1 ASSESSING THE VULNERABILITY OF FADAMA (FLOODPLAIN) AGRICULTURE TO CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND CHANGE: A CASE STUDY OF SEMI-ARID NORTHERN NIGERIA By Daniel Davou DABI (Ph.D) Department of Geography & Planning, Faculty of Environmental Sciences University of Jos, P.M.B. 2084 Jos, Nigeria. E-mail: davoo65@yahoo.com ABSTRACT Floodplain (fadama) agriculture is critical to survival and economic development in the rural areas of semi-arid Northern Nigeria. This area is experiencing significant climatic and anthropogenic changes that have exacerbated the food insecurity in the region. Most floodplains in this area are suffering from declining rainfall which has forced farmers to shift their attention to floodplain agriculture. The dependence of nomadic herdsmen on this resource (Fadama) brings about additional pressure, competition even conflict. These renewed pressures, coupled with the possibility of an increase in drought occurrences as projected by the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC, could spell disaster for the sustainability of floodplain agriculture and food security in the region. The paper investigates the vulnerability of floodplain agriculture in the Hadejia River valley in north central Nigeria to the effects of droughts, the risks that fadama farmers are exposed to and how they can adapt. Primary data were collected by means questionnaires, participatory rural appraisal, and focus group discussions, augmented with secondary data. The paper describes and analyses current vulnerability of Fadama agriculture in the area. It also evaluates current coping strategies and suggests effective adaptation measures to reduce the vulnerability of farming households. Results show that almost all farmers in the area are male household heads working together with household members. Two household types were identified: (i) farmers that use ground and surface water and employ a combination of traditional methods and new technologies (tube wells and water pumping machines) and (ii) those that use surface water released by government from a barrage (dam) by means of gravity. The former category of farmers, although find difficulty in carrying out their activities, in terms of cost of pumping water and other inputs, are less vulnerable because they have some amount of control over their sources of water and they can also use residual moisture along floodplains after the rainy season. This gives them the advantage of cultivating a greater variety of crops and even a second crop using residual moisture at the end of the rainy season, in addition to rain-fed (first) crop and irrigated (third) crop. Conversely, the later category, suffer from occasional delay in the release of water from the barrage and are restricted to a limited variety of crops. However, both categories have developed coping strategies during past and present droughts. They are also willing to adapt some and even new strategies as adaptation measures against future droughts. 2 INTRODUCTION Background Floodplain agriculture is critical to survival and economic development in the rural areas of Sahel West Africa. Semi-arid Northern Nigeria, like the entire West African Sahel, is experiencing significant climatic and anthropogenic changes that have exacerbated the food insecurity in the region rendering poor rural households more vulnerable. Following widespread failure of large-scale irrigation projects throughout much of Sub-Saharan Africa, many policy makers, stakeholders and donor agencies have become convinced that the security offered by floodplains could become the basis for rural economic transformation and food security in semi-arid Africa, as they contribute significantly to domestic food production (Adams and Carter, 1987; Morgan and Solarz, 1994; Vaishnav, 1994). Whereas, rain-fed agriculture lasts about three months, floodplain (fadama)1 agriculture is practiced throughout the dry season, which may last from six to nine months. The floodplains support residual moisture agriculture at the end of the rainy season and small-scale irrigation during the dry season, thus providing opportunities for agricultural diversification not found in the uplands, and allowing for double, or even triple cropping during one year. During the past two decades, however, most floodplains in semi-arid northern Nigeria have come under severe pressure from several sources. First, rainfall has been declining in the area (Anyadike, 1993; Hess etal, 1995) especially since after the “jump point” which lies after the predrought2 period before 1964 and during the drought period between 1964 and 1972 (Tarhule and Woo, 1998). This change, which increased the vulnerability3 of rain-fed agriculture, has caused many farmers to shift their attention to fadama agriculture (Adams, 1986; Kimmage, 1991; Dabi and Anderson, 1998). Declining rainfall has also led to water scarcity in the more arid regions, which were used by nomadic herdsmen for grazing their herds during the dry season. Now, these herdsmen routinely spend the entire dry season in the semi-arid region, bringing added pressure and competition on fadama resources, principally, alluvial aquifers but also the surrounding land in the area. Secondly, widespread acknowledgement that the Green Revolution Initiative of the 1970’s failed to ensure food security in Sub-Saharan Africa, compelled policy makers to shift attention away from the large-scale government irrigation projects to fadama agriculture. For example, in Northern Nigeria, funding by the World Bank facilitated the drilling of thousands of tube wells in floodplains and the distribution of petrol-driven irrigation pumps at subsidized prices to farmers to stimulate adoption of irrigated agriculture (World Bank, 2001). Such large-scale investment in small-scale, floodplain irrigation sanctioned by the World Bank, illustrates the extent of the expectation that policy makers have come to place on alluvial aquifers. But these investments have increased pressure on the floodplains. This pressure coupled with the possibility of an increase in drought occurrences as Turner (1985, p. 18) defined fadama as “land seasonally flooded or waterlogged.” Fadama has also been defined as “low lying land seasonally inundated due to water intrusion (naturally or artificially and can be used for the cultivation of irrigated crops” (Dabi and Anderson, 1998). 1 “Drought is a normal, recurrent feature of climate... Drought originates from a deficiency of precipitation over an extended period of time, usually a season or more. This deficiency results in a water shortage for some activity, group, or environmental sector.” Conceptually, drought is seen as a “protracted period of deficient precipitation resulting in extensive damage to crops, resulting in loss of yield.” (National Drought Mitigation Center, 2005). 2 3 Several definitions of vulnerability and adaptation are found in the literature and have been summarized in Huq et al (2003). 3 projected by the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), could spell disaster for the sustainability of floodplain agriculture and food security in the region (IPCC, 2001). Study Area The study area is the Hadejia River valley stretching from the Kano area through Hadejia and Nguru to Gashua and covering an area of about 4,000 ha of farmland. About 8,000 farmers from different village areas are engaged in some form of fadama farming along this river valley which forms part of the Hadejia-Jama’are – Yobe River Basin (see Figure 1). The entire Basin covers an area of 45,000 km2 and is situated in semi-arid Northern Nigeria. The three main rivers in the Basin are the Hadejia, Jama’are and Yobe rivers. The Hadejia and Jama’are meet in the Hadejia-Nguru Wetlands to become the Yobe River. The traditional farming system in the Basin, particularly in the downstream areas is flood farming. This flood farming depends on residual moisture for the second crop while rainfed farming is relied upon for the growth of the first crop. Since the early 1980s, small-scale irrigation which pumps water from the river and floodplain (shallow wells) has been stimulated in the basin through subsidies (see for example Adams, 1986; Kimmage, 1991; Dabi and Anderson, 1998), permitting the introduction of the third crop during the dry season, while intensifying the cultivation of the second. A combination of these activities has increased the productivity and income of farmers in the area. The choice of the study area is hinged on three main factors. First, background data on important hydro-geologic variables (e.g. stream flow stage and discharge, water level measurements, and meteorological data) for the floodplain exist from prior research conducted in the area by the researcher and other collaborators. Second, rapport has already been established and maintained with the local inhabitants since 1994 and particularly, 2003; this will be critical in