Probability Test Name: ____________ Knowledge 1. Use the words likely, unlikely, impossible, possible or certain to describe each event. A) B) C) D) You will be in school this afternoon. On your way home you will meet a talking cat. We will have a fire drill today. The sun will rise tomorrow. ____________ ____________ ____________ ____________ 2. R = red O = orange Y = yellow B = blue A) B) C) D) E) F) G) What colour is the spinner most likely to land on? _______ What colour is the spinner least likely to land on? _______ What colour is it impossible for the spinner to land on? ________ What is the theoretical probability the spinner will land on red (use a fraction)? ____ What is the theoretical probability a coin flipped will land on heads? ____ What is the theoretical probability a die rolled will land on a 1 or a 2? ____ If the probability of something is ¼; what does the 4 (denominator) represent? ______________________ H) If the probability of something is ¼; what does the 1 (numerator) represent? ______________________ Knowledge /12 Level _____ Thinking 1. Draw a spinner where: A) The most likely colour spun will be red. B) The least likely colour spun will be yellow. C) Green and blue are equally likely to be spun. T ____ 2. Your friend is about to roll two dice. She asks you to predict what number she will roll. What number would you choose and why? T ____ C ____ 3. A bag contains 5 red marbles and 5 yellow marbles. If I add two more yellow marbles and two more red marbles, have I changed the probability that I will pull out a red marble when I reach into the bag? T ____ C ____ Thinking ____ Communication ____ Application 1. You are standing with 2 of your friends. All 3 of you have a coin. You flip the three coins into the air. What is the theoretical probability that all the coins will all land on heads? C ____ A ____ 2. At Mr. W’s Ice Cream Emporium, you can buy the Sundae Surprise! You get to choose one ice cream flavour, one sauce, and one topping. Ice cream flavour Vanilla Chocolate Strawberry Sauce Topping Hot Fudge Butterscotch Peanuts Maraschino Cherry Whip-Cream Mr. W is making random Sundaes for the weekend fun-run. What is the probability the sundae you get will have a Whip-Cream topping? C ____ A ____ Communication _____ Application _____ K: T: C: A: