Malcolm X at Southland Drive Enhanced Bus Shelter Presented by: Group #2 Hau-Yaung Kuo Hong Liang Robert Stone Katie Truong Professor Whittenberg OPMA 5364 – Project Management July 10, 2003 Page 1 of 14 Table of Contents Introduction and Background……………………………………………………………………… Project Overview. …………………………………………………………………….…………… Project Objectives………………………………………………………………………………….. Contractual Aspects. ……………………………………………………………………….……… Construction Schedules…………………………………………………………………………… Project Budget. ………………………………………………………………...………… Personnel. …………………………………………………………………………………...…… Project Evaluation…………………...………………………………………………………...…… Potential Problems…………………………………………………………………………………. Conclusion. …………………………………………………………………………………...…… Recommendation. ………………………………………………………………………….……… Assessment. ………………………………………………………………………………...……… Appendix. ………………………………………………………………………………………..… Page 2 of 14 INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND The Dallas Area Rapid Transit Authority (DART) is a public transportation agency providing an assortment of transportation services to 13 cities in the Dallas, Texas Metroplex. DART employs 3,038 people and has an operating budget of almost 306 million dollars. Transportation services include bus, an electric light-rail system, a commuter rail line, high occupancy vehicle (HOV) lanes, ride-sharing programs, curbside services for the mobility impaired, and transit educational services. The extensive network of DART Rail, Trinity Railway Express (TRE) and bus services moves more than 200,000 passengers per day across the 700-square-mile service area, with tailored routes to make one’s trip fast, comfortable and economical (www.dart.org). PROJECT OVERVIEW One of DART’s long-term goals is to work in conjunction with Dallas City Officials and Council members to enhance DART’s transportation shelters in the surrounding Dallas communities. The main purposes of these projects are to bring safety to all citizens, beautify low socio-economic areas in Dallas, and to promote a pleasant ride to each destination. Similar enhancement projects have been well supported by DART’s ridership as well as the general public. The stakeholders of these beautification efforts include DART, the City of Dallas, riders, and the contractor who has been awarded the bid. PROJECT OBJECTIVES Currently, one of DART’s proposed projects is for the construction of the Bush Shelter Plaza at the intersection of Malcolm X Boulevard and Southland Street, located in Dallas, Texas. The Plaza will include an enhanced shelter, electrical work, illumination, landscaping, and an irrigation system. The project includes the construction of an off-street bus transfer facility Page 3 of 14 complete with a circular driveway/layover area, and pedestrian improvements on a site approximately 150ft x 160ft in size. The construction contract consists of the following features (Solicitation): (Double space the bullets) 792 square yards of concrete pavement Construction of 770 linear feet of curb-n-gutter 2,622 square feet of concrete sidewalk and handicap ramp Construction of 20 cubic yards of slab foundations Placement of 150 square yards of brick pavers Installation of (6) light poles and fixtures on foundations Landscaping (e.g. 15 live oak trees, 8 bald cypress, 7,000 square feet of hydro-mulch) Installation of an irrigation system Preparation of the site including lime manipulation/stabilization. Additional site preparation include the demolition, removal, and disposal of 103 square yards of concrete walk, and 275 linear feet of curb and gutter, associated with preparing the site for its improvement. The Malcolm X enhancement project is expected to be complete within two hundred five (205) calendar days after the receipt of the Notice to Proceed (NTP). The engineering consulting firm responsible for the design of the construction layout is Bridgefarmer & Associates, Inc. One contract award to a general construction contractor is anticipated under the project’s solicitation. In accordance with the General Provision of the contract, the awarded contractor is expected to interface with the following contractors, agencies, and property owners (Solicitation): Page 4 of 14 1. Private utility contractors 2. DART’s regulated material contractors 3. City of Dallas contractors 4. Other DART contractors CONTRACTUAL ASPECTS The contract for the Malcolm X project has fixed unit prices with estimated item quantities and some lump sum line items. The contract contains 25 exhibits and blueprints in full and half sizes. It clearly identifies all provisions that the Contractor is to perform during the construction phase of the project. DART used