assuring participation by villagers in project design, data collection, and monitoring. Third, the entire Hadejia-Jama’are – Yobe River Basin is a very important economic hub, with about 800,000 fadama farmers engaged in all year round crop production. The all-year round agricultural production, besides providing steady income to the rural populace, encourages the retention and attraction of productive labour force into the rural areas, thereby enhancing productivity and development in the rural areas as well as checking rural-urban migration with all its attendant problems. The adverse impact of climate change in the economic sustainability of this area, is therefore of great importance. For example, the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2001) emphasised the need for the assessment of the impact of climate change on food and agricultural production. For the case study, two areas were selected – Bunkure and Hadejia areas. Two villages from each area were then selected. In Bunkure area, Zangon Buhari and Barkum villages were selected. Zongon Buhari has an ‘organized system’ that uses surface water released from a barrage (dam) in a network of canals for irrigation. Contrary, Barkum has a ‘traditional system’ that uses surface and groundwater from natural sources (tributary streams) for irrigation. Similarly, in Hadejia area, Matsa and Gamsarka-Zimoni villages were selected. Matsa has a ‘traditional system’ while GamsarkaZimoni, an ‘organized system’. These two farming systems are considered here as two distinct household typologies. Consequently, the two household types (traditional and organized) formed the basis of the study (unit of enquiry). These subdivisions are necessary in other to make comparisons between household types and between locations. Varying the household types according to farming system will reveal the level of vulnerability of each category to farm inputs, especially water availability, especially during and after drought events. 4 Figure 1: Study Area OBJECTIVES The aim of this study is to investigate the vulnerability of floodplain agriculture to the potential effects of future climate change, particularly droughts, and how the farmers can adapt to such climatic hazards. The study will focus on the risks that fadama farmers are exposed to under current climate conditions, the way they adapt to such risks, and the possible variations in these adaptations that might arise in the face of global environmental change, especially further decline in rainfall leading to droughts, reduction in stream flow, lowering of groundwater levels, and increased water scarcity for livestock and humans. Understanding the relationships that have evolved to cope with current climate hazards is a critical first step in identifying possible adaptations to manage future climate risks. Therefore, the study will analyse current vulnerability and evaluate current adaptation strategies to determine their present and potential future effectiveness in reducing this vulnerability. This aim can be achieved through the following specific objectives: To determine how farmers are experiencing the impacts of drought in the floodplains; To document farmers’ past and current coping strategies to climate variability and change and to evaluate the success of the current measures that have been adopted to cope with drought; To determine which of the coping strategies or measures fadama farmers are willing to adopt in an event of future droughts in the light of global environmental change. METHODOLOGY The objectives of the present study will be met by documenting past and current coping strategies and analysing the current coping strategies of farming households in the floodplain area in the face of increasing incidence of drought. The household is the main unit of analyses. The analysis will compare the two household typologies (traditional and organized) among the four villages and between the two study areas. The method of study involved the stages enumerated below: 5 An extensive literature search to conceptualize the study and to develop appropriate survey and analytical tools; A “transect walk” in the study area that facilitated the selection of the two sample villages from the two study areas (sites). The sample villages were selected based on the following criteria: (i) a concentration of fadama farmers within a fairly closed section of the basin; (ii) existence of organized and traditional systems with well demarcated farm plots; (iii) their proximity to sources of secondary data; and (iv) ease in communication with farmers and accessibility to the farm plots; A reconnaissance survey during which arrangements were made for data collection including visits to sources of information, selection of keys informants (community/religious leaders, household heads, a few farmers, Local Government representatives, and other stakeholders), development of the survey instrument (questionnaire), and selection of samples from two farming systems (i) The traditional irrigation system in which local farmers use stream (surface) water, direct from source and groundwater pumped with water pumping machines to irrigate their crops and (ii) The organized irrigation systems in which local farmers are provided with surfaced water from a barrage (reservoir) released through a main canal, distributory and field channels; Field data collection (questionnaire survey and focus group discussions – FGDs). The field survey was carried out with the farming household as the unit of analysis (see Stephen and Downing, 2001). The questionnaire was the major tool for data collection. The questionnaire designed for data collection is divided into six sections as follows: (a) Identification and demographic characteristics; (b) Educational attainment and employment (income generation economic activities); (c) Drought history and environmental concerns (vulnerability); (d) Impacts of droughts (and water availability) on Fadama (floodplain) agricultural activities; (e) Impacts of droughts (and water availability) on household livelihood; and (f) Coping strategies and Adaptation. The questionnaires were administered to a sample of fifty (50) farmers randomly selected from each of the four communities (villages). This gives a total of 200 questionnaires in all. Effort was made to include farmers in different age groups (20 to 49 years and 50 years and older). Both male and female respondents were considered but it was not possible to get a gender balance because only a few females participated as a result Islamic religion restrictions on women (the purdah system). The focus group discussions (FGD) with 10 to 12 members were conducted for the two areas separately, irrespective of farming system (household type). The FGD, were conducted by the researcher (as facilitator) with the two earlier research assistants taking the notes (see Ney, 2002); Data analysis at this stage only involved the documentation, evaluation and description of farmer responses to the questions asked in the questionnaire as well as comments generated during the focus group discussions (FGD). This was done using descriptive statistics including frequencies, percentages and averages (means) and presented on tables and graphs (figures). Furthermore, the several coping strategies identified from the questionnaire administration and focus group discussions were analyzed to ascertain appropriate adaptation measure against future droughts based on farmer knowledge and preferences, using a participatory rural appraisal (PRA) technique (see Kidd, et al. (1991), Walker, et al, (2002), Roncerel, et al, (2003), and Downing (2004)). 6 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Demographic and Socioeconomic Characteristic of fadama farmers Demographic characteristics In Zangon Buhari, there were 47 males and only 3 females (females are not usually allowed to meet with strangers because of the religious restriction called pudah). Respondents were between the ages of 25 years and 93 years. 48% were less that 50 years and 52% of them were 50 years and above. All but one of the respondents was married. The unmarried respondent is an elderly woman who is now a widow. Majority (46%) of those married had two wives. The highest category of respondents (34%) had between 5 and 9 children. Majority (62%) of them had between one and four other dependants. The highest category (34%) of respondents had household sizes of between 10 and 14 members. This is closely followed by those who had between 5 and 9 members (28%). From the 50 households interviewed, there are 650 members with an average household size of 13 people. In Barkum, There were also 47 males and only 3 females between the ages of 20 years and 80 years. 