A Model United Nations 2015 Forum: Special Conference on Sustainable Development Issue: Protection of global climate for present and future generations of humankind Chair: Mitchell Wan Introduction Global warming and climate change may be one of the greatest global challenges of our time. As the concentration of greenhouse gases in the earth’s atmosphere continue to increase, the issue of risen global temperatures must be tackled before people’s lives are put in danger. Climate change is evidently occurring. In the past century alone, the temperature has climbed 0.7 degrees Celsius, roughly ten times faster than the average rate of natural warming. The estimated rate of warming for the next century is at least 20 times faster. These problems must be dealt with immediately as even small shifts in the average temperature of the planet can lead to monumental and potentially dangerous shifts in the climate and weather. There are many factors that contribute to climate change. Among those are, deforestation, over population, livestock, and the burning of fossil fuels, which are the main causes due to the immense usage of fossil fuels and high amounts of carbon dioxide emitted. Definition of Key Terms Green House Gases Green House gases are atmospheric gases that contribute to the greenhouse effect by absorbing infrared radiation produced by solar warming of the Earth’s surface. Green House effect Green House effect is when the earth’s atmosphere traps radiation emitted by the sun, allowing the sunlight to pass through but not allowing the heat to leave the atmosphere. This consequently causes the warming of the surface and lower atmosphere of the earth. Global Warming Global warming is the gradual increase of the overall temperature of the earth’s atmosphere generally due to the effect of the greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, chlorofluorocarbons, and other pollutants. Taipei American School Model United Nations | Page 1 of 8 A Model United Nations 2015 Climate change Climate change is a significant long-term shift in weather conditions identified by changes in temperature, precipitation, winds, and other indicators. Climate change can involve both changes in average conditions and changes in variability. It may also include the change in global temperatures because of the increased levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide produced by the use of fossil fuels Global Dimming Global Dimming is the effect in which the pollution makes clouds reflect much of the sun’s rays back into space whereby reducing the amount of heat and energy reaching the earth. General Overview History Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, human influences on the climate system have increased substantially. Human activities since the Industrial Revolution have had a negative impact on global temperatures, primarily due to the massive emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. Temperature Changes 1. Source: USGRCP (2009) Taipei American School Model United Nations | Page 2 of 8 A Model United Nations 2015 The above graph shows the overall temperature of the earth from 1900 to 2000. The blue line depicts how the earth’s temperature should proceed and the black line shows how it had progressed for the past century. Evidently, human intervention has caused the global temperature to rise significantly. The temperature increase can be explained through the drastic increase of CO 2 emissions. Furthermore, because of the increase of global temperatures, heat waves are now becoming more common and tend to last for longer periods of time. 2. Global CO2 emissions, 1751–2007,Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC), August 2010,DOI:10.3334/CDIAC/00001_V2010 The Green House Affect One aspect of climate change is the green house affect, which is natural and necessary to support life on Earth. However, if the greenhouse gases build up, it can change Earth's climate and result in dangerous effects to human health and welfare and to ecosystems. Taipei American School Model United Nations | Page 3 of 8 A Model United Nations 2015 3: Greenhouse Effect Effects of Climate change The majority of greenhouse gases come from burning fossil fuels to produce energy. Below is a graph made by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the US, on the 10 indicators of climate change. 4. Ten indicators for a warming world, Past Decade Warmest on Record According to Scientists in 48 Countries, NOAA, July 28, 2010 Taipei American School Model United Nations | Page 4 of 8 A Model United Nations 2015 Another evidence of recent rapid climate change is extreme weather events. Other grave consequences of the climate change can already be seen through the increase of natural disasters these recent years. Global warming has already had measurably effects on ice coverage, the sea level, wind patterns and a significant impact on triggering extreme weather events such as drought, floods, and storms. Climate change has become a critical political issue because it is interrelated with a variety of important policy choices. Such policies may include from agricultural practices to the fight against poverty worldwide, or from migration to conflict prevention and international security. Causes of Climate Change Deforestation Deforestation is a significant problem as up to a fifth of global greenhouse gas emissions come from deforestation and forest degradation. Simply, forests have a vital role to play in the fight against global warming. Forests absorb and store carbon, but if forests are being destroyed, then the carbon will be released as carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. Ultimately, as more greenhouse gases are released due to deforestation, climate change and global warming worsens. Livestock Animals such as cows are one of the greatest producers of greenhouse gases. An FAO report found that current production levels of meat contribute between 14 and 22 percent of the 36 billion tons of "CO2-equivalent" greenhouse gases the world produces every year. A cow does on average release between 70 and 120 kg of Methane per year. Methane is a greenhouse gas like carbon dioxide (CO2). But the negative effect on the climate of Methane is 23 times higher than the effect of CO 2. Therefore the release of about 100 kg Methane per year for each cow is equivalent to about 2'300 kg CO2 per year. Major countries and Organizations involved United States The United States was the second top emitter in