Hazard & Risk Assessment
Probability and Severity Metrics
I. Probability Metric
1. Consider the number of occurrences on your campus over the past 25 years, the
number of similar events at other Universities, and any changes or trends that
could affect the frequency of this event on your campus.
Estimate the likelihood this event will occur in next 25 years.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Not applicable (will not occur)
Doubtful (not likely)
Possible (could occur)
Probable (very likely to occur)
Inevitable (will occur)
II. Severity Metrics
A. Human Impact
1. If this event has occurred in the past on your campus, what were the extent of
injuries and deaths that occurred?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
None, or this event has never occurred on campus
Few minor injuries
Multiple minor injuries or a major injury
Multiple major injuries or a death
Multiple deaths and major injuries
2. Consider the potential for injuries or deaths from this event on your campus or
from similar events at other universities, and any changes or trends that would
affect future injuries and deaths from this type of event.
Estimate the number of injuries and deaths that could result from this event:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
None
Few minor injuries
Multiple minor injuries or possible major injury
Multiple major injuries or possible death
Multiple deaths and major injuries
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B. Facilities Impact
1. Consider the vulnerability of your central campus facilities to this event. (See the
attached page for a list of typical campus facilities.)
Estimate the extent of damage to campus-wide facilities:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Little or no damage
Mild damage to several facilities
Moderate damage to multiple facilities
Severe damage to multiple facilities
Extensive damage to most facilities
2. Considering the extent of damage to central campus facilities, estimate the total
cost to respond to the event and repair or replace all damaged facilities:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Less than $1 million
Between $1 million and $10 million
Between $10 million and $100 million
Between $100 million and $1 billion
More than $1 billion
C. Institutional Impact
1. If this event occurred on your campus, estimate the duration of interruption to
campus-wide teaching and research activities, and business operations:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Hours
Days
Weeks
Months
Year or longer
2. To what extent would this event negatively impact the campus reputation or
public image over the long term?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
None
Minor
Moderate
Significant
Severe
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Central Campus Facilities
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
Lab Research buildings
General Classroom buildings
Large auditorium/lecture halls
Main Library and branch libraries
Animal care/vivarium facilities
Agricultural/crop operations
Residence halls and Dining halls
Student Healthcare facility
Central Administration building
Public Safety building(s)
Central IT data center
Central telecomms switching facility
CoGen/Steam plant
Electrical substation(s)
Utility systems (water-sewer/power-gas systems)
Bulk fuel/gas/water storage tanks/facilities
Hazardous waste handling facility
Roadways/bridges/tunnels
Performing arts center
Sports stadium
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