an Invitation for Bid (IFB) solicitation method for this contract. The solicitation phase of the project is currently taking place. Therefore, the contract has not been awarded. DART is expected to make its announcement on July 16, 2003. The Contractor must meet specific insurance requirements in the contract. For example, the Contractor is required to obtain the following types of insurance with specified limits of liability that protect the interests of DART and the Contractor: Comprehensive Automobile Liability Insurance Builder’s Risk Insurance Commercial General Liability Insurance Workers’ Compensation Insurance The Contractor must require that all subcontractors performing work under the contract carry at least Workers’ Compensation insurance. (Exhibit D) In addition to insurance requirements, the Contractor must obtain certain bonds to be considered as a candidate for award. Types of bonds would include Bid Bonds, Payment Bonds, and Performance Bonds. All bonds are some percentage of the total contract amount. For Page 5 of 14 example, the Bid Bond is equal to 5% of the total bid price and must be submitted by each bidder prior to the bid opening date and time. (Exhibits Q & R) The General Provisions of the contract state 72 detailed areas of performance and instruction for the Contractor. Some of these areas include the construction schedule, item schedule, changes to the contract, inspection of construction, and final acceptance by DART. (p1 of Exhibit F) Changes To The Contract At any time, the Contracting Officer may submit written orders to make changes to the general scope of the contract. Examples of contract changes include: Specifications (including drawings and designs) Work performance Facilities, equipment, materials, services, or site to be furnished by the Authority Directing acceleration in the performance of the work Conversely, the Contractor is encouraged to develop, prepare, and submit “value engineering change proposals” (VECPs) voluntarily. A VECP is a change in the contract requirements that bring about a cost savings. The Contractor and DART then share the savings at a rate of 55% and 45%, respectfully. (p13, Exhibit F). Final Acceptance After the Contractor has satisfactorily completed the work and has passed the inspection phase, the Contracting Officer will issue a Notice of Final Acceptance to the Contractor. The Contractor may then submit an invoice for the payment of unpaid monies owed on the contract. (p34, Exhibit F) Page 6 of 14 CONSTRUCTION SCHEDULES The Construction Schedule is to be submitted to the Contracting Officer for approval by the Contractor. If the Contractor falls behind the approved schedule, the Contractor must take the necessary steps to improve progress such as increasing the number of shifts or increase overtime operations. (p3 of Exhibit F) Table A presents the Level I Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) of the major construction categories and schedule of the Malcolm X enhanced bus shelter project (specification). A detailed listing of all tasks in the WBS can be found in Appendix A of this report. Table A: Level I Work Breakdown Structure of Malcolm X Enhanced Bus Shelter ID Task Name Duration Start Finish Malcolm X Enhanced Bus Shelter 135d Fri 8/1/03 Wed 2/11/04 1 General Requirements Gathering 28d Fri 8/1/03 Wed 9/10/03 2 Site Work 32d Thu 9/11/03 Fri 10/24/03 3 Irrigation Systems 8d Mon 10/27/03 Tue 11/4/03 4 Electrical Systems 16d Wed 11/5/03 Wed 11/26/03 5 Concrete Work 37d Mon 12/1/03 Thu 1/22/04 8 Bus Shelter Assembly 22d Mon 12/22/03 Thu 1/22/04 7 Beautification 14d Fri 1/23/04 Thu 2/11/04 PROJECT BUDGET DART will examine and review the Contractor’s original bid and estimating documents used in preparing its bid. A schedule defines each item and its unit of measurement and generally represents the work to be carried out in accordance with the contract. Pricing data must be certified immediately after an agreement is reached on the total contract price. DART compares pricing proposals submitted by bidders with the design engineer’s estimate. Table B Page 7 of 14 displays the Engineer’s construction cost estimate for the Level I WBS (p18 Exhibit F). A complete breakdown of the engineer’s cost estimate is shown in Appendix??. The total estimated cost of the project is over $500,000. This figure is based on the projected cost of all items, quantities, and recent unit prices for materials. Table B: Engineer’s Construction Cost Estimate of Malcolm X Bush Shelter Level I WBS MALCOLM X AT SOUTHLAND BUS SHELTER Engineer's Construction Cost Estimate for Level I Work Breakdown Schedule Budget Item 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Level