44% were less that 50 years and 56% of them were 50 years and above. Almost all the respondents were married except the elderly women who participated that are widows. Majority (60%) of the married respondents had two wives. The highest category of respondents (30%) had between 10 and 14 children. The highest category (38%) of respondents had between one and four dependants. The highest category (30%) of respondents had household sizes of between 15 and 19 members. This is closely followed by those who had between 10 and 14 members (26%). From the 50 households interviewed, there are 968 members with an average household size of about 19 people. All respondents in Matsa were males between the ages of 20 years and 80 years. 60% were less that 50 years and 40% of them were 50 years and above. Almost all the respondents were married but one. Majority (54%) of the married respondents had two wives. This is followed by those with one wife (36%). The highest category of respondents (44%) had between 5 and 9 children. The highest category (38%) of respondents had between one and four dependants. This is closely followed by those (34%) who did not have dependants. The highest category (38%) of respondents had household sizes of between 10 and 14 members. This is closely followed by those who had between 15 and 19 members (20%). From the 50 households interviewed, there are 819 members with an average household size about 16 people. While in Gamsarka-Zimoni, all respondents were males between the ages of 21 years and 70 years. 54% were less that 50 years and 46% of them were 50 years and above. All the respondents here were married, majority (56%) of whom had two wives. This is followed by those with one wife (32%). The highest category of respondents (44%) had between 5 and 9 children. The highest category (42%) of respondents had between one and four dependants. This is followed by those (26%) who had ten or more dependants. The highest category (28%) of respondents had household sizes of between 10 and 14 members. This is closely followed by those who had between 5 and 9 members (26%). From the 50 households interviewed, there are 713 members with an average household size about 14 people. Barkum had the highest household size followed by Matsa, Gamsarka-Zimoni and lastly Zangon Buhari. Educational status of respondents Most (86%) of the respondents in Zangon Buhari had Koranic education, one had no formal education, four with primary and two with secondary education. Most those in Barkum (72%) had Koranic education, four had no formal education, eight with primary and two with secondary education. For the respondents in Matsa, most of them (76%) of the respondents had Koranic 7 education, one had no formal education, ten with primary education and one with secondary education. Whereas those in Gamsarka-Zimoni, a little less than half (48%) had Koranic education, only eight had no formal education, 15 with primary education and three with secondary education. Major source of income Generally speaking, agriculture (farming and animal husbandry) is the major economic activity for most people in the study area. For Zangon Buhari, the major source of income for a majority of the respondents (72%) is farming. Few others are traders (8%), while the remainder provide off-farm labour or do some crafts as artisans (20%). Most (78%) of the farmers are engaged in a combination of rainfed and irrigated farming, producing the first crop and third crop respectively. (The second crop is cultivated at the end of the rainy season using residual moisture and when the first is maturing and awaiting harvesting). Only two (4%) practice irrigation farming alone and nine others (18%) farm only in the wet seasonal. Those engaged in rainfed and irrigated agriculture, work during both seasons and spend between eight to twelve months of the year farming. The others work during any of the seasons and spend only about four months of the year working off-farm. Most of the farmers (38%) earned between N50,000 and N99,000 from farming at the end of the season. This is followed by those who earn between N10,000 to N49,000 in a season, accounting for 22%. A reasonable percentage (14%) of the respondents earn more than N200,000 at the end of the farming season. Farmers in this community earn as much as N 4,233,600 at the end of the farming season. This gives an average income of about N84,600 per household. Similarly, in Barkum, the major source of income for a majority of the respondents (74%) is farming. A few others are traders (4%), while the remainder provide farm labour or do some crafts as artisans (22%). Almost all (90%) of the farmers are engaged in a combination of rainfed and irrigated farming. Only two of them (4%) practice irrigation farming alone and three (6%) farm only in the wet seasonal. Farmers earned reasonable income from farming. The highest category of the farmers (26%) earned up to N200,000 and more at the end of the farming season. This is followed by those who earn between N10,000 to N49,000 in a season, accounting for 20%. A reasonable percentage (16%) of the respondents earn between N50,000 and N99,000 at the end of the farming season. Farmers in this community earned as much as N7,045,450 at the end of the farming season with an average household income of about N140,900. In Matsa also, farming is the major source of income for most of the respondents (78%). A few others are traders (12%), while the remainder provide farm labour or do some crafts as artisans (10%). Almost all (88%) of the farmers are engaged in rainfed and irrigated farming. Only two (6%) of the farmers practice irrigation farming alone while three (6%) farm only in the wet season. These earned the highest category of the farmers (32%) between N10,000 and N49,000 at the end of the farming season. This is followed by those who earned between N50,000 to N99,000 in a season, accounting for 22%. A reasonable percentage (16%) of the respondents earn between N100,000 and N149,000. Farmers in this community earn as much as N 4,189,000 at the end of the farming season and gave an average income of about N83,700 per household. While in Gamsarka-Zimoni, even a greater majority of the respondents (88%) have farming as their major source of income. Very few are traders (2%), with the remainder engaged in farm labour and off-farm activities (craftsmen and artisans) accounting for only 10%. Virtually all (98%) of the farmers are engaged in rainfed and irrigated farming. Only one (2%) practice irrigation farming alone and none farm only in the wet seasonal. Their major economic activity earned them a lot of income. The highest category of the farmers (48%) earned N200,000 or more at the end of the farming season. The next higher category earned between N100,000 to N149,000 in a season, accounting for 18%. A reasonable percentage (16%) of the respondents earn between N50,000 and N99,000. In 8 total, farmers in this community earned as much as N 10,201,000 with an average income of about N204,000 per household. This high income can be attributed to contribution of five farmers who earned large sums. Four earned as much as half a million and one earned up to one million. Other sources of income Most respondents from the four villages have additional (secondary) sources of income from activities undertaken during the wet and/or dry season. In Zangon Buhari, majority (62%) do some kind of trading and other off-farm jobs for additional income from which they generated some income. A majority of the respondents (45.6%) earned between N10,000 and N49,000, followed by those who earned less than N10,000. Only two persons (2.5%) earned more than N200,000 from secondary sources of income. Similarly, majority of respondents (62%) in Barkum do some kind of trading and other off-farm jobs for additional income from which most of them (about 46%) earned between N10,000 and N49,000. This is followed by those who earned less than N10,000. Only two persons (2.5%) earned more than N200,000 from secondary sources of income. On the other hand, a higher percentage of the respondents (68%) in Matsa are engaged in trading and other off-farm jobs for additional income. These earned them between N10,000 and N49,000 for a majority of the respondents (about 54%). The next category earned between N50,000 and N99,000. But as in the case of Barkum, only two persons (1.4%) earned more than N200,000 from secondary sources of income. Lastly, respondents in Gamsarka-Zimoni also earned income from secondary activities. However, a lower percentage of the respondents (54%), compared to the other three villages trade and do other off-farm jobs for additional income. Consequently, less income is generated from these sources. A small majority of respondents (39.7%) earned between N10,000 and N49,000 from these other sources. This is followed by those who earned between N50,000 and N99,000.00 (22.1%). Incidences of Drought and Impacts on Fadama Farming Farmers’ experience of drought All respondents from the four communities agreed that they have observed changes in rainfall. However, the nature of observation and experience vary from one