Agenda Item No: 4 HERTFORDSHIRE COUNTY COUNCIL ADULT CARE AND HEALTH CABINET PANEL THURSDAY 4 FEBRUARY 2010 AT 10.00AM DEMENTIA DIAGNOSIS [Author: Dr Mike Walker, Consultant, Lambourn Grove Elderly Assessment Unit, St Albans Tel: 01727 837155] 1. Purpose of report 1.1 To inform the Panel about why many people with dementia do not receive a diagnosis, and why many more receive a diagnosis late in the course of the illness. 2. Background 2.1 Dementia is a global loss of cognitive function. It is usually progressive and usually irreversible. There is progressive impairment of memory, personality, language function, practical abilities, orientation and eventually all areas of cognition. 2.2 It is increasingly common with age, the prevalence roughly doubling with every 5 years of life. Age is the strongest single risk factor, though there are others including gender and cardio-vascular risk factors. Consensus estimates of the population prevalence of late onset dementia: Age (years) F (%) M (%) Total (%) 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90–94 1.0 2.4 6.5 13.3 22.2 29.6 34.4 1.5 3.1 5.1 10.2 16.7 27.5 30.0 1.3 2.9 5.9 12.2 20.3 28.6 32.5 (Alzheimer society 2007) 100204 Adult Care & Health Cabinet Panel Item 4 – Dementia Diagnosis 1 The most common forms of dementia are: Type of dementia Approximate percentage of cases Alzheimer’s disease Vascular and Mixed Dementia Dementia with Lewy Bodies (DLB) Fronto-temporal dementia (Pick’s disease) 62% 27% Up to10% < 5% (but a large percentage of young-onset cases) (derived from Alzheimer’s Society 2007) 2.3 Vascular dementia is caused by blood vessel disease in the brain. In some cases, a number of strokes causes a total loss of brain tissue which gradually leads to a dementia. In other cases there are not blockages of large blood vessels with obvious strokes but the disease is of smaller vessels with dementia itself being the first sign of illness. There are many cases of mixed Alzheimer’s and Vascular Dementia; in fact in recent years there has been increased evidence of a link between the two. The absolute divide we have often made may be incorrect in many (or even most) cases. The positive side of this is there is quite a lot we know about how to prevent strokes. This allows older people to take positive steps to reduce their risk of dementia. A slogan quoted in the National Dementia Strategy is “what’s good for your heart is good for your head”. 2.4 Dementia with Lewy Bodies is related to Parkinson’s disease. In some cases Parkinson’s disease comes first, and in others cognitive decline is the first sign of illness. 2.5 Fronto-temporal dementia is one of the most difficult to diagnose correctly because there is often no impairment of memory and sparing of other elements of cognition early in the illness. The first signs are usually change of personality or language problems. 3. How does Hertfordshire compare with other areas? 3.1 The Alzheimer’s society estimated that in 2007 38.5% of people with dementia in England were recorded on their GP’s register. The estimate for East and North Herts PCT was 39.3% and for West Herts PCT, 35.7%. 100204 Adult Care & Health Cabinet Panel Item 4 – Dementia Diagnosis 2 3.2 Percentages of the estimated number of people with dementia on the GP dementia register by PCT: (What every commissioner needs to know – Alzheimer’s Society 2009) East and North Herts is at number 75, and West Herts at number 35. 3.3 What is the range of error on the estimated totals? 3.3.1 The estimate of the total number of people in Hertfordshire with dementia (12,983) is based on a number of national and international surveys and projected figures for the population of Hertfordshire. It is certain that there are many more people in Herts with the condition than are diagnosed. The actual magnitude of this difference is much less certain. The studies from which the estimates were derived had for example prevalence of dementia in the 85 – 90 age group ranging from 15 – 30%. The estimate is based on an average of 20%. The range of 15 – 30% in the 85-90 age band applied to Hertfordshire is 1900 people. 3.3.2 The population figures for Hertfordshire are based on the last full census in 2001, with a mid-year estimate in 2006 and projections from there. The GP dementia registers are not necessarily the same population. Some Hertfordshire GPs have non-Herts patients and vice versa. 4. Why has diagnosis in the past not been made or made late? 4.1 There has been a lack of understanding of the benefits of diagnosis 4.1.1 Until the late 1990s there were no effective medical treatments available for the common forms of dementia. It was perceived that making a diagnosis of an untreatable condition was not in the patient’s interest. However in the last 10 years there have been a number of drugs proven to have efficacy in Alzheimer’s Disease. This has helped remove the stigma of an untreatable condition. Though the condition 100204 Adult Care & Health Cabinet Panel Item 4 – Dementia Diagnosis 3 remains progressive and irreversible, effective treatment gives an obvious reason to make a diagnosis. 4.1.2 Work with carers and service users has shown that there are important benefits to both groups knowing the diagnosis rather that having the massive impact of the condition build up with no explanation or ability to plan care. If people have the diagnosis and prognosis explained they can plan their future care with their carers. There is evidence that early take up of social care in the community such as home care and respite care prevents having to move to a care home later in the course of the illness (Gaugler et al 2005). 4.1.3 The Mental Capacity Act (2005) mandates that someone with mental capacity must give consent to any proposed medical treatment or care activity. It allows someone with capacity to make an advanced directive to plan their care if they lose capacity in the future. It also allows someone to appoint an attorney to take decisions for them if they lose capacity in the future. It is therefore vital that someone has the opportunity to exercise these choices while they still have capacity. This may well be the case in mild dementia, or where dementia is suspected but not actually established, but is very often not the cases when dementia has reached its moderately severe and severe stages. 4.2 Stigma and autonomy 4.2.1 The situation in the past may be likened to the attitude towards cancer diagnosis in the more distant past. It was felt that the diagnosis was too awful to contemplate, should be hidden from the patient and communication might be confined to a family member. The view that the patient should be shielded from the diagnosis went hand in hand with pessimism about treatment. Many cancers became increasingly treatable at the same time as social changes undermined the view that a competent adult should have decisions made without their knowledge of the situation. 4.2.2 Surveys have shown that most people, though not all, would like to know their own diagnosis of dementia. A smaller fraction of the carers for people with dementia feel that the person they care for should know their diagnosis (Jha et al 2001). In view of these findings, the issue of communication of diagnosis should be approached sensitively, a blanket insistence on telling everyone would be inappropriate. The guiding principle should perhaps be that someone should know what they are being tested for and give a view in advance as to whether they want to know the result. One must also bear in mind that where the diagnosis is not made early the person with dementia may lack mental capacity to understand it. 100204 Adult Care & Health Cabinet Panel Item 4 – Dementia Diagnosis 4 4.3 Referral to specialist services was usually made at a late stage of the disease 4.3.1 When there was a perception that nothing could be done about dementia itself, people were usually referred to specialist services when there was a problem with their care needs or their behaviour. Typically, care needs develop gradually from the middle phase of dementia. Many people with mild dementia have few care needs, being able to look after themselves for most regular daily tasks, including in some cases being able to drive. The behavioural and psychological symptoms of dementia can come and go throughout the course of the illness. There may be depression and anxiety in the early phases. The more severe behavioural problems of aggression and wandering do not usually appear until the later phases of the illness (except in the relatively rare fronto-temporal variant). The perception was that specialist services were mainly for people with moderate to severe dementia with associated problems, not for people with mild dementia with mainly cognitive problems. The time course of the three domains of dementia Cognition Care Needs Behavioural and psychological symptoms Time 100204 Adult Care & Health Cabinet Panel Item 4 – Dementia Diagnosis 5 4.3.2 Specialist services continue to have to fulfil these needs, i.e. helping arrange care and managing behavioural problems when people have developed moderate to severe dementia. While there is increased awareness of the benefits of early diagnosis, there is not the capacity to treat everyone with mild and borderline dementia as we do people with severe problems. Members of specialist mental health teams may have a caseload of 20 to 40 people with ongoing problems with dementia. The total caseload of Specialist Mental Health Teams for Older People in March 2008 was just under 5000, including people with functional mental illness. With an estimated population with dementia in Hertfordshire of over 12 000, it would not be possible to work in the same way. 5. Are current services able to deal with an increased demand? 5.1 The incidence of dementia (new cases) has been estimated at about 2% in a population of over-65s (Bannerjee et al 2007). If the population of over 65 in Hertfordshire was 167 100 (DoH POPPI website) in 2009, this would lead to an estimate of 3 340 new cases of dementia a year in Hertfordshire. We would not expect every referral to a dementia diagnostic service to be correct before diagnosis. Some people would have a milder condition, often called Minimal Cognitive Impairment (MCI) and some would not have a serious condition at all but be worried about their memory. Even if attempts to screen and raise awareness are very successful, it still likely that not all people with dementia would be referred. The DoH pilot led to an estimate of seeing 600-800 new referrals a year for a population of 50000 over 65s. This would equate to about 2100 for Hertfordshire in 2009. 5.2 In the year April 2007 – March 2008 the Specialist Mental Health Teams for Older People (SMHTOPs) of Hertfordshire Partnership NHS Foundation Trust (HPFT) accepted 4163 referrals. In the same period 1814 new outpatient referrals were accepted. Many of these were for older people with functional mental health problems (i.e. not dementia), we do not have separate figures, but we believe that considerably more than half of these would be with dementia. Many will be re-referrals rather than entirely new service users. However, in summary it is likely that the total number of new referrals seen by a new service would be less than the total seen currently. 5.3 The NDS envisaged a new team dedicated to diagnosis of dementia and early intervention. The document suggested 10 WTE staff from a variety of professional disciplines for a population of 50000, i.e. 30 WTE for Herts. In the current financial climate, this large number of new staff is unlikely to be forthcoming and we have had to focus on working with the services we already have and making smaller investments where there are gaps in current services. 