I Task Description Estimated Cost ($) General Requirements Gathering 87,250.00 Site Work 97,323.38 Irrigation Systems 1,500.00 Electrical Systems 27,158.75 Concrete 203,999.94 Bus Shelter Assembly 40,500.00 Beautification 14,000.00 Subtotal = 471,732.07 Bonds (5% of Subtotal) = 23,586.60 Contingency (10% of Subtotal) = 47,173.21 Total = 542,491.88 An important point worth noting is that all of the DART’s resources are considered overhead based on its accounting system. As a result, salaries, designs, and the cost of the land are not included in the project budget. Typically, the cost of the design work runs about 6% of the total cost of the project or approximately $30,000 for this project. PERSONNEL DART has assigned one of its members, Mr. Ernie Martinez, as Project Manager of the Malcolm X Enhanced Bus Shelter project. His major responsibilities include: serve as the liason between DART and the contractors Page 8 of 14 communicate effectively with the construction engineer from Bridgefarmer & Associates, Inc. and the awarded Contractor oversee the construction project work out any issues or conflicts that may arise during the project’s life cycle monitor and control the project’s budget Mr. Martinez and the construction engineer will develop milestones for the project. They share the responsibility of monitoring those milestones during the construction process. In addition, the cost of the project will be monitored by the payment of invoices. These invoices should include the details of every timesheet that was logged against the project as well as costs from the Item Schedule. Finally, the Contractor must establish an adequate inspection system and maintain complete inspection records to be made available to DART. (p11, Exhibit F) Because the construction site resides in a high crime area of Dallas, additional security resources are anticipated to protect the safety of the community throughout the duration of the project. The Transit Police will control traffic during construction and monitor any potential theft or vandalism that may occur. SUPPLEMENTARY FINDINGS (I think we need to delete this or move it elsewhere) Prior to any construction in DART’s service area, a study was conducted to inspect the conditioning of the land and decide on the location of the enhanced bus shelter. This study also looked at the social impact of the project on surrounding homes and businesses. Also, an environmentalist performed a safety study to assess the land and the illumination of the area. The study helped identify potential concerns that may arise during the construction process. Page 9 of 14 PROJECT EVALUATION The scheduling and analysis of a project’s work activities in a project can be mapped using commercial software. The Malcolm X Enhanced Bus Shelter Level I WBS, discussed in the Scheduling section of this report, was generated using Microsoft Project 2000. Some of its tools used for this project report include: identification of the project’s milestones and critical path, Gantt charts, and Network Diagram. Performing simulation analysis for future outcomes can help Project Managers reduce projects’ risks and dramatically improve the quality of their decisions. By moving to a probabilistic approach to forecasting, Project Managers can better quantify the risks inherent in their models and gain insights not available through traditional deterministic approaches. Crystal Ball is a software package that generates such an analysis using Monte Carlo simulations. (reference-CRYSTAL BALL PROFESSIONAL INTRODUCTORY TUTORIAL) Figures 1 and 2 represent outputs generated from two simulations for forecasting the time and budget of the project. Figure 1: Chart of Crystal Ball’s forecast on Time Evaluation Forecast: C52 Crystal Ball Student Edition Not for Commercial Use 1,000 Trials Frequency Chart 11 Outliers .031 31 .023 23.25 .016 15.5 .008 7.75 .000 0 129.198 132.608 136.018 days Page 10 of 14 139.428 142.838 In Figure 1, the chart shows the result of a Monte Carlo simulation for the total number of workdays needed to complete the project. After running one thousand trials, the mean number of days is 136.018 with a variance of 6.881 and a standard deviation of 2.623. Crystal Ball determined that there is a 60% chance that the project will be completed within 137 days. Figure 2: Chart of Crystal Ball’s forecast on Budget Evaluation Crystal Ball Student Edition Forecast: C16 Not for Commercial Use 1,000 Trials Frequency Chart 13 Outliers .036 36 .027 27 .018 18 .009 9 .000 0 404,422.93 437,301.37 470,179.81 503,058.25 535,936.68 Dollars As for Figure 2, the chart shows another Monte Carlo simulation forecasting the budget needed to complete the project. The mean budget required for project completion is $470179.81 and has about a 50% chance of meeting this estimation. POTENTIAL PROBLEMS The new design of the enhanced bus shelter may initially create a delay in the bus schedule because of the driveway it has to enter when picking up and dropping off passengers. Buses delayed are not only caused by other vehicles and traffic signals, but by frequent and timeconsuming stops to pick up and discharge passengers which includes passenger boarding time, collection of fares, etc. Also, having buses circulate around large parking lots contributes unnecessarily to delay of transit. Page 11 of 14 The completion of the Malcolm X enhanced bus shelter may create a social atmosphere for the riders as well as the community. However, with its location, some potential problems such as gangs, drug dealers, and homeless people may create a disturbance in the area. Therefore, an increase in police patrol has been considered in protecting the safety of DART riding citizens and the community residences. .may like some homeless people stay in the shelter for a long time. All these will relate to safety issues and will increase the police patrol. Foreseen uncertainties may arise during the project’s life cycle. For example, the construction work may disrupt the normal lifestyle of the people living in the community. In addition, vandalism and crimes may potentially increase the budget costs as well as delay the schedule of the project. Finally, inclement weather may extend the duration of the project. To overcome these foreseen uncertainties, DART has pre-established time buffers for each month of the project schedule. The most difficult part of the project is anticipating unforeseen uncertainties that may arise during the construction phases. For instance, problems such as unanticipated injuries or equipment failures delay the project’s progress. Blueprints of the construction work not matching the actual site layout may cause a tremendous impact on the construction work, which will in turn negatively affect the success of the project. The Project Manager must create a contingency place for each scenario and must have a strong communication channel with all the stakeholders CONCLUSION In conclusion, the Malcolm X at Southland Drive Enhanced Bus Shelter project is one of DART’s many efforts to work with the surrounding community to promote a safe and enjoyable ride from one destination to another. DART’s contract provides a detailed outline of the scope Page 12 of 14 of work and specifications needed to complete the project in the time allotted. The awarded Contractor is required to follow all criteria listed in the legal document. The Work Breakdown Schedule is useful in identifying the critical path of the project and organizing the various work activities. The engineer’s cost estimate provides an itemized outline of the project’s budget, totaling $542,491.88. Using the Crystal Ball software, the Monte Carlo Simulation analysis shows a 60% probability that the project will be completed within 137 days and a 50% chance of meeting the estimated mean budget of $470179.81 for the project. Uncertainties will exist throughout the duration of the project therefore the Project Manager must be flexible and cope with constant changes. Effective communication is one of the major key factors for success of the project. RECOMMENDATIONS One of the recommendations for the project would be to use the Theory of Constraints (TOC). In particular, adding a project buffer and feeding buffers to the chain of events. This would increase the chance of completing the project from 60% (TO WHAT %??) as forecasted in the Crystal Ball simulation. Another recommendation would be to incorporate DART personnel salaries as part of the project budget. This would present a more accurate total project cost and allow DART to properly budget for future projects. ASSESSMENT The time spent on the Malcolm X project has proven to be very educational and knowledgeable to the understanding and application of Project Management. By working on this project in conjunction with class lectures and article presentations provided a “hands-on” experience to the principles of project management. Finally, we are presenting a copy of this Page 13 of 14 paper to the Project Manager, Mr. Ernie Martinez, per his request. This will help prepare him for the work that will occur in the near future. OTHER ISSUES TO DISCUSS 1. References 2. One page summary 3. Presentation 4. Graphics/Reports -add in the report or as an Exhibit? 5. Title Page 6. Peer evaluations 7. TOC Page 14 of 14