. With budgetary problems this too is now under reconsideration (Naylor 1999). The important point is that no nation is without the capacity to fulfill important primary care functions. Developing Seamless Systems of Care [Slide 12] Most health experts can speak elegantly about the importance of integrating care into seamless systems in which persons can move efficiently to the types and levels of care they require. Experience teaches, however, that there are few goals in health care more difficult because of economic, cultural, and professional barriers and the types of attitudes, power relationships and incentives health professionals face at varying levels of the health care system. Studies in the United States where integrated systems have been an important aspiration indicate that while administrative integration is readily achievable, clinical integration is far more difficult and rarely achieved (Shortell 9 et al. 1996). In theory clinical integration should be more achievable in the American context because the typical primary care physician continues to care for their patients when they go into the hospital. However these doctors are away from the hospital for most of the day and patient care is under the direction of house staff and nurses. Communication is often poor among the various specialists who become involved in a complicated patient’s care and frequently coordination fails. As the range of services and professionals involved in a patient’s care grow, the probability of duplication and errors increase. Various health plans have tried a range of innovations seeking to improve integration and coordination including the development of a speciality of hospitalists, primary nursing where a nurse specialist takes responsibility for coordinating care from patient admission to discharge, and case managers. Much effort has been put into developing a unified electronic medical record to improve communication and coordination and there are several examples of impressive hospital information systems designed to facilitate communication, provide treatment cues and practice suggestions, and avoid medication and other errors (Millenson 1997). Yet, it is fair to say that we are a considerable distance from solving the integration problem. The integration problem has been even more acute in the UK with separate general practice and specialty services, large differences in prestige between general practitioners and specialists, and significant waiting lists for many specialty services. One of the advantages of general practitioner fundholding was that it increased the influence of GPs relative to consultants and provided some pressure toward more responsiveness. Some disapproved of GP fundholding because it was seen as a means for some patients to gain advantage over others. The Labor government has moved policy toward what it now calls primary care commissioning. As a long-term observer of the National Health Service I note that the concepts have continued to change but the lack of coordination and integration between GP, hospital and local authorities continue as significant problems. Nevertheless, clinical integration is an aspiration worthy of continued efforts everywhere. Health is a holistic concept and patients are not served well by fragmentation, duplication, and gaps in services. These problems are particularly acute in chronic illness, long-term care and behavioral health and managing the care of persons with disabilities. Much emphasis around the world is now being placed on teams, case management, enhanced nurse leadership, and improved information systems. 10 Improving Efficiency and Effectiveness [Slide 13] As the costs of medical care have mounted in many countries, much attention has focused on the many inefficiencies in care, the prevalence of untested and unproven interventions and the extraordinary practice variations from one geographic area to another. Rates of inpatient care, length of stay, surgical interventions and much more can vary many times over among populations that are comparable in morbidity. Although these practice variations have been studied for many years, and are due to a significant degree to the amount and types of specialists and facilities in a particular geographic area, they are not fully understood. It appears that practice cultures develop in particular localities that in part reflect the prior training of professionals and their mutual influences on one another. Whatever the causes, many efforts are being made to reduce the range of such variations by managing care through utilization review and physician profiling, introducing and encouraging evidence-based practice guidelines and disease management approaches, and promoting outcomes assessment and cost-effectiveness research. Progress in these areas is difficult without taking account of the fact that medical care is an important business and that the responses of institutions and health professionals are shaped by economic incentives. Care is also influenced by professional culture and ideologies and the fact that individual clinical experience and judgment are often viewed by practitioners as superior to clinical studies and even randomized controlled trials. Moreover, uncertainty remains in much of medical care and there is a proliferation of sometimes conflicting clinical guidelines and practice standards being issued by health plans, government bodies, professional groups, and commercial firms. Each has its own interests and it is often difficult, in any case, to focus the busy clinician’s attention. Thus, while efforts are moving forward, it is not without confusion and uncertainty. It is not clear that any of this has had significant impact on how clinicians practice. In the United States, some success in controlling costs has been achieved through managed care. Most of the savings have come through reductions in inpatient care and particularly inpatient length of stay and by reducing payments to institutions and professionals. Managed care involves a large range of structures and approaches and, thus, there is no simple way to assess it. The limited evidence indicates considerable variability in performance both in managed care and in traditional care systems and little advantage to either overall in terms of quality (Miller and Luft 1994, 1997). Nevertheless, the unrealized potential of managed care is to use new approaches and incentives to encourage evidence-based practice and to reward clinical quality and responsiveness. 