community to another. In Zangon Buhari, almost all of the respondents (98%) indicated that they have observed a decrease. However, only one person representing only 2% of respondents indicated an increase. These changes were observed within the last three decades (1974 to 2003) with the highest frequency being in 1984, followed by 1985. These dates coincide with the drought period of 1984/85. In Barkum, most of the respondents (88%) indicated that they have observed a decrease. However, six persons representing 12% of respondents indicated an increase in rainfall in the area. These changes were observed within the last four decades (1964 to 2004) with the highest frequency being in 1985, followed by 2003. These dates also coincide with the drought period of 1984/85 and another in 2003/2004. In Matsa, most of the respondents (88%) indicated that they have observed a decrease as the case in Barkum. However, six persons representing 12% of respondents indicated an increase in rainfall. These changes were observed within the last four decades (1963 to 2004) with the highest frequency 9 being in 2004, followed by 1985, then 2003. These dates also coincide with the drought period of 1984/85 and another in 2003/2004. Finally, in Gamsarka-Zimoni, most of the respondents (80%) indicated that they have observed a decrease in rainfall. However, six persons representing 20% of respondents indicated an increase in rainfall. These changes were observed within the last four decades (1963 to 2004) with the highest frequency being in 2004. This date coincides with the drought period of 2003/2004. Table 1 summarizes farmers’ observations with changes in rainfall and other indicators of water availability. Table 1: Number of respondents who have observed changes in water availability Changes observed Total rainfall Time of onset Time of cessation Frequency of events Intensity of events Level of groundwater Timing of recharge Timing of discharge Level of stream flow Recharge of stream flow Discharge of stream flow Frequency of floods Total number of observations Percentage (%) Zangon Buhari Decrease Increase 49 1 28 19 29 16 34 7 31 8 17 31 27 17 25 19 32 8 34 6 32 8 34 4 372 72.1 144 27.9 Barkum Decrease Increase 44 6 26 20 20 23 42 3 41 4 30 17 31 10 18 23 36 11 40 5 19 25 37 5 384 71.6 152 28.4 Matsa Decrease Increase 44 6 23 8 7 20 27 6 29 2 21 9 21 9 5 25 18 16 10 16 10 15 8 28 223 58.2 160 41.8 Gamsarka-Zimoni Decrease Increase 40 6 34 6 7 33 40 3 40 1 11 11 14 9 7 16 13 29 10 13 17 9 11 28 244 59.8 164 40.2 From the table, it can be observed that in Zangon Buhari, There was a decrease in water for all the observations made, except for the level of groundwater. This shows a general decline in water availability, which coincided with the drought periods of 1984/85 and 2002/2003 noted by the respondents. In Barkum, There was also a general decrease in water for all the observations made, except for time of cessation of rainfall, as well as timing of discharge of groundwater and stream flow. This also shows a general decline which coincided with the drought periods of 1984/85 and 2002/2003. In Matsa, again, there was a general decrease in water for all the observations made, except for time of cessation of rainfall and timing of discharge of groundwater. There was also an increase in recharge and discharge of stream flow and frequency of floods. This general decline in water coincided with the drought periods of 1984/85 and 2002/2003/2004. While in GamsarkaZimoni, there was a general decrease in water for all the observations made, except for time of cessation of rainfall, timing of discharge of groundwater, level of stream flow, recharge of stream flow, and frequency of floods. This general decline in water coincided with the drought period 2002/2003/2004. Whereas in the more southerly locations, Zangon Buhari and Barkum decreases in water availability with less frequencies of floods were observed, in the more northerly locations, Matsa and GamsarkaZimoni, although there were decreases in water availability, there were increases in the incidences of floods. However, this was perhaps superseded with increased frequencies in flooding. This may be attributed to the fact that these two locations are at the downstream section of the River Hadejia. 10 These fluctuations between water shortages and excesses certainly affected farming activities in the area. If such conditions prevail in the future, fadama farming will surely be affected due to droughts and flood insurgences. Other environmental problems affecting fadama farming Farmers were asked to rank environmental problems as they affect their farming activities. The outcomes are summarized on Table 2 below. Table 2: Ranking of environmental problems in the study area Environmental Problem Decline in rainfall Dust storms Desertification Deforestation Soil erosion Decline in soil moisture Declining soil fertility Loss of biodiversity Total No of respondents that rank each problem Zangon Buhari Barkum Matsa Gamsarka-Zimoni 1st 2nd 3rd 1st 2nd 3rd 1st 2nd 3rd 1st 2nd 3rd 19 6 2 34 7 1 36 9 2 37 5 1 2 3 3 1 3 5 2 2 8 1 8 7 1 3 9 0 3 4 3 1 1 1 5 2 5 4 3 0 4 1 1 1 5 0 0 3 3 4 6 2 3 11 0 4 6 0 2 3 4 11 6 2 8 12 0 3 9 3 4 11 4 6 5 4 11 7 6 26 4 2 19 1 0 1 4 1 3 2 1 0 2 0 1 14 38 38 38 44 42 43 49 46 37 44 44 42 The table demonstrates an assessment of respondents' ranking of environmental problems. Whichever environmental problem has more respondents in any rank category, it is selected as the dominant rank in that category. In Zangon Buhari, declining rainfall is ranked 1st by the majority. Therefore, declining rainfall is considered as the most serious problem. This is followed by decline in soil moisture (which is drought related) and then desertification in a descending order of severity. In Barkum, Therefore, declining rainfall is considered as the most serious problem followed by decline in soil fertility and declining soil moisture. These rankings are similar to those of Zangon Buhari. In Matsa, declining rainfall is the most serious problem. This is followed by declining soil fertility, then declining soil moisture. Lastly, in Gamsarka-Zimoni, declining rainfall is also the most severe environmental problem. This is followed by declining soil fertility and declining soil moisture. From all villages, declining rainfall ranked 1st meaning that it is a common problem in the Hadejia river floodplain. This is confirmed by the ranking of other problems which are quite similar among the four villages. Definition of drought from farmers’ perspectives Farmers’ definition of drought also followed a similar pattern as seen on Table 3. Table 3: Farmers' definition of drought Definition Lack of rain Shortage of rain during rainy season Lack of water Cessation of rain during rainy season Zangon Buhari Freq % 6 12 Barkum Freq % 26 52 Matsa Freq % 13 26 Gamsarka-Zimoni Freq % 34 68 24 3 48 6 13 3 26 6 10 18 20 36 11 1 22 2 10 20 5 10 1 2 1 2 11 When rainfall starts and stops midway and crops dries due to lack of water Lack of both rain and underground water Total 5 10 2 4 5 10 2 4 2 50 4 100 1 50 2 100 3 50 6 100 1 50 2 100 From Table 3 above, farmers’ definitions were concentrated as follows: In Zangon Buhari, almost half of the farmers (48%) defined drought as shortage of rain during the rainy season followed by those (20%) that defined it as cessation of rain during the rainy season. In Barkum, most of the farmers (52%) defined drought as lack of rain followed by those (26%) that defined it as shortage of rain during rainy season. In Matsa, most of the farmers (36%) defined drought as lack of water followed by those (26%) that defined it as lack of rain. Yet a reasonable percentage (20%) that defined it as shortage of rain during rainy season. While in Gamsarka-Zimoni, Most of the farmers (68%) defined drought as lack of rain followed by those (22%) that defined it as shortage of rain during the rainy season. From these definitions, it is almost certain that farmers have a fair conceptualization or understanding of what drought is and its effects. Vulnerability to drought Farmers were also asked to indicate the level of dependence or vulnerability of their activities to drought. Their responses and observations are presented on Table 4 below. Table 4: Farmers' vulnerability to drought Extent Entirely dependent Partially dependent Neutral (Not sure) Very slightly dependent Not dependent at all Total Zangon Buhari Freq % 7 14 19 38 20 40 1 2 3 6 50 100 Barkum Freq % 17 34 26 52 5 10 1 2 1 2 50 100 Matsa Freq % 33 66 3 6 6 12 5 10 3 6 50 100 Gamsarka-Zimoni Freq % 35 70 8 16 3 6 4 8 0 0 50 100 In Zangon Buhari, most farmers (40%) in this area were neutral about their vulnerability to drought. This is closely followed by those (38%) who believed that they are partially dependent (vulnerable) to drought. This may be attributed to the fact that they are located more southerly or because they rely on water released from the barrage (dam). In Barkum, most farmers (52%) believed that they are partially vulnerability to drought followed by those (34%) who believed that they are entirely dependent (vulnerable) to drought. This may be attributed to the fact that Barkum is located further north than Zangon Buhari and the people of Barkum rely on natural sources of water (stream flow and groundwater). In Matsa, majority of farmers (66%) in this area believed that they are entirely dependent (vulnerability) to drought. This is followed by those (12%) that are neutral about the dependence of their activity to drought. This may also be attributed to the fact that they are located further north than Zangon Buhari and even Barkum. Secondly, fadama farmers in this area are also dependant on natural sources of water (stream flow and groundwater). While in Gamsarka-Zimoni, majority of farmers (70%) in this area believed that they are entirely dependent (vulnerability) to drought followed by those (16%) that thought their activities are partially dependent on drought. This may also be attributed to the fact that Gamsarka-Zimoni are located further north as Matsa, although the 12 fadama farmers in this area are also dependant on water supplied from the barrage (dam) through canals. However, all the farmers (from the four villages) agreed that water is necessary for farming, especially during droughts which they have all experienced. A majority of the farmers (44%) in Zangon Buhari experienced the drought in 1984. Other droughts they experienced were in1976, 1982, 1984, 1985, 1986, 2002, 2003, and 2004 and most of them (58%) also agreed that the most devastating drought was in 1984. In Barkum, farmers were more diverse in their experience of drought. Majority of them (18%) experienced the drought of 1984, followed by those of 2000 and 2003 (16% each), then 1985 (14%). A greater majority (30%) also agreed that the most devastating drought was in 1984. This is closely followed by those (28%) who believe that the drought of 1985 was the most devastating. Similarly, in Matsa, a majority of the farmers (30%) experienced the drought in 2004, followed by those the experienced it in 1985 (16%), then 1983 (14%). A greater majority (36%) also agreed that the most devastating drought was in 1985. Although this does not conform to the majority that experienced the 2004 drought, it conforms to the next, 1985. While in Gamsarka-Zimoni, the story is fairly different. Most of the farmers (70%) experienced the drought in 2004, followed by those the experienced it in 1985 (6%). Albeit, a smaller majority of the farmers (24%) agreed that the most devastating drought was in 2004. This is closely followed by those that believed the 1983 drought was devastating (20%), then 1985 (18%). These observations conformed to the majority that believed the 2004 drought was the most devastating. The devastating effects of the droughts are shown on Figure 2. 50 Number of Respondents 45 40 35 Crops dried up and destroyed 30 25 Food scarcity and starvation 20 Reduction in quantity of food intake 15 10 5 0 Zangon Buhari Barkum Matsa Gamsarka-Zimoni Name of Village (Community) Figure 2: Devastating Effects of Drought From the figure above, it is obvious that the devastating effects of drought vary from one community to the other. For example, in Zangon Buhari, where farmers rely on surface water channelled from a barrage (dam), almost all the farmers (92%) indicated that the most devastating effect of the drought was that their crops dried up and were destroyed. But in Matsa, a community that depends on both surface water and groundwater, the effects are fairly (almost evenly) distributed. 13 However, for all communities, the most devastating effect of droughts experiences by fadama farmers was that their crops dried up and destroyed. The next effect that cut across all communities is food scarcity and starvation. Reduction in quantity of food intake (including skipping of meals) was less intense in all villages. Coping with Drought Coping with drought depends on the severity of the stressors or level of vulnerability and the resilience or decisions and/or actions farmers may take to minimise the impacts. The myriad of decisions taken by farmers were documented and are discussed in the subsequent sections. Major decisions taken to cope with drought Farmers from the different villages took a variety of decisions to cope with the most devastating drought. Figure 3 shows the variations in farmer decision. Number of Respondents 35 30 25 20 Migrated 15 Irrigated 10 Off-farm labour Prayed 5 Sold Assets 0 Zangon Buhari Barkum Matsa Gamsarka-Zimoni Name of Village (community) Figure 3 Major Decisions Taken to Cope with Drought From the figure, it can be observed that in Zangon Buhari, majority (52%) of farmers sold their assets in order to cope with the drought. This is followed by those (28%) who intensified irrigation (fadama farming) in order to cope. In Barkum, farmers were moderate in their decisions. Majority of the farmers (28%) intensified irrigation (fadama farming), followed by those who migrated (24%), then those that embarked on off-farm labour and trade (20%) in order to cope. In Matsa, half (50%) of farmers migrated (in search of jobs, money and food) in order to cope with the drought. This is followed by those who intensified irrigation (20%) and those who embarked on off-farm labour and trade (16%). While in Gamsarka-Zimoni, more than half (58%) of farmers intensified irrigation in order to cope with the drought, followed by those who migrated (22%). A reasonable proportion of the farmers embarked on off-farm labour and trade (16%) in order to cope. It can be seen that all four villages had different major strategies to cope with drought. However, irrigation was the first in Barkum but second in the other three villages. This signifies the importance 14 of irrigated (fadama) farming in the Hadejia River Valley. The main reasons for their decisions are the need to feed their families for those that intensified irrigation or sold assets and to look (search) for money and food for those that migrated or embarked on off-farm labour. Almost all farmers from all four villages (81%, 100%, 86%, and 84% of farmers in Zangon Buhari, Barkum, Matsa, and Gamsarka-Zimoni respectively) agreed that the will make decisions based on the same reasons, should another drought occur. Assistance and Advice for farmers during and after drought Farmers expect assistance from family members, neighbours, the community, government, and nongovernmental organizations. The basic assistance they require from these bodies is food but in some cases, fertilizer (and other farm inputs), money and prayer. They also require advice as to what to due after a drought event. They seem not to be familiar with the need to plan against a future occurrence. Fewer farmers had ever received advice in order to cope with a drought or prepare against another. Figure 4 shows the extent of lack of information dissemination in the area. 50 Number of Respondents 45 40 35 30 25 Yes 20 No 15 10 5 0 Zangon Buhari Barkum Matsa Gamsarka-Zimoni Name of Village (community) Figure 4 Receipt of Assistance or Advice by Farmers \ From the figure, it is obvious that majority of farmers received neither assistance nor advice. For example, in Zangon Buhari and Barkum in Bunkure area of Kano State, very few farmers received any advice or assistance from any agency on how to prepare for or cope from a drought. The few received advice from the Kano State Agricultural Development Authority (KNADA), Kano State Corporative (KASCO) and government extension workers. The assistance offered included most especially food (grains), clothes, shelter, money, and farm inputs (fertilizers, pesticides, seeds). These advice and assistance were given during the drought years, 1984 to 1988, especially in 1984 in Zangon Buhari; as well as some of the drought years, 1975, 1985, 1987, 1998, 2000 and 2002 in Barkum. 15 Matsa and Gamsarka-Zimoni in Hadejia area, Jigawa State had faired better in term is receipt of advice and assistance although majority did not receive any. For those that received, the assistance came from the government organizations including Jigawa Agricultural and Rural Development Authority (JARDA), the radio and extension workers as well as community development associations. Most of the assistance and advice were offered very recently (2000, 2001, 2002, 2004 and 2005) and included food stuff, farm inputs, cash loans and a water pump. Existing plans in an event a drought occurs very soon As far as existing plans in an event of another drought, there is variation among the four villages. Most of the farmers had existing plans to cope in the future in an event of another drought. A few farmers, however, did not have any existing plan for coping with drought in the near future but to pray. Such attitude may be attributed to their level of education or lack of access to information (e.g. warning signs). Figure 5 below illustrates some of the variations among farmers in respect to future plans to cope with drought. Number of Respondents 45 40 35 30 25 20 Yes 15 No 10 5 0 Zangon Buhari Barkum Matsa Gamsarka-Zimoni Name of Village (community) Figure 5 Existing Plans in an Event of another Drought In Zangon Buhari, most farmers (64%) have no existing plans. Only a few (36%) have existing plans. But for such group of farmers, prayer was their main reason or plan in an event of another drought. In Barkum, however, the opposite is the case since majority of the farmers here (82%) have existing plans. Only 18% of them have no existing plans. There is a similar trend in Matsa and GamsarkaZimoni with 64% and 60% of farmers respectively, having existing plans. Major strategies to cope with future droughts For the group of farmers who had existing plans, such plans are considered as coping strategies. Figure 6 below shows some of the major strategies farmers plan to adopt in an event of another drought soon. 16 30 Number of Resondents 25 20 Migrate 15 Intensify irrigation 10 Off-farm labour Prayer 5 Store food 0 Zangon Buhari Barkum Matsa Gamsarka-Zimoni Name of Village (community) Figure 6 Major Strategies to Cope with Future Drought From the graph, it can be observed that the existing plans or coping strategies vary from one village to the other. In Zangon Buhari for example, fewer farmers had existing plans. Majority of the farmers (33%) plan to commit the problem to prayers in an event of another drought. This is closely followed by those that plan to intensify irrigation (28%) and embark on off-farm labour (22%). In Barkum however, more farmers have planned coping strategies. Majority of them (59%) plan to intensify irrigation in an event of another drought. This is followed by those (20%) that plan to commit the problem to prayers. This is a departure from the first village where fewer farmers have plans. Matsa and Gamsarka-Zimoni have similar plans, with intensification of irrigation topping the list in each case with 41% and 80% respectively. Both villages have corresponding strategies tailing plans to intensify irrigation. These are plans to migrate (22%) and to embark on off-farm labour (22%) for Matsa 7% for each case in Gamsarka-Zimoni. Impacts of Droughts on Fadama (Floodplain) Agricultural Activities Majority of farmers in the Hadejia river valley own land ranging from 0.2 hectares to as much as 35 hectares for both irrigated and rainfed agriculture. A few may rent land from others or use community land. Some portion of this land is dedicated for irrigation (fadama) farming, especially land located along the floodplains of stream channels (tributaries) of the Hadejia River. Land located along the dam canals are particularly used for irrigation. The reason why farmers may dedicate land or want to intensify irrigation farming in the floodplains (fadama) will depend on access to surface or groundwater as well as the the impacts of drought on their activities. Table 5 presents data on land dedicated for fadama farming in the study villages. Table 5 Area extent of land under irrigation (fadama) farming Farm size (ha) Zangon Buhari Freq % Barkum Freq % Matsa Freq % Gamsarka-Zimoni Freq % 17 Less than 1 1 - 1.99 2 - 2.99 3 - 3.99 4 - 4.99 5 - 5.99 6+ Total 4 12 14 6 9 3 2 50 8 24 28 12 18 6 4 100 18 8 8 5 2 7 2 50 36 16 16 10 4 14 4 100 13 5 7 4 4 3 14 50 26 10 14 8 8 6 28 100 2 4 1 2 2 5 34 50 4 8 2 4 4 10 68 100 In Zangon Buhari, majority of the farmers (20%) have farm sizes of between 3.00 and 3.99 ha. This is followed by those with 2.00 to 2.99 ha (14%). In Barkum, farmers have smaller land masses with the majority (36%) having farm sizes of less than one hectare. This is followed by those with farm sizes ranging from 1 to 1.99 ha and 2.00 to 2.99 ha (16% each). In Matsa, farmers dedicated larger pieces of land for irrigation. Majority of the farmers (28%) here have farm sizes of six hectares or more. This is closely followed by those with farm sizes of less than one hectare (26%), then 2 to 2.99 ha (14%). While in Gamsarka-Zimoni, just as in Matsa, farmers dedicated large pieces of land for irrigation. Most of the farmers (68%) here have farm sizes of six hectares or more. This is followed by those with farm sizes between 5 to 5.9 hectares (10%), then between 1 and 1.99 (8%). Sources of water for fadama farming Fadama farmers obtain water from different sources for farming. Some of these sources include: rain harvesting, flood water (residual moisture), surface water (direct from stream or river, direct from pond, dam or barrage) and groundwater (hand dug wells {up-land}, shallow wells {river bed}, and boreholes or tube wells). Almost all of the farmers (98%) in Zangon Buhari used surface water from the dam via canals mostly during the rainy season. The only farmer (2%) that does not use water from the canal got water from shallow wells dung in the farm (used in-situ). In addition, 56% of them used rainwater harvesting in the rainy season for their farms. No farmers in Zangon Buhari used water direct from a stream, residual moisture or borehole (tube well). In Barkum, majority of the farmers (86%) used only groundwater by means of tube wells mostly during the rainy season. Only 14% of the farmers use groundwater from shallow wells, hand dug wells or draw water direct from the stream using water pumping machines. In addition to groundwater sources, only nine farmers (18%) used rainwater harvesting techniques in the rainy season for their farms. One other farmer used residual moisture at the end of the rainy season to grow his crops (this is the second crop). No farmer in this area has access to water from a dam conveyed in canals unlike Zangon Buhari area. In Matsa, most of the farmers (43%) used groundwater from either shallow wells, borehole or hand dug wells mostly during the dry season. This is closely followed by those farmers (40%) that used surface water abstracted directly from the stream or ponds usually at the end of the rainy season. Water abstraction by both groups of farmers is done by means of petrol-driven water pumping machines. In addition to groundwater sources, only seven farmers (10%) use rainwater harvesting techniques in the rainy season for their farms in this area. Five other farmers (about 7%) use residual moisture at the end of the rainy season to grow a second crop. However, no farmer in this area has access to water from a dam conveyed in canals. 18 While as many as 80% of the farmers in Gamsarka-Zimoni used only surface water drawn by gravity from the canals fed by the barrage (dam) mostly during the dry season. Only 10% of the farmers used groundwater from shallow wells, hand dug wells or borehole in this area usually during the rainy season. In addition to groundwater sources, a few farmers (about 10%) used rainwater harvesting techniques in the rainy season for their farms. No farmer here used residual moisture at the end of the rainy season to grow his crops. Crops cultivated and quantities produced in the area Table 6 presents data on crop production by fadama farmers in the selected four villages in the Hadejia River Valley. 19 Table 6 Crops Cultivated and Quantities Produced and Income Generated by Fadama Farmers in the Four Villages Zangon Buhari Farm Quantities Size Produced (ha) (kg) 56.2 32265 Income Generated (Naira) 1,613,250 Number of Farmers 48 Farm Size (ha) 64.1 Barkum Quantities Produced (kg) 50355 Income Generated (Naira) 2,517,750 Number of Farmers 47 Farm Size (ha) 253.9 Matsa Quantities Produced (kg) 198315 Income Generated (Naira) 9,915,750 Number of Farmers 46 138.6 54.8 93.7 1.0 2.0 65.7 45.1 5.0 70.6 21.7 22.0 1.0 1.0 39.0 1.0 0.5 5,628,150 1,262,520 20,195,748 132,300 40,000 2,389,632 1,138,320 46,800 107,100 793,500 159,500 120,000 13,500 4,637,500 4,500 5,750 48 43 41 1 36 43 42 24 31 39 17 22 3 26 4 1 146.7 46.5 64.8 0.3 87.9 72.7 46.4 23.7 48.7 70.1 14.9 22.2 2.2 39.8 3.0 0.1 142560 45135 124075.8 252 1,573,000 59270.4 9916.8 9450 109260 430550 14625 63100 2700 9390 1300 150 10,692,000 2,031,075 17,370,612 52,500 7,856,000 4,741,632 842,928 302,400 3,824,100 6,458,250 292,500 2,524,000 27,000 65,730 13,000 3,750 45 49 48 42 4 12 42 19 45 13 39 4 2 12 23 6 149.2 159.3 184.4 168.0 8.0 20.9 103.9 50.1 176.2 34.3 118.2 14.1 5.0 19.6 41.0 11.1 87813 64680 271594.8 122220 10,000 8859.2 25776 5275 117320 17100 47950 1500 200 24050 16230 5175 6,585,975 2,910,600 38,023,272 25,666,200 50,000 708,736 2,190,960 168,800 4,106,200 256,500 959,000 60,000 2,000 168,350 162,300 138,000 37 43 46 16 0 7 42 7 18 29 3 0 0 1 2 0 45.6 58.7 108.6 20.1 0.0 3.0 24.0 3.6 12.4 25.1 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 46332 63155 392274 53298 0 2900.8 15648 2300 31120 78500 400 0 0 200 400 0 3,474,900 2,841,975 54,918,360 10,001,880 0 232,064 1,330,080 73,600 1,089,200 1,177,500 8,000 0 0 1,400 4,000 0 Total 403 618.9 1064438.5 38,288,106 Note: *Guna is a local drought resistant variety of crop. 469 753.6 2645090 59,615,227 452 * N 130,00= US$1.00 1517.1 1024058 92,072,643 297 372.1 764692.8 79,061,209 Crops Cultivated Along Fadamas Millet Guinea Corn (sorghum) Maize Rice Wheat Sugar Cane Groundnut Beans Potatoes Tomatoes Onions Peppers Carrots Cabbages Water Melon Guards Guna Number of Farmers 42 49 41 48 1 2 43 47 7 45 21 22 1 1 31 1 1 75042 28056 144255.6 630 8,000 29870.4 13392 1462.5 3060 52900 7975 3000 1350 662500 450 230 Gamsarka-Zimoni Farm Quantities Income Size produced Generated (ha) (kg) (Naira) 68.1 78165 3,908,250 20 From the table (zx) above it can be seen that almost all farmers from the four villages cultivate traditional crops (millet, sorghum, maize, rice, ground nuts, and beans). They also cultivate some vegetables (tomatoes, onions, peppers, water melon). In addition to these, the following observations came be made: In Zangon Buhari, only two farmers cultivated sugar cane; one, wheat; another, carrots and cabbages; and one other guards and guna. Farmers committed a total of about 620 hectares of land to these crops. Most of the land was used for the cultivation of sorghum and the least to guna. Farmers here produced as much as 1064400 kg (about 1060 tonnes) of grains and vegetative crops. The highest output is from rice (about 140 tonnes). Farmers earned as much as N38.2 million from their produce. The highest earning came from rice (N20million) and the least from guards (N4,500). With this, farmers have an average income of about N77,000 per household from farming activities. In Barkum, as many as 36 farmers cultivated sugar cane, 24 cultivated potatoes, only one cultivated wheat, three cultivated cabbages, four cultivate guards and only one guna. Farmers committed a total of about 753 hectares of land to these crops. Most of the land was used for sorghum and the least to wheat and guna. Farmers produced as much as 2645090kg (about 2645 tonnes) of grains and vegetables. The highest output is from sugar cane (about 157 tonnes). They earned as much as N59.6 million from these produce. The highest earning came from rice (N17million) and the least from guards (N3,750). Therefore, farmers had an average income of about N1.1million per household. In Matsa, on the other hand, as many as 42 farmers cultivated wheat, 23 cultivated guards, 19 cultivated potatoes, four cultivated sugar cane and carrots, two cultivate cabbages, and six cultivate guna. The farmers committed a total of about 1,517 hectares of land to all crops they cultivated. Most of the land was used for millet and the least for cabbages. Consequently, farmers produced as much as 1024058kg (about 1024 tonnes) of grains and vegetables. The highest output is from rice (about 271 tonnes). Farmers earned as much as N92million from their produce. The highest earning come from rice (N38million) and the least from cabbages (N2,000). This gives an average income of about N1.8million per household. While in Gamsarka-Zimoni, no farmer cultivated sugar cane, carrots, cabbages, and guna. Instead, they concentrated on wheat, potatoes and guards in addition to the main traditional crops. Farmers committed a total of about 372.1 hectares of land to all crops they cultivated. Most of the land was used for rice and the least, water melons. The total produce was as much as 764692.8kg (about 765 tonnes) of grains and vegetables. The highest output was from rice (about 392 tonnes). The total money earned by farmers here was as much as N79million. The highest earning come from rice (N54million), the least from water melon (N200). This give each households an average income of about N1.5million. In summary, farmers in Matsa earned the highest among the four villages. This is followed by farmers in Gamsarka-Zimoni, then Barkum, and Zangon Buhari as the least earner. Regrouping the farmers according to their areas and household types: In Bunkure area, groundwater users in Barkum (who have control over their water resources and can use residual moisture) cultivated a greater variety of crops, produced more and earned more money from almost the same area extent of land than their surface water user counterparts in Zangon Buhari (who rely on government controlled and artificial channels conveying water from the barrage). The case is the same in the Hadejia area between surface and groundwater users in Matsa and their surface water users contemporaries in Gamsarka-Zimoni. Coping and Adaptation Strategies for fadama farmers Table 7 below summarizes data on farmer past and present coping strategies in the four villages. 21 Table 7 Farmers' Past and Present Coping Strategies Coping Strategy Zangon Buhari Change activity Number Adopted Present Past Barkum Change activity Number Adopted Present Past Drought resistant crop varieties 18 13 5 28 19 9 Crop diversification 15 10 5 19 17 2 Livestock diversification 23 20 3 22 19 3 Early mature crop varieties 40 40 0 34 33 1 High yield varieties 9 3 6 13 11 2 Low input varieties 7 1 6 12 8 4 Irrigated crops 34 32 2 29 27 2 Replanting 14 14 0 9 7 2 Herd movement 6 1 5 3 0 3 Herd supplementation 5 2 3 4 4 0 Culling animals 25 22 3 11 10 1 Labor migration 8 4 4 5 3 2 Selling assets 16 15 1 16 15 1 Herd sedentarization 3 1 2 4 4 0 Farm location 3 2 1 6 3 3 Herd/farm sizes 3 1 2 5 4 1 Water exploitation methods 3 2 1 10 9 1 Water use changes 3 2 1 7 6 1 Water storage methods 3 2 1 5 3 2 Food storage 20 18 2 19 18 1 Assistance from relations 15 14 1 15 8 7 Assistance from Community 12 11 1 10 4 6 Assistance from Government 11 10 1 9 3 6 Assistance from NGOs/CBOs 4 1 3 7 2 5 Abandoned activity 3 1 2 6 1 5 Migrated 12 11 1 8 3 5 Note: Culling of animals means getting rid of older animals and paving way for the younger ones. Matsa Change activity Number Adopted Present Past 16 21 19 31 17 20 25 4 4 7 20 9 19 5 10 5 6 4 5 11 7 8 8 9 8 10 15 20 19 23 16 14 25 3 1 6 19 8 18 5 8 5 6 2 4 10 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 1 0 8 1 6 0 1 3 1 1 1 1 0 2 0 0 2 1 1 6 7 7 7 7 7 Gamsarka-Zimoni Change activity Number Adopted Present Past 27 27 12 29 14 4 35 1 1 1 20 4 10 1 8 3 5 1 3 23 3 4 4 1 3 3 27 27 12 29 14 4 35 1 1 1 20 4 10 1 8 3 5 1 3 21 3 4 4 1 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 From the table above, several observations can be made. For example, considering Zangon Buhari, in the past, not many farmers adopted the strategies for coping with droughts. However, recently, after the most devastating drought, farmers became more vulnerable and adopted the coping strategies. The five most widely used new adaptation strategies in a descending order of importance are the use of early maturing crops, and irrigated crops, keeping of livestock, culling animals, and food storage. The least newly adopted strategies are use of low input varieties, herd movement, herd sedentarization, reduction in herd and farm sizes, receipt of assistance fron NGOs and CBOs, and abandonment of activity. At Barkum, the situation was similar to that of Zangon Buhari in the past, not many farmers adopted the strategies for coping with droughts until the most recent devastating drought before farmers started adopting coping strategies. The five most widely used new adaptation strategies in a descending order of importance are early maturing crops, irrigated crops, drought resistant crop varieties, livestock diversification, and food storage. The least newly adopted strategies are herd movement, herd supplementation, herd sedentarization, labour migration, reduction in herd/farm sizes, and water storage methods. In Matsa, on the other hand, in the past, very few farmers adopted coping strategies. But with the most devastating drought, their attitude changed as they began to adopted some coping strategies. The five most widely used new adaptation strategies in a descending order of importance are early maturing crops, irrigated crops, crop diversification, low input varieties, and culling animals. The least newly adopted strategies are replanting, herd movement, water use changes, herd sedentarization, reduction in herd/farm sizes, and water storage methods. While in Gamsarka-Zimoni, in the past (earlier than 10 years ago), there was virtually no adaptation of strategies for coping with droughts by farmers. They too had to adopt some coping strategies with the most recent devastating drought. The five most widely used new adaptation strategies in a descending order of importance are irrigated crops, early maturing crops, drought resistant crop varieties, crop diversification, and food storage. The least newly adopted strategies are replanting, herd movement, herd supplementation, water use changes, herd sedentarization, water storage methods, and assistance from NGOs/CBOs. Future Adaptation Strategies (measures) The coping strategies farmers have adopted in the past and present will obviously become adaptation strategies for the fadama farmers during future droughts. Willing to adopt present coping strategies as future adaptation measures Table 8 presents information on farmers’ willingness to adopt certain coping strategies to serve as adaptation measures in the future. 23 Table 8 Coping Strategies Farmers are Willing to Adopt as Future Adaptation Measures Zangon Buhari Barkum Adaptation Measures Willingness to adopt Willingness to adopt Yes No Total Yes No Total Drought resistant crop varieties 4 14 18 25 3 28 Crop diversification 4 11 15 19 0 19 Livestock diversification 14 9 23 20 2 22 Early mature crop varieties 28 12 40 32 2 34 High yield varieties 1 8 9 12 1 13 Low input varieties 1 6 7 12 0 12 Irrigated crops 23 11 34 29 0 29 Replanting 12 2 14 9 0 9 Herd movement 1 5 6 1 2 3 Herd supplementation 0 5 5 4 0 4 Culling animals 15 10 25 10 1 11 Labor migration 4 4 8 4 0 4 Selling assets 8 8 16 16 0 16 Herd sedentarization 0 3 3 4 0 4 Farm location 0 3 3 6 0 6 Herd/farm sizes 1 2 3 5 0 5 Water exploitation methods 0 3 3 10 0 10 Water use changes 0 3 3 7 0 7 Water storage methods 3 0 3 4 1 5 Food storage 15 5 20 18 1 19 Assistance from relations 6 9 15 13 2 15 Assistance from Community 4 8 12 8 2 10 Assistance from Government 7 5 12 7 2 9 Assistance from NGOs/CBOs 0 4 4 5 2 7 Abandoned activity 0 3 3 2 4 6 Migrated 9 3 12 5 3 8 Note: Culling of animals means getting rid of older animals and paving way for the younger ones. Matsa Willingness to adopt Yes No Total 14 2 16 14 7 21 12 7 19 24 7 31 11 6 17 15 5 20 25 0 25 2 2 4 2 2 4 4 2 6 12 8 20 4 5 9 11 8 19 3 2 5 2 8 10 3 2 5 4 2 6 1 3 4 1 4 5 7 4 11 1 6 7 1 7 8 1 7 8 1 8 9 1 7 8 1 9 10 Gamsarka-Zimoni Willingness to adopt Yes No Total 27 0 27 25 2 27 11 1 12 29 0 29 14 0 14 4 0 4 35 0 35 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 18 2 20 3 1 4 9 1 10 1 0 1 8 0 8 3 0 3 5 0 5 1 0 1 3 0 3 23 0 23 1 2 3 2 2 4 3 1 4 1 0 1 2 1 3 3 0 3 24 The table above shows that farmers across the four villages are willing to adopt some of the coping strategies as future adaptation measures. Such willingness is distributed as follows: In Zangon Buhari, the five most widely acceptable strategies farmers are willing to adopt in the future are the use of early maturing crops, irrigated crops, culling animals, food storage, and keeping of livestock. Replanting of crops when affected by a drought is the sixth most important strategy fadama farmers are willing to adopt in the future. The most important strategies farmers are not willing to adopt in the future are planting of drought resistant crop varieties, crop diversification, use of high yield and low input crop varieties, keeping of livestock and selling of assets. In Barkum, the five most widely acceptable strategies farmers are willing to adopt in the future are early maturing crops, irrigated crops, drought resistant crop varieties, livestock diversification, and crop diversification. Crop diversification has displaced food storage in this case which comes as the sixth strategy farmers are willing to adopt. The most important strategies farmers are not willing to adopt in the future are to abandon their activity, migrate, or cultivate drought resistant varieties. In Matsa on the other hand, the five most widely acceptable strategies farmers are willing to adopt in the future are irrigated crops, early maturing crops, low input varieties, drought resistant crop varieties, and crop diversification. The most important strategies farmers are not willing to adopt in the future are migrate, culling animals, selling assets, change farm location, get assistance from NGOs. Whereas in Gamsarka-Zimoni, the five most widely acceptable strategies farmers are willing to adopt in the future are irrigated crops, early maturing crops, drought resistant crop varieties, crop diversification, and food storage. The most important strategies farmers are not willing to adopt in the future are crop diversification, culling animals, get assistance from relations, assistance from community among others. Farmers that are not willing to adopt scientific strategies have exhibited their level of vulnerability involved with some of these strategies. This may be attributed to the lack information, extension services or the required inputs to grow the crops. In fact, some of the scientific (biogenetic) crops have high requirements to thrive well (produce good yields). However, those that are more willing to adopt scientific strategies may be less vulnerable. This may be attributed to the fact that they have access to advice and information from extension services or government. Sometimes they are provided with farm inputs to grow the crops. In fact, some of the scientific (biogenetic) crops have high requirements to thrive well (produce good yields). Choice of Appropriate Future Adaptation Strategies (Measures) Farmers were given the option to choose from a number of strategies they will adopt in the future in an event of another drought. The five most important options (in a descending order of importance) from the four villages are illustrated on Table 9 below. 25 Table 9 Farmers' views of Top Five Most Appropriate Future Adaptation Measures Zangon Buhari % Strategy Response Irrigated crops 28 Early mature crop varieties 24 Crop diversification 22 Barkum Strategy Matsa % Response Irrigated crops Early mature crop varieties 36 Strategy Early mature crop varieties 26 Irrigated crops 18 Culling animals 20 Food storage Water exploitation methods Migrated Total 6 100 Livestock diversification Total % Response 30 Gamsarka-Zimoni % Strategy Response 33 27 Irrigated crops Early mature crop varieties Culling animals 20 Food storage 19 10 Migrated 16 10 100 Food storage Total 7 100 High yield varieties Drought resistant crop varieties Total 25 15 8 100 From the table irrigation of crops ranked highest in the choice of strategy to be adopted in the future in an event of a drought in three of the villages (Zangon Buhari, Barkum, and GamsarkaZimoni). All three villages had planting of early maturing crops as the second most important strategy. The reverse is the case for Matsa where the highest (topmost) strategy is planting of early maturing crops while irrigation of crops is the next strategy. Food storage appeared third in two of the villages (Barkum and Gamsarka-Zimoni) and fifth in one village (Matsa). Other strategies vary from one village to the next as seen on the table. This result indicates that the best strategy for the future will be a combination of strategies since they are not mutually exclusive. For example, while fadama farmers can intensify irrigated farming, they can plant early maturing crops in the process and even try different other crop varieties (diversification) including high yield varieties and drought resistant varieties. CONCLUSION From the analyses and observations made in the preceding sections, it is clear that intensifying irrigation is the most important coping strategy for fadama farmers in the Hadejia valley. The issue is how well this activity can be carried out considering the fact that there is no clear divide between groundwater and surface water users. Farmers in Barkum are groundwater users who depend on their local knowledge (technology) and petrol-driven machines to pump water for irrigation. Farmers in Matsa use both groundwater and surface water from a nearby tributary (stream) also by means of petrol-driven water pumping machines. While farmers from GamsarkaZimoni are surface water users depending on water released by government from the barrage (dam) through a network of canals and flowing by gravity. Farmers from Zangon Buhari are also surface water users but located upstream. Groundwater users (households) may suffer from high cost of accessing water (the prohibitive cost of pumping machines or sinking boreholes) but have a more dependable source. They can also use residual moisture from a natural stream channel. This is unlike the surface water users may enjoy easy access to water flowing gravitationally but run the risk of dry spells, when water is not released by government. And because of the artificial nature of the water channel (constructed), may not have the added advantage of residual moisture for a second crop at the end of the rainy season. 26 It can be concluded therefore, that groundwater users (households) who depend on their local technology and petrol-driven machines to pump water for irrigation and who have access to residual moisture for a second crop are less vulnerable to drought than surface water users who depend on government-controlled water sources from the barrage (dam) released through a network of canals and flowing by gravity to their farm for irrigation. Surface water users are therefore more vulnerable. In order to sustain fadama (floodplain) agriculture in the area, farmers must be willing to try the adaptation measures they themselves suggested (chose). They will also require advice and assistance from the government (extension workers and the media). 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