Electronic Supplementary Material 1
Additional relevant references
Relevant references to go further in some issues highlighted in the paper:
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Process-based model to predict species distribution: Hickler et al. 2004; Neilson et al.
2005; Scheller & Mladenoff 2005.
Dynamic Global Vegetation Models: Prentice et al. 2006.
Gap-models: Friend et al. 1997, Lischke et al. 2006.
Correlative models predictions: Iverson et al. 1998; Thomas et al. 2004; Thuiller et al.
2004.
Ecological niche: Nakashizuka 2001.
Ecoregions: Olson et al. 2001.
Differential sensitivity of life stages to climate change: Svensson et al. 2005.
Friend, A.D., Stevens, A. K., Knox, R. G., and Cannell, M. G. R. 1997. A process-based,
terrestrial biosphere model of ecosystem dynamics (Hybrid v3.0). Ecological
Modelling 95, 249-287.
Hickler, T., Smith, B., Sykes, M. T., Davis, M. B., Sugita, S. & Walker, K. 2004 Using a
generalized vegetation model to simulate vegetation dynamics in northeastern USA.
Ecology 85, 519-530.
Iverson, L. R. & Prasad, A. M. 1998 Predicting abundance of 80 tree species following
climate change in the Eastern United States. Ecological Monographs 68, 465-485.
Lischke, H., Zimmermann, N. E., Bolliger, J., Rickebusch, S. & Loffler, T. J. 2006 TreeMig:
A forest-landscape model for simulating spatio-temporal patterns from stand to
landscape scale. Ecological Modelling 199, 409-420.
Nakashizuka, T. 2001 Species coexistence in temperate, mixed deciduous forests. Trends in
Ecology & Evolution 16, 205-210.
Neilson, R. P., Pitelka, L. F., Solomon, A. M., Nathan, R., Midgley, G. F., Fragoso, J. M. V.,
Lischke, H. & Thompson, K. 2005 Forecasting regional to global plant migration in
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Olson, D. M., Dinerstein, E., Wikramanayake, D., Burgess, N. D., Powell, G. V. N.,
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on Earth. Bioscience 51, 933-938.
Prentice, C., Bondeau, A., Cramer, W., Harrison, S. P., Hickler, T., Lucht, W., Sitch, S.,
Smith, B. & Sykes, M. T. 2006 Dynamic global vegetation modelling: quantifying
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Scheller, R. M. & Mladenoff, D. J. 2005 A spatially interactive simulation of climate change,
harvesting, wind, and tree species migration and projected changes to forest
composition and biomass in northern Wisconsin, USA. Global Change Biology 11,
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Svensson, C. J., Jenkins, S. R., Hawkins, S. J. & Aberg, P. 2005 Population resistance to
climate change: modelling the effects of low recruitment in open populations. Global
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Thomas, C. D., Cameron, A., Green, R. E., Bakkenes, M., Beaumont, L. J., Collingham, Y.
C., Erasmus, B. F. N., Siqueira, M. F. d., Grainger, A., Hanna, L., Hughes, L.,
Huntley, B., Jaarsveld, A. S. V., Midgley, G. F., Miles, L., Ortega-Huerta, M. A.,
Peterson, A. T., Phillips, O. L. & Williams, S. E. 2004 Extinction risk from climate
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Thuiller, W. 2004 Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change.
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