100204 Adult Care & Health Cabinet Panel Item 4 – Dementia Diagnosis 6 5.4 We currently have 9 memory clinics in Herts, so each would need to see 200 to 400 new referrals a year. This is not an impossibly large figure. This is less people than our current services currently see with dementia. An important question is whether seeing people earlier and making an earlier diagnosis will be entirely additional work or whether an early diagnosis will prevent the need for later crisis referrals. The reality is likely to be between either simple extreme. The whole thrust of the NDS is that earlier diagnosis will improve care in dementia and reduce the need for help in a crisis and for 24 hour care. The NDS presents some evidence showing that early take up of community services or intensive case management can reduce the use of institutional care later. However, it would be unrealistic to see all diagnostic visits to memory clinic as one-off. If we diagnose Minimal Cognitive Impairment, there is a high chance someone will develop dementia later. We might need a number of assessments in this situation before confirming a mild dementia. The drug treatment criteria of NICE also impose a second threshold for repeat assessment. NICE recommends drug treatment of moderately severe but not mild Alzheimer’s disease. Memory assessment services will be asked to repeat assessments until this threshold is passed. 5.5 In the DoH pilot in Croydon, it was estimated that 15% of referrals to the new service were “shifted”, i.e. they would have previously been seen by the old service. Taking away this group, there was a 63% increase in the rate of diagnosis of dementia when a new dedicated service was set up in parallel to the Old Age Psychiatry team. 5.6 A related issue is that support following diagnosis of dementia needs to be improved. As above, our current services are currently focussed on intervention later in the course of illness and on the related behavioural and functional problems that come with more advanced dementia. The other major focus of current services is on delivering the 3 drugs which the National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) has approved for use with Alzheimer’s disease in the NHS. It is not so much that current services would be unable to deal with the above rate of referrals, it is more that they are currently pre-occupied with prescribing and monitoring medication for Alzheimer’s Disease and dealing with crises. The new service envisaged by the NDS would have separated off the function of early diagnosis and intervention in dementia from a traditional old age psychiatry service and run in parallel. If we are going to achieve similar results without a large investment in a whole new team we need to think about how to use current resources more efficiently. 100204 Adult Care & Health Cabinet Panel Item 4 – Dementia Diagnosis 7 6. Work in progress on new pathways for Early Intervention and Diagnosis in Hertfordshire Provisional New Care Pathway for Early Diagnosis and Intervention in Dementia in Hertfordshire: Independence And Wellbeing Primary Care Dementia Link Nurse Psychological Treatment Memory Clinic Drug Treatment Dementia Advisers Prevention Direct And/or Emergency Referral Specialist Mental Health Team Intermediate Care Psychiatric In-patient Assessment IOT Day Care Specialist Home Care General Hospital Liaison Respite Care 24 Hour Care The above is the care pathway we are developing for a future service in Hertfordshire. This includes: Separation of dementia diagnosis and treatment. Our current memory clinics are largely dementia treatment clinics. The first point of referral for a person with suspected dementia will be a single memory assessment service. This will be able to work closely with dementia advisors (see below). Specialist link nurses will liaise between primary care and the specialist mental health teams. They would advise primary care practitioners on assessment and management of dementia, see some service users on primary care premises and advise on appropriate referral to more specialised services. 100204 Adult Care & Health Cabinet Panel Item 4 – Dementia Diagnosis 8 Dementia advisers will support service users and carers after a diagnosis is made. They will be a single point of contact with dementia services. Dementia advisers will have local knowledge about the services available to people with dementia and their carers. They will be available to people with dementia and their carers throughout the course of the illness. A nurse-led dementia drug treatment service. We will train more nurses to take on the follow-up prescribing of the three drugs which NICE recommends for moderately-severe Alzheimer’s disease. This will release specialist doctors to spend more time on early diagnosis and less on routine prescribing. Psychological treatment for dementia. We have started running Cognitive Stimulation Therapy groups in parts of the county and plan to extend this to the whole county. This treatment has proven efficacy in dementia and this may be of a similar magnitude to drug treatment. WE are not limited by NICE guidance as to which groups can receive this treatment. High quality information for people diagnosed with dementia. There will be information about dementia and its sub-types. There is also a need for advice about Power of Attorney, Advance Directives, wills. People will need to know about the benefits available. We will also tailor a second set of information to locally available services which will vary across Hertfordshire. Peer support networks - Al’s Cafes. Peer support will allow people with dementia and their carers to meet other people in this situation to share information and provide mutual support. The Al’s Café provides an informal drop-in setting on a regular basis where both people with dementia and their carers will be welcome. There will also be opportunities to make contact with and share learning with professionals. In Hertfordshire, ACS and the Alzheimer’s Society have been successful in a joint bid to be a demonstrator site for this service. There will be explicit planning of future care at an early stage while the person with dementia has mental capacity. An important caveat is that this care pathway is still in development. We may not in the end choose all the elements above and there will almost certainly be additions. 7. Recommendation The Panel is invited to note and comment on the report. 100204 Adult Care & Health Cabinet Panel Item 4 – Dementia Diagnosis 9