Workshops in Quantitative Ecology and Evolution 23-25 May, 2007 Anthony R. Ives Department of Zoology, UW-Madison arives@wisc.edu www.zoology.wisc.edu/faculty/Ive/Ive.html Wednesday, 23 May, 9:30-2:30 Workshop: Phylogenetic methods for (i) comparative evolutionary studies and (ii) ecological community structure Wednesday, 23 May, 3:00-4:15 Research talk: Phylogenetic signal in host-parasite associations, and biological control of pea aphids by multiple natural enemies Thursday, 24 May, 9:30-2:30 Workshop: Population dynamics in stochastic environments Thursday, 24 May, 3:00-4:15 Afternoon research talk: Stability and dynamics of two insect populations Friday, 25 May, 9:30-2:30 Workshop: Statistics for correlated data: phylogenetic analyses, spatial statistics, and time-series analysis Workshop on Phylogenetic Methods: Comparative evolutionary studies and ecological community structure Anthony R. Ives 23 May, 2007 9:30-2:30 In this workshop, I will address two issues involving phylogenies: (i) comparative methods in evolutionary biology, and (ii) the structure of ecological communities. For the first, I will address how to compare trait values among species when species are phylogenetically related. Phylogenetic relatedness introduces the problem that related species are more likely to have similar trait values, because they descended from a recent common ancestor. Incorporating information about phylogenetic relatedness will increase the performance and accuracy of statistical tests. The phylogenetic approaches I will discuss also make it possible to measure “phylogenetic signal,” that is, how well phylogeny explains variation in trait values among species. The second issue I will address uses similar ideas to explore the pattern of species occurrences among communities: Do communities contain species that are more or less phylogenetically related than expected by chance? Because closely related species are likely to have similar traits, and since these traits might determine the optimal environment for species, phylogenetically related species might be more likely to occur in the same communities where optimal environmental conditions occur. Alternatively, because similar species might be more likely to compete and exclude each other from the same community, communities might be less likely to contain closely related species. I will present methods for identifying either positive or negative patterns between phylogenetic relatedness and the co-occurrence of species in communities. I will present some material as a lecture. I will also intersperse lecturing with short questions and exercises, so that you have the opportunity to interact with me and other workshop participants. Also, because I unfortunately don’t speak any Chinese, an interactive format will help me know when I am not clear. After the workshop at 3:00, I will give a research seminar entitled “Phylogenetic signal in host-parasite associations, and biological control of pea aphids by multiple natural enemies.” The first half of this seminar will address a topic related to the workshop. Before the workshop, please read the article Garland, T., A. F. Bennett, and E. L. Rezende. 2005. Phylogenetic approaches in comparative physiology. Journal of Experimental Biology 208:3015-3035. This will provide a lot of background and allow me to spend more time fielding questions and covering topics brought up during the workshop. Below are two more-technical articles that you might want to read, although this is not necessary. Blomberg, S. P., T. Garland, and A. R. Ives. 2003. Testing for phylogenetic signal in comparative data: behavioral traits are more labile. Evolution 57:717-745. Helmus, M. R., T. J. Bland, C. K. Williams, and A. R. Ives. 2007. Phylogenetic measures of biodiversity. American Naturalist 169:E68-E83. Workshop on Population Ecology Population dynamics in stochastic environments Anthony R. Ives 24 May, 2007 9:30-2:30 In this workshop I will give an introduction to stochastic models for population dynamics. Much of theoretical ecology is based on deterministic models that assume there is no environmental variability. Stochastic models explicitly incorporate environmental variability. This has two important consequences. First, environmental variability can change population dynamics, producing dynamics different from anything obtained in deterministic models. Second, because real populations experience environmental variability, only stochastic, not deterministic, models can be fit to data. Therefore, directly linking theoretical hypotheses about population dynamics to experimental or observation data requires stochastic models. This workshop will be introductory and appropriate for participants without a strong mathematical background. Although I will present mathematical ideas, I hope to convey the basic ideas of theory rather than mathematical details. I will present some material as a lecture. I will also intersperse lecturing with short questions and exercises, so that you have the opportunity to interact with me and other workshop participants. Also, because I unfortunately don’t speak any Chinese, an interactive format will help me know when I am not clear. After the workshop at 3:00, I will give a research seminar entitled “Stability and dynamics of two insect populations.” This seminar will use the ideas presented in the workshop. Before the workshop, please read pages 235-264 in the book chapter: Ives, A. R. 1998. Population ecology, Pages 235-314 in S. I. Dodson, T. Allen, S. R. Carpenter, A. R. Ives, R. Jeanne, J. K. Kitchell, N. Langston et al., eds. Ecology. New York, New York, Oxford University Press. This is a non-technical chapter, but it is long. I have just asked you to read the most relevant material. Workshop on Statistics for Correlated Data: Phylogenetic analyses, spatial statistics, and time-series analysis Anthony R. Ives 25 May, 2007 9:30-2:30 The first assumption of common statistical tests is that data represent independent samples from the population under study. This need for independence often dictates experimental designs and analyses of observational (non-experimental) data. It also underlies the problem of pseudoreplication, since replicates of experimental treatments must be independent to be true replicates. The need for independence, and the fear that nonindependence generates, potentially limit the types of studies that ecologists and evolutionary biologists perform. In this workshop I will address ways of dealing with non-independent, or correlated data. I do not expect participants to have a strong statistical background, although I will not shy away from important statistical issues. I will try to present topics conceptually rather than with a lot of mathematical detail. I will present some material as a lecture. I will also intersperse lecturing with short questions and exercises, so that you have the opportunity to interact with me and other workshop participants. Also, because I unfortunately don’t speak any Chinese, an interactive format will help me know when I am not clear. I would like to devote the last part of the workshop to statistical questions you might have. Therefore, please bring specific statistical problems that you have encountered and need help with. There are two things that would help before the workshop. 1. Please read the article Ives, A. R., and J. Zhu. 2006. Statistics for correlated data: phylogenies, space, and time. Ecological Applications 16:20-32. This will provide a lot of background and allow me to spend more time fielding questions and covering topics brought up during the workshop. 2. Please consider presenting a statistical problem you have encountered that we can try to solve as a group. These could be any type of statistical problem. It would be best if you could prepare a short presentation (5 minutes) describing your data and the problem; you can then give this to the workshop participants. It would help if you could sent this to me beforehand. Before 18 May, you can send your question to me at arives@wisc.edu, or you can discuss your problem with me earlier in the week of the workshop.