Analyzing & Interpreting Arguments: Arguments contain premises that give reasons for accepting a conclusion. Conclusions are problematic statements; premises are unproblematic statements Premises and conclusions are sometimes implied Arguments should not be confused with other forms: exposition, illustration, description, explanation, etc. Indicator words can often help with identifying premises and conclusions since, because, for, as, given that, etc. often indicate premises therefore, thus, consequently, as a result, etc. often indicate conclusions Cogent (valid and convincing) Reasoning: Arguments are generally considered cogent based on three primary criteria being satisfied: Reasonableness: there is known good evidence for the truth of all premises Relevancy: premises provide logically, factually, or causally related evidence for conclusion Sufficiency: premises, taken as a whole, provide enough evidence to support the conclusion (NOTE: the validity of an argument does not necessarily guarantee that it is true) Deductive Argument Forms: Syllogisms: (“the putting together of ideas”) All syllogisms contain three statements (two are premises and one is the conclusion) Categorical Syllogisms: contain three categorical propositions (indicator words: “all, some or no”) categorical propositions come in 4 forms (universal/particular affirmative/negative) valid categorical syllogisms contain 3 subject/predicate terms (major, minor, middle) Valid forms must satisfy all 6 rules of validity; breaking just one rule makes them invalid Conditional Syllogisms: contain one or more conditional (if…then) statements antecedent follows if; consequent follows then; “If (antecedent), then (consequent)” Pure Conditional (Hypothetical) Syllogism: “If A then B. If B then C. If A then C.” Mixed-Conditional Syllogisms: Modus Ponens – Latin: “the way of putting in place” (aka: affirming the antecedent) “If A then B. A. Therefore, B.” Modus Tollens – Latin: “the way of taking away” (aka: denying the consequent) “If A then B. Not B. Therefore, Not A.” Note that the following invalid mixed-conditional forms represent opposite relationships Denying the Antecedent: Asserting (Affirming) the Consequent: “If A then B. Not A. Therefore, Not B.” “If A then B. B. Therefore, A.” Disjunctive Syllogism: “A or B. Not A. Therefore, B.” (variation: Not B. Therefore A) Dilemma: Contains a conditional premise and a disjunctive premise, and either a simple statement for its conclusion (simple dilemma) or a disjunction for its conclusion (complex dilemma) Counterdilemma: a dilemma whose conclusion is opposed to the conclusion of the original Inductive Argument Forms: Inductive Generalization: conclusion expresses a pattern or principle derived from its premises Induction by Enumeration: asserts a generalization about an entire class based on a sample Statistical Induction: similar to IbE, but uses statistical evidence to assert a ratio of occurrences Reasoning by Analogy: based on comparison, asserts that a pattern of similarities will continue Causal Connection: establishes a cause-effect relationship based on prior events and patterns Higher Level Induction: draws on more general knowledge to claim outcomes in particular cases Properties of deductively valid arguments: Deductive arguments follow strict rules of form and structure Conclusions are drawn from information contained in the premises If the premises are true, then the conclusion must be true True premises cannot move to false a conclusion because of structural limitations Conditionals (if-then statements) are often used in deductive argument forms Properties of inductively valid arguments: Inductive forms and structures can be less limited and more varied Conclusions can go beyond information contained in the premises Inductions often assert probabilities and likelihoods rather than certainties Conclusions are based on learned experience, patterns and regularities True premises do not guarantee true conclusions Fallacious Reasoning:* Arguments that are considered fallacious can fit into one of these three fallacy categories: 1. Questionable Premise: premises are not warranted or justified 2. 3. questionable premise / questionable statement (improper) appeal to authority inconsistency “straw man” false dilemma / either-or fallacy begging the question tokenism Suppressed (Overlooked) Evidence: relevant information has been excluded Invalid Inference: stated premises do not justify accepting the conclusion ad hominem – latin: “to the person” guilt by association two wrongs make a right o common practice o traditional wisdom irrelevant reason equivocation appeal to ignorance composition division slippery slope hasty conclusion small sample unrepresentative sample questionable cause questionable analogy questionable statistics questionable uses of statistics * Avoid false charges of fallacy and Quibbling (being overly critical of others’ reasoning)