11 Developing Chronic Care Models [Slide 14] It is almost a cliche to note that while most patients have chronic care needs, the prevalent approach is organized around an acute care model. It is commonplace to note the lack of fit between much ambulatory care and hospital practice and the challenges of long-term care for persons with complicated chronic illnesses and disabilities. In addition to the already noted issues of fragmentation and poor coordination is the added difficulties of bridging medical care with the range of socio-medical and rehabilitative services often needed. As medicine involves supportive, rehabilitative and other social services it must work with other sectors that have their own cultures, professional preferences, and incentives. Medical care often fails in establishing these needed links. Most countries continue to struggle with how best to connect the range of services needed by persons with persistent illnesses and disabilities. This becomes an increasingly important challenge as we depend less on institutions and more on community care for the frail elderly, persons with disabilities, children with physical and mental handicap, and persons with serious and persistent mental illnesses. Interesting and thoughtful models are being tried in many places throughout the world but much dissatisfaction remains in achieving appropriate organization and care delivery. Complex problems require specialized systems and it is difficult to generalize. Thus, I focus here on one example, the community care of persons with schizophrenia and other serious and persistent mental illnesses. In much of the world, management of care for serious mental illness has moved substantially from institutions to the community (Mechanic 1999). The record of failures in community care in the United States, the UK and many other countries, despite considerable expenditures, is sobering. A model for community care, the Program in Assertive Community Treatment (Stein and Test 1985), developed a quarter of a century ago, has repeatedly demonstrated effective performance in randomized controlled clinical trials and other studies in several countries and most informed observers agree on this as the “gold standard” of care for community management of complex and persistent conditions (Dixon 2000). Nevertheless, its dissemination has taken decades and only now has it become a standard goal for such care in the U.S. and UK. The PACT model, as it is called, has many elements desirable in any chronic care program, although it has other features specific to the population served. The clinical team has responsibility and authority for managing the 12 needed care wherever and whenever such needs arise. Thus, it is a 7 day a week, 24 hour responsibility and the mobile teams provide assertive management in the community including medication treatment and compliance, living arrangements, daily activities, social supports, employment rehabilitation, and the like. Such programs put new demands on members of the treatment team and require more organization and coordination than is typical of everyday mental health practice. But its growing adoption around the world suggests that the barriers to implementation can be overcome. Improving Quality [Slide 15] Much of what has already been said refers to quality of care but quality assurance transcends these observations. From an organizational perspective, medical care is very much still a cottage industry with very primitive systems of quality control relative to most large-scale corporate activities. Errors and preventable injuries and deaths abound because of failures to put in place the types of checks commonplace in other sectors. A recent report by the Institute of Medicine (Kohn et al. 2000) in the United States estimated that 44,000 persons die each year in the U.S. because of medical errors and suggest the number may indeed be much higher. The actual number of deaths is arguable but the unequivocal fact is that medical errors are a significant problem in the United States and throughout the world, and there has been much international attention focused on this report and the issues it addresses. Safety and errors are major concerns but quality issues also relate to every health care transaction that takes place and the effectiveness of processes of care in achieving desired outcomes. Such outcomes include both the efficacy of various treatments, the appropriateness with which they are provided in specific contexts and the extent to which care is responsive and caring from the perspective of the patient. A recent study by a research group at the RAND Corporation (Schuster et al. 1998) estimated that only about 50% of preventive care reached recommended levels and that 30% of acute care and 20% of chronic care was contraindicated. Health services researchers make a distinction between efficacy and effectiveness because the application of efficacy expectations from highly controlled studies and research environments may yield different results when actually applied under usual practice conditions. Thus, it is essential to measure how interventions work in the field among a range of health professionals and patients. 13 Major efforts are now being made to assess quality in the United States, the UK, Canada and other countries. Among these is the development of tracer measures of quality that allow health care plans to be evaluated against one another and to develop report cards for consumers that provide useful information that assist them in their choice of health plans. More progress has been made in measuring access to care and satisfaction with care than quality of care processes and health outcomes. It remains unclear to what extent the measures and data used from various settings are representative, reliable, and useful to purchasers and to what degree they successfully tap quality of care in contrast to selective characteristics of patients associated with varying outcomes including case severity. We are still at an early stage in measuring quality and it is not unreasonable to anticipate considerable progress in the next decade. Market Incentives and Quasi-Markets [Slide 16] Interest in making medical care less of a planned activity and more of a market in many countries may reflect current American economic dominance and the strong representation of American economic ideology in world organizations like the World Bank. Although medical care deviates substantially from any reasonable concept of a well-functioning market, the United States, Australia and other countries have moved aggressively toward privatization and encouragement of greater competition. The achievements are arguable but the evidence of competitiveness is now apparent everywhere. The aspiration is to have health plans and health professionals compete on quality and cost-effectiveness but most competition as it presently exists is on price and risk selection. Few health care systems have completely privatized but the world trend has been more toward the creation of quasi-markets. With the breakup of the Soviet Union and difficulties in Eastern Europe, a number of national health programs were transformed from highly bureaucratized national programs to privatized insurance models with greater competition among providers (Mechanic and Rochefort 1996). Even highly established national systems such as those in the UK and Sweden have been intrigued with the idea of internal markets, and greater competition and choice, although it would be an overstatement to suggest that they have moved substantially in this direction (LeGrand 1999). While the health care changes that occurred during Conservative rule in the UK received mixed reviews, it seems apparent that they have contributed to shaking up established and unresponsive professional and bureaucratic behavior. 14 The extent of interest in American medical arrangements among many countries is always a surprise to me because by any world standard we do not get “value for dollars.” We are unusual among modern nations in having failed to achieve universal health insurance. We spend far more per capita and as a nation for health care than any other country but still have a large and growing population of uninsured persons - now around 45 million people. The uninsured do receive care but at a later point in illness and at a lower intensity than insured persons. In short, the US system of health care provides a cautionary tale of what not to do in many areas of medical care. Its strength is its high level of technical innovativeness and sophistication. It has the capacity to offer the very best and most advanced care but it does so at great cost and with large inequalities. Competition in health systems can be an invigorating and productive force but to be effective it must be managed to deal with the large inequalities of power, knowledge and information between providers and patients, the large incentives toward risk segmentation and patient selection, and the need for accountability. In Summary Every nation must decide how to allocate public expenditures among varying priorities and responsibilities, the extent of public and private responsibilities for health care, and the types of services that constitute the health scheme. All nations cover basic preventive, ambulatory and hospital services, but there is a great variety in public provision of other important services and products such as prescription drugs and dental care. Tradition and culture help define whether health care includes access to spas and natural treatments, respite services, chiropractic, traditional and alternative medicines, behavioral health and substance abuse services among many others. There are also a range of views about whether services that enhance the quality of life such as Viagra and related products for impotence or in vitro fertilization are appropriate responsibilities of public health care systems and at what level. More fundamentally, each nation must decide how to balance individual responsibility, privatization and competition with the need for helping those less fortunate and for social solidarity. Excessive individualism is associated with large health inequalities, a growing concern in many countries. Every decent system provides a safety net for those incapable of meeting their own needs. Beyond this, universal health coverage is a widely shared value that contributes to social solidarity as well as to more equal care. Nations differ on how they see the balance 15 between individual and public responsibility and what they are willing to do to rectify inequalities. While they differ on the extent of inequality that is justifiable, they can agree that it is fair that each person have the health care necessary to compete to their fullest potential. References Bishop, C.E. (1999). “Where are the Missing Elders? The Decline in Nursing Home Use, 1985 and 1995,” Health Affairs, 18(4):146-155. Black, W.C. and Welch, H.G. (1993). “Advances in Diagnostic Imaging and Overestimations of Disease Prevalence and the Benefits of Therapy,” New England Journal of Medicine, 328(17):1237-1243. Desjarlais, R., Eisenberg, L., Good, B. and Kleinman, A. (Eds.). (1995). World Mental Health: Problems, Priorities and Responses in Low-Income Countries. New York: Oxford University Press. Dixon, L. (2000). “Assertive Community Treatment: Twenty-Five Years of Gold,” Psychiatric Services, 51(6):759-765. Fisher, E.S. and Welch, H.G. (1999). “Avoiding the Unintended Consequences of Growth in Medical Care: How Might More Be Worse?” Journal of the American Medical Association, 281(5):446-453. Gruber, J. and Wise, D. (Eds.). (1999). Social Security and Retirement Around the World (National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report). Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Henschke, C.I., McCauley, D.I., Yankelevitz, D.F., et al. (1999). “Early Lung Cancer Action Project: Overall Design and Findings From Baseline Screening,” Lancet, 354(9173):99-105. Hong Kong Hospital Authority. (1999). Statistical Report, 97/98. Hong Kong Hospital Authority, Statistics and Health Information Section, Hospital Planning and Development Division. Available online: http://www.ha.org.hk/hesd/nsapi. Hsiao, W.C. (1994). “Marketization: The Illusory Magic Pill,” Health Economics, 3(6):351-357. Klein, R., Day, P. and Redmayne, S. (1996). Managing Scarcity: Priority Setting and Rationing in the National Health Service. Buckingham: Open University Press. Kohn, L.T., Corrigan, J.M. and Donaldson, M.S. (Eds.). (2000). To Err is Human: Building a Safer Health System. Washington, DC: National Academy Press. Ladinsky, J.L., Nguyen, H.T. and Volk, N.D. (2000). “Changes in the Health Care System of Vietnam in Response to the Emerging Market Economy,” Journal of Public Health Policy, 21(1):82-98. LeGrand, J. (1999). “Competition, Cooperation or Control? Tales from the British National Health Service,” Health Affairs, 18(3):27-39. Liu, Y., Hsiao, W.C. and Eggleston, K. (1999). “Equity in Health and Health Care: The Chinese Experience,” Social Science and Medicine, 49(10):1349-1356. 16 Manton, K.G., Stallard, E. and Corder, L.S. (1998). “The Dynamics of Dimensions of Age-Related Disability, 1982 to 1994 in the US Elderly Population,” Journals of Gerontology: Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences, 53A(1):B59-B70. McGinnis, J.M. and Foege, W.H. (1993). “Actual Causes of Death in the United States,” Journal of the American Medical Association, 270(18):2207-2212. Mechanic, D. (1999). Mental Health and Social Policy: The Emergence of Managed Care, 4th Edition, Boston: Allyn and Bacon. Mechanic, D. (1995). “Dilemmas in Rationing Health Care Services: The Case for Implicit Rationing,” British Medical Journal, 310(6695):1655-1659. Mechanic, D. and Kleinman, A. (1980). “Ambulatory Medical Care in the People’s Republic of China: An Exploratory Study,” American Journal of Public Health, 70(1):62-66. Mechanic, D. and Rochefort, D.A. (1996). “Comparative Medical Systems,” Annual Review of Sociology, 22:239-270. Millenson, M.L. (1997). Demanding Medical Excellence: Doctors and Accountability in the Information Age. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Miller, R.H. and Luft, H.S. (1994). “Managed Care Plan Performance Since 1980: A Literature Analysis,” Journal of the American Medical Association, 271(19):1512-1519. Miller, R.H. and Luft, H.S. (1997). “Does Managed Care Lead to Better or Worse Quality of Care?,” Health Affairs, 16(5):7-25. Mundinger, M.O., Kane, R.L., Lenz, E.R., et al. (2000). “Primary Care Outcomes in Patients Treated by Nurse Practitioners or Physicians: A Randomized Trial,” Journal of the American Medical Association, 283(1):59-68. Naylor, C.D. (1999). “Health Care in Canada: Incrementalism Under Fiscal Duress,” Health Affairs, 18(3):9-26. Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. (1994). The Reform of Health Care Systems: A Review of Seventeen OECD Countries. Paris: OECD, Health Policy Studies No. 5. Ribbe, M.W., Ljunggren, G., Steel, K., et al. (1997). “Nursing Homes in 10 Nations: A Comparison Between Countries and Settings,” Age and Ageing, 26(Supplement 2): 3-12. Russell, L.B. (1994). Educated Guesses: Making Policy About Medical Screening Tests. Berkeley: University of California Press. Schuster, M.A., McGlynn, E.A. and Brook, R.H. (1998). “How Good is the Quality of Health Care in the United States?,” Milbank Quarterly, 76(4):517-563. Schwartz, W.B. (1998). Life Without Disease: The Pursuit of Medical Utopia. Berkeley: University of California Press. Shortell, S.M., Gillies, R.R. and Anderson, D.A. (1996). Remaking Health Care in America: Building Organized Delivery Systems. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass. 17 Singer, B.H. and Manton, K.G. (1998). “The Effects of Health Changes on Projections of Health Services Needs for the Elderly Population of the United States,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 95(26):15618-15622. Smedley, B.D. and Syme, S.L. (2000). Promoting Health: Intervention Strategies From Social and Behavioral Research. Washington, DC: National Academy Press. Stein, L.I. and Test, M.A. (Eds.). (1985). The Training in Community Living Model: A Decade of Experience. New Directions for Mental Health Services, No. 26. San Francisco, Jossey-Bass. Svanborg, A, et al. (1986). “Possibilities of Preserving Physical and Mental Fitness and Autonomy in Old Age.” In H. Hafner, G. Moschel and N. Sartorius (Eds.) Mental Health in the Elderly: A Review of the Present State of Research, (pp. 195-202). Berlin: Springer-Verlag. Wiener, J.M. and Skaggs, J. (1995). Current Approaches to Integrating Acute and Long-Term Care Financing and Services. Washington, DC: American Association of Retired Persons, #9516. hctech 18