terms of CO2 from fossil fuels in 2009, as it produced 17.8% of the world's total CO2 emissions. . According to a 2009 statement by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), these changes included ice melting earlier in the spring, plants blooming earlier, multiple animal species shifting their habitat ranges northward, and reductions in the size of glaciers. However, it is also evident that the United States is trying to fix its climate change. In December 2009 Copenhagen Climate Change Summit, President Barak Obama Taipei American School Model United Nations | Page 5 of 8 A Model United Nations 2015 vowed to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 17% by 2020. His plan included measures such as shifting from coal-based power generation to solar and natural gas production. China China’s position on global climate change is very controversial. China has ratified the Kyoto Protocol, but is not required to limit greenhouse gas emissions under terms of the agreement. China's emissions have outpaced the U.S. in CO2 from 2006 onward. According to data from the US Energy Information Administration, China was the top emitter of fossil fuels CO2 in 2009 as it produced about 25.4% of the world’s total CO2 emissions. United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP) UNEP is an organization established in 1972 within the United Nations that acts as the voice for the environment. UNEP acts as a catalyst, advocate, educator and facilitator to promote the sustainable development and wise use of the global environment. UNEP assesses global environmental conditions and trends, develops international and national environmental plans and aims to provide leadership and encourage partnership in caring for the environment by inspiring and enabling nations and people to improve their quality of life without compromising that of future generations. Timeline of Events Date Description of event March 28, 1995 The first UNFCCC Conference took place in Germany December 11,1997 The third conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change was held in Kyoto, Japan in which the Kyoto Protocol was drafted in this conference February 16, 2005 The Kyoto Protocol entered into action September 5, 2013 The Majuro Declaration was signed at the Marshall Islands during the 44th Pacific Islands Forum Summit. The leaders of the Pacific Islands Forum nations recognized the need for strengthened national systems to plan for, access, deliver, absorb and monitor climate change. UN Involvement, Relevant Resolutions, Treaties and Events The Majuro Declaration, 5 September 2013 (Resolution Number) The Kyoto Protocol, 11 December 1997 (30822) Taipei American School Model United Nations | Page 6 of 8 A Model United Nations 2015 The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), 21 March 1994 (30822) Possible Solutions There are many possible solutions to climate change; this may include gathering various types of greenhouse gas emissions data as it can help policy makers, businesses, and the Agency track greenhouse gas emissions trends and identify opportunities for reducing emissions and increasing efficiency, focusing on sustainable development, and beneficial partnerships between different industries. Another solution may be to promote sustainable development as substantial amount of current energy is produced by burning fossil fuels and trees. However, this produces a lot of greenhouse gases that may harm the environment. If the burning of fossil fuels is replaced by sustainable resources, then the amount of greenhouse gases can be drastically decreased. The implementation of water, solar, and wind power as sustainable solutions can greatly reduce the amount of greenhouse gas emissions. Sustainable development goals As the eight Millennium Development Goals come to an end at 2015, new sustainable development goals have been set for the coming age. Sustainable development has been a crucial aspect in global development; in regarding to climate change, the new SDGs will need to support both climate mitigation and adaptation. Some of the SDGs tackling global environmental problems include to strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate related hazards and natural disasters in all countries (Goal 13.1), improve education, awareness raising and human and institutional capacity on climate change mitigation, adaptation, impact reduction, and early warning (Goal 13.3), and integrate climate change measures into national policies, strategies, and planning (Goal 13.2). Bibliography "Are Cows the cause of global warming?" Time for Change. N.p., n.d. Web. 11 Jan. 2015. < http://timeforchange.org/are-cows-cause-of-global-warming-meat-methane-CO2>. "Causes of Climate Change." Canada's Action on Climate Change. N.p., n.d. Web. 11 Jan. 2015. < http://www.climatechange.gc.ca/default.asp?lang=en&n=65CD73F4-1#X- 201208011007512>. Taipei American School Model United Nations | Page 7 of 8 A Model United Nations 2015 "Causes of Climate Change." EPA. N.p., n.d. Web. 11 Jan. 2015. < http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/causes.html >. "Climate Change and Global Warming Introduction." Global Issues. N.p., n.d. Web. 11 Jan. 2015. < http://www.globalissues.org/article/233/climate-change-and-globalwarming-introduction>. "Climate Change indicators in the United States." EPA. N.p., n.d. Web. 11 Jan. 2015. < http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/indicators/>. "Disasters and Ecosystems." UNEP MOOC. EPA. N.p., N.p., n.d. Web. 11 Web. 11 Jan. Jan. 2015. <http://www.themooc.net/>. "Future Climate Change." n.d. 2015. < http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/future.html >. "Glossary of Key Terms." Center for Climate and Energy solutions. N.p., n.d. Web. 11 Jan. 2015. < http://www.c2es.org/science-impacts/basics/glossary >. "How much has the global temperature risen in the last 100 years?" NCAR UCAR. N.p., n.d. Web. 11 Jan. 2015. < https://www2.ucar.edu/climate/faq/how-much-has-global- temperature-risen-last-100-years >. "2013 Model UN Simulation Climate Change." state. N.p., n.d. Web. 11 Jan. 2015. < http://www.state.gov/documents/organization/232805.pdf>. "UN Cliamte Change Newsroom." Newsroom. N.p., n.d. Web. 11 Jan. 2015. < <http://newsroom.unfccc.int/>. "United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change." unfccc. N.p., n.d. Web. 11 Jan. 2015. < http://unfccc.int/essential_background/items/6031.php >. Taipei American School Model United Nations | Page 8 of 8