International Joint conference EU THOR and BMBF North Atlantic projects: Hamburg, 24-26 September 2012
Monday 24 September
German information event
10:00
Auftaktveranstaltung “Stand der deutschen Meeresforschung”
Senatorin Dr. D. Stapelfeldt (BWF), Ministerialdirektor Dr. K. E. Huthmacher (BMBF), Prof. Dr. R. Mielke (UHAMPräsident, Prof. Dr. J. Marotzke (WCRP), Prof. Dr. M. Latif (GEOMAR)
11:00
Diskussion und Gelegenheit für Pressefragen
12:00
Registration open for all participants
Buffet lunch for all conference participants (from 12.30 to 14.00)
14:00-14:20 Opening of the conference:
Welcome and introduction
D. Stammer and D. Quadfasel, University of Hamburg
A. Tilche, European Commission
K. Wollin/ C. Alecke, Federal Ministry for Education and Research
This event is financed by the European Commission through the 7th Framework Programme for Research,
the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research and the University of Hamburg
International Joint conference EU THOR and BMBF North Atlantic projects: Hamburg, 24-26 September 2012
Scientific Talks
14.20-17.40 1)-Observation systems, Chair: Martin Visbeck
Starting at
14:20
Name
Martin
Surname
Visbeck
Acronym inst.
GEOMAR
Institute
Helmholtz Centre for Ocean
Research Kiel
Title presentation
In Situ Sustained Ocean Observations in
support of MOC research and ocean
indices
Intra-seasonal variability of the DWBC in the
western subpolar North Atlantic
Interactions between the Atlantic inflow
branches to the Nordic Seas
Observations of circulation and transport
variability in the Newfoundland Basin
14:50
Jürgen
Fischer
GEOMAR
15:10
Bogi
Hansen
HAV
Helmholtz Centre for Ocean
Research Kiel
Faroe Marine Research Institute
15:30
Christian
Mertens
Univ. Bremen
University of Bremen
15:50
Johanna
Baehr
Univ. Hamburg
16:10
Uwe
Send
San Diego
Institute of Oceanography,
University of Hamburg
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
AMOC state and variability from existing and
planned mooring arrays in the Atlantic
Comparison of the Atlantic Meridional
Overturning Circulation (AMOC) at two
latitudes - 16°N and 24°N
Title presentation
Observed basin-wide response of the North
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to
wind stress forcing
The Seasonal Cycle of the AMOC at 26.5N Local or Global?
16.30-17.00 Coffee break
Starting at
17:00
Name
Shane
Surname
Elipot
Acronym inst.
NOC
Institute
National Oceanography Centre
17:20
Gerard
McCarthy
NOC
National Oceanography Centre
This event is financed by the European Commission through the 7th Framework Programme for Research,
the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research and the University of Hamburg
International Joint conference EU THOR and BMBF North Atlantic projects: Hamburg, 24-26 September 2012
17.40-19.10 2-Natural variability, Chair: Jim Hurrell
Starting at
Name
Surname
Institute
Title presentation
Hurrell
Acronym
inst.
UCAR
17:40
Jim
University Corporation for
Atmospheric Research
Sources of Uncertainty in Climate
Predictions: The Role of Natural Variability
18:10
Mojib
Latif
GEOMAR
Helmholtz Centre for Ocean
Research Kiel
Southern Ocean Centennial Climate
Variability: Origin, AMOC Impact, and
Implications for Global Warming
18:30
Johann
Jungclaus
MPG
Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology
Arctic climate and sea-ice changes over the
last millennium: what is the role of the Atlantic
Meridional Overturning Circulation?
18:50
Matthew
Menary
Met O
Met Office Hadley Centre
Solar forcing of the AMOC since 1859
19.10-21.30 Poster Session & Aperitif
This event is financed by the European Commission through the 7th Framework Programme for Research,
the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research and the University of Hamburg
International Joint conference EU THOR and BMBF North Atlantic projects: Hamburg, 24-26 September 2012
Tuesday 25 September
08.30-09.00 Coffee break
Starting at
Name
Surname
Acronym
inst.
NERSC
9:00
Stephen
Outten
9:20
Guillaume
Gastineau
UPMCLOCEAN
9:40
Sybren
Drijfhout
KNMI
Institute
Title presentation
Nansen Environmental and Remote
Sensing Center
Université Pierre et Marie CurieLOCEAN/IPSL
Bjerknes compensation and the multi-decadal
variability of heat transports
Atmospheric response to the North Atlantic
Ocean variability on seasonal to decadal time
scales
An abrupt cold event in the pre-industrial
control run of ECEARTH induced by the
AMOC
Royal Netherlands Meteorological
Institute
10.00-10.30 Coffee break
09.00-10.00 3-Key processes, Chair: Antonio J. Busalacchi
Starting at
Name
Surname
Acronym
inst.
ESSIC
Institute
Title presentation
10:30
Antonio
Busalacchi
Earth System Science
Interdisciplinary Center, University
of Maryland
Physical Processes Key to Advancing our
Understanding of North Atlantic Climate
Variability
11:00
Juliette
Mignot
UPMCLOCEAN
Université Pierre et Marie CurieLOCEAN
Volcanic impact on the Atlantic Meridional
Overturning Circulation in two generations
of the IPSL model
11:20
Laura
Jackson
Met O
Met Office Hadley Centre
Chris
Roberts
Met O
Met Office Hadley Centre
Exploring the stability of the AMOC in
HadCM3
Are SSTs useful for detecting changes in
the Atlantic meridional overturning
circulation?
11:40
This event is financed by the European Commission through the 7th Framework Programme for Research,
the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research and the University of Hamburg
International Joint conference EU THOR and BMBF North Atlantic projects: Hamburg, 24-26 September 2012
12.00-13.00 Lunch
Starting at
Name
Surname
Acronym
inst.
GEOMAR
Institute
Title presentation
13:00
Claus
Boening
Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research
Kiel
FrajkaWilliams
NOC
National Oceanography Centre
von Storch
MPG
Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology
Decadal changes in subpolar North Atlantic
heat and freshwater content orchestrated
by the NAO
Causes and impact of the recent slowdown
of the MOC at 26N on heat content in the
North Atlantic
An estimate of Lorenz energy cycle for the
world ocean based on the one tenth degree
STORM/NCEP simulation
13:20
Eleanor
13:40
Jin-Song
14.00-14.30 Coffee break
14.30-18.00 4-Predictability, Chair: Tim Palmer
Starting at
Name
Surname
Institute
Title presentation
Palmer
Acronym
inst.
UNIV. OX
14:30
Tim
University of Oxford
On the reliability of multi-year forecasts
of climate
15:00
Wilco
Hazeleger
KNMI
Royal Netherlands Meteorological
Institute
Multimodel decadal predictions of the North
Atlantic Ocean
This event is financed by the European Commission through the 7th Framework Programme for Research,
the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research and the University of Hamburg
International Joint conference EU THOR and BMBF North Atlantic projects: Hamburg, 24-26 September 2012
Starting at
Name
Surname
Institute
Title presentation
Corti
Acronym
inst.
ECMWF
15:20
Susanna
European Centre for Medium-Range
Weather Forecasts
Impact of initial conditions with respect to
external forcing in the decadal predictions:
a sensitivity experiment
15:40
Juergen
Kroeger
MPG
Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology
Decadal Climate Prediction with ECHAM5MPIOM: Sensitivity to Initialization
16:00
Nick
Dunstone
Met O
Met Office Hadley Centre
Results from multi-model idealised
observing system experiments being
carried out for THOR WP4.2 Impact of
Ocean Observations on THC predictions
Institute
Title presentation
Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology
Towards multiyear climate predictions of
the North Atlantic/European climate
Statistical decadal predictions for sea
surface temperatures: a benchmark for
dynamical GCM predictions
16.20-16.50 Coffee break
Starting at
Name
Surname
16:50
Daniela
Matei
Acronym
inst.
MPG
17:10
Ed
Hawkins
Univ. Reading
NCAS-Climate, University of Reading
17:30
Thomas
Martin
GEOMAR
Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research
Kiel
Uncertainties of North Atlantic MOC and
atmosphere-ocean interaction in future
climate projections
This event is financed by the European Commission through the 7th Framework Programme for Research,
the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research and the University of Hamburg
International Joint conference EU THOR and BMBF North Atlantic projects: Hamburg, 24-26 September 2012
Wednesday 26 September
08.30-09.00 Coffee break
09.00-12.00 5-Marginal seas and coastal impacts, Topic session chair: Hans von Storch
Starting at
Name
Surname
9:00
Hans
von Storch
9:30
Dmitry
Sein
MPG
9:50
Tor
Eldevik
Roshin
Pappukutty Raj
Bjerknes
Center
NERSC
Geophysical Institute and Bjerknes Centre
for Climate Research, University of Bergen
Nansen Environmental and Remote
Sensing Center
Modeling anthropogenic Climate Change
of the northwest European Shelves and
the northeast Atlantic
Sources and propagation of anomalous
freshwater content in the Nordic Seas
Atlantic Water temperature variability in
the northeastern Nordic Seas
Institute
Title presentation
Marine Research Institute Iceland
Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and
Marine Research
Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and
Marine Research
Observations of currents and
hydrography in the eastern Iceland Sea
Arctic ocean circulation variability –
causes and consequences
Change of heat in the Eurasian Basin of
the Arctic Ocean in the last two decades
10:10
Acronym
inst.
Institute
Title presentation
Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for
Materials and Coastal Research
Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology
tbc
10.30-11.00 Coffee break
Starting at
Name
Surname
11:00
Héðinn
Valdimarsson
Acronym
inst.
MRI
11:20
Michael J
Karcher
AWI
11:40
Ursula
Schauer
AWI
12.00-12.30 Wrapping-up
12.30 -14.00 Lunch and closure of the conference
This event is financed by the European Commission through the 7th Framework Programme for Research,
the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research and the University of Hamburg
International Joint conference EU THOR and BMBF North Atlantic projects: Hamburg, 24-26 September 2012
For THOR scientists only: THOR Meeting
Starting at
Scheduled
14:00 CT1, CT2, CT3 CT4, CT5 group
meetings running in parallel
Presentations by
Mandatory presence for
All THOR scientists involved
all THOR scientists involved
Presentations by
Mandatory presence for
Detlef Quadfasel, Chiara Bearzotti
all THOR scientists involved
Presented by Johann Jungclaus, Kikki
Kleiven, Steffen Olsen, Svein Østerhus
and Steingrimur Jónsson, Wilco
Hazeleger, Martin Visbeck and Detlef
Stammer
Chaired by Detlef Quadfasel
all THOR scientists involved
Coffee break
Starting at
Scheduled
16:00 Project briefing: status of the project,
reporting duties deliverables and WP
reports
17:00 CT discussion in plenary session:
18:00 Scientific Steering Committee
meeting: Detlef Quadfasel, Johann
Jungclaus, Kikki Kleiven, Steffen
Olsen, Svein Østerhus and
Steingrimur Jónsson, Wilco
Hazeleger, Martin Visbeck and Detlef
Stammer
19.00-open end
Detlef Quadfasel, Johann
Jungclaus, Kikki Kleiven,
Steffen Olsen, Svein Østerhus
and Steingrimur Jónsson, Wilco
Hazeleger, Martin Visbeck and
Detlef Stammer
Dinner THOR
This event is financed by the European Commission through the 7th Framework Programme for Research,
the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research and